Navigating Changing Options - HE Sector Report The impact of Coronavirus on 2021 and 2022 UK undergraduate decision making - The ...
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Navigating Changing Options – HE Sector Report The impact of Coronavirus on 2021 and 2022 UK undergraduate decision making Wave Four – February / March 2021 April 2021 Report Authors: Bethany Wiles, Senior Research Executive Barbara Bradshaw, Senior Market Research Consultant © Copyright TSR Insight 2021 – Commercial in confidence
Contents Contents ...................................................................................................................................................... 2 1. Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................. 3 2. Background .......................................................................................................................................... 4 3. Target Audience................................................................................................................................... 4 4. Findings ................................................................................................................................................ 5 Awareness of Pathway Choices ................................................................................................... 5 Current concerns about their education ..................................................................................... 6 Employability concerns.............................................................................................................. 12 The impact on mental health .................................................................................................... 14 In their own words: Worries faced by 2021 and 2022 entry respondents ............................... 15 Impact of Covid-19 on Decision Making for 2021 and 2022 entry ............................................ 18 Impact of Covid-19 on Subject Choice....................................................................................... 22 University Decision Making ....................................................................................................... 25 Information Gathering – 2021 entry ......................................................................................... 26 Virtual Open Days – 2021 entry................................................................................................. 27 Information Gathering – 2022 entry ......................................................................................... 31 Virtual Open Days – 2022 entry................................................................................................. 32 Looking forward: When lockdown ends .................................................................................... 34 5. Survey methodology .......................................................................................................................... 37 6. Audience and response ..................................................................................................................... 37 7. Other waves of the survey................................................................................................................. 37 8. Respondent Profile ............................................................................................................................ 38 9. About TSR Insight .............................................................................................................................. 39 Get in touch to know more: 2 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
1. Executive Summary Almost all respondents were worried about something. Many were lacking motivation, and the impact on mental health was significant. Despite the unprecedented worries they faced, respondents felt the expectation was that they should carry on as normal, regardless of the circumstances. • 80% of 2021 and 81% of 2022 entry respondents were struggling to motivate themselves to work. • Just 21% of 2021 and 18% of 2022 entry respondents described their mental health positively. Covid-19 had impacted university choices for around one in five 2021 entry respondents, motivated by a lack of confidence in getting the grades they needed and concerns about how future Covid outbreaks would be handled by the universities they were considering. Qualitative comments suggested respondents may choose universities closer to home (but not necessarily at home) so they could get back easily in case of future lockdowns • 22% of 2021 entry and 15% of 2022 entry respondents said their university choice was impacted by Covid-19. • However, for 73% of 2021 entry respondents and 69% of 2022 entry respondents, their desire to move away or stay at home had not been impacted by the pandemic. Subject choice appears to have been less impacted by Covid-19 than university choice among 2021 entry respondents, whereas for 2022 entry respondents, subject choice was slightly more likely to be impacted. Lack of confidence in their grades, limited work experience opportunities, selecting subjects based on their impact on society or future employability and a lack of support in exploring career choices were factors influencing subject choice • 12% of 2021 entry and 18% of 2022 entry respondents said their subject choice had been impacted • Respondents were now more worried that their degree might not help them get a job. 59% of 2021 entry and 67% of 2022 entry were either quite or very concerned about their employability, compared to just 29% of 2021 entry and 34% of 2022 entry respondents before the pandemic. At this stage, 2021 entry respondents wanted practical information about what their university life would look like and 2022 entry respondents wanted course information, application and personal statement guidance • Around three quarters (72%) of 2021 entry respondents wanted information about how Covid-19 would impact their university life, and similarly, two thirds (67%) wanted clarification around plans for online learning. Respondents were more confident in this wave of research that Virtual Open Days would provide enough information to make their UCAS choices. There was still an appetite to continue attending virtual open days, as well as an interest in visiting universities in person, when restrictions allow • Over three quarters (77%) of 2021 entry and over two fifths (43%) of 2022 entry respondents had attended a virtual open day. 82% of 2021 entry and 78% of 2022 entry had found the event useful • 69% of 2021 entry and 82% of 2022 entry respondents planned attend a virtual open day this spring / summer; 68% of 2021 and 74% of 2022 entry respondents planned to attend face-to-face if they happen. If face-to-face is possible, the majority of 2021 entry respondents (91%) said that they would visit their Firm choice university, 58% would visit their insurance. Respondents felt positive about lockdown easing, including the opportunities to visit universities in person. That said, there had been positive aspects of lockdown some would like to maintain moving forward. Being able to work and study from home or with greater flexibility was especially valued. Get in touch to know more: 3 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
2. Background We invited The Student Room community to take part in our quantitative survey so that they could tell us, and you, how they are feeling and what they need at the moment. The conversion landscape has changed and continues to incrementally shift as both prospective students and universities adjust to the current situation. For prospective students, they have never been in this position in their decision-making process before, and the roadmap is no longer as clear. This is the fourth phase of our Navigating Changing Options Research, marking a full year since our first wave of research in April 2020, at the start of the pandemic. We will be repeating this survey so that we can help young people navigate these challenging times, to track changes over time and to deliver value to our clients and The Student Room. 3. Target Audience This Sector Report focuses on prospective students who indicated that they were planning to start an undergraduate degree at a UK university in September 2021 or September 2022 and is predominantly made up of current Year 12 and Year 13 students who are currently studying A levels (89%) or BTEC (11%). Respondents were members of The Student Room Community or visitors to the Student Room site or social media pages. The wave 4 survey was live from 27th February until 14th March 2021. We received 2,035 responses from students in Year 12, Year 13, resitting Year 13 or currently on a gap year. Respondents were considering a range of subjects and study at almost all universities in the UK. Get in touch to know more: 4 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
4. Findings Awareness of Pathway Choices Respondents were more likely to receive information from their school or college about university than other pathway choices Respondents were most likely to have received information about university from their school or college, with 98% of 2021 entry respondents, 92% of 2022 entry respondents and 82% of respondents who did not plan to go to university receiving this information. Information about future careers, which may help young people make informed decisions about their pathway choices, was more limited however. Fewer than one in ten 2021 and 2022 entry respondents (9%) received information about all of the pathway choices listed. However, the majority of those who received information about university also received information about at least one other pathway choice (91%). Unsurprisingly given their later stage in the process, respondents who planned to go to university in 2021 were more likely to have received information about university compared to 2022 entry respondents (98% compared to 92%). 2021 entry respondents were also more likely to have received information about • apprenticeships (72% compared to 67% of 2022 entry respondents) • higher and degree apprenticeships (70% compared to 63%) • foundation years (32% compared to 20%) • access to HE courses (56% compared to 49%) • gap years (39% compared to 29%). Whereas respondents who did not plan to go to university were more likely to have been informed about apprenticeships (76%) and going into employment after sixth form / college (47%). Across both 2021 and 2022 entry respondents, respondents who received free school meals were more likely to be told about foundation years (36%) than those who did not receive free school meals (25%). Get in touch to know more: 5 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
Chart 1: Informed of future pathway choices and future careers 98% University 92% 82% 72% Apprenticeships 67% 76% 70% Higher and Degree Apprenticeships 63% 64% 56% Access to HE 49% 47% 2021 entry 40% Going into employment after sixth form / college 39% 47% 2022 entry 39% Gap years 29% 31% Not planning to attend university 32% Foundation Years 20% 22% 72% Future Careers 74% 79% Q: Thinking about your future pathway choices, has your school / college given you information about the following? (2021 entry base: 1,030, 2022 entry base: 685, not going to uni base: 92) Current concerns about their education Almost all respondents had worries, self-motivating after a long period of absence and how their grades would be impacted were primary concerns. 2021 respondents in particular were concerned about the grading process, while 2022 entry respondents worried about lost teaching time and missing experiences to put on their personal statements Almost all 2021 (99%) and 2022 entry respondents (100%) were worried about something this academic year, with fewer than 1% of respondents saying they were not worried about anything. Respondents from both cohorts were most worried about motivating themselves to work (80% 2021 entry; 81% 2022 entry) and the impact the current situation would have on their grades (74% 2021 entry; 73% 2022 entry). Specifically, certainty around the grading process was a worry for over four-fifths (83%) of 2021 entry respondents, compared to just over half (52%) of those planning to start university in 2022. On the other hand, 2022 entry respondents were more worried about catching up from last teaching time (72% compared to 51% of 2021 entry respondents), missing work experience opportunities (69% compared to 37% of 2021 entry respondents) and missing extracurricular opportunities to put on their personal statement (57% compared to 16% of 2021 entry respondents). Get in touch to know more: 6 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
Chart 2:Worries respondents’ face (2021 and 2022 entry respondents) Struggling to motivate myself to work 80% 81% The impact on my grades 74% 73% Uncertainty around grading 83% 52% Not being able to attend face-to-face university open days 62% 63% Catching up from lost teaching time 51% 72% Impact of Covid-19 on my mental health 59% 57% Having to cram in extra study and coursework into this year 53% 54% Missing work experience opportunities 37% 69% Uncertainty about any future lockdowns 49% 48% Impact of Covid-19 on my friendships / relationships 44% 43% Losing further teaching time 30% 52% Exam cancellations 39% 32% Missing extracurricular opportunities to put on my personal… 16% 57% Not being able to attend UCAS/HE fairs to find out about… 24% 41% Catching Covid-19 31% 31% Not having the resources to learn effectively from home if… 25% 27% Missing mock exams 19% 26% Other 3% 4% 2021 entry I’m not worried about anything 1% 0% 2022 entry Q: Which, if any, of the following are you worried about? (Multiple Response) (2021 entry base 1,000) (2022 entry base: 693) Across both years of entry, female respondents were more likely to be worried about a range of factors than male respondents, including struggling to motivate (83% compared to 69%), not being able to attend face-to-face open days (65% compared to 52%) and having to cram extra study and coursework into this year (55% compared to 44%). Female respondents were also more likely to be worried the impact of Covid-19 on their mental health (62% compared to 42%) and uncertainty of any future lockdowns (51% compared to 38%). First in family students were more likely to be worried about catching up from lost teaching time (65%) than respondents whose parent(s) had attended university (56%) and were also more likely to be worried about having to cram extra study into this academic year (60% compared to 49%). Get in touch to know more: 7 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
Respondents who received free school meals were more likely to be worried about not having the resources they needed to learn effectively from home (41%) than respondents who had not received free school meals (22%). 4.2.1 Comparison with previous waves Perhaps due to the Feb / March 2021 research being conducted at the end of an extended period of home study, catching up from lost teaching time, cramming extra study into this year and motivation to work were more likely to be worries for 2022 entry respondents, compared to the October 2020 research, when classroom teaching was possible. The impact on their grades was also more likely to be a concern in this stage of research. Whereas, for 2021 entry respondents, motivation, missing work experience and extracurricular opportunities were more likely to be worries, compared to the October 2020 research wave. However, announcements of a roadmap out of lockdown was likely to have eased worry for some. The proportion of both 2021 and 2022 entry respondents who were worried about catching Covid-19 or the uncertainty of any future lockdowns also fell between the October 2020 and February / March 2021 research. Chart 3:Changing concerns for 2021 entry respondents (comparing October 2020 to February / March 2021) Catching up from lost teaching Increased concerns time (52% cf. 72%) Missing extracurricular opportunites for personal Having to cram extra study and statement (16% cf. 49%) coursework into this year (53% Decreased concerns cf. 64%) Missing work experience opportunities (37% cf. 57%) Uncertainty about future lockdowns (66% cf. 49%) Struggling to motivate myself to work (80% cf. 66%) Catching Covid-19 (31% cf. 42%) Q: Which, if any, of the following are you worried about? (Multiple Response) (October 2021 entry base 490) (Feb / March 2021 entry base 1,000) Get in touch to know more: 8 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
Chart 4:Changing concerns for 2022 entry respondents (comparing October 2020 to February / March 2021) Increased concerns Catching up from lost teaching time (72% cf. 39%) Impact on grades (73% cf. 40%) 33 Catching Covid-19 (31% cf. 48%) Decreased concerns Cramming extra study and Uncertainty about future coursework into this year (54% cf. lockdowns (49% cf. 64%) 33%) Motivation to work (81% cf. 66%) Not being able to attend face-to- face open days (63% cf. 52%) Missing mock exams (26% cf. 15%) Q: Which, if any, of the following are you worried about? (Multiple Response) (October 2022 entry base 490) (Feb / March 2022 entry base 693) Indeed, some areas that were main worries for 2021 entry respondents in October were more of a concern to 2022 entry respondents in this wave. • In the October 2020 research, 2021 entry respondents were more likely to be worried about catching up from lost teaching time (72%) than 2022 entry respondents (35%). • However, by the February / March 2021 research, this worry has shifted, with 2022 entry respondents (72%) more likely than 2021 entry respondents (51%) to say they were worried about catching up from lost teaching time. 4.2.2 Impact of exam changes on 2021 entry respondents Perhaps due to disruptions in their education, getting the grades they felt they deserved was a concern for 2021 entry respondents in their exam year, with only two-fifths feeling confident they could achieve the grades they were capable of. Indeed, 65% of 2021 entry respondents felt that not taking traditional exams would negatively impact their future in some way Only two-fifths (40%) of 2021 entry respondents were confident that they would get the grades they deserved, with just 5% saying they felt very confident. Get in touch to know more: 9 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
Chart 5:Grade confidence amongst 2021 entry respondents 2021 entry 6% 27% 26% 36% 5% Not at all confident Not very confident Neither / nor Quite confident Very confident Q: How confident are you that you will get the grades you deserve? (2021 entry base 1020) While the level of confidence in getting the grades they deserved was low overall, some groups of respondents were more likely to feel confident than others. • Those looking to achieve the highest grades were most confident about getting the grades they deserved. Respondents predicted to achieve 144 tariff points or above were more likely to feel either quite or very confident about getting the grades they deserved (53%), compared to those predicted 120-143 points (32%) or 96-119 points (23%). • Male respondents were more likely to feel either quite or very confident about getting the grades they deserved (48%) than female respondents (40%). • Respondents whose parents went to university were more likely to feel confident (46%) about getting the grades they deserved than first in family respondents (35%). • Respondents who did not receive free school meals were more likely to feel confident (43%) than those who did (29%). Over four-fifths of 2021 entry respondents (81%) felt that not taking traditional exams would impact their future in some way. Whilst a minority felt the impact on their career prospects (8%), university or college options (11%) or educational attainment and knowledge (6%) would be positive, two thirds (65%) felt at least one of these impacts would be negative. Get in touch to know more: 10 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
Chart 6: Perceived impact of not taking traditional exams Negatively affect my career prospects 32% Positively affect my career prospects 8% Limit my university or college options 35% Improve my university or college options 11% Limit my educational attainment and knowledge 37% Improve my education attainment and knowledge 6% Other 4% I don’t think it will impact my future 19% Q: How, if at all, do you think not taking traditional exams will impact your future? Please select all that apply (2021 entry base 1013) 4.2.3 Supporting Students The majority of 2021 entry respondents (86%) and 2022 entry respondents (89%) felt the government wasn’t doing enough to support students. Particularly for 2022 entry respondents, the proportion of those who felt the government was doing enough to support students had fallen sharply since the first wave of the research in April 2020 (29% compared to 11%). Chart 7:Do you feel the government is doing enough to support students? 2021 entry - Wave 1 82% No 18% Yes 2021 entry - Wave 4 86% No 14% Yes 2022 entry - Wave 1 (as Y11) 71% No 29% Yes 2022 entry - Wave 4 89% No 11% Yes Q: Do you feel the government is doing enough to support students? (Wave 4 2021 entry base 1061, 2022 entry base: 653, Wave 1: 2021 entry base 1,213, Year 11 base: 828) Get in touch to know more: 11 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
Employability concerns The impact of Covid-19 on future employability continues to be a concern for respondents considering university for 2021 and 2022 entry The pandemic has increased respondents’ concerns about employability. The Office for National Statistics reported that from November 2020 to January 2021, unemployment was at its highest rate in five years at 5%, with those in the 16-24 age group being some of the hardest hit by job losses (Office for National Statistics, 2021). Over half of 2021 entry respondents (58%) were quite or very concerned about getting a job after they graduate. This was considerably higher than the proportion who reported being concerned about graduate employment prior to Covid-19 (29%), however was slightly lower than the 63% in October 2020 and 65% in June 2020. Chart 8:Employability concerns amongst 2021 entry respondents Net concerned Before Covid* 3% 14% 33% 21% 23% 6% 29% Currently 3% 8% 15% 16% 30% 28% 58% Not applicable Not at all concerned Not very concerned Neither/nor Quite concerned Very concerned Q: Before Covid-19/Now thinking about the current situation, how concerned were/are you about getting a job after you graduate / finish your studies? (2021 entry base 1,074) *Participants in this wave of research were asked to reflect back to their concerns prior to Covid-19 In this wave, 2022 entry respondents were more likely to be quite or very concerned about getting a job after they graduate (67%) than 2021 entry respondents (57%), again much higher than the third (34%) of 2022 entry respondents who were concerned about this before the pandemic. Whilst concern has slightly fallen amongst 2021 entry respondents since last year, this has remained consistently high for 2022 entry respondents. Get in touch to know more: 12 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
Chart 9:Employability concerns amongst 2022 entry respondents Net concerned Before Covid* 4% 12% 29% 22% 26% 8% 34% Currently 3% 6% 9% 15% 36% 31% 67% Not applicable Not at all concerned Not very concerned Neither/nor Quite concerned Very concerned Q: Before Covid-19/Now thinking about the current situation, how concerned were/are you about getting a job after you graduate / finish your studies? (2022 entry base 665) *Participants in this wave of research were asked to reflect back to their concerns prior to Covid-19 Among respondents in both cohorts, first in family respondents were more likely to be either quite or very concerned about getting a job when they graduate (66%) than respondents whose parent(s) attended university (57%). Respondents who received free school meals were also more likely to feel concerned about their employability (65%) than respondents who did not receive free school meals (61%). Female respondents were more likely to feel concerned about getting a job when they graduate (63%) than male respondents (55%). Get in touch to know more: 13 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
The impact on mental health The mental health of both 2021 and 2022 entry respondents has declined during the pandemic, with the proportion who rated their mental health as good or very good declining in each wave Prior to the pandemic, over half (59%) 2021 entry respondents felt their mental health was very good or good. This had fallen in each subsequent wave of research, to around one in five (21%) in February / March 2021. Chart 10: Mental health amongst 2021 entry respondents 20% 9% Very Good 8% 39% 7% 5% Good 25% 23% 18% 16% Usu a lly Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 (W1 ) Q: How would you describe your mental health at the moment? (2021 entry base: Wave 1*1303, Wave 2 1,718, Wave 3 582, Wave 4 1,074) *Participants in this wave of research were asked to reflect back to their concerns prior to Covid-19 Currently, 2022 entry respondents were slightly less likely to rate their mental health as good or very good (18%) than 2021 entry respondents (21%). As with 2021 entry respondents, the mental health of 2022 entry respondents had also declined in each wave, with the proportion who would describe their mental health as very good or good falling from 61% before Covid-19 to just 18% in this wave of the research. Concerningly, the proportion who would describe their mental health as very good fell from around one in four (26%) to less than one in twenty (4%). Get in touch to know more: 14 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
Chart 11: Mental health amongst 2022 entry respondents 26% 12% 14% 10% Very Good 35% 31% 4% 27% 21% 14% Good Usu a lly (W1 , Wave 1 (as Wave 2 (as Wave 3 Wave 4 as Y11) Y11) Y11) Q: How would you describe your mental health at the moment? (2022 entry base: Wave 1* (Y11), Wave 2 (Y11) 1,442, Wave 3 529, Wave 4 658) *Participants in this wave of research were asked to reflect back to their concerns prior to Covid-19 In their own words: Worries faced by 2021 and 2022 entry respondents 4.5.1 2021 Entry When 2021 entry respondents were asked to tell us more about how Covid-19 was impacting their studies and education, the comments generally reflected the worries described above and the impact on their decision making. Respondents in this wave were particularly worried about the uncertainty of the grading process, which was causing stress and anxiety for some, who were not sure they would receive the grades they deserved. Several were critical of the government and how the situation around grading had been handled. “I don't know how to put into words the general sense of apathy and chaos that education is right now” “There was a lot of confusion causing anxiety for students as the government didn't know what they were doing. They went from doing all exams to a few to none and now we have to do topic tests. It’s not fair on us and not fair on our mental and physical health.” “It's not impacting me heavily but people around me are worried and that's affecting their mental health. The uncertainty of whether their going to be graded fairly is also bothering them, like whether their teachers would give them what they are meant to get if they did take the exam or a lower grade due to their behaviour, which would be unfair.” Some expressed confusion around how the grading process would work, felt they were being told different information to their friends, or felt decisions were not made fast enough. Get in touch to know more: 15 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
“I wish the government and education bodies would speed up on decisions about grading and what is required to constitute a grade at the end of the year as students and teachers are unsure on what will need to be done to prove that students have got the grade that the teachers are putting forward.” “I don’t feel that the government has been firm enough in their plans; there is a lot of disparity between my school and others that my friends go to in how they are handling deciding our grades. I don’t feel that it’s fair that some are being subjected to much more stressful plans from their school than others are.” Uncertainty around grading was also a cause of stress for private candidates and those who were resitting their exams and planning to go to university in 2021. This group were unsure how their grades would be calculated and whether their grades would be enough to get them where they wanted to be. “The uncertainty of everything. I had to resit this year because my grading was so bad from the last year which was totally out of my control. It's all out of my control I want my hardwork and knowledge to determine how well I do not some algorithm that doesn't even take all my work into consideration. As such I've taken safer option for unis with lower acceptance grades because I didn't want to resit for a 2nd time.” “As a private retake candidate , it is very frustrating to feel or issues are ignored by DoE , my old school , unis” As in previous waves, motivation to keep studying was a concern. Some found it difficult to engage in online lessons, didn’t have the resources and support they needed to learn effectively, or felt that they were behind where they needed to be in their studies. Feeling under pressure to perform well with the added stress of a pandemic was also an issue for some. “Motivation is at an all time-low... with no reassurance and no certainty for the future, most students have no long term goal to work towards, and the task of keeping up with work is made harder at home, along with the normal stresses of the approaching exam season, it is very easy to burn out and go through inconsistent stages of motivation” “I don’t think the government and exam board realise how difficult it is and can be to motivate yourself. And having assignments to Complete for some courses and not others isnt fully fair and I’m finding it harder to motivate myself for assignment work in 1 class compared to normal work in my other classes” “The schools are just putting more pressure now with increased number of exams happening sooner. The decision to have A levels cancelled has rather backfired and the pressure and stress has increased exponentially. Could just be my school but I’m sure many other people might be going through the same. This whole ordeal has made me diagnosed with anxiety and panic disorder. It’s a mess.” Thinking ahead to university, some commented they were worried about what the student experience would look like, whether they would be adequately prepared for degree level study, and if their course would be value for money. Finances were also an issue for some. Get in touch to know more: 16 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
“The government of focusing too much on future exams and not enough on the current learning to ensure I have the appropriate knowledge for when I begin my university course, instead causing stress by continually bringing up exams.” “The government should decrease the tuition fees and give more grants to students to support their studies” “There is no consideration that most of us have to work longer hours due to staff sicknesses of family loss of income. Therefore we don’t have as many school hours to work in” 4.5.2 2022 Entry Respondents applying to start university in 2022 had broadly similar concerns about their education to 2021 entry respondents. In particular, 2022 entry respondents were worried about getting the grades they needed due to their education being disrupted, with some concerned that they had not sat any formal exams in years. “I believe the government should be giving the exam year of 2022 more guidance on how their exams will be altered as a result of missing valuable online lesson times. Additionally, the A- level class of 2022 have never sat GCSEs, so how can they expect us to sit our first exams since our SATs and they be A-levels? It is not fair, nor is it right to put that amount of pressure on such young people. My mental health has already been impacted enough by A-levels and the stresses around the uncertainty of COVID-19. The government need to actually recognise this, take action, and change the UK education system for the better.” “Having missed being able to sit exams for two years in a row, I feel very frightened about having to sit my A-Levels next year knowing I've never sat a real exam before” “I would like more certainty about what will be done for pre-exam students (e.g year 10, year 12) and want we can expect to be doing to catch up. Also, information on whether any changes will be made to how our exams will be graded.” Like 2021 entry respondents, some 2022 entry respondents had also struggled to motivate during lockdown and some were not confident they would get the grades they needed. This left them feeling overworked and needing extra support or time as they caught up. As with 2021 entrants, some felt that the government could do more to support them and their mental wellbeing at this difficult time. “Online learning has taken a toll on my academic progress. I have noticed my test scores dwindling due to the lack of face to face teaching as well as a lack of motivation for my subjects. Normally, I am a hard working student that aims high but Covid19 has changed my work ethic. However, I am working on this and getting better with my studies.” “Schools are completely oblivous that we have a life outside of school. We have families heavily affected by the virus - hospitalised and poorly. Its just a lot to deal with. Its just constant stress and emails telling us that there is a 'light at the end of the tunnel' isn't going to resolve my current predicament.” “I feel as if little is actually being done for the welfare of the students. I know mine, and many other students, mental health has been greatly impacted, to a worrying extent, and the only Get in touch to know more: 17 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
response to this by the government has been to offer summer school which just adds more stress ontop of everything else” Others worried about not getting into their dream course or university due to missed work experience opportunities, particularly from those wanting to go into clinical fields or planning to apply to highly competitive courses. Some were thinking ahead, concerned about what their university experience might look like. “Other options for work experience e.g. there isn't really any to do with languages especially online.” “I haven’t been able to get any work experience despite trying since last January and I’m not sure if it’ll be possible to get any before I apply to uni in September. “ Impact of Covid-19 on Decision Making for 2021 and 2022 entry Covid-19 had impacted university choices for over a fifth of 2021 entry respondents, and for just under a sixth of 2022 entry respondents. The risk of being under lockdown far from home caused some to consider more local options while for others, not being able to attend open days or not getting their desired grades had impacted their university choices. However, for three quarters, their desire to move away or stay at home had not been impacted by the pandemic 4.6.1 2021 Entry Just over a fifth (22%) of 2021 entry respondents said that Covid-19 had impacted their choice of University and around one in ten (11%) were unsure if their choice would be impacted. This finding was broadly consistent with the October 2020 research, however, but higher than the proportion of 2021 entry respondents who answered the same question in June 2020 (17%). Chart 12: The impact of Covid-19 on university choice among 2021 entry respondents 2021 entry - June 2020 Don't know, 21% No , 62% Yes, 17% 2021 entry - Oct 2020 Don't know, 14% No , 63% Yes, 22% 2021 entry - Feb / Don't know, 11% No , 67% Yes, 22% March 2021 Q: Has Covid-19 impacted your choice of university? (Single Response) (2021 entry base: Feb/March 2021: 1,313, October 2020: 612, June 2020: 1,626) As in the October 2020 wave of research, where 2021 respondents’ university choices had been impacted, this was mostly because they wanted to live at home or study at a university closer to home, Get in touch to know more: 18 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
due to fears around lockdown restrictions, paying for accommodation they might not be in, and Covid outbreaks in their accommodation. Indeed, individual universities’ responses to Covid-19 were a deciding factor for some respondents. “I was considering ones with easy transport links so that if lockdown comes into place I would be able to get home quickly. Also, it has encouraged me to stay at home more.” “I decided to stay closer to home rather than having to pay for accommodation that I may not use if another lockdown happens, (I am tight financially).” “Might have to stay close to home , uncertain that I will be able to afford to leave my job and potential not get another” “The university I chose had stricter COVID restriction than others j had applied to which made me feel safer to go there.” “Seeing how unis coped with COVID situation last year helped change my mind about where I wanted to go” “The University treatment of their students and how they have responded to it” However, a smaller number commented that staying at home in the pandemic had encouraged them to move further away. “I'm much more willing to the idea of moving further away because I'm tired of being stuck in one place and want to experience as much as possible” Other respondents felt their choices were limited due to not having visited the university or felt they would have chosen differently if they had visited in person, for example making decisions based on atmosphere rather than websites and rankings. Not visiting in person also made some respondents less confident that their choices were the right ones. “Impacted where I've chosen because unsure of how I'll feel about the universities atmosphere.” “I can’t say for certain, but there is every chance that had I been able to visit universities, I would have picked different ones. At the moment I am trying to pick where to spend my next four years based on the ‘feel’ of different websites.” “I didnt get to visit anywhere, and had to make my choices based on rankings” “I have chosen universities predominantly based on course content rather than the city/student factors, as covid-19 has prevented everyone from visiting campuses.” “The inability to go to any open days has really impacted my choice and purely relying on digital open days and virtual tours created by the university made it difficult to consider any bias the university may have in how they present themselves.” For others, their change in university was down to not receiving offers, not feeling they would get the grades the deserved, or picking a ‘safer’ choice. Get in touch to know more: 19 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
“My teacher assessed grades were lower than expected so couldn't get into my top pick university” “I would have aimed higher and applied to russel groups if I had been assured I would be sitting exams as I know i work better in exams than throughout the year, but knowing my grades would possibly be based on what i had achieved so far (which was not my full potential) i chose to aim slightly lower.” “affected my predicted grades so applied to less aspirational unis and more lower entry requirements ones” 4.6.2 2022 Entry In contrast to 2021 entry respondents, 2022 entry respondents were less likely to say their university choice had been impacted by Covid-19 (15%), however at this early stage of the decision making process, over a quarter (27%) were still unsure of the impact. Perhaps due to the longer term impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic, the proportion of 2022 entry respondents whose university choices had changed was higher than in the previous wave of research (10%). Male 2022 entry respondents were more likely to say there was no impact on their university choice (69%) than female respondents (55%). Chart 13: The impact of Covid-19 on university choice among 2022 entry respondents 2022 entry - October Don't know, 32% No , 58% Yes, 10% 2020 2022 entry - Feb/Mar Don't know, 27% No , 58% Yes, 15% 2021 Q: Has Covid-19 impacted your choice of university? (Single Response) (2021 entry base: Feb/March 2021: 677, October 2020: 522) Among the minority of 2022 entry respondents whose university choices had been impacted, their reasons were broadly similar to those planning to start university in 2021. Confidence in achieving the grades they needed was a common reason, as was wanting to stay local or choose a university that had handled the pandemic well in case of any future lockdowns. Not being able to visit universities in person had also impacted university choice for some. “It has made me realise that I am not capable of achieving top grades and that I should aim for something lower. I also am conscious about less placements available so I should aim for a university that has slightly lower grades than what I expect to get so I have a good chance of getting in” Get in touch to know more: 20 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
“Makes top unis seem less achievable” “Responses by different universities show how much they care about their students” “I don’t think I’ll travel to a uni outside London for me. As the travel home fiasco that occurred with uni students when Covid hit was very bad” “Before I wanted to go as far as possible now I still want to go away but like the idea of being within 2/3 hours so can travel to see friends and family easier” “I used to just rate unis based on where they were in the league tables but seeing each unis response to covid as well as how hard it has been for students who can't see their families has changed my mind.” 4.6.3 Moving away or staying at home Around three quarters (73%) of 2021 entry respondents and over two thirds (69%) of 2022 entry respondents said their intentions to stay at home or move away for university had not changed due to the pandemic. A similar proportion were of 2021 entry respondents were more interested in studying at a local university (14%) as were more interested in moving away (12%). Whereas 2022 entry respondents were more likely to have increased their likelihood to move away (20%) than stay local (11%). Despite this, over a quarter (27%) of 2021 and 2022 entry respondents did suggest their parents were encouraging them to stay closer to home, compared to under a fifth of respondents whose parents were encouraging them to live at home during their studies (19% 2021 entry; 18% 2022 entry). However, just under half of 2021 (48%) and 2022 entry respondents (44%) felt that their parents were not influencing their decision about where to study: “Encouraging me to believe in myself and that I will be able to make the right decision and go to the university I want to.” “Encouraging me to choose the best University out of my five choices, regardless of whether it's far or local.” Get in touch to know more: 21 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
Chart 14: Parental influence on university decision making among 2021 entry respondents. They’re not influencing my decision 48% 44% Encouraging me to stay at home and study at my local 19% university 18% Encouraging me to stay closer to home to study 27% 27% Encouraging me to consider options further away for 8% study 12% Encouraging me to defer study/take a gap year 8% 11% Encouraging me not to defer study/take a gap year 13% 14% Other 2% 2% 2021 entry 2022 entry Q: How, if at all, are your parents / guardians / carers currently influencing your university decision making at the moment? (2021 entry base: 1118, 2022 entry base: 671) At an overall level of 2021 and 2022 entry respondents, first in family respondents were more likely to report that their parents were encouraging them to stay at home for university (22%) compared to respondents whose parents had attended university (14%). Respondents who received free school meals were also likely to say that their parents were encouraging them to stay at home (28%) than respondents who did not receive free school meals (15%). Male respondents were more likely to feel their parents were not influencing their decisions (54%) than female respondents (44%). Impact of Covid-19 on Subject Choice Subject choice appears to have been less impacted by Covid-19 than university choice among 2021 entry respondents. Whereas for 2022 entry respondents, subject choice was slightly more likely to be impacted than university choice. Lack of confidence in grades and limited work experience opportunities had impacted subject choice for some, while others were selecting subjects based on their impact on society or employability. A lack of support in selecting their career choices was a factor for some 2022 entry respondents 4.7.1 2021 Entry Covid-19 impacted the subject choice of around one in ten 2021 entry respondents (11%), slightly lower than the proportion 2021 entry respondents who said their subject choice had been impacted in the October 2020 (14%) and June 2020 (17%) research. Get in touch to know more: 22 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
2021 entry respondents who planned to attend a local university were more likely to feel their subject choice had been impacted (16%) than those who planned to move away (11%). 2021 entry respondents predicted the highest tariff points (144 or more tariff points, AAA or above) were less likely to feel their subject choices had been impacted (8%) than those predicted to achieve 143 tariff points or less (14%). Chart 15: The impact of Covid-19 on subject choice on 2021 entry respondents 2021 entry - June 2020 Don't know, 21% No , 62% Yes, 17% 2021 entry - Oct Don't know, 9% No , 77% Yes, 14% 2020 2021 entry - Feb/Mar 2021 Don't know, 7% No , 81% Yes, 12% Q: Has Covid-19 impacted your choice of subject? (Single Response) (2021 entry base: June 2020 1,626, October 2020 643, Feb-March 2021 base: 1,184) Among 2021 respondents, reasons for changing their subject choices included not getting the predicted grades they needed to apply for their desired subject, lacking confidence in their grades, choosing options they perceived to be safer. Some mentioned they were limited in their choices as they could not access work experience opportunities to put on their personal statement or try out their chosen career. “I didn’t perform as well in UCAT exam, struggled at school after the first lockdown to achieve the predicted grades I needed for Dentistry so I changed courses to Finance” “Grade requirements cannot be met due to first lockdown as I missed teaching time and could not learn some topics to an adequate amount of detail” “Wasn’t able to complete work experience for medicine and was highly worried that my grades wouldn’t be high enough. limited time and resources to prepare for ucat/bmat because of this” “My work experience as a teaching assistant doing German in July was cancelled, but by the end of August I realised I didn’t want to go into German, but History, so I possibly dodged a bullet.” The pandemic had led to some reconsidering their future employment goals, for example studying healthcare-related professions in response to the pandemic or choosing an option which they felt would lead to more stable employment options in the future. Others mentioned having had more time to reflect on their choices because of lockdown. “It has reinforced to the public how vital my future profession is and how passionate I am to care for those in need” Get in touch to know more: 23 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
“The lock down gave me time to reflect on what I truly want to study. I used to waver on my choice of becoming a doctor but after reflecting I committed to studying pharmacology which is for the best.” “The economic issues we face as a result of Covid have fuelled my passion to learn about ways of resolving them” 4.7.2 2022 Entry Covid-19 impacted the subject choice of nearly one in five 2022 entry respondents (18%), slightly higher than the proportion 2022 entry respondents who said their subject choice had been impacted in the October 2020 (14%). 2022 entry respondents predicted 143 tariff points (AAB at A-Level) or below (26%) were more likely to say their subject choices were impacted by Covid-19 than those predicted the highest grades of 144 or more tariff points (AAA or above) (15%). First in family respondents were also more likely to say their subject choice had been impacted (23%) than respondents whose parent(s) attended university (15%). Chart 16: The impact of Covid-19 on subject choice on 2022 entry respondents 2022 entry - Oct 2020 Don't know, 13% No , 73% Yes, 14% 2022 entry - Feb/Mar 2021 Don't know, 18% No , 63% Yes, 18% Q: Has Covid-19 impacted your choice of subject? (Single Response) (2022 entry base: October 2020 549, Feb- March 2021 base: 707) Main reasons for the impact on subject choice among 2022 entry respondents included lack of careers guidance/support making their choices, a lack of motivation or confidence they could get the grades, or changing life goals and priorities. “I’m more unsure of what I want to do because i haven’t had opportunities to go to career fairs, university tours or meet with career advisers. So my choices are more varied than I would like.” “I haven't been able to meet with my careers teacher as much as I would have liked so I'm not completely sure of the career options that I would have with other subjects that I might have chosen” “It has made m unmotivated in everything so I’m not quite sure what degree to study at University” Get in touch to know more: 24 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
“It’s made it much harder for me to excel in subjects which I’m finding difficult because of the disruption towards my learning. I’m worried about how this will impact my overall grade and if i’ll get worse than predicted.” Others worried about work experience requirements in light of Covid-19, particularly those wanting to work in practical or clinical roles. “Covid has effected work experience, hospitals are under immense strain, normal procedures have been canceled to equate for covid cases. This means my subject has become a key worker subject and students are doing placement in hospitals.” University Decision Making Respondents applying for university in both 2021 and 2022 most commonly turned to the UCAS website and Google to find out about universities. Over half of 2021 and 2022 entry respondents had used online forums such as The Student Room to find out about the different universities and courses available to them Whilst the information sources they used were largely similar for both cohorts, 2022 entry respondents were more likely to be speaking to teachers and careers advisers (45%) than 2021 entry respondents (28%). At their earlier stage of the process, 2022 entry respondents were also more likely to plan to attend in person open days (20% compared to 14%). Chart 17: Finding out about universities UCAS website 84% 79% Google 65% 76% University virtual open days 58% 54% Online forums e.g. The Student Room 56% 55% League tables 53% 48% Comparison sites e.g. TheUniGuide 46% 47% Prospectuses 43% 39% Webinars from universities 38% 42% Friends/siblings 33% 33% Teachers/careers advisers 28% 45% Parents and their friends 25% 25% On campus, in person open days 14% 20% Other 3% 4% 2021 entry 2022 entry Q: How have you / will you find out about the different universities and courses available to you? (Multiple Response) (2021 entry base: 1112) (2022 entry base: 672) Get in touch to know more: 25 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
Information Gathering – 2021 entry Whilst over half of 2021 entry respondents felt they had enough information to make their Firm and Insurance choices, there was still a need for further information from universities, with practical information about what their studies might look like and what they need to do next particularly valued at this stage Chart 18: Making UCAS choices In October 2020, over half (57%) of 2021 entry respondents felt that they Don't had enough information to make their know, 18% UCAS choices. 57% In this wave of research (February / Yes March 2021), the same proportion (57%) felt like they had enough 25% No information to make a decision about their Firm and Insurance choices. Q: Did / do you feel you have enough information to make a decision about which universities to select as your Firm and Insurance choice? (Single Response) (2021 entry base: 1,085) Despite 57% of 2021 entry respondents feeling they had enough information to select their firm and insurance choices, almost all respondents (98%) wanted some information from universities now. Around three quarters (72%) wanted information about how Covid-19 would impact their university life, and similarly, two thirds (67%) wanted clarification around plans for online learning. Indeed, as the application cycle has progressed, respondents’ information needs have evolved. Compared to the previous wave of research in October 2020, respondents were less likely to want to receive course information (70% compared to 64%) or information about interviews or auditions (61% compared to 17%). However, practical information about the next steps were important to respondents at this stage. Respondents were more likely to want to receive information about student finance (62% compared to 50%) and accommodation (65% compared to 60%) than they were in October. Compared to October 2020, respondents were now less likely to want to attend virtual open day (18% compared to 31%) or applicant days specific to their course (35% compared to 45%). However, with the announcement of the roadmap out of lockdown, around half would like to attend an on campus open day (50%) or applicant day, specific to their course (53%). Get in touch to know more: 26 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
Chart 19: Information 2021 respondents need from universities now How Covid-19 will impact studies / student life 72% Plans for online learning 67% Accommodation information 65% Course information (e.g. modules, entry requirements) 64% Applying for Student Finance 62% On campus applicant day, specific to my course 53% On campus open day 50% Flexibility of entry requirements in light of Covid-19 46% When decisions will be made about my application 36% Virtual applicant day, specific to my course 33% Work experience requirements in light of Covid-19 26% Virtual open day 18% What interviews / auditions will look like 18% Other 1% None of the above 2% Q: What information do you want from universities now? (Multiple Response) (2021 entry base: 1077) Respondents whose parents had not attended university were more likely to want advice about applying for Student Finance (66%) than respondents whose parent(s) went to university (57%). This group were also more likely to want to receive course information (68% compared to 59%). Virtual Open Days – 2021 entry 4.10.1 Virtual Open Days – attendance Since the last wave of the research, the proportion of respondents who have attended online open days has increased, with over three quarters now having attended. Respondents were more confident in this wave that Virtual Open Days would provide enough information to make their UCAS choices and also allow them to hear from students and academics. Despite this, over half of respondents were fed up with virtual open days at this point, and there was an appetite to visit in person, should restrictions allow Get in touch to know more: 27 hello@tsrinsight.com • www.tsrmatters.com/tsrinsight
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