Monkeypox in Nigeria: by Dimie Ogoina - WHO | World ...

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Monkeypox in Nigeria: by Dimie Ogoina - WHO | World ...
Monkeypox in Nigeria:
Epidemiology, surveillance, and laboratory capacity:
               what else is needed?
                                       by

                      Dimie Ogoina
              MBBS, FMCP-Infectious Diseases, FWACP, FACP
   Niger Delta University/Niger Delta University Teaching Hospital, Bayelsa,
                                   Nigeria
Monkeypox in Nigeria: by Dimie Ogoina - WHO | World ...
Outline
• Introduction
• Epidemiology of monkeypox in Nigeria

• Root drivers of monkeypox re-emergence in Nigeria

• What else is needed: recommendations
Monkeypox in Nigeria: by Dimie Ogoina - WHO | World ...
Global distribution of human monkeypox (HMPX)
                                                                         As of 29th May 2022

https://www.who.int/emergencies/disease-outbreak-news/item/2022-DON385
Monkeypox in Nigeria: by Dimie Ogoina - WHO | World ...
History of human monkeypox in Nigeria
• First case of human monkeypox in Nigeria
  was reported in April 1971
       • 4yr old female (unvaccinated)
       • 24yr mother infected by 2° transmission
         (unvaccinated)
       • Unknown exposure
       • Both recovered

• Third human case reported in Nov 1978                                              1978 Oyo
       • 35yr old male (unvaccinated)
       • Unknown exposure- said to occasionally
         consume bush meat
                                                                                                Abia 1971
       • Recovered

• Animal surveillance
       • Orthopoxvirus serology was negative in 55
         patas monkey screened
Breman JG et al: Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 58 (2): 165-182 (1980)
Monkeypox in Nigeria: by Dimie Ogoina - WHO | World ...
The 2017 human monkeypox outbreak in Nigeria
• After 38years, Nigeria
  experienced a re-emergence of
  human monkeypox outbreak in
  Sept 2017
      • Caused by the West African clade
        of the monkeypox virus

      • First case reported in Bayelsa
        state; managed at NDUTH
        situated in the Niger Delta
        Region of Nigeria

Lancet Infect Dis. 2019;19(8):872-879. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30294-4   https://ncdc.gov.ng/diseases/sitreps/?cat=8&name=An%20Update%20of%20Monkeypox%20Outbreak%20in%20Nigeria
Monkeypox in Nigeria: by Dimie Ogoina - WHO | World ...
Monkeypox in Nigeria: by Dimie Ogoina - WHO | World ...
The Index patient (2017 HMPX outbreak in Nigeria)
• The index case
   • 11-year-old boy with an 11-day history of fever,
     generalized rash, headache, malaise, and sore throat

   • Papulopustular rashes on the trunk, face, palms, and
     soles of the feet. Associated oral and nasal mucosal
     lesions and ulcers and accompanying generalized
     lymphadenopathy

   • Five other family members in the same household had
     similar symptoms

   • Uncle of index patient had vesiculopustular lesions
     about 1 month earlier.
  Emerg Infect Dis. 2018;24(6):1149-1151. doi:10.3201/eid2406.180017
Monkeypox in Nigeria: by Dimie Ogoina - WHO | World ...
Initial laboratory diagnosis

• Laboratory diagnosis (by real-time PCR, IgM serology, and genomic
  sequencing) were initially undertaken at
   • Institut Pasteur (Dakar, Senegal), Redeemer’s University Laboratory (Ede,
     Nigeria), and
   • the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (Atlanta, GA, USA).
• Further diagnostics took place later at the NCDC National Reference
  Laboratory
   • with technical support from the US Centers for Disease Control and
     Prevention.
Monkeypox in Nigeria: by Dimie Ogoina - WHO | World ...
Initial laboratory diagnosis

• Laboratory diagnosis (by real-time PCR, IgM serology, and genomic
  sequencing) were initially undertaken at
   • Institut Pasteur (Dakar, Senegal), Redeemer’s University Laboratory (Ede,
     Nigeria), and
   • the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (Atlanta, GA, USA).
• Further diagnostics took place later at the NCDC National Reference
  Laboratory
   • with technical support from the US Centers for Disease Control and
     Prevention.
Monkeypox in Nigeria: by Dimie Ogoina - WHO | World ...
Geographical distribution of cases
  Epidemiological features of
  2017 outbreak (1)
  • Between Sept 11, 2017, and Sept 16, 2018
         •   276 suspected cases in 26 (70%) of States
         •   118 (43%) confirmed cases in 17(46%) of States
         •   4(1%) probable cases
         •   7 (3%) deaths.

  • Most cases were reported in the urban LGAs of
    affected states
         • 41 (34%) of all confirmed or probable cases were                Temporal distribution of cases in Nigeria, 2017–18 (n=276)
           reported in 2 LGAs in Rivers and Bayelsa states.

  • Among 253 patients tested
         •   104 (41%) had positive PCR results
         •   14 (6%) had positive IgM results only.
         •   135 (53%) patients negative for monkeypox virus
         •   15 (11%) were positive for orthopoxvirus IgG.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2019;19(8):872-879. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30294-4
Epidemiological features of 2017 outbreak (2)
  • Age and sex distribution
         • Median age-29 years
                • (IQR 14; range 2 days to 50 years)
         • 84 (69%) were male
  • Occupation
         • 24 (26%) –traders
         • 18 (20%)-students
         • 14 (15%) artisans
                                                                           Age and sex distribution of cases in Nigeria, 2017–18
         • 5 (5%)- each farmers, prison-inmates
         • 4 (4%)-each teachers, housewives, health
           workers
         • 7(8%) children.
         • Others- 2 (2%)-religious leaders, 2 (2%) factory
           workers, 1 (1%) naval officer, 1(1%) was a
           security guard

Lancet Infect Dis. 2019;19(8):872-879. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30294-4
Epidemiological features of 2017 outbreak (3)
  • Epidemiological link
         •   Of 122 cases, 36 (30%) had a link with people with similar lesions
         •   Of these 36 people, 12 (33%) were epidemiologically linked with a confirmed case.
         •   7(58%) of these 12 people shared a household or had intimate contact with a confirmed case,
         •   4 (33%) were inmates in the same prison as a confirmed case, and
         •   One was a health worker who treated a confirmed case.
         •   Cohort in Bayelsa had history of high-risk sexual behaviour (unpublished data)

  • Incubation period – 3-34 days (median 9.5 days)
  • Largest household clusters- 6 members (3 confirmed, 3 probable)
  • Animal exposure- 10 (8.2%) patients reported contact with animals
         • Two each with monkeys, rodents, and unspecified wild animal [consumed as meat—i.e., bush
           meat]
         • Four with domestic animals).
         • No one reported contact with sick or dead animals.
Lancet Infect Dis. 2019;19(8):872-879. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30294-4
Clinical features of human monkeypox in Nigeria (2017-2018)
                             (Epid. data-all cases)
   • Fever not reported in 12% of
     cases
   • Distribution of rash:
          •   Face (95.4%)
          •   Legs (91.9%)
          •   Trunk (81.0%)
          •   Upper limbs (76.6%)
          •   Palms (71.4%)
          •   Genitalia (66.1%)
          •   Soles (63.3%)

Lancet Infect Dis. 2019;19(8):872-879. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30294-4
Review of clinical management of hospitalized monkeypox patients during
                        the 2017-2018 outbreak
Methodology
• Retrospective review of case records of 40 HMPX patients
  hospitalized during the 2017-2018 outbreak in Nigeria.
• Using a standardized checklist, we documented:
   •   Constitutional signs and symptoms at presentation
   •   Characteristics of skin rash
   •   Systemic symptoms and signs
   •   Clinical course and complications
   •   Treatment received and sequelae at discharge or on follow-up
   •   HIV status of each case
• Differences in study variables in relation to HIV status were
  determined
Findings (1)
• The cases were 28 days to 54 years of age
  (median, 32 years) and the majority (77.5%)
  were male.
• Of 35 cases who gave details of their first
  symptom,
    • 23 (65.7%) had rash as the first symptom, while 12
      (34.3%) had fever as first symptom.
    • In 2 patients, genital rash associated with ulcer was the
      first symptom.
• Skin rashes were observed on the following
  sites:
    •    face (97.5%), trunk (92.5%), arms (87.5%), legs (85%),
        genitalia (67.5%), scalp (62.5%), palms (55%), soles
        (50%), mouth (37.5%), and eyes (25%).
• One case of concomitant chickenpox
Findings (2)
• Lymphadenopathy was observed in the following sites:
   • cervical (n = 11), submental (n = 5), inguinal (n = 12), axillary (n = 10), and generalized (n = 12).
• Twenty-one of 40 (52.5%) cases developed 1 or more complications, including
   •   Secondary bacterial skin infection (n = 19)
   •   Gastroenteritis (n = 5)
   •   Sepsis (n = 4)
   •   Bronchopneumonia (n = 3)
   •   Encephalitis (n = 3)
   •   Keratitis (n = 3)
   •   Premature rupture of membrane at 16 weeks’ gestation and resultant intrauterine fetal death
       (n = 1).
         • All diagnoses were based on clinical judgement of the attending physician.
• Distressful complaints- Disfigurement from widespread skin lesions, pruritus, painful
  pustular lesions, and genital ulcers
• Eleven of the 40 (27.5%) patients developed anxiety and depression requiring
  psychological counseling.
Monkeypox and HIV Type 1 Coinfection
• There were 9 HIV type 1 (HIV-1)/monkeypox-coinfected patients:
  • 4 with newly diagnosed HIV-1 infection and 5 patients previously on
    antiretroviral therapy (ART).

  • Three of these 5 cases had apparently failed first-line ART and their CD4
    cell counts at hospitalization were 101, 354, and 357 cells/μL,
    respectively. The case with a CD4 count of 357 cells/μL had a viral load of
    4798 copies/mL.

  • Three of the 4 newly diagnosed HIV cases had CD4 counts of 20, 55, and
    300 cells/μL. CD4 cell counts, and HIV viral loads were not available for
    other patients
Table 1: Study variables in relation to HIV status (1)
Study variables       Total       HIV+       HIV-        HIV+ vs HIV        p value

                      N (%)       N (%)      N (%)       OR (95% CI)        P value

Age group (years)                                                           0.12
Table 1: Study variables in relation to HIV status (2)
Clinical Management of Patients
• Mainly symptomatic       • Major symptoms and signs requiring
  • Protect compromised      intervention
    skin and mucous            • High grade fever with chills and rigors
    membrane                   • Pruritus
  • Nutritional support        • Pain- mainly genital ulcer and ulcerated
  • Psychosocial support         scalp rash pain
  • Treat co-morbidities       • Skin rash with/without secondary bacterial
                                 infection
                               • Oral sores
                               • Vomiting and dehydration
                               • Sore throat
                               • HIV co-infection
                               • Fear and anxiety
Specific treatment of symptoms and signs
Symptoms/signs          Management                                         Remarks
Fever                   Stepid sponging                                    Chills and rigors were especially common in
                        Antipyretics- PCM                                  hospitalised patients
Itching/Pruritus        Warm bath/warm clothing                            In most cases, this symptom was self limiting
                        Calamine Lotion
                        Antihistamines- Lorantidine
Oral sores              Warm saline gurgle, vitamin C, multivitamins
Skin rashes/secondary   Antiseptic cleaning                                Thirty-five (87.5%) of 40 patients had one or
bacterial infection     Antibiotics- mainly ceftriaxone, amoxycillin and   more antibiotics prescriptions.
                        metronidazole
Genital ulcers          Warm saline Sitz bath (for vulvo-vagina ulcers)    genital ulcers were dressed in gauze soaked with
                        Antiseptic cleaning/Honey                          antiseptic (Eusol) or Honey or Sofra-Tulle.
                        Light Sufratule dressing
Pain                    PCM or NSAIDS                                      Majority improved on PCM. A few required
                                                                           NSAID
Dehydration             IV fluids D/S or N/S
Poor appetite           Diet by choice                                     Free meals were provided: patients were asked
                                                                           to indicate what they wanted to eat
Anxiety/fear            Counselling and reassurance                        Co-ordinated by psychiatrists and medical social
                                                                           workers
Management of complications

•   Sepsis – antibiotics
•   Bronchopneumonia- antibiotics, empirical acyclovir, oxygen therapy
•   Secondary bacterial skin infection- antibiotics, skin care
•   Encephalitis- antibiotics, empirical acyclovir, anti-seizure
•   Miscarriage- evacuation, antibiotics
•   Gastroenteritis- rehydration, IV fluids
•   Keratitis-topical antibiotics, Vitamin A supplements
Outcome
• Five of the 40 (12.5%) cases died:
  • 34-year-old man who died by suicide
  • Female neonate aged 28 days -bronchopneumonia and encephalitis;
    died after 8 days;
  • 42-year-old man with HIV-1 infection – Sepsis; died after 37 days
  • 43-year-old man with HIV-1 infection -CD4 count < 20 cells/μL; died
    from encephalitis
  • 27-year-old HIV-negative man- bronchopneumonia and sepsis; died
    after 9 days
Clinical sequelae
• Only 18 of 35 HMPX survivors were seen on follow-up (1–8
  weeks after discharge)
• Sequelae observed in these cases included:
  •   Hyperpigmented atrophic scars (n = 12)
  •   Hypopigmented atrophic scars (n = 7)
  •   Patchy alopecia (n = 6)
  •   Hypertrophic skin scarring (n = 3)
  •   Contracture/deformity of facial muscles (n = 1)
• Repeat infection in a healthcare worker (10 months after 1st
  infection)
Clinical pictures
    Active lesions   Healed lesions
Genomic surveillance
• 7 samples sequenced from one
  state (Rivers)
• Samples had >42 SNPs
  difference from 1971 Nigerian
  outbreak

                                  Haplotype network of seven monkeypox samples from Rivers state, Nigeria
Age and sex distribution of monkeypox (2017-
      Human Monkeypox in Nigeria                                    2022 Nigeria)
            (2017-2022)

  Temporal trend of monkeypox in Nigeria (1970-2022)

                                                         Nigeria confirmed Monkeypox cases by the year of incidence-
                                                         September 2017- May 2022
State distribution suggesting monkeypox is             Update of monkeypox in Nigeria.
moving outside the rainforest areas in Nigeria         https://ncdc.gov.ng/diseases/sitreps/?cat=8&name=An%20Update%20of%20Monkeypo
                                                       x%20Outbreak%20in%20Nigeria
Exportation of monkeypox frow Nigeria (2018-2021)

                    Country        2018               2019               2020      2021
                    United States                                                  2 (Travel-Nigeria)
                    United Kingdom 3 (Travel-Nigeria) 1 (Travel-Nigeria)           3 (Travel-Nigeria)
                    Israel         1 (Travel-Nigeria)
                    Singapore                         1 (Travel-Nigeria)

       Mauldin MR et al. Exportation of Monkeypox Virus From the African Continent. J Infect Dis. 2022;225(8):1367-1376.
Phylogenetic analyses
of exported cases
• Samples were within the West
  African clade of MPXV

• Exported cases shared a most
  recent common ancestor with a
  Bayelsa case

• Conclusions
   • intermediate levels of genetic
     variation, suggest a small pool of
     related isolates is the likely source
     for the exported infections.
   • Source likely from within the
     contiguous region of Bayelsa, Delta,
     and Rivers states, or
   • another more estricted, yet
     unidentified source pool.
                                             Mauldin MR et al. Exportation of Monkeypox Virus From the African Continent. J Infect Dis.
                                             2022;225(8):1367-1376.
Factors determining monkeypox re-emergence in Nigeria
          • Declining smallpox vaccine-related population immunity
                 • Estimated population immunity was 2.6% in 2016 before 2017 outbreak

          • Possible increased human contact with animal reservoirs
                 • Facilitated by intra-country mobility, trade, deforestation, animal husbandry, and
                   climate change

          • Increased human to human transmission
                 • Facilitated by new route of transmission (?sexual), immunosuppression and
                 • Microbial evolution

          • Advancement in diagnostic capacity

          • Heightened public awareness during the 2017 outbreak
Nguyen PY et al. Reemergence of Human Monkeypox and Declining Population Immunity in the Context of Urbanization, Nigeria, 2017-2020. Emerg Infect Dis. 2021;27(4):1007-1014
Improved public awareness of monkeypox?
         Google trends for ‘Monkeypox’ in Nigeria (2015-2022)

                 2015             2017             2019          2021   2022

        Google trends for ‘Monkeypox’ Worldwide (2015-2022)

                        2015             2017             2019          2021   2022
What else is needed?
Recommendations
• Major priority interventions
   • Improve monkeypox-related surveillance
   • Improve sub-national capacity for monkeypox diagnosis

• Knowledge gaps needing attention in Nigeria
   • Identification of animal reservoirs in Nigeria
   • Understand clinical spectrum and severity of disease, including asymptomatic
     carriage and risk factors for acquisition
   • Improved description of outbreak patterns by size and duration
   • Best IPC practices to adopt in resource-limited settings
   • EUA/ Clinical trials of novel drugs/vaccines in Nigeria
   • Post-infection immunity/latent infection/relapse
   • Monkeypox/HIV coinfection
   • Laboratory features
   • Sexual behaviour/STI and monkeypox
   • Microbial causes of secondary infections in monkeypox
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