MICHIGAN ASSOCIATION OF COUNTIES - AMERICAN RESCUE PLAN Leverage Federal Dollars to Address
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MICHIGAN ASSOCIATION OF COUNTIES AMERICAN RESCUE PLAN Leverage Federal Dollars to Address Recovery & Strategic Investments
Advantage Oakland – COVID-19 Support Map https://oakgov.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=9032eba3c2a54f858fe721f762cc2745
Coronavirus Relief Legislation Legislation Highlights AGENCY RESPONSIBLE FOR ISSUE AREA LOCATION IN BILL TEXT PROVISION/SECTION SUMMARY OVERSIGHT/ADMINISTRATION Additional funding for state and local governments to address NOT INCLUDED IN THE FINAL BILL revenue losses Coronavirus Relief Fund (CRF) U.S. Treasury Office of the Division N, Title X, Sec. 1001 Spend date extended until December 31, 2021 Spend Extension Inspector General (OIG) Total funding included = $82 billion, funding highlights: • Governors Emergency Education Relief Fund ($4.05B) Education Funding (Schools) Division M, Title III, Sec. 311 • Elementary/Secondary School Emergency Relief Fund ($54.3B) U.S. Department of Education • Higher Education Emergency Fund ($22.7B) • Outlying areas and the Bureau of Indian Education ($818 million) Employee Retention Tax Credit Division EE, Title II, Sec. 207 Extends credit until July 1, 2021 and includes higher education and hospitals as eligible Department of Labor Total funding include = $45 billion, funding highlights: • Airline payroll support ($15B) • Airline contractor payroll ($1B) Federal Aviation Administration, Division N, Title IV, Beginning Sec. • Transit ($14B) Transportation Federal Transportation 401 • State highways ($10B) Administration • Airports and airport concessionaires ($2B) • Private motor coach/school bus/ferry industries ($2B) • Amtrak ($1B) Total funding included = $166 billion, $600 per person earning up to $75k a year and $1,200 for couples Stimulus Payments Division N, Subtitle B, Sec. 272-273 U.S. Treasury earning up to $150,000 a year. Division N, Title II, Sub. A, Beginning Administered through state Unemployment Insurance Total funding included = $120 billion, resulting in an additional $300 per week through March 14, 2021 Sec. 200 agencies
Coronavirus Relief Legislation AGENCY RESPONSIBLE FOR ISSUE AREA LOCATION IN BILL TEXT PROVISION/SECTION SUMMARY OVERSIGHT/ADMINISTRATION • First/second forgivalbe PPP loans ($284B) extended through March 31, 2021 DIVISION N, Title III, Beginning • EIDL Grants for businesses in low-income communities ($20B) Small Business Small Business Assistance • SBA debt relief ($3.5B) Sec. 301 Administration • Enhancements to SBA lending ($2B) • Grants for shuttered venue operators ($15B) Total funding included = $25 billion Division N, Title V, Beginning • CDC eviction moratorium extended through January 31, 2021 Rental Assistance U.S. Treasury Sec. 501 • Native American housing ($800 million) Total funding included = $69 billion, funding highlights: • CDC and states for vaccine distribution ($9B) • Strategic national stockpile ($3B) Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control Health Care COVID Relief Spending Division M, Title III • Funding directly to states for testing/tracing and COVID mitigation programs ($22B) and Prevention, National • Mental health funding ($4.5B) Institutes of Health • Funding for NIH for COVID-19 research ($1.25B) • Health care provider support ($9B) Total funding included = $7 billion, funding highlights: • Low-income families ($3.2B) • Tribal broadband ($1B) • Telehealth funding ($250 million) Federal Communications Broadband Division N, Title IX, Sec. 901-903 Commission • Complete broadband maps for dispersing funding to impacted areas ($65 million) • Small telecom providers for secure equipment ($2B) • Rural broadband funding grant program ($300 million) Federal Reserve retains the ability to create emergency lending facilities under Section 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act. The Federal Reserve is prohibited Municipal Liquidity Facility Division N, Title X, Sec. 1005 from re-starting the Municipal Liquidity Facility (MLF) but retains the authority of the Board of Governors, in “unusual and exigent circumstances” and Federal Reserve under other conditions, to authorize Reserve Banks to extend credit to individuals, partnerships, and governments. Low-income Water Utility Bill Assistance ($638 million) - provides grants to states and tribes who in turn will provide funds to owners or operators of public Water Division H, Title II, Sec. 503 Department of Labor/HHS water systems or treatment works to reduce arrearages and rates to low-income households. Three percent of funds will be set aside for tribes. Division M, Title II, Beginning Total funding included = $2 billion, allocated to Disaster Relief Fund and activates FEMA's Disaster Funeral Assistance program which provides financial aid Federal Emergency Disaster Assistance Sec. 201 to those who have lost someone to COVID through the end of 2020. Management Agency (FEMA)
American Rescue Plan
Major ARP Programs Include: Michigan’s ARP Federal Programs Total Federal Dollars projected share Economic Impact Payments (direct checks) $402 Billion $~12 Billion Unemployment benefits $205 Billion $~10 Billion Child tax credit $90 Billion $~3 Billion Small business programs: $62 Billion $~2 Billion Restaurants $28.6 Billion Economic Injury Dis. Loans $15 Billion Small Bus. Credit Initiative $10 Billion Paycheck Protection (PPP) $7.5 Billion Shuttered Venue $1.25 Billion Higher Ed. Emergency Relief $40 Billion $1.2 Billion Total Federal directed funds $800 Billion $~28 Billion
ARP: State, School, Local Funding Select State & Local Programs ARP Funding ESSER II Funding Michigan – state funding $5.6 Billion - Oakland Co. – K-12 education funding $178 Million $79 Million Oakland Co. – local CVT funding $155 Million - Oakland Co. – local county funding $244 Million -
Eligible Funding Guidelines Awaiting Further Guidance from U.S. Treasury • Funds must be used by December 31, 2024 • To respond to the public health emergency with respect to the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID–19) or its negative economic impacts, including assistance to households, small businesses, and nonprofits, or aid to impacted industries such as tourism, travel, and hospitality • To respond to workers performing essential work during the COVID–19 public health emergency by providing premium pay to eligible workers of the local government that are performing such essential work, or by providing grants to eligible employers that have eligible workers who perform essential work. • For the provision of government services to the extent of the reduction in revenue of such local government due to the COVID–19 public health emergency relative to revenues collected in the most recent full fiscal year of the local government; or • To make necessary investments in water, sewer, or broadband infrastructure. 16
Ineligible Funding Guidelines • PENSION FUNDS - No metropolitan city, nonentitlement unit of local government, or county may use funds made available under this section for deposit into any pension fund. • TRANSFER AUTHORITY – A metropolitan city, nonentitlement unit of local government, or county receiving a payment from funds made available under this section may transfer funds to a private nonprofit organization (as that term is defined in paragraph (17) of section 401 of the McKinney-Vento Homeless Association (42 U.S.C. 11360(17)), a public benefit corporation involved in transportation of passengers or cargo, or a special-purpose unit of State or local government. 17
Oakland County Process: ARP Funding SHORT MEDIUM LONG ONGOING TERM TERM LASTING • Maximize all money • Cover public health • Coordinate with State, • Solicit and evaluate available from ARP expenses and county Region, and Local transformational programs to individuals, operations to accelerate government on priorities Initiatives that have long- small businesses, vaccine distribution not and synergies. lasting impact based on childcare providers, non- provided for in December data and return on profits and others. legislation. investment principles. •Identify and support any immediate and short- term economic stabilization & recovery needs that exist. Note: Keep future $2 trillion infrastructure package in mind. 18
Part One: Economic Recovery • Where is the county recovery today? • How are Oakland County families, children and individuals doing? • How are various business sectors recovering? • How is the non-profit sector recovering? • What about local government, schools and public institutions? 19
Monthly Unemployment Rate (Jan 2020 – Current) Oakland County Unemployment Rate, Jan 2020 - Current Percent 24 22 20 20.3% 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 3.2% 2 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Oakland County Monthly unemployment rate Michigan monthly unemployment rate 20
Unemployment OBSERVATIONS: • As of February, Oakland County’s unemployment rate has returned to pre-pandemic levels. • 3.1% in 2020 • 3.2% in 2021 • Oakland County’s unemployment rate is the 5th lowest among Michigan counties. • Among 25 peer counties across the country, Oakland County ranks 11th. • According to 2019 census data, 28% of the county’s population (or 350,000 residents in 100 census tracts) live in areas where the unemployment rate is higher than US average. • More than 10% of the county’s population lives in tracts (38 tracts) where unemployment is higher than US average, and more than half of residents in these tracts are people of color. Source: US Census ACS Five-Year Data, 2019 provided by AECOM 21
Small Business Impact: % Change in Open 22
Small Business COVID Grants: Application Demand Grant Program Applications Received Grant Awards 2021 – Survival Grant 6,485 1,380 2020 – Recovery Grant 4,216 3,144 2020 – Resilience Grant 521 256 2020 – Stabilization Grant 7,242 3,527 23
Economic Relief & Small Business Grant Awards $12M Stabilization Grants $32M Recovery Grants $10M Resilience Grants 24
PPP Loan/Grant Coverage in Oakland County Oakland PPP Loan Range County $150–$350,000 2,473 $350,000 – $1 million 1,379 $1 – $2 million 394 $2 – $5 million 190 $5 – $10 million 41 County Total 4,477
Poverty OBSERVATIONS: • The County’s overall poverty rate is 8.0%; down from 10% in 2019 • Oakland County’s poverty rate is the 4th lowest among Michigan counties. • Among 25 peer counties across the country, Oakland County ranks 9th. • Oakland County’s child poverty rate is 9%. 4th in the state and 7th among peer counties. • 17.7% live below 185% of the federal poverty threshold. • 7.4% of all Oakland County census tracts (25 tracts) are considered areas of concentrated poverty – representing about 7% of the County’s total population, or 87,000 residents. • As of 2019 the federal poverty level was Source: US Census ACS Five-Year Data, 2019 provided by AECOM approximately $13,000 for an individual and $20,000 for a family of three. 26
Part Two: Building the Future • Review County’s Overall Indictors of Well-being • Leverage generational dollars from state, county and local communities • Discuss principles for transformational initiatives that create long lasting growth • Identify target areas • Review disparities within the Indicators • Identify gaps in information • Discuss potential with state, regional and local partners • Keep future $2 trillion infrastructure package in mind
INDICATORS OF OVERALL COUNTY WELL-BEING 28
Gross Domestic Product • Oakland County’s GDP is first in the state and is 21% of Michigan’s real GDP. • Oakland County has approximately 767,000 total jobs. • 74.2% are service producing jobs • 21.6% are goods producing jobs JOB GROWTH 2010-2020 Michigan 8.6% United States 11.8% Oakland 14.1% County 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 29 Source: EMSI, 2021 provided by AECOM
“In our view, Oakland County’s recent Oakland County success has reflected the diversification of Economic Outlook the county’s economy toward future growth sectors, which has been enabled by the 2020-2022 county’s well-educated labor force.” 2020-2022 Economic Outlook Report • University of Michigan Research Seminar in Quantitative Economics, Department of Economics OAKLAND COUNTY UNEMPLOYMENT RATE February 2020: 3.1% February 2021: 3.2% Source: Michigan Bureau of Labor Market Information and Strategic Initiatives Source: University of Michigan, September 2020 30
Economic Stability Jobs by NAICS Industry Sector Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 2020 Jobs 2020 Share 719 0.1% 2010 - 2020 Change 163 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 194 0.0% 49 Utilities 1,539 0.2% 194 Construction 27,428 3.8% 9,334 Manufacturing 64,800 8.9% 15,380 Wholesale Trade 36,819 5.0% 5,599 Retail Trade 74,450 10.2% 2,707 Transportation and Warehousing 13,102 1.8% 5,733 Information 14,423 2.0% -1,682) Finance and Insurance 43,223 5.9% 7,190 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 16,934 2.3% 1,593 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 101,531 13.9% 18,553 Management of Companies and Enterprises 18,650 2.6% 7,995 Administrative and Support, Waste Management and 56,589 7.8% 2,830 Remediation Educational Services 12,095 1.7% 303 Health Care and Social Assistance 103,892 14.2% 10,457 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 9,541 1.3% 448 Accommodation and Food Services 54,127 7.4% 7,641 Other Services (except Public Administration) 29,377 4.0% 2,705 Government 47,960 6.6% -4,269 Source: US Census OntheMap 2018, EMSI 2020 provided by AECOM Unclassified 1,965 0.3% 1,915 Total 729,357 100.0% 94,838 INITIAL OBSERVATIONS: • Business Development focus has been in the areas of manufacturing, professional, and general labor creating entry level positions, centered around highly affluent areas of the county as seen in the map above. There is an opportunity to focus on small businesses, health, social and the retail sector business that are specially spread throughout the county. This will also benefit rural areas where residents under the age of 65 and higher levels of veterans reside. • Educational tracks provided from the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey (ACS) 2017 have shown opportunities to expand entry level positions into the northern part of the county where higher than U.S. average unemployment sourced from ACS five-year data 2019. 31
Industry Diversity Snapshot 32
OBSERVATIONS: Education Attainment • 46% of Oakland County residents have a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher. This is 2nd in the State. If you add in Associates, we move to 56% and credentials we move to 61%. • Among 25 peer counties across the country, Oakland County ranks 10th tied with 3 other counties. • Oakland County has a goal of 80% of adult residents with a post-secondary degree or credential by 2030. • Disparities also need to be addressed: • The map shows that some census tracts in more rural areas, such as Groveland and Rose Township, have significantly lower rates of college attendance as a percentage of the population by census tract, around 10-20%. • A breakdown by race of educational outcomes illustrates disparities, primarily related to college attendance rates. 46.9% of white residents have a BA or higher, while among Black residents 32.2% have a BA or higher. For Hispanic/Latino Source: ACS 2018 (5-years estimates) provided by AECOM individuals this rate is 36.4%, and for indigenous individuals (American Indian or Native Alaskan) it is 26.2%. 33
Infrastructure • Keep future infrastructure package in mind
OBSERVATIONS: Broadband Penetration • The highest rates by census tract of no internet at home are found in Pontiac, Southfield, and Ferndale (up to 68%). Since these tracts correspond primarily to urban rather than rural areas, lack of access could be due to cost, computer literacy or device access rather than lack of infrastructure. Source: ACS 2018, 5-year estimates provided by AECOM 35
Road Conditions The Road Commission of Oakland County (RCOC) predicts that our roads will get to 51% good by 2025, and then, based on current funding levels will begin to again deteriorate. 36
Sewers and Lead Pipelines LEAD SERVICE LINES • 4,326 known lead service lines in 20 communities • 1,011 galvanized pipe located in 7 communities • 16,926 lines that have not been identified but are likely to contain lead in 12 communities LEAD LEVELS Five water systems servicing approximately 98,000 people in Oakland County with water quality test results indicating lead levels of 15 parts per billion or above, triggering an Action Level Exceedance (ALE) with corrective actions. Community Lead Parts per Billion Ferndale – 6th highest in Michigan 28ppb Royal Oak Township 22ppb Hazel Park 18ppb Milford/Ridge Valley System Royal Oak City 15ppb 37
Oakland County Principles on Transformation (For Discussion) ✓ Does the Investment Target Area of Long-term Need, TRANSFORMATIONAL Leverage a County strength, and/or Economic Potential? RATIONALE ✓ Does the Investment Target Elimination of Barriers and/or Reduction in Disparities? MEASURABLE ✓ Pilot programs for duration of ARP acceptable in priority EFFECTIVENESS area (ie, Oakland80) only; most should not add to county operational costs outside of the ARP window. OUTSIZED ✓ What is the projected Return on Investment? Does it IMPACT leverage other private or public funds? Does if free up additional resources? 38
Financial Contractors Pierce Monroe Ernst and Young and Associates Guidehouse
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