Metsä Board Corporation Investor presentation - January-September 2019 - Metsä Board
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Contents This is Metsä Board ………………………… 3 January-September 2019 Results …….. 32 Planned investments ……………………….. 14 Sustainability ………………………………. 45 Profitability drivers ………………………….. 19 R&D ………………………………………… 56 Operating environment …………………….. 27 Owners, management, contacts ……….... 67 2
Metsä Board in brief Sales split by product Year 2018: Sales EUR 1.9bn, comparable operating result EUR 252m, Market ROCE 14.4%, Capex EUR 70m, Personnel 2,352 pulp Folding 18% boxboard 56% Total paperboard capacity FY 2018: 2Mt/a 8 White EUR 1,944m Net pulp balance production units kraftlainer +600,000t/a in Finland and Sweden 26% MAIN CUSTOMERS STRONG MARKET POSITION Sales split by region Brand-owners, converters, merchants #1 in folding boxboard and white kraftliner in Europe APAC and manufacturers of corrugated products #1 in coated white kraftliner globally 8% Largest European importer of folding boxboard to US TOP10 customers: ~25% of sales Largest customer:
Our focus is on premium fresh fibre paperboards mainly used for consumer goods packaging Total paperboard capacity 2Mt, of which 2/3 folding boxboard and 1/3 white kraftliners Folding boxboards and Food service boards White kraftliners, coated and uncoated Folding boxboard end-uses* White kraftliner end-uses* Graphical E-commerce end-uses Other Food and Food consumer Shelf-ready and Other service goods (e.g. Point-of-sale consumer electronics) (food, goods (e.g. beverages, pharma, cosmetics) cosmetics) *) all data is indicative and based on 4 Metsä Board’s own estimates
Our fresh fibre paperboards offer solutions for global trends GLOBALISATION AND SUSTAINABILITY FOOD SAFETY E-COMMERCE URBANISATION We use only We have good Our paperboards We offer recyclable renewable fresh control of raw offer a strong products that are fibres from materials, which promotion and ideal for the sustainably guarantees purity branding circular economy managed northern and safety in food experience forests contact uses
We have a leading position in Europe in our main products Folding boxboard White kraftliner • Regional sales split of in Europe in Europe paperboard deliveries (2018): Total capacity 3.8m tonnes Total capacity 2.1m tonnes • 70% EMEA • 23% Americas Others Metsä Others Metsä • 7% APAC Board #5 Board #1 #1 • In APAC we focus on high- #5 #4 35% #4 32% quality FBB segment • We are the largest European importer of FBB to US #3 #3 • We are #1 in coated white #2 #2 kraftliners globally 6
Our production is close to our main raw material Total paperboard capacity: Our net balance in pulp in 2019, Folding boxboard (FBB): 1,345,000 t/a including the 24.9% ownership in White kraftliner (WKL): 675,000 t/a Metsä Fibre, is 600,000 t/a Wood sourced from Finland, Sweden, Kemi Baltics and Russia. Äänekoski 425,000 t/a WKL 255,000 t/a FBB 610,000 t/a Pulp* 1.3 million t/a Pulp* Husum, SWE Simpele 400,000 t/a FBB 290,000 t/a FBB 250,000 t/a WKL 730,000 t/a Pulp Kaskinen Joutseno 370,000 t/a BCTMP 330,000 t/a BCTMP 690,000 t/a Pulp* Kyro Tako 190,000 t/a FBB 210,000 t/a FBB *Metsä Fibre mill 7
We have good control of wood raw materials, from forests to pulp and board production • High availability of Northern wood • Consistent quality of fibres that are tailor-made for the end products METSÄ GROUP METSÄLIITTO COOPERATIVE Group’s parent company, owned by 103,000 Finnish forest owners METSÄ METSÄ METSÄ METSÄ METSÄ FOREST FIBRE WOOD BOARD TISSUE Wood supply and Pulp and sawn Wood products Paperboard Tissue and forest services timber greaseproof papers METSÄ BOARD OWNS 24.9% Through Metsä Fibre’s ownership Metsä Board’s annual net pulp balance is 8 600,000 tonnes long in 2019
We have been growing well above average market growth rate during past years … Metsä Board’s annual paperboard deliveries and current capacity, 1,000 tonnes Total paperboard capacity 2 million tonnes 2 000 2 000 1 500 658 615 1 500 1,000 tonnes 580 539 1 000 444 1 000 373 1144 1215 500 988 500 763 801 865 0 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 White kraftliner deliveries Folding boxboard deliveries Total paperboard capacity 9 * During 2013-2017 the demand growth for FBB and WKL was ~3%/year
… driven by paperboard capacity increases Capital expenditure and depreciation Investments in growth 2011–2018: 180 150 2019 New sheeting line in Äänekoski 120 2018 New baling line in Kaskinen BCTMP mill: 30,000 new BCTMP capacity EUR million 90 2017 New extrusion coating line in Husum: 60 100,000 t/a PE coating capacity 2015–16 New folding boxboard production line in 30 Husum: 400,000 t/a of FBB and linerboard production line conversion: 250,000 t/a of 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E WKL 2011–12 Debottlenecking in Simpele, Äänekoski and Maintenance capex Growth capex Depreciation Kyro mills: total 150,000 t/a of FBB Note! Estimated 2019 capex includes the first instalments related to Husum pulp mill renewal 10
Our long-term financial targets aim for profitability and a strong balance sheet Comparable ROCE: Net debt/comparable EBITDA: Dividend policy: At least 12% Maximum level 2.5x Payout ratio at least 50% of net result 76 14.4 < 2.5x 2.0 50 11.8 44 51 11.3 11.2 > 50% > 12% 8.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM = last twelve months 11
Our aim is to create the highest possible shareholder value CAGR in dividend +30% Dividend, EUR and payout ratio, % in 2012–2018 Enterprise value, EUR million 0,30 100% 3500 0,25 3000 75% 0,20 2500 0,15 50% 2000 1500 0,10 25% 1000 0,05 500 0,00 0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 9/2019 Dividend, EUR Dividend/EPS, % Note! Year 2018 total distribution consists of a Net debt Market capitalization, EUR million dividend of EUR 0.10 and other distribution of equity of EUR 0.19 per share 12
Capital allocation Free cash flow in EUR million and % of EBITDA • Capital allocation for 2019 EUR million % – EUR 103 million dividend paid in April 200 Comparable 80 EBITDA, LTM, – Capex: Estimated EUR 90-100 million, including the EUR 301 million 150 60 first instalments of Husum pulp mill renewal • Estimated impacts on capital allocation from 100 40 Husum pulp mill renewal going forward 50 20 – Capex EUR 320 million in 2019-2022 0 0 • 2020 and 2021 will be the main investment years – capex split to be communicated when the timing of -50 -20 the environmental permit is known – Financing mainly through incremental debt – -100 -40 cost
Planned investments: Renewal of Metsä Board Husum pulp mill New bioproduct mill and a sawmill line by Metsä Fibre
Metsä Board and Metsä Fibre are planning three major investments with total value of EUR 2 billion The aim is to further improve the competitiveness of pulp and energy production and move towards fossil-free mills Metsä Board: Husum, SWE Metsä Fibre: Kemi, FIN Metsä Fibre: Rauma, FIN Renewal of the pulp mill New bioproduct mill New pine sawmill line EUR 320 million (first phase) EUR ~1.5 billion EUR ~200 million Metsä Board owns 24.9% of Metsä Fibre
Metsä Board is planning to renew its pulp mill in Husum integrate in Sweden The renewal of the pulp mill would: ➢ Create a solid foundation to increase paperboard capacity in the integrate in the future ➢ Secure cost efficient pulp and energy production ➢ Enable the company to reach its ambitious target of fossil-free mills by 2030 The first phase* of the investment Investment value is EUR 320 million, divided over 2019–2022 Prefeasibility Company to apply Final investment New recovery boiler and study on the for an decision expected turbine expected to be in renewal environmental to be made in operation, at the earliest concluded permit Q2 2020, at the earliest 2019 2020 2021 2022 * The second phase of the investment would include the replacement the old fibre lines with one 16 new line and take place during the 2020s after the first phase is fully completed
Update on planned renewal Announced after the review period on 31 October • Background: On 27 August, Länsstyrelsen1) decided that the planned new recovery boiler will require an amendment to the environmental permit • Metsä Board aims to minimize the delay caused by the permit process and will make financial commitments up to EUR 100 million2) before the final investment decision • Final investment decision will be made after receiving the environmental permit, estimated in Q2 2020, at the earliest 1) Competent authority in Sweden 17 2) Included in the total investment value of EUR 320 million
Estimated impacts on the first phase of the investment • Self-sufficiency in electricity to increase from the current 40% to over 80%* • Reduced amount of purchased oil • Lower maintenance capex and costs – Extended intervals between planned shutdowns – Reduced duration of the planned shutdowns → Increased pulp and paperboard production • Annual cash flow improvement EUR 35 million, of which EUR 30 million EBITDA improvement and EUR 5 million lower capex • Financing costs to increase EUR 2 million per year *) Annual increase in electricity production about 330 GWh, resulting in cost 18 savings at current electricity prices of approximately EUR 12 million
Metsä Fibre is planning two major investments New bioproduct mill* in Kemi, Finland • Size of the investment EUR 1.5 billion • Annual capacity 1.5 million tonnes of chemical pulp and several other bioproducts • Final investment decision expected in the summer of 2020 – environmental permit application filed in September 2019 New sawmill line in Rauma, Finland • Size of the investment EUR 200 million • Annual capacity 750,000 cubic meters • If realised, would be the most modern and efficient sawmill line in the world • Final investment decision in the beginning of 2020 *) would replace the existing pulp mill in Kemi, with 19 annual capacity of 630,000 tonnes of chemical pulp
Main contributors in Metsä Board’s profitability
Our main profit components and sensitivities Component Unit Change Impact on EBIT Annual FX transaction exposure total EUR 1.1 billion Folding boxboard Price +/- 10% > EUR 100 million Others GBP 2% 7% White kraftliners Price +/- 10% ~ EUR 50 million FX USD/EUR +/- 10% EUR 65 million USD SEK 57 % 34 % SEK/EUR +/- 10% EUR 40 million Pulp PIX price of SW/HW +/- 10% EUR 25 million per tonne Wood Cost, delivered to +/-10% EUR 40 million* In 2018, Metsä Board sourced 5.5 million m3 Finnish mills wood, of which 37% from Sweden, 28% Finland, 20% Baltics and 15% Russia. Cost, delivered to +/-10% EUR 20 million Including the 24.9% share from Metsä Fibre, Husum the total sourcing was 8.5 million m3 * incl. ownership in Metsä Fibre 21
Costs have remained at a high level in 2019 after the rapid rise in 2018 Metsä Board’s cost split in 2018 incl. 24.9% share of Metsä Fibre’s costs Cost Estimated development in 2019 vs. 2018 component Other Wood Rapid rise in 2018. Stabilised but high price level in fixed 2019 leads to slightly higher costs year-on-year. 14% Wood Small decline in Baltics at the end of H1. 28% Logistics Stable Personnel 13% Chemicals Stable or slightly lower Energy Lower costs year-on-year. Offsets the increase in wood costs. Energy 14% Logistics Personnel Stable or slightly lower 16% Chemicals Other fixed In line with or below general cost inflation 15% Metsä Board’s total costs in 2018: EUR 1.7 billion 22 (2017: EUR 1.6 billion)
Price development of folding boxboard and white kraftliner in Europe EUR/ tonne EUR/ tonne 1200 Folding boxboard 1200 1100 1100 1000 1000 900 900 White-top kraftliner 800 800 700 700 600 600 500 500 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 23 Sources: Fastmarkets RISI & Fastmarkets FOEX
Price development of pulp in Europe (PIX) Long-fibre (SW) and short-fibre (HW) pulp USD or EUR USD or EUR 1250 1250 1200 Long-fibre, USD 1200 1150 1150 1100 1100 1050 Short-fibre, USD 1050 1000 1000 950 950 900 900 850 850 800 800 750 750 700 700 Long-fibre, EUR 650 650 600 600 550 550 500 Short-fibre, EUR 500 450 450 400 400 350 350 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 Source: Fastmarkets Foex 24
Price development of roadside pulpwood in Finland and Sweden Pulpwood roadside prices in Finland, EUR/m3 Pulpwood roadside prices in Sweden*, SEK/m3 40 390 38 370 36 350 34 330 310 32 290 30 270 28 250 26 230 210 24 190 22 Spruce Birch Pine 170 Spruce Birch Pine 20 150 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2013 2010 2011 2012 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Sources: Luke (Natural Resources Institute Finland) and Skogsstyrelsen (The Swedish Forest Agency) 25
FX rates development: EUR/USD and EUR/SEK EUR/USD EUR/SEK 1,26 11 1,24 10,8 1,22 10,6 1,2 1,18 10,4 1,16 10,2 1,14 10 1,12 9,8 1,1 1,08 9,6 26
Operating environment for fresh fibre paperboards
Paperboard is roughly one third of total packaging market The total packaging market is USD 850 billion Average annual growth rate of paperboard packaging Glass 350 Paperboard +3% per year 2017–2022 Metal 7% 300 13% 250 36% USD bn USD 200 300 bn 150 34% 100 10% Plastic Other 50 fibre- based 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2022F Source: Smithers Pira
Metsä Board operates in a growing market Cartonboard growth forecast Containerboard growth forecast 70000 225 200 60000 175 Million metric tonnes 50000 150 1000 metric tonnes 40000 125 100 30000 75 20000 50 Asia 2.5%/a 10000 25 0 0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 29 Source: RISI Paper Packaging Forecasts
We have good growth opportunities in premium paperboards FSB 36% Americas EMEA FBB APAC Other fresh fibre grades FSB FSB 28% FBB FBB 41% Other Other Recycled fresh fibre fresh fibre CWKL grades grades 38% grades WKL Recycled WKL Recycled CWKL White 77% grades White grades WKL testliner testliner White testliner Cartonboard White linerboard Cartonboard White linerboard Cartonboard White linerboard Total annual 10 million 3 million 10 million 5 million 22 million 3 million demand: tonnes tonnes tonnes tonnes tonnes tonnes FSB = food service board, FBB = folding boxboard, SBS & CUK = other fresh fibre grades, WLC = recycled grades WKL = uncoated white kraftliner, CWKL=coated white kraftliner 30 Source: Metsä Board research based on several sources, e.g. CEPI Cartonboard and Containerboard, RISI
Metsä Board’s fresh fibre linerboards are at the top of the quality pyramid Global annual demand in containerboards totals 170 million tonnes White White coated uncoated kraftliner kraftliner 1Mt 3Mt White Brown Brown White kraftliner testliner kraftliner testliner 4Mt 7Mt 24Mt 67Mt White linerboard Brown linerboard Fresh fibre Recycled fluting fluting 11Mt 91 Mt 8Mt 60Mt Linerboards Fluting 102Mt 68Mt Total containerboard market 170Mt 31 Source: Metsä Board’s own estimate based on several sources
Paperboard demand and supply by region Share of Metsä Board’s total paperboard deliveries in 2018: AMERICAS EMEA APAC 23% 70% 7% • Decreasing local supply of • Stable demand in FBB, but • Growing upper/middle class SBS/FSB and declined customers operate with low and increased purchasing imports from China stocks power support demand for • FSB demand growing paperboard • Environmental commitments • Stable market situation in and regulations support • Plenty of local supply in coated WKL demand for sustainable cartonboard packaging materials • Metsä Board’s focus is on • No significant growth in high-quality segment cartonboard supply • Several conversions from paper into containerboard production 32
Branding and personalisation becoming more important in E-commerce • Functionality, durability and consumer experience are the key words • Demand for white kraftliner driven by – Increasing branding of the packaging – Trend towards shipping the product in its own container – Personalisation of boxes, supported by advanced technology in digital printing • The global value of E-commerce is expected to grow by 20% per year on average, increasing its share of the retail trade from 10% to 18% in 2017–2021 33 Sources: eMarketer, Smithers Pira
Results for January– September 2019
Key financials Change Change Q3/19 Q1-Q3 Q1-Q3 Q1–3/19 Q3/19 Q3/18 FY 2018 vs. 2019 2018 vs. Q3/18 Q1–3/18 Sales EUR, m 489 475 3% 1,453 1,486 -2% 1,944 EBITDA* EUR, m 62 84 -26% 220 263 -16% 344 Operating result* EUR, m 43 64 -33% 145 192 -24% 252 % of sales* % 8.7 13.4 10.0 12.9 13.0 Metsä Fibre’s share of EUR, m 6 34 -83% 44 92 -52% 124 operating result* Earnings per share EUR 0.09 0.16 -44% 0.36 0.43 -16% 0.57 ROCE* % 9.7 15.0 11.0 14.7 14.4 Capex EUR, m 18 11 67% 42 36 16% 70 Cash flow from operations EUR, m 44 54 -19% 111 121 -8% 151 IB Net debt, at end of period EUR, m 352 344 2% 352 344 2% 335 35 *comparable
Q3 in summary • Favourable development in paperboard business – Higher paperboard volumes, stable price levels and lower costs compared to Q2 2019 • Market pulp prices continued to decline with a negative impact on the result • Planned maintenance shutdowns in Kemi and Husum integrates Announced after the review period on 30 October: Planned renewal of Metsä Board’s Husum pulp mill proceeds. Company to make financial commitments prior to the final investment decision 36
Higher kraftliner volumes pushed total paperboard deliveries up in Q3 +4% White kraftliner Folding boxboard +5% 500 447 445 466 400 161 173 170 171 161 149 134 138 146 163 152 1,000 tonnes 1,000 tonnes 300 200 304 299 297 328 297 302 299 305 265 276 293 100 0 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q1-Q3 2018 total: Q1-Q3 2019 total: 1,405k tonnes 1,352k tonnes 37 -4%
Year-to-date paperboard deliveries by grade Biggest deviations in WKL in EMEA and FBB in APAC Folding boxboard (FBB) deliveries in tonnes White kraftliner (WKL) deliveries in tonnes January–September 2019 (1–9/2018) January–September 2019 (1–9/2018) APAC APAC 77,000 7,000 (3k) (92k) 2% 9% Americas Americas 147,000 EMEA 185,000 (134k) 290,000 (192k) EMEA 33% (344k) 20% 645,000 65% (637k) 71% Total FBB deliveries Total WKL deliveries 1–9/2019: 907,000 tonnes 1–9/2019: 445,000 tonnes (1–9/2018: 922,000) (1–9/2018: 481,000) 38
January–September 2019 (1-9/2018) Sales were roughly at the same level but operating result weakened Sales Comparable operating result EUR million EUR million and % of sales 2000 300 15,0 13.0% 12.9% 1600 1,486 1,453 240 10.5% 10.0% 12,0 192 Operating EUR million EUR million 1200 475 489 180 8.0% 9,0 Q3 145 result, 64 % of sales: 800 519 477 120 43 Q3 6,0 Q2 Q3/19: 8.7% 59 41 Q2 Q2/19: 8.6% 400 60 3,0 492 487 Q1 69 Q1/19: 12.7% 62 Q1 0 0 0,0 2016 2017 2018 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 2016 2017 2018 Q1–Q3 Q1–Q3 2018 2019 2018 2019 39
Year-to-date result was supported by higher paperboard prices and FX, negative from pulp and production costs Comparable operating result Comparable operating result Q3 2019 vs. Q2 2019 Jan-Sep 2019 vs. Jan–Sep 2018 Q3 2019: EUR 43 million (EUR 41 million) Q1–Q3 2018: EUR 145 million (EUR 192 million) Positive: Positive: + favourable development in paperboard business + higher prices in FBB and WKL + lower costs + FX + lower depreciation Negative: Negative: - weakened market pulp prices - weakened market pulp prices and volumes - Metsä Fibre’s result share - Metsä Fibre’s result share - more maintenance - higher production costs in paperboard and pulp 40
Market pulp prices in China and Europe have declined throughout the year Pulp price (PIX) development in Europe and China • The PIX price of NBSK has declined by roughly 30% in Europe and by 40% in Long-fibre pulp, Europe Long-fibre pulp, China (net) China from their highest levels in 2018 USD/tonne USD/tonne • Net prices in China and Europe are 1 400 1 400 approaching each other 1 200 1 200 1 000 1 000 • Seasonally higher demand at year end 800 800 • Some producers have announced price 600 600 increases in China 400 400 • Producers’ inventory levels have 200 200 decreased but are are still high 0 0 2018 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2019 Source: Fastmarkets Foex 41 Note! The specifications of PIX China Net index were renewed in the beginning of 2017. Earlier data not comparable with new
Year-to-date cash flow from operations EUR 111 million (1–9/2018: EUR 121 million) 250 250 200 200 150 150 EUR million EUR million 106 100 100 79 68 59 54 43 44 50 30 36 30 36 31 50 23 29 26 20 13 0 0 -3 -50 -50 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Cash flow from operations, quarterly Free cash flow, quarterly Cash flow from operations, rolling 12 months Free cash flow, rolling 12 months 42 Free cash flow = cash flow from operations − investments
Net debt at EUR 352 million, leverage 1.2x On 30 September, Metsä Board signed a financing facility with sustainability targets consisting of EUR 150 million term loan and EUR 200 million RCF to replace existing loan (EUR 50 million) and RCF (EUR 150 million) Net debt, EUR million Net debt to comparable EBITDA (last 12 months) 600 3,0 Net debt / EBITDA target level:
Debt and its maturity Metsä Board’s both credit ratings are investment grade Rating agency Rating and Last update • On 30 September, Metsä Board agreed on a new bank financing outlook facility consisting of five-year term loan of EUR 150 million1) and S&P Global BBB- 02/2018 five-year RCF of EUR 200 million to replace the drawn loan of EUR stable Upgrade from BB+ 50 million2) and undrawn RCF of EUR 150 million Moody‘s Investor Baa3 01/2019 Services stable Upgrade from Ba1 • Interest-bearing debt on 30 September was EUR 461 million (30.9.2018: EUR 469 million) 1) drawn and booked after the review period 2) earlier drawn loan that would have expired on 2020 Long-term interest-bearing debt maturity profile as per 30 September 2019 250 200 EUR million In addition, Metsä 150 Board has 100 unraised pension loans of EUR 166 50 million 2) 0 2019 2020 2022–26 2027 Bonds Loans from financial institutions Pension loans Other loans 44
Near-term outlook • Paperboard delivery volumes in Q4 are expected to decline from Q3 levels due to seasonally slower December • Stable price levels for FBB and WKL • Pulp prices remain low globally • Less planned maintenance shutdowns • Stable production costs and FX impacts in Q4 compared to Q3 • Metsä Board’s comparable operating result for the fourth quarter of 2019 is expected to remain roughly at the same level as in the third quarter of 2019 45
Sustainability
“Our comprehensive approach to reducing our environmental Sustainability is on impact means looking at all everybody’s agenda aspects of our business, how they intersect and how we can integrate new solutions to create meaningful and sustained change.” • Growing consumer awareness: – Starbucks website Origin and transparency of materials, renewability, resource efficiency and recylability • Brand owners are committed to reducing their carbon footprints: “We want low-carbon to become the new normal, so we’re taking Lighter packaging reduces CO2 action to reduce GHG emissions emissions across the value chain throughout our value chain.” – Unilever website 47
Alternative to plastics: Paperboard adds value to packaging • Consumers regard paperboard as a more responsible choice than plastic packaging – willingness to pay more for it • Paperboard cartons preserved the cherry tomatoes at least as well as the plastic equivalent • The climate effect of a recycled PET container was calculated at six times higher than the average value for the paperboard cartons A detailed consumer study with cherry tomatoes was carried out in Finland by Sense N Insight, Luke (Natural Resources Institute Finland) and Metsä Board 48
Fresh fibre paperboards offer solutions to major challenges Increased waste Replacing fossil- Reducing carbon Ensuring food generation due to based materials, footprint safety urbanisation i.e. plastics The solution: The solution: The solution: The solution: renewable energy, pure and safe Paperboard is renewable and efficient energy fresh fibres in food recyclable biodegradable and water usage in packaging – and widely wood fibre production recycled
Lighter packaging reduces CO2 emissions across the value chain – Our fossil CO2 emissions per product tonne have reduced by almost 50% since 2009 Less energy, water and raw material consumed Less waste generated Less transport weight
Wood is our main raw material • Metsä Board sources its wood mainly from Finland and Sweden (65%) • All wood used is 100% traceable and comes from sustainably managed forest sources ensuring the bio-diversity and recreational use of forests • 79% of wood sourced is certified (remaining 21% from controlled forest sources) • Our target is that >90% of our used wood fibre is certified by 2030 51
Finland – the largest forest cover in Europe The area of Finland 5% Cities, villages and roads Annual growth of Finnish forests is 10% 100+ MILLION M3 over 100 million m 3 – more than ever 10% Fields and agricultural use Lakes and rivers Forests grow more than they are used, annual harvesting 72 million m 3 (2017) Four seedlings are planted for each harvested tree 75% Forest Over 20% of the Finnish export comes from forest-based products 52
We have decreased our process water use by 20% since 2010 • Metsä Board uses only surface water in its processes • Water is been recirculated in processes several times • 99% of the water used is returned back to the close-by waterways after thorough purification 53
Primary energy used in 2018 (total 12.0 TWh) Our energy efficiency has improved Fossil-based by almost 12% during 2009–2018 18% Renewable, mainly wood-based Nuclear 55% power • Over 80% of primary energy we use is fossil free 27% • After OL31) starts up, we will be nearly self-sufficient in electricity in Finland Electricity sourced in 2018 − Including the electricity used in Husum mill, (total 2.4 TWh) self-sufficiency will be nearly 80% Outsourced generation • Metsä Board’s shareholding in PVO2) is 3.2% 3% Own generation − Fair value as per 31 December 2018 was EUR 266 million 3) 21% Purchased electricity 44% Through 1) Olkiluoto Nuclear Power Plant PVO shareholding 2) Pohjolan Voima Oyj is a non-listed public limited liability company. 32% It supplies electricity and heat for its shareholders at cost price 3) Out of 44% share of purchased energy, 14% is from Metsä Fibre 54
Metsä Board’s strategic 2030 sustainability objectives and targets WE BRING WE WORK FOR A WE OFFER WE CREATE THE FOREST TO YOU BETTER SUSTAINABLE CHOICES WELL-BEING CLIMATE AND Certified wood fibre ENVIRONMENT • Share of certified fibre >90% Fossil free mills Fossil free raw materials Responsible corporate culture Increasing the amount of • Fossil CO2 emissions • Share of fossil free raw • Ethics barometer 100% carbon stored in forests and 0 tCO2 (Scope 1) materials 100% products Accident-free work • Area of regeneration and Fossil-free purchased energy Sustainable supply chain environment management of young stands • Fossil CO2 emissions, • Sustainable suppliers 100% • Accident frequency LTA1 0 +30% vs. 2018 0 tCO2 (Scope 2) • Traceability of raw • Amount of carbon stored in materials 100% products (t) Resource efficient production +30% vs. 2018 • Utilisation of side-streams 100% Safeguarding biodiversity • Process water use per • Increasing the amount of product ton (m 3/t) decayed wood: high – 30% vs. 2018 biodiversity stumps in • Energy efficiency improvement 90% of thinnings and >10% vs. 2018 retention trees in all regeneration logging sites 55
External recognition and commitments Metsä Board has been included on the CDP In 2018, Metsä Board received a Metsä Board scored the highest Metsä Board was awarded Water A List every year since 2015 and on the rating of AAA (on a scale of recognition level “Gold” in “Prime” status in ISS ESG CDP Climate A List since 2016. In addition, AAA-CCC) in the MSCI ESG EcoVadis’ CSR ranking in 2018, corporate responsibility rating in Metsä Board has scored A- in the CDP Forest Ratings assessment. and is included in the top 1% of May 2018. programme since 2015, and is included on the suppliers assessed across all Link to MSCI Terms and Conditions Supplier Engagement leader board in 2019 for categories. its efforts to address climate change. SUSTAINALYTICS SCIENCE BASED TARGETS Metsä Board as a part of Metsä Group is Metsä Board has an overall Metsä Board’s ESG Metsä Board is committed to committed to the UN Global Compact corporate ESG score of 86/100 and is performance was rated Science Based Targets responsibility initiative and its principles in the considered a Leader in “Advanced” in Vigeo Eiris ESG initiative to reduce its GHG areas of human rights, labour, environment and Sustainalytics’ assessment in assessment in July 2019. emissions in line with the goal of anti-corruption. Metsä Board also supports the May 2018. the Paris Agreement. UN’s Sustainable Development Goals, the SDGs. 56
Research and Development
Customers want better brand experiences with less environmental impacts Unique opportunities for Enhanced and balanced sustainability and yield gains visual properties that enable highly through lightweighting and raw demanding printing and finishing material efficiency techniques for premium looks 58
The role of packaging is to promote the brand and protect the product – in a cost-effective way Metsä Board’s Solid bleached board folding boxboard (SBB) PROMOTION Brightness Folding boxboard (FBB) Coated unbleached kraft (CUK) White lined chipboard (WLC) PROTECTION Stiffness 59
High-yield pulp makes the difference between folding boxboard and other grades … Three-layer structure of Folding Boxboard Light weight → better yield and sustainability High strength and bending stiffness → secure protection High brightness and smoothness → excellent printability Consistent quality → improved production efficiency 60
… and leave more trees standing SBS = (100% chemical pulp) 5 m3 of wood per tonne of pulp Metsä Board FBB (up to 70% BCTMP, = 30% chemical pulp ) 3.4 m3 of wood per tonne of pulp
Developing new paperboard and packaging solutions of the future A unique bioeconomy ecosystem in Äänekoski, Finland • Metsä Board to establish a new Paperboard and Packaging Excellence Centre, to be operational in 2020 – Combines packaging design and R&D excellence under the same roof – Enables to organise packaging design workshops and innovation days together with customers and partners • We are testing and developing new types of paperboard in collaboration with Metsä Spring, Metsä Group’s innovation company • Pro Nemus Visitor Center provides a new way to learn about Metsä Group’s business operations, products and innovation activities 62
Our key product development focus areas LIGHTWEIGHTING BARRIER BOARDS • Improved BCTMP • Dispersion barriers • Microfibrillated cellulose (MFC) • Bio-based raw materials • Strength additives 63
Lighter-weight paperboards: Better with Less The weights equal to a print job of 30 000 sheets on a standard size printing press Metsä Board lightweight paperboard Average FBB – Folding boxboard SBB – Solid bleached board WLC – White lined chipboard 64
Metsä Board enhances its leading position in premium lightweight paperboards In April 2019, we announced of our new, improved FBB portfolio, that answers to increasing demands for sustainability, product safety and brand promotion – Further opportunities for lightweighting – Enhanced visual properties – Industry-leading quality consistency – Improved supply security and availability Enabled by our improved high-yield BCTMP and full R&D focus on paperboard 65
New plastic-free barrier board for even more demanding end-uses Metsä Board has developed a new plastic-free eco-barrier paperboard for food and food service purposes Medium barrier for grease and moisture Can be recycled in paper or paperboard streams END-USES: Food service, fresh, dry and frozen food and other packaging end-uses that require barrier properties 66
KEY ADVANTAGES OF METSÄ BOARD’S NEW 5 ECO-BARRIER PAPERBOARD ✓ Plastic-free ✓ Easily recyclable ✓ Protective with medium barrier for grease and moisture ✓ Safe for direct food contact – no fluorochemicals or optical brighteners (OBA) ✓ Brightest OBA-free board on the market, with excellent printability on both sides
The new plastic-free eco-barrier is the next step in Metsä Board’s barrier board development HIGH PE barrier boards WVTR < 15 g/m²/d Moisture resistance MEDIUM MetsäBoard 15 ≤ WVTR < 100 Prime FBB EB MODERATE 100 ≤ WVTR < 250 MetsäBoard NONE Paperboards WVTR > 250 g/m²/d without barrier Prime FBB EB1 NONE MODERATE MEDIUM HIGH < 10 min 10 min ≤ OGR < 6 h 6 h ≤ OGR < 72 h OGR > 72 h Oil and grease resistance (flat sample) 68
Getting familiar with terminology: Barrier boards types Examples of materials used in coating BIODEGRADABLE Note! Biobased material PVA (polyvinyl alcohol) = PLA (polylactide): often NON-BIOBASED PBS (polybutylene Renewable material based on corn starch succinate) BIOBASED ≠ Compostable ≈ PE: made from fossil raw Green PE: made from materials, used in Biodegradable biomaterials extrusion coating NON-BIODEGRADABLE 69
Owners, management and contact information
Market cap and ownership distribution Metsä Board shares are listed on Nasdaq Helsinki Market cap and foreign owners Ownership distribution 30 September 2019 30 September 2019 EUR million % Foreign 3 000 25 owners 13% 2 500 20 2 000 Metsäliitto 15 1 500 Cooperative Domestic 45% 10 private 1 000 investors 5 21% 500 0 0 12/2014 12/2015 12/2016 12/2017 12/2018 9/2019 Market cap, EUR million Domestic institutional Share of foreign owners, % investors 21% 71
Metsä Board Corporate Management Team Mika Joukio Jussi Noponen Sari Pajari CEO CFO SVP, Marketing and Sales Chairman of CMT since 2014 Member of CMT since 2016 Member of CMT since 2011 MG employee since 1990 MG employee since 2000 MG employee since 2007 Share ownership: 297,700 Share ownership: 73,000 Share ownership: 66,075 Harri Pihlajaniemi Ari Kiviranta SVP, Production Camilla Wikström SVP, Development SVP, HR Member of CMT since 2017 Member of CMT since 2014 MG employee in 2001-2004 Member of CMT since 2019 MG employee since 1993 and since 2017 MG employee since 2001 Share ownership: 50,000 Share ownership: no ownership Share ownership: 17,807 Share ownerships are B-shares. 72 MG = Metsä Group
Contact information Katri Sundström Vice President, Investor relations Tel +358 10 462 0101 katri.sundstrom@metsagroup.com Metsä Board Corporation P.O. Box 20 02020 Metsä, Finland www.metsaboard.com 73
Disclaimer This presentation includes forward-looking statements. The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “estimate,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “aim,” “target,” “might,” or, in each case, their negative, or any similar expressions identify certain of these forward-looking statements. Others can be identified from the context in which the statements are made. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to assumptions, risks and uncertainties. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, actual results may differ, even materially, from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. We urge presentation participants not to place undue reliance on such statements. The information and views contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. Metsä Board does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent legally required. Viewers should understand that this presentation does not constitute, and should not be construed as, an offer to buy or subscribe for Metsä Board’s securities anywhere in the world or an inducement to enter into any investment activity relating to the same. No part of this presentation should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or decision to invest in Metsä Board securities whatsoever. Potential investors are instructed to acquaint themselves with Metsä Board’s annual accounts, interim reports and stock exchange releases as well as other information published by Metsä Board to form a comprehensive picture of the company and its securities. Metsä Board publishes inside information according to Market Abuse Regulation (MAR) and rules of the Nasdaq Helsinki. 74
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