Market Report 2021 Greater Spokane and Kootenai County
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Table of Contents Letter from CEO........................................................ 1 Retail .........................................................................3 Industrial ...................................................................5 Office/Medical Office ................................................7 Downtown .................................................................9 Apartments .............................................................11 Investment ..............................................................13 Property Management ...........................................15 CDA/Kootenai County ............................................17 Principals/Brokers/Property Managers................. 20
Letter from the CEO Spokane is usually insulated a bit had to figure out how to deal from the major ups and downs with pandemic-related tenant of the national economy. Not this issues and keep moving forward. time! My career has spanned 2020 brought the addition of decades from the eruption of Josh Gutzwiler (a former real Mt. St. Helens, to the high teen estate director at Wells Fargo in interest rates of the 80s, to the Portland) to our team, who has advance of technology in the done a fantastic job with our 90s (when I got a computer and largest clients. a cell phone), to 9-11 in New 2020 will go down in the York (I was there), and the Great Our entire property management history books as the most Recession starting in 2008! team has been providing uncertain, tumultuous, Nothing has affected us more incredible service to our amazing and volatile year in our than the pandemic! clients throughout this pandemic. history! The year started Our multifamily team has kept out with the best economy Through all the challenges of our properties physically and America has ever seen. It 2020, we have remained calm economically full, and we have was hitting on all cylinders as a company, and went about increased revenue for our clients until the Covid-19 pandemic our business. We transitioned without evictions. Thanks go to hit the world hard. Travel staff to remote working while our great team, including our bans were enacted, lock- retaining a core work force accounting staff led by new CFO downs were mandated, for our “Essential” property Holly Poquette! Holly came from some businesses moved to management company, Black Inland Northwest Bank and has remote working, and others Realty Management, Inc. (BRMI). been a tremendous addition were closed. Downtown We grew BRMI this year with to our Executive Team. Our Spokane experienced riots revenue up over 10%. We added Operations Director Mary Kay and looting! What a year some family real estate portfolios Knudsen and HR Director Julia for me to be board chair with retail, self-storage, and Guinn have worked especially of the Downtown Spokane multifamily properties. Under smart and diligent this year Partnership! No matter how the leadership of Kim Sample handling pandemic-related you slice it, 2020 affected the (President) and Tom Hix (Vice issues. These ranged from getting lives of EVERYONE in President) we grew our business people set up to work remote, the world! and worked harder than ever. to deciding what to do when someone breathed someone We had national tenants (and less else’s potential Covid breath! local tenants) QUIT paying rent Thanks to Mary Kay and Julia! starting in March, even though they hadn’t yet experienced Black Commercial, Inc., led the brunt of the pandemic. Our by President Jeff Johnson, dedicated property managers was down mid-year over 1 | NAI Black Annual Report 2021
Letter from CEO 20%, but ended the year on a bold entrepreneurs opened new really strong note with several restaurants this year! major transactions. It was a challenging year for our brokers I keep hearing about a “NEW as they adjusted to working with NORMAL” and certainly things Governor Inslee’s Stay at Home have changed! Virtual meetings order but continuing to serve are not going away! The Inland their client’s needs. Our brokers Northwest is growing and North had to work extra smart and be Idaho is booming. People don’t diligent while staying Covid safe. have to live where they work I appreciate their hard work! anymore. Given these factors, our Despite Covid, we actually had entire area will continue to grow. I several brokers with a record year predict that with the new vaccine in 2020. we will return to an amazing economy. The Spokane region On the investment and continues to be attractive to out development side we had an of area investors, home buyers, amazing year. I have never seen and major employers! a bigger spread between cap rates and interest rates! Positive The term “HAPPY NEW YEAR” leverage in 2020 was truly had special meaning this year! unprecedented. An 8% cap turns A big thank you to all of our into a 14% cash on cash return clients, our great employees, before tax, based on current and brokers for sticking with us interest rates. We continued this crazy year! the development process on four or five subdivisions and we exchanged into a legacy 20- acre retail property in Mead. We also moved forward with the conversion of our former office building (the James S. Black David R. Black Building) into 50 apartment Chief Executive Officer units. We renamed the building after my mom, “MARJORIE APARTMENTS”. We also are remodeling the Wave restaurant on the ground floor. The biggest challenge in 2020 was our hospitality tenants, specifically full-service restaurants. As a landlord to over 50 restaurants, this year has been unprecedented. We helped many of our restaurants get PPP loans and other grants so they could try to stay in business. The jury is still out on this sector of our economy, but that said, several 2
Retail By Stephen Pohl and delivery options; many aspects of enjoys a unique retailing vitality. Matt Walsh which will likely be permanent. In an otherwise stable market, the During the fall of 2020, North shuttered Albertson’s on Grand NAI Black annually tracks Spokane’s vacancy rate increased Boulevard and the Shopko on average rental rates, occupancy, to 11.45% compared to a 2019 Regal Street continue to “weigh” and vacancy by submarket, vacancy rate of 8.55%, with on the South Hill vacancy factor. comparing and contrasting to the average rent remaining stable prior years as a measurement of at $16.84 PSF. This submarket Central Business District retail market trends and performance. typically enjoys the attention of space showed an increased The extraordinary and challenging national retailers first entering the vacancy rate of 7.49% in 2020 headwinds of 2020, which carried Spokane market. In 2020,Texas compared to 6.92% vacancy forward into 2021, will present Road House and Chick-Fil-A in 2019. Average rent remained a significant adjustment to the opened their doors in this stable at $16.00 PSF. The Cosmic norm. As frequently predicted exciting submarket. Cowboy Grill and LUSH, Fresh by national observers, the Handmade Cosmetics opened anticipated “Retail Apocalypse” Also in 2020, Spokane Valley in River Park Square in early is giving way to a new paradigm experienced a lower 3.69% 2020. Wooden City restaurant - the Omni Channel marketing vacancy rate with rents averaging opened their doors on Riverside platform (blending internet $13.00 PSF, compared to a and Tavolata Italian restaurant and physical stores), which 2019 vacancy of 5.70% and announced plans to open in Old has been accelerated by the unchanged average rent. Several City Hall. The new $53 million pandemic. More than ever, long shuttered big box spaces Sportsplex with completion traditional retailers are reinventing (Shopko and Toys R Us) provided planned for the fall of 2021 on the themselves! new locations for Ashley Furniture North River Bank should provide and Burlington Coat. a boost to CBD retail! Turning our focus on the year 2020, our veteran retailing Spokane’s South Hill experienced With the introduction of several industry adapted and adjusted. an increase to 13.48% vacancy new retail projects, the West As retailing was tested to the core during 2020 with average rents Plains 2020 vacancy rate rose with mandated shut-downs and of $18.22 PSF, compared to a to 13.63% from 2.61% in 2019. Covid-19 protocols, the creativity 2019 vacancy rate of 12.47% Average rental rates decreased to and incredible resourcefulness and average rent of $18.49 PSF. $13.51 PSF compared to $16.46 of many determined operators Natural Grocers opened in 2020 PSF in 2019. resulted in new ways to sustain taking the old Hastings store, and sales and extend consumer Thai Bamboo started construction Attempting to evaluate the interaction. Talented marketing on their newest restaurant in comparative performance for efforts substituted in-house the Grape Tree development 2020, clouded by mandated shopping experiences with curb on 29th Avenue. The South Hill closures, rental concessions, side pick-up, increased digital retail market is one of Spokane’s foreclosure prohibitions, and shopping platforms, and home smaller suburban submarkets but other COVID-19-related factors, 3 | NAI Black Annual Report 2021
Retail is tough. Faring well were source of repeat customers for more substitutive percentage grocery operators, drug stores, retail properties); an increase rent, and provide free rent in lieu pet supplies, fast food drive- in fast food delivery/QSRs; of TI dollars to attract and retain thru or in-store pick up, medical “ghost kitchens” (off-premises great retailers. E-commerce retail providers, big box home food prep) facilitated by Uber will continue to log impressive retailers such as Walmart and Eats and Door Dash services; digital sales fueled by the Target, sporting goods, and and experienced-based pandemic. “Clicks and Bricks” home improvement stores. indoor restaurant operators will continue to merge, producing Correspondingly, cinemas, addressing curb side pick-up a new blended retailer who sit-down full dining experience and outdoor dining options. provides a shopping experience restaurants, small business, Artificial Intelligence will expand based on convenience and bars, health club/exercise the ability of retailers to alert delivery efficiency. facilities, travel industry, and retail shoppers of buying options entertainment venues such as based on buying patterns Retail, clearly in transition, will arcades and gaming suffered. and search results. There will continue to evolve in 2021 with Many resulting in store closures. be a continuation of product new brands, concepts, and transparency, displaying what is ideas increasingly coupled with Our predictions and trends for better for a consumer’s health; new mixed-use developments. 2021 envision: increased healthy and, finally, the emphasis on Spokane continues to be a choices in grocery, especially ethical, sustainable clothing and viable market for retail expansion farm-to-market; a steady advance renewable items, surpassing $7 based on its economic stability, of medical retailing in traditional billion in sales last year. Prudent growing in-migration, labor force shopping centers; athletic landlords will master Covid-19 availability, and a strong regional facilities, including gyms (a great relief lease language, embrace customer base. 4
Industrial LB Stone Properties saw plans to building two more By Darren Slackman and continued success with the buildings in 2021. Asking lease Drew Ulrick Playfair Commerce Park project, rates are estimated to be $0.75 with initial asking rates of $0.70 PSF for shell space. 2020 saw significant industrial PSF. That project has filled all but development in the Spokane one of its recently constructed The Montgomery Logistic Center area driven by the growth of buildings, leaving only 60,800 completed their second building E-commerce, low vacancy SF available at the end of 2020. of three in 2020. The second rates, and developers Playfair has four more available building is 36,000 SF and offers anticipating demand for larger sites for additional buildings. 30’ clear height, ESFR sprinklers, spec industrial space. The The next industrial project for and dock high loading. At the end fall survey of industrial space LB Stone Properties will be to of 2020, they also had 50,000 SF showed a vacancy rate of develop additional quality tilt up available in their first building. The 3.23% out of 34 million SF buildings on their 20-acre site on project owners said that activity surveyed. North Freya Street in northeast was starting to pick up at the end Spokane (The Yard). of the year with the receipt of For users seeking space, there several LOIs. continued to be a large range Spokane Industrial Park in lease rates. New buildings completed the first of four Selkirk Industrial Park off of with amenities such as dock 120,000 SF buildings that they Barker Road continued to move doors, ESFR sprinkler systems, announced in 2019. 96,000 SF forward in 2020 by completing and 30’ plus clear height, not to of the first building was leased the first of four buildings. Krueger mention the continued increase to two national tenants prior Sheet Metal will occupy the entire in construction costs, kept the to completion of construction. 60,000 SF building in building lease rates near $0.70 PSF NNN. With only 24,000 SF remaining one. The next two buildings are Property owners of existing available in the first building, The planned to be 67,500 SF each buildings having fewer amenities, Park started construction on their and will share a truck court lower ceiling heights, and a second 120,000 SF building at area. Site work is complete for lack of 3-phase power or fire the end of 2020 with a planned the entire project; however, the sprinklers, were able to command completion date of May 2021. developer will wait for a build-to- lease rates in the $0.40 - $0.45 suit before starting construction PSF NNN range. This gives the Developer Harlan Douglass, on the next building. Asking lease end user a range of options to who purchased over 100 acres rates are $0.70 PSF NNN for the consider when they are shopping adjacent to Amazon on the West warehouse shell. for warehouse space. With limited Plains at the end of 2019, has options, it’s never been more begun construction on 96,000 Amazon is expanding its important for tenants to seek SF of concrete tilt up with plans presence in Spokane, this time professional help with their search for approximately 1.5 million total to Spokane Valley, per numerous for space. square feet of warehouse space media reports. Public documents on the 100-acre site. In addition have indicated that a national to the current building, Douglass developer started construction 5 | NAI Black Annual Report 2021
Industrial on a new Amazon facility on of shovel-ready buildable sites. E-commerce will continue to land owned by Centennial Centennial Properties, Inc., be a key driver of demand Properties. The plans at the city recorded a Binding Site Plan of for industrial space in 2021. show the building to be over 20 lots of industrial land off of 1 million square feet in size. In Barker Road at the end of 2019. With low vacancy rates and addition, there are currently three During 2020 they completed land becoming more limited other potential Amazon deals the infrastructure improvements for development, the industrial happening in our market involving for the BSP which included a market will continue to favor their expansion. Last mile new road, Garland Avenue, and landlords in 2021. Tenants will distribution and other uses are bringing utilities to each site. This have limited choices; especially growing for the tech giant faster created shovel-ready sites in a tenants seeking smaller industrial than anticipated. market that desperately needed spaces. All of this bodes well for that product. By the end of 2020, a dynamic and active Spokane all but one lot was either sold or industrial market in 2021! Land Outlook under contract. These lots traded between $3.25 and $4.50 PSF. Currently, the growth of our Other buildable infill sites in the industrial market is only being Spokane area are seeing values held back by a limited supply exceeding $5 to $6 PSF. 6
Office - Medical Office By Jon Jeffreys and Chris Bell rate of 15.33% to 15.52% with handful of smaller office buildings an average rental rate of $16.47 that sold, such as 9921 North The Spokane Office market PSF per year full service. Class C Nevada containing approximately saw limited office leasing and softened, going from a vacancy 11,600 SF selling for $1,550,000. sale activity in 2020 due to rate of 12.63% to 15.55% with The Seller was represented by the uncertainty surrounding all an average recent rental rate of Jon Jeffreys of NAI Black, and commercial real estate markets, $12.39 per square foot per year. Darren Slackman of NAI Black but there were pockets that Tenants in the market continue represented the Buyer. 101 West showed promise leading into to be drawn to properties with Cataldo, a 17,000 SF office 2021. As a whole, rents continued amenities such as strong ground building on the North Bank of the to increase and vacancy rates floor retail tenants, exercise CBD sold for $2,100,000. held flat due to absorption and facilities, and on-site parking. a lack of new inventory being We continue to see CBD office The South Hill saw a decrease in introduced in the market. Many buildings being removed from vacancy in 2019 to 4.18% from tenants put off discretionary the market completely and being 17.97% in 2020. Recent rental leasing decisions and used their converted to multifamily. rates held steady at $18.81 PSF time to analyze their long-term per year full service. The major office occupancy needs. The North Spokane was a bright reason for the absorption on the good news is many office tenants spot in the office leasing market. South Hill was leasing activity weathered the storm and there Vacancy rates in the North in the Ben Burr Building at 5915 should be pent up demand as submarket dropped substantially South Regal (the building is now tenants desire to get back to to 8.68% from 15.96% a year full) together with other leases in-person collaboration. 2020’s prior. Average rental rates are being completed in a market with changing office environment currently $16.41 PSF per year a limited supply of space. The was followed closely by full service. North Spokane in South Hill market is one of our investors looking to capitalize on 2020 had one major change; smallest submarkets and easily opportunities in the market. Spokane International Academy feels the effects of a few larger leased approximately 100,000 office leases or vacancies. The The CBD, comprising of close to SF of space in the property South Hill office market is more 3,000,000 SF of Class A, B, and located at 777 East Magnesium. a bedroom community office C office space, saw the overall There were no new notable market consisting of smaller, vacancy rate inch up slightly from office construction projects local tenants. No notable office 2019 levels at 14.21% to 15.03% completed and very few large buildings traded hands in 2020 on at the end of 2020. Class A office office building sales in 2020 the South Hill. space increased its vacancy in the North Spokane market. slightly up from 12.62% to 220 West Rowan was one of The Spokane Valley submarket 14.21% and average rental rates the largest office building sales. held steady at 11.68% vacancy, staying flat at $20.63 PSF per The approximately 46,000 SF slightly down from 12.58% the year full service. Class B office medical office building sold year prior. Average rental rates space held flat from a vacancy for $6,850,000. There were a remained steady at $15.34 PSF 7 | NAI Black Annual Report 2021
Office-Medical Office per year full service. The Spokane Valley was similar to the rest of the Spokane submarkets where very few office buildings traded hands. The few that did were a pair of neighboring office buildings at 8815 East Mission, an approximate 13,500 SF building which sold for $1,900,000 (Buyer was represented by Jon Jeffreys of NAI Black) and 8775 East Mission, an approximate 13,600 SF office building that sold for $2,825,000. The medical office market held steady with the current vacancy now at 9%, up slightly from 8.41% with the average rental rate at $21.72 PSF per year. We saw hospital systems retract their space requirements in 2020, which we believe contributed to the slight uptick in vacancy. Medical office is one of the office sectors that continues to see new construction from investor build-to-suits and owner-user projects. With a large regional pull and multiple medical schools in Spokane, we feel Spokane’s medical office market is and will continue to be very healthy. As far as the outlook for 2021, some companies with leases coming up for renewal may consider downsizing their space as a result of Covid-19 and the shift to remote working. That said, many employees look forward to returning to the office, post Covid-19, to maximize collaboration and enjoy their business culture. The Spokane office market appears that it could hold steady in 2021. 8
Downtown As long as the pandemic buildings on the corner of First By Mark McLees and Tom Hix subsides and business can return Avenue, and a few future potential to a “new” normal, downtown redevelopment sites. Year 2020 Reset 2021. Year 2020 was the Spokane is positioned for a saw West periphery projects most bizarre year for all classes robust recovery. Just drive down completed, including the former of real estate. the streets of downtown Spokane Watt’s Automotive historical and see for yourself. Buildings building, which was converted to The downtown and periphery are being well maintained, the the Brick West Brewing Company; real estate transaction activity streets are clean, loitering and the former Otis Apartments took a long pause before moving homeless issues are being converted to Hotel Indigo, a 108- in slow motion to produce a dealt with, and many building unit room hotel; and remodeled limited number of sales and lease owners/landlords are making automotive dealerships along transactions through the end building improvements with auto row (Second and Third of the year. Those few sale and the anticipation of better days Avenue couplet). lease transactions that did occur ahead. Spokane has a safe and resulted in sale prices and lease secure downtown thanks to the The North periphery growth rates remaining stable, indicating efforts of the Downtown Spokane continues with Kendall Yards’ that the Spokane real estate Partnership (DSP), the Mayor and mixed-use and urban (By Nature) market remains resilient to a City Council, and the Spokane development still growing. North major national crisis. Police Department, which recently periphery growth also includes opened a new police precinct the new state-of-the-art indoor As we begin to move past the downtown. With mandated multi-sport venue called the pandemic, lease rates for retail business closures and social Podium, located on the north and multifamily will most likely distancing abated, downtown is edge of Riverfront Park, which begin to increase. The major waiting with open arms for the will be completed and ready driver of increasing rental rates return of customers, residents, to host sporting events by is low vacancy rates and limited and visitors coming back to September 2021. The Podium is options. The surge of new enjoy all that downtown has to part of a larger athletic venue, a out-of-state residents moving offer, including movies, concerts, 135,000 SF development called into Spokane is placing a high dining, shopping, sporting events, the Sportsplex. Construction is demand on downtown housing exploring, and hospitality. underway for the Flatiron three- options. With the exception With most downtown historic story, 13,000 SF building and of a few restaurant closures buildings already redeveloped the Jefferson five-story building, (Luigi’s and Rocky Rococo’s) and occupied for current use, the which are mixed-use projects. most downtown office and retail options for downtown to grow are The Papillon buildings are in the businesses are still occupying to the West and East peripheries, final design which will include and maintaining their space as well as across the river to a six-story, 36,000 SF mid- while working through all of the the North periphery. The West rise tower, along with a 12- or new social distancing regulations periphery still has a few historic 14-story, 178,500 SF high-rise and costs associated with buildings for development, and a 468-stall parking garage. the pandemic. like the Jefferson and Norman 9 | NAI Black Annual Report 2021
Downtown The greatest growth potential is Medical Examiners office and River shorelines. in the South University District. 60,000 SF being occupied by That area east of downtown Eastern Washington University. The CBD office core shows Class adjacent to the South Hill This project and others are tied A space with 159,594 vacant Medical District, five universities, to the North U District by the U square feet (or 14.21%) with rates 11,000 enrolled students, District bridge, which provides starting at $20.63 PSF. Class B and all located in a Qualified pedestrian and bike access space has 257,511 vacant square Opportunity Zone. The South between the two districts. feet (or 15.52%) with rates at University District is an area with A number of other ground- $16.47 PSF. Class C space has redevelopment opportunities breaking, new developments 28,913 vacant square feet (or mixed in with fully occupied and are underway in the U District in 15.55%) with rates at $12.39 PSF. income producing properties, 2021. Although the majority of The future revitalization and/ as well as new developments the unobstructed Spokane River or redevelopment of many like the 159,000 innovative and and U-District views are already fully occupied light industrial collaborative science, medical being developed, there are other warehouses will be the staging and higher education hub; the potential sites offering panoramic point of much commercial real Catalyst Building which will views of downtown, Mount estate transactions in the be occupied by the Spokane Spokane, and the Spokane coming years. 10
Apartments would result in a significant unit in the Spokane market By Mitch Swenson and loss of rental income. Thus, exceeded $110,000! In 2020 the Kim Sample the 2020 multifamily volume average sales price per unit was of sales was 37% below 2019 approximately $113,610. This numbers. Multifamily investment is a 4% increase over 2019’s Multifamily Investment Sales sales transactions totaled average sales price per unit of $84,752,800 in 2020 compared $109,535. Price per unit in 2018 The year 2020 brought a very with 2019 sales of $134,569,000. was $103,558 and 2017 came robust and active multifamily Additionally, the number of units in at $81,309 per unit. These investment sales market to traded was down by 39% from substantial increases in sales a crawl! 1,228 units changing hands in price per unit over the last four 2019 to 746 units closing escrow years was mainly attributed to a Sales of apartments in the in 2020. few very large, newer multifamily Spokane metro market projects that were sold at high declined substantially due to Despite the effects of Covid-19 price/unit values. the uncertainty of Covid-19’s on the volume of transactions impact on the market. Investors in 2020, the amazing part of Cap rates were driven down over were fearful that job losses the multifamily market was the last year and have remained and Governor Jay Inslee’s the large increase in the sale low due to a lack of inventory, emergency “NO EVICITION/ price per unit. For the first time high investor demand, and record NO RENT INCREASE” mandate the average sales price per low interest rates. So, what’s in the wings for 2021? A very small inventory of multifamily product for sale, low vacancy rates, a housing shortage, low interest rates, and more investors discovering the Spokane market should result in continued record setting sale prices for apartments. With increasing in-migration, a dwindling supply of multifamily development land, and the rising cost of single-family homes, the demand for multifamily rentals should remain strong for the foreseeable future. The multifamily market will be further strengthened by the lessening effects of Covid-19 and the 11 | NAI Black Annual Report 2021
Apartments end of governmental-related above median average rents. is the result of new employment restrictions on landlords. Absorption for new apartment in healthcare and education, This should result in investors projects averages 12 – 18 the stability of employment at who own multifamily investment months. The average rental rate Fairchild Air Force Base, and properties continuing to enjoy for all units regardless of size, new jobs at Amazon. Strong in- excellent returns in the class, location, and style was just migration and a very tight single- years ahead. over $1,000 per month at the end family home market have added of 2020. to the demand for multifamily rentals as well. Multifamily Rental Market Economic occupancy in the Spokane market remains 1,054 new apartment units were The Spokane multifamily market fluid with properties reporting brought online in 2020 and at for 2020 can be described anywhere from 0% to 10% in year-end another 1,084 units were as a challenge successfully delinquent rents due to the under construction. Absorption met. With the shocks of the moratorium on evictions and rates for new construction pandemic impacting all sectors the inability for landlords to is predicted to remain of commercial real estate, the collect delinquent rents. Class C steady; however, some rental multifamily market felt the effects properties, workforce housing, concessions will likely remain in of an economy in a downturn and student housing have been the marketplace. and a state-wide moratorium on the most severely impacted rental increases. These effects; by Covid and have the largest The forecast for 2021 is for a however, resulted in property number of delinquent rents. continued strong multifamily owners and managers stepping The overall vacancy rate in the market with rental rates inching up to the plate and adapting to Spokane market landed at 4.9% upward as new construction the changing market, and by at year-end. Submarket vacancy apartments come online and year-end generally coming rates reported: downtown as higher rents are achieved at out ahead. Spokane 3.5%, West Spokane unit turnover. Vacancy rates are 6.1%, North Spokane 1.7%, predicted to average 5% overall Rental rates over the past 12 Spokane Valley 4%, South Hill with the exception of the student months have astonishingly 4.3%, and Cheney at 10%+. housing market in Cheney. increased by 5.2%. This rental Student housing in Cheney, Further extensions of the state- rate growth was achieved dependent on EWU students, wide moratoriums on eviction through new construction leasing experienced the highest vacancy and rental rate increases will and rental rate increases upon rates in Spokane County. most likely have a dampening apartment turnover. Premium Demand for apartments in effect on future rental rate growth new construction Class A the Spokane market remains and rent collections. apartments are leasing at 20% moderate to strong. This demand 12
13 | NAI Black Annual Report 2021
Investment By James S. Black III and low supply of quality income- also contributing factors to Jim Orcutt producing properties. Spokane the prices being paid. Another investment property owners recent transaction was the sale The investment real estate have a long history of a buy and of a Valvoline Instant Oil Change market stayed strong locally, hold investment philosophy. property located in the Spokane regionally, and nationally in Significant appreciation is rarely Valley, which traded at a 5.75 cap 2020. With lending institutions the case in the Spokane area, and had 15 years remaining on ready and able to loan, so buyers here tend to hold their the lease in place. appetite for investment real properties for the long haul. Most estate remains very high. Many local investors have the goals The investment market will local investors are looking of long-term income and equity continue to remain strong locally, for higher yields than can be build up through debt reduction. as well as nationally, in 2021. obtained through traditional Sellers are also faced with the We anticipate a slight increase banking instruments, CDs, question of what they will do in cap rates as interest rates will money markets, etc. Interest with their proceeds if they sell. most likely rise as a result of the rates in 2020 remained With few alternatives equaling Covid stimulus money printed by extremely low and the stock their existing real estate yields, the US government. This, in turn, market continued influx. Bank there is a strong reluctance for would probably decrease prices deposit yields continues to be many sellers to dispose of their slightly. Investors will continue in the .5-1% range. properties. This has created to chase yield in Spokane/Coeur substantial competition for d’Alene, which should make 2021 Money from larger cities quality income properties as they eerily similar to the year we had in continues to flock to the Inland become available. Our firm has 2020. Should you or anyone you Northwest as investors seek out been involved in property sales know be interested in purchasing higher yield in tertiary markets with multiple offers over the an income-producing property like Spokane and Coeur d’Alene. last year because of these this year, please do not hesitate There is a lot of cash sitting market dynamics. to contact us. idle on the sidelines looking to be invested. Baby boomers Cap rates have stayed low in seeking to retire are looking to 2020. One example here locally increase their monthly income was the sale of a Texas Road with minimal risk, and, as a House ground lease to a Spokane result, NAI Black has seen many buyer doing a 1031 exchange. all-cash investment real estate This property traded at a sub transactions. 5% cap. Average local deals are trading in the 5-7% cap rate The biggest problem facing range and vary depending on potential investors wanting the quality, age, and location to buy in the Spokane/Coeur of asset. The length of lease d’Alene market has been the and replacement costs are 14
Property Management By Kim Sample and Tom Hix exceptional communication with our property owners and Black Realty Management all other stakeholders. We is a leader in the multifamily strive to optimize both gross and commercial property and net operating income management field with a large while maintaining the physical portfolio of multifamily units infrastructure to preserve the and commercial properties income streams over the managed throughout long-term and enhance Washington, Idaho, Utah, property values. Oregon and Montana. Our philosophy has earned us the Our property management reputation of an entrepreneurial team is a group of specialists leader in the management field. who are dedicated to providing Each property we manage excellence and exceeding requires individual treatment client expectations. We deliver as a uniquely distinct business a platform designed to provide enterprise that is operated comprehensive, long-term, pursuant to the objectives and profitable client services. instructions of the property owner. We customize each property’s Our management company is the operating procedures and only Spokane firm to have been strategy to address the short-, designated as an Accredited mid-, and long-term objectives Management Organization® that the owner has established for by the Institute of Real Estate the asset. Management, demonstrative of its management expertise, Our clients are the reason we professional competence, are here and we have been financial responsibility, integrity, in business since 1958. If we and ethics. continue to be successful in meeting our client’s needs and Our property management objectives, our company will services are dependent upon remain on the path of growth and a clear focus on quality service prosperity. To do this, we must to our clients and residents, continually earn the loyalty of our resulting in high employee/tenant/ clients by providing them with client retention; insightful and services that they acknowledge detailed operational, strategic, being of superior value. and financial planning; and 15 | NAI Black Annual Report 2021
Property Management Our commitment to success is a combination of our core values which are: • Pursue excellence in all we do. • Hire and develop great people. • Keep our promises and honor our commitments. • Embrace change as an opportunity. • Enjoy the work we do. • Respect the environment and support green initiatives. • Make a profit for our clients and ourselves. • Be a dynamic contributor in our community through ongoing charitable giving, civic involvement, and active participation in local city, state, and regional associations. To learn more about the value and benefits of our property management services and how we can assist you in reaching your goals, please call us at 509.623.1000. 16
CDA-Kootenai County By Steve Ridenour and 50%. This doesn’t mean North vacancy rate going into 2021 sits Jim Koon Idaho didn’t feel the sting of the at 5.2% of almost 4,000,000 SF downturn, but it profited from out- of GLA in Kootenai County. We The North Idaho commercial of-state tourism and commerce. expect rental rates to remain in real estate market paused for a the $18 to $22 Class A and $14 moment in 2020. Perhaps the most significant and to $16 Class B ranges with rental positive effect of the pandemic incentives being offered to fill Offset Single - While the effects of the Covid-19 going into 2021 is the shift to vacant space. pandemic and broad national remote work. Additionally, economic shutdown were overreaching governmental certainly felt, there is no question policies in other Western that North Idaho weathered the states resulted in substantial storm much better than other population in-migration and Shifted West western states. Idaho stayed business relocation to North “open for business”, relatively Idaho. According to US News speaking, as state and local and World Report, Idaho is now leadership instituted responsible the fastest growing state and but common-sense policies that Kootenai County is the fastest fit Idaho’s unique demographic growing county in Idaho. The characteristics. This avoided the Census Bureau reports that 75% long-term negative effects that of the Kootenai County growth a sustained shutdown would is in-migration from other states. have had on the population and Out of state commerce combined business sectors. with increasing population growth Consequently, businesses in the will provide the engine for North Idaho’s 2021 commercial real 3 service sector from restaurants estate market. to hair salons saw less volume loss than similar businesses Office – in neighboring Spokane, The office market is a reflection of Washington. In many cases, the national trend of downsizing they benefited from consumer due to the Covid-19 effect with traffic in-flow from the “closed” increased numbers working states of Washington, Oregon, from home. However, due to the and California. For example, smaller nature of the North Idaho INTERCHANGE during the summer and height office market, we expect that it PROJECT I-90 of the pandemic, North Idaho will remain stable without major experienced hotel occupancy work space reductions. The main in the 75% + range while West change in this market sector will Coast hotels slipped well under be less new construction. The 17 | NAI Black Annual Report 2021 ID-41
CDA-Kootenai County Industrial – the greater Kootenai/Spokane The project will also contain 40 Substantial land acquisition market and will drive 2021 new acres of high-density workforce and planning for new projects construction activity. housing. INTP is being developed occurred during 2020 with by BGI, Inc., a GVD Commercial construction starts scheduled for Inland Northwest Tech Park Properties, Inc./Jerry Dicker 2021 in response to low vacancy (INTP) - company. Land pricing is from and a lack of inventory. Land This 350-acre project is following $2 PSF. values generally range from $1.50 the four-lane expansion of PSF for larger parcels without State Highway 41 (completion Rathdrum Industrial – utility service to $6 PSF for high 1st quarter 2022) with grading Industrial development in the visibility and freeway-oriented and interior road construction City of Rathdrum has progressed properties. Rental rates range commencing in the spring. and includes projects near the from $5 PSF gross for Class B Plans range from large format Highway 41 corridor. Expect 300 to $9 PSF NNN for Class A small distribution to incubator tech acres coming to market within format buildings. The North Idaho industries, with INTP having this business-friendly city. Land industrial vacancy rate of 1.61% unique access to rail service from will be available at a lower cost le -Point Urban Interchange continues to be the lowest in an existing Union Pacific rail spur. than Coeur d’Alene or Post Falls. Offset Single-Point Urban Interchange Shifted West 1 OFFSET SINGLE-POINT URBAN INTERCHANGE (O/S SPUI) 1 2 I-90 BRIDGE OVER ID-41 3 I-90 BRIDGE OVER EB OFF RAMP 2 4 I-90 BRIDGE OVER EB ON RAMP 4 POTENTIAL PEDESTRIAN 5 5 TUNNELS UNDER I-90 AND EB ON RAMPS 18
CDA- Kootenai County Riverbend Industrial Park – Planned multifamily construction four-lane expansion. This project Most of Riverbend’s acreage has will hopefully keep up with will have a forward architectural been absorbed. It still offers the growing demand. Post Falls is look and will include 15 acres of occasional vacancy or sublease now one of the fastest growing lifestyle apartments as part of opportunity for users that require cities in the country and its 2020 the project. immediate proximity to the I-90 4.74% growth rate could exceed corridor at the Idaho/Washington 5% in 2021. Athol Crossroads Center, north of state line. Land pricing from Coeur d’Alene at Highway 95 and $5 PSF. Retail – Highway 41, opened with huge Continued disruption or a new super market volumes in 2020. The Pointe at Post Falls - day of opportunity? This is the big This project is anchored by Super Located at the Beck Road/I-90 question for retail in 2021. Even 1 grocery stores and will offer Freeway Exchange, The Pointe with the pandemic, North Idaho outparcels for sale in 2021. There saw UPS open a new facility in retail weathered the vacancy has been a very strong retail 2020 and Crown Distributing storm much better than other response to this underserved part purchased a 15-acre site. parts of the country. Across the of Kootenai County. Approximately 24 acres with board landlords worked to assist freeway identity remains with their tenants in getting through Retail Investment - parcels priced from $6 PSF. 2020, and we expect to see that Single purpose and essential The owner, Wadsworth pay dividends in 2021. There is retail from grocery stores, Development, has commenced no question that bricks and to Starbucks, to urgent care construction on a 20,000 SF mortar is giving way to digital properties will continue to be divisible building with additional on-line shopping. That shift, investor favorites in 2021. We spec development planned. accelerated by the pandemic, anticipate that cap rates will has caused retailers to adjust to remain stable in 2021, provided Coeur d’Alene Commerce Park- new ways of retaining and serving that interest rates remain low While Coeur d’Alene is not as their customers. and there are not any substantial “industrial rich” as Post Falls, increases in construction costs. it is still an important part of The retail strength of the North the conversation. Especially Idaho market will continue, Forecast - for companies who do not and most new major retail and With 2020 vacancy rates require immediate highway or shopping center construction will averaging a surprising 4.88% freeway access and want to be occur in Post Falls in response during 2020 in a year crippled by in Coeur d’Alene. Coeur d’Alene to the explosion of growth on the the pandemic, we expect 2021 Commerce Park is a high-quality Prairie. The Post Falls/Rathdrum to be a year of growth for North development with very high trade area is expected to sail Idaho retail. occupancy. Pricing from $5 PSF. past Coeur d’Alene, tripling in population to over 100,000 by Multifamily – 2035. The epicenter of most Multifamily will continue to be significant retail projects in 2021 strong into 2021. Kootenai and will be State Highway 41 and Bonner County have a housing Prairie Avenue. The 50-acre shortage which has led to mixed use shopping center, average single-family values over Prairie Crossing, will be the first $350,000. This has resulted in an project to come out of the ground increasing demand for multifamily this summer. It will be on track to housing and an explosion of open for business in the spring of multifamily development. 2022, along with the Highway 41 19 | NAI Black Annual Report 2021
Principals/Brokers/Property Managers Dave Black CCIM, Jeff Johnson CCIM, Kim Sample ARM Thomas Hix CPM® Holly Poquette CPA SIOR, CEO SIOR, President, Brokerage President, Management Vice President, Management Chief Financial Officer Christopher Bell SIOR James S. Black III Jason Dolloph CPM® Julia Guinn Olivia Gutierrez CCIM Human Resources Director Josh Gutzwiler Don Jamieson Jon Jefferys SIOR Brent Johnson Jody Johnson Mary Kay Knudsen Jim Koon Johnathan Larsen Jeff McGougan Mark McLees Corporate Operations Director Devin Mecham Jim Orcutt Mark Pinch CCIM Stephen Pohl John T. Powers III Steve Ridenour Darren Slackman SIOR Mitch Swenson CCIM Barclay Tollefson Drew Ulrick SIOR Bryan Walker Matt Walsh 20
801 West Riverside Avenue, Suite 300 Spokane, WA 99201 509. 623.1000 105 North 1st Street, Suite 300 Coeur d’Alene, ID 83814 208. 665. 6475
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