Market analysis of heavy-duty commercial trailers in Canada
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WORKING PAPER 2017-2 Market analysis of heavy-duty commercial trailers in Canada Date: 9 March 2017 Author: Ben Sharpe Keywords: commercial trailer sales, Canada, market shares, trailer-to-tractor ratio, activity rates, ownership cycles, annual kilometers 1. Introduction some form of fuel efficiency or GHG importers will be included in the final regulation for heavy-duty commercial rule, which is expected to be released Worldwide, freight vehicles are a trucks and buses. In addition, the gov- by the summer of 2016. major and growing contributor to ernments of India, Brazil, South Korea, fuel consumption and climate change The Government of Canada has Mexico, and the European Union are emissions in the on-road transportation committed to align its emission actively developing policy measures sector. In the 2020 to 2030 time frame, standards and test procedures for to accelerate the adoption of fuel- on-road heavy-duty vehicle emissions the transportation sector with those saving technologies for commercial will become approximately equivalent of the federal emissions program vehicle fleets. to those of on-road passenger car and of the U.S. Environment Protection light trucks, currently the largest overall The U.S. and Canadian 1 Phase 1 Agency (EPA), as set out in the contributor to climate change within heavy-duty vehicle GHG programs Ozone Annex to the Canada-U.S. the transport sector (International are currently being phased in from Air Quality Agreement (2000), and Council on Clean Transportation 2016). model-year (MY) 2014 to 2018 vehicles in the mandate and principles of the In North America and many regions and can be thought of as four rules Canada‑U.S. Regulatory Cooperation around the world, the majority of combined into one regulation. There Council. Given that Canada has a long goods that are transported by road history of harmonizing its vehicle reg- are distinct provisions for the four are borne by heavy-duty combination ulations as much as possible with the primary regulatory subcategories: tractor-trailers. As a result, tractor- U.S., Environment and Climate Change on-road tractors, pickup trucks and trailers often account for the largest Canada commissioned this market vans, vocational vehicles, and engines percentage of vehicle-kilometers study along with a previous research of on-road tractors and vocational traveled and thus fuel consumption and project that looked at the costs vehicles. The Phase 1 heavy-duty emissions from heavy-duty vehicles. In and adoption rates of heavy-duty vehicle programs in both countries Canada, tractor-trailers are estimated commercial trailer fuel-saving tech- delayed the incorporation of trailers to represent nearly two-thirds of the nologies in Canada (Sharpe and May within the rulemaking owing to a total diesel fuel use and greenhouse 2015) as part of its due diligence to number of constraints at the time. investigate the feasibility of integrat- gas (GHG) emissions from the on-road However, in the proposed U.S. Phase ing these trailers into its Phase 2 heavy-duty sector (ibid). 2 regulation that was published in program, as was formally proposed In response to the growing fuel con- June 2015, heavy-duty commercial in the U.S. This particular paper is sumption and GHG emissions from trailers are included as a new major narrowly focused on the trailer market commercial vehicles, many govern- e q u i p m e n t c a te g o r y, a n d i t i s in Canada. Its primary objectives are ments around the world have begun anticipated that these new require- to: (1) analyze the sales market for to take targeted steps to promote ments for trailer manufacturers and new commercial trailers; and (2) use fuel-saving technologies within their anecdotal data from industry experts heavy-duty vehicle fleets. Since 2006, 1 In early 2013, Canada published standards to estimate typical ownership cycles for heavy-duty vehicles that are fully Japan, California, the United States, harmonized with the U.S. program in all and activity rates for various types of China, and Canada have adopted significant aspects of regulatory design. trailers. As such, the remainder of the Acknowledgements: This work is funded by Environment and Climate Change Canada. The author thanks all of the companies that were gracious enough to take the time to participate in the interviews for this study. Also, we are very grateful for the excellent reviews of officials from Environment and Climate Change Canada’s Transportation Division and Regulatory Analysis and Valuation Divison, and the valuable contributions of Oscar Delgado of the ICCT. © INTERNATIONAL COUNCIL ON CLEAN TRANSPORTATION, 2016 WWW.THEICCT.ORG
MARKET ANALYSIS OF HEAVY-DUTY COMMERCIAL TRAILERS IN CANADA report is organized into two sections: Table 1: Deficiencies in the trailer sales data and mitigation measures • Section 2 provides an overview Issue Mitigation measure of the heavy-duty commercial Both datasets included ‘personal Information about each of the 184 unique manufacturer/ trailer market in Canada in terms use’ trailers, which include importer’s product lines and customer types were trailers that are generally towed of sales by province, manufac- acquired by surveying their websites. After reviewing by pickup trucks or small all of this online information, it was determined that turer/importer market shares, commercial vehicles. These types companies generally sell to either heavy-duty trucking types of trailers sold, and the of trailers are typically used fleets or for light-duty personal use—not both. As to haul equipment, passenger ratio of trailers to tractors. vehicles, livestock, and various such, each manufacturer/importer was identified as either commercial or non-commercial, and only the • Section 3 summarizes the data other items. These trailers are not commercial sales are included in this analysis. hauled by heavy-duty tractors. on trailer ownership and activity Sales for Quebec were adjusted as follows. The author patterns from interviews with had access to data showing total tractor sales by trucking fleets, manufacturers/ Compared to the national province for 2010 to 2014. (ENVIRON EC (Canada) Inc. total, the reported trailer importers, and other industry sales in Quebec for all years 2015). Provision of Estimates of Historical Sales and experts. Registrations and of Forecast Sales of New On-Road are significantly lower than Heavy-Duty Vehicles in Canada. Mississauga, ON. For is plausible, given Quebec’s each year (2005-2014), the average ratio of estimated population and economic 2. O verview of Canada’s importance in Canada. tractor sales in Quebec compared to Ontario for 2010- 2014 were multiplied by trailer sales in Ontario to yield trailer sales market estimated trailer sales in Quebec. The Canada trailer market sales data The ratio of trailer sales in Manitoba to sales in Ontario Sales in Manitoba for years 2012 for 2011 are multipled by trailer sales in Ontario for referenced in this paper include to 2014 drop off considerably (by 2012, 2013, and 2014 to yield estimated trailer sales in calendar years 2005 through 2014. ~ 95%) versus 2005 to 2011. Manitoba for those three years. Two datasets were acquired from Due to such a high degree of uncertainty in this dataset, In the second dataset, trailer IHS Automotive. The first dataset the author decided not to use this trailer type data in type is labeled “unknown” or has trailer registrations2 grouped by the analysis. As described in more detail in Section 2.2, is unspecified for nearly half of the percentages of sales by trailer type for the United manufacturer/importer and postal total sales. States are used to estimate the breakdown for Canada. code. The second dataset groups U.S. data for trailer sales by length provides reasonable trailers into 35 distinct trailer types Neither dataset has trailer first-order estimates for the percentage of sales within and presents annual sales for each of length data. each length category by trailer type. See Figure 3-1 in these categories. The second dataset (Sharpe, Clark et al. 2013). also has aggregated totals of Class 8 (i.e., gross vehicle weight rating greater than 33,000 pounds) tractor and trailer sales. Though these datasets are helpful in NUNAVUT providing valuable information about TERRITORIES heavy-duty commercial trailer sales YUKON TERRITORY in Canada, a number of shortcomings were found, which are summarized NORTHWEST in Table 1. TERRITORIES Having adjusted the sales totals BRITISH for Q u eb ec a n d M ani to b a, t he COLUMBIA NEWFOUNDLAND breakdown of percentage sales of AND LABRADOR trailers by province in 2014 is shown ALBERTA in Figure 1. Together, Ontario, Quebec, MANITOBA and Alberta represent over 80% of QUEBEC commercial trailer sales in Canada. SASKATCHEWAN Sales for each of the remaining ONTARIO PRINCE provinces are 7% or less, with the EDWARD three territories accounting for only ISLAND NOVA a negligible portion of overall sales. NEW SCOTIA BRUNSWICK 2 In this analysis, registrations are used as a proxy for sales. This dataset was created by amassing registration data from the various Figure 1: Percentage of trailer sales by province in 2014 motor vehicle bureaus in each province. 2 INTERNATIONAL COUNCIL ON CLEAN TRANSPORTATION WORKING PAPER 2016-7
MARKET ANALYSIS OF HEAVY-DUTY COMMERCIAL TRAILERS IN CANADA As shown in Figure 2, nearly 33,000 35,000 trailers were sold in Canada in 2014. In recent years, the market has recovered from the roughly 50% drop 30,000 in sales due to the global economic crisis of 2008-2009. 25,000 2.1 MANUFACTURER/IMPORTER Annual Sales MARKET SHARES 20,000 The sales of the top 10 commercial trailer manufacturers/importers 15,000 between 2005 and 2014 are shown in Figure 2. In this figure, the manufac- turers/importers are ordered in terms 10,000 of cumulative sales over the 10-year study period, with the market leader 5,000 on the bottom and then decreasing in market share moving up the figure. In terms of cumulative sales, Manac led 0 all manufacturers/importers with 15% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 of total sales, with a maximum market share of 27% in 2008 and a minimum Remaining manufacturers Vanguard National Great Dane Trailers of 8% in 2012. This 19 percentage point Trailer Corp. Hyundai Translead Stoughton Trailers swing in market share was second Lode King Doepker Utility Trailer only to Stoughton, which had a 24 Wabash National Corp. percentage point difference between Max – Atlas Manac Inc. their maximum in 2007 (28%) and Figure 2: Annual trailer sales by manufacturer/importer, 2005 – 2014 their lowest share in 2014 (4%). In 2005, Utility Trailer was the market 2014 2005 – 2014 leader at 13% of total sales, and Great 9% Dane, Manac, and Stoughton followed 14% closely behind with 11%, 11%, and 10% 29% 25% 9% of sales, respectively. Between 2005 and 2014, Hyundai Translead’s market share grew significantly (from 1% 4% 12% to 12%), and by 2014 they were the 4% top-selling trailer maker in Canada. 3% The other manufacturer/importer 5% that saw significant growth in sales 4% 9% was Vanguard, with its market share 6% 5% increasing from 2% in 2005 to 10% 12% in 2014, which put this company 6% 8% in second place behind Hyundai 5% 10% 7% 7% 7% Translead. Combined, the market share of the top ten manufactur- Manac Inc. Wabash National Corp. Max – Atlas ers/importers was 73% in 2005 and remained relatively stable over the Utility Trailer Lode King Doepker 10-year period and was 72% in 2014. Stoughton Trailers Vanguard National Hyundai Translead Trailer Corp. I n F i g u re 3 , t h e m a r ke t s h a re Great Dane Trailers Remaining manufacturers breakdowns for 2014 are shown in the Figure 3: Manufacturer/importer market shares for new commercial trailer sales chart on the left, while the chart on the right chart shows the manufac- The average annual registrations/ shown in Table 2. The right column turer/importer sales percentages for sales between 2005 and 2014 for the lists the primary types of trailers sold the entire 10-year period. top ten manufacturers/importers are by each manufacturer. For seven of WORKING PAPER 2016-7 INTERNATIONAL COUNCIL ON CLEAN TRANSPORTATION 3
MARKET ANALYSIS OF HEAVY-DUTY COMMERCIAL TRAILERS IN CANADA the ten manufacturers/importers, Table 2: The top ten trailer manufacturers/importers in Canada box-type trailers (i.e., dry and refrig- Average Annual erated box van trailers) represent Manufacturer/ New Registrations Rank in the largest portion of their business importer (2005-2014) 2014 Primary types of trailers sold (Sharpe, Clark et al. 2013). As such, Dry and refrigerated box van, Manac 4,058 4 as is discussed in more detail in the flatbed, specialty following section, box-type trailers are Dry and refrigerated box van, Utility Trailer 3,274 3 estimated to account for the majority flatbed of sales in Canada, as in the U.S. Dry box van, grain, drop frame Stoughton Trailers 2,497 10 van Just as the manufacturing, import/ Dry and refrigerated box van, export, and sales of vehicles is Great Dane Trailers 2,283 9 flatbed highly integrated between Canada Dry and refrigerated box van, Wabash National 1,869 7 and the U.S., the same is true for flatbed, tanker the commercial trailer market. In Lode King 1,841 6 Grain, flatbed, drop frame van interviews with industry experts, they Vanguard National 1,611 2 Dry box van, container chassis indicated that supply chains, distribu- Max-Atlas 1,366 5 Container chassis tion, sales, and support networks are Doepker 1,274 8 Grain, flatbed, forestry highly interconnected between the two neighboring countries. This is Dry and refrigerated box van, Hyundai Transled 793 1 container chassis reflected in the sales data, as six out of the top ten companies operating in Table 3: Length breakdown of new commercial trailer sales in the U.S. between 2003 Canada are also in the top ten in the and 2011 U.S. However, the four manufacturers in Canada (i.e., Manac, Lode King, Trailer category < 40 ft. 40 – 52 ft. 53 ft. > 53 ft. Total Max-Atlas, and Doepker) have the Dry box van trailers 20.3% 9.7% 69.8% 0.2% 100% large majority of their sales in Canada Refrigerated box van and have a much smaller presence in 16.3% 16.1% 67.3% 0.3% 100% trailers the U.S. Non-box trailers 29.2% 53.9% 14.0% 2.9% 100% 2.2 SALES BY TRAILER TYPE 2,067 555 6% 801 2% From conversations with seven man- 2% ufacturers, fleets, and other industry 950 3% experts, a common message was that Dry box van 1,070 the distribution of sales of various 15,377 3% Refrigerated box van types of trailers is fairly similar in 47% 2,210 Flatbed Canada and the U.S. Therefore, rather 7% than relying on the highly uncertain Container chassis Canadian data file with sales by trailer Grain type, the author determined that the percentage breakdowns for sales in Dump 2,965 the U.S. is a reasonable first-order 9% Tanker approximation for Canada. The sales Lowbed by trailer type data for the U.S. (for 2003-2011) is much more robust than Other the Canadian data. In that U.S. file, 6,910 only about 2% of sales are unspeci- 21% fied, compared to around 40% for the Canadian file. See Figure 3-2 in Figure 4: Trailer sales by type in 2014, assuming the identical breakdown of sales by (Sharpe, Clark et al. 2013). type as in the U.S. between 2003 and 2011 Applying the sales by trailer type are the most common type of trailer second-highest selling type of trailer percentages from the U.S. to the in the market, representing roughly at about one-fifth of total sales. Canadian sales totals yield the values half of total sales. Refrigerated Together, these box-type trailers shown in Figure 4 for sales in 2014. As box van trailers (refrigerated vans make up just over two-thirds of the shown, dry box van trailers (dry vans) or “reefers”) follow dry vans as the market, with specialty trailers such 4 INTERNATIONAL COUNCIL ON CLEAN TRANSPORTATION WORKING PAPER 2016-7
MARKET ANALYSIS OF HEAVY-DUTY COMMERCIAL TRAILERS IN CANADA as flatbeds, container chassis, grain, 35,000 2.50 dump, and tanker trailers making up Trailer-to-tractor sales ratio the remaining one-third of sales. 30,000 2.00 Trailer length is also a parameter that 25,000 Annual sales was missing from the dataset, thus 20,000 1.50 the U.S. data can again be used as a reasonable first-order approxima- 15,000 1.00 tion for the Canadian market. Table 3 summarizes the length breakdown 10,000 0.50 for three major commercial trailer 5,000 categories. For both dry and refriger- ated box van trailers, nearly 70% of 0 0.00 new sales are 53 feet (ft.), and the 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 remaining 30% of new sales (approxi- Tractors Trailers Sales ratio mately) are trailers shorter than 53 ft. Trailers longer than 53 ft. only Figure 5: Tractor truck and trailer sales, 2005 – 2014 represent a marginal (i.e., less than 0.3%) portion of box trailer sales. As account for the fact that there are 2 proposal (U.S. Environmental shown, non-box trailers tend to be three trailers for every tractor in the Protection Agency 2015). shorter, on average, than box trailers, fleet, and thus the average annual vehicle kilometers traveled (VKT) for One of the objectives of this study with almost 85% of sales being less tractors is three times as large as that is to analyze trailer-to-tractor sales than 53 ft. in length. of trailers. and stock ratios for Canada’s trucking The ICCT recommends that fleet. Figure 5 shows sales of tractors future research be aimed towards Therefore, since the value assumed and trailers between 2005 and 2014. developing a more accurate Canada- for this ratio has such a critical The red data point for each year is the specific breakdown of sales by trailer impact on the economics of trucking ratio of trailers to tractors sold. This type and length. operations, it is important that sales ratio ranged from 1.2 in 2005 to policymakers have a reasonably 2.1 in 2009, and over the 10-year period good assessment of the average the ratio of cumulative sales was 1.6. 2.3 TRAILER-TO-TRACTOR trailer-to-tractor in-use and sales This value of 1.6 is comparable to the RATIOS ratios so that the costs and benefits average trailer-to-tractor sales ratio in In North America and many regions estimated in a regulation targeting the U.S. between 1986 and 2011, which around the world, trailers are typically both tractors and trailers adequately was 1.7 (R.L Polk & Co. 2012). For the paired with numerous different on-road re f l e c t co n d i t i o n s i n t h e re a l - time period over which the datasets tractors and are often parked alone world. According to the Bureau of for the two countries overlap—that without a tractor in order to accommo- Transportation Statistics in the U.S., is, 2005 to 2011—the trailer-to-tractor date logistical constraints and allow for there are approximately three trailers sales ratios for Canada and the US more efficient use of the tractor fleet. for every tractor for the entire trac- were 1.6 and 1.5, respectively. As such, it is generally the case that tor-trailer fleet in the U.S. (Bureau of Transportation Statistics 2010). Todaystrucking.com has maintained a trailers far outnumber tractors. This three-to-one in-use ratio is used database of the 100 largest trucking Estimating the ratio of trailers-to- in both of the major studies that fleets in Canada by combined tractor tractors is an important element of formed the basis for the U.S. Phase 1 and trailer ownership since 2001. any analysis looking at the impacts of regulatory technology potential and (Carter 2016) The latest data from additional technologies for tractor- cost analyses (Kromer, Bockholt et 2016 is summarized in Figures 6 and trailers. For example, say there is a al. 2009, Committee on Assessment 7. Figure 6 is a scatter plot of the trucking fleet that has 100 tractors of Technologies and Approaches for trailer-to-tractor ratios for all 100 and 300 trailers, and they are con- Reducing the Fuel Consumption of fleets. While the in-use ratios range sidering a technology package that Medium- and Heavy-Duty Vehicles widely (from 1.2 to 19.4), the large would impose an increase of X dollars 2010, U.S. Environmental Protection majority (84%) of values are clustered per tractor and Y dollars per trailer. Agency 2011), and this same ratio between 2 and 6. Combined, these In their return on investment calcula- was also assumed in the trailer 100 fleets own roughly 130,000 tion, the fleet must express the total impact analysis in the U.S. Phase trailers and 43,000 tractors, which per tractor-trailer costs as X + 3Y to yields an estimated average ratio of 3. WORKING PAPER 2016-7 INTERNATIONAL COUNCIL ON CLEAN TRANSPORTATION 5
MARKET ANALYSIS OF HEAVY-DUTY COMMERCIAL TRAILERS IN CANADA One of the reasons why this in-use 20 ratio of 3 is much higher than the 1.6 sales ratio is the fact that trailers 18 tend to have longer useful lives 16 than tractors and are often used as parked storage devices. Also, there 14 Trailer-to-tractor ratio are often permanent registration options for trailers, which makes it 12 difficult to know when trailers are taken out of service. 10 Figure 7 summarizes the trailer and 8 tractor ownership for the 25 largest 6 fleets. The value to the right of the AVERAGE = 3.0 data bars is the trailer-to-tractor 4 in-use ratio for each fleet. Transforce is by far the largest fleet in Canada 2 and has more than double the combined number of trailers and 0 tractors than Mullen Group, the sec- Figure 6: Trailer-to-tractor ratios for the 100 largest trucking fleets in Canada ond-largest carrier. Beyond the top five fleets, the next largest 20 fleets each own between roughly 2,000 Purolator 2.8 and 5,000 trailers and tractors. International Truckload Services 3.4 Trailers Tractors Rosenau Transport 3.9 C.A.T./Canadian American Trans. 3.9 3. Trailer ownership and SGT 2000 4.9 Rosedale Group 2.9 activity patterns M-O Freightworks 3.5 Hyndman Transport 3.5 Quantitative data on trailer ownership H&R Transport Limited 2.9 cycles and activity patterns are Siemens Transportation Group 2.6 Westcan Bulk Transport 2.8 lacking. To address this knowledge Kriska Transportation Group Limited 3.0 gap, the ICCT has interviewed a Transfreight, Inc. 5.3 number of experts in the Canadian Canada Cartage 1.2 Manitoulin Transport Group 3.3 trucking industry. For this project, SLH Transport 8.6 the study team interviewed seven Groupe Robert 3.0 individuals that represent some of Challenger Motor Freight Inc. 2.2 Day & Ross Transportation Group 2.1 the leading trailer manufacturers/ Armour Transportation Systems 3.9 importers, fleets, and suppliers in Bison Transport inc 2.7 Canada. These individuals provided Trimac Transportation Services LP 3.5 TransX Ltd 3.0 their best judgment on average Mullen Group Ltd. 2.8 trailer ownership and activity (i.e., TransForce Inc. 3.1 annual kilometers) patterns. These 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 seven responses were combined with previous survey data of 18 companies Figure 7: Tractors and trailer owned by the 25 largest trucking fleets in Canada that were collected by Pollution Probe in collaboration with the ICCT and refrigerated box van trailers and When asked about the average (Sharpe and May 2015). Together, specialty trailers, which include all duration of ownership for the first these 25 interview responses form non-box trailers such as flatbed, tanker, owner of a dry van, responses a diverse set of perspectives and and bulk material trailers. This three- ranged from 7 to 15 years, and the data points that the study team used category segmentation approach most common answer was 10 years. to create typical profiles for trailer (i.e., dry and refrigerated box van Interviewees stated that trailers are ownership and activity, which are trailers, and non-box trailers) is the generally in long-haul operations summarized in Figure 8. same framework that was employed and most active in terms of annual in the trailer portion of the U.S. Phase kilometers (km) during this first As shown in the figure, trailers are 2 GHG proposal (U.S. Environmental ownership cycle, and a reasonable segmented in three categories: dry Protection Agency 2015). estimate is between 40,000 and 6 INTERNATIONAL COUNCIL ON CLEAN TRANSPORTATION WORKING PAPER 2016-7
MARKET ANALYSIS OF HEAVY-DUTY COMMERCIAL TRAILERS IN CANADA 10 20 Age (years) DRY VANS First owner 7 – 15 years (10 avg.); 40,000 – 60,000 km/year Second owner ~ 5 years; 20,000 – 40,000 km/year End of life Parked storage; sold to developing markets REFRIGERATED TRAILERS First owner 10 – 15 years; 80,000 – 100,000 km/year Second owner ~ 5 years; 40,000 - 70,000 km/year End of life Parked storage; sold to developing markets SPECIALTY TRAILERS First owner 15 – 20 years; annual kilometers highly variable End of life Scrapped and/or sold for parts Figure 8: Typical trailer ownership and activity patterns over its useful life 60,000 km per year. Typically, dry to maintain the refrigeration units, the final stage in its lifetime. vans can be re-sold fairly easily, since survey respondents indicated that they are not highly specialized for fleets tend to keep reefers longer Due to the tremendous variety in the a particular payload or operational than dry vans. Another unique aspect specialty trailer market, there was less profile. Respondents stated that dry of refrigerated van operations is that convergence in the survey responses vans tend to go into more regional fleets with a large percentage of around ownership cycles and activity and local service during their second reefers in their fleet tend to have a rates. However, one of the key themes ownership cycle, and annual activity much lower trailer-to-tractor ratio about specialty trailers was that decreases to between 20,000 and than fleets that primarily run dry these trailers are often expensive 40,000 km. Following this second vans. One respondent said that a rule to purchase and maintain, and, ownership cycle, most interviewees of thumb is that dry van fleets have therefore, fleets generally keep them indicated that dry vans are either trailer-to-tractor ratios between 2 for many years. On the question of sold to developing markets (e.g., and 2.5, while reefer fleets have ratios ownership, a typical answer was that Latin America) or used as perma- between 1.2 and 1.5. As such, the fleets keep these trailers for 15 to 20 nently parked storage. interviewees remarked that reefers years or more and use these trailers usually travel more annual kilometers until they have little to no residual According to Commercial Trailer than dry vans. In terms of ownership value. Average annual kilometers for Blue Book data, an average refrig- progressions, most respondents specialty trailers are highly dependent erated box van trailer costs about commented that a reefer follows a on the specific operational profile of twice as much as a dry box van trailer similar path as a dry van, migrating the fleet. Consequently, most of the (Price Digest 2012). Since reefers from high mileage service with the interviewees were hesitant to give a are more expensive and additional first owner, to regional operations numerical range for annual kilometers resources must be invested annually later in life, and storage or export as for this category of trailers. More WORKING PAPER 2016-7 INTERNATIONAL COUNCIL ON CLEAN TRANSPORTATION 7
MARKET ANALYSIS OF HEAVY-DUTY COMMERCIAL TRAILERS IN CANADA research is needed to determine with respect to dry vans, reefers, and Climate Change Canada and other how activity rates vary amongst the specialty (i.e., non-box trailers) trailers. policymakers across North America various operations of different types Combining these interview responses in their evaluation of policy measures of specialty trailers. with ownership and activity data for heavy-duty commercial trailers. obtained in a previous industry survey More comprehensive and granular conducted by Pollution Probe and data are needed to sharpen the 4. Conclusions the ICCT, the study team developed knowledge of the Canadian trailer The primary objectives of this study typical usage profiles for the three market, particularly with respect to were to analyze the new commercial broad trailer categories, which are trailer types, lengths, and overall trailer sales market in Canada and summarized as follows: population estimates. build on previous research to refine estimates for trailer ownership • F i r st ow n e r s te n d to ke e p cycles and average activity rates. dry vans for about 10 years References Overall, the Canadian trailer market and operate them between Bureau of Transportation Statistics has rebounded from the 2008-2009 40,000 and 60,000 km per year. Second owners are then (2010). State Transportation global economic crisis, and annual likely to use dry vans in more Statistics. Washington, DC, sales averaged 32,000 units between regional routes, and annual Research and Innovative 2011 and 2014. Manac, Utility activity is roughly cut in half. Technology Administration, U.S. Trailer, Stoughton, Great Dane, and After 5 to 7 years of this more Department of Transportation. Wabash National have the largest cumulative sales between 2005 and limited service, dry vans are Canada’s top 100 carriers: 2016.” 2014, though in recent years, sales generally sold to developing Retrieved February 3, 2016, from for both Hyundai Translead and markets or converted to http://www.todaystrucking.com/ Vanguard National have surged, and stationary storage units. top100. in 2014 those two companies were • Reefers follow a similar Committee on Assessment of the market leaders. three-tier ownership and usage Technologies and Approaches progression as dry vans, except for Reducing the Fuel Between 2005 and 2014, cumulative it was clear from the interview Consumption of Medium- and sales of trailers in Canada were larger responses that fleets primarily than sales of tractors by a ratio of 1.6, Heavy-Duty Vehicles (2010). operating reefers tend to have which is quite similar to the ratio in Technologies and Approaches to lower trailer-to-tractor ratios, the U.S. between 2005 and 2011 (1.5). Reducing the Fuel Consumption and thus these reefer units For the largest 100 fleets in Canada, of Medium- and Heavy-Duty amass more annual kilometers the average in-use trailer-to-tractor Vehicles. Washington, DC, with their first (80,000 to ratio is 3, but values ranged widely— National Research Council of the 100,000 km) and second from 1.2 to 19.4. National tractor and National Academies. (40,000 to 70,000 km) owners. trailer registration totals are needed ENVIRON EC (Canada) Inc. (2015). to determine whether this value of 3 • Given the remarkable diversity Provision of Estimates of is reasonably accurate for the entire w i t h i n t h e n o n - b ox t ra i l e r c a te g o r y, i t i s d i f f i c u l t to Historical Sales and Registrations Canadian fleet. More research is establish a uniform ownership and of Forecast Sales of New needed to determine the number of and usage profile that applies On-Road Heavy-Duty Vehicles in total commercial trailers in Canada, since the Statistics Canada data for across the entire group. Canada. Mississauga, ON. trailer registrations includes personal Nevertheless, a common theme International Council on Clean use trailers that are used in the f ro m t h e re s p o n d e n t s wa s Transportation. (2016). “Global passenger car and light truck markets. that these trailers are typically Transportation Roadmap Model.” more expensive to purchase Retrieved February 8, 2016, from Interviews were conducted with and maintain, and thus, fleets http://www.theicct.org/global- seven Canadian trucking industry tend to keep these trailers for transportation-roadmap-model. experts with the primary objective the large majority or all of their of collecting information about useful life, which can be 15 to 20 Kromer, M., W. Bockholt and M. ownership and activity patterns over years or more. Jackson (2009). Assessment the useful lifetimes of trailers. These of Fuel Economy Technologies survey respondents were asked about This project will provide data and for Medium- and Heavy- Duty typical trailer usage behavior for fleets analysis to assist Environment and Vehicles. Cupertino, CA, TIAX LLC. 8 INTERNATIONAL COUNCIL ON CLEAN TRANSPORTATION WORKING PAPER 2016-7
MARKET ANALYSIS OF HEAVY-DUTY COMMERCIAL TRAILERS IN CANADA Price Digest (2012). Commercial Sharpe, B. and D. May (2015). Costs U.S. Environmental Protection Trailer Blue Book, Penton and adoption rates of fuel-saving Agency (2011). Greenhouse Gas Media, Inc. technologies for trailers in the Emissions Standards and Fuel Canadian on-road freight sector. Efficiency Standards for Medium- R.L Polk & Co. (2012). New Washington, DC, The International and Heavy-Duty Engines and Commercial Class 8 Tractor Council on Clean Transportation. Vehicles. Federal Register, Vol. and Trailer (24-foot to 65-foot) 76, Number 179. U.S. Government Registrations between 1986 and Statistics Canada. (2015, June Printing Office. 2011. R.L Polk & Co. Southfield, MI. 26). “Table 405-0004 - Road motor vehicles, registrations, U.S. Environmental Protection Sharpe, B., N. Clark and D. Lowell annual (number).” Retrieved Agency (2015). Greenhouse (2013). Trailer technologies for February 8, 2016, from http:// Gas Emissions Standards and increased heavy-duty vehicle www5.statcan.gc.ca/cansim/ Fuel Efficiency Standards for efficiency: Technical, market, a26?lang=eng&id=4050004. Medium- and Heavy-Duty Engines and policy considerations. and Vehicles - Phase 2. Federal Washington, DC, The International Register, Vol. 80, Number 133. U.S. Council on Clean Transportation. Government Printing Office. WORKING PAPER 2016-7 INTERNATIONAL COUNCIL ON CLEAN TRANSPORTATION 9
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