March 2020 Best Euro Deal 2018 - Investor relations
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Content • DNB – A Brief Overview • The Norwegian Economy • Financial Targets, Performance and Capital • Loan Book and Asset Quality • ESG and Sustainability • Funding • Appendices: • Cover Pool Portfolio Information and LCR eligibility • The Norwegian Mortgage Market • Capital and Tier 1 • Additional slides – Financial Performance and Other information 2
DNB – Norway’s Leading Financial Services Group • Approximately 30% market share in Norway • 34% owned by the Norwegian Government • Credit Ratings: • Moody's: Aa2 (stable) • S&P: AA- (stable) • Sustainability/ESG Ratings: • Sustainalytics: 16.9 (Low Risk) Management Score: 61.7 • ISS QualityScore: 1 • MSCI ESG Ratings: A 4
The DNB Group DNB ASA DNB Life and DNB Bank ASA Asset Management Aa2/AA- 100% owned by DNB Bank and DNB functionally an integrated part of the parent Boligkreditt AS (Covered Bonds: AAA/Aaa) Mortgages originated within DNB Bank’s distribution network in accordance with the bank's credit policy 5
A Solid Norwegian Economy 2018 2019 2020E 2021E Budget surplus1) 8.1% 8.8% 9.1% 9.0% Oil fund2) EUR 809bn EUR 970bn EUR 995bn Unemployment3) 3.9% 3.7% 3.8% 3.9% GDP growth3) +2.2% +2.5% +1.9% +1.5% Central Bank Rate3) 0.75% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% Sources: 1) General Government net lending as percentage of GDP, OECD Economic Outlook No. 106, November 2019 2) Ministry of Finance (National Budget 2020) 3) DNB Markets, January 2020 7
Government Finances are Rock Solid Annual budget deficit/surplus forecast for 20201) General government net financial liabilities1) As per cent of nominal GDP 2019 -300.00 -250.00 -200.00 -150.00 -100.00 -50.00 0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 1) Source: OECD Economic Outlook no. 106, November 2019 8
The Growth of the Sovereign Wealth Fund Adds Flexibility Government Pension Fund Global Oil income versus spending 2001-2019, NOK billion 2006-2019, NOK billion Annual return, GPFG 10000 Annual net petro cash flow Annual actual "spending of oil-money" 9000 8000 600 7000 500 6000 5000 400 4000 300 3000 200 2000 100 1000 0 0 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Source: Ministry of Finance (National Budget 2019), DNB Markets, NBIM 9
Unemployment – Among the Lowest in Europe Forecasted unemployment Per cent 10 8 6 3.9 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.9 4 2 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020F 2021F 2022F DNB Markets (Jan 20) Among the lowest unemployment in Europe Per cent 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Denmark Finland Norway Sweden United Kingdom Euro area (17 countries) Source: OECD Economic Outlook No. 106 November 2019/DNB Markets (Jan 20) 10
Solid Economic Growth in Norway GDP growth Year on year, per cent 6% 5% 4% 3.7% 3% 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 1% 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e 2021e 2022e -1% DNB Markets (Jan 20) Statistics Norway (Nov 19) GDP growth Per cent 5% 4% Norway 3% Sweden 2% Denmark 1% Finland 0% Euro Area 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 -1% -2% Source: OECD Economic Outlook No. 106, November 2019 11
Oil Investments Stabilising at High Level – Lower break-even price ensures a competitive continental shelf Petroleum investments in Norway Break-even price: Sanctioned vs April 2017 NOK billion, share of GDP in per cent USD per barrel, Brent Blend 250 10 9 200 8 80 7 150 6 52 5 45 38 35 35 100 4 30 3 20 50 2 1 Johan Sverdrup Johan Castberg 0 0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Sanctioned March 2016 September 2016 February 2019 Constant 2017 prices (lha) Share of GDP (rha) Source: Thomson Datastream, DNB Markets Source: Rystad Energy, Equinor, Wall Street Journal 12
Financial Targets, Performance and Capital 13
Financial Ambitions 2019-2022 Return on equity >12% Overriding target CET1 ratio1) C/I ratio Payout ratio ~17.9%²⁾ 50% Capital level Key performance indicator Dividend policy 1) CET1 capital ratio without transitional rules 2) Proposed requirement including management buffer of about 1 per cent at 31 December 2019 14
DNB is a Digital Front Runner • 91% of Norwegians use online banking services • Fully automated secured lending • 6% of payments are made in cash • Boosting efficiency with automation Transforming our branch network Annual visits to our digital platforms (millions) Number of branch offices 220 467 116 281 200 243 156 2 9 113 57 1 49 73 83 85 86 83 92 83 80 76 76 2010 2015 2016 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e Online bank Mobile bank 15
Total income split for the year 2019 DNB Delivers Solid Profit Net gains on financial Other income instruments 5% at fair value 6% Net commission and fees 18% Pre-tax operating profit before impairment NOK billion Net interest income 71% 35 34.1 30.8 31.7 30 28.7 28.5 28.3 25 20 18.7 15 10 7.7 7.4 5 2.3 2.4 2.2 1.6 (0.1) 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (5) Pre-tax operating profit before impairment Impairment of loans 16
DNB Earnings in the Context of Nordic Peers Balance Sheet Size (Q4 2019, EUR bn eqv) Pre-Tax Operating Profit (EUR bn eqv)1 Bank 1 DNB Bank 2 Bank 3 555 4.0 4.0 3.1 3.0 317 2.8 2.5 2.6 2.5 276 249 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.1 Bank 1 DNB Bank 2 Bank 3 2017 2018 2019 Source: Company Websites, Factbooks, Annual Reports. End of Period Exchange Rates used for Balance Sheet Size and Average Exchange Rate used for Operating Profit. Source of Exchange Rates: Bloomberg 1) Pre-Tax Operating Profit Post Impairments 17
Stage 3 Net Loans and Financial Commitments (IFRS 9) (Former Net Non-Performing and Doubtful Loans IAS 39) IAS 39 IFRS 9 Per cent 1.69 1.64 1.46 1.47 1.49 1.45 1.33 1.29 1.27 1.21 1.18 1.12 1.15 1.09 1.03 1.03 26.4 0.94 0.90 0.92 NOK billion 25.7 0.79 23.1 23.6 22.8 23.2 21.6 20.8 21.6 19.2 18.2 17.3 31 March 30 June 30 Sept. 31 Dec. 31 March 30 June 30 Sept. 31 Dec. 31 March 30 June 30 Sept. 31 Dec. 1) 2017 2018 20191) Net non-performing and doubtful loans and guarantees (IAS 39) Stage 3 - Net loans (IFRS 9) Stage 3 - Net financial commitmens (IFRS 9) Net non-performing and doubtful loans and guarantees as a percentage of net loans (IAS 39) Stage 3 - Net loans and financial commitments as a percentage of net loans (IFRS 9) Stage 3 - Net loans and financial commitments as a percentage of net loans and financial commitments (IFRS 9) 1) As a result of the transition to IFRS 9 from 1 January 2018, unutilised credit lines and other financial commitments have been included. 18
Healthy Asset Quality reduces Cost of Risk Development in high-risk and stage 3 exposures¹⁾ Reduced risk 200.00 20.00 • Strong Norwegian macro 152 150.00 15.00 115 101 98 • Solid and diversified portfolio 100.00 7.9 10.00 6.1 5.2 4.9 50.00 5.00 • Reduced exposure to cyclical industries 0.00 0.00 31 Dec. 2016 31 Dec. 2017 31 Dec. 2018 31 Dec. 2019 • Quarterly fluctuations, but expecting lower impairment losses than 1997-2019 average Exposure (EAD) in NOK bn Per cent of total exposure Impairment losses 1997-2019 0.18 % Impairment in % of net loans Average impairment in % 1) “High-risk” is defined as probability of default (PD) ≥3 per cent. “Stage 3” is defined as non-performing and doubtful portfolio. 19
Key Financial Ratios 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 Return on equity (%) 11.7 11.7 10.8 10.1 14.5 Cost income (%) 42.2 43.8 44.2 40.9 36.9 Comb. weighted total average spread (%) 1.33 1.30 1.30 1.32 1.33 Write down ratio (%) 0.13 -0.01 0.15 0.48 0.15 Common equity tier 1 ratio (%)1) 18.6 17.2 16.7 17.6 16.0 Total capital ratio (%)1) 22.9 20.8 20.3 21.4 19.8 Leverage Ratio (%) 7.4 7.5 7.2 7.3 6.7 1) On 31 December 2019, Norway fully implemented the EU's capital requirements legislation CRR/CRD IV, and the so-called Basel I floor was removed. The additional capital requirements due to the transitional rules have been removed from the historical figures. The harmonised rules include the introduction of the SME discount factor. 20
Latest Amendments to Norwegian Capital Requirements Core Tier 1 – announced by Ministry of Finance 11 December 2019 • With the final implementation of CRR/CRD IV in Norway from 31 December 2019, the Basel I floor was removed and capital requirements for exposures to Small and Medium sized enterprises were reduced (SME discount). • The systemic risk buffer was increased from 3.0% to 4.5% for Norwegian exposures from 31 December 2020, increasing DNB’s CET requirement by approximately 0.1%. • DNB’s management buffer will be kept at approx. 100 bp. • DNB will for now not make any changes to the capital target of 17.9% (CET1). 21
DNB – A Very Strong Capital Position CET1 capital ratio and leverage ratio1) Leverage ratio versus Nordic Peers Per cent, as of 31 December 2019 Per cent, as of 31 December 2019 7.4 DNB’s leverage ratio requirement2) 17.1 % 6.0 1.0% Mgt buffer 5.3 5.4 5.1 4.9 4.6 18.6% 16.1% (SREP) 7.4% CET1 Ratio Leverage Ratio CET1 Requirement DNB Nordea SEB Swedbank SHB Danske Bank 1) As per the implementation of CRR/CRD IV in Norwegian legislation, the Basel I transitional floor was removed with effect from 31 December 2019. 2) The Norwegian leverage ratio requirement for banks is 5% effective as from 30 June 2017. For systemically important banks, such as DNB, the minimum requirement is 6%. A potential breach of the leverage ratio requirement will not trigger automatic restrictions on AT1 coupon payments. 22
DNB – A Very Strong Capital Position Binding CET1 requirements: transitional rules CET1 capital ratio CET1 capital build up Per cent 18.3 18.6 NOK bn 178 17.6 177 17.2 16.9 168 171 16.4 16.7 16.4 163 16.0 16.0 14.4 142 128 116 104 95 2015 2016 2017 2018 3Q19 2019 2010 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 CET1 ratio (trans rules Basel I Floor) CET1 ratio SREP Requirement *) As per the implementation of CRR/CRD IV in Norwegian legislation, the Basel I transitional floor was removed with effect from 31 December 2019. 23
DNB – A Very Strong Capital Position S&P RAC Ratios for Top 50 Rated Western European Banks Per Cent, 31 Dec 2018 13.8 12.4 11.9 S&P RAC Ratio versus Nordic Peers 10.4 10.6 Per Cent, 31 Dec 2018 9.7 DNB Swedbank Nordea Danske Bank SEB SHB 24
CET1 Capital Requirements - and Capital Generation • SREP includes Pillar 2 requirements, but they are not included in the MDA trigger level1) • Management buffer must be seen in connection with DNB’s capital generation abilities • A systemic risk buffer of 4.5% was imposed on Norwegian exposures from 31 December 2020. For DNB this corresponds to approx. 3.1% on the total RWA. 18.6% 17.2% ~17.9% TARGET ~17.9% TARGET Capital Generation3) SREP 1.0% 1.0% Basispoints (bps) – transitional rules ~16.1% ~16.3% 15.5 % ~2.0% ~2.0% 1.8% 341 1.7% ~2.1%2) ~2.2%2) 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 240 249 3.0% 3.0% ~3.1% 188 202 89 157 141 147 55 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 175 40 55 160 144 160 139 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 101 92 44 -3 YE 2018 YE 2019 Target K 31.12.2020 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Pillar 1 Min Requirement Systemic risk Buffer Dividends and Buy-backs SIFI Buffer Countercyclical Buffer Pillar 2 Requirement SREP Requirement CET1 build up Conservation Buffer Management Buffer DNB CET1 - without trans. rules 1) In a consultation paper dated 27 April 2018, the Norwegian FSA suggested to include the Pillar 2 requirements in the calculation of the MDA trigger level. The Ministry of Finance has not yet expressed its view on the proposal, therefore, it is uncertain whether the proposal will be adopted. 2) Based on a countercyclical buffer (CCyB) rate of 2.5%, leading to an effective CCyB for DNB of approximately 2.1% from YE2019 and estimated 2.2% from YE2020. 3) The 2019 figures are calculated on the basis of the implementation of CRR/CRD IV in Norway, which removed the Basel I floor and introduced the SME discount. The change in methodology had a significant positive impact on the CET1 build up. 25
MDA – DNB well above CET1 MDA Trigger Level • Pillar 2 requirements in Norway are currently not included in the MDA trigger level • FSA has proposed to include Pillar 2 in MDA trigger level, but no final decision is taken1) • MDA buffer must be seen in connection with DNB’s capital generation abilities 18.6% 17.2% 13.7% ~14.1% ~14.3% Capital generation2) Basispoints (bps) – transitional rules 139 341 240 249 188 202 55 89 157 141 147 175 40 55 160 144 139 101 160 92 44 -3 YE 2018 YE 2019 YE 2020 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Dividends and Buy-backs MDA Trigger Level DNB CET1 ratio CET1 build up 1) In a consultation paper dated 27 April 2018, the Norwegian FSA suggested to include the Pillar 2 requirements in the calculation of the MDA trigger level. The Ministry of Finance has not yet expressed its view on the proposal, therefore, it is uncertain whether the proposal will be adopted. 2) The 2019 figures are calculated on the basis of the implementation of CRR/CRD IV in Norway, which removed the Basel I floor and introduced the SME discount. The change in methodology had a significant positive impact on the CET1 build up. 26
MREL Requirement – Announced by NFSA 23 December 2019 • DNB ASA (HoldCo) shall hold total MREL capital equal to 36.7% of adjusted (for DNB Boligkreditt) risk weighted assets based on the balance per 31 December 2018, which leads to a need for MREL eligible debt of NOK 157 billion. • The minimum MREL requirement shall be met per 30 June 2020. • Senior preferred debt issued by DNB Bank per 31 December 2019, with a minimum remaining tenor of one year, will qualify as MREL capital until 31 December 2022. As of 31 December 2019, qualifying debt with a minimum tenor of one year amounts to NOK 178 billion. • During the transitional period DNB will gradually replace maturing senior debt with the required volume of non-preferred senior debt. • MREL eligible debt shall be issued by DNB (HoldCo) to third party investors. Relevant group units, including DNB Bank, shall issue internal MREL debt to DNB (HoldCo) in order to establish an adequate loss absorbing mechanism in the group. • DNB has initiated a process to merge DNB (HoldCo) and DNB Bank, making DNB Bank the ultimate parent company of the DNB Group. The intention of the merger, which requires permission from the Norwegian Ministry of Finance, is to enable DNB to issue non-preferred senior debt from DNB Bank. • The MREL requirement will vary over time based on changes in RWA and capital requirements. 27
IFRS 9 | Basel IV | Risk Weighted Density DNB is well positioned for future regulatory requirements • IFRS 9 • IFRS 9 was implemented from 1 January 2018 and reduced the CET1 capital ratio by approximately 28 basis points in Q1 2018 as a one-off effect. • IFRS 9 is now fully implemented, hence, DNB will not apply for transitional rules. • Basel IV • DNB is well positioned due to already high risk weights. • The implementation of Basel IV is expected to have limited effects for DNB. • Risk Weighted Density Risk Weighted Assets 34.4% Per cent of total assets, 31 December 2019 26.1% 27.1% 27.0% 23.3% 20.4% DNB SEB Nordea Danske Swedbank SHB 28
Future Changes in Regulatory Framework - Capital CRR Compensation • EU Directives and Regulations do not have direct effect in Norway 2020 Stricter requirements on IRB models Pressure on Pillar 2 • First step: Implementation in the EEC agreement CRDV/CRR2 • Second step: Relevant rules to be implemented in 2021+ Composition of buffers and Norwegian law Pillar 2 Requirements. New considerations: Climate Risk. • Time lag might vary from months to years Basel IV – CRR3 • 5 February 2020: Ministry of Finance requested the 2022+ New Standard methods Norwegian FSA to propose relevant changes in New floor Norwegian law as a result of CRDV/CRR2/BRRD2. The NFSA has until 1 October 2020 to present the proposals, suggesting possible implementation in Norwegian law some time in 2021. 29
Loan Book and Asset Quality 30
Loan Book EAD by Segments as of 31 December 2019 Commercial real estate Shipping Other corporate 10% 3% Oil, gas and customers offshore 4% 5% Power and renewables 2% Healthcare 2% Public sector 1% Fishing, fish farming and Personal farming customers1) 2% 54% Retail industries 3% Manufacturing 4% Technology, media and Residential telecom property Services 2% 5% 3% Including net non-performing and net doubtful loans and guarantees. Exposures at default are based on full implementation of IRB. 1) Of which mortgages 46 per cent of total exposure at default. 31
Aiming to Reduce Volatility and Increase Profitability Through Rebalancing of the Portfolio Reducing Exposure in Cyclical Industries Rebalancing Between Large Corporates USD billion and Personal Customers 21 20 11 54% 51% 49% 7 46% 3Q 2015 4Q 2019 2012 Q4 2019 2014 Q4 2019 Mortgages and other exposures, personal customers Shipping Oil, gas and offshore Corporate loans 32
Mortgage Lending in DNB is Based on Cash Flow Willingness to repay the loan 1. Credit history 7.7% Capability of repaying the loan 2.7% 5 % 2. Including 5 per cent interest rate stress Amortization requirement above 60% LTV Current Mortgage rate Max 5x gross income mortgage rate including stress test 3. Collateral LTV max 85% Monthly behavior scoring of 4. borrowers 33
House Prices Fundamental Factors Explaining the Past House Price Increase Nominal House Prices 2000-2019 Norwegian House Prices Completed housings less growth in households 350 800 5 000 300 700 0 600 250 500 -5 000 200 400 150 300 -10 000 100 200 -15 000 50 100 0 0 -20 000 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2006200820102012201420162018 Nominal prices Norway UK Sweden CPI-deflated prices Denmark USA Income per capita-deflated prices Source: Eiendomsverdi AS Source: Real Estate Norway, Statistics Norway Source: Norges Bank, Statistics Norway (member of the European AVM Alliance) 34
House Price Development in Norway and Oslo1) • House prices have grown 3.6% the last 12 months • Prices are now at all-time high levels for Norway and Oslo • For Oslo, 0.8% higher than previous all-time high in 2017 • DNB expects relative flat development in house prices going forward. House Price Growth House Price Growth As of February 2020 1 Jan 2007 = Index 100 All-time High = Feb -20 for Norway, 250 Feb -20 for Oslo Norway Oslo 200 6.0% 150 3.6% 100 50 0% 0% 0 Since all-time-high Last 12 months 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Norway Oslo Source: Eiendomsverdi AS Source: Eiendomsverdi AS (member of the European AVM Alliance) (member of the European AVM Alliance) 1) The methodology for house price data was revised in January 2018, hence there are some differences in data points from previous versions of this presentation. 35
Mortgage Lending Regulation Tightened Regulation from January 2017 has Impacted House Price Growth • Max 5x gross income House Price Growth 1 Jan 2007 = Index 100 • Max 85% LTV • 60% for secondary home in Oslo 200 • Debt servicing capacity 175 • 5 percentage points interest rate increase • Amortization requirement above 60% LTV 150 • 2.5% of approved loan or principal payment as for 30 year annuity • Banks have some flexibility 125 • Banks can deviate in 10% of mortgage applications each quarter 100 • In Oslo this flexibility is limited to 8% 75 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Norway Oslo 36
A Very Robust Cover Pool 60% 50% 50% 49% 50% 44% 40% High OC 30% 20% 2016 2017 2018 2019 70% 60% 55% LTV around 55% 54% 54% 55% (Weighted average) 50% 40% 2016 2017 2018 2019 House Price Decline Current 10% 20% 30% WA Indexed LTV 54.5% 59.6% 67.0% 76.6% Stress test -house price decline Eligible OC 48.6% 45.4% 40.1% 31.6% 37
A Very Robust Residential Loan Portfolio Loan-to-Value (LTV) Per Cent of Residential Mortgage Book, 31 December 2019 34% 27% 16% 17% 6% 0-40 40-60 60-75 75-85 >85 Includes mortgages in DNB Bank and DNB Boligkreditt 38
Oil-Related Portfolio represents 4.9% of Total Customer EaD Total loan portfolio1) – EaD NOK 1,977 billion Oil-related portfolio – EAD NOK 96 billion Per cent, as at 31 December 2019 4.9% of DNB’s total EaD as at 31 December 2019 Oilfield services 0.7% Oil & Gas 2.4% 8% 3.1 % 1.8 % 6% 11 % 1.8% 7% Offshore • The oil-related portfolio has been reduced significantly: Offshore – EAD NOK 35 billion Down from NOK 167.1bn (8.4% of total EaD) in September 2015 1) Excluding Credit Institutions 39
Oil-Related Portfolio Offshore the Most Challenging Sector DNB’s oil-related portfolio split by sub-segment in terms of exposure (EaD) and by risk grade Total Oil related segments Offshore EaD in NOK billion EaD in NOK billion 40 29 18 9 13 11 8 4 Low risk Medium risk High risk Net non-performing Low risk Medium risk High risk Net non-performing and net doubtful and net doubtful commitments commitments Oil and Gas Oilfield Service EaD in NOK billion EaD in NOK billion 29 12 7 5 5 0.2 2 0.3 Low risk Medium risk High risk Net non-performing Low risk Medium risk High risk Net non-performing and net doubtful and net doubtful Probability of default (per cent) commitments commitments 31.12.2016 31.12.2017 31.03.2018 30.06.2018 Low risk 0.01 – 0.75 30.09.2018 31.12.2018 31.03.2019 30.06.2019 Medium risk 0.75 – 3.00 30.09.2019 31.12.2019 High risk 3.00 - impaired 40
Shipping Exposure is 3% of DNB’s Total Loan Portfolio The Shipping Portfolio is Well Diversified Total loan portfolio1) – EaD NOK 1 977 billion Shipping portfolio2) – EaD NOK 59 billion Per cent, as at 31 December 2019 Per cent of DNB’s total EAD, as at 31 December 2019 Other shipping 0.2% Crude oil tankers 0.7% Gas 0.6% 8% 3.0% Chemical and product tankers 6% 0.3% 0.7% Dry bulk 11 % 0.4% 7% Container • The shipping portfolio has been reduced significantly • Down from NOK 138.1bn (6.9% of total EAD) in September 2015 1) Excluding Credit Institutions 2) Excluding offshore portfolio. Offshore is included in oil-related portfolio. 41
Risk Classification and Migration DNB’s Shipping Book (Excluding Offshore) Shipping1) – EaD distribution by PD bracket NOK billion 38 14 6 1 Low risk Medium risk High risk Net non-performing and net doubtful commitments 31.12.2016 31.12.2017 31.03.2018 30.06.2018 30.09.2018 31.12.2018 31.03.2019 30.06.2019 30.09.2019 31.12.2019 1) Numbers for the Shipping Offshore and Logistics Division excluding offshore portfolio. Offshore is included in oil-related portfolio. 42
Previous Shipping Experience Provides Comfort Accumulated shipping impairments, 2010-2014 Per cent of lending book 21.5 8.6 5.1 2.4 DNB (shipping) Nordic peer (shipping and offshore) Norwegian banks (shipping and pipe European peer (Shipping) transportation)* *Aggregate numbers for Norwegian banks are from the 2009-2013 period (including DNB) Source: DNB Markets, company reports. Presented at DNB CMD 2015. 43
Helping authorities combat financial crime is at the top of the management’s agenda Commitment to compliance excellence • DNB uses a considerable amount of resources on supporting authorities in the fight against financial crime • Anti-money laundering is high on the agenda at all levels of our organisation, and a regular topic in management meetings and board meetings • DNB has over the last years made organisational changes to further strengthen the AML routines in the first and second lines of defence • The fight against money laundering is a fight against criminal networks constantly developing new methods • Combatting financial crime is complex, and the regulatory frameworks have changed over time – no bank can ever guarantee that suspicious transactions that should have been examined more carefully do not exist • Our systems and procedures detect a large number of cases that are further investigated and reported to the authorities each year, and DNB is working continuously to develop and improve our systems and analyses • All information gathered from regulators and other institutions strengthens the ability to detect suspicious transactions and subsequently report these to authorities 44
Samherji case/Iceland • 12 November 2019, allegations were published in the Icelandic media that funds from Samherji (Icelandic fisheries company) were used for illegal payments. • 28 November 2019, the Norwegian National Authority for Investigation and Prosecution of Economic and Environmental Crime (Økokrim) announced that they had opened investigation of DNB related to the matter1). The same day, DNB released the following statement: • "We have had a good dialogue with Økokrim all the way and the fact that they are now opening an investigation means that we have the opportunity to share with them everything we know in the Samherji case, including confidential client information. We have been prevented from doing so thus far due to a duty of confidentiality.” • “In a case like this, as one of the banks of the company in question, we play an important role in contributing to establishing all the facts of the case.” • “We are committed to getting to the bottom of this, for own learning as well. Therefore, this does not change anything with regard to our ongoing efforts to investigate all aspects of this matter.” • “We cannot rule out that our own assessment of this case will identify potential improvements of our efforts in this area. At the same time, it is important to remember that the one accused of corruption or money laundering in this matter is not a Norwegian bank, but an Icelandic fisheries company.” 1) Press release from Økokrim (in Norwegian only): https://www.okokrim.no/etterforsker-dnb-bank-asa.6266753-411472.html 45
Luminor – a Joint Venture with Nordea and Blackstone • 20% ownership in Luminor, a joint venture with Blackstone and Nordea1) • Blackstone acquired 60% of Luminor in September 2019 • DNB’s strategy in the Baltics has been to serve the local personal customers and SME segments – non-resident customers (outside EEA) have been out of scope • Two due diligence processes completed the last few years, in connection with: 1. The merger between Nordea’s and DNB’s Baltic units (completed 2017) 2. The sale to Blackstone (completed 2019) • Luminor has not been subject to AML sanctions or regulatory fines 1) Nordea and Blackstone have entered into a forward sale agreement for the sale of Nordea’s remaining 20 per cent stake. The forward sale is subject to certain conditions but is expected to complete over the next three financial years 46
ESG and Sustainability 47
ESG and Sustainability is linked to Long-Term Value Creation Strategic measures Four core topics define DNB’s sustainability strategy: • Anchored in corporate governance and top management • DNB is a driving force for equality and diversity • Sustainability/ESG disclosures in accordance with • DNB finances sustainable growth through loans standards (GRI, SASB, TCFD) assured by EY and investments • Signatory to global sustainability initiatives • DNB fights financial crime and promotes a safe, digital economy • Strong ESG rating by Sustainalytics, ISS and MSCI • DNB helps its customers manage and understand • Climate risk as part of risk management their own finances 48
ESG Approach based on Leading Reporting Framework • DNB’s approach to sustainability is based on methodology from the leading ESG reporting frameworks1) • Using a materiality analysis, we have identified the topics most material when it comes to our ability to deliver on financial commitments and long term value creation, as well as the topics that are seen as most material from our stakeholders perspective (see matrix on next slide) • Most material ESG topics are addressed in strategy and followed up with KPIs or metrics. The approach ensures prioritization of the most important ESG topics, and make sure these are incorporated in business processes and governance structure. • All ESG data reported on an annual basis are verified by DNB’s financial auditor (EY) according to the GRI standards, and included in the integrated annual report. - Preventing financial crime and corruption - Information secyrity and stable IT systems/ - Open and ethical business management financial infrastructure - Pricing of products and services - Privacy protection Importance to DNB's stakeholders - Equality and diversity - Responsible lending and investment - Innovative business model and product development - View risks and opportunities in a long-term perspective - User-friendly products and services - Working conditions - Restructuring and skills enhancement - Responsible purchasing - Helping startups succeed - Financial literacy Impact on DNB's long-term value creation The topics that ended at the bottom and at the far left have been taken out of the matrix. The topics that remain in the matrix are considered the most material and shall be reported in accordance with GRI. 1) GRI, SASB and TCFD 49
ESG - a Part of all Credit and Business Decisions Sources of information Sources Customer of information: interactions Implications for DNB: Meetings and negotiations • Customer interactions • Customer selection o Meetings o Who we bank with o Transactions and negotiations • Capital allocation • Customers’ ESG reports, o Who gets priority policies or similar • Credit decisions o Strategy o What we will finance o Goals • Customer monitoring • Customers’ business practices o Low, medium or high risk o Actions o Collaborations o Incidents • Third party ESG rating 50
Examples of Sustainability Measures • ESG integrated in all industry strategies and credit rules throughout the organisation. • All credits above NOK 8 million include an ESG evaluation. • Developed sustainable product framework. • Towards 2025, DNB will contribute with a total of NOK 450 billion to the financing of renewable energy and infrastructure. • Towards 2025, DNB will contribute with a total of NOK 130 billion to the financing of green property development. • ESG integrated in equity research. • In 2020, all new and refinanced shipping loans shall include a clause about responsible ship recycling. • DNB was one of the initiators behind the Poseidon Principles, aiming to drive sustainable development in Shipping. Includes measuring carbon intensity of our shipping portfolios on an annual basis and assess climate alignment relative to established de-carbonization trajectories. 51
Strong development within Sustainable Finance • During 2019, we experienced a large increase in the interest for ESG and Sustainable Finance related products in Norway and we expect volumes, both in sustainable bonds and loans, to increase significantly going forward. • Sustainable Bonds are becoming more mainstream, 30% while different forms of green and sustainability Market share in NOK - linked loans are gaining strong momentum across 2014 market leader EUR 4 bn DNB’s first Green Bond our global offices and across sectors. Especially Advisory role for Swedish Volume contributed in the global sustainable bond sustainability linked loans is a growing theme and wind power company Arise 22% market 2019 where we work together with our clients to find Market share in Norway – market leader relevant and ambitious KPIs. • We are closely following the regulatory developments within EU and advise our clients accordingly. As reporting requirements for investors increase, we expect further demand for transparency which in turn should further increase the demand for green bonds given the extra layer of transparency included in these products. 52
DNB Sustainability – Online Resources DNB and Society: https://www.dnb.no/en/about-us/corporate-social-responsibility.html?la=EN&site=DNB_NO DNB’s Sustainability Library – reports and results: https://www.dnb.no/en/about-us/csr/sustainability-library.html?la=EN&site=DNB_NO Sustainability Fact Book for DNB: https://www.ir.dnb.no/sites/default/files/Sustainability%20Factbook%20DNB%202019.pdf 53
Funding 54
DNB Funding Structure Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) Average Life of Long-term Funding Ratio of Deposits to Net Loans Senior debt and covered bonds, years Per Cent 65 65 63 63 61 62 58 58 58 55 112% 53 3.7 50 79% 2.4 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2018 2019 2018 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2019 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 55
Issuance of Long Term Debt 2020 EURO bill Tenor Covered Bonds 0,0 0,0 Senior Bonds 0,0 0,0 Sum 0,0 0,0 Tier 1 / Tier 2 0,0 Total 0,0 2019 EURO bill Tenor Covered Bonds 4,7 6,7 Senior Bonds 8,6 3,7 Sum 13,2 4,8 Tier 1 / Tier 2 1,0 Total 14,2 2018 EURO bill Tenor Covered Bonds 8,0 7,3 Senior Bonds 1,1 4,9 Sum 9,2 7,0 Tier 1 / Tier 2 1,0 Total 10,2 56
A Well Established International Covered Bond Issuer Volume Tenor Maturity EUR 1,250 mn 5 years 2020 – Oct EUR 1,500 mn 5 years 2021 – Jan EUR 1,500 mn 10 years 2021 – Jun EUR 2,000 mn 5 years 2022 – Jan EUR 2,000 mn 10 years 2022 – Mar EUR 1,000 mn 10 years 2022 – Nov EUR 1,500 mn 5 years 2023 – Jan EUR 1,500 mn 7 years 2023 – Apr EUR 1,750 mn 5 years 2023 – Nov EUR 1,500 mn 7 years 2024 – Nov Best Euro Deal 2018 EUR 1,500 mn (Green ) 7 years 2025 – Jun EUR 1,500 mn 7 years 2026 – Jan EUR 1,500 mn 10 years 2026 – Sep EUR 1,000 mn (FRN) 7 years 2021 – Nov USD 1,250 mn 5 years 2020 – May USD 1,500 mn 5 years 2022 – Mar USD 1,000 mn 5 years 2023 – Jun 57
DNB Boligkreditt - Green Covered Bonds • EUR 1,500,000,000 7 years 2025 Fixed • SEK 9,700,000,000 5 years 2024 Fixed 58
DNB Green Covered Bonds Eligibility criteria for DNB’s green covered bonds: • Residential buildings completed in 2012 or later • (derived from the implementation of the TEK10 and TEK17 building codes) ~NOK 78 bn eligible green assets (within 15% of the most energy efficient residential buildings in Norway) • An aggregated portfolio approach has been used to manage the green assets • Eligible green assets at all times exceeds all outstanding green liabilities For further information, see https://ir.dnb.no/funding-and-rating/green-covered-bonds 59
DNB Senior Curve Volume Tenor Maturity EUR 1,000 mn 10 years 2020 – Jun EUR 2,000 mn 10 years 2021 – Feb EUR 1,000 mn 10 years 2022 – Jan EUR 750 mn 7 years 2023 – Mar EUR 750 mn 5 years 2023 – Sep EUR 2,000 mn 4 years 2023 – Nov EUR 750 mn 5 years 2024 – Mar EUR 650 mn (FRN) 5 years 2020 – Aug EUR 1,000 mn (FRN) 3.5 years 2022 – Jul GBP 300 mn 4.7 years 2023 – Dec GBP 500 mn 3.5 years 2023 – Jun USD 1,250 mn 3 years 2020 – Oct USD 1,250 mn 5 years 2021 – Jun USD 1,400 mn 3 years 2022 – Nov USD 500 mn (FRN) 3 years 2020 – Oct USD 250 mn (FRN) 5 years 2021 – Jun USD 600 mn (FRN) 3 years 2022 – Nov 60
Funding Contacts Long Term Funding: Short Term Funding: • Thor Tellefsen • Åsmund Midttun Senior Vice President, Head of Long Term Funding Senior Dealer, Rates, FICC Phone direct: + 47 24 16 91 22 Phone direct: +47 24 16 90 28 Mobile: + 47 915 44 385 Mobile: +47 901 13 559 E-mail: thor.tellefsen@dnb.no E-mail: asmund.midttun@dnb.no amidttun@bloomberg.net • Magnus Midtgård • Erik Brække Senior Vice President, Rates, FICC Senior Vice President, Long Term Funding Phone direct: +47 24 16 90 31 Phone direct: + 47 24 16 91 25 Mobile: +47 930 47 504 Mobile: + 47 402 22 087 E-mail: erik.brakke@dnb.no E-mail: magnus.midtgard@dnb.no ebraekke@bloomberg.net • Lene Bergwitz-Larsen • Stephen Danna Senior Vice President, Long Term Funding First Vice President, FX/Rates/Commodities, New York Phone direct: + 47 24 16 91 27 Phone direct: +1 212 681 2550 Mobile: + 47 402 20 140 Mobile: +1 646 824 0072 E-mail: lene.bergwitz-larsen@dnb.no E-mail: stephen.danna@dnb.no sdanna@bloomberg.net Online Resources: Funding and Rating: https://www.ir.dnb.no/funding-and-rating Fact Book: https://vp267.alertir.com/afw/files/press/dnb_asa/202002058854-2.pdf Pillar 3 Report: https://vp267.alertir.com/afw/files/press/dnb_asa/202003043677-2.pdf 61
Appendix Appendix A: Cover Pool Portfolio Information and LCR Eligibility 62
Future Updates On Cover Pool Developments DNB has implemented the common Harmonised Transparency Template of the European Covered Bond Council which is available on the DNB website. Information about the cover pool of DNB Boligkreditt may be accessed via DNB’s web page: https://www.ir.dnb.no/funding-and-rating/cover-pool-data Contacts DNB Boligkreditt AS: - Per Sagbakken, CEO: per.sagbakken@dnb.no +47 906 61 159 Portfolio information is updated when DNB quarterly results are released 63
DNB Boligkreditt Covered Bonds – Cover Pool Data Rating (Moody’s/S&P) Aaa/AAA Cover Pool Size (million) 635,541 No. of Mortgages in the Cover Pool 379,111 Cover Pool Average Loan Balance (thousands) 1,676 Data Regulatory Overcollateralisation Requirement 2.0% Overcollateralisation 48.8% Weighted Average LTV (Indexed) 54.5% Pool statistics as of 31 December 2019. Cover pool reporting coincides with DNB quarterly financial reporting. Cover Pool Sensitivity Analysis House Price Decline Current 10% 20% 30% Stresstest WA Indexed LTV 54.5% 59.6% 67.0% 76.6% Eligible 48.6% 45.4% 40.1% 31.6% Overcollateralisation 64
Well diversified residential mortgage book within Norway 1.2% 2.8% Eastern Norway 67% 3.6% Western Norway 15% Northern Norway 8% Southern Norway 5% 5.2% Mid-Norway 5% 1.5% 1.8 % 0.2 % 2.8% 7.6 % 5.9% 24.8 % 1.9 % 19.7 % 6.1 % 1.2 % 5.7 % 1.5 % 6.4 % DNB Boligkreditt cover pool as of 31 December 2019 65
Portfolio Characteristics Report date: 31.12.2019 Report currency: NOK Key Characteristics Overcollateralisation Total cover pool, nominal balance* (mill.) 635 541 Cover pool size: Number of mortgages 379 111 Residential mortgages, loan balance (mill.) 635 541 Number of borrowers 331 868 Covered bonds outstanding (mill.) 427 158 Average loan balance (thousands) 1 676 Overcollateralisation 48,8 % Outstanding covered bonds, nominal balance (mill.) 427 158 Substitute assets (% of total cover pool) 0 Maturity Structure Covered Bonds WA indexed LTV (%) 54,5 Extended maturity (years) Loan balance (mill.) % WAL of cover pool (contractual maturity in years) 13,1 ≥0≤1 5 547 1,3 % WAL of outstanding covered bonds (extended maturity in years) 4,2 1≤2 53 244 12,5 % * All cover pool assets are denominated in NOK. 2≤3 72 113 16,9 % ** Seasoning indicates the number of months since collateral for the loan was established. 3≤5 160 277 37,5 % 5 ≤ 10 100 261 23,5 % > 10 35 716 8,4 % Maturity Structure Cover Pool Total 427 158 100,0 % Contractual maturity (years) Loan balance (mill.) % Expected maturity (years) Loan balance (mill.) % ≥0≤1 20 824 3,3 % ≥0≤1 54 180 12,7 % 1≤2 22 116 3,5 % 1≤2 73 861 17,3 % 2≤3 24 084 3,8 % 2≤3 93 177 21,8 % 3≤5 50 577 8,0 % 3≤5 102 291 23,9 % 5 ≤ 10 137 152 21,6 % 5 ≤ 10 68 235 16,0 % > 10 380 787 59,9 % > 10 35 414 8,3 % Total 635 541 100,0 % Total 427 158 100,0 % 66
Portfolio Characteristics cont. Loan Size Concentration Risk Private individuals Loan balance (mill.) Number of loans % ≤ 1,000,000 65 775 148 255 10 largest exposures 0,2 % > 1,000,000 ≤ 2,000,000 166 567 111 819 10 largest exposures excl. housing cooperatives 0,1 % > 2,000,000 ≤ 3,000,000 158 911 64 969 > 3,000,000 ≤ 4,000,000 96 553 28 041 Property Types > 4,000,000 ≤ 5,000,000 54 516 12 255 Loan balance (mill.) % > 5,000,000 74 729 11 159 Residential 635 541 100,0 % Total 617 050 376 498 Commercial 0 0,0 % Other 0 0,0 % Housing Cooperatives Loan balance (mill.) Number of loans Total 635 541 100,0 % ≤ 5,000,000 2 877 1 657 > 5,000,000 ≤ 10,000,000 3 132 440 o/w Housing Cooperatives / Multi-family assets 18 490 2,9 % > 10,000,000 ≤ 20,000,000 4 381 317 o/w Forest & Agriculture 0 0,0 % > 20,000,000 ≤ 50,000,000 4 974 160 > 50,000,000 ≤ 100,000,000 2 020 31 Occupancy Type > 100,000,000 1 105 8 Total 18 490 2 613 % Owner occupied 70,0% LTV buckets Second homes / Holiday houses 0,2% Indexed LTV Loan balance (mill.) % Buy to let / Non owner occupied houses 0,1% ≥ 0 ≤ 40 130 517 20,5 % Other 29,7% 40 ≤ 50 89 665 14,1 % Total 100,0% 50 ≤ 60 146 787 23,1 % 60 ≤ 70 134 240 21,1 % Repayment Type 70 ≤ 80 119 753 18,8 % % 80 ≤ 90 9 020 1,4 % Amortization 78,9 % 90 ≤ 100 2 811 0,4 % Interest only* 21,1 % >100 2 747 0,4 % Total 100,0 % Total 635 541 100,0 % *No principal payments for a limited period of time. 67
Portfolio Characteristics cont. Seasoning % Non Performing Up to 12months 17,9 % ≥ 12 - ≤ 24 months 13,3 % Non performing loans 0,12 % ≥ 24 - ≤ 36 months 12,0 % ≥ 36 - ≤ 60 months 19,5 % ≥ 60 months 37,3 % Arrears Total 100,0 % ≥ 30 - < 60 days 0,14 % Interest Rate Type ≥ 60 - < 90 days 0,03 % Fixed Rate 6,4 % ≥ 90 - < 180 days 0,03 % Floating Rate 93,6 % ≥ 180 days 0,08 % Geographical Distribution Loan balance (mill.) % Østfold 36 276 5,7 % Akershus 124 998 19,7 % Oslo 157 665 24,8 % Hedmark 11 294 1,8 % Oppland 17 922 2,8 % Buskerud 37 693 5,9 % Vestfold 40 822 6,4 % Telemark 11 913 1,9 % Eastern Norway: 67 % Aust-Agder 7 586 1,2 % Vest-Agder 9 609 1,5 % Western Norway: 15 % Rogaland 38 606 6,1 % Northern Norway: 8% Hordaland 48 227 7,6 % Sogn og Fjordane 1 394 0,2 % Southern Norway: 5% Møre og Romsdal 9 567 1,5 % Trøndelag 33 294 5,2 % Mid-Norway: 5% Nordland 23 096 3,6 % Troms 17 782 2,8 % Finmark 7 786 1,2 % Svalbard 8 0,0 % Total 635 541 100,0 % 68
Cover Pool Sensitivity Analysis and Overcollateralisation History Stresstest - House price decline House price decline Current 10 % 20 % 30 % Total cover pool balance (nominal, NOKbn) 635 541 635 541 635 541 635 541 WA indexed LTV (%) 54,5 59,6 67,0 76,6 Eligible cover pool balance (nominal, NOKbn) 634 878 621 257 598 335 562 197 Total outstanding covered bonds (nominal, NOKbn) 427 158 427 158 427 158 427 158 Eligible overcollateralization 48,6 % 45,4 % 40,1 % 31,6 % Cover Pool Overcollateralisation History 160% 155% 148.8 % 150% 145% 140% 135% 130% 125% 120% 115.3 % 115% 110% 104.2 % 105% 100% OC Cover Pool OC Rating requirement Latest over-collateralisation requirement for AAA/Aaa rating (as per 31 December 2019): • S&P: 4.16 % • Moody’s: 0% 69
Non Performing Loans in DNB Boligkreditt AS 90+ days in arrears 0.40% 0.35% 0.30% 0.25% 0.20% 0.15% 12 bp 0.10% 0.05% 0.00% 90+ days arrears 70
Green Bond Allocation Report December 2019 71
Green Bond Impact Report August 2019 72
Covered Bonds Issued by DNB Boligkreditt AS Qualifies for Level 1-Assets Pursuant to LCR-regulation (Slide 1 of 2) Covered bonds issued by DNB Boligkreditt AS fulfil the requirements to qualify as Level 1-assets pursuant to Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2015/61 regarding liquidity coverage requirement for credit institutions (“LCR-regulation”). With reference to Article 10(1)(f) of the LCR-regulation, DNB Boligkreditt AS confirms the following: • Covered bonds issued by DNB Boligkreditt AS meet the requirements to be eligible for the treatment set out in Article 129(4) of Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 (“CRR”) and the requirements referred to in Article 52(4) of Directive 2009/65/EC, cf. the European Commission’s website: http://ec.europa.eu/finance/investment/legal_texts/index_en.htm • The exposures to institutions in the cover pool meet the conditions laid down in Article 129(1)(c) and in Article 129(1) last subparagraph of CRR 73
Covered Bonds Issued by DNB Boligkreditt AS Qualifies as Level 1-Assets Pursuant to LCR-regulation (Slide 2 of 2) With reference to Article 10(1)(f) of the LCR-regulation, DNB Boligkreditt AS confirms the following (cont.): • DNB Boligkreditt AS gives the information required in Article 129(7) of CRR to its investors • Covered bonds issued by DNB Boligkreditt AS are assigned a credit assessment by a nominated ECAI which is at least credit quality step 1 in accordance with Article 129(4) of CRR, and the equivalent credit quality step in the event of short term credit assessment • The cover pool does at all times meet an asset coverage requirement of at least 2% in excess of the amount required to meet the claims attaching to the covered bonds issued by DNB Boligkreditt AS 74
ECB Eligibility and CRD-Compliance of Covered Bonds Issued by DNB Boligkreditt AS • All covered bonds issued by DNB Boligkreditt AS fulfil the eligibility criteria for marketable assets set by the Eurosystem and are thus eligible for Eurosystem monetary policy operations. • The Eurosystem set additional criteria for own use of eligible instruments in the Eurosystem monetary policy operations. In the case of covered bonds, the instruments must be issued in accordance with the criteria set out in Part 1, points 68 to 70 of Annex VI to Directive 2006/48/EC. The covered bonds issued by DNB Boligkreditt AS fulfil these criteria, but the Eurosystem has not checked the fulfilment of these conditions for Norway, since Norway is not part of the EU. Therefore, covered bonds issued by DNB Boligkreditt AS are marked with a "N/A" what regards ‘own-use covered bonds’ in ECB's eligible asset database. • DNB Boligkreditt AS confirms that the covered bonds it issues are compliant with the CRD-requirement set forth in the Eurosystem guidelines. In addition, DNB Boligkreditt AS confirms that it gives the information required in Regulation (EU) No 575/2013 ("CRR") article 129 (7) to its investors, so that the covered bonds issued by DNB Boligkreditt AS are eligible for the preferential treatment set out in CRR article 129 (4). 75
Appendix Appendix B: The Norwegian Mortgage Market 76
The Norwegian Residential Mortgage Market • Nearly 80% of Norwegians own their home: • Few mortgages are buy-to-let. • Norway is primarily a floating interest rate market: • The large majority of mortgages originated by DNB are floating rate. • Rates on floating rate mortgages can be reset at any time and at the bank’s own discretion, by giving debtors six weeks notice. • Loans are normally underwritten with a term of 15-25 years: • Average size for new mortgages originated by DNB is approximately NOK 1,000,000 (EUR 110,000). • In Norway, all borrowing costs are deductible from taxable income at the current rate of 23%: • Households are therefore better able to withstand an increase in interest rates. Source: Finance Norway - FNO 77
Appendix Appendix C: Capital and Tier 1 78
Capital Adequacy Across the Key Relevant Entities DNB has to meet all capital requirements on DNB ASA group level (“DNB”), DNB Bank Group level (“DNB Bank Group”) and DNB Bank ASA solo level (“DNB Bank”) CET1 and Total Capital Ratio Per 31.12.2019 26.3% 24.4% 22.9% 18.6% 19.3% 18.3% DNB DNB Bank Group DNB Bank ASA CET1 Total Capital Ratio 79
Overall Capital Requirements under SREP • Pillar 1 capital requirements in Norway consist of minimum requirements and combined buffer requirements. • As a result of the SREP, the supervisors may decide on additional capital add-on (Pillar 2), which together with the Pillar 1 requirements form the Overall capital requirement. • If there is a breach of the combined buffer requirements under Pillar 1, there will be automatic restrictions on dividends etc. (ref. CRD IV article 141). • However a breach of the overall capital requirements under SREP will not cause automatic restrictions1): • The Bank will have to present a plan to the NFSA how to restore the capital ratios • If the plan is not sufficient, the NFSA will consider other measures. • The measures will depend on the reasons behind the breach 1) In a consultation paper dated 27 April 2018, the Norwegian FSA suggested to include the Pillar 2 requirements in the calculation of the MDA trigger level. The Ministry of Finance has not yet expressed its view on the proposal, therefore, it is uncertain whether the proposal will be adopted. 80
Pillar 2 requirements in Norway not included in the MDA Trigger Level • MDA restrictions will only apply if there is a breach of the Pillar 1 requirements (Minimum capital requirements + Combined buffer requirements) • Pillar 2 requirements in Norway currently do not influence the MDA trigger level • Stated in a letter from the Ministry of Finance dated 15 January 2016 • Confirmed by the Norwegian Financial Supervisory Authority (NFSA) in a response letter dated 15 February 2016, and stated in a circular from the NFSA dated 27 June 2016 • In a consultation paper dated 27 April 2018, the NFSA suggested to include the Pillar 2 requirements in the calculation of the MDA trigger level. The Ministry of Finance has not yet expressed its view on the proposal, therefore, it is uncertain whether the proposal will be adopted. 81
Implementation of BRRD and change in creditor hierarchy • The legislation implementing BRRD in Norway, entered into force 1 January 2019. • The legislation sets forth that the resolution authorities shall establish a resolution plan for each institution with specific description of the tools available in a crisis situation. The resolution plan for DNB is not yet in place. • In line with the BRRD, the creditor hierarchy is now changed so that deposits that are guaranteed by the Norwegian deposit guarantee scheme, as well as deposits from private individuals and small and medium sized enterprises, have priority before deposits from large corporates and unsecured senior debt, which again has priority before senior non-preferred debt and own funds instruments. • One of the tools contemplated under the BRRD is the bail-in tool. According to the Norwegian legislation, any unsecured debt, except guaranteed deposits, may in principle be bailed in. The resolution authorities will however respect the hierarchy of claims. • The introduction of the MREL requirement, including the subordination requirement, shall make sure that no creditor will be worse off than it would have been in liquidation. • DNB expects more clarity when the resolution authorities present the resolution plan for DNB some time in 2020. 82
DNB’s Solid Profitability Should Ensure AT1 Coupon Payments Profit Before Tax Dividend Share buy-back AT1 Coupon Payments 40 35 31.9 31.2 29.0 30 26.9 25 23.4 19,3 20 17,1 15,2 5.2 15 3.9 3.8 10 9.3 14,1 7.3 13.2 11.4 5 2.9 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.1 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 DNB will give due consideration to Dividend payments on ordinary shares and coupon the capital hierarchy and look to payments on Additional Tier 1 (AT1) instruments are at the discretion of the issuer preserve the seniority of claims going forward** * Share buy-back in 2019 Dividend for 2019, to be paid in 2020 ** Statement given at the DNB Capital Markets Day 27 November 2014 83
Leverage Ratio Requirement • Norwegian leverage ratio requirement effective as from 30 June 2017: • Minimum leverage ratio 3% 1) • Bank requirement 2% • SIFI requirement 1% Total SIFI/DNB requirement 6% • As at 31 December 2019, DNB Group reported a leverage ratio of 7.4 % Well above regulatory requirement • A breach of the leverage ratio requirements will not trigger automatic restrictions on AT1 coupon payments. • If there is a breach of the leverage ratio requirement, the financial institution will have to present to the NFSA a plan how to restore the leverage ratio. Regulation dated 20 December 2016 1) Requirement for credit institutions such as DNB Boligkreditt AS. 84
ADI – Available Distributable Items • Items available for distribution is defined in the Norwegian Public Limited Company Act1): Following this definition, the ADI level is calculated as follows: ADI = total equity – share capital – fund for unrealized gains • For 2018 DNB has decided also to deduct additional tier 1 capital from the ADI. DNB Bank ASA (31 December 2018): ADI = NOK 177bn – 18bn – 2bn – 16bn (AT1) = NOK 141bn => Due to the significant amount available for distribution, we don’t assess the ADI as a potential restriction for coupon payments. 1) The Norwegian CRD IV Regulation does not include any definition of ADI 85
Appendix Appendix D: Additional Slides - Financial performance and Other information 86
Solid performance in all customer segments Personal customers – stable profits driven by interest rate hikes and continued investments in digital distribution channels Small and medium-sized enterprises – profitable growth reflected in high net interest income and other income Large corporates and international customers – solid development in income and reduced non-core portfolio Pre-tax operating profit NOK million 11 422 9 995 9 914 10 186 9 662 9 660 9 043 7 847 6 905 5 899 5 240 4 762 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 Personal customers Small and medium-sized Large corporates and enterprises international customers Before impairment 87
Healthy asset quality – positive development in risk numbers 94.3 per cent of the exposure is low risk (stage 1), improved from 94.0 per cent in 4Q18 Net impairment losses of NOK 2 191 million for the year, 0.13 per cent of average lending Stable macroeconomic drivers in the quarter Impairment of financial instruments Maximum exposure (on and off-balance sheet items), per customer segment net of accumulated impairment losses Amounts in NOK million Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Full year Full year NOK 2 125 billion NOK 110 billion NOK 18 billion 4Q19 3Q19 2019 2018 (-18) (-2) (-3) Personal customers (103) (73) (353) (318) Small and medium-sized enterprises (143) (16) (595) (566) 94.3% Large corporates and 4.9% international customers 68 (1 159) (1 240) 1 022 0.8% Total (178) (1 247) (2 191) 139 88
Profitable growth and solid asset quality Improved cost/income ratio due to healthy growth in income – positive jaws Earnings per share up 6.7 per cent from 2018 – increase in net profit combined with share buy-backs Dividend per share up 9.1 per cent from 2018 Return on equity Cost/income ratio Earnings per share Dividend per share Per cent Per cent NOK NOK 15.54 9.00 11.7 11.7 44.2 43.8 8.25 14.56 42.2 10.8 40.9 7.10 12.84 10.1 5.70 11.46 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019 89
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