MANAGEMENT INVESTOR PRESENTATION - First Quarter 2018 May 22, 2018
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
NON-GAAP MEASURES FORWARD LOOKING INFORMATION RioCan’s consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with IFRS. Consistent with RioCan’s management Certain information included in this presentation contains framework, management uses certain financial measures to assess forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable RioCan’s financial performance, which are not generally accepted securities laws including, among others, statements concerning accounting principles (GAAP) under IFRS. our objectives, our strategies to achieve those objectives, as well as statements with respect to management's beliefs, plans, The following measures, RioCan’s Proportionate Share (or estimates, and intentions, and similar statements concerning Interest), Funds From Operations (“FFO”), Net Operating anticipated future events, results, circumstances, performance or Income (“NOI”), Adjusted Earnings before interest, taxes, expectations that are not historical facts. Certain material depreciation and amortization (“Adjusted EBITDA”), Debt to factors, estimates or assumptions were applied in drawing a Adjusted EBITDA, Same Property NOI, Interest Coverage, Debt conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in Service Coverage, Fixed Charge Coverage, and Total these statements and actual results could differ materially from Enterprise Value as well as other measures discussed in this such conclusions, forecasts or projections. presentation, do not have a standardized definition prescribed by IFRS and are, therefore, unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other reporting issuers. Additional information on the material risks that could cause our actual results to differ materially from the conclusions, forecast Non-GAAP measures should not be considered as alternatives to or projections in these statements and the material factors, net earnings or comparable metrics determined in accordance with estimates or assumptions that were applied in drawing a IFRS as indicators of RioCan’s performance, liquidity, cash flow, conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the and profitability. For a full definition of these measures, please refer forward-looking information can be found in our most recent to the “Non-GAAP Measures” in RioCan’s Management’s annual information form and annual report that are available on Discussion and Analysis for the period ended March 31, 2018. our website and at www.sedar.com. RioCan uses these measures to better assess the Trust’s underlying performance and provides these additional measures so that investors may do the same. Except as required by applicable law, RioCan undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events PEER DATA PRESENTATION or otherwise. RioCan data and statistics are based on March 31, 2018 information. Peer group included published results where provided from First Capital Realty Corp. (FCR), SmartCentres REIT (SRU.UN), Choice Properties REIT (CHP.UN), CT REIT (CRT.UN), and Crombie REIT (CRR.UN). Certain slides contain a peer comparison that was based on the respective issuer’s reported information as at March 31, 2018 (with the exception of CRR.UN and SRU.UN, which have not yet released Q1 2018 results at the time of this presentation). 2 2
ABOUT RIOCAN GROWTH DRIVEN BY INSIGHT Quick Facts Enterprise Value $13.7 B Annualized Revenue from Six Major Market: 80.0% Number of Properties 284 Net Leasable Area (NLA) 43.3M sf 5.0% Same Property NOI 2.6% Major Market Same Property NOI 3.3% Edmonton 11.9% 5.6% Committed Occupancy 96.6% Calgary Major Market Committed Occupancy 97.9% Vancouver Ottawa Montreal GTA Focus - % of Annualized Rental Revenue 43.7% 8.8% Peer Average1 23.2% 5.0% Toronto Revenue from National Tenants 84.6% 43.7% Average Net Rent BC $17.93 Renewal Spread Q1 2018 4.3% Robust Development Program Tremendous source of future NAV growth • One of Canada’s largest REITs, focused on the ownership, management and development of high quality, necessity 22.2M based retail, increasingly mixed-use properties in Canada’s incremental NLA or 54% of six major markets ON existing NLA2 • Founded in 1993 – 25 year track record • Robust 26.2 M sf development pipeline, 12.2 M sf or nearly 41.1M 50% already approved for zoning – mostly mixed-use existing IPP NLA • Diversified and evolving tenant mix • Rated BBB with stable outlook by S&P and BBB (high) by DBRS RioCan NLA RioCan NLA including incremental NLA from Development* 2. Includes incremental NLA of 22.2M sf plus 4.0M sf that is currently income producing. 1. Source: company reports; Peers: FCR, CHP, CRT; no data on CRR and SRU Assumes all development projects per the MD&A for the period ended March 31, 2018 are completed and assumes no additional development, acquisitions, or dispositions
VALUE PROPOSITION AND FOUR STRATEGIC PILLARS REAL VISION, SOLID GROUND CANADA’S MAJOR MARKET PORTFOLIO • High quality, necessity based retail, and increasingly mixed-use major markets portfolio • Diversified, strong national tenant base • Significant upside on rent growth • Base for significant NAV growth – tremendous intrinsic value to be unlocked • Strong executive bench with wealth of experience and proven track record DRIVING ORGANIC UNLOCKING STRATEGIC STRONG GROWTH INTRINSIC VALUE ACQUISITIONS BALANCE SHEET • Evolving tenant mix • Focusing on transit- • Acquire only the best • Low leverage and revenue growth oriented urban locations in the six • Low cost of debt • Improving operating intensification in major major markets • Laddered debt efficiency and cost markets • Opportunities to maturity and mostly structure • Mostly mixed-use with acquire partners’ fixed rate • Redeveloping prime residential rental interests in today’s • Access to multiple assets and/or condo tight market sources of capital • Optimize pads by development • Highly selective • Large adding additional • Strategic alliances to acquisitions of unencumbered GLA mitigate risk and development sites, assets pool • Drive ancillary create steady fee leveraging existing generating 58.4% of revenues stream properties annualized NOI • Continuous portfolio • Robust and growing pruning pipeline of well located sites with substantial zoning approved 4
CANADA’S MAJOR MARKET PORTFOLIO WHERE CANADIANS SHOP, LIVE AND WORK CANADA’S MAJOR MARKET PORTFOLIO • High quality, necessity based retail, and increasingly mixed-use major markets portfolio CANADA’S MAJOR MARKET PORTFOLIO • Diversified, strong national tenant base • Significant upside on rent growth • Base for significant NAV growth – tremendous intrinsic value to be unlocked • Strong executive bench with wealth of experience and proven track record 5
CANADA’S SIX MAJOR MARKETS WHERE THE POPULATION GROWTH IS Cumulative Population Growth 2006 as Base Year 64.6% 26.2% 8.7% 17.8% 8.1% 3.7% 2006 2011 2017 2036 Forecast Six Major Markets Secondary markets Cumulative population growth between 2006 and: 2017 2036 Forecast Six major markets 26.2% 64.6% Secondary markets 8.1% 17.8% • By 2036, more than half of Canadians will live in Canada’s six major markets 2006, 2017 Data: Statistics Canada 6 2036 Data: Statistics Canada, Provincial and Municipal population forecasts
CANADA’S MAJOR MARKET PORTFOLIO WHERE CANADIANS SHOP, LIVE AND WORK Disposition Progress as of May 8, 2018 Transaction type Value (M) Closed and Firm $583.4 Conditional $224.8 Total to Date $808.2 Weighted Average Cap Rate 6.40% • Sale prices to-date are in line with IFRS value • $808M progress since the October 2017 announcement representing approximately 40% of the $2.0B disposition target • Dispositions span a broad range of secondary markets 7
DISPOSITION UPDATE BUYER PROFILE REITs • Strategic buyers, such as CT REIT, who are looking to acquire assets where their retail banner is already a tenant. They know these assets well and recognize the advantage of controlling properties in which their associate retail banners operate. • Geographically focused REITs looking to expand footprint in a particular region. • Small cap REITs looking for growth and accretive acquisitions, which would otherwise be unavailable in major markets. Private Individual Buyers • Objectives include capital preservation and stable, risk-adjusted returns. • These buyers have local expertise or presence in particular secondary markets, and therefore covet these assets. Private Equity and Investment Managers • Objectives include deploying a robust supply of capital in a low-interest rate environment. • Increasingly looking at secondary markets in the core to value-add risk range due to limited supply of product in primary markets. 8
CANADA’S MAJOR MARKET PORTFOLIO WHERE CANADIANS SHOP, LIVE AND WORK Major Market GTA Revenue Avg. Age Portfolio Revenue Focus (yrs.) 24 >90% >50% 43.7% 19 80.0% Q1 2018 Vision Q1 2018 Vision Q1 2018 Vision • Higher concentration of revenue from the fastest growing markets in Canada • Higher concentration of revenue from the GTA, Canada’s largest and most important financial market • Resilience to the changing retail environment • Enhanced growth profile • Improved cost structure 9
GREATER TORONTO AREA (GTA) FOCUS PERCENTAGE OF RENT FROM THE GTA EXCEEDS OUR PEERS REI Peer Average 42.8% 43.7%* 41.9% 41.7% 41.7% 40.9% 36.8% 34.6% 32.0% 23.1% 23.3% 23.2% CONSISTENTLY 25.2% 25.6% ABOVE 95% 22.0% 24.0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Source: company reports; Peers: FCR, CHP, CRT; no data on CRR and SRU * Effective Jan 1 2018, the Trust includes Hamilton in the GTA as the Trust believes that Hamilton is a high growth market that forms part of the contiguous urban region and has strong rapid transit connections to Toronto. Excluding Hamilton, the Trust’s GTA revenue % would have been 41.6%. • Strong, consistent, industry leading presence in the Greater Toronto Area, which has one of the highest population and economic growth profiles in the country 10
GREATER TORONTO AREA (GTA) FOCUS INDUSTRY LEADING PRESENCE IN THE TORONTO CORE AND GTA RioCan First Capital SmartCentre REIT 11
CANADA’S MAJOR MARKET PORTFOLIO WHERE CANADIANS SHOP, LIVE AND WORK Avg. Income Avg. Population (5km radius) (5km radius) ~$120k ~212k ~205k ~$102k ~$111k ~157k 2017 - All 2017 - Major 2020 2017 - All 2017 - Major 2020 Markets Markets Markets Markets • Higher concentration (~30% increase in average population density) of a more desirable demographic with stronger household income • Improved portfolio quality; operating efficiencies, newer assets, and less capex * Vision represents the average population and average income within a 5km radius of RioCan properties after completion of the Trust’s over $2.0B disposition targets. The 2017 data are based on RioCan’s portfolio as at December 31, 2017. Source: Environics Analytics. 12
CONSISTENT GROWTH IN FUNDS FROM OPERATIONS FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS 3-Year CAGR for Continuing Operations FFO/Unit*: 9.9% $2.50 Well-timed exit from U.S. retail market $1.94 $2.00 $1.79 $1.65 $1.68 $1.50 Includes $88.3M (or $0.28/unit) Target $1.00 Settlement $1.78 $1.62 $1.53 $1.34 $0.50 $0.00 2014 2015 2016 2017 Continuing Operations FFO/Unit Discontinued Operations FFO/Unit (US) * Continuing and discontinued operations FFO per unit is calculated based on disclosed total continuing and discontinued operations FFO, respectively, divided by the weighted average number of units (diluted) for the respective years. 13
OPTIMIZING PORTFOLIO FOR CURRENT MARKET ENVIRONMENT Home Furnishings, Food, Fitness, Beauty and Value Retailers continue to be bright spots in the retail landscape, with numerous brands adding additional physical locations • Small format service-oriented retail performing well, numerous tenants expanding • Continued urban centre growth from national gym operators and expansion of GROWING smaller, boutique-type operators. Quick Service Restaurants aggressively growing • Value retailers such as Winners, Marshalls, Dollarama, etc. are rapidly expanding • New specialty grocers are appearing and others, such as Nations and Farm Boy are expanding Shifting demand for large formats • Some pressure from the larger format tenants upon renewal as they have options to relocate and right-size their existing boxes • Relocations open up opportunities for large format, value retailers who are EVOLVING aggressively growing (e.g. TJX and Lowe’s) Full price fashion continues to struggle • Department stores reporting soft fashion sales • Bankruptcies continue both north and south of the border DECLINING • Small format fashion retailers not opening new locations 14
CHANGING TRENDS IN HOUSEHOLD SPENDING Source: GWL Realty – “What is driving change in the retail sector beyond online shopping” March 14, 2018 15
EVOLVING & RESILIENT TENANT MIX ADAPTING TO THE EVER CHANGING RETAIL ENVIRONMENT % of Change Retailer Rent since Key Brands Category Q1 2007 2018 Grocery/ Pharmacy Liquor/ 27.8% 3.3% Restaurant Personal Services 20.3% 4.2% Value Retailers 15.1% 2.5% Specialty Retailers 10.1% 0.0% Furniture and Home 10.0% 1.6% Department Stores/ Apparel 8.8% (7.5%) Entertainment and Hobby 3.3% (2.4%) Movie Theatres 4.6% (1.7%) 16
STAGGERED LEASE MATURITY WITH RENT GROWTH OPPORTUNITY LEASE MATURITY AND EXPIRING RENT $22.00 30.0% Lease Maturity Expiring Rent $20.36 $19.90 $20.00 25.0% $18.74 $18.55 $17.91 $18.00 20.0% $16.00 15.0% 12.6% 11.7% 11.9% 10.1% $14.00 10.0% 5.6% $12.00 5.0% $10.00 0.0% 2018 remainder 2019 2020 2021 2022 • Favorable expiry profile that balances stability with opportunity for growth on renewal • Average lease term for Top 30 tenants – 7.4 years 17
CONSISTENTLY HIGH OCCUPANCY COUPLED WITH STRONG RENT GROWTH Target Departure 110.0% 19 100.0% 97.4% 97.6% 97.4% 96.9% 97.0% 96.6% 96.6% 95.6% 94.0% 18 $17.93 90.0% $17.75 $17.59 80.0% $17.11 17 $16.69 70.0% $16.08 16 60.0% $15.70 $15.21 50.0% 15 $14.82 40.0% 14 30.0% 20.0% 13 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Committed Occupancy Average Net Rent • Average net rent growth also reflects the improvements in the overall quality of the portfolio as RioCan increased its major market focus over time 18
STRONG RETENTION RATIO OUTPERFORMING AND WIDENING THE GAP RELATIVE TO PEERS REI Peers - Weighted Average 91.1% 88.1% 89.7% 85.7% 87.0% 85.8% 86.2% 84.8% 78.5% 75.9% 72.5% CONSISTENTLY ABOVE 95% 61.7% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Source: company reports; Peers: CHP and SRU (no data for FCR, CRR, CRT) Peer average calculation is weighted by square feet renewed • RioCan has maintained a consistent strong retention rate and continues to broaden the gap with our peers • Strong track record of tenant retention averaging 87.9 % since 2013 relative to 79.6%* for the peer average * Average to March 31, 2018 19
WELL DIVERSIFIED NATIONAL TENANT BASE NO SINGLE TENANT OVER-EXPOSURE As at March 31, 2018 Weighted Avg Annualized Rental Number Of NLA (Sq. Ft. in Top 10 Tenant Name Remaining Lease Revenue Locations '000s) Term (Yrs) 1 4.9 % 79 2,063 7.7 2 4.1 % 27 3,358 9.2 3 4.1 % 78 1,902 6.6 4 4.0 % 28 1,456 7.8 5 3.9 % 72 1,919 6.6 6 3.5 % 49 1,999 6.7 7 1.8 % 102 494 6.8 8 1.8 % 13 1,517 10.2 9 1.6 % 80 724 5.8 10 1.6 % 23 823 8.6 TOTAL 31.3% 551 16,255 7.5 Peer Average (iii) 67.6%* -- -- -- (i) Loblaws includes Shoppers Drug Mart, No Frills, Fortinos, Zehrs and Maxi. (ii) Canadian Tire Corporation includes Canadian Tire/PartSource/Mark’s/Sport Mart/ Sport Chek/Sports Experts/National Sports/Atmosphere. (iii) Source: company reports; Peers: FCR, CHP, CRT, CRR and SRU as at March 31, 2018 20
LEADERSHIP TEAM EXPERIENCE, INTEGRITY AND FORESIGHT • Strong executive bench with a wealth of experience and proven Ed Sonshine Rags Davloor, Qi Tang, O.Ont., Q.C. President and COO SVP and CFO track record Founder and CEO 25 years in Real Estate, 20 years in Finance Operations & Finance & Real Estate • Fully integrated REIT with all disciplines in- house including: • Investments • Leasing • Asset Management Jonathan Gitlin, Jeff Ross, John Ballantyne, • Development & SVP Investments & SVP Leasing & Tenant SVP Asset Construction Residential Coordination Management 18 years in Real Estate 24 years in Real Estate • Property Management 30 years in Real Estate • Finance, Legal and Human Resources • Trusted and respected, with deep industry knowledge and Andrew Duncan Danny Kissoon Jennifer Suess relationships SVP Developments SVP Operations SVP General Counsel 18 years in 32 years in Real & Corporate Secretary Development, 12 years Estate 16 years in Law with a 21 in Real Estate focus on Real Estate
STRATEGIC PILLAR ONE: DRIVING ORGANIC GROWTH OPTIMIZING AND FUTURE PROOFING OUR PORTFOLIO CANADA’S MAJOR MARKET PORTFOLIO DRIVING ORGANIC GROWTH • Evolving tenant mix and revenue growth • Improving operating efficiency and cost structure • Redeveloping prime assets • Optimize pads and add additional GLA • Drive ancillary revenues • Continuous portfolio pruning 22
DRIVING ORGANIC GROWTH CASE STUDY Burlington Mall, Burlington Ontario – 2018 NOI will increase by 42% • $65M redevelopment and renovation of this iconic centre in At Capital Anticipated Metric Acquisition Canada’s Best Mid-Sized City (voted five years in a row) Invested Stabilized (2013) • Rebranded to Burlington Centre • Renovated food court Value $206.5M $55M $287.5 M • Strategically remerchandised (former Target location): • Confirmed new tenancies include Indigo, Denninger’s Foods of the World, Sportchek and Winners NOI $9.9M - $14.1M 23
DRIVING ORGANIC GROWTH CASE STUDY RIOCAN YONGE EGLINTON CENTRE, TORONTO Intersection: Yonge St. and Eglinton Avenue East Ownership: 100% Total GLA: 1,056,285 sf Property Concept: Mixed-use Project Completion: 2016 Surfacing Value: • Purchase Price (2007): $223 million • Capital Invested $110 million • Current Value: $574 million • NOI at acquisition: $13 million • Value Stabilized NOI: $26 million 73% increase in value over costs • Strategically evolved tenant mix to meet consumer needs • Incremental revenue through leasing of the digital screens on the building interior and exterior 24
CAPITALIZING ON RE-LEASING OPPORTUNITIES TARGET RE-LEASING & SEARS UPDATE Target Re-leasing • Re-leasing of former Target space 1.7 M sf • Substantially completed Q4 2017 • Annual net rent revenue from releasing tenants: $14.0 M • Annual rent revenue paid by Target of $10.6 million • Annual net rent increase over Target rent: $3.4 million or 32.1% • Significant capital recovered by way of settlement with Target of $88.3M (at RioCan’s interest) • Greater customer appeal and traffic • Stronger, more diversified tenants Sears Update • Sears departure left 381,000 sf of space to re-lease at RioCan’s interest (vs. Target 1.7M sf) • Completed leases, conditional leases or leases in advanced negotiations to replace 133% of the net revenue and while only representing 85% of the former Sears GLA • Leasing is much less complex than leasing former Target spaces • Replacement tenants will be stronger and more diversified • Properties will have broader customer appeal and replacement tenants will drive incremental traffic 25
COMPLETED DEVELOPMENTS CASE STUDY SAGE HILL CROSSING, CALGARY AB Location – Located in a growing residential suburbs in Northwestern Calgary Ownership Structure – 50% (JV with KingSett) Property Type – New format retail • Substantially completed in Q4 2017 • 380,000 sf Walmart and Loblaws anchored centre • The first Loblaws City Market banner in Calgary • Excellent mix of strong national tenants: London Drugs, Dollarama, • Demographics in 5km radius: • Population: 95k Scotiabank, McDonalds, Royal Bank of • Average household income: $145k Canada 26
ENVIRONMENTAL SOCIAL AND GOVERNANCE AT RIOCAN EMBEDDING SUSTAINABILITY • Well defined sustainability policy and sustainability governance structure • Participation in the Global Real Estate Sustainability Benchmark ("GRESB") Survey • Inclusion of a new performance indicator for management • RioCan was recently included in the MSCI Canada IMI Women’s Leadership Select Index • Employee survey was conducted to collect feedback on sustainability drivers • Establishment of a baseline for sustainability: energy, water and Greenhouse Gas ("GHG") emissions • Establishment of sustainability standards for our income producing properties and development projects • Pursuing Toronto Green Standard (TGS) Tier II for The Well and Sunnybrook Plaza projects, and LEED Gold & TGS Tier II for its Yonge Sheppard Centre project • Extension of Enwave’s existing Deep Lake Water Cooling network via a new 12 million-litre energy storage facility at The Well (see image) to provide a low-carbon, resilient cooling and heating option for the property and Proposed the surrounding communities • Geothermal energy system for heating and cooling to be incorporated at RioCan’s Gloucester project in Ottawa Proposed 27
STRATEGIC PILLAR TWO: UNLOCKING INTRINSIC VALUE REALIZING THE POTENTIAL OF OUR CORE ASSETS CANADA’S MAJOR MARKET PORTFOLIO UNLOCKING INTRINSIC VALUE • Focusing on transit-oriented urban intensification in major markets • Mostly mixed-use with residential rental and/or condo development • Strategic alliances to mitigate risks and create steady fee stream • Robust and growing pipeline of well located sites with substantial zoning approved • Strong development team with a wealth of experience in mixed-use residential development projects from planning, design to completion 28
SOURCES OF TREMENDOUS NAV GROWTH ROBUST DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE 22.2M incremental NLA1 or 54% of existing NLA2 41.1M existing IPP NLA RioCan NLA RioCan NLA including incremental NLA from Development* • Strong, major market, urban focused development pipeline with high quality projects in prime locations, predominantly transit oriented • Risk mitigation via staggered development starts and the use of strategic alliances • Maintain a disciplined approach to capital allocation and maintain leverage in the 38%-42% debt to asset range , although leverage as of a quarter end may temporarily exceed the upper target due to NCIB and disposition timing 1. Total development pipeline of 26.2M sf includes incremental NLA of 22.2M sf plus 4.0M sf that is currently income producing 2. Assumes all development projects per the MD&A for the period ended March 31, 2018 are completed and assumes no additional development, acquisitions, or dispositions 29
TREMENDOUS SOURCES OF CASH FLOW & NAV GROWTH PIPELINE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO GROW Total Pipeline by Zoning Status Total Pipeline by Project Type (26.2M* sf) Zoned, 12.2m sf, Future est. 46.5% Residential & Air density, Rights 8.5m sf, Mixed-Use 17.2m sf, 32.4% Residential 25.2m sf, 96.1% Commercial 7.0m sf, Commercial 1.0m sf, Application 3.9% Residential submitted, Inventory 5.5m sf, 21.1% 1.0m sf • Nearly 50% or 12.2M sf with zoning approved and nearly 100% is located in the six major markets • Particularly valuable in today’s more challenging regulatory environment • Uncertainty in Ontario regarding transition to the newly implemented Local Planning Appeal Tribunals given that its mandate is unclear * Includes 22.2M sf of incremental NLA and 4.0M sf of NLA which is currently income producing. All data at RioCan’s interest. 30
INTENSIFICATION STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT PROCESS FOR EXISTING INCOME PRODUCING PROPERTY Project Evaluation and Market Research Leasing Strategy Development Planning Zoning, Design, Planning Development & Construction Income Producing Asset Until Development Commences Year 1 Year 2 - 3 Year 4-5 Year 6-7 31
TREMENDOUS SOURCES OF CASH FLOW & NAV GROWTH SELECTED DEVELOPMENT COMPLETIONS OVER THE NEXT THREE YEARS Bathurst College Centre Gloucester Phase The Well – Phased I (Frontier) completion 2020-2023 King Portland Centre (Kingly) Yonge & Eglinton Northeast Corner (eCentral) Brentwood Village (Brio) At RioCan’s Interest 2018 Q2-Q4 2019 2020 Est. Completed NLA (‘000s sf)1 546 784 372 Est. PUD Completions (millions)2 $367 $435 $190 Annualized stabilized NOI from active projects with detailed costs estimates to be completed between Q2 2018 and end of 2020, including Expansion & Redevelopment projects, is expected to be in the $50 million to $55 million range at RioCan's interest. The annualized stabilized NOI of a project is an estimate of stabilized NOI following completion of a project on a full year basis. NOI to be reported for the remainder of 2018 to 2020 will be different from this range, due to the partial year effect in a given year as a result of project completion timing and the effect of property lease up period. 1. Estimated NLA completions are NLA transferred to IPP upon projects’ completion in each period, which are estimated as 90% of gross floor area (GFA) 2. Estimated PUD cost completions are fully loaded IFRS costs including land that are to be transferred to IPP upon projects’ completion in each period, net of land and air rights sales for active projects with detailed cost estimates 32
DEVELOPMENT TEAM DEVELOPMENT TEAM STRONG EXPERIENCED AND CAPABLE TEAM OF PROFESSIONALS • Balanced, experienced talented team • Established strong industry relations • Identify opportunities in robust pipeline of urban, transit-oriented sites • 33 team members – Planners, Engineers, Construction Managers, Analysts • Three office locations – Toronto, Calgary, Montreal Planning & Zoning Design Analytics Residential Construction Process 33
DEVELOPMENT TEAM DEVELOPMENT TEAM CROSS FUNCTIONAL COORDINATION ACROSS VARIOUS DISCIPLINES • Product Development • Acquisitions/Dispositions/Joint Ventures Investments & • Branding Residential • Marketing RioCan • De-leasing • Initial planning and concept Developments Mixed-Use Leasing initiatives • Tenant relations • Preliminary pro-forma development Development • Prospective tenant • Land entitlement Team engagement 3rd Party Property Asset • Commercial reporting, if Partner involved Management, at the Management / • Day-to-day management of commercial current state Operations component • Liasing with Partner 34
UNLOCKING THE VALUE OF TRANSIT-ORIENTED ASSETS URBAN TORONTO HIGHLIGHTS: SELECTED HIGH DENSITY, LOCATIONS Selected Urban Toronto '000s sf RioCan Developments (100%) Demographics, 5km radius 1 Yonge-Sheppard Centre 412 Dense population*: • 481,000 people 2 555 College 108 Desirable demographic*: 3 King Portland Centre 420 • HH Income: $130,000+ • Post-secondary education: 65%+ 4 Yonge & Eglinton 707 5 The Well & Building 6 2,938 6 740 Dupont 180 7 Sunnybrook Plaza 316 8 Queensway 614 9 Dufferin Plaza 582 7 10 RioCan Leaside Centre 1,307 11 Lawrence Square 94 12 RioCan Hall 736 13 491 College 24 14 Bathurst College Centre 139 SELECTED URBAN 8,577 TORONTO Legend Under Development Future Development Potential TTC – Existing TTC – Under Development TTC – Station Planned Rapid Transit Line *Average demographics within a 5km radius of RioCan Urban Toronto development sites 35
UNLOCKING THE VALUE OF TRANSIT-ORIENTED ASSETS BRAMPTON/MISSISSUAGA HIGHLIGHTS: SELECTED HIGH DENSITY LOCATIONS Selected Brampton/Mississauga RioCan Future Development Potential '000s sf (100%) 1 Shoppers World Brampton 4,200 1 180 2 RioCan Sandalwood Square (Ph. I) 3 RioCan Grand Park 330 Selected Brampton/Mississauga 4,710 TOTAL With three shopping centres and approximately 82 acres of land on this LRT line, RioCan is uniquely positioned to take advantage of future intensification opportunities Demographics, 5km radius Dense population*: • 270,000 people+ 2 Desirable demographic*: • HH Income: $100,000+ • Post-secondary education: 50%+ 3 *Average demographics within a 5km radius of selected RioCan Brampton/Mississauga development sites 36
UNLOCKING THE VALUE OF TRANSIT-ORIENTED ASSETS CALGARY HIGHLIGHTS: SELECTED HIGH DENSITY LOCATIONS 1 2 3 1 2 Selected Calgary RioCan Future '000s sf Development Potential (100%) 1 Brentwood Village (Phase I) 145 2 5th & Third East Village 755 3 Southland Crossing 972 3 Selected Calgary TOTAL 1,872 Demographics, 5km radius Dense population*: • 170,000 people+ Desirable demographic*: • HH Income: $137,000+ • Post-secondary education: ~60% *Average demographics within a 5km radius of selected RioCan Calgary development sites 37
UNLOCKING THE VALUE OF TRANSIT-ORIENTED ASSETS OTTAWA HIGHLIGHTS: SELECTED HIGH DENSITY LOCATIONS 2 1 Selected Ottawa RioCan '000s sf Development Potential (100%) 1 Gloucester/Frontier 667 2 Lincoln Fields 1,000 SELECTED OTTAWA POTENTIAL 1,667 TOTAL Legend Under Development Future Development Potential Demographics, 5km radius Dense population*: • 150,000 people+ Desirable demographic*: • HH Income: ~ $100,000 • Post-secondary education: ~60% *Average demographics within a 5km radius of selected RioCan Ottawa 38 development sites 38
UNLOCKING INTRINSIC VALUE RESIDENTIAL INTENSIFICATION GLOUCESTER RESIDENTIAL PHASE I, OTTAWA Location: Located on a 7.1 acre portion of RioCan's Gloucester Silver City Shopping Centre along new Confederation LRT line at the Blair Station in Ottawa Ownership: 50% (JV with Killam Apartment REIT) Property Type: Rental Residential, Phase I contains a 23 storey tower with 222 units (at 100%) Zoning status: Zoned Project Completion: 2019 Estimated PUD Costs (RioCan’s interest): $41.9M Surfacing Value: • Zoning approved for three additional residential towers containing the potential for up to 840 units Proposed • Transitioned use from 77,000 sf of struggling fashion retail to a 23 story desirable rental residential building. • Demographics in a 5km radius: • Population: 450k • Retail mix at our adjacent shopping centre was • Daytime population: 457k evolved and now includes a strong, diverse mix of • Average household income: $164k+ tenants including Cineplex theatre, Indigo, • Adjacent to CSIS headquarters: 2,000+ employees Goodlife and numerous restaurants • Leading edge development that will maximize efficiency via a geothermal energy system for heating and cooling 39
UNLOCKING INTRINSIC VALUE RESIDENTIAL INTENSIFICATION, GLOUCESTER OTTAWA (Including future phases) Proposed Zoning approved for four residential towers containing the potential for up to 840 units on a 7.1 acre portion of RioCan's Gloucester Silver City Shopping Centre 40
UNLOCKING INTRINSIC VALUE RESIDENTIAL INTENSIFICATION 740 DUPONT AVE., TORONTO, ON Location – Toronto, Ontario Property Type – Mixed-use retail and residential. 9-storey project with 210 rental units and 31,000 square feet of retail GLA. Firm lease with Farm Boy (23,000sf) to anchor the retail portion of the site. Ownership - 50% (JV with Woodbourne) Zoning status: Zoned Project Start / Anticipated Completion 2017 / 2021 Estimated PUD Costs (RioCan’s interest): $69.9M Proposed Surfacing Value • Site was acquired in 2010, formerly occupied by Grand • Demographics in 5km radius: Touring automobile until November 2017 • Population: ~700k • Well located along a busy thoroughfare in a densely • Average household income: ~ $120k populated area of Toronto. A short walk to the Bloor- Danforth subway line 41
UNLOCKING INTRINSIC VALUE RESIDENTIAL INTENSIFICATION BRENTWOOD VILLAGE, CALGARY, AB Location – Located along the Northwest LRT line and adjacent to the Crowchild Parkway in Northwestern Calgary in close proximity to the University of Calgary Property Type – Mixed-use retail residential, 12-storey, 165 rental units with approximately 10,000sf of retail GLA Ownership - 50% (JV with Boardwalk REIT) Zoning status: Zoned Project Start / Anticipated Completion 2018 / 2020 Estimated PUD Costs (RioCan’s interest): $38.1M Proposed Surfacing Value • Demographics in 5km radius: • Extracting additional value through the redevelopment of an • Population: ~160k underutilized retail portion of the site to include additional • Average household income: $141k+ residential uses • Well located with easy access to downtown Calgary, • RioCan will retain a 100% interest in the remainder of the the University of Calgary, McMahon Stadium and shopping centre Foothills Hospital 42
UNLOCKING INTRINSIC VALUE RESIDENTIAL INTENSIFICATION YONGE & EGLINTON NORTHEAST CORNER, TORONTO, ON Location: At the heart of one of Toronto’s busiest and most popular intersections. Unparalled access to the Yonge subway and new Eglinton Crosstown LRT Property Type: Mixed-use with retail, residential tower with 466 units and condominium tower with 623 units Ownership: 50% (JV with Metropia and Bazis) Leasing/Sales: All 623 condominium units have been pre- sold. Retail is 88% leased (anchored by TD Bank) Proposed Rental Residential Units: 466 Units Zoning Status: Zoned Anticipated Completion: 2018 & 2019 Estimated PUD Costs (RioCan’s interest): $118.1M Proposed Surfacing Value • Agreement in place to acquire the partners’ 50% interest in the 466 unit rental residential tower at cost plus $10M • Demographics in 5km radius: • Population: 495k • Agreement in place to acquire partner’s 50% interest in the • Daytime population: 489k retail NLA at a 7% capitalization rate upon completion of • Average household income: $156k+ the project • Condo portion of the project is 100% pre-sold 43
UNLOCKING INTRINSIC VALUE RESIDENTIAL INTENSIFICATION KING PORTLAND CENTRE, TORONTO, ON Location: Prime location in trendy Toronto’s downtown west with direct access to transit Property Type: Mixed-use with office, retail and condominiums Leasing/Sales: 132 condominium units fully sold out ahead of price expectations. New office 256,000 sf (at 100%) 100% leased to Shopify and Indigo: retail all but 7,000 sf leased. Existing 55,000 sf of office space adjacent to the building is 100% leased with substantial rent upside upon project completion Ownership: 50% (JV with Allied Properties REIT) Incremental Commercial NLA: 163,000 sf at RioCan’s Interest Zoning Status: Zoned Proposed Project Start / Anticipated Completion: 2016/ Late 2018 • Demographics in 5km radius: • Daytime population: 823k Estimated PUD Costs (RioCan’s interest): $83.2M • Average household income: $115k+ • Office tower is targeted LEED platinum 44
UNLOCKING INTRINSIC VALUE RESIDENTIAL INTENSIFICATION SUNNYBROOK PLAZA, TORONTO, ON Location: Located on new Eglinton LRT in an affluent neighbourhood in midtown Toronto Ownership: 50% (JV with Concert Properties) Property Type: Mixed-use with one 16 storey and one 11 storey rental residential towers (approx. 427 units) Commercial NLA: 22,000 sf at RioCan’s Interest Project Start / Anticipated Completion: 2020/2023 Surfacing Value: • Concert paid RioCan $26.3 million in June 2017 for a 50% interest in the development. • RioCan acquired the centre in 2007 for $22.8 million Proposed (100%) • More than doubled the value in ten years, before • Demographics in 5km radius: significant value creation upon this project’s • Population: 450k completion. • Daytime population: 457k • Average household income: $164k+ 45
UNLOCKING INTRINSIC VALUE RESIDENTIAL INTENSIFICATION YONGE SHEPPARD CENTRE, TORONTO, ON Location: Located at the thriving intersection Yonge & Sheppard, with access to 2 subway lines and highway 401 Property Type: Mixed-use with incremental 156k sf retail, as well as 258k sf of rental residential Ownership: 50% (JV with KingSett Capital) Zoning Status: Zoned Phased Completion: Retail – 2019 Residential – 2020 Estimated PUD Costs (RioCan’s interest): $249.1M Surfacing Value • Renovation and expansion of retail space • Intensification through the addition of a new 39 storey residential tower containing 258,000 square feet of residential rental space Proposed • Retail anchored by Longo’s, LA Fitness, Shoppers Drug Mart, Winners, and three major banks • Demographics in 5km radius: • Population: 340k Proposed • Daytime population: 489k • Average household income: $133k+ • 49,000 people pass through the site as part of their daily commute • $250M (at RioCan’s interest) renovation underway 46
STRATEGIC PILLAR FOUR: STRATEGIC ACQUISITIONS SELECTIVELY SEIZING OPPORTUNITIES CANADA’S MAJOR MARKET PORTFOLIO STRATEGIC ACQUISITIONS • Acquire only the best locations in the six major markets • Opportunities to acquire partners’ interests in today’s tight market • Highly selective acquisitions of development sites, leveraging existing properties 47
STRATEGIC ACQUISITIONS ACQUISITIONS OF PARTNERS’ INTERESTS HAVE BEEN A KEY SOURCE OF GROWTH POST SALE OF US PORTFOLIO Over $1.5 Billion of Acquisitions from Partners 2015 - 2017 Acquisitions from other partners, $0.2B Acquisitions from CPPIB Acquisitions from Kimco of $0.3B of $0.9B Proposed Acquired more than $1.5 Billion of assets predominantly in major markets that would otherwise not be available in the market at a weighted average capitalization rate of 5.8% • Acquisition from Kimco involved the purchase of a non-managing interest from a motivated seller seeking to re-focus their portfolio in the United States. 48
STRATEGIC ACQUISITIONS MIXED-USE DEVELOPMENT THE WELL TORONTO, ON Proposed 49
STRATEGIC ACQUISITIONS MIXED-USE DEVELOPMENT THE WELL, TORONTO, ON Location: 7.7 acre site situated at the gateway to downtown Toronto, at Front and Spadina. Transit oriented adjacent to the site of a proposed intercity GO Train stop. Ownership Structure: Commercial: 50% (J.V. with Allied Properties REIT Residential: 40% (J.V. Allied Properties REIT and WNUF2*) Residential Building 6: 50% (J.V. with Woodbourne ) Property Type: Mixed-use with ~500,000 sf retail, 1.1 M sf office and ~1,800 residential units (condo and rental) at 100% Zoning Status: Zoned Proposed • Demographics 5KM radius: Estimated project completion: • Population: 485k Commercial - 2021, Residential Building 6 – 2022+ • Average household income: $114k+ • Innovative, amenity rich design including a European inspired Estimated PUD Costs (RioCan’s interest): food hall • Office is targeted LEED platinum $675.9M** • Teaming with Enwave for the first low-carbon resilient cooling Building 6: $129.5M and heating option for the property and surrounding community *WNUF2 holds a 20% interest in the residential portion until the sale of air rights to Tridel and Woodbourne upon completion of the underground and podium structures . ** Project costs estimated as $600.3M net of sales proceeds from air rights sales 50
STRATEGIC ACQUISITIONS MIXED-USE DEVELOPMENT THE WELL, TORONTO ON Surfacing Value • RioCan and its partners acquired the former Globe and Mail head office and surrounding land for $170 million in 2012 and 2013 • Agreement in place to sell 1.1M sf of air rights to Residential partners Tridel and Woodbourne for approximately $180 million upon completion of the underground and podium structures • Upon completion, an estimated 10,000 people will live and work at the property • A comprehensive signage master plan agreement has been approved by the city. Interior and exterior digital signage will generate significant ancillary revenue Proposed Proposed 51
STRATEGIC ACQUISITIONS MIXED-USE DEVELOPMENT YORKVILLE, TORONTO, ON Location: Transit oriented and in the heart of prestigious Yorkville, one of Toronto’s most high-end shopping and residential areas. Property Type: Mixed-use with potential for 0.5M sf of luxury condominium and retail uses and up to up to 82 rental units Ownership: 50/25/25 joint venture among RioCan, Metropia and Capital Developments Zoning Status: Preparing application for ZBA Zoning Bylaw Amendment Project Start/Anticipated Completion: TBD Surfacing Value: • As of February 2018 the partners have completed acquisitions of adjacent properties substantially required for the intensification project • Demographics in 5 km radius: • RioCan has agreed to purchase the partners’ interest in • Population: 450k the retail portion upon completion at a 6% cap rate and • Daytime population: 457k has the right of first opportunity to acquire the residential • Average household income: $164k+ rental units 52
STRATEGIC ACQUISITIONS MIXED-USE DEVELOPMENT BATHURST COLLEGE CENTRE, TORONTO Location: Situated in the western downtown corridor in Toronto, at Bathurst Street and College Avenue. Directly across street from Toronto General Hospital Ownership Structure: 100% Property Type: 139,000 sf mixed-use office and retail Leasing status: 79% pre-leased Anchor Tenants: University Health Network (UHN), Fresh Co (Sobeys), Winners Zoning status: Zoned Estimated project completion: 2019 Estimated PUD Costs (RioCan’s interest): $108.0M Proposed Proposed 53
STRATEGIC ACQUISITIONS MIXED-USE DEVELOPMENT 5th & THIRD, CALGARY, AB Location: Well located in the East Village area of downtown Calgary with direct access to the LRT Ownership Structure: 100% retail, Residential air rights sold to Embassy BOSA Property Type: Mixed-use with 158,000 sf of retail and 597,000 sf residential sold as air rights Lead Tenants : Loblaw’s City Market, Shoppers Drug Mart Leasing status: 70% pre-leased Zoning status: Zoned Estimated project completion: 2021 Estimated PUD Costs (RioCan’s interest): $128.9M Proposed Proposed 54
STRONG BALANCE SHEET THE FINANCIAL RESOURCES TO FUEL GROWTH AND WEATHER MARKET TURMOIL CANADA’S MAJOR MARKET PORTFOLIO STRONG BALANCE SHEET Low • Low leverage Leverage • Low cost of debt • Laddered debt maturity and mostly fixed rate Multiple Capital • Access to multiple sources of capital Sources • Large unencumbered assets pool generating Strong 58.4% of annualized NOI Growth 55
MEASURED APPROACH TO DEVELOPMENT As at Max. Mar. 31, Target Permitted 2018 Properties Under Development (“PUD”) & Inventory - $1.4 B N/A PUD and Inventory as % of Gross Assets – per Line of Credit Covenant 15% 9.6% ~ 10%* Investment in Greenfield Development and Inventory as % of Unitholder Equity - per Declaration of Trust 15% 4.5% N/A $300M - $400M $300M - $600M
SELF FUNDING DEVELOPMENT NOT DEPENDENT ON EQUITY OFFERINGS OR INCREASING LEVERAGE Sources of Funding for Development: • Disposition net proceeds • Sales proceeds from condominium/townhouse developments or air rights sales • Strategic alliances toCONSISTENTLY ABOVE 95% reduce capital requirements and mitigate risks • Excess operating cash flows • Sale of marketable securities 57
PRUDENT MANAGEMENT OF DEVELOPMENT RISKS • Laddered development • Pre-leasing requirement for commercial development and sound market studies for residential development • Well-established internal control process for development approvals and construction management • Strategic alliances to reduce capital requirements and mitigate risks • Dedicated and experienced development team but not over-staffed CONSISTENTLY ABOVE 95% o No overhead pressure to take on projects o Residential property management currently outsourced until we reach scale • Already own the assets, which are income producing o We can better control development starts especially in today’s environment of rising construction costs • Limited condominium development 58
STRONG BALANCE SHEET PRUDENT CAPITAL MANAGEMENT & FLEXIBLE CAPITAL STRUCTURE Capital Structure Metrics Target Q1 2018* Leverage 38% - 42% 42.4% Debt/EBITDA 3.0x 3.85x Debt Service Coverage >2.25x 3.12x Fixed Coverage CONSISTENTLY ABOVE 95% >1.10x 1.18x Unencumbered Assets N/A $8.1B Unencumbered Assets to Unencumbered Debt >2.0x 2.20x NOI % from Unencumbered Assets >50% 58.4% Unsecured vs. Secured Debt 60%/40% 59%/41% FFO Payout Ratio
INDUSTRY LEADING FINANCIAL PROFILE Leverage Debt to EBITDA 47.6% 8.7x 42.4% 7.6x Debt Service Coverage Interest Coverage 3.1x 3.9x 2.6x 3.1x Source: company reports; Peers: Mar. 31, 2018 - FCR, CHP, CRR, CRT, SRU 60
INDUSTRY LEADING FINANCIAL PROFILE CAPITAL STRUCTURE PROFILE: CANADA VS. U.S. Historical Background and Stronger Demand for Yield: o Canadian REITs have a shorter history and higher demand for yield o US Retail REITs have much higher institutional ownership (~86%*) Less Risky Retail Operating Environment o Less retail space per capita in Canada o Stricter development regulations and municipal bylaws in Canada o Retail in Canada has less competition, more financially stable anchor tenants CONSISTENTLY ABOVE 95% More Conservative Lending Practices o Canada: recourse borrowing and higher proportion of secured financing o U.S.: Non-recourse borrowing and more reliance on unsecured financing o Canadian financial institutions have more conservative, on-balance sheet lending practices 61
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT STRATEGY PRUDENT CAPITAL MANAGEMENT & FLEXIBLE CAPITAL STRUCTURE • Maintain strong balance sheet with leverage in the 38% - 42% range • Maximize unit repurchases under NCIB subject to our leverage target • Self-fund development • Balance unsecured and secured debt ratio in the ~60/40 split range • Maintain financial flexibility by managing revolving line of credit utilization and balance between debenture issuance and line of credit utilization CONSISTENTLY ABOVE 95% • Balance debt maturities and limit variable rate debt to manage interest rate risk • Maintain and develop lender relationships and continue to utilize diversified funding sources • Utilize CMHC funding for mixed-use residential properties 62
STAGGERED DEBT MATURITY AND LOW COST OF DEBT LESS IMPACTED BY RISING INTEREST RATES Scheduled principal amortization Mortgages payable Floating Rate Mortgages and Lines of Credit Debentures payable Weighted average interest rate $ ‘000s Weighted Avg. Interest Rate on Maturing Debt 2,400 6.0% 2,000 5.0% 1,600 3.62% 3.57% 4.0% 3.44% 3.48% 3.03% 3.23% 1,200 3.0% 934 873 1,542 911 1,232 800 604 2.0% 400 1.0% 0 0.0% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Thereafter 63
CONTACT INFORMATION Edward Sonshine, O.Ont., Q.C. Chief Executive Officer Rags Davloor President & Chief Operating Officer Qi Tang Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer Contact Information RioCan Yonge Eglinton Centre 2300 Yonge Street P.O. Box 2386 Toronto, ON M4P 1E4 Proposed Email: ir@riocan.com (T) 1-800-465-2733 or (416) 866-3033 Proposed 64
You can also read