London Underground and the PPP - The first year 2003/04 - Transport for London
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Transport for London London Underground and the PPP The first year 2003/04 As at financial year end 2003/04 Issue date: June 2004 MAYOR OF LONDON
London Underground and the PPP The first year 2003/04 Contents 1. Foreword 2 2. Background and overview 8 3. PPP contractual performance 9 4. PPP financial performance 20 5. Asset performance 22 6. Asset management 37 7. Safety performance 39 8. Relations with the PPP Arbiter 42 9. Underground operations 43 10. Conclusion 54
2 Transport Transportfor forLondon London 1. Foreword In April 2003, London Underground Infracos based upon actual system completed the transfer of the performance, and the efficacy of this responsibility for the care, maintenance quite experimental system is unproven and renewal of its assets - its rolling in the world of urban rail transport. stock, stations, track and signals - to the Second, many of the promised private sector through a Public Private improvements of PPP - including the line Partnership. This past financial year, upgrades intended to increase capacity - concluding on March 31, 2004, marks are not intended to be delivered until the first full year of London after the end of the first 7.5 years of the Underground and Infraco performance contract, and PPP scope, pricing and under this ‘PPP’. This report is a review funding could all be subject to significant of that performance. renegotiation at that point. Finally, the Government imposed significant The one observation with which affordability constraints when previous everyone would agree is that London management negotiated the details of Underground suffers from a range of the PPP, with the result that the bidders deep-seated problems resulting from pushed out promised improvements decades of under-investment. This from the first 7.5 year period to the under-investment produced persistent second and from the second to the asset failures that, in turn, led to an third. There is no committed funding for acceptance of inadequate performance. the periods beyond the first 7.5 years. Management grew to accept doing more Even if the PPP is fully implemented as with less while perfecting the art of intended, existing assets will not be fully apology and passengers’ expectations restored to a state of good repair until were driven down. the year 2025. PPP. After much debate and dispute, the For current users of the Tube that is an Government adopted the PPP as its unacceptable eternity. And for future antidote to this spiral of inadequate passengers, the capacity increase investment. Over the first 7.5 years of promised by the PPP must be this 30-year arrangement, billions of substantially accelerated if the London pounds will be paid to three private Plan forecasts of 800,000 more sector companies, Tube Lines Ltd., Londoners and 630,000 additional jobs Metronet BCV Ltd. and Metronet SSL by 2016 are to be realised. Ltd. (the ‘Infracos’). This investment was intended to be in exchange for the Current management of London restoration and upgrade of the Underground took charge in July 2003 Underground’s assets. when control of the Underground transferred to the Mayor of London and It remains to be seen whether the scope became part of Transport for London. of improvements promised by the PPP We have had less than a year to observe will prove real or ephemeral. This is a the performance of the Infracos under function of several interrelated factors. private ownership and their relationship to the operations of the remaining First, the scope of work of the PPP is publicly-controlled portions of the primarily driven by financial incentives system. intended to reward or penalise the
London Underground 2003/04 3 Over the past year, £1.1 billion was paid Future reports will benefit from our joint to these companies. During that same efforts with Tube Lines and Metronet to year, the Underground’s assets establish an asset register and a capital continued to provide dramatic programme reporting system. These new demonstrations of their inadequacy: data systems will measure the ● Central Line fleet withdrawn for 8 effectiveness of maintenance regimes weeks following the 25 January 2003 and the performance against schedule Chancery Lane derailment with and budget of planned capital continuing effects on services programmes. Improved information will ● Inability to cope with excessive heat provide a common understanding of in August exacerbated discomfort of performance and will assist the parties passengers to the PPP in focussing on and tackling ● Power outage on August 28 revealed problems. shortcomings of communications network and signalling and control Improved maintenance practices and resulting reliability improvements should systems be observable in the short term. Tube ● Hammersmith and Camden Town Lines and Metronet have predicted derailments reductions in failures within different ● Continuing track, signalling and rolling asset categories of between 15 and 49 stock failures at a rate not per cent over the first 7.5 years. We demonstrably different from pre-PPP intend to do everything in our power to performance years. hold them to these predictions. Under the renewals programme, the PPP must It is clear that the failure of historically deliver major asset upgrades in the form neglected, long-lived assets is of new trains, signalling systems and continuing. It is impossible to determine rebuilt track structure, which will permit at this early point, however, in what way a step change in performance. Many of this continuing failure may be tied to the these major upgrades are years away, but structure of the PPP. One cannot as yet their delivery – as well as the overall clearly distinguish between the success of the PPP – is dependent on performance lag in programmes that are the Infracos’ proper execution of current just being implemented, teething design and planning activities. These too problems, structural problems and will be monitored vigorously. genuine performance issues. We have attempted, therefore, to ground this In some respects, the parties to the PPP report on a presentation of data that will contract are working co-operatively and form a baseline to judge future are demonstrating a willingness to performance. We set forth performance consider joint solutions to management under the contractual and financial problems. Certain joint initiatives have measures, as well as Infraco shown early promise, such as the anti- performance with regard to planning, graffiti programme. The Underground reporting and asset failures for the key agreed with the Infracos to attack the asset classes. We have added paint on trains as a symbolic first step in commentary within each asset class to demonstrating a greater concern for the provide a context for the data. Underground’s assets and the travelling environment for passengers. All fleets
4 Transport for London on the Underground are now being reduced the scope of the work cleaned and new graffiti is removed performed. Many track renewal projects within 24 hours. Metronet particularly done so far have achieved 50-60% of has demonstrated effective management what should have been delivered. in cleaning the fleet most defaced by Because of the modest amount of graffiti, the sub-surface fleet. Metronet renewal work that was scheduled over has also introduced new management this first year, this shortfall can be teams to improve the performance of recovered, but this early pattern cannot rolling stock, demonstrating early be allowed to continue: the Infracos success on the Central and Circle Lines. must undertake the promised work, Tube Lines successfully brought forward while protecting service. the opening of the eastern end of Canary Wharf station. The effectiveness of maintenance programmes will be revealed over time, However, the first year also gives however the past year has left much to significant cause for concern. The area of be desired. Again, proper planning is greatest concern is in planning and critical. Smart planning, efficient delivery programme/project management, which and professional supervision in the field drives the effectiveness of the are attributes in short supply across the maintenance programmes as well as Infracos. Addressing these weaknesses major capital programmes. High-level will require a greater addition of outside asset management strategies have been talent from Infraco shareholders or haltingly produced and suffer from extensive training and recruitment inadequate engineering input, while programmes. detailed work plans have sometimes been either non-existent, incomplete or Over the coming year, the first major inconsistent rather than competent and station rebuilds will be underway with professional. The planning capability work on 19 stations and more track demonstrated this past year will not be renewal work will be undertaken. The adequate to manage the volume of work rebuilding of the District Line between once the renewals programme Earl’s Court and Whitechapel should accelerates. reduce asset failures and produce a smoother ride, but at the cost of loss of A very troublesome example of that service over numerous weekends. inadequate planning is the damaging Planning for the first major line upgrades, engineering overruns that frequently the Jubilee, Victoria and Northern line interrupted peak service in the last programmes, must develop to the point months of the year under review. of accurately developing schedules and Metronet and Tube Lines priced their accountabilities. bids for work under the PPP based upon plans to perform heavy maintenance at Good management can overcome some night and on weekends. This is an of the shortcomings we have observed inefficient and expensive way of doing in Infraco planning activities, but all the the work, but was designed to protect parties to the PPP remain captive to the weekday service. Infraco overruns limitations of the PPP contracts occurred from weekends and nights into themselves. It is likely that there will service hours because of poor planning. need to be changes to the PPP contracts In response, the Infracos have often reflecting actual experience during the
London Underground 2003/04 5 first year or two of their execution. We together to London Underground’s will also be evaluating whether the advantage, with the consequence that financial incentives engrained in the the public sector is exposed to contracts in fact motivate appropriate significant cost risk. behaviour and outcomes, and whether the work the Infracos elect to perform is Prestige is the ticketing PFI that now the highest priority work in light of the supplies ticketing systems for TfL condition of Underground assets and the generally, including the new smart card needs of Underground customers. technology. In the past year, the Oyster card has been introduced and the I was not a party to the process that led underlying technology has performed to PPP. I came to London to restore the remarkably well. The card’s full Underground’s lost reputation as the functionality has not yet been world’s premier rapid transit network. In introduced however, and the coming year this brief time, I have been struck by the should see the delivery of further smart opportunity presented by the new card applications. investment and the dedication of many of the people who work on the The Power PFI contract with Seeboard Underground. But I have also been Powerlink was entered into in disappointed by the overly convoluted connection with the decommissioning of processes that the contracts require, the the Underground’s Lots Road power limitations on London Underground’s plant. The Power PFI’s resilience was rights and the inadequacies of real world called into question during last year’s technical planning and analysis that went power outage. We have worked with into the PPP. These conditions need to Seeboard Powerlink to strengthen be changed. management and communications with the Underground, EdF and the National PFI. Metronet and Tube Lines essentially Grid to remedy shortcomings. An control the performance of the additional concern, however, is the need Underground’s assets, which is the to provide power to support line and major determinant of service quality. rolling stock upgrades under the PPP. Nonetheless, they are not the whole Over the past year, we have put together story. Prior to the PPP, London the planning apparatus to bring forward Underground entered into a series of any such power upgrade, and we have Private Finance Initiatives for delivery of co-located teams with Seeboard discrete systems. Tube Lines has Powerlink and the Infracos to define the inherited one, the Alstom provision of future power requirements in an attempt Northern Line trains. Another, stations to ensure that we do not contract for for the British Transport Police, has been (and hence incur unnecessary costs for) largely delivered. Three others, Prestige more power than is required. This work (ticketing), Connect (communications) is on the critical path for PPP upgrades and Power, present enormous challenges and will require substantial infrastructure in themselves and in combination with improvements by the end of the decade. the PPP. These PFIs and the PPP were not planned or designed to work
6 Transport for London Connect is the PFI under which the Following the discussion of PPP Underground’s current radio system is performance, this report summarises maintained and its new radio system is and reviews London Underground’s to be delivered. The delivery of the new operating performance for those aspects radio system is already two years late of the system that remain under its and over budget. In the Connect PFI, we control. have inherited a poorly managed contractual arrangement that has so far We face many of the same challenges as failed to deliver the system that is the Infracos. We must upgrade our critical to our efforts to improve project management practices if we are operations, safety and information. The to effectively integrate the number of system is now scheduled for delivery in competing capital schemes that are 2006. That deadline will be met and before us. We must complete the substantial cost overruns avoided only if development of systems that will permit the Connect team, working in co- effective coordination of all renewal ordination with the Infracos, completes work, including non-PPP investments. the basic engineering and construction work over the next 18 months. In order The PPP scope calls for the renewal of for this to happen, Connect must share existing stations but does not deliver limited engineering hours and draw on major necessary changes that will relieve the Infracos’ engineering trains, congestion. For example, Victoria Station protection personnel and other assets, must be expanded or it will limit the creating an enormous co-ordination exploitation of the new trains and signals challenge, rife with potential conflict and on the Victoria Line. Moreover, the resulting delays. Underground is an inhospitable environment for many Londoners. The Underground Operations. Following the PPP provides some relief for users with adoption of the PPP, Transport for special needs, particularly those with London assumed control of London hearing or sight limitations. But the PPP Underground on July 15, 2003. provides very little in the way of In assuming control, we have articulated improved step-free access to the three immediate challenges: Underground. There currently are 40 ● Management of the PPP and PFI step-free stations and the PPP station relationships and responsibilities programme will make 16 more stations ● Improved operations step-free. The Mayor and Commissioner ● Investment in stations to expand of Transport wish to make at least half access, building on the PPP the network step-free within 15 years. investment programme where That imperative and the need for possible. congestion relief come together to define additional investment, as yet Over the past year, we have defined unfunded, that must be undertaken improved operations as the delivery of a coincident with the PPP stations safer, cleaner and more reliable service. programme. In the face of the extreme conditions faced over the past months, substantial In the end, the PPP contracts were a progress has already been made. product of substantial compromise,
London Underground 2003/04 7 trading time and scope for reduced The complexity of turning the investment. Projects were removed from Underground around within the context the programme or moved far into an of these novel contractual and unfunded future to reduce the cost of management structures makes for an the PPP. This compromise creates grave endless list of performance metrics and potential risk because the sizeable commentary. At the end of the day, investment in the early years does not however, the system’s performance as produce the kinds of visible outcomes experienced by passengers will provide that would inspire confidence in the the only judgement that counts. project and rally financial commitment going forward. Billions of pounds will be spent, but little change will be apparent, save possibly the effects of improved maintenance – but even this is uncertain, given the continuing degradation of the assets. Therefore, support for the long- Tim O’Toole term programme of renewal is at risk of Managing Director short memories and demagoguery. London Underground Limited Government must follow through on its June 2004 commitment to 30 years of investment, and the parties to the PPP will have to look for ways to accelerate visible improvements.
8 Transport for London 2. Background and overview1 On 31 December 2002, Tube Lines, the approach was not deemed adequate; for private consortium comprising Bechtel, these areas, the scope of work is more Jarvis and Amey, assumed the precisely defined. Infracos are then paid responsibility for the maintenance and a fee every four weeks that is adjusted renewal of the assets of the Jubilee, upwards or downwards on the basis of Northern and Piccadilly lines. On 4 April actual performance. 2003, Metronet, the private consortium comprising Balfour Beatty, W. S. Atkins, In assessing first-year performance, this Thames Water, Bombardier report reviews: Transportation and Seeboard assumed ● PPP contractual performance: How responsibility for two entities: Metronet the Infracos are performing against Rail BCV, which has responsibility for the performance output benchmarks maintenance and renewal of the assets and with respect to progress on the of the Bakerloo, Central, Victoria and major projects required in the Waterloo & City lines, and Metronet Rail contract, such as line upgrades and SSL (Sub-Surface Lines), which has station improvements. responsibility for maintenance and ● PPP financial performance: How renewal of the assets of the District, contractual performance is reflected Circle, Metropolitan, Hammersmith & in the payments. We also look at the City and East London lines. extent to which the increased resources anticipated by the PPP have The idea underlying the PPP was that materialised so far. private sector companies were better ● Asset performance: How the assets positioned than the public sector to deliver improved performance for have performed since transfer. ● Asset management: Infracos’ plans London Underground through access to specialist technical resources, greater for whole-life asset management. ● Safety performance: How the PPP financial certainty and more efficient use of financial resources, project has performed in delivering the management skills, and knowledge of requirement of ‘no degradation in good industry practice (particularly in the safety.’ area of whole-life asset stewardship). ● Relations with the PPP Arbiter. How London Underground has worked The Infracos are expected to optimise with the PPP Arbiter. cost and performance by looking at the ● Underground operations. How whole asset life-cycle. The PPP contract London Underground’s operations is based significantly on output-based have performed over the last year and performance specification, with the plans for the future. expectation that Infracos decide what maintenance to do and which All measures are as of 31 March 2004, investment projects to carry out to the financial year-end for 2003/04, deliver the required performance. In unless otherwise indicated. This some areas, such as station represents the one-year anniversary of improvements, an output-based the Metronet contracts and 15 months of the Tube Lines contract. 1. Nothing in the report shall create any legal relations between London Underground and any other party nor shall it be deemed to interpret, amend, waive or otherwise affect any provision of any contract or agreement identified herein. The report is issued without prejudice to the exercise by Transport for London or London Underground of their rights under any contract or agreement identified herein.
London Underground 2003/04 9 3. PPP contractual performance The PPP contracts define three primary surrogate for quantifying the total output performance measures: amount of delay caused by that incident ● availability, a measure of day-to-day to customers across the network. service reliability; ● capability, a measure of the potential Infraco LCH performance is measured capacity of the assets ultimately to against a benchmark set at 105% of reduce journey time; London Underground’s historic level of ● ambience, a measure of the quality of lost customer hours, with performance the travelling environment. worse than benchmark incurring abatements. Performance worse than a In addition, the contracts measure further ‘unacceptable’ level incurs performance according to a regime of additional abatements. service points, which are allocated for facilities faults and faults that are not Performance rectified within a set time. BCV Performance against the availability Each of the first three measures benchmark has been mixed over the compare Infraco performance to a year. In the last quarter of the year benchmark based on previous London performance on all BCV lines was better Underground performance. Performance than benchmark, although a slight better than benchmark receives a deteriorating trend could be observed financial bonus,2 while performance over the quarter. worse than benchmark receives a financial abatement. Central line performance was worse than benchmark for the majority of the year, In addition, the Infracos are required to which was consistent with performance deliver a series of defined major projects immediately preceding transfer. Apart such as line upgrades and station from an escalator problem at Bond modernisations. Performance on major Street in period 4, the most significant projects is measured by progress against cause has been ongoing problems with contractual milestones for a defined the line’s rolling stock. The Chancery scope of work. Lane incident (which occurred before transfer) also caused an increase in both 3.1 Availability staff and customer sensitivity to unusual train noise, which led to an increase in Definition and measurement reporting of unusual noise and therefore Availability takes into account each an increase in trains withdrawn from disruption to the service that lasts two service in response to these reports. The minutes or more. The actual length of step change improvement in each incident is then multiplied by a set performance towards the end of the year factors (which varies by the location and shows the positive effect of the time of day of the incident) to determine Metronet remedial programme. the impact on customers. This produces Lost Customer Hours (LCH), which are a 2. Except for service points, where only abatements are applied for failure to meet threshold.
10 Transport for London Bakerloo line - Lost Customer Hours 120 Abeyance 100 80 Agreed 60 Unacceptable LCH (000's) 40 20 Benchmark 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period Central line - Lost Customer Hours 1000 900 Abeyance 800 700 600 Agreed 500 400 Unacceptable LCH (000's) 300 200 100 Benchmark 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period Victoria line - Lost Customer Hours 250 200 Abeyance 150 Agreed 100 LCH (000's) Unacceptable 50 0 Benchmark 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period
London Underground 2003/04 11 Waterloo & City line - Lost Customer Hours 25 Abeyance 20 15 Agreed 10 Unacceptable LCH (000's) 5 Benchmark 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period Poor performance on the Victoria line On the Bakerloo line, average (with results worse than benchmark in performance has improved since half the year’s periods) resulted transfer; performance has been better principally from a combination of signal than benchmark for most of the year. failures and train failures. BCV’s interim programme of improvements to the SSL signalling assets have led to improved Metronet SSL is performing better than performance in recent periods and benchmark on all lines as at year-end. To should deliver further performance address the reliability of the Circle line, improvements. Ultimately, the Victoria which has always been weak, Metronet line upgrade due in 2013 will provide a have put more technicians in place over completely new signalling system. the last year; this appears to be improving response time to incidents Poor performance in the first half of the and thereby improving contractual year on the Waterloo & City line was performance. primarily due to ongoing rolling stock and track defects. It uses the same Scores for the East London line were rolling stock as the Central line and worse than benchmark due to problems therefore has suffered from similar associated with the installation of a new problems. However, as with the Central computerised signalling control system line, performance has been improving, midway through the year. These with the most recent quarter’s problems have now been substantially performance better than benchmark. resolved, as measured by a return to a normal fault rate.3 3. Due to the limited size of the East London line, a single defect has a disproportionate effect (just as on the Waterloo and City). This means performance for these lines will tend to be more volatile than other lines.
12 Transport for London Metropolitan, Circle and Hammersmith & City lines - Lost Customer Hours 600 500 Abeyance 400 300 Agreed LCH (000's) 200 Unacceptable 100 (494K LCH) Benchmark 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period District line - Lost Customer Hours 600 Abeyance 500 400 Agreed 300 Unacceptable 200 LCH (000's) 100 Benchmark 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period East London line - Lost Customer Hours 5 Abeyance 4 Agreed 3 2 Unacceptable LCH (000's) 1 Benchmark 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period
London Underground 2003/04 13 JNP Northern line availability has been Availability on the Jubilee line has been variable, with scores worse than variable, with scores worse than benchmark for half the post-transfer benchmark in 11 of the 16 periods post- periods. Performance was substantially transfer. Although recent performance worse than benchmark in Periods 4 and 7 has improved, the allocation of a large due to a number of significant signal number of lost customer hours relating failures at various locations. The to the signal problems at Green Park has allocation of responsibility and financial still not been agreed; this is likely to be abatement for the Camden Town referred to dispute resolution4. The derailment in Period 8 has not yet been Green Park problems have now been agreed and is likely to be referred to solved and additional improvements to dispute resolution. the Jubilee line signalling system are underway; further improvements will be delivered with the line upgrade. Jubilee line - Lost Customer Hours 250 Abeyance 200 150 Agreed 100 Unacceptable LCH (000's) 50 Benchmark 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period Northern line - Lost Customer Hours 900 800 Abeyance 700 600 Agreed 500 400 300 Unacceptable LCH (000's) 200 100 Benchmark 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period 4. Following three internal stages of discussion, disputes are then referred to adjudication. The adjudication decisions can be appealed and are then heard by a court.
14 Transport for London Piccadilly line - Lost Customer Hours 450 400 Abeyance 350 300 Agreed 250 200 150 Unacceptable LCH (000's) 100 50 Benchmark 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period Piccadilly line availability scores have ● Station ambience includes elements been worse than benchmark for roughly such as condition of platform roofs half of the 16 post-transfer periods; and canopies; condition of seating, however, availability is on an improving waiting rooms, toilets, signs, etc; trend and has been better than cleanliness and levels of litter and benchmark in the last 8 periods. graffiti. Problems were due to rolling stock and a number of major signal failures. Tube Ambience is measured through a Lines are implementing a major wheelset quarterly ‘Mystery Shopping Survey’ modification programme to rectify the (MSS) conducted by an independent axle box problems, which should organisation. The score is compared improve reliability and reduce the need against a benchmark derived from for further work until the fleet is previous London Underground refurbished in 2014. The issue of the performance. amount of abatements to be charged for the effects of the axle box problems is Performance likely to go to dispute resolution. BCV Metronet BCV’s average post-transfer 3.2 Ambience ambience score is slightly better than benchmark. Both train and station scores Definition and measurement are better than benchmark. The Ambience is a measure of the quality of substantial improvement in the BCV the travelling environment, including score post-transfer is primarily the result both train and station ambience. of work done by BCV, both before and ● Train ambience includes elements after transfer, on the Central line. While such as the condition of seats; the Central line was closed after the cleanliness of surfaces and train January 2003 Chancery Lane incident, exteriors; levels of litter and graffiti; BCV used the time to deep-clean stations which appears to have public address (PA) audibility; ride somewhat improved BCV’s ambience quality and in-car noise; lighting, scores. heating and ventilation.
London Underground 2003/04 15 Ambience - BCV 71 70 69 MSS Score 68 67 66 65 64 Q1-2003/4 Q2-2003/4 Q3-2003/4 Q4-2003/4 Quarter MSS Benchmark SSL down the SSL average to be worse than Metronet SSL’s average ambience score benchmark. The successful anti-graffiti is slightly below the benchmark. Stations initiative is expected to move SSL’s ambience is better than benchmark but scores in subsequent periods above graffiti on the rolling stock has pulled benchmark. Ambience - SSL 71 70 MSS Score 69 68 67 66 Q1-2003/4 Q2-2003/4 Q3-2003/4 Q4-2003/4 Quarter MSS Benchmark
16 Transport for London JNP cleaning. Ambience scores are still Tube Lines’ ambience performance has marginally worse than benchmark at improved since transfer due to a series present but are forecast to exceed of new initiatives including train washing, benchmark next quarter. improved station cleaning and seat Ambience - JNP 72 71 MSS Score 70 69 68 67 66 Q1-2003/4 Q2-2003/4 Q3-2003/4 Q4-2003/4 Quarter 3.3 Service points Performance All three Infracos are performing better Definition and measurement than benchmark on fault rectification. Service points are allocated for failures Performance on facilities faults has been by the Infraco to meet certain mixed, as detailed briefly below. contractual obligations according to a regime set out in the contract. Some of BCV the significant types of failures that can On facilities faults, Metronet BCV scores contribute to service points are: poorly due to ongoing faults with CCTV ● Facilities faults (a failure of a and PA systems. BCV launched a series customer facing asset, such as a PA of targeted initiatives to improve its system) performance on facilities faults in the ● Fault rectification (the failure of a last quarter of 2003, which may explain non-customer facing asset and faults the improvement in Period Nine not rectified within standard performance (although this was still clearance times) slightly worse than benchmark). ● Engineering overrun service points (a However, towards year-end performance deteriorated again, due in part to faults failure to return Underground assets on CCTV and PA systems. BCV have by commencement of traffic. Service implemented a remedial programme and points are applied to the first two expect to see results in upcoming hours of an overrun to supplement periods. the availability abatements).
London Underground 2003/04 17 Service Points - BCV - Facilities faults 9,000 8,000 Service Points 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period Service Points Threshold SSL half of the year. This is due primarily to After weak performance in the first half improved performance of Dot Matrix of the year, Metronet SSL’s performance Indicators (DMIs), together with some on facilities faults improved and was improvement in CCTV and PA systems. better than benchmark in the second Service Points - SSL - Facilities faults 8,000 7,000 Service Points 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period Service Points Threshold
18 Transport for London JNP main issues have been CCTV, DMIs and After good performance in the first PA system faults. Tube Lines has quarter, Tube Lines facilities faults developed a new source of supply to performance has been worse than resolve the DMI spares shortage. benchmark for most of the year. The Service Points - JNP - Facilties faults 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period Service Points Threshold 3.4 Major projects Performance BCV Definition and measurement No specific information has been The PPP contracts require the Infracos to received from Metronet BCV on the deliver certain defined projects by Victoria Phase 1 upgrade (which will use specified dates. These include: existing trains and signalling to improve ● line upgrades to increase the journey time by March 2006). Similarly, capability of the line (involving the the Central line upgrade, which promises replacement of trains and signalling) modest improvements, has not been ● train enhancements (including arm explained or documented. rests, CCTV, emergency help points, and visual information displays on the Metronet BCV’s Victoria line Phase 2 train) upgrade has been one of the key areas ● train refurbishment (including of focus this year, as it is both a substantial amount of work and is due replacing flooring and scratched glass, to be completed in the medium-term reducing noise, improving ventilation, (August 2013). The upgrade will include a etc.) new signalling system and a new fleet of ● improvements to stations (wide range 47 trains. We understand from BCV that of work including accessibility, design work on the Phase 2 Victoria line increasing platform seating, displays train layouts has started. BCV has also of expected arrival times, structural told us that conceptual design for the repairs, repair and/or renewal of most new signalling system is underway, aspects of the station including including a survey of stations and floors, lighting, signs, etc). tunnels to verify where and how the signalling system will be put in place.
London Underground 2003/04 19 Computer simulations are being run to ● The seventh car upgrade for the test the post-upgrade patterns of train Jubilee line is proceeding on service. The upgrade will also require schedule. Tube Lines have placed the comprehensive renewal of the Victoria rolling stock order and manufacturing line track; currently BCV are working on has started. The first car will be heavy track maintenance on the Victoria delivered for testing in early 2005. Line. London Underground and Tube Lines are SSL currently engaged in discussions as to Metronet SSL has reported a six-month the scope of station projects. So far, the programme delay for the District line work plans submitted for the enhanced rolling stock refurbishment as a result of refurbishments have been rejected by supply issues. However, the target date London Underground as inadequate. for first train back in service is still achievable. As regards the line upgrade Tube Lines is also in the process of work, preliminary feasibility work has completing several additional special begun and the overall programme is on projects. target. ● Leicester Square, Knightsbridge stations. These are the remaining SSL has also provided a delivery major station improvement projects programme for station works, despite that were inherited by Tube Lines initial delays due to requests from SSL from before transfer. These projects to change (often to reduce) the scope of are proceeding according to plan. work. Changes in scope require London ● Piccadilly Line Extension (PiccEx) to Underground approval as to whether the Heathrow T5. The British Airports new proposed output is acceptable, Authority is providing the PiccEx to both in terms of the contract’s intent London Underground; Tube Lines will and in terms of safety. London provide the signalling system for this Underground and SSL had to discuss project through a specified right these and come to a mutually agreeable currently being negotiated with Tube solution. There were delays in SSL Lines. We are having some difficulties producing the necessary safety in reaching agreement on terms and documentation but work is now progressing. conditions and one element of the cost is now in formal dispute. These JNP issues need to be resolved urgently if Progress on the early phases of the line the project is to be delivered on time. upgrade works appears to be proceeding ● Wembley Park station. The Mayor has on schedule. now accelerated this project so that ● Tube Lines have submitted their work the completion date will be in line plans to London Underground for the with the reopening of the stadium. An signalling and control systems for the extensive investment of time by both Jubilee and Northern line upgrades London Underground and Tube Lines (which are the first stage of the work). over the year means that the project They have informed us that the is expected to be delivered on time. signalling contract has been placed for these upgrades.
20 Transport for London 4. PPP financial performance The PPP, through the Infracos, Major projects and renewal. The introduces approximately £5bn of long- Infracos inform us that they are on target term private finance, which London to spend their budgets for the year on Underground repays through the maintenance and renewal. Based on the infrastructure service charge (ISC). The limited information available, London ISC is adjusted on the basis of contract Underground has some concerns performance as outlined in the previous regarding progress on major projects and section, with levels of performance tied track renewal work. The Infraco accounts to adjustments to the ISC in the form of for the penultimate period of 2003/04 bonuses and abatements. indicate actual capital expenditure at 80- 85 per cent of budgeted capital Cash payments of ISC, bonuses and expenditure for all three Infracos for the abatements for 2003/04 are summarised year. The concern in this area is not so in the table below. BCV and JNP have much the absolute levels of spend, it is both ended the year with net the amount of work being produced per abatements, while SSL has a net bonus. pound spent. For example, completing It is worth noting that all three Infracos 50 per cent of a given length of track did worse on availability than they had renewal work in the time allotted due to projected in their bids but better than poor planning and inefficient working they had expected on ambience. JNP still incurs the budgeted cost for the full and BCV outperformed their bid scope of work. expectations on net performance payments by 35 per cent and 65 per Risks and contingencies. The complexity cent respectively, while SSL of the PPP contracts and of their underperformed their expectations by interfaces with other contracts delivering less than half the expected net (particularly the large PFIs, as discussed bonus. in the Foreword) means that there is Apart from the high-level financial substantial risk around delivery. Many of outcomes in terms of ISC and these risks will not be reflected in the performance adjustments, which are budget for 2004/05, as they will only relatively modest in the context of materialise once these works are overall ISC payments, it has been performed. As these risks are currently difficult so far to draw conclusions evolving, we would expect that as the about performance from the financial volume of work accelerates, the level data. Cost information that should of contingency would need to increase ultimately be available through the as well. master projects database was not yet available at year-end due to the drawn-out dispute over this issue over the course of the year.
London Underground 2003/04 21 FY 2003- ISC Bonus Abatements Value of Net Net Net 2004 Paid Paid Paid Lost Bonus Bid Variance Customer /Abatement Forecast*** Bonus Hours in Out-turn Bonus /Abatement Abeyance * Range /Abatement Out-turn Range £m £m £m £m £m £m £m Metronet 333 +1.6 -3.0** -4.9 -1.4 to -4.0 +2.6 to - BCV -6.3 2.3 Metronet 385 +5.4 -2.5 -1.1 +2.9 to +4.9 -2.0 to -3.1 SSL +1.8 Tube Lines 356 +0.5 -8.1 -8.4 -7.6 to - -10.4 +2.8 to - 16.0 5.6 Total 1,074 +7.5 -15.9 -14.4 -6.1 to - -9.5 +3.4 to - 20.5 11.0 * Period 9 and prior Lost Customer Hours in abeyance when Period 11’s ISC Adjustment Statement was issued ** Includes +£2.3m of agreed ‘roll back’ adjustment of abatements incorrectly charged *** Cash forecast for performance per Bidder’s final financial models Costs for additional works and services. the charging arrangements, for example There have been some delays in securing on-costs and profits for additional works additional services and works through that London Underground considers the Infracos. London Underground is excessive. In the event these issues are examining its own processes as well as not resolved, London Underground will reviewing the performance of the seek to have these services provided Infracos. There are some disputes over through other means.
22 Transport for London 5. Asset performance Definition and measurement however, is that the number of failures For the purposes of this report, six key arising from these underlying problems asset groups are discussed: rolling stock, appears to have increased in the last track, signals, points, lifts and escalators. year. Asset performance since transfer is compared with London Underground The reasons for points failures are historic average performance.5 typically complex as points performance is heavily dependent on the quality of Within the 12-15 month period since the track and track maintenance. The transfer, it would be difficult to observe service impact is very high when signals the type of improvements in asset and points fail, as these failures tend to stewardship that would be expected in a take a substantial time to fix. few years’ time. With that caveat, however, changes in asset performance Performance can be detected year on year. Below we Across the network, there has not been provide data and commentary on any significant improvement in the performance for the major asset classes performance of the signalling system, (i.e., those where failures have a and in key areas such as points there has significant impact on the service).6 been a decline in performance.7 There are a number of likely contributing 5.1 Signalling system factors: ● The level and quality of supervision Background over the technicians doing the work Many of the root causes of signal has declined over the last few years; failures predate transfer in that they are this does not appear to have been related to pre-existing component reversed under Infraco management weaknesses. What has been of concern, 5. Asset performance is measured in a number of different ways. There are certain measures that can be looked at consistently across different asset types, i.e. total number of failures, average downtime per failure and mean service hours or distance between failures. In addition, each asset class has a wide range of specific measures that can help in further understanding the condition and underlying root causes for the performance of that asset. A mix of measures is used for the six asset types in the section below. 6. In looking at the asset performance data: ● Number of failures data cannot necessarily be directly compared between Infracos, as Infracos with more lifts (say) would tend to have more failures. The benchmark data provided is meant to partially overcome this. ● There can often be some correlation between the number of failures and the duration of failures; this is because the greater the number of failures, the less the likelihood the Infraco will have the resources (additional trains, skilled technicians, etc) to fix the incremental failure. ● Base data comes from systems shared with the Infracos and used for incident attribution. Differences from aggregated Infraco data will only arise if certain underlying causes are included/excluded. 7. For purposes of this report, the term ‘signalling systems’ will be used to refer to signals and points.
London Underground 2003/04 23 ● There have been some difficulties better than the first half. Signal over the last year in agreeing access performance has improved somewhat as to the track for signalling technicians. against pre-transfer performance. This appears to be due to a Downtime for both signals and points combination of factors, including new has been slowly worsening. staff and adjustments to the new BCV has implemented a number of system including concerns about initiatives to address ongoing problems: accountability and liability for ● Automatic Train Protection (ATP) decision-making (now that different system problems on the Central line. companies employ the technicians BCV is moving towards a and operational staff). maintenance regime determined by ● The quality of signalling system volume of traffic rather than set time engineers is quite variable across the periods. Infracos and indeed across different ● Circuit controller problems on the lines, with different levels of Central line. BCV is in discussions experience. The historic practice of with the manufacturer to come up ‘loaning’ engineers from one line to with a solution to this problem. another has not been continued by ● Component obsolescence in the Infracos at the same rate as pre- Central line control system. New transfer. sourcing arrangements for There are some encouraging signs of functionally equivalent parts are being joint working across all three Infracos. pursued with BCV’s suppliers to For example: address this. ● Redressing the technical skills ● Signalling relay problems on the shortfall through joint recruitment Victoria line. BCV are working with programmes and training, including a the manufacturer on a long-term fix new training school at Stratford. for these problems. ● Developing renewal programmes for SSL degraded components of the system Overall, SSL’s signalling system (e.g., broken track wires, defective performance has been mixed. SSL blockjoints, tuning units). In some started off the year with an cases, one Infraco is trialling solutions improvement in the number of signalling on behalf of the others, which is failures but since then has shown a positive (e.g. SSL testing a new worsening trend. We would expect material for redressing contact signalling downtime to improve in future failures). as SSL have recently increased their number of signalling technicians. Points BCV failures were improving in the first half On the BCV lines, average points but have been worsening in the second performance for the year is not half, although points downtime has been significantly changed as against pre- decreasing in the second half of the year. transfer performance, although performance in the second half was
24 Transport for London Signals Metronet - BCV Metronet - BCV - Signals Metronet - BCV - Signals Number of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes Average Duration of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes 120 80 70 100 60 80 50 60 40 Number of Failures 30 40 20 Minutes 20 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer) Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer) Tube Lines - JNP Tube Lines - JNP - Signals Tube Lines - JNP - Signals Number of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes Average Duration of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes 120 80 70 100 60 80 50 60 40 Number of Failures 30 40 20 Minutes 20 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer) Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer) Metronet - Subsurface Metronet - Subsurface - Signals Metronet - Subsurface - Signals Number of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes Average Duration of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes 120 80 70 100 60 80 50 60 40 Number of Failures 30 40 20 Minutes 20 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer) Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer)
London Underground 2003/04 25 Points Metronet - BCV Metronet - BCV - Points Metronet - BCV - Points Number of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes Average Duration of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes 45 160 40 140 35 120 30 100 25 80 20 Number of Failures 60 15 10 40 Minutes 5 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer) Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer) Tube Lines - JNP Tube Lines - JNP - Points Tube Lines - JNP - Points Number of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes Average Duration of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes 45 160 40 140 35 120 30 100 25 80 20 Number of Failures 60 15 10 40 Minutes 5 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer) Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer) Metronet - Subsurface Metronet - Subsurface - Points Metronet - Subsurface - Points Number of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes Average Duration of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes 45 160 40 140 35 120 30 100 25 80 20 Number of Failures 60 15 10 40 Minutes 5 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer) Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer)
26 Transport for London Of particular concern is signal reliability indicated above, the Infracos have not on the northern section of the Circle continued this practice to the same line. A significant problem is water extent post-transfer. ingress and poor drainage. SSL and London Underground are in discussions The first step towards addressing these with Thames Water to resolve these problems effectively is much more problems, which have worsened in the aggressive analysis of asset performance last year. Other problems include points data by the Infracos to understand failures, broken track wires, and underlying trends behind failures and blockjoint failures, giving rise to a then to develop the appropriate concern about the quality of the response. maintenance regime for blockjoints. Signal lamp failures have risen On the Piccadilly line, reliability dramatically due to manufacturing problems with the control system defects in the recent batch of lamps; have continued due to component this is expected be redressed once a obsolescence. JNP is buying up new batch is put in place (and ultimately second-hand components to through plans to move to a newer signal supplement the stock of spare parts, lamp technology). On the District line, which is intended to reduce the level control cables at the eastern end of the of disruption. line have experienced problems over the year due to degradation from age and 5.2 Rolling stock damage from track fires. Background JNP The Underground network includes The number of points failures on JNP fleets with a wide range of ages and has roughly doubled since transfer, different designs. Analysing the which has been matched by a doubling performance of rolling stock can be in downtime as well. The number of complicated since the trains’ signal failures has remained relatively performance is substantially driven by stable over the year, while signal the interface with the track - in other downtime has nearly doubled. In our words, the same rolling stock can view, this overall decline in performance perform differently on different lines due is due in part to: to variations in track conditions. ● There appears to be insufficient management attention given to Performance signalling system problems. This was exemplified by problems with a faulty BCV track circuit at Green Park which had a BCV is the only Infraco showing some major impact on service, with trains improvement on mean distance between having to terminate at Green Park failures over the year. Looking at numerous times including during the number/duration of failures, BCV’s mean morning peak. These problems have distance between failures performance has been on a worsening trend for most now been addressed but follow a long of the year, but this was due to the period of failure increase over the course of the year in ● Historically JNP lines were weaker on mileage operated as the Central line was signalling and relied on technicians gradually reintroduced following the from other parts of the network. As Chancery Lane derailment.
London Underground 2003/04 27 Rolling stock Metronet - BCV Metronet - BCV - Rolling Stock Metronet - BCV - Rolling Stock Number of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes Average Duration of in service failures resulting in Service Disruptions > 2 minutes 120 500 450 100 400 350 80 300 250 60 Number of failures 200 40 150 100 20 Minutes 50 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer) Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer) Metronet - BCV - Rolling Stock Mean Distance Between Failure 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 Kilometres 2000 1000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Period 02/03 to 03/04 Actual Post Transfer - 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Actual Post Transfer) As measured by the mean distance between The mean distance between failures failures, the Central line shows consistent measurement improved for the Bakerloo and improvement over the course of the year as the Victoria lines over the year. The two main issues rolling stock problems highlighted by the with the Victoria line fleet over the year were Chancery Lane derailment are being addressed. A problems with doors not closing properly at programme of heavy maintenance was initiated stations and faults relating to Automatic Train during the year, and a new management team has Operation (ATO). A revised maintenance regime been put in place for the Central line fleet, has been put in place to address the door including resource from Bombardier. This problems. The ATO faults are due to equipment programme appears to be starting to show that has become unreliable. Faults cause the results in terms of improvements in asset trains to stop between stations, at which point performance, particularly since the programme the driver must switch to manual operation. was accelerated at the end of the year. The replacement of the trainborne ATO equipment by the end of 2004 is expected to improve performance.
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