List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook - June / 2022
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List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June / 2022 List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022 www.cnb.cz
—— List of thematic articles 2 2022 Issue Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO 2022-06 (Filip Novotný a Petr Polák) Economic impacts of a possible halt in the supply of energy commodities from Russia to Europe 2022-05 (Martin Motl, Luboš Komárek, Jan Hošek and Soňa Benecká) In the rythm of the music industry 2022-04 (Michaela Ryšavá) Developments in the European natural gas market 2022-03 (Jan Hošek) Container shipping in the time of Covid 2022-02 (Milan Frydrych) The risks associated with European export-oriented economies’ twin deficits 2022-01 (Luboš Komárek a Petr Polák) Czech National Bank ——— List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022
—— List of thematic articles 3 2021 Issue The recovery plan for Europe and its importance for the future of European integration 2021-12 (Martin Kábrt and Pavla Netušilová) EU foreign trade during the pandemic crisis 2021-11 (Oxana Babecká Kucharčuková and Jan Brůha) The end of the LIBOR era in financial markets: What lies ahead? 2021-10 (Petr Polák) Modelling the impacts of climate change on the global economy: Stagflationary shock looming 2021-09 (Martin Motl a Jaromír Tonner) The shortage of materials and components as a production-limiting and price-increasing factor 2021-08 (Soňa Benecká) Decentralised finance, its prospects and limits: Is blockchain interoperability the only obstacle? 2021-07 (Alexis Derviz) Outlooks in the pandemic year 2020 – where are world economies heading? 2021-06 (Filip Novotný a Petr Polák) Assessment of the impacts of the pandemic on the world’s major economies: A crisis of supply or demand? 2021-05 (Jan Brůha, Martin Motl and Jaromír Tonner) On a knife edge: Brexit and financial services? 2021-04 (Michaela Ryšavá) How accurate are oil price forecasts? 2021-03 (Jan Hošek) After the BITs: The uncertain future of international investment governance 2021-02 (Martin Kábrt) A network of national AMCs – part of the solution to the legacy of the financial crisis and the coronavirus crisis? 2021-01 (Luboš Komárek a Petr Polák) Czech National Bank ——— List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022
—— List of thematic articles 4 2020 Issue Consumer and industrial prices in 2020 – the year of the coronavirus 2020-12 (Petr Polák and Filip Novotný) The fight between the Covid-19 pandemic and air transport has a clear winner so far: Are we facing a historical change? 2020-11 (Michaela Ryšavá) International goods trade at the onset of the coronavirus pandemic from the perspective of economic regions 2020-10 (Ladislav Prokop) A tale of two crises: An early comparison of foreign trade and economic activity in EU countries 2020-09 (Oxana Babecká Kucharčuková and Jan Brůha) The coal market and its future 2020-08 (Jan Hošek) Mortgage loan regulation instruments around the world 2020-07 (Petr Polák and Luboš Komárek) Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO 2020-06 (Filip Novotný) The fiscal policy reaction to Covid-19, or the fast way out of the crisis 2020-05 (Petr Polák, Luboš Komárek, Pavla Netušilová a Ivana Polášková) Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the world economy 2020-04 (Martin Motl) Stablecoins – a gateway between conventional and crypto financial universes? 2020-03 (Alexis Derviz) Regional disparities in selected EU countries 2020-02 (Luboš Komárek and Jan Babecký) An alternative look at China from satellites 2020-01 (Soňa Benecká and Tomáš Adam) Czech National Bank ——— List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022
—— List of thematic articles 5 2019 Issue The boom in short-term accommodation 2019-12 (Petr Polák) The economic slowdown in China and its impact on commodity markets 2019-11 (Jan Hošek) The automobile market slump in China: A global threat? 2019-10 (Soňa Benecká) Current account modelling – long-term trends and cyclical factors 2019-9 (Oxana Babecká Kucharčuková and Jan Brůha) What changes in financial intermediation are to be expected from fintech? 2019-8 (Alexis Derviz) Macron’s reforms: What has driven the yellow vest protesters to take to the streets? 2019-7 (Pavla Růžičková) Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO 2019-6 (Filip Novotný) The inverted yield curve in the USA: How much time is left until a recession? 2019-5 (Martin Motl) International reserves as a mirror of external effects and macroeconomic policies 2019-4 (Soňa Benecká and Luboš Komárek) How heavy a fiscal burden are we carrying to interest rate base camp? The fiscal and monetary space in OECD countries 2019-3 (Luboš Komárek) Euro area industrial producer prices from the perspective of the oil price 2019-2 (Soňa Benecká) Euro area inflation hit the inflation target, but is everyone running at same pace? 2019-1 (Tomáš Adam and Filip Novotný) Czech National Bank ——— List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022
—— List of thematic articles 6 2018 2018 Issue The contemporary role of gold in central banks’ reserves 2018-12 (Iveta Polášková and Luboš Komárek) The UK productivity puzzle: Why is productivity barely growing? 2018-11 (Pavla Růžičková) International trade developments with a focus on the EU 2018-10 (Oxana Babecká Kucharčuková and Jan Brůha) The liquefied natural gas (LNG) market 2018-9 (Jan Hošek) Ratings of highly indebted euro area countries 2018-8 (Jana Hanzlíková and Luboš Komárek) Cryptoassets vs. conventional investments at a time of low interest rates 2018-7 (Alexis Derviz) Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO 2018-6 (Filip Novotný) The uncovered interest parity condition in Consensus Forecasts 2018-5 (Tomáš Adam and Filip Novotný) Post-crisis heterogeneity across EU countries 2018-4 (Oxana Babecká Kucharčuková and Jan Brůha) Why is cash still popular? Evidence from OECD countries 2018-3 (Michal Hlaváček, Luboš Komárek and Iveta Polášková) The evolution of shadow rates in the light of the Taylor rule 2018-2 (Soňa Benecká) The ECB’s unconventional monetary policy and euro area monetary aggregates 2018-1 (Tomáš Adam) Czech National Bank ——— List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022
—— List of thematic articles 7 2017 2017 Issue The position of direct investment dividends in EU countries’ balances of payments 2017-12 (Ladislav Prokop) The economic recovery and labour market developments in the USA 2017-11 (Soňa Benecká) The investment position – a composite indicator of a country’s net position vis-à-vis the rest of the world 2017-10 (Vladimír Žďárský) The real exchange rate phenomenon: What does it tell us about EU countries? 2017-9 (Luboš Komárek) Brexit a year after the referendum: What lies ahead? Predictions of the economic impacts 2017-8 (Pavla Břízová) Brexit a year after the referendum: The economic impacts on the United Kingdom so far 2017-7 (Pavla Břízová) Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO 2017-6 (Filip Novotný) Is the oil market approaching equilibrium? 2017-5 (Jan Hošek) Risks to global economic growth in the medium term 2017-4 (Iveta Polášková) The monetary and fiscal policy response space in OECD countries 2017-3 (Luboš Komárek) The effect of (un)conventional measures on shadow rates in the euro area and the USA 2017-2 (Soňa Benecká) The phenomenon of equilibrium real interest rates – is their fall temporary or permanent? 2017-1 (Soňa Benecká, Pavla Břízová and Luboš Komárek) Czech National Bank ——— List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022
—— List of thematic articles 8 2016 2016 Issue The effect of the increased number of refugees on the German labour market 2016-12 (Milan Klíma) The relationship between the Brent oil price and the dollar exchange rate 2016-11 (Filip Novotný) The industrial producer price index in the EU 2016-10 (Iveta Polášková) The closing of the output gap in OECD countries in the current low-inflation environment 2016-9 (Luboš Komárek) Seasonal agricultural commodity price movements 2016-8 (Martin Motl) Inflation expectations in the USA: An illusion of a fall? 2016-7 (Soňa Benecká) Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO 2016-6 (Filip Novotný) International comparison of competitiveness using composite indicators 2016-5 (Iveta Polášková) How global inventory levels affect commodity prices 2016-4 (Jan Hošek) The Europe 2020 strategy: Will it be fulfilled? 2016-3 (Pavla Břízová) Changes in global imbalances in the world economy 2016-2 (Luboš Komárek and Vladimír Žďárský) The FDI life cycle on the example of the Czech Republic 2016-1 (Filip Novotný) Czech National Bank ——— List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022
—— List of thematic articles 9 2015 2015 Issue The role of China in the slowdown in international trade 2015-12 (Oxana Babecká Kucharčuková) Central banks’ gold reserves 2015-11 (Iveta Polášková) Shadow policy rates – alternative quantification of unconventional monetary policy 2015-10 (Soňa Benecká, Luboš Komárek and Filip Novotný) The economic reforms of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi 2015-9 (Pavla Břízová) The Chinese renminbi in the SDR basket: A realistic prospect? 2015-8 (Soňa Benecká) Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO 2015-7 (Filip Novoný) Seasonal price movements in the commodity markets 2015-6 (Martin Motl) Assessment of the effects of quantitative easing in the USA 2015-5 (Filip Novoný) How consensus has evolved in Consensus Forecasts 2015-4 (Tomáš Adam and Jan Hošek) The US dollar’s position in the global financial system 2015-3 (Luboš Komárek) The crisis and post-crisis experience with Swiss franc loans outside Switzerland 2015-2 (Alexis Derviz) The effect of oil prices on inflation from a GVAR model perspective 2015-1 (Soňa Benecká and Jan Hošek) Czech National Bank ——— List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022
—— List of thematic articles 10 2014 2014 Issue Applicability of Okun’s law to OECD countries and other economies 2014-12 (Oxana Babecká Kucharčuková and Luboš Komárek) Monetary policy normalisation in the USA 2014-11 (Soňa Benecká) Changes in FDI inflows and FDI returns in the Czech Republic and Central European countries 2014-10 (Vladimír Žďárský) Competitiveness and export growth in selected Central European countries 2014-9 (Oxana Babecká Kucharčuková) Developments and the structure of part-time employment by European comparison 2014-8 (Eva Hromádková) The future of natural gas 2014-7 (Jan Hošek) Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO 2014-6 (Filip Novoný) How far the V4 countries are from Austria: A detailed look using CPLs 2014-5 (Václav Žďárek) Heterogeneity of financial conditions in euro area countries 2014-4 (Tomáš Adam) The impacts of the financial crisis on price levels in Visegrad Group countries 2014-3 (Václav Žďárek) Is the threat of deflation real? 2014-2 (Soňa Benecká and Luboš Komárek) Forward guidance – another central bank instrument? 2014-1 (Milan Klíma and Luboš Komárek) Czech National Bank ——— List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022
—— List of thematic articles 11 2013 2013 Issue Financialisation of commodities and the structure of participants on commodity futures markets 2013-12 (Martin Motl) The internationalisation of the renminbi 2013-11 (Soňa Benecká) Unemployment during the crisis 2013-10 (Oxana Babecká a Luboš Komárek) Drought and its impact on food prices and headline inflation 2013-9 (Viktor Zeisel) The effect of globalisation on deviations between GDP and GNP in selected countries over the last two decades 2013-8 (Vladimír Žďárský) Competitiveness and determinants of travel and tourism 2013-7 (Oxana Babecká) Annual assessment of the forecasts included in GEO 2013-6 (Filip Novotný) Apartment price trends in selected CESEE countries and cities 2013-5 (Michal Hlaváček a Luboš Komárek) Selected leading indicators for the euro area, Germany and the United States 2013-4 (Filip Novotný) Financial stress in advanced economies 2013-3 (Tomáš Adam a Soňa Benecká) Natural gas market developments 2013-2 (Jan Hošek) Economic potential of the BRIC countries 2013-1 (Luboš Komárek a Viktor Zeisel) Czech National Bank ——— List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022
—— List of thematic articles 12 2012 2012 Issue Global trends in the services balance 2005–2011 2012-12 (Ladislav Prokop) A look back at the 2012 IIF annual membership meeting 2012-11 (Luboš Komárek) The relationship between the oil price and key macroeconomic variables 2012-10 (Jan Hošek, Luboš Komárek and Martin Motl) US holdings of foreign securities versus foreign holdings of securities in the US: What is the trend? 2012-9 (Narcisa Kadlčáková) Changes in the Czech Republic’s balance of payments caused by the global financial crisis 2012-8 (Vladimír Žďárský) Annual assessment of the forecasts included in the GEO 2012-7 (Filip Novotný) A look back at the IIF spring membership meeting 2012-6 (Filip Novotný) An overview of the world’s most frequently used commodity indices 2012-5 (Jan Hošek) Property price misalignment around the world 2012-4 (Michal Hlaváček and Luboš Komárek) A macrofinancial view of asset price misalignment 2012-3 (Luboš Komárek) The euro area bond market during the debt crisis 2012-2 (Tomáš Adam and Soňa Benecká) Liquidity risk in the euro area money market and ECB operations 2012-1 (Soňa Benecká) Czech National Bank ——— List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022
—— List of thematic articles 13 2011 2011 Issue An empirical analysis of monetary policy transmission in the Russian Federation 2011-12 (Oxana Babecká) The widening spread between prices of North Sea Brent crude oil and US WTI crude oil 2011-11 (Jan Hošek and Filip Novotný) A look back at the IIF annual membership meeting 2011-10 (Luboš Komárek) Where to look for a safe haven currency 2011-9 (Soňa Benecká) Monetary policy of the central bank of the Russian Federation 2011-9 (Oxana Babecká) Increased uncertainty in euro area financial markets 2011-8 (Tomáš Adam and Soňa Benecká) Eurodollar markets 2011-8 (Narcisa Kadlčáková) Assessment of the forecasts monitored in the GEO 2011-7 (Filip Novotný) How have global imbalances changed during the crisis? 2011-6 (Vladimír Žďárský) Winners and losers of the economic crisis in the eyes of European investors 2011-5 (Alexis Derviz) Monetary policy of the People’s Bank of China 2011-4 (Soňa Benecká) A look back at the IIF spring membership meeting 2011-3 (Jan Hošek) The link between the Brent crude oil price and the US dollar exchange rate 2011-2 (Filip Novotný) International integration of the Chinese stock market 2011-1 (Jan Babecký, Luboš Komárek and Zlatuše Komárková) Czech National Bank ——— List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022
—— List of thematic articles 14 Czech National Bank ——— List of thematic articles published in the Global Economic Outlook ——— June 2022
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