"Let there be Gees" Adrian Scrase, CTO, ETSI CW Talks, 22 June 2021 - Presented by: Cambridge Wireless
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“Let there be Gees” Presented by: Adrian Scrase, CTO, ETSI CW Talks, 22 June 2021 © ETSI 2021 - All rights reserved
What are Gees? 392 Hertz 196 Hertz Gees are great things to have! © ETSI 202 2021 - All rights reserved 2
But I guess we mean these Gees? Which are also great things to have! © ETSI 202 2021 - All rights reserved 3
Suitability of Gees Gees are not suitable for everything They may not be suitable for small, standalone systems which are intended to serve local markets But they are suitable for large, complex systems which are intended to evolve over several decades serving global markets It’s all a matter of horses (Gee Gees) for courses © ETSI 202 2021 - All rights reserved 4
Structure of Gees 3GPP is the defacto standards activity where mobile cellular systems are specified 20 27 10 28 57 ARIB It attracts more than 700 members from 35 countries to do that ATIS work. ETSI and counterparts in China, India, Japan, Korea and the US CCSA 128 form the partnership ETSI TSDSI But 3GPP does not work in Gees! It works in Releases. Gees provide TTA TTC a framework to encompass Releases 441 5G was first composed of 3GPP Releases 15&16, but will also include 711 Members in 3GPP Releases 17, 18, 19 etc as at 19 June 2021 Gees are a big stick in the sand, a destination to which an enormous industrial effort will be invested by stakeholders from academia, research bodies, industry, governments, large enterprises and SME’s. (25% of ETSI’s membership is from SMEs, it’s the same story for 3GPP) © ETSI 202 2021 - All rights reserved 5
Timing of Gees Releases provide an innovation cycle at approximately 18 month intervals Releases form part of an evolution plan towards the next Gee which, historically, is around 10 years. But the Gee period may change (e.g., 4G to 5G was 8 years for standards delivery) Gees also have mid-points at approximately 5 year intervals. These provide another opportunity to package innovation, e.g., The 5G mid-generation marker which will apply from 3GPP Release 18 onwards © ETSI 202 2021 - All rights reserved 6
Deployment of Gees As Gees are developed by a very large community of interest, there is an in- built readiness to deploy Consider 5G with a complete set of standards (Release 15 and Release 16) completed by 2020. According to the Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA) there are already: 163 commercial 5G networks launched in 64 countries (April 2021). 436 operators (and operators-to-be) in 133 countries investing in 5G mobile and 5G FWA networks, in the form of tests, trials, pilots, launches, etc 74 operators investing in 5G Standalone mode According to GSMA, 1.8 billion 5G connections are forecast by 2025 This is deployment on a grand scale………. © ETSI 202 2021 - All rights reserved 7
Research Agenda of Gees ICT Research is a long-term activity that needs to be carefully programmed and planned Gees provide a focal point for such Research Agendas But once Research results have been obtained they may be fed into the next planned Release. You are not obliged to wait for the next Gee! Research agendas were established for 5G, involving large communities of academia and industry. The 5G timeline provided focus for those agendas in terms of availability of results. Gees are always on schedule (5G was delivered ahead of schedule), so Researchers have a definitive deadline to work towards © ETSI 202 2021 - All rights reserved 8
Funding the Research Agenda of Gees B5G/6G Research Initiatives Gees, by definition, are well framed and Worldwide dependable in terms of when they will be delivered - “Secure 5G & Beyond Act” March 2020 Research results aimed at influencing Gees (or the - DoD Testbed programme, $ 600 million Releases that constitute Gees) can therefore be well - Next-G initiative, industry federation (ATIS) framed - MIC “Roadmap towards 6G”, June 2020 - METI support / 5GMF B5G vision The high probability of Gees being delivered on - $ 380 million time, and being a market success, gives confidence - MSIT 6G programme, September 2020 in research funding. For 5G, this probability led to - $ 200 million public support an enormous amount of private and public money - MIIT 6G programme, creation of IMT 2030 Promotion committee (2019) being made available for research projects. The - Multi € Billion until 2035, including same is true for 6G as shown in this table industrialisation - 6G Flagship launched in February 2019 - € 250 million / 7 years - 6G Smart Networks and Services Joint Undertaking (SNS-JU) - € 900 million / 7 years © ETSI 202 2021 - All rights reserved 9
Branding and Marketing of Gees It is not sufficient to create great inventions. You also need to sell them. There are plenty of example of good products that did not achieve market success. Gees provide a marketing and branding possibility, since the Gee concept is widely understood by our populations. There is an element of competition, with citizens wishing to get the next G before their neighbours. It’s all about perception, and 5G is perceived by the masses to be better than 4G! Look what the UK operators are doing: https://www.vodafone.co.uk/network/5g https://www.o2.co.uk/5G https://ee.co.uk/why-ee/5g-on-ee http://www.three.co.uk/5g This market demand is created even before standards completion © ETSI 202 2021 - All rights reserved 10
Government support for Gees Gees have become a political instrument When Prime Ministers declare that their country is going to be a leader in the next Gee that can have quite an impact How much public money has been available to promote 5G deployment in the UK? Catapults, test beds, trials, incentives, deployments? Gees also provide Governments with an opportune to upgrade infrastructure and modernize industry The Worcestershire 5G Consortium is a great example CAMERON ANNOUNCES PLANS FOR 5G INTERNET TO of that, with 5G fostering public and private DOWNLOAD A MOVIE IN 'ONE SECOND' investment https://uk5g.org/discover/testbeds-and- trials/worcestershire-5g-consortium/ © ETSI 202 2021 - All rights reserved 11
But everyone is already talking about 6G! The ink is still drying on the 5G standard and yet everyone is already talking about 6G! Here are just a few examples: • Nokia (Communications in the 6G era) https://onestore.nokia.com/asset/207766 • Samsung (The next hyper-connected experience for all) https://cdn.codeground.org/nsr/downloads/researchareas/20201201_6G_Vision_web.p df • Ericsson (A research outlook towards 6G) https://www.ericsson.com/en/reports-and-papers/white-papers/a-research-outlook- towards-6g • NTT DoCoMo (6G White paper) https://www.nttdocomo.co.jp/english/corporate/technology/whitepaper_6g/ • Keysight technologies (A New Sub-Terahertz Testbed for 6G Research) https://www.keysight.com/gb/en/assets/7120-1082/white-papers/A-New-Sub- Terahertz-Testbed-for-6G-Research.pdf • NGMN (6G: why?) https://www.ngmn.org/highlight/6g-why.html • GSMA (6G) http://www.gsmhistory.com/6g/ • University of Oulu (various 6G white papers) https://www.6gchannel.com/ Source: NTT Docomo • University of Surrey (6G Wireless: a new strategic vision) https://www.surrey.ac.uk/sites/default/files/2020-11/6g-wireless-a-new-strategic- vision-paper.pdf © ETSI 202 2021 - All rights reserved 12
Conclusions Gees have served the mobile industry well for three decades Gees provide focus for research and investment Gees provide a branding wrapper which populations understand It’s too late to stop 6G, that train has already left the station! Let there be Gees! © ETSI 202 2021 - All rights reserved 13
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