LEG Immobilien AG Company Presentation - November 2019
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Disclaimer While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company’s business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate. This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations. This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. 2 I November 2019
Key Investment Highlights c. 3.8% Dividend Yield1) from Stable Residential Cash Flows with Sound Growth Prospects Leading cash flow profitability in German residential industry driven by attractive scale effects in our core markets Significant potential for stable, above average growth (structural organic + external growth) Leading Operating Performance Based on Focused Platform Favourable demand/supply and high affordability in NRW basis for structural growth NRW stands out with comparatively low political risks Strong beneficiary from net immigration (right product in the right region) Creating Tangible Value from Acquisitions with High Potential for Synergies Acquisition of c. 55,000 units since IPO with immediate value contribution and a very low execution risk (FFO per share accretion, no NAV dilution) Management expertise in affordable housing and in-depth knowledge with high synergies in core markets as key success factors Leader in Innovation / Successfully Leveraging Value of Customer Base Launched Multimedia, Energy Services and Craftsmen Services businesses as additional earnings drivers Strong Balance Sheet / Long Term Secured Financing at Very Attractive Terms LTV of 36.3% secures defensive profile Average cost of debt of Ø 1.64% with average maturity of c. 7.3 years Secures high visibility for future earnings and dividend growth 1) Based on mid-point guidance 2020, share price as of 8 November 2019 (€100.75) 3 I November 2019
Highlights 9M-2019 Overall company development: Delivering on key value drivers Acquisitions: Approx. 5,700 units signed (YTD), pipeline of several smaller deals Capital growth: Another valuation uplift of around 3% expected in Q4 (~8% in FY-2019) Financing: Further reduction of avg. interest costs ahead (early redemptions + acquisitions) Sound rent momentum persists In-place rent, l-f-l €5.82/sqm (+2.9%; free financed units +3.7%) EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.6% (unchanged YOY) Maintenance/Capex €21.88/sqm (+7.7% YOY) Financials: Producing compelling total returns Net cold rent €439.8m (+5.5% YOY from €417.0m) Adjusted EBITDA €330.5m (+8.0% YOY from €305.9m) FFO I €259.1m (+7.0% YOY from €242.2m), FFO per share €4.09 (+6.7% YOY from €3.83) Pro forma NAV post conversion1 €100.52 per share (up from €93.40 in FY-2018; +7.6% YTD/ +11.4% incl. €3.53 DPS) DPS-2019 (proposal) €3.60 (rising dividend despite 9.2% higher number of shares) 1) NAV after a simulated, executed conversion of the 2014/2021 convertible which was nearly completed at end of Q3-2019 4 I November 2019
LEG at a Glance Leading residential platform across Germany’s largest state Overview Key Financial Metrics 9M-2019 One of the largest German residential real estate Net Cold Rent €439.8m companies with 130,968 residential units and market leader in the NRW market Adj. EBITDA €330.5m NRW is one of the largest metropolitan areas in Europe FFO I €259.1m accounting for 21% of German GDP Regional focus bears structural competitive advantages GAV €11,277m for operating efficiency and performance Pro forma NAV per share1) €100.52 93% of LEG‘s portfolio is located in the catchment area of growth cities such as Cologne, Düsseldorf or Münster LTV 36.3% Key Data (9M-2019) Geographic Reach across NRW Number of residential units: 131,135 Residential sqm: 8.36m In-place rent (l-f-l): €5.82 /sqm Münster Bielefeld EPRA-vacancy (l-f-l): 3.6% Rent free financed/ restricted units (l-f-l): €6.20/4.80 /sqm Dortmund Apartment size: 64 sqm Duisburg Essen Apartments per building: 7 units Wuppertal Düsseldorf Number of rooms per unit: 3 rooms Cologne Bonn 1) Adjusted for the effects from an executed conversion of the 2014/2021 convertible (adj. EPRA-NAV per share diluted €100.20 (excl. goodwill)) 5 I November 2019
Agenda I. LEADING OPERATING PERFORMANCE Leading operating performance and profitability on basis of a regionally focused business model II. ATTRACTIVE NRW MARKET Metropolitan region benefitting from sound growth prospects; net immigration as key growth driver III. MARKET LEADING PLATFORM WITH Proven track record for value accretive acquisitions in EXTERNAL GROWTH POTENTIAL core markets with high synergies IV. INNOVATION & VALUE-ADDED SERVICES Creating additional value by leveraging value of the customer base; aspiration to become a digital leader V. FINANCIALS: HIGH PROFITABILITY – Sound FFO and dividend growth on basis of leading STRONG BALANCE-SHEET operating profitability and long term secured financing VI. BUSINESS UPDATE & OUTLOOK 6 I November 2019
I. Leading Performance Strong track record of outperforming German residential market L-f-l in-place rent (€/sqm) Successful rent management1) (€) 6.65 5.67 6.12 5.46 5.34 5.21 5.11 2012 2018 4.96 Germany in-place rent per sqm 4.86 4.79 6.03 5.11 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2012 2018 LEG in-place rent per sqm unrestricted units LEG‘s affordable living product in urban areas well LEG continuously outperformed the broader German suited to market conditions residential market Excess demand and high affordability create Strong outlook for further growth acceleration headroom for sustained organic growth Source: LEG as of FY-2018 1) Sources: LEG, Bundesbank 2) Like-for-like 7 I November 2019
I. Leading Performance Portfolio: Attractive combination of yield and growth High Growth Higher Yielding As of 30.09.2019, IFRS 5 excluded Stable Markets Total Portfolio1) Markets Markets No. of Units 41,497 48,313 39,476 131,135 % of GAV 46% 32% 21% 100% Gross Yield 4.3% 5.7% 6.5% 5.3% EPRA-Vacancy l-f-l 1.9% 3.6% 6.4% 3.6% In-Place Rent CAGR l-f-l 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% FY-2016 – FY-2018 Free Financed Portfolio Rent CAGR l-f-l 3.9% 3.7% 3.5% 3.8% FY-2016 – FY-2018 High exposure to attractive economic centers and university cities (e.g. Cologne, Düsseldorf, Münster) Higher Yielding markets – attractive cash cows with decent growth profile Only residential units shown. Total includes an additional 1,849 residential units located outside NRW 8 I November 2019
I. Leading Performance Positive rent development across all submarkets Strong results on the basis of tailor-made Minden- Lübbecke management strategies Steinfurt Herford Bielefeld Lippe High-Growth Markets Borken Munster Gütersloh Coesfeld Warendorf 30.09.2019 (YOY) Kleve Hamm Paderborn Hoxter # of units 41,497 +0.3% Wesel Recklinghausen Gelsenkirchen OberhausenHerne Dortmund Unna Soest In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €6.51 +3.3% Bochum DuisburgEssen Hagen Hochsauerlandkreis EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 1.9% -50 bps Krefeld Viersen Mettmann Düsseldorf Wuppertal Märkischer Kreis Monchengladbach Remscheid Rhein-Kreis Solingen Stable Markets Neuss Olpe Heinsberg Leverkusen (YOY) Rheinisch-Bergischer Kreis Cologne Oberberg. Siegen- Wittgenstein 30.09.2019 Rhein-Erft-Kreis Kreis Düren Rhein-Sieg-Kreis # of units 48,313 +1.6% Aachen Bonn In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.47 +3.0% Euskirchen EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.6% +20 bps Total Portfolio1 Higher-Yielding Markets 30.09.2019 (YOY) 30.09.2019 (YOY) # of units 131,135 +0.7% # of units 39,476 +0.2% In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.82 +2.9% In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.39 +2.2% EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.6% 0 bps EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 6.4% +60 bps 1) IAS 40 only, IFRS 5 excluded 9 I November 2019
I. Leading Performance Well diversified portfolio with attractive reversionary potential High Growth Markets Stable Markets As of 9M-2019 LEG NRW2 NORTH RHINE- WESTPHALIA As of 9M-2019 LEG NRW2 No. of Residential Units 41,497 4,139,973 No. of Residential Units 48,313 2,922,288 Occupancy Rate (%) 98.2% 97.3% Minden- Occupancy Rate (%) 96.4% 96.9% Lübbecke In-Place Rent per sqm (€) 6.51 7.59 Steinfurt In-Place Rent per sqm (€) 5.47 5.98 Herford Rent Potential1) 17% n/a Rent Potential1) 9% n/a Bielefeld Lippe Borken Munster Gütersloh Coesfeld Warendorf Kleve Hamm Paderborn Hoxter Wesel Recklinghausen The LEG Gelsenkirchen Unna Soest Oberhausen Herne Dortmund portfolio offers a Duisburg Essen Bochum 11% average rent Hagen Higher Yielding Markets Krefeld upside potential1 Viersen Mettmann Hochsauerlandkreis Dusseldorf Wuppertal Märkischer Kreis As of 9M-2019 LEG NRW2 Monchengladbach Remscheid Solingen Rhein-Kreis Neuss Olpe No. of Residential Units 39,476 1,910,513 Heinsberg Leverkusen Rheinisch-Bergischer Kreis Oberbergischer Siegen- Cologne Kreis Occupancy Rate (%) 93.8% 96.0% Rhein-Erft-Kreis Wittgenstein Düren Aachen Rhein-Sieg-Kreis In-Place Rent per sqm (€) 5.39 5.72 Bonn Rent Potential1) 6% n/a Euskirchen Source: LEG as of 9M-2019, CBRE, Empirica, IT.NRW 1) Market rent (CBRE) compared to LEG portfolio 2) No. of residential units as of 2017, occupancy rate as of 2018 10 I November 2019
I. Leading Performance Attractive portfolio + operational excellence = strong rent growth L-f-l residential rent (€/sqm/month) Rent growth drivers +2.9% +3.3% 0.2% +3.0% Cost rent adjustments 0.6% 5.82 5.65 0.7% Re-letting 0.6% Q3-2018 Q3-2019 0.8% Modernisation L-f-l free financed rent (€/sqm/month) +3.7% Mietspiegel 1.9% 1.5% adjustments 6.20 5.98 FY-2017 FY-2018 Q3-2018 Q3-2019 Well diversified mix of growth drivers (low Performance of free financed units demonstrates strong execution risk) underlying fundamentals Growth not boosted by overspending (capex) Rent restricted units: +0.5% year-on-year (like-for-like) though supported by modernization program High exposure to structural growth markets and respective Effects from capex are now partially included in commuter belts supports outperformance the re-letting cluster 11 I November 2019
Capex & Maintenance Lifting internal growth potential Lifting growth potential while maintaining high capital efficiency €194.9m • Investments increased 11.8% year-over-year €174.4m (€21.88/sqm1) (€20.32/sqm1) • Excess demand creates headroom for rent increases €120.3m €136.5m • Leading capital efficiency as key value driver (rent growth relative to capital expenditure) €54.1m €58.4m • Target return of c. 6% on modernisation projects (IRR) 9M-2018 9M-2019 • Enhanced capex programme ongoing Maintenance Capex Rising capital expenditure leads to portfolio valuation upside and FFO accretion in €/sqm: 13.8 16.1 18.2 22.4 29.4 ~30-32 ~31-33 270-280 280-290 in €m: 252.7 187.5 149.6 200 200 179 114.2 116 89.1 78 60 43 72 72 74 80 80 46 54 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1Development maintenance capex excluded. 12 I November 2019
I. Leading Performance Unlocking value potential through construction on own land Münster • Four buildings with 51 units in Münster: seizing value potential through densification on vacant plots of own land • Construction cost €7.7m or c.€2,200/sqm; IPR c.€12-13/sqm • Respecting the environment and responding to demographic changes Cologne (Höhenhaus) www.leg-wohnen.de/Gartensiedlung • 43 buildings with c. 200 units will be replaced by 400 units • First architectural draft expected end of 2019 • Approx. 30% of apartments will be subsidised or price- demanded units, resulting in varying levels of in-place rent • Will include a kindergarten and be responsive to aging tenants Hilden (Greater Düsseldorf) • Construction of 3 buildings with 38 apartments (completion by spring/summer 2020) Total pipeline New construction in Hilden • Total pipeline of c.1,000 units, yield on cost >4.5% • Target: 500 new build units per year from 2023 13 I November 2019
Agenda I. LEADING OPERATING PERFORMANCE Leading operating performance and profitability on basis of a regionally focused business model II. ATTRACTIVE NRW MARKET Metropolitan region benefitting from sound growth prospects; net immigration as key growth driver III. MARKET LEADING PLATFORM WITH Proven track record for value accretive acquisitions in EXTERNAL GROWTH POTENTIAL core markets with high synergies IV. INNOVATIVE VALUE-ADDED SERVICES Creating additional value by leveraging value of the customer base V. FINANCIALS: LEADING CASH FLOW Sound FFO and dividend growth on basis of leading PROFITABILITY – STRONG BALANCE- operating profitability and long term secured financing SHEET VI. BUSINESS UPDATE & OUTLOOK 14 I November 2019
II. Attractive NRW Market NRW: economic engine in Germany with liquid labour market Key facts Large German corporates based in NRW Key metropolitan area in Germany, and one of the largest areas in Europe (17.9m inhabitants) Largest economy: Germany in Europe, NRW in Bielefeld Germany Gütersloh Essen Germany’s economic powerhouse generating approx. Mulheim/Ruhr Düsseldorf 21% of German GDP Leverkusen Cologne About one third of the largest companies in Germany Bonn are based in NRW (10 of the DAX30 companies and 8 of Germany’s 30 largest companies by revenue in 2017/18) Centrally located in Europe, excellent infrastructure and Decreasing unemployment in NRW a key transport hub (with multiple airports, dense railway system, motorway network and waterways) 12% 11.4% 11% Robust labour market with decreasing rate of 10% 9.5% unemployment (-40% since 2006) 8.9% 9% 8.7% 8.3% 7.8% 7.7% 8% 8.5% Highest population density – key advantage for 8.1% 8.1% 7.0% 7% 7.4% 6.4% 6.5% efficient property management 6% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 unemployment rate May Source: Federal Statistical Office, Federal Employment Agency 15 I November 2019
II. Attractive NRW Market Portfolio highly exposed to structural growth markets Geographic reach of growth cities (60 km radius) Key data Approx. 93% of LEG‘s portfolio is located in the catchment area of growth cities (60 km) and around 64% in the Minden- commuter belts (60 km) of Düsseldorf and Cologne, the Lübbecke Steinfurt most populous cities in NRW Herford Many principal university cities are located in NRW, e.g. Münster Bielefeld Lippe Cologne, one of Germany’s “Universities of Excellence” or Borken Coesfeld Gütersloh Bonn, Aachen and Münster Warendorf Paderborn Höxter Kleve Hamm Wesel Recklinghausen Unna Gelsenkirchen Oberhausen Herne Dortmund Soest Structural growth cities Bochum Duisburg Essen Krefeld Hagen Number of 1-2 person households constantly growing in Viersen Mettmann Hochsauerlandkreis Düsseldorf Wuppertal Märkischer Kreis swarm cities and outperforming Germany (2017: 75.3% in Mönchengladbach Solingen Rhein-Kreis Olpe Germany) Neuss Leverkusen Heinsberg Cologne Oberbergischer Siegen- Growth cities tend to younger age structure compared Kreis Wittgenstein Rhein-Erft-Kreis to Germany: stronger increase in share of people under the Düren Rhein-Sieg-Kreis Aachen age of 40 (2017: 43.0 % in Germany) and percentage of Bonn people above the age of 60 steadily shrinking (2017: 27.9% Euskirchen in Germany; rising trend) Source: Federal Statistical Office 16 I November 2019
II. Attractive NRW Market NRW: leading position in future industries Highlights Key markets showing sound household growth1) • Direct investments: #1 in Germany for foreign investors • 29.2% of direct investments in Germany Germany Inhabitants +2.6% Inhabitants +3.1% Households +3.7% • Chemicals: #1 in Germany, #5 in Europe (sales) Households +7.1% • NRW generates 30.8% of German sales Inhabitants +2.5% Households +0.7% • Biotechnology: #1 in Europe, #9 worldwide (patents) • Highest number of biotech patent applications in Europe • NRW generates 44.4% of German sales Inhabitants +4.0% Households +3.7% • Microsystems Technology: top position Gütersloh • 28% of all German players are located in NRW with focuses in 1,448 units Aachen, Cologne/Bonn, Münster, and Dortmund as a hotspot • Nanotechnology: top position in Germany and Europe Dortmund • More than 200 companies, thereof 50 large companies 13,596 units • 220 institutes (of which 9 Fraunhofer, 3 Max Planck and universities) Düsseldorf 5,307 units Mönchengladbach 6,444 units • Mobile communication: #1 in Germany • NRW companies account for 83% of the German mobile Cologne 3,898 units communication market Inhabitants +6.1% Bonn Households +5.3% • Education: 6 of 10 largest universities located in NRW 2) Inhabitants +2.4% 2,283 units Households +1.6% • e.g. RWTH Aachen, one of the largest technical universities in Inhabitants +4.7% Europe, renowned for engineering, IT and natural sciences Households +1.9% 1) Federal Statistical Office, 2016 vs. 2011 2) Cologne, Aachen, Münster, Bochum, Duisburg/Essen, Bonn. Measured by number of registered students. Source: Federal Statistical Office, winter term 2018/19 17 I November 2019
II. Attractive NRW Market NRW: high quality of life in the Rhine area NRW’s capital Düsseldorf, international trade and business hub Münster Belefeld • Ranked #6 worldwide in Mercer Quality of Living Ranking 2018 especially for its Duisburg Essen Dortmund good infrastructure and its vast offering for cultural and leisure activities. Its excellent Düsseldorf Wuppertal medical care, vibrant art scene and fashion industry represent other benefits. Cologne Bonn • Ranked #18 worldwide in Monocle Quality of Life Survey 2018 especially for its excellent infrastructure (road, rail, air) and vast opportunities for leisure activities and Düsseldorf 2014-2040 shopping. According to Monocle, Düsseldorf is a rare combination of a local community Population +10.6 % and an enthusiastic cosmopolitan city. Households +15.5% • Düsseldorf offers an international airport, a well-known trade fair and is home to Düsseldorf 2016 companies such as Henkel, Metro, Ceconomy, Uniper or Gerresheimer. Population 613,230 • The city is a hub for international businesses with 5,000 German or European Vacancy1) 1.5% headquarters, especially from Japan and multiple telecommunication firms such as Asking rent1) 10.00 €/sqm Vodafone or Ericsson. • Many consultancies have their German headquarters Düsseldorf Medienhafen: (e.g. McKinsey, A.T. Kearney, Booz Allen Hamilton) or Architecture by Frank Gehry, large offices in Düsseldorf first-class restaurants and various offices occupied by media and consulting turned this former harbor area into a city hotspot. 1) Market vacancy and market asking rent 2) According to Wirtschaftswoche and ImmobilienScout24 Photo credits: Michael Gaida Source: LEG Housing market report 18 I November 2019
II. Attractive NRW Market NRW: successful structural change of the Ruhr area Example 1: Dortmund Münster Belefeld The former center of the mining and steel industry has developed into an innovative and Dortmund future oriented science and technology city: Duisburg Essen Düsseldorf Wuppertal • It has become a top location for future oriented sectors e.g., Cologne Bonn biotechnology/biomedicine, energy efficiency technology, production technology, IT. Its microsystems technology cluster is the largest in Germany and one of the largest in Dortmund 2014-2040 Europe. 900 logistics companies with 27,000 employees benefit from the good infrastructure. Population +5.1% Households +6.5% • Excels in scientific research (e.g., Max Planck Institute of Molecular Physiology (MPI) as one of the world’s leading institutions or Dortmund’s Fraunhofer Institut for Dortmund 2016 Material Flow and Logistics as Europe’s top institute for logistics solutions). The Population 585,813 science and technology campus in Dortmund includes 16 faculties and >33,000 students as well as the technology center with c.350 companies and c.10,000 Vacancy1) 2.5% employees in the areas of IT, logistics, microsystems, nanotechnology, production Asking rent1) 6.15 €/sqm technology. The Phoenix lake is one of Germany’s largest urban development projects on a former blast furnace and steel production site offering a vast recreational area for water sports and leisure, premium residential units, commercial units, offices and a marina with restaurants. 1) Market vacancy and market asking rent Source: LEG Housing market report Photo credits: evgenIT 19 I November 2019
II. Attractive NRW Market NRW: successful structural change of the Ruhr area Example 2: Essen Münster Belefeld The former coal mining and steel city (Krupp) has developed into an important business, Dortmund service and trade center: Duisburg Essen Düsseldorf Wuppertal • 8 of the 100 largest German companies (by sales) are headquartered in Essen Cologne Bonn (e.g. E.ON, RWE, Thyssenkrupp, Aldi Nord, Schenker, Evonik, Brenntag, Hochtief); also c.13,000 small and medium sized companies. Essen 2015-2040 • The industrial focus is on future-oriented industries. Essen is one of Germany’s top Population +3.4% locations for energy (RWE, E.ON and many small/medium-sized companies), for Households +4.4% healthcare, medical research and health management as well as for environment and water management and an important center for creative businesses. Essen 2016 Population 583,084 • Research from the University of Duisburg-Essen is highly regarded (in particular biomedicine, nanotechnology, urban development). As a specialist centre for medical Vacancy1) 3.4% provision it employs top-class doctors in nearly every specialty 40,000 jobs in the Asking rent1) 6.07 €/sqm health services industry and. • The European Commission has awarded Essen “The European Zollverein UNESCO World Heritage Site: Green Capital 2017” thanks to its More than 25 years after its closure, the successful transformation from a once largest colliery in Europe combines coal and steel city to the greenest culture and dining, design and architecture, city in NRW. handicraft and the creative industry – as the only World Heritage Site of the Ruhr Area. 1) Market vacancy and market asking rent Source: LEG Housing market report 20 I November 2019
II. Attractive NRW Market Positive demographics with stabilising net immigration Cities entering upswing mode Key facts Index = 1975 Federal Agency of Migration and Refugees collected data End of declining population 110 that net immigration of foreigners to Germany amounted Bielefeld 0.4% 105 to about 0.4 million in 2018, thereof 0.26 million Mönchen- 0.5% gladbach non-EU nationals 6) 100 0.4% Krefeld End of 2017, 1.4 million people seeking protection (incl. 95 asylum seekers) were registered in Germany, the majority 90 0.5% Dortmund living in NRW (30%) 4) 85 0.6% Essen Stabilising net immigration is currently continuing with 80 decreasing share of refugees (c. -17% asylum seekers 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 CAGR 2011 - 2016 2018 YOY; c. 0.18 million new asylum seekers in 2018)5) Immigration is driving overall population growth, Net immigration to Germany triggering additional growth in net new households ~1.0 m 1) (c. +80% yoy) Additional pressure on affordable housing segment due to immigrants leaving temporary housing NRW ~25% 0.8 m 3) Outperformance of German economy attracts qualified 0.5 m 2) ~0.42 m 6) 0.4 m 6) new immigration Liquid labour market and affordable living as pull-factors 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-2020 for NRW Sources: 1) Interview with director of Federal Agency of Migration and Refugees (Aug 2016) 2) Federal Statistical Office, press release 13 Mar 2018 3) Deutsche Bundesbank, Monthly Report June 2018 4) https://www.welt.de/politik/deutschland/article178141460/Migration-nach-Europa-In-NRW-leben-mehr-Asylzuwanderer-als-in-ganz-Italien.html, June 2018 5) Bundesamt für Migration und Flüchtlinge, August 2019 6) Federal Statistical Office, press release 16 July 2019 21 I November 2019
II. Attractive NRW Market NRW cities still showing decent upside potential Purchasing power1) / household Gross rent / household 34.6% 29.3% % Gross rent ratio 24.9% 23.6% 23.3% EUR 4,644 21.7% 4,138 3,910 3,602 3,371 3,262 1,605 956 1,031 910 796 781 Munich Berlin Dusseldorf Dortmund Essen NRW Source: Own calculations based on Empirica (2018), IT:NRW (2017), MB Research (2018) 1) Net income pre tax and social insurance contributions and including received transfer payments 22 I November 2019
Agenda I. LEADING OPERATING PERFORMANCE Leading operating performance and profitability on basis of a regionally focused business model II. ATTRACTIVE NRW MARKET Metropolitan region benefitting from sound growth prospects; net immigration as key growth driver III. MARKET LEADING PLATFORM WITH Proven track record for value accretive acquisitions in EXTERNAL GROWTH POTENTIAL core markets with high synergies IV. INNOVATION & VALUE-ADDED SERVICES Creating additional value by leveraging value of the customer base; aspiration to become a digital leader V. FINANCIALS: HIGH PROFITABILITY – Sound FFO and dividend growth on basis of leading STRONG BALANCE-SHEET operating profitability and long term secured financing VI. BUSINESS UPDATE & OUTLOOK 23 I November 2019
III. Market Leading Platform with External Growth Potential Strong acquisition track record since IPO – Creating tangible value Portfolio growth set to continue in 2019 Approx. 5,700 units signed in 2019 in a challenging market environment, thereof 1,400 in Lower Saxony and 1,160 in Bremen Average initial FFO yield of > 5% Pipeline of several predominantly smaller deals Portfolio development since IPO (in units) Attractive initial yields + operational improvements + low risk ~46,000 ~ 137,000 = Creation of tangible value 90,926 • Portfolio1): average in-place rents c. +13% (average 48 months, CAGR of 3.2%), vacancy down by 60 bp Lifting attractive value potential also in Stable and Higher Yielding markets 2012 Acquisitions 11/2019 (net of disposals) 1) Acquisitions since year end 2012; excl. acquisitions in 2019 24 I November 2019
III. Market Leading Platform with External Growth Potential Scalability of platform + cost discipline support value accretive growth Strong volume growth at overhead cost below FY-2013 level… Recurr. admin costs # of units 33.1 36.7 32.1 35.2 33.3 34.0 €35m 150,000 100,000 128,488 130,085 133,969 50,000 106,961 108,916 94,311 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 …leads to a significant drop of the administrative costs ratio Recurr. admin costs/ net cold rent Net cold rent 12 % 9.8% €500m 8.5% 8.4% 560.2 9% 534.7 511.7 6% 436.1 6.3% 6.2% 6.1% 360.5 390.1 €350m 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 25 I November 2019
Agenda I. LEADING OPERATING PERFORMANCE Leading operating performance and profitability on basis of a regionally focused business model II. ATTRACTIVE NRW MARKET Metropolitan region benefitting from sound growth prospects; net immigration as key growth driver III. MARKET LEADING PLATFORM WITH Proven track record for value accretive acquisitions in EXTERNAL GROWTH POTENTIAL core markets with high synergies IV. INNOVATION & VALUE-ADDED SERVICES Creating additional value by leveraging value of the customer base; aspiration to become a digital leader V. FINANCIALS: HIGH PROFITABILITY – Sound FFO and dividend growth on basis of leading STRONG BALANCE-SHEET operating profitability and long term secured financing VI. BUSINESS UPDATE & OUTLOOK 26 I November 2019
IV. Innovation & Value-Added Services Leveraging LEG‘s strong customer base with additional services Partner Partner Partner Partner Cooperation Joint venture (51%) Joint venture (51%) • Elderly care services • Multimedia: TV, • Electricity, heating, • Small repair work, • Emergency call internet and telephone metering craftsmen services system Launch January 2014 Launch March 2015 Launch January 2017 Pilot launch in 09-2018 FFO contribution – Services Growth drivers Increasing penetration rate & portfolio growth €19m €16m New services & third party business €15m Price adjustments €9m Principles €6.8m Additional cash flow streams at low risk €4.6m Stay focused: • selective extension of value chain • complementary to letting business €0.0m Value add for tenants and shareholders 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E 27 I November 2019
IV. Innovation & Value-Added Services Digitization Digitization as a technology trend is of tremendous importance for the real estate industry and LEG is headed towards a leading position as a driver of innovation. Greatest digital achievements • Accounting Robot in Receivables Management increases customer satisfaction as employees focus on customer need instead of repetitive bookkeeping-tasks • Success with tenant app, additional 50% active users convinced by extended self-services • Streamlining internal processes in maintenance and repair to reduce costs Current development • Substituting written form by phone service to increase customer satisfaction • No more phone queues as we call our customers back on demand LEG’s Innovation management approach • Monitoring water quality in our apartment houses con- tinuously and automatically through IoT increasing tenant Internal scope External scope safety and reducing costs Digitization in the long run • Corporate culture • Innovative services and supporting constant business models • Further automation of processes development / innovation • Extensive network • Development of ecosystems with strategic partners to increase customer satisfaction and retention • State-of-the-art processes • Alliances and strategic • Development of value-add services (disruptive topics) • Collaboration and partnerships communication • Transferable innovations and best practices 28 I November 2019
Agenda I. LEADING OPERATING PERFORMANCE Leading operating performance and profitability on basis of a regionally focused business model II. ATTRACTIVE NRW MARKET Metropolitan region benefitting from sound growth prospects; net immigration as key growth driver III. MARKET LEADING PLATFORM WITH Proven track record for value accretive acquisitions in EXTERNAL GROWTH POTENTIAL core markets with high synergies IV. INNOVATION & VALUE-ADDED SERVICES Creating additional value by leveraging value of the customer base; aspiration to become a digital leader V. FINANCIALS: HIGH PROFITABILITY – Sound FFO and dividend growth on basis of leading STRONG BALANCE-SHEET operating profitability and long term secured financing VI. BUSINESS UPDATE & OUTLOOK 29 I November 2019
V. Financials: High Profitability Financial Highlights 9M-2019 Net Cold Rent (€m) Adj. Net Rental and Lease Income (€m) Adj. EBITDA (€m) +5.5% +7.9% +8.0% 417.0 439.8 350.1 324.4 305.9 330.5 9M-2018 9M-2019 9M-2018 9M-2019 9M-2018 9M-2019 FFO I (€m) Capex-Adj. FFO I / AFFO (€m) Margin (%) 9M-2018 9M-2019 Comment +7.0% Ongoing efficiency Adj. NRI 77.8 79.6 gains offsetting higher maintenance 0.6% See above + Adj. 73.4 75.1 decreasing admin. EBITDA costs 259.1 242.2 See above + lower FFO I 58.1 58.9 interest ratio 121.9 122.6 See above + higher AFFO 29.2 27.9 growth investments 9M-2018 9M-2019 9M-2018 9M-2019 30 I November 2019
V. Financials: High Profitability Income statement 9M-2019 € million 9M-2019 9M-2018 Net rental and lease income 340.2 315.2 Higher net cold rents (+€22.8m YOY/+5.5%) Net income from the disposal of investment property -0.8 -0.7 Net income from the valuation of investment property 551.6 383.5 Revaluation gains of 5.1% Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory -2.0 -1.5 Net income from other services 1.5 3.8 Admin. costs contain one-off effects e.g. severance Administrative and other expenses -38.0 -31.7 payments, higher depreciation due to the adoption of IFRS 16 Other income 0.4 0.6 Operating earnings 852.9 669.2 Net income from fair value measurement of derivatives -€92.6m; thereof -€91.3m from Net finance costs -182.0 -117.9 convertibles (9M-2018: -€49.6m) Earnings before income taxes 670.9 551.3 Stable cash interests (€58.4m; -€0.4m YOY) despite rising debt volume Income tax expenses -182.0 -143.6 Cash taxes (-€12.9m); lower Consolidated net profit 488.9 407.7 expenses for FY 2019 expected 31 I November 2019
V. Financials: High Profitability FFO calculation 9M-2019 € million 9M-2019 9M-2018 Net cold rent 439.8 417.0 +€22.8m/+5.5% Profit from operating expenses -0.9 -3.3 Maintenance (externally-procured services) -36.9 -37.6 Staff costs -48.8 -45.2 Growth in staff costs mainly due to additional FTE’s for crafts Allowances on rent receivables -5.8 -4.1 services and enhanced capex Other -0.3 -7.0 programme Non-recurring project costs (rental and lease) 2.9 4.7 Adj. NRI increased by +€25.5m Recurring net rental and lease income 350.0 324.5 YOY (+7.9%); rising maintenance costs/inflation Recurring net income from other services 3.4 5.6 more than offset by efficiency Staff costs -24.4 -19.6 gains Non-staff operating costs -10.9 -10.9 Rising staff costs only due to Non-recurring project costs (admin.) 12.0 5.8 one-time effects (severance payments c. €8m) Recurring administrative expenses -23.3 -24.7 Other income and expenses 0.4 0.5 EBITDA increased by +€24.6m Adjusted EBITDA 330.5 305.9 YOY (+8.0%); recurring admin. Cash interest expenses and income -58.4 -58.8 costs slightly decreased Cash income taxes from rental and lease -10.0 -4.1 Stable interest expenses (avg. FFO I (including non-controlling interests) 262.1 243.0 1.63% vs. 1.71% in 9M-2018) Non-controlling interests -3.0 -0.8 despite rising debt volume FFO I (excluding non-controlling interests) 259.1 242.2 FFO II (including disposal of investment property) 255.9 240.6 Capex-adjusted FFO I (AFFO) 122.6 121.9 32 I November 2019
V. Financials: Strong Balance Sheet Balance sheet 30 September 2019 Revaluation €551.6m € million 30.09.2019 31.12.2018 Capex €132.4m Investment properties 11,276.6 10,709.0 Reclassifications (Disposal) -€178.9m Other non-current assets 222.6 175.9 Acquisitions €25.9m Non-current assets 11,499.2 10,884.9 IFRS 16 and Others €36.6m Receivables and other assets 96.2 55.4 Cash flow from operating Cash and cash equivalents 382.3 233.6 activities €224.8m Investing activities Current assets 478.5 289.0 - €4.7m Assets held for sale 172.5 20.3 Financing activities Total Assets 12,150.2 11,194.2 -€71.4m Equity 5,549.5 4,783.9 Non-current financing liabilities 4,319.4 4,113.3 Financing liabilities Other non-current liabilities 1,618.1 1,382.3 Loan proceeds €436.5m Non-current liabilities 5,937.5 5,495.6 Repayment of loans -€270.2m Current financing liabilities 257.8 484.8 Other current liabilities 405.4 429.9 Current liabilities 663.2 914.7 Total Equity and Liabilities 12,150.2 11,194.2 33 I November 2019
V. Financials: Strong Balance Sheet LTV 30 September 2019 € million 30.09.2019 31.12.2018 Financial liabilities 4,577.2 4,598.1 Strong balance sheet (LTV target: 40-43%) after equity Leasing liabilities (IFRS 16) 32.1 0.0 conversion of the 2014/2021 convertible leaves headroom Cash & cash equivalents 382.3 233.6 for further growth investments Potential for further de- Net Debt 4,162.8 4,364.5 gearing via capital growth Investment properties 11,276.6 10,709.0 Properties held for sale 172.5 20.3 Prepayments for investment properties 4.3 - Property values 11,453.4 10,729.3 Loan to Value (LTV) in % 36.3 40.7 34 I November 2019
V. Financials: Strong Balance Sheet LT financing secures future earnings growth Weighted avg. interest (excl. subsidised loans) % as of 30.09.2019 1.3% 1.6% €962m €908m Variable interest 9.9% 1.6% 1.6% €536m 1.7% 2.2% Swaps €458m €420m 12.7% €360m 1.0% €290m Fixed 4.2% 30.09.2019 €172m 2.8% 1.4% 1.8% interest 0.5% €133m €120m 77.3% €106m €102m €23m 1) 3) 2019 2020 2) 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 4) 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 ff 1) remaining volume convertible bond 2014/21 (€23m) 2) commercial paper (€100m) 3) corporate bond (€500m) 4) convertible bond (€400m) Key Facts Maturities Average debt maturity 7.3 years (7.4 years)5 0-2 years 4.2% (2.1%)5 Interest costs Ø 1.64% (1.68%)5 3-5 years 13.1% (13.3%)5 Hedging ratio 90.1% (89.9%)5 6-8 years 52.5% (53.6%)5 Rating Baa1 (Moody‘s) ≥ 9 years 30.3% (31.0%)5 5) excluding commercial paper 35 I November 2019
EPRA-Net Asset Value EPRA-Net Asset Value 30 September 2019 € million 30.09.2019 31.12.2018 €486.2m net profit Equity (excl. minority interests) 5,527.4 4,757.6 €551.5m equity conversion -€41.5m change in OCI Effect of exercising options, convertibles and other rights 86.7 553.9 -€223.1m dividend -€3.3m IFRS 16 and Others NAV 5,614.1 5,311.5 Fair value measurement of derivative financial instruments 71.5 222.2 Deferred taxes1) 1,281.7 1,132.7 EPRA-NAV 6,967.3 6,666.4 Number of shares fully-diluted incl. convertible (m)2) 69.010 68.824 Comment on pro forma NAV post conversion EPRA-NAV per share in € 100.96 96.86 This figure incorporates an equity conversion of the Goodwill resulting from synergies 52.7 52.7 2014/2021 convertible which Adjusted EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill) 6,914.6 6,613.7 was nearly completed at end of Q3 (92.5% and the remainder Adjusted EPRA-NAV per share in € 100.20 96.10 in October 2019) Effects from a simulated executed conversion 22.2 -185.7 Pro forma NAV (excl. goodwill) post-conversion 6,936.8 6,428.0 Pro forma NAV post conversion per share in € 100.52 93.40 Attractive rental yield of 5.3% (thereof free financed portfolio 5.4%) and low value per sqm (€1,295) still reflect an average gap to current transaction prices Value of services business as attractive hidden gem not included in NAV Scenario: additional value approx. €5.20-€7.80 per share (discount rate of 4.0%-6.0%)3) 1) And goodwill resulting from deferred taxes on EPRA-adjustments 2) Actual number of shares outstanding: 3) Assumption: expected 2020 FFO, growth rate of 0% 68.6m (30.09.2019), 63.1m (31.12.2018) 36 I November 2019
Agenda I. LEADING OPERATING PERFORMANCE Leading operating performance and profitability on basis of a regionally focused business model II. ATTRACTIVE NRW MARKET Metropolitan region benefitting from sound growth prospects; net immigration as key growth driver III. MARKET LEADING PLATFORM WITH Proven track record for value accretive acquisitions in EXTERNAL GROWTH POTENTIAL core markets with high synergies IV. INNOVATION & VALUE-ADDED SERVICES Creating additional value by leveraging value of the customer base; aspiration to become a digital leader V. FINANCIALS: HIGH PROFITABILITY – Sound FFO and dividend growth on basis of leading STRONG BALANCE-SHEET operating profitability and long term secured financing VI. BUSINESS UPDATE & OUTLOOK 37 I November 2019
VI. Business Update Accelerating external growth Portfolio growth supported by the broadening of the regional scope LEG remains net buyer with acquisition of portfolios with c. 5,700 units YTD (thereof 210 newly built apartments) Purchase of c. 2,600 units outside of NRW underpins LEG’s sourcing capabilities also outside its previous core region Bulk of the transactions become effective in 2020; annualised FFO impact of €13-14m (c. €6-7m net after disposals) Several smaller deals in negotiations Firepower for further acquisitions in 2020 > €400m Further capital growth ahead Expected valuation uplift of approx. 8% for FY-2019 (+5.1% in H1-2019) Drivers are yield compression and rent performance Early refinancing of loans: Extension of maturity profile at lower interest cost Early loan redemptions planned (volume c. €340m), positive net FFO effect of c. €7m p.a. (one-time cost c. €27m) Commitment to corporate social responsibility Additional foundation planned (capital contribution of €16m); objective: support of preventative measures for tenants Voluntary commitment to lower modernisation yields (depending on affordability) and more conservative approach with regard to adjustments from rent tables 38 I November 2019
VI. Business Update Accelerating external growth Acquisitions Residential Purchase price Rent multiple Price / sqm FFO p.a. signed in 2019 units 5,516 approx. €500m 21.7x €1,433 c. €13m (FY 2020) Top 5 locations Units Federal state Market segment Bremen 1,160 Bremen stable Greater Aachen region1 1,094 NRW high growth Oldenburg 912 Lower Saxony high growth Dortmund 269 NRW stable Duisburg 193 NRW higher yielding 1) Baesweiler, Alsdorf, Übach-Palenberg Development Residential Purchase price Rent multiple Price / sqm FFO p.a. Projects2 units 2103 approx. €38m 26.5x €2,576 c. €0.9m 2) Dortmund, Bielefeld, Lüdenscheid 3) including 99 subsidised units 39 I November 2019
VI. Business Update Outlook for 2019 & 2020 2019 2020 KPI prev. FFO I €338m - €344m €370m - €380m €356m-€364m prev. L-F-L rent growth 3.0-3.2% c. 3.0% c. 2.8% (3.0 % excl. refinancing) prev. 3.2-3.4% L-F-L vacancy prev. slighty stable (≙3.3%) slightly decreasing (~3.0%) decreasing EBITDA margin ~73% ~74% Investments ~30-32€/sqm ~31-33€/sqm Dividend €3.60 (>70% of FFO I) 70 % of FFO I 40 I November 2019
VI. Business Update Attractive Dividends from Robust Cash Flows NAV per share (€), excl. goodwill Dividend per share (€) 100.521) 93.401) 80.901) 3.53 67.15 3.04 2.76 58.92 2.26 52.69 1.96 49.39 1.73 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3-2019 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1) For 2017, 2018, Q3-2019 pro forma NAV per share is shown and applied. 41 I November 2019
LEG Share Information Basic data Well-balanced shareholder structure • Prime Standard, Frankfurt Stock Exchange • Total no. of shares: 69,009,836 (68,573,216 as at 30.09.2019) • Ticker symbol: LEG MFS • ISIN: DE000LEG1110 9.6% • Indices: MDAX, FTSE EPRA/NAREIT, GPR 250, BlackRock 7.5% Stoxx Europe 600 BNP Paribas • Weighting (30.09.2019): MDAX 2.75%; EPRA 2.68% 3.2% • Rating: Baa1 (stable) by Moody’s Share price (13.11.2019, indexed; 31.01.2013 = 100) 300 Other free 250 float 200 79.7% 150 100 50 0 05-2014 08-2014 11-2015 08-2016 02-2018 02-2013 05-2013 08-2013 11-2013 02-2014 11-2014 02-2015 05-2015 08-2015 02-2016 05-2016 11-2016 02-2017 05-2017 08-2017 11-2017 05-2018 08-2018 11-2018 02-2019 05-2019 08-2019 11-2019 EPRA Germany LEG Source: LEG; shareholdings according to voting rights notifications 42 I November 2019
Financial Calendar Date Report/Event 11.03.2019 Annual Report 2018 09.05.2019 Quarterly Statement Q1 as of 31 March 2019 29.05.2019 Annual General Meeting, Düsseldorf 09.08.2019 Quarterly Report Q2 as of 30 June 2019 15.11.2019 Quarterly Report Q3 as of 30 September 2019 20.11.2019 Roadshow London, Bank of America Merrill Lynch 22.11.2019 Roadshow Amsterdam, Kempen 27.11.2019 Roadshow Zurich, UBS 28.11.2019 Berenberg Real Estate Seminar, Paris 03.12.2019 UBS Global Real Estate Conference, London 05.12.2019 Berenberg European Corporate Conference, Surrey/UK 43 I November 2019
Contact Investor Relations Burkhard Sawazki Head of Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-204 burkhard.sawazki@leg.ag Karin Widenmann Senior Manager Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-458 karin.widenmann@leg.ag LEG Immobilien AG Phone: +49 (0) 211 4568-400 Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 Fax: +49 (0) 211 4568-22 204 40476 Düsseldorf, Germany E-Mail: ir@leg.ag 44 I November 2019
Appendix
LEG Management Board Lars von Lackum Dr. Volker Wiegel CEO COO • Strategy, M&A, Organisation and • Controlling & Risk • Asset and property Digitisation Management management, including • Executive and Supervisory Board Office • Corporate Finance & Treasury commercial management • Law, Compliance & Internal Audit • Investor Relations and district management • Human Resources • Portfolio Management • Modernisation & Responsibilities • Corporate Communications • Accounting & Tax Procurement • Acquisitions • Rent, Capex / Opex, Mgt. • Project development • Repairs Management • Energy Services With LEG Since 2019 Since 2013 In Industry 6 years Since 2013 46 I November 2019
The LEG portfolio is highly attractive Aachen Düsseldorf Duisburg Hamm Köln Minden Münster Osnabrück Ratingen Remscheid Siegburg Solingen 47 I November 2019
Portfolio Structure 30 September 2019 Construction Years Free Financed / Rent Restricted Units After 1989 Until 1949 5% 12% Rent restricted units 1970-1989 25% 25% 75% 57% Free 1950-1969 financed units Building Types1) Apartment Size2) > 90
Portfolio Sound property fundamentals basis for value growth As of 30.09.2019; IAS 40 only, IFRS5 excluded Market Multiples, GAV GAV % of Total Estimated Commercial/ Residential Residential Residential GAV/ In-Place Rental Other Market Units Assets (€m) GAV sqm (€) Rent Multiple Values1) Assets (€m) Total GAV High- Growth 41,497 4,946 46% 1,798 23.1x 20.0x 236 5,182 Markets Stable Markets 48,313 3,474 32% 1,124 17.4x 16.1x 125 3,599 Higher- Yielding 39,476 2,222 21% 932 15.3x 14.3x 65 2,287 Markets Subtotal NRW 129,286 10,642 98% 1,294 19.0x 17.2x 426 11,068 Portfolio outside 1,849 169 2% 1,369 18.8x 17.6x 2 171 NRW Total Portfolio 131,135 10,811 100% 1,295 19.0x 17.2x 428 11,239 Other Assets 237 Total 11,476 1) As of June 30, 2019. 49 I November 2019
Portfolio Overview Above inflationary rent growth and high occupancy • EPRA-vacancy of 3.3% (l-f-l) as of FY-2018 • Significant rent upside1) potential with current in-place rents of € 5.65/sqm/month (as of FY-2018), approx. 13% below market rent levels • In-place rent for unrestricted units has increased by approx. 3.9% (l-f-l) yoy, outperforming inflation Residential Market Rent CAGR last 5 Occup. CAGR Market (FY-2018) Units % of total rent Rent /sqm rent3)/sqm % to market1) EPRA-Vacancy yrs (lfl)* last 5 yrs* High-Growth 41,423 37% 6.36 7.48 18% 2.0% 2.9% -0.9% Markets Stable 48,965 35% 5.34 5.92 11% 3.1% 2.7% 5.1% Markets Higher-Yielding 41,731 27% 5.23 5.68 9% 5.9% 2.8% -2.2% Markets Total2) 133,969 100% 5.65 6.38 12.8% 3.5% 2.9% 0.4% % Sub- % free Market sidised EPRA-Vac. Rent CAGR Occ. change last financed EPRA-Vac. Rent CAGR Occup. CAGR (FY-2018) units Rent/sqm (%) last 5 yrs (lfl)* 5 yrs* units Rent/sqm (%) last 5 yrs (lfl)* last 5 yrs* High-Growth 29% 5.03 0.8% 1.0% 22.9% 71% 6.96 2.4% 3.8% -2.0% Markets Stable 29% 4.70 2.1% 1.1% 27.7% 71% 5.63 3.5% 3.5% 3.8% Markets Higher-Yielding 21% 4.49 4.4% 0.9% 9.5% 79% 5.45 6.2% 3.4% -2.4% Markets Total2) 26% 4.77 2.1% 1.1% 20.6% 74% 6.00 3.8% 3.7% -0.5% Source: LEG, CBRE * As of FY-2018 and FY-2014 Note: Rent change free financed/subsidised is same store. 1) rent upside is defined as the difference between LEG in-place rent and market rent, the latter of which is an indicator of an average rent value that could theoretically be achieved, not implying that an adjustment of the in-place rent to the market rent is feasible, as stringent legal and contractual restrictions regarding rent increases exist. 2) Total includes an additional 1,850 residential units located outside NRW 3) Cf. Footnote 1 for a definition of market rent 50 I November 2019
Portfolio Overview Well-balanced portfolio with significant growth potential 30.09.2019 Units Gross Asset Value Rental Income 1% 2% 2% 21% 30% 32% 26% 38% 46% By Market 37% 32% 35% High Growth Markets Stable Markets Higher Yielding Markets Non-NRW Markets Subsidised Subsidised Subsidised 25% 26% 23% Restricted vs. Free- Free- Free- Unrestricted financed financed financed 75% 74% 77% 51 I November 2019
Sustainability What we have done so far Creation of an organisational and reporting structure Sustainability Manager Management Board • Management Board bears overall responsibility • Top decision-maker: CEO • Steering Committee for strategic decisions and pooling of the activities Steering Committee includes more than 10 Heads of key divisions/functions • Sustainability Officers/Data Owners in various departments for monitoring the achievement of goals and for data collection Data Owner • Sustainability Manager as interface Disclosure and assessments • Annual Sustainability Report based on GRI standard, including EPRA Sustainability Performance Measures (third party assurance: limited assurance by PwC) • Participation in GRESB real estate assessment 52 I November 2019
Sustainability Roadmap 2023: Commitment to environmental targets Given that housing is the sector that contributes most to carbon emissions we set ourselves targets that help reducing energy consumption and carbon emissions of our property portfolio. Environmental targets • Energy efficient modernisation of more than 15% of our portfolio (i.e., 3% p.a. on average) from 2017-2021 • Thereby reducing the number of residential buildings in energy efficiency classes G and H by more than 20% • Increasing tenants’ awareness by enhancing consumption transparency A+/A B C D E F G H Further sustainability targets • Compliance: further reduction of compliance risks • Tenants: stable or increasing tenant satisfaction, steady improvement of services • Employees: increase in employee satisfaction and employer attractiveness • Sustainability reporting: close data gaps 53 I November 2019
Leading Performance Capex – Watch the value traps Investment / IRR at 7% yield Required yield on Measure Life cycle Rent increase in % apartment (in €) on costs costs (6% IRR) Floor covering 15 years 1,100 0.1% 10.3% 2.6% Bathroom 30 years 5,000 5.7% 7.3% 8.5% Kitchen 10 years 3,000 negative 13.6% 9.5% Conclusion for LEG: Bottom-up investment approach with strict IRR targets Capital discipline is key – not overpaying for growth LEG aims at capital efficiency 54 I November 2019
Rent revisionary potential Refinancing of subsidised loans lifting value Rent Potential Subsidised Units Number of Units Coming Off Restriction and Rent Upside In the following 10 years more than # Units c. 17,000 c. 8,800 24,000 units will come off rent 2,166 restriction 1,733 1,589 697 827 Units show significant upside to 164 242 36 market rents 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 et seq. Subject to general legal and other restrictions, the economic upside can theoretically be realised the year Spread to Market Rent (in €/sqm/month) after restrictions expire 3.36 2.67 1.81 1.74 1.92 1.43 1.35 ≥10 years 1.03 1.43 1.18 25.8% ≤ 5 years 18.9% 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 et seq. ≤ 5 years2) 6 – 10 years2) ≥ 10 years2) In-place rent €4.60 €4.90 €4.90 6-10 years Market rent1) €6.48 €6.72 €6.01 55.3% Upside potential3) 41% 37% 23% Upside potential p.a.3) €10.9m €22.1m €10.2m Source: LEG as of Q3-2019 1) Employed by CBRE as indicator of an average rent value that could theoretically be achieved, not implying that an adjustment of the in-place rent to the market rent is feasible, as stringent legal and contractual restrictions regarding rent increases exist. 2) ≤5 years = 2019-2023; 6-10 years = 2024-2028; ≥10 years = 2029ff. 3) Rent upside is defined as the difference between LEG in-place rent as of Q3-2019 and market rent (defined in footnote 1) as of Q2-2019. 55 I November 2019
Rent Regulation: Political Discussion Increasing political discussion Coalition agreement of the Federal Government of Germany Future changes according to the coalition agreement and current drafts of Federal Government: Topic Description Impact for LEG • Extension of validity period from 2 to 3 years and agreement on Validity period effects only a Mietspiegel change of reference period from 4 to 6 years (draft law) periodic shift. Extension of reference period likely to have a (reference rent) • Both changes solely applicable for qualified Mietspiegel marginal negative impact on rent growth. • Reduction of modernization charge from 11% to 8% LEG is only slightly affected, (review after 5 years) due to pursuit of a less Modernization • Rent increase max. €3 per sqm over a period of six years aggressive modernization approach. (rents below €7 per sqm: limitation to max. €2 per sqm) Reletting • Mandatory disclosure of previous tenant’s rent No impact for LEG. Mietpreisbremse • Assessment of suitability and effectiveness in NRW is ongoing in LEG does not face significant 2020 effects. (rental cap) • Reform of the land transfer tax (Grunderwerbsteuer) includes Share deals lowering the threshold from 95 to 90% and increasing the holding LEG does not expect significant effects (only for PE deals). period from 5 to 10 years (which makes share deals less profitable) Currently discussed on state level (Berlin) and demanded by certain political groups: • Rental freeze as proposed in Berlin is not expected to be expanded No impact for LEG. NRW Rental freeze to NRW or local level. government disapproves of this instrument. 56 I November 2019
You can also read