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Dublin issue 14 August 2018 Economic Monitor In this issue LATEST DUBLIN ECONOMIC DATA IHS MARKIT DUBLIN PMI KBC/ESRI CONSUMER SENTIMENT MASTERCARD SPENDINGPULSE CONSTRUCTION DRIVES HIGHEST QUARTERLY INCREASE IN EMPLOYMENT IN 10 YEARS SANDYFORD BUSINESS IMPROVEMENT DISTRICT DUBLIN BAY BIOSPHERE PARTNERSHIP
WELCOME HIGHLIGHTS Dublin's unemployment rate falls to 5.7% in Q1 2018. Residential rents continue on upward trend with tenants paying an average €1,500 in Q1 2018. Residential property prices inflation moderated in May 2018 registering growth of 10.7% YoY. Public transport trips in Q1 2018 53.9 million pubic transport trips were undertaken, an additional 2.4 million trips over Q1 2017. welcome to the august 2018 issue of the dublin Housing completions in Dublin totalled 5,600 in 2017 with a further 1,214 completions in the first quarter of 2018. economic monitor Dublin Airport welcomed an T additional 16,500 passengers in he Dublin Economic Monitor to the whole of Ireland (see centrefold March 2018 compared to March is a joint initiative on behalf supplement). 2017. of the four Dublin Local The special articles this quarter The Mastercard Dublin Authorities, and is designed to be include one from Sharon Scally, SpendingPulse of particular interest to those living Chairperson of the Sandyford Business Consumer spending in the Dublin and doing business in Dublin or Innovation District (BID) discussing economy grew 5.2% YoY in Q2 consideringlocating here. It is produced how they are driving business 2018 while tourist expenditure was by EY-DKM Economic Advisory development in the area and trying to up 16.2% YoY, driven mainly by the Services, with KBC/ESRI delivering the achieve Innovation District status by US and French markets. Dublin Consumer Sentiment data and 2021 (p.12). While Les Moore, Chair of IHS MARKIT delivering the Dublin the Dublin Bay Biosphere Partnership The Dublin MARKIT PMI Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). talks about the business & enterprise Output continued to rise sharply We also partner with Mastercard to opportunities in the unique UNESCO in the Dublin private sector in use their SpendingPulse reports to better urban site which covers over 300 km2 of Q2 2018, extending the current sequence of growth to 23 quarters. understand retail and tourism spending the Dublin region (p.14). The Dublin PMI moved up to 58.5 patterns. The SpendingPulse is derived We hope you find the Monitor from 58.0 in the opening quarter from anonymised and aggregated card useful and welcome any feedback. You of the year. transaction data as well as other means can sign up to our quarterly mailing of payments such as cash and cheques. list and access the Monitor resources KBC/ESRI Consumer Sentiment This data helps the city develop new online at www.dublineconomy.ie. The Overall, consumer sentiment insights on the spending patterns next release will be published online on remains in positive territory but of Dubliners and tourists, as well as November 8th 2018. Q2 2018 has seen a broad-based comparing the Capital's performance downturn in confidence relative to Q1. The decline has occurred both in and outside Dublin suggesting Dublin City South Dublin County Fingal County Dún Laoghaire Rathdown a broad-based moderation in Council Council Council County Council sentiment. This document provides general information on the Dublin economy. It is not intended to be used image: nigel motyer as a basis for any particular course of action or as a substitute for financial advice. The document is winner of the best photograph of a fish or produced independently by EY-DKM Economic Advisory Services; the views and opinions expressed are mammal category in the dublin bay biosphere those of the relevant author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Dublin Local Authorities. underwater photography competition 2018. The Dublin Local Authorities disclaim all liability in connection with any action that may be taken in reliance of this document, and for any error, deficiency, flaw or omission contained in it. 2 //
ECONOMY GLOBAL ECONOMY NATIONAL ECONOMY According to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook for April 2018, The latest results for Irish GDP show annual growth of 7.2% in 2017. the global economic upswing of the past two years has become GNP increased at a rate of 4.4% for the same period, revised from broader and stronger. Indeed their forecasts indicate growth of a preliminary estimate of 6.6%. Modified Gross National Income approximately 4% over the next two years. (GNI*), an indicator designed to exclude globalization effects that In the US growth is forecast to increase from 2.3% to 2.9% this disproportionally impact the measurement of the size of the Irish year before a slight moderation in 2019. The IMF note that the economy, indicated more modest growth of 3.0% in 2017, while expected macroeconomic impact of the December 2017 tax reform another alternative measure, Modified Domestic Demand (MDD), – namely the lower corporate tax rate and firmer external demand which accounts for the effects of aircraft leasing and the import of - is to boost short-term activity. Since the last publication, the US intellectual property, shows the economy grew by 1.4%. It is clear and EU have declared a ceasefire in their trade war with both sides from both GNI* and MDD that the underlying rate of growth in agreeing to put on hold any new tariffs. the Irish economy is much less than suggested by GDP or GNP. The IMF has also revised upward their expectations of growth in Personal consumption, an important indicator of how the the Euro Area, reflecting stronger-than-expected domestic demand, domestic economy is performing, increased by 1.6% in 2017. Over supportive monetary policy and improved external demand the last six years, the largest increase in value added (the difference prospects. As such, the Euro Area is forecast to grow by 2.4% in between production value and intermediate consumption) in the 2018 before falling back slightly in 2019 to 2%, considerably lower five key sectors has come in industry, as observed in the Figure below. than growth rates forecast for Ireland. This is followed by professional, admin and support services and information and communication. Increases in value added to public administration, education and health, however, have been minimal. eu (28) and irish gdp growth rates 35% trends in value added by sector 2011=100 240 30% 25% 220 20% 200 15% 180 10% 160 5% 140 0% 120 -5% 100 -10% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 80 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Ireland EU (28) Industry excluding Professional, administration Information and source: eurostat. note: current prices construction and support services communication Distribution, transport, Public administration, hotels and restaurants education and health Forecasts for the UK remain broadly unchanged and indicate a continued slow-down in growth in the UK over the next two years. source: central statistics office. Business investment is expected to remain weak, while concerns Brexit remains one of the key risks to growth in the Irish economy. over higher barriers to trade and lower foreign direct investment in Following the publication of a White Paper, in which the UK the wake of Brexit are expected to leave the UK growing below its government had advocated for a softer Brexit than previously potential growth rate. However, inflation remains at 2.7% in 2018, envisaged, on 19 July the EU issued a document underlining the above the Bank of England target of 2%, on foot of diminishing need for Member States to prepare for a no-deal scenario. This slack in the economy together with the pass-through effects of emphasizes that the risk of a no-deal and a significant shock to the depreciation of the pound. Irish and UK economy remain very real. major economies gdp growth forecasts irish macroeconomic growth forecasts 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 % %f %f %E %f %f global 3.8 3.9 3.9 gnp 4.4% 5.9% 5.0% gdp 7.2% 4.6% 4.0% uk 1.8 1.6 1.5 private consumption 1.6% 2.1% 2.0% us 2.3 2.9 2.7 public expenditure 3.9% 3.1% 2.9% euro area 2.3 2.4 2.0 investment -31.0% 10.1% 8.0% exports 7.8% 6.1% 5.9% germany 2.5 2.5 2.0 imports -9.4% 6.5% 6.5% japan 1.7 1.2 0.9 unemployment rate 6.7% 5.7% 4.9% china 6.9 6.6 6.4 employment 2.9% 2.3% 2.0% india 6.7 7.4 7.8 cpi inflation 0.3% 1.0% 2.1% source: imf, april 2018. sources: ey-dkm forecasts. e: estimate f: forecast // 3
DUBLIN ECONOMY CONSTRUCTION SECTOR PROVIDES EMPLOYMENT BOOST IN EARLY 2018 challenges persist in the housing market with average rents at all-time high The upward trends observed in Dublin’s labour market at the end “Dublin consumers became a little more cautious in the of 2017 have continued into 2018. The unemployment rate in second quarter of 2018 as increased uncertainty about the Capital now stands at 5.7%, the lowest since early 2008. The the global economy translated into some nervousness labour market has seen strong improvements with a further 13,200 about the outlook for jobs and a greater caution in people employed in the Capital in the quarter to Q1 2018. There relation to household spending plans. While the survey are currently 685,500 people in employment in Dublin, an increase suggests confidence has slipped somewhat of late, of 34,500 in the year. it is important to emphasise Dublin consumers remain The Human Health & Social Work sector continues to register broadly positive in their thinking on the economy and strong growth in employment with an additional 8,700 people their personal finances.” added between Q1 2017 and Q1 2018. Construction has also been a key driver of growth in employment with an additional 16.7% Reflecting YoY improvements in consumer sentiment there has (4,700) employed in the year. been further strong growth in retail sales in Q2 2018 as measured House prices in Dublin increased by a further 10.7% in May by the Mastercard Dublin SpendingPulse. According to Michael 2018, the 12th consecutive month of double digit YoY growth. McNamara, Global Head of SpendingPulse, .the Mastercard data However, it does represent a slowdown in the rate of inflation with reflects the improvements in the first quarter 2018: YoY growth of 13.0% recorded in April 2018. Growth rates are "Overall the retail environment in Ireland remains solid with equally strong outside Dublin with 14.1% YoY growth recorded. a 4.5% growth rate for retail sales across the country with Pressure continues in the rental market also. Dublin’s performance particularly strong at 5.2% over Q2 In Q1 2018 the average monthly rent in Dublin was €1,527, 2017. On the tourism side, expenditure rose 16.2% YoY a 7.8% increase in the year. Rental growth in the Greater Dublin with some of the most exciting growth in tourism spend is Area (GDA) and outside of the GDA have also remained strong, coming from the U.S and China” registering 6.4% and 6.6% YoY growth respectively. Data from the CSO indicate that 1,214 houses were completed in the According to Dublin’s IHS Markit Purchasing Managers’ Index Dublin region in Q1 2018. With a total 14,420 houses completed (PMI), output continued to rise sharply in the Dublin private sector nationally in 2017 the market is still well below the targeted 35,000 during Q2 2018. Andrew Harker, Associate Director at IHS Markit, completions required annually to meet demand. notes: Passenger numbers on Dublin’s four public transport systems and at “The Dublin private sector continued to perform strongly Dublin Airport have dipped slightly in Q2 2018. Passenger arrivals at midway through the year, with output growth ticking up Dublin airport dipped 0.07% in the month to March 2018, although from that seen in the opening quarter. This improvement they rose 16,500 YoY. On Dublin’s public transport, passenger numbers was partly due to a marked rebound in the manufacturing are also down marginally in the quarter by 0.2%, although they are up sector, which saw growth recover from the weather- 4.6% YoY. It is too early to say whether this represents a change in the effected slowdown in Q1. With new order inflows and long-running upward trend in both indicators. hiring continuing apace, the Dublin economy is in a According to KBC/ESRI, consumer sentiment in Dublin good position heading into the second half of 2018. remains in positive territory in Q2 2018 compared to one year ago. Data suggest that strength in the Irish economy is not However there has been a broad-based downturn in confidence restricted to the capital, with rates of growth in output, relative to Q1 2018. Austin Hughes, Chief Economist at KBC Bank new orders and employment in the Rest of Ireland only Ireland, explains: marginally weaker than recorded in Dublin.” 4 //
DUBLIN ECONOMIC INDICATORS DUBLIN ECONOMIC INDICATORS highest quarterly increase in dublin & national unemployment rate % (sa) employment in 10 years 18% National Max 15.9% 16% q1 ' 18 Dublin Max 14.2% dublin unemployment (sa) 5.7% 14% year on year change % points (sa) -1.0 12% dublin employment '000s (sa) 685.4 10% year on year change '000s (sa) +34.5 8% source: cso labour force survey (lfs). dublin seasonally adjusted by ey-dkm. 6% Dublin registered a boost in employment levels in Q1 2018. QoQ the number of people employed rose by 13,200, the 4% strongest quarterly increase in the last 10 years. In the past 2% year 34,500 additional people became employed bringing the 0% total number employed to 685,400 – the highest in 10 years. Q1 09 Q3 09 Q1 10 Q3 10 Q1 11 Q3 11 Q1 12 Q3 12 Q1 13 Q3 13 Q1 14 Q3 14 Q1 15 Q3 15 Q1 16 Q3 16 Q1 17 Q3 17 Q1 18 Unemployment has also declined in the past three months with the rate in Dublin falling to 5.7% in Q1 2018 while the rate Dublin National nationally is only marginally higher at 5.8%. source: cso lfs. dublin seasonally adjusted by EY-DKM construction sector returns to employment by broad sector '000s (sa) the fore in employment growth 800 Max: 679,400 q1 ' 18 700 services employment '000s (sa) 434.9 600 year on year change '000s (sa) +23.0 industry & constr, employment '000s (sa) 78.5 500 year on year change '000s (sa) -1.0 400 source: cso lfs, seasonally adjusted by EY-DKM. 300 Public sector employment in the Capital registered 7.8% YoY growth in Q1 2018, with private sector growth slightly more 200 subdued in the same period at 5.6%. Following similarly strong 100 growth at the end of 2017, construction grew by 4,700 or 16.7% while Industry continues to act as a drag with a YoY 0 Q1 09 Q1 10 Q1 11 Q1 12 Q1 13 Q1 14 Q1 15 Q1 16 Q1 17 Q1 18 decline of 11.2% in the year. Across the broad sectors of Public Private Sector Services Public sector Industry Construction Sector, Industry and Construction employment rose by 35,300 YoY, equivalent to 5.5% annual growth. source: cso lfs seasonally adjusted note: individual sector values may not sum to total due to rounding // 5
DUBLIN ECONOMIC INDICATORS property prices exceed residential property price index (2005 = 100) 2009 levels 110 Dublin Max 104.6 may ' 18 100 property price index dublin 104.6 year on year % change +10.7 90 property price index national excl dublin 96.3 80 year on year % change +14.1 source: cso. note: this index includes both cash- and mortgage-based transactions. 70 Dublin’s residential property prices continue to register double 60 digit YoY growth in May 2018. The property price index in 50 Dublin now stands at 104.6, a 10.7% increase on the level recorded in 12 months previously. While the rate of YoY 40 growth has moderated compared to April prices (up 13.7% May 09 May 10 May 11 May 12 May 13 May 14 May 15 May 16 May 17 May 18 Nov 09 Nov 10 Nov 11 Nov 12 Nov 13 Nov 14 Nov 15 Nov 16 Nov 17 YoY) it does little to alleviate the pressures in the housing market. Nationally (excl. Dublin) there was 14.1% YoY growth Dublin National excl. Dublin in prices in May 2018. source: cso. average dublin rents just shy residential rents € per month of €1,530 in q1 2018 €1,550 Dublin Max: €1,527 €1,450 q1 ' 18 €1,350 dublin avg residential rent € per month 1,527 €1,250 year on year change € +111 source: rtb. €1,150 €1,050 Residential rents in Dublin show no signs of abating as YoY €950 growth of 7.8% was recorded in Q1 2018. On a quarterly basis €850 rents have declined marginally in the Greater Dublin Area (GDA) by 0.7% but when compared to 12 months previous, €750 rents have increased by 6.4% YoY. While growth rates beyond €650 the GDA have tapered slightly since Q4 2017, YoY growth €550 Q3 09 Q1 10 Q3 10 Q1 11 Q3 11 Q1 12 Q3 12 Q1 13 Q3 13 Q1 14 Q3 14 Q1 15 Q3 15 Q1 16 Q3 16 Q1 17 Q3 17 Q1 18 rates of 6.6% and average rents of close to €800 per annum were recorded in Q1 2018. Dublin Greater Dublin Area (excl. Dublin) Outside GDA source: rtb. note: gda (ex dublin) is kildare, meath and wicklow. housing completions dublin housing commencements & completions up 15% yoy in q1 2018 2,400 Commencements Max: 2,196 2,200 q1 ' 18 2,000 total house commencements 1,433 Completions Max: 1,758 1,800 year on year change -32 1,600 total house completions 1,214 1,400 year on year change 161 1,200 source: cso. note: data is not seasonally adjusted 1,000 New housing completions data from the CSO indicates that 800 1,214 houses were completed in Dublin in Q1 2018, an 600 increase of 161 completions, or 15.3%, on Q1 2017, and 400 represents the 11th quarter in a row of positive YoY growth in 200 housing completions. Over that period, since Q3 2015, a total 0 of 3,900 houses have been completed in Dublin. The level of Q1 11 Q3 11 Q1 12 Q3 12 Q1 13 Q3 13 Q1 14 Q3 14 Q1 15 Q3 15 Q1 16 Q3 16 Q1 17 Q3 17 Q1 18 commencements remain volatile, down 2.2% YoY and 12.6% QoQ and stands at 1,433 in Q1 2018. Completions Commencements source: cso. 6 //
DUBLIN ECONOMIC INDICATORS office rents unchanged dublin office rents index (2006 = 100) in q2 2018 130 City Centre Max = 118.2 120 q2 '18 South Suburbs Max = 114 city centre office rent index 118.2 110 year on year % change +4.0 100 south suburbS office rent index 114.0 90 year on year % change +3.6 source: CBRE 80 70 Office rents in Dublin’s city centre and south suburbs stabilised in Q2 2018 with rents in both districts remaining unchanged 60 QoQ. YoY growth rates also remain unchanged with city centre 50 rents increasing a further 4% and rents in the south suburbs 40 increasing by 3.6% in the 12 months since Q2 2017. Average Q2 08 Q4 08 Q2 09 Q4 09 Q2 10 Q4 10 Q2 11 Q4 11 Q2 12 Q4 12 Q2 13 Q4 13 Q2 14 Q4 14 Q2 15 Q4 15 Q2 16 Q4 16 Q2 17 Q4 17 Q2 18 rents in both areas are now approximately 4% higher than they were 10 years ago in Q2 2008. City Centre South Suburbs source: cbre. vacancies in dublin's suburbs dublin office space vacancy rates % continue to decline yoy 30% Dublin Suburbs Max = 25% q2 '18 25% Dublin 2/4 Max = 20.6% vacancy rate % dublin 2/4 5.5 year on year change % points +0.5 20% vacancy rate % dublin suburbs 8.6 year on year change % points -1.1 15% source: cbre. 10% After declining in Q1 2018, overall office vacancy in Dublin increased very slightly in Q2 2018 to 6.2% from 5.9% last 5% quarter. In Dublin 2/4 the vacancy rate has increased on both a quarterly and annual basis, at 0.3% and 0.5% respectively. 0% Q2 09 Q4 09 Q2 10 Q4 10 Q2 11 Q4 11 Q2 12 Q4 12 Q2 13 Q4 13 Q2 14 Q4 14 Q2 15 Q4 15 Q2 16 Q4 16 Q2 17 Q4 17 Q2 18 Similarly the vacancy rate in Dublin’s suburbs rose 0.7% QoQ in Q2 2018 although a decline of 1.1% was recorded over the year from Q2 2017. The public sector accounted for 36% of Dublin 2/4 Dublin Suburbs suburban take-up in Q2. source: cbre. public transport passenger public transport million trips (sa) numbers remain stable in q1 2018 60 q1 '18 50 public transport million trips (sa) 53.9 year on year change million trips (sa) +2.4 40 source: nta seasonally adjusted by EY-DKM. Total passenger trips in Dublin fell marginally in Q1 2018 by 30 0.2%, the first QoQ decline since Q2 2016. While passenger numbers using Bus Éireann and Dublin Bus were down 20 slightly in the quarter, the greatest increase in trips occurred on the LUAS which saw a 3.8% QoQ increase in Q1 2018, 10 the first quarter in which the LUAS cross-city was fully operational. A total 53.9 million passengers used Dublin’s 0 four main transport systems in Q2 2018, up 4.6% YoY. Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Bus Éireann Dublin Bus Irish Rail Luas source: nta. seasonally adjusted by ey-dkm note: this series has been re-calibrated since the last issue // 7
DUBLIN ECONOMIC INDICATORS passenger arrivals at dublin airport dublin airport arrivals '000s (sa) up in the year to march 2018 1,350 Max: 1,251 mar '18 1,250 total arrivals '000s (SA) 1,217.4 1,150 year on year change '000s (sa) +16.5 1,050 source: cso, seasonally adjusted by ey-dkm. note: this series has been re-calibrated since the last issue 950 Passenger arrivals at Dublin Airport dipped slightly in March 850 2018 with 1.217 million (SA) passengers compared to February figures of 1.218 million, representing a decline of 750 0.07% in the month. Despite the marginal decline recorded 650 Severe Winter Weather in the month, there was an increase of 16,500 passengers Icelandic Ash Cloud 550 compared to March 2017. Passenger numbers may be given a Nov 08 Jul 09 Mar 10 Nov 10 Jul 11 Mar 12 Nov 12 Jul 13 Mar 14 Nov 14 Jul 15 Mar 16 Nov 16 Jul 17 Mar 18 boost in the second half of the year with the introduction of Dublin’s first direct services to Beijing and Hong Kong in June 2018. source: cso. seasonally adjusted by EY-DKM. Note: this series has been re-calibrated since the last issue. record throughput at dublin dublin port tonnage million tonnes (sa) port in q2 2018 10.0 Max: 9.6 million tonnes 9.5 q2 ' 18 dublin port exports million tonnes (sa) 3.94 9.0 yoy change million tonnes (sa) 0.28 8.5 dublin port imports million tonnes (sa) 5.66 8.0 yoy change million tonnes (sa) 0.34 7.5 Source: Dublin Port. Seasonally Adjusted by EY-DKM. Note: imports and exports may not add to total throughput due to seasonal adjustment and rounding. 7.0 6.5 Total cargo handled at Dublin Port exceeded 9.6 million tonnes Min: 6.4 million tonnes (seasonally adjusted) in Q2 2018 for the first time in the 10 6.0 year period analysed. Just over 9.6 million tonnes of cargo was 5.5 handled in the port in Q2 2018, equivalent to a 7.0% YoY Q2 09 Q4 09 Q2 10 Q4 10 Q2 11 Q4 11 Q2 12 Q4 12 Q2 13 Q4 13 Q2 14 Q4 14 Q2 15 Q4 15 Q2 16 Q4 16 Q2 17 Q4 17 Q2 18 increase. The level of imports and exports through the Port continues on a positive trend with YoY growth of 6.4% and source: dublin port. seasonally adjusted by ey-dkm. 7.8% respectively. note: this series has been re-calibrated since the last issue. dublin hotel rates surpass dublin hotel average daily rates (sa) 2015 peak levels €150 Maximum: €145 jun ' 18 €140 hotel occupancy rate % (sa) 83.5% year on year change %age point +0.3 €130 index of hotel room supply (sa, july 2013=100) 105.5 year on year change % 1.3% €120 source: str global. seasonally adjusted by ey-dkm. note: this series has been re-calibrated since the last issue. €110 Average Daily Rates (ADR) for hotel accommodation in Dublin reached a new high in May 2018 at €145, a 9.5% YoY increase €100 and the strongest YoY increase in ADR since December 2016. The daily rate has remained unchanged in June 2018. A 41% €90 increase in ADR over the past three years is likely linked to Aug 15 Dec 15 Feb 16 Aug 16 Dec 16 Feb 17 Aug 17 Dec 17 Feb 18 Jun 15 Oct 15 Apr 16 Jun 16 Oct 16 Apr 17 Jun 17 Oct 17 Apr 18 Jun 18 modest growth in room supply which increased by 6.3% in the same period. Fáilte Ireland indicate that approximately 5,400 source: str. seasonally adjusted by EY-DKM. Dublin hotel rooms are in the pipeline out to 2020. note: this series has been re-calibrated since the last issue. 8 //
A u g u st 2 0 1 8 DUBLIN Mastercard SpendingPulse TM Dublin Mastercard SpendingPulse Delivering Unique Insights for Consumer and Tourism Spend. KEY HIGHLIGHTS YEAR-ON-YEAR Q2 2018* +5.2% OVERALL +16.2% OVERSEAS SALES TOURISM SPEND +7.6% +7.0% +9.1% +6.4% NECESSITIES DISCRETIONARY HOUSEHOLD GOODS ENTERTAINMENT *RETAIL SALES VALUE (SA) +11.9% ECOMMERCE
TM DUBLIN Mastercard SpendingPulse | August 2018 TOTAL RETAIL SPEND IN DUBLIN OUTPERFORMS THOSE NATIONALLY TOTAL RETAIL SALES INDEX (SA) 117 120 +5.2% YoY 115 115 110 +4.5% YoY 105 100 95 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 DUBLIN IRELAND Consumer spending in the Dublin economy registered in excess of 5% YoY growth in the first two quarters of 2018. Overall expenditure increased by 5.2% YoY and by 1.3% QoQ in Q2 Overall the retail environment in Ireland remains 2018. Total sales in Dublin are now 17.1% higher than Q1 solid with 4.5% growth for retail sales across the 2014 levels, reflecting a strong upward trend in a strengthening country. Dublin‘s performance was particularly Dublin Economy. strong at a 5.2% increase over Q2 2017. On the Nationally (including Dublin), growth in total sales were not as tourism side, some of the most exciting growth in strong as in Dublin but continue to maintain a strong upward tourism spend is coming from the U.S and China. trend in Q2 2018 with YoY growth of 4.5%. On a quarterly The only area of struggling growth is from the UK, basis, expenditure nationally (including Dublin) registered with negative growth continuing into 2018. growth of 1.2%. At both a national and Dublin level, both YoY and QoQ growth rates in Q2 2018 were at their strongest levels Michael McNamara since the series began in Q1 2014. GLOBAL HEAD OF SPENDING PULSE, MASTERCARD DUBLIN RETAIL SALES VALUE INDEX (SA) +5.19% Q2 2018 117.1 100 = Q1 2014 +1.3% QOQ YOY GROWTH DUBLIN SALES QOQ GROWTH IN DUBLIN SALES INDEX INDEX VALUE IN DUBLIN SALES INDEX METHODOLOGY A macro-economic indicator, SpendingPulse™ reports on national and Dublin retail sales and is based on aggregate sales activity in the Mastercard payments network, coupled with estimates for all other payment forms, including cash and cheque. This information has been grossed up to present an estimate of the total retail sales of retail businesses in Ireland and Dublin to both residents and tourists. Data is seasonally adjusted but is not adjusted for inflation. Mastercard SpendingPulse™ does not represent Mastercard financial performance. SpendingPulse™ is provided by Mastercard Advisors, the professional services arm of Mastercard International Incorporated. See www.dublineconomy.ie for more info on methodology. 2
TM DUBLIN Mastercard SpendingPulse | August 2018 METHOD: ECOMMERCE SPENDINGPULSE: 180 170 171 +11.9% SELECTED SUB-SECTORS YoY 160 Dublin Consumer Spending in Q2 2018 was positively influenced 150 by growth in each of the four main sectors covered in the Mastercard SpendingPulse. Each category of spending registered 140 154 in excess of 5% YoY growth in the quarter. Expenditure via +14.1% 130 YoY eCommerce increased by 11.9% YoY, the lowest YoY increase 120 since Q1 2017. 110 Growth in the sale of household goods was particularly high 100 at 9.0% nationally (including Dublin) and 9.1% in Dublin, 90 signifying continued confidence and willingness by consumers Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 to spend on significant household items. Nationally, retail sales via eCommerce were equally strong at 14.1% however the IRELAND DUBLIN overall level continues to be eclipsed by that observed in Dublin. Non store Retailers including Electronic Shopping and Mail-Order Houses, Direct Selling Establishments. RETAIL CATEGORY: DISCRETIONARY RETAIL CATEGORY: NECESSITIES 125 125 120 120 +7.0% +7.6% 120 YoY 120 YoY 115 115 116 110 +3.4% 110 YoY 112 105 105 +2.5% YoY 100 100 95 95 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 IRELAND DUBLIN IRELAND DUBLIN Discretionary Retail: Department Stores and Clothing Stores. Grocery: all food and beverage stores. RETAIL CATEGORY: ENTERTAINMENT RETAIL CATEGORY: HOUSEHOLD GOODS 140 137 160 149 +6.4% YoY +9.1% 150 YoY 130 140 128 120 +3.2% YoY 130 142 +9.0% YoY 120 110 110 100 100 90 90 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 IRELAND DUBLIN IRELAND DUBLIN Hotels, restaurants and bars. Household furniture, electronics and hardware. 3
TM DUBLIN Mastercard SpendingPulse | August 2018 TOURISM RETAIL SPEND INDEX: US AND FRENCH MARKETS CONTINUE TO DRIVE GROWTH Tourist expenditure in the Dublin economy grew by 16.2% Similar trends are observed nationally (including Dublin) though YoY in Q2 2018. Growth in the quarter was predominantly the rate of decline in spending by UK tourists is lower than that driven by growth in the US market of 16.8% and 15.2% in recorded in Dublin. Following no growth in Q3 2017, there the French market (seasonally adjusted) With YoY growth in have been two consecutive quarters of negative YoY growth the Chinese market of 14.1% this marks the second quarter nationally (including Dublin) in UK tourist spending. Similarly, on of positive growth YoY growth following seven consecutive a quarterly basis, the rate of expenditure by UK tourists has been quarters of negative YoY growth. Meanwhile, the UK market is on the decline since Q3 2017. the only market of the five included in the analysis that recorded a negative YoY growth rate in Q2 2018. This represents the Overall, growth of 11% YoY in tourist spending was recorded fifth quarter in a row where negative YoY growth has been nationally (including Dublin) in Q2 2018, slightly lower than recorded. Notably, the rate of decline is also increasing, both in Dublin. The US and French markets are the key drivers of YoY and QoQ. For example, in Q2 2018 spending by UK tourists this growth, growing at 15.5% and 18.4% respectively. Both fell 4.7% YoY and 1.6% QoQ compared to Q2 2017 when the German and Chinese markets continue to perform well spending dropped 0.6% both YoY and QoQ. This is in spite of with two consecutive quarters of double digit YoY growth. In a recovery the number of UK tourists traveling to Ireland in the the Chinese market tourism spending grew 4.4% QoQ in Q2 year to May 2018, up approximately 7% (Fáilte Ireland). 2018 representing a slowdown from the 10.1% QoQ growth recorded in Q1 2018. DUBLIN AND IRELAND TOURIST SPEND BY ORIGIN - Q2 2018 (SA) OVERALL +11.0% +16.2% YOY OVERALL YOY OVERALL -1.3% -4.7% YOY CHANGE YOY CHANGE +15.5% +16.8% YOY CHANGE YOY CHANGE INCREASE IN TOURSIM INCREASE IN TOURSIM IN SPENDING IN IN SPENDING IN IN SPENDING IN IN SPENDING IN SPEND IN IRELAND SPEND IN DUBLIN IRELAND DUBLIN IRELAND DUBLIN +15.3% +4.8% YOY CHANGE YOY CHANGE +18.4% +15.2% YOY CHANGE YOY CHANGE +12.6% +14.1% YOY CHANGE YOY CHANGE IN SPENDING IN IN SPENDING IN IN SPENDING IN IN SPENDING IN IN SPENDING IN IN SPENDING IN IRELAND DUBLIN IRELAND DUBLIN IRELAND DUBLIN IRELAND TOURISM SPEND SALES INDEX (SA) DUBLIN TOURISM SPEND SALES INDEX (SA) Q1 2014 = 100 Q1 2014 = 100 200 200 190 190 180 180 171.0 170 158.2 170 160 160 150 150 140 140 130 130 120 120 110 110 100 100 All UK USA Germany France China All UK USA Germany France China Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Q2 2017 Q2 2018 Q2 2017 Q2 2018 4
DUBLIN’S INTERNATIONAL RANKINGS MIXED PERFORMANCE IN DUBLIN'S RANKINGS Internationally published benchmarks Dublin meanwhile is ranked 6th for global ranking of EMBA programmes, a 15 are a useful means of measuring a city’s commercial real estate investment in Savills place improvement over the 2017 ranking. performance relative to its peers, and recent 2018 ‘Dynamic Cities’ index. The index, UCD’s Michael Smurfit Graduate School of indicators for Dublin confirm the city’s which ranks 130 European cities across Business is the only other Irish programme strong showing across a range of dimensions categories of infrastructure, inspiration, listed, in 59th position. (see table below). inclusion, interconnection, investment Despite this, the annual QS World In Mercer’s 24th annual Cost of Living and innovation, cited Dublin’s continuing University Ranking for 2018 no longer has an Survey Dublin has moved up 34 places to emergence as a financial hub as the key reason Irish university in the Top 100 ranking. Trinity from 66th to 32nd position, overtaking Paris for the observed improvement from its 7th College – previously the only university in the to make it the most expensive city in the position ranking in 2017. country in the Top 100 – has slipped to 104th Eurozone to live in for expatriate employees. Dublin’s ranking in the IESE Cities in position from 88th, based on indicators such Mercer Ireland Consultant, Noel O’Connor Motion Index 2018 remains unchanged in as staff-to-student ratio, academic reputation commented: 30th position. The city ranks high in terms of and employer reputation. “The survey identifies cost pressures the economy and technology but aspects such Ireland has fallen six places in the 2018 on expatriate rental accommodation as mobility and transportation act as a drag on IMD World Competitiveness Ranking, in Dublin as the key driver of this the overall ranking. New York, London and leaving it now outside the Top 10. The [increase] and this in turn reflects the Paris take the top three positions, respectively. ranking captures how competitive a country growth of the economy with continuing Trinity College Dublin’s Executive MBA is based on indicators such as employment, high levels of foreign direct investment.” (EMBA) is listed 44th in The Economist’s trade and business perception. d u b l i n ' s l at e s t i n t e r n at i o n a l r a n k i n g s SOURCE BENCHMARK CRITERIA YEAR RANKING CHANGE‡ Infrastructure, inclusion, interconnection, Savills ‘Dynamic Cities’ Ranking investment and innovation 2018 6 ▲ Personal development, educational experience The Economist Executive MBA Ranking and career development 2018 44* ▲ fDi Intelligence Reinvesting Ranking 2018 Attracting expansion and co-location projects 2018 4 - Governance, urban planning, technology, the environment, international outreach, IESE Cities in Motion Index social cohesion, human capital, mobility and 2018 30 - transportation, and economy Regulatory, market and business/labour landscape, external and internal openness, Global Talent Competitiveness Index education and access to growth opportunities 2018 7 - and, sustainability and lifestyle IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook Rankings Economic performance, government efficiency, (Ireland) business efficiency & infrastructure 2018 12 ▼ Mercer 2018 Cost of Living Survey Cost of consumer goods and services 2018 32 ▼ Mercer 2018 Quality of Living Survey Environmental/socio-economic 2018 34 - QS World University Rankings University quality 2018 104* ▼ Growth and development, inclusion, World Economic Forum Inclusive Development Index intergenerational equity and sustainability 2018 8 ▲ The Economist Intelligence Unit Worldwide Cost of Price comparison across 160 products and Living 2018 services 2018 19 ▼ fDi Intelligence Global Cities and Regions of the Future Socio-economic indicators 2018 2 ▲ Business environment, financial sector Global Financial Centres Index (GFCI) development, infrastructure, human capital, 2018 31 ▼ reputational & general factors; online survey * tcd. ‡change on previous publication of the relevant benchmark. an upward-pointing arrow denotes an improvement. // 9
KBC / ESRI CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX consumer sentiment slips in q2 Dublin sentiment overall Base 2003 = 100 180 National excl Dublin Max 167.2 National Dublin Max 159.8 consumer sentiment dublin excl. dublin 160 q2 2018 154.2 160.4 140 year on year change +3.7 +3.1 quarter on quarter change -3.4 -6.8 120 100 YoY, the overall Dublin Consumer Sentiment Index increased by 3.7 index points, rising by 3.1 index points outside of Dublin. 80 Although sentiment remains strongly positive, the recent quarterly fall across regions signals a shake to confidence. Poorer 60 outlooks for the general economy and unemployment combined with a lesser appetite for major household purchases were the 40 Q2 08 Q4 08 Q2 09 Q4 09 Q2 10 Q4 10 Q2 11 Q4 11 Q2 12 Q4 12 Q2 13 Q4 13 Q2 14 Q4 14 Q2 15 Q4 15 Q2 16 Q4 16 Q2 17 Q4 17 Q2 18 main drivers across both regions. However, while respondents outside of Dublin reported deteriorations in financial circumstances, those in Dublin signalled a modest improvement. Dublin National excl. Dublin Dublin current conditions slowdown in current conditions in q2 140 Base 2003 = 100 National excl Dublin Max 133.9 National 130 current conditions dublin excl. dublin Dublin Max 125.2 120 q1 2018 114.8 128.1 year on year change +0.6 +0.6 110 quarter on quarter change -3.1 -5.8 100 90 The Index of Current Conditions in the Dublin region fell by 3.1 index points QoQ in Q2 2018 relative to outside Dublin falling by 80 5.8 index points. This led to a contraction in the spread between the 70 two regions, though those outside of Dublin generally reflect greater 60 levels of satisfaction. Similarly to the overall index, regions outside of Dublin saw a greater decline due to increased dissatisfaction with 50 Q2 08 Q4 08 Q2 09 Q4 09 Q2 10 Q4 10 Q2 11 Q4 11 Q2 12 Q4 12 Q2 13 Q4 13 Q2 14 Q4 14 Q2 15 Q4 15 Q2 16 Q4 16 Q2 17 Q4 17 Q2 18 current financial situations. On an annual basis, conditions have only slightly improved in both regions. Dublin National excl. Dublin q2 consumer expectations Dublin expectationS weaken Base 2003 = 100 230 Dublin Max 211.1 National consumer expectations dublin excl. dublin 210 National excl Dublin Max 200.6 190 q1 2018 197.0 191.3 year on year change +7.1 +5.4 170 quarter on quarter change -3.7 -7.8 150 130 For Q2 2018, both regions saw lower YoY improvements in 110 consumer expectations, with expected gains for the general 90 economy fueling Dublin's confidence while expectations of jobs growth grew outside of Dublin. Between quarters, attitudes 70 weakened both in terms of expected personal finance and 50 macroeconomic performance. Dublin experienced moderate 30 Q2 08 Q4 08 Q2 09 Q4 09 Q2 10 Q4 10 Q2 11 Q4 11 Q2 12 Q4 12 Q2 13 Q4 13 Q2 14 Q4 14 Q2 15 Q4 15 Q2 16 Q4 16 Q2 17 Q4 17 Q2 18 upward revisions to personal finances while reducing expectations for the wider economy. Outside Dublin, both personal and wider economic forecasts saw modest downward revisions. Dublin National excl. Dublin About The KBC/ESRI sentiment index is based on responses from consumers about general economic conditions and their household finances. A more detailed commentary is available at www.kbc.ie/blog 10 //
DUBLIN IHS MARKIT PMI dublin output growth overall ihs markit pmi (sa) accelerates in q2 65 50 = no change increasing rate of growth ▲ national 60 overall ihs markit pmi dublin excl. dublin 55 q2 2018 58.5 58.3 year on year change -0.9 +1.0 50 quarter on quarter change +0.6 -0.3 45 Output continued to rise sharply in the Dublin private sector 40 during the second quarter of 2018, extending the current sequence of growth to 23 quarters. The Dublin PMI ticked up 35 to 58.5 in Q2 from 58.0 in the opening quarter of the year. 30 The rise in activity in Dublin was broadly in line with that increasing rate of contraction ▼ 25 recorded across the Rest of Ireland. All three monitored sectors Q2 01 Q2 02 Q2 03 Q2 04 Q2 05 Q2 06 Q2 07 Q2 08 Q2 09 Q2 10 Q2 11 Q2 12 Q2 13 Q2 14 Q2 15 Q2 16 Q2 17 Q2 18 saw output increase sharply, with growth led by construction. The manufacturing sector saw the rate of expansion rebound following weather-related disruption in Q1. Dublin National excl. Dublin new orders continue to overall pmi new orders (sa) rise sharply 65 50 = no change increasing rate of growth ▲ national 60 new orders dublin excl. dublin 55 q2 2018 58.8 58.1 year on year change 0.0 +0.4 50 quarter on quarter change -1.2 -0.2 45 New orders rose again during Q2, continuing the trend seen 40 since the final three months of 2012. The rate of growth remained sharp despite easing marginally from the previous 35 month, with the latest increase well above the series average. The 30 Rest of Ireland also saw new business rise at a strong pace in the increasing rate of contraction ▼ 25 second quarter, but at a slightly weaker rate than in Dublin. Q2 01 Q2 02 Q2 03 Q2 04 Q2 05 Q2 06 Q2 07 Q2 08 Q2 09 Q2 10 Q2 11 Q2 12 Q2 13 Q2 14 Q2 15 Q2 16 Q2 17 Q2 18 Dublin National excl. Dublin employment rises at marked, overall pmi employment growth (sa) but slower pace 65 50 = no change increasing rate of growth ▲ national 60 employment growth dublin excl. dublin q2 2018 56.9 56.0 55 year on year change +2.1 +0.7 50 quarter on quarter change -1.6 -1.2 45 Dublin companies continued to increase their staffing levels 40 during the second quarter of the year, extending the current period of job creation to 23 quarters. The pace at which 35 employment rose eased from the previous quarter, but remained 30 marked. The Rest of Ireland also posted a weaker increase in increasing rate of contraction ▼ staffing levels in Q2, and one that was slower than that seen in 25 Q2 01 Q2 02 Q2 03 Q2 04 Q2 05 Q2 06 Q2 07 Q2 08 Q2 09 Q2 10 Q2 11 Q2 12 Q2 13 Q2 14 Q2 15 Q2 16 Q2 17 Q2 18 Dublin. Dublin National excl. Dublin about The Dublin Purchasing Managers’ Index® (PMI) series is produced by IHS Markit Economics, an independent research company that produces highly-regarded surveys of business conditions in nations around the world www.markit.com // 11
SANDYFORD BUSINESS DISTRICT SANDYFORD BUSINESS DISTRICT BY SHARON SCALLY DIRECTOR/CHAIRPERSON SANDYFORD BUSINESS IMPROVEMENT DISTRICT CLG Driving innovation in east Dublin’s global business quarter and aiming to become the Sandyford Innovation District by 2021 Sandyford Business District (SBD) comprises four Business “ Onebenefits Parks (Central Park, Sandyford Business Park, South County Business Park and Stillorgan Business Park) and is bordered by the Leopardstown Racecourse & Naomh Olaf GAA Grounds. With its readily accessible location, highly educated workforce and proven of the major track record for key industry sectors, the SBD is a prime location for SMEs and multinational companies alike. of the Located in the east of the Dublin region, Sandyford Business District is a vibrant mix of established communities, young families Sandyford Business and business, with a total workforce of approx. 25,000 in 1,000 companies. It is well serviced by a modern light rail system (LUAS) to the City and by the M50 road network to the rest of the country. Improvement District This accessibility and strategic positioning has been a key factor in attracting a large number of high profile businesses including; (BID) to its members is Microsoft, Google, Sage, Vodafone, Mastercard, Salesforce, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, SSE Airtricity, and Ardagh Group. Although currently well provided for, imminent development that they can utilise the plans include 600 new apartments and the new Nord Anglia International School for 800 students opening in September 2018 company to engage which further strengthens the fabric of the community for working families and its attractiveness to employers. with the Council on THE SANDYFORD BUSINESS IMPROVEMENT DISTRICT COMPANY their behalf and identify Business Improvement Districts (BIDs) involve local businesses, forming a company that is funded directly by them and charged areas of improvement within the district.” with identifying and implementing key projects which aim to make material improvements for those working and living in an area. In October 2016, Sandyford BID CLG (SBID) was established (www.sandyford.ie). 12 //
“ The Smart District Initiative has helped to focus our resources specifically on the challenges facing the area and has assisted in developing innovative solutions to SBID is made up of a highly motivated Board of Directors, drawn from the business community, and representatives of Dún Laoghaire- meet the needs of the Rathdown County Council (DLRCoCo) with over 60 companies participating on its six Task Forces to develop solutions around key people and business in Sandyford.” areas, namely: Business Attraction, Infrastructure, Marketing and Events, Smart Innovation, Saving & Benefits & Wellbeing. No company is successful without a good team behind it and SBID is led by its new District Director Fiona Fitzpatrick and Philomena Poole, supported by an Office Manager, Event Manager and Innovation Chief Executive, DLCCo.Co. Champion to assist with growing and promoting Sandyford as a smart destination to live, work and invest. Collaboration and networking are key elements of a successful Business Improvement District and members are invited to a THE MISSION OF SANDYFORD broad range of networking and signature events which include; the BUSINESS DISTRICT IS TO CREATE Sandyford Business District Awards, Sandyford Spirit 5k run & Wellness week, €10 million breakfast, Sandyford Innovation Forum, AND PROMOTE THE AREA AS: Sandyford Summer BBQ along with monthly networking meet- A world-class destination in which ups. These events are critical to developing a sense of ownership for to work and reside. participants in the district. A vibrant community of businesses SANDYFORD SMART DISTRICT and residents with a unique identity. Sandyford was officially launched as a “SMART District” by A place where living, working, DLRCoCo in May 2018. To advance the level of collaboration, innovation and specialist talent development, SMART Sandyford shopping and spending leisure time is manages a series of morning meet-ups and lunchtime briefings, attractive, easy and positive. inviting key speakers from multinationals, SMEs and start-ups. The district is also very engaged on SMART Travel initiatives in collaboration with DLRCoCo. Significant investment will made to promote smarter travel in cycle routes, improved pedestrian routes and crossings. Traffic management measures THE SANDYFORD INNOVATION DISTRICT: will also be designed to manage traffic flows in the district. Seeking to build on the success of its experience with SBID and (http://www.sandyfordsmartertravel.ie) the Smart District initiative, the team is planning on developing Working with DLRCoCo, substantial success has been achieved a Sandyford Innovation District in the coming years. Innovation with an investment of over €150,000 in landscaping and herbaceous districts constitute best practice in terms of placemaking and clusters, boarders within the district including a pocket park on Bracken combining the best of entrepreneurs, educational institutions, start- Road. Looking forward, a public park with amenities for the district ups, schools and mixed-use development and public infrastructure will commence in the coming months. Further improvements to all connected by sustainable transit, like bike share and trams, roads and infrastructure will commence in October and plans are powered by clean energy and wired for digital technology. This well underway for a new signage scheme which will bring uniformity combination of collaboration, innovation and entrepreneurship and identity to the district. makes Sandyford one to watch and a smart place to invest. // 13
SPECIAL REPORT DUBLIN BAY BIOSPHERE TURNS UNESCO DESIGNATION INTO AN OPPORTUNITY FOR SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS BY LES MOORE HEAD OF PARKS SERVICES DUBLIN CITY COUNCIL AND CHAIR OF THE DUBLIN BAY BIOSPHERE PARTNERSHIP International recognition for Dublin Bay Biosphere offers a way to promote Dublin’s natural heritage together with the growth of local sustainable tourism. On the 24th June 2015, the then Minister for Jobs, Enterprise and While biospheres are recognised for their ecological diversity, they Innovation Richard Bruton TD, welcomed the announcement that are managed to promote a balanced relationship between people and Dublin Bay had been awarded by UNESCO the designation of nature and this goal is fulfilled through conservation, learning and Biosphere reserve, in recognition of its unique ecological status and development initiatives. Biosphere Discovery Tour Guides delivered cultural heritage. Minister Bruton stated “UNESCO’s decision to tours to almost 11,800 passengers in 2017, including a Spring award Biosphere status recognises the international importance of programme of school tours. This ecotourism initiative provides the biodiversity and habitats in Dublin Bay." employment and enables visitors and locals alike to experience The UNESCO recognition prises the successful partnership Dublin Bay and its fascinating wildlife and cultural heritage established between Dublin City Council, Dún Laoghaire- firsthand. As a unique hallmark, Dublin Bay Biosphere Reserve Rathdown County Council, Fingal County Council, Dublin Port encompasses not just the marine but also terrestrial areas, opening Company and The Department of Culture, Heritage and the a further range of opportunities for the local green and sustainable Gaeltacht. Failte Ireland are also now a partner as the UNESCO tourism market. recognition of Dublin Bay dovetails with their strategy to reposition Around Dublin Bay there is in fact a necklace of villages Dublin as a must visit destination that rivals other European capitals which invite visitors to enjoy the local heritage, packed with great and indeed, due to its proximity to sea and countryside, can offer restaurants and shops. Each affords wonderfully evocative sea more than most. views and opportunities for a long walk or cycle to lift the spirits. Whether it’s rock-climbing in Dalkey, sea-kayaking in Howth, kite “ surfing in Dollymount or learning to sail in Dun Laoghaire, there’s I believe that this international something for all adventure seekers in Dublin’s coastal villages. Dublin Bay Biosphere in association with Local Enterprise Offices designation of Dublin Bay will will be seeking to develop a sustainable business charter for local considerably enhance the business’s which support the ideals of the Biosphere project. This represents an incredible opportunity for businesses to engage with potential to develop the green new customers and to showcase sustainable, responsibly sourced and ethical products and services which enhance this unique resource. tourism market in a way which Dublin Bay is part of a global network of 651 Biosphere Reserves in 120 countries. In April 2019, the European and North American creates sustainable employment networks will meet in Dublin for their biennial conference to without damaging natural resources strengthen the network, to share information on best practice and to inspire and empower people to implement the principles of or the cultural integrity of the bay.” UNESCO and its Biosphere programme. Richard Bruton Further information about Dublin Bay and recreational Minister for Education and Skills activities in Dublin’s coastal villages is available on www.dublinbaybiosphere.ie and www.visitdublin.com 14 //
ECONOMIC SCORECARD dublin: economic scorecard aug 2018 Note: These "petrol gauge" charts present the performance of the particular indicator relative to a range of performances from most positive (green) to least positive (red). Each gauge presents the latest value compared to the peak value and the trough value over the last decade (except for public transport trips which cover the past 5 years and housing completions which cover the past 6 years). The Commercial Proper- ty gauges are red at the high and low extremes, in recognition of the undesirability of rents or vacancy rates that are either too high or too low. economy ihs markit business pmi q2 2018 unemployment rate q1 2018 kbc/esri consumer sentiment q2 2018 46 51 8 10 100 120 40 57 7 12 70 140 34 58.5 63 5 5.7 13 53 154 160 3 month moving average (sa) % (sa) index (2003 = 100) (sa) transport airport arrivals mar 2018 seaport cargo q2 2018 public transport trips q1 2018 870 1,000 7.7 8.4 47.0 49.3 740 1,120 7.1 9.0 44.6 51.7 615 1,217 1,251 6.5 9.6 42.2 53.9 000's/month (sa) million tonnes/quarter (sa) million trips/quarter (sa) residential property average residential residential property housing completions rents q1 2018 price index may 2018 q1 2018 1,200 1,310 84 99 800 1.100 1,090 1,420 69 113 400 1,400 961 1,527 55 104 128 100 1.214 1,760 €/month index 2005 = 100 units/month commercial property dublin city centre office dublin 2/4 office vacancy dublin suburbs office rent q2 2018 rate q2 2018 vacancy rate q2 2018 460 540 15 20 15 18 380 620 10 25 11 22 296 700 700 5 5.5 30 8 8.6 25 €/sq.m. % % sources: cso, except consumer sentiment kbc/esri; pmi markit; seaport cargo dublin port; public transport nta; residential rents prtb; commercial property cbre research // 15
THE DUBLIN BAY BIOSPHERE WORKING TOGETHER TO PROMOTE A BALANCE BETWEEN PEOPLE AND NATURE DUBLINBAYBIOSPHERE.IE
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