Land and water condition for agriculture: constraints and opportunities - Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist Department of Primary ...
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Land and water condition for agriculture: constraints and opportunities Dr Richard George, Principal Research Scientist Department of Primary Industries & Regional Development, Bunbury
The context talk… • Emphasis – water balance • Start dryland and end irrigation – • system constraints (broad acre) – land degradation • opportunities (irrigation) - water • Context sustaining south & growing north… examples… • Key message – manage water, manage degradation and improve productivity & resilience 1993
The South: “Wheatbelt” Region 25.115 M ha Native Veg – 7.601 M ha Cleared - 17.514 M ha cleared Majority 2400mm evaporation Rapid and extensive clearing 1950s to 1983. Roots to bedrock… used water 365 days… resilient to aridity Wheatbelt ~ 15 M ha 3
WA 2016/17 agriculture = production & exports $7 billion GVAP *2.47 multiplier $17 B to WA economy https://www.agric.wa.gov.au/food-export-investment/western- australia’s-agrifood-fibre-fisheries-and-forestry-industries-2018
17.9 mt 1994 2007 2014 Farm size (ha) 2500 4000 6000 Yield (t/ha) 1.8 2.1 2.6 Total net asset $3m $6.5m $12m Annual rainfall WA Production 8mt 12mt 17mt changes < 1975 No. Growers producing 85% of 1200 800 600 and after 2000 WA crop GVAP WA crop $1.4b $2.8b $5.5b
1994 2007 2014 2025 Farm size (ha) 2500 4000 6000 12000 Yield (t/ha) 1.8 2.1 2.6 3.0 Total net asset $3m $6.5m $12m $20m Growing season WA Production 8mt 12mt 17mt 22mt rainfall changes No. Growers producing 85% of 1200 800 600 300 < 1975 and after 2000 WA crop GVAP WA crop $1.4b $2.8b $5.5b $9b
Eventually consequences under ~150 day agriculture system Salinity & Waterlogging Summer 2008 ….Visible Salinity, water and wind erosion, acidification, eutrophication Invisible… soil/subsoil acidity, non-wetting, Community: water quality, biodiversity, compaction, soil decline…. GRDC infrastructure…. 8
Extent and Risk - Mapping ABS Census 1955-2002 Satellite maps 1998-2000 New planned 2019-2021 1 M ha severe + 1 M ha moderate/transient? Interactive tools 2018 OAG Report 2019 Salinity Consultative Review 9
Extent and Risk - Mapping ABS Census 1955-2002 Satellite maps 1998-2000 New planned 2019-2021 1 M ha severe + 2.8 M ha valley hazard Interactive tools 2018 OAG Report 2019 Salinity Consultative Review 10
2013 GRDC 2018 – main 5 soil constraints costing $330 ha or $4.3 billion year (ROSA tool) with treatment enabling an increase of 1 T/ha… Salinity Chapter First full review 2013 11
Landcare, Regenerative Ag…. …adaptation to use more water … to create resilience & regional development New needs – e.g. GHGs like CO2 #ClimateSmartAg
…wetter North …drier South… 1600 Perth dams -1% rain -3% 1400 runoff 1200 Rainfall (mm) 1000 ~11,000 GL 800 600 (865 GL/a) 400 ~200 TDS 200 0 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 Year Annual rainfall 10 yr Mean Long-term Mean 186 GL (68 GL/a) 2030 1300 TDS
2016 – use ~ 300 GL/a $400m GVAP • Food & fibre crops • Cattle • Horticulture • Tree crops • Bush tucker
…Growing in the North (La Grange)… …catalyst to respectful Broome Before project 3 GL used of irrigated agricultural 50 GL available. development… After project 100% applied for…. 3 TOs & 7 Stations 2 Hort businesses
• Soils, chemistry, risks • Regolith depths, aquifers, salinity, chemistry • Aquifer use – modelling, saltwater interface • Aquifer ages, recharge and hydrodynamics with strong cultural recognition.
Myalup Grow Stable Less $877 m GVAP 18 ~350 GL
40 T/ML 5-9 T / ML
Opportunities for growth and sustainability – to 2040 ? • Water & food planning – • Major international drivers in food supply and demand (quality): eg wheat. • Changing food culture (vegan, paleo, ….) • Increasing pressure on finite resources • Recognising resource impacts & costs (energy) & market advantage • Dryland - Better manage landscapes soil and water – RegenAg... • Irrigation – growth – then unconventional water supplies • Brackish water sources – and desalinisation • Stormwater & wastewater - WWTP & MAR • Mining & post mine closure – legacy opportunities • Horticulture - protected cropping**
Contact Work - PO Box 1231, Bunbury 6230. Questions ? richard.george@dpird.wa.gov.au M 0404 819 532 21/18
Report Cards https://www.agric.wa.gov.au/climate-land-water/resource- assessment/report-card-conditions-and-trends Salinity interactive model https://www.agric.wa.gov.au/resource- assessment/interactive-groundwater-and-salinity-map- south-west-agricultural-region La Grange case study https://www.agric.wa.gov.au/assessment-agricultural- expansion/la-grange-interactive-soil-and-groundwater-map Myalup case study https://www.agric.wa.gov.au/assessment-agricultural- expansion/myalup%E2%80%93wellington-assessment- expanded-irrigation What www searchers are downloading - from Climate Land and Water DPIRD website (August) 22
Wheatbelt ‘average crop’ water balance – 400mm rainfall (1mm = litre/m2) 180 mm (transpiration to grain) 20 100 mm (Evaporation) 1mx1m 10 10 Minimum 10 + 10 mm (runoff & recharge) 100 mm (summer) 23
1963 Farm cleared Drilled 1993 Bluegums 1995 Harvest 2014-16
Highest t CO2-e/ha sequestration areas
Water Balance - ve (leaching) -ve (dry/runoff) -ve (water use) -ve (runoff/recharge) -ve excess runoff -ve store/runoff -ve - all above -ve lost water storage -ve runoff -ve groundwater26rise
What do we do with 60,000 GL… (aka 400mm) in wheatbelt agriculture………
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