Key Findings from a National Voter Survey Conducted March 11-15, 2018
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Methodology ✓ 1001 telephone interviews with voters nationwide ✓ Interviews conducted March 11-15, 2018 ✓ Interviews on landlines and cell phones ✓ Margin of sampling error of +/- 3.1% at the 95% confidence level ✓ Some percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding ✓ Select tracks from 2016 and 2017 national research 1
Bipartisan Research Team Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (FM3) – a national Democratic opinion research firm with offices in Oakland, Los Angeles and Madison, Wisconsin – has specialized in public policy oriented opinion research since 1981. The firm has assisted hundreds of political campaigns at every level of the ballot – from President to City Council – with opinion research and strategic guidance. FM3 also provides research and strategic consulting to public agencies, businesses and public Dave Metz – FM3 interest organizations nationwide. Public Opinion Strategies (POS) is the largest Republican polling firm in the country. Since the firm’s founding in 1991, they have completed more than 10,000 research projects, interviewing more than five million Americans across the United States. Media outlets, such as The Wall Street Journal, NBC News, CNBC, and National Public Radio, rely on Public Opinion Strategies to conduct their polling. The firm conducts polling on behalf of hundreds of political campaigns, as well as trade associations, not-for-profit organizations, government entities and industry Lori Weigel - POS coalitions throughout the nation. As a bipartisan team, FM3 and Public Opinion Strategies have researched a wide range of issues for nearly a decade, in particular on conservation-related initiatives and policies. Together, the two firms have jointly conducted research on behalf of political campaigns, businesses, not-for-profit organizations and public agencies in 44 states and nationally. 2
Rebuilding America’s infrastructure is seen as a top priority, and is gaining urgency. Here are some issues that President Trump and leaders in Congress have said they may address this year. Please tell me how important you think it is for them to focus on each issue. Ext./Very Ext. Impt. Very Impt. Smwt. Impt. Not Too Impt. DK/NA/Refused Impt. Rebuilding America’s 2018 31% 49% 16% 80% infrastructure 2017 27% 40% 25% 6% 67% Providing permanent legal status for Dreamers, undocumented immigrants 21% 34% 23% 19% 55% who were brought here as children Increasing funding for defense 2018 24% 30% 25% 20% 54% and anti-terrorism programs 2017 22% 27% 29% 21% 49% Repealing and replacing 2018 20% 18% 16% 44% 38% Obamacare 2017 21% 21% 16% 38% 5% 42% Building a wall on the 2018 15% 16% 12% 57% 30% Mexican border 2017 12% 14% 17% 56% 25% Q2. 5
Nearly four in five see it as “very important” that we rebuild our water infrastructure. We mentioned America’s infrastructure in the last question. Specifically, how important do you think it is (Half Sample: for the President and Congress to develop a plan this year) to rebuild our water infrastructure that brings clean drinking water to your home and removes and treats wastewater? Extremely important Extremely/Very 40% Important Very important 38% 78% Somewhat important 16% Somewhat/Not Not important Important 5% 21% Don’t know/NA Numbers were essentially identical with 1% and without reference to Presidential and Congressional action “this year.” Q3. 6
Democrats, independents, voters under 50, and women are more likely to see this as “extremely” important. Extremely/Very Extremely Very Somewhat/Not Demographic Groups Important Important Important Important Party Democrats 88% 48% 40% 12% Independents 80% 45% 35% 18% Republicans 66% 29% 37% 32% Age 18-49 79% 45% 34% 20% 50+ 78% 36% 42% 21% Gender Men 74% 38% 36% 24% Women 81% 42% 39% 17% Q3 (Total). We mentioned America’s infrastructure in the last question. Specifically, how important do you think it is (SPLIT SAMPLE A ONLY: for the President and Congress to develop a plan this year) to rebuild our water infrastructure that brings clean drinking water to your home and removes and treats wastewater? 7
Voters of color and those in the Northeast are most likely to place importance on rebuilding infrastructure. Extremely/Very Extremely Very Somewhat/Not Demographic Groups Important Important Important Important Ethnicity Latinos 92% 47% 45% 8% African-Americans 94% 57% 37% 4% Whites 74% 36% 38% 25% Voters of Color 90% 50% 40% 8% Region Northeast 81% 51% 30% 17% Midwest 73% 38% 35% 26% South 83% 37% 46% 16% South Central 77% 35% 42% 23% Central Plains 73% 31% 42% 27% Mountain 79% 38% 41% 18% West 75% 39% 36% 24% Q3 (Total). We mentioned America’s infrastructure in the last question. Specifically, how important do you think it is (SPLIT SAMPLE A ONLY: for the President and Congress to develop a plan this year) to rebuild our water infrastructure that brings clean drinking water to your home and removes and treats wastewater? 8
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Nearly nine in ten support increasing federal investments in water infrastructure. Some people have proposed increasing the federal investment in rebuilding our water infrastructure ‐ including pipes, pumps, reservoirs, treatment plants, and other facilities ‐ to ensure safe, reliable water service for all communities. Does this sound like something you would support or oppose? Strongly support 53% Total Support Somewhat support 35% 88% Somewhat oppose 4% Total Oppose Strongly oppose 4% 8% Don't know/NA 3% Q6. 10
Support cuts across gender, age, party and ideology. Total Strong Smwht. Total Demographic Groups DK/NA Support Support Support Oppose Gender Men 86% 52% 34% 10% 4% Women 91% 55% 36% 6% 3% Age 18-49 92% 54% 38% 6% 3% 50+ 86% 53% 33% 11% 4% Party Democrats 95% 66% 29% 4% 1% Independents 89% 56% 33% 7% 5% Republicans 81% 38% 43% 14% 5% Ideology Liberal 97% 66% 30% 2% 1% Moderate 89% 53% 36% 7% 3% Conservative 82% 42% 40% 13% 5% Q6. Some people have proposed increasing the federal investment in rebuilding our water infrastructure ‐ including pipes, pumps, reservoirs, treatment plants, and other facilities ‐ to ensure safe, reliable water service for all communities. Does this sound like something you would support or oppose? 11
Support also cuts across geographic lines. Total Strong Smwht. Total Demographic Groups DK/NA Support Support Support Oppose Region Northeast 90% 61% 29% 6% 5% Midwest 88% 48% 40% 9% 3% South 88% 55% 32% 9% 3% South Central 89% 59% 31% 8% 2% Central Plains 91% 42% 49% 7% 2% Mountain 87% 54% 33% 8% 5% West 87% 47% 40% 10% 3% Q6. Some people have proposed increasing the federal investment in rebuilding our water infrastructure ‐ including pipes, pumps, reservoirs, treatment plants, and other facilities ‐ to ensure safe, reliable water service for all communities. Does this sound like something you would support or oppose? 12
Three quarters favor investing in water infrastructure today, regardless of cost impacts. Water systems in many communities across the United States are aging and in need of repair. The American Society of Civil Engineers gives our water and wastewater infrastructure a D grade. They estimate the price tag for repairing and improving America’s drinking water and wastewater infrastructure will be $1.27 trillion dollars over the next 25 years. Having heard this, which of these approaches do you think we should pursue as it relates to water infrastructure? With Costs Without Costs Total We should invest today in comprehensive replacement, improvements, and upgrades to our water infrastructure, in order to prevent problems 79% 75% 75% from arising (Half Sample: at a total cost of roughly $1.27 trillion dollars over 25 years) We should largely leave our water infrastructure in place, and simply fix problems and breakdowns as they occur (Half Sample: at a total cost greater 19% 20% 19% than $1.27 trillion dollars over 25 years) Both/Neither/Don't Know 4% 5% 5% Q7. 13
Support for making the investment today cuts across partisan lines. Demographic Groups Invest Today Fix Problems Both/Neither/DK/NA Party Democrats 88% 10% 3% Independents 79% 18% 4% Republicans 60% 31% 9% Age 18-49 79% 17% 4% 50+ 72% 22% 6% Ethnicity Latinos 86% 12% 2% African-Americans 83% 17% 1% Whites 72% 21% 6% Voters of Color 85% 14% 1% Region Northeast 81% 15% 4% Midwest 75% 15% 10% South 73% 25% 2% South Central 69% 25% 6% Central Plains 72% 22% 6% Mountain 78% 12% 10% West 75% 22% 3% Q7 (Total). Having heard this, which of these approaches do you think we should pursue as it relates to water infrastructure? 14
More than three-quarters support the $1.2 trillion investment. To withstand threats from storms, wildfires, and more extreme and unpredictable weather and meet growing demand, some people have proposed we begin a decades-long project to ensure our drinking water and wastewater systems are resilient. The cost would be approximately $1.2 trillion dollars over 25 years. (Half Sample: For context, Americans spend approximately half that amount each year on Christmas presents alone.) Funding would come from a mix of federal, state, and local sources – some of which would ultimately be paid by ratepayers. Do you think you would support or oppose such a proposal? Spending Context No Spending Context Total Strongly support 39% Total 39% Total 39% Total Support Support Support Somewhat support 40% 79% 38% 77% 39% 78% Somewhat oppose 8% Total 10% Total 9% Total Oppose Oppose Oppose Strongly oppose 7% 15% 8% 18% 7% 17% Don't know/NA 5% 5% 5% Q8. 15
Reducing water pollution is most likely to be rated a high priority for local water agencies. I am going to read you a list of services that your local water agency either provides today or may provide in the future. Please tell me if you think it should be a high priority; a moderate priority; a low priority, or not a priority. High/ High Moderate Low Not DK/NA Mod. Reducing water pollution 83% 11% 95% Meeting increased state and federal health and safety regulations 64% 23% 6% 5% 87% Maintaining, enhancing, or replacing aging equipment, pipes, facilities, and buildings 62% 30% 92% Reducing greenhouse gas emissions 52% 25% 11% 10% 76% Generating energy in the process of treating wastewater 50% 34% 9% 5% 84% Preparing for the impact of climate change 48% 23% 14% 13% 72% Increasing the use of recycled water 47% 36% 9% 6% 82% Capturing nutrients from wastewater to be used as fertilizer and other industrial uses 31% 44% 14% 8% 76% Q13. 16
Four in five say that what they currently pay for water and wastewater is affordable. Do you think what you pay currently for water and wastewater service is affordable or unaffordable? Very affordable 42% Total Affordable Somewhat affordable 39% 80% Somewhat unaffordable 8% Total Unaffordable Very unaffordable 5% 13% Don't know/NA 6% Q15. 17
Regardless of income, majorities of voters say that what they pay for their water and wastewater service is affordable. Total Total Demographic Groups DK/NA Affordable Unaffordable Household Income
Three-quarters say they would be willing to pay a modest rate increase for service improvements. Suppose your water and wastewater service provider increased rates by a modest amount to pay for infrastructure and water quality improvements. Would you be willing or unwilling to pay a modest rate increase in order to improve your water and wastewater service? Very willing 37% Total Willing Somewhat willing 38% 75% Somewhat unwilling 9% Total Unwilling Very unwilling 9% 18% Don't know/NA 7% Q16. 19
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Conclusions ✓ Rebuilding America’s infrastructure continues to be a top priority for American voters and is gaining intensity. ✓ Even though a majority think the nation’s water infrastructure is in good condition and 84% say the same for their local infrastructure, nearly four in five say that rebuilding water infrastructure as “very important.” ✓ Voters strongly support a proposal to invest as much as $1.2 trillion in the nation’s water infrastructure system. ▪ Overall, support for this idea cuts across demographic and partisan lines. ▪ Democrats, voters of color, and those living in urban areas are most likely to consistently support the proposal. ▪ Republican women and those living in the Central Plains and Midwest are most likely to be persuadable on this issue. ✓ Voters express a distinct preference for making the investment now, rather than fixing problems in the system as they arise. ✓ Three-quarters of voters say they would be willing to pay a modest amount more to improve their local water and wastewater system. 21
For more information, contact: Dave@FM3research.com Lucia@FM3research.com Lori@pos.org
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