K2 HEDGE FUND STRATEGY OUTLOOK - Q1 2021 - Franklin Templeton Investment ...

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K2 HEDGE FUND STRATEGY OUTLOOK - Q1 2021 - Franklin Templeton Investment ...
K2
HEDGE FUND
STRATEGY
OUTLOOK
        Q1 2021
Q1 2021 Outlook: Summary

Going into the new year, we are very                          Strategy Highlights
optimistic about the opportunity set,                          Long/Short             With risk in the United States mitigated by the recent positive COVID-19
and we think that active management                            Equity—                vaccine news and the 2020 presidential election results, domestic
alpha will be key to success in 2021                           International          equities have risen to record valuations. Uncertainty that once clouded
as beta-driven momentum slows                                                         the United States is similarly presenting attractive dispersion opportunities
given potentially stretched valuations.                                               internationally, and we believe lower valuations should provide more
We believe it is prudent to be growth-                                                downside support.

oriented in our portfolio positioning                          Macro—                 The strategy may be supported by positive tailwinds of rebounding
while also holding hedged alternative                          Emerging               growth and policy support, as well as increased dispersion at the region,
investments that exhibit low correlations                      Markets                country and asset class levels within emerging markets.
to broader risk assets.
                                                               Insurance-             Higher-than-average insured losses due to COVID-19 and natural
                                                               Linked                 catastrophe activity is lifting reinsurance pricing. The market offers
                                                               Securities (ILS)       attractive ILS spreads as we enter the lower-risk period prior to the next
                                                                                      hurricane season.

                           Strategy                         Outlook

                           Long/Short Equity                Long/short equity managers have been resilient on a year-to-date basis. While stocks
                                                            are trading at high valuations, we believe there are still asymmetric dispersion oppor-
                                                            tunities that could lead to incremental alpha generation in particular areas of the market.

                           Relative Value                   Favorable outlook for volatility arbitrage and convertible arbitrage strategies driven by
                                                            persistent inefficiencies in pricing among various asset classes. Negative outlook for
                                                            fixed income arbitrage based on depressed volatility due to excess central bank liquidity.

                           Event Driven                     Neutral outlook for merger arbitrage, as spreads for “safe” deals have been tightening.
                                                            Attractive opportunity set remains in the more complex merger situations as well as
                                                            special situations equity and credit investing where manager experience is more likely to
                                                            produce superior outcomes.

                           Credit                           Long/short credit managers are increasingly focused on event-driven situations given low
                                                            yields and tight spreads. Uncertainty in structured credit may lead to high levels of
                                                            dispersion at the instrument, market and manager level.

                           Global Macro                     As the macro shocks of the last year appear to be normalizing, fundamental dispersion
                                                            between regions, countries and asset classes may become an increasingly important
                                                            driver of returns. Managers focused on this dispersion, particularly within emerging
                                                            markets, may benefit from a rich opportunity set in the year ahead.

                           Commodities                      The global economic recovery is supportive of increased commodity demand across
                                                            sub-strategies. As supply-demand tightens into 2021, volatility is expected to increase
                                                            and favor relative value strategies.

                           Insurance-Linked                 Both insurance and reinsurance pricing trends are positive as higher-than-average
                           Securities (ILS)                 natural catastrophe insured losses, broader industry COVID-19-related losses and low
                                                            interest rates result in higher pricing across the sector including ILS strategies.

This outlook is provided to you for informational purposes and is not intended for redistribution. It shall not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy
an interest in any investment product or fund. This outlook discusses strategies that are available through a variety of structures such as separate accounts, mutual
funds and private funds. Not all structures are available for all strategies shown. Interests or shares of an investment fund are offered only through the fund’s offering
documents, such as a Prospectus or Confidential Private Offering Memorandum.

For Institutional/Professional Investor and Consultant Use Only—Not for Use with Retail Investors.
2       Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook—Q1 2021
Macro Themes We Are Discussing

Will inflation expectations continue to rise given                              companies are disparately dependent on a speedy recovery. We
vaccinations, global financial conditions and expected                          expect that the bigger, stronger companies will be very active in
economic growth?                                                                strategic business dealings to further strengthen their advantages
The start of 2021 offers a new beginning in the sense that the                  over weaker competitors.
economic slowdown due to COVID-19 appears to be coming
                                                                                Will emerging markets recover faster than developed
to an end. Individuals and corporations have been buoyed
                                                                                markets?
by enormous stimulus from governments, and for the most
                                                                                If the global recovery is strong and fast, commodities should
part, have weathered the storm of 2020. Structural trends of
                                                                                experience dispersion due to supply/demand dynamics, and
e-commerce, deglobalization of supply chains, health care,
                                                                                emerging market (EM) risk assets could follow suit. That is
security, software and sustainability were accelerated due to the
                                                                                especially true in countries exporting commodities and those that
economic environment and global lockdowns.
                                                                                have already dramatically devalued their currency. Additional
Going forward, if economic growth, earnings and sentiment                       fuel to these dynamics would be a weakening US dollar. Finally,
overreact to the upside in speed and magnitude, inflation will                  global yield hunters should be enticed by the developing
inevitably surface. However, we could have a period of reflation                market’s yield premium in fixed income. As a result, we find both
without inflation, which would be very favorable for equities.                  EM equities and foreign exchange attractive on a relative-
Conversely, there are many paths to a derailing of the recovery                 valuation basis.
such as failed vaccination implementation, a mutated virus, a
                                                                                With that said, investors do have to be selective in EMs due to
sustained second wave or even another global lockdown.
                                                                                challenges of operating in these countries. EM companies face
Currently, the markets are quickly moving to price in perfection,
                                                                                challenges from foreign companies entering their markets,
reflation with minimal inflation and a robust global economic
                                                                                ongoing global trade tensions, and vaccination distribution
recovery. We expect challenges to this pricing to arise periodically
                                                                                challenges. In addition, fiscal and monetary stimulus has been led
over the course of 2021, keeping volatility and dispersion elevated
                                                                                by developed markets relative to EM counterparts.
and creating rich opportunities for active management.
                                                                                Summary for 2021
Will the global chase for yield continue but deemphasize
                                                                                As we enter 2021, we are very optimistic about the opportunity
sovereign fixed income in favor of alternative yield products?
                                                                                set while recognizing that our views are based on a swift
Many assets are priced to a flat forward curve, putting a high
                                                                                global recovery that is becoming consensus among allocators.
premium on forward cash flows. If the forward curve were
                                                                                Our underlying hedge fund managers are identifying many
to rise (steepen), a repricing downward of these duration assets
                                                                                opportunities, both on the long and short side, and think that
would be expected in 2021. Given that real interest rates are
                                                                                active-management alpha will be key to success in 2021
historically low, we expect sovereign fixed income to be
                                                                                as beta-driven momentum slows. With data throughout the year,
challenged and for interest rates to eventually rise. Investors that
                                                                                we will be constantly challenging our own thinking and making
are yield- and income-centric will most likely have to rotate into
                                                                                adjustments as necessary. As a result, we believe it is prudent
alternative yield products such as ILS that provide yield for
                                                                                to be growth-oriented in our portfolio positioning while also holding
taking on insurance risks.
                                                                                hedged alternative investments that exhibit low correlations to
Dispersion in credit markets coupled with the need for yield                    broader risk assets.
should also provide a good opportunity for long/short credit
managers and dispersion trading as many industries and

The above reflects the opinions of the K2 Investment & Research Management (IRM) group as of December 20, 2020, and may not reflect the views of
other groups within K2 or Franklin Templeton. The information provided is not a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any country, market,
industry, security or fund. Because market and economic conditions are subject to change, comments, opinions and analyses are rendered as of the date of
this material and may change without notice. A portfolio manager’s assessment of a particular security, investment or strategy is not intended as individual
investment advice or a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any security or to adopt any investment strategy; it is intended only to provide
insight into the fund’s portfolio selection process.

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                                                                                                     Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook—Q1 2021                   3
Q1 2021 Outlook: Strategy Highlights

Long/Short Equity—International                                                         More importantly, EM countries are in a strong fundamental
Given the impressive recovery of US equities since the first                            position given the creation of long-term wealth through a
quarter, we believe that international long/short strategies are                        rising middle class and more recently, less reliance on fiscal
poised to outperform. European and Asian markets have                                   support during the pandemic.
generally traded in tandem with the United States throughout the
                                                                                        Macro—Emerging Markets
COVID-19 pandemic, but foreign companies, as captured
                                                                                        Emerging markets may benefit from a confluence of rebounding
by the MSCI EAFE Index, have consistently underperformed their
                                                                                        growth, sustained policy support, and improving fund flow
US peers over the last decade.
                                                                                        dynamics. Many investors reduced their exposure to growth-
Moreover, non-US equity markets could be further buoyed by                              sensitive emerging market assets in the wake of the pandemic.
their natural bias toward cyclical and value-type names in                              If recent momentum in the recovery persists while policy
contrast to US market reliance on the overstretched technology                          remains accommodative, these regions may see a resurgence of
sector and growth companies more broadly. In addition to                                interest. Macro specialists focused on emerging markets may
non-US developed markets, we believe emerging markets may                               benefit from these tailwinds as well as wider dispersion in country
outperform. The reopening of local economies should benefit their                       and asset-class performance in the wake of the last year’s
respective economically sensitive industries, and any incremental                       crises and divergent policy responses.
stimulus in the United States should weaken the US dollar.

Exhibit 1: International Equities Are Positioned to Outperform the                      Exhibit 2: Emerging Market Fund Flows
US After a Decade of Underperformance                                                   January 2004–December 17, 2020
November 2010–November 2020
                                                                                        $ Billions
% Returns                                                                                200
20.0%
                            18.4%
18.0%                  17.5%
                                         16.8%                                          150
16.0%
        14.0%                                           14.0%           14.2%
14.0%                                                                                   100
                                             12.7%
12.0%                                                       10.7%
              10.2%
                                                 9.4%                                     50
10.0%

 8.0%
                                  6.4%                           6.2%                      0
                                                                                5.9%
 6.0%
                                                                            3.6%
 4.0%             3.0%                                                                   -50
 2.0%
 0.0%                                                                                   -100
            YTD 2020        1 Year        Ann. 2 Year    Ann. 5 Year    Ann. 10 Year           2004     2006      2008     2010      2012     2014      2016      2018   2020
                       S&P 500 TR Index                                                                                  EM Bonds      EM Equities
                       MSCI Emerging Markets Net TR USD Index
                       MSCI EAFE Net TR USD Index

Source: Bloomberg. Important data provide notices and terms available at                Source: JPMorgan. Important data provide notices and terms available at
www.franklintempletondatasources.com. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest in    www.franklintempletondatasources.com.
them. They do not include fees, expenses or sales charges. Past performance is not an
indicator or a guarantee of future results.

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4       Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook—Q1 2021
Q1 2021 Outlook: Strategy Highlights

Insurance-Linked Securities                                                              Willis Towers Watson estimates an additional $32 billion to $80
Swiss Re Institute estimates natural catastrophe events caused                           billion of insured losses from COVID-19, which is supporting
$76 billion of global insured losses in 2020, 6.6% above                                 higher pricing across the insurance industry. Cat bond spreads
the previous 10-year average. While 2020 resulted in a record                            remain attractive versus US corporate high yield as we enter
number of North Atlantic named storms (30), US hurricane-                                a lower risk part of the ILS calendar prior to the next US hurricane
insured losses were much lower than 2005 and 2017 stress years                           season in June 2021.
as 2020 landfalls were in lower-insured, less-populated areas.

Exhibit 3: Cat Bond Market Spread vs. High-Yield BB Spread
April 2014–November 2020
  9%

  8%

  7%

  6%

  5%

  4%

  3%

  2%

  1%

  0%
       Apr-14      Nov-14         Jun-15         Jan-16        Aug-16         Mar-17         Oct-17        May-18         Dec-18         Jul-19        Feb-20         Sep-20
                                                                                                                                                                        Nov-20

                                                                    Cat Bond Market Spread             ML HY BB OAS

Source: Swiss Re, Aon Benfield, ICE BofAML, Bloomberg. Important data provide notices and terms available at www.franklintempletondatasources.com. Indexes are unmanaged and
one cannot invest in them. They do not include fees, expenses or sales charges. Past performance is not an indicator or a guarantee of future results.

For Institutional/Professional Investor and Consultant Use Only—Not for Use with Retail Investors.
                                                                                                                 Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook—Q1 2021                           5
Q1 2021 Outlook by Strategy

Long/Short                                             Long/short equity investing has proven its importance throughout this characteristically
Equity                                                 unprecedented year. However, domestic markets are now at undisputedly elevated
                                                       levels as indicated by the Rule of 20, a widely used valuation heuristic, following the
                                                       strong efficacy of several COVID-19 vaccine candidates and the results of the US 2020
                                                       presidential elections. Though the extreme volatility experienced in March has likely
                                                       abated, we still expect a reasonable level of uncertainty and dispersion to persist as
                                                       companies, particularly outside of the technology sector, try to navigate through the next
                                                       stage of the pandemic. Long/short equity managers continue to run at elevated
                                                       gross and net exposures to reflect their constructive equity outlook and have started
                                                       to shift their portfolios towards a “back-to-normalcy” theme while shorting those
                                                       where the rebound may be more illusory, which we believe should result in additional
                                                       alpha generation.

Relative Value                                         Relative value strategies continue to benefit from greater dispersion in pricing of various
                                                       instruments. Even as risk assets reach new all-time peaks, there are many asset classes
                                                       that remain inefficiently priced. For example, a great disconnect exists between volatility
                                                       markets in different asset classes and geographies—US equity volatility remains at
                                                       historically high levels while fixed income volatility is near all-time lows. We expect
                                                       certain strategies, such as convertible arbitrage and volatility arbitrage, to benefit from
                                                       these dislocations and eventual convergence of such disparate pricing. One strategy that
                                                       we are less excited about is fixed income arbitrage, where the opportunity set is
                                                       significantly constrained by massive excess liquidity provided by the central banks to
                                                       traditional fixed income markets. This serves as a great dampener for volatility and is
                                                       likely to limit the opportunity set for the foreseeable future.

Event Driven                                           We are hopeful that the recent pickup in merger and acquisition (M&A) activity will
                                                       persist and will continue to offer a robust opportunity set for our managers. However, the
                                                       strong risk-on tone across all markets means that spreads in traditional “safe” M&A
                                                       deals are relatively tight due to continued inflows into the strategy and an excess of
                                                       capital in the current sub-zero real rate environment. However, we are encouraged by
                                                       the recent pickup in volume of more complex event situations, including cross-border
                                                       activity, hostile approaches, and leveraged buyouts. With greater complexity comes
                                                       perception of greater risk and correspondingly wider spreads, which experienced event-
                                                       driven investors can exploit. Other types of event-driven investing, including opportunities
                                                       in credit and special situations, are similarly more complex, with potential for greater
                                                       differentiation between individual instruments and managers.

Understanding the Pendulum Graphic

   Strongly                                                Strongly
Underweight                                                Overweight

       Underweight                                  Overweight

                              Neutral

Arrows represent any change since the last quarter-end.

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6      Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook—Q1 2021
Q1 2021 Outlook by Strategy

Credit                                           Credit, like other risk assets, is characterized by an investor base willing to look through
                                                 to the other side of the COVID-19 crisis and price in a return-to-normal scenario. In
                                                 addition (and related), accommodative monetary policy across the globe means that
                                                 interest rates are at rock-bottom levels. Put simply, spreads are tight and yields are low,
                                                 which presents risks for a traditional credit portfolio. As a result, credit managers are
                                                 increasingly looking toward events to capture alpha. In long/short credit, managers point
                                                 to an improved outlook for M&A with companies eager to jettison non-core assets and
                                                 sponsors with capital to deploy as supportive of this event-driven approach. Secular
                                                 changes COVID-19 has triggered, and securities which are seemingly priced to
                                                 perfection, could allow for opportunities to generate alpha on the short side. Structured
                                                 credit in general has rebounded, but areas facing potential secular headwinds like
                                                 commercial mortgage-backed securities and aviation require skilled fundamental
                                                 analysis in identifying the stronger structures and collateral from less attractive
                                                 instruments. In distressed, defaults remain elevated but have slowed significantly
                                                 recently as capital markets welcome new issuance across the quality spectrum, thereby
                                                 reducing the opportunity set. Direct lending managers remain focused on their existing
                                                 portfolios and are likely to amend and extend maturities for stressed borrowers.

Global Macro                                     With several major political events and policy decisions seemingly behind us, we expect
                                                 fundamental dispersion to be an increasingly important driver of returns going forward.
                                                 Within discretionary macro, this environment may favor relative value approaches where
                                                 discerning managers can seek out winners and losers emerging from the major shifts of
                                                 the last year. Emerging market specialists can benefit from large differentiation at the
                                                 region, country and asset class levels, as well as from the potential tailwinds of a
                                                 rebounding growth and accommodative policy environment. Systematic strategies can
                                                 benefit as markets continue to normalize following last year’s events, but, as always,
                                                 remain susceptible to any non-modeled exogenous shocks that may occur.

Commodities                                      In the fourth quarter, commodities experienced a broad-based rally supported by a
                                                 weaker US dollar and a rebound in overall demand. In early 2021, fundamentals are
                                                 expected to improve with the global economic recovery. Global fiscal and monetary
                                                 policies are supportive of commodities, while investor flows are strengthening. The
                                                 market is well-positioned for relative value strategies, as an improving beta environment
                                                 is still at risk of COVID-19-related lockdowns and the Organization of the Petroleum
                                                 Exporting Countries ramping up production too quickly. The appetite to increase
                                                 renewable energy and electric vehicle sales along with governments’ tightening carbon
                                                 emissions targets present an improving opportunity set for niche strategies as well.

Insurance-                                       The combination of an active natural catastrophe year along with COVID-19-related
Linked                                           insured losses has resulted in a positive pricing environment across the property and
Securities                                       casualty insurance industry. At the same time, $22 billion of fresh capital raised through
                                                 private and public equity markets supporting new reinsurance startups has mitigated the
                                                 risk of a distressed market environment. Overall, the market remains healthy, and cat
                                                 bonds should continue to draw more interest into 2021. Cat bonds will likely benefit from
                                                 the transparent and liquid structure, lack of correlation and wider spread versus US high
                                                 yield corporate bonds.

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                                                                                             Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook—Q1 2021                7
Outlook Trend for Strategies and Sub-Strategies                                                                                          Sub-Strategies Ranked
                                                                                                                                         by Z-Score
Strategies                                              Q4 2020               Q1 2021                        Changes

Long/Short Equity                                                                                                 —                      Rankings (Top Down)                      Z-Score

Long/Short Equity                                                                                                                        Emerging Markets                               1.5
Equity Market Neutral                                                                                                                    Insurance Loss Warranties                      1.2
Activist                                                                                                          —                      Discretionary                                  0.9

Europe                                                                                                                                   Catastrophe Bonds                              0.9
Asia                                                                                                                                     Europe                                         0.9

Technology                                                                                                                               Oil & Products                                 0.8
Healthcare                                                                                                        —                      Agriculture                                    0.8

Relative Value                                                                                                    —                      Asia                                           0.8
Convertible Arbitrage                                                                                             —                      Retrocessional                                 0.7

Volatility Arbitrage                                                                                              —                      Private Transactions                           0.7
Fixed Income                                                                                                      —                      Volatility Arbitrage                           0.5

Event Driven                                                                                                                             Metals                                         0.5
Merger Arbitrage                                                                                                                         US Natural Gas                                 0.2

Special Situations                                                                                                                       Activist                                       0.1

Credit                                                                                                                                   Convertible Arbitrage                          0.1

Direct Lending                                                                                                                           Systematic                                     0.1

Distressed                                                                                                                               Merger Arbitrage                               0.0

Long/Short Credit                                                                                                 —                      Health Care                                   -0.1

Structured Credit                                                                                                 —                      Structured Credit                             -0.2

Global Macro                                                                                                      —                      Special Situations                            -0.3

Discretionary                                                                                                                            Long/Short Credit                             -0.4
Systematic                                                                                                        —
                                                                                                                                         Technology                                    -0.8
Emerging Markets                                                                                                  —
                                                                                                                                         Direct Lending                                -0.9
Commodities                                                                                                                              Distressed                                    -1.0
Oil & Products                                                                                                                           Equity Market Neutral                         -1.1
Agriculture                                                                                                                              Long/Short Equity                             -1.6
Metals                                                                                                            —
                                                                                                                                         Fixed Income                                  -1.7
US Natural Gas                                                                                                    —
                                                                                                                                         Life Securitization                           -2.8
Insurance-Linked Securities

Catastrophe Bonds                                                                                                 —

Private Transactions                                                                                                                     > +1                           Strongly Overweight
                                                                                                                                         +0.5 to +1                     Overweight
Life Securitization                                                                                               —
                                                                                                                                         -0.5 to +0.5                   Neutral
Retrocessional                                                                                                                           -1 to -0.5                     Underweight
Industry Loss Warranties                                                                                          —                      < -1                           Strongly Underweight

The K2 Investment Research & Management (IRM) Outlook Scores are the opinions of the K2 IRM group as of the date indicated and may not reflect the views of other groups within K2 or Franklin
Templeton. Scores are determined relative to other hedge fund strategies and do not represent an opinion regarding absolute expected future performance or risk of any strategy or substrategy.
Scores are determined by the K2 IRM group based on a variety of factors deemed relevant to the analyst(s) covering the strategy or substrategy and may change from time to time in K2’s sole
discretion. In certain sections of this presentation, outlook scores are rounded to the nearest whole number. These scores are only one of several factors that K2 uses in making investment
recommendations, which may vary based on a client’s specific investment objectives, risk tolerance and other considerations. Therefore, underweightings and overweightings as shown are meant to
indicate K2's view of relative attractiveness of hedge strategies and are not meant to indicate that a particular strategy or sub-strategy should be overweighted or underweighted, respectively, in any
given portfolio. This information contains a general discussion of certain strategies pursued by underlying hedge strategies, which may be allocated across several K2 strategies. This discussion is
not meant to represent a discussion of the overall performance of any K2 strategy. Specific performance information relating to K2 strategies is available from K2.

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8          Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook—Q1 2021
Glossary
Alpha                                                                       Retrocessional
A mathematical value indicating an investment's excess return relative to   A type of insurance contract that allows a re-insurer to transfer risks it has
a benchmark. Measures a manager's value added relative to a passive         re-insured to another re-insurer.
strategy, independent of the market movement.
                                                                            Z-score
Correlation                                                                 A Z-score is a numerical measurement used in statistics of a value’s
The degree of interaction between an investment’s return and that           relationship to the mean (average) of a group of values, measured in
of the comparison Index. The correlation coefficient, expressed as a        terms of standard deviations from the mean. If a Z-score is 0, it indicates
value between +1 and –1, indicates the strength and direction of the        that the data point's score is identical to the mean score.
linear relationship between the investment’s returns and the returns of
the index.

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                                                                                                 Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook—Q1 2021                    9
Notes

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10    Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook—Q1 2021
DISCLOSURE
The K2 Investment Research & Management (IRM) Outlook Scores are the opinions of the K2 IRM group as of the date indicated and
may not reflect the views of other groups within K2 or Franklin Templeton. Scores are determined relative to other hedge fund
strategies and do not represent an opinion regarding absolute expected future performance or risk of any strategy or substrategy.
Scores are determined by the K2 IRM group based on a variety of factors deemed relevant to the analyst(s) covering the strategy or
substrategy and may change from time to time in K2's sole discretion.
These scores are only one of several factors that K2 uses in making investment recommendations, which may vary based on a client's
specific investment objectives, risk tolerance and other considerations. Therefore, a positive or negative score may not indicate that a
particular strategy or substrategy should be overweighted or underweighted, respectively, in any given portfolio.
This information contains a general discussion of certain strategies pursued by underlying hedge strategies, which may be allocated
across several K2 strategies. This document is intended to be of general interest only and does not constitute legal or tax advice nor is
it an offer for shares or invitation to apply for shares of any of the funds employing K2 strategies. Nothing in this document should be
construed as investment advice. Specific performance information relating to K2 strategies is available from K2. This presentation
should not be reproduced without the written consent of K2.
Past performance is not an indicator or guarantee of future results.
Certain information contained in this document represents or is based upon forward-looking statements or information, including
descriptions of anticipated market changes and expectations of future activity. K2 believes that such statements and information are
based upon reasonable estimates and assumptions. However, forward-looking statements and information are inherently uncertain and
actual events or results may differ from those projected. Therefore, too much reliance should not be placed on such forward-looking
statements and information.
Professional care and diligence have been exercised in the collection of information in this document. However, data from third
party sources may have been used in its preparation and Franklin Templeton/K2 has not independently verified, validated or audited
such data.
Any research and analysis contained in this document has been procured by Franklin Templeton/K2 Investments for its own purposes
and is provided to you only incidentally. Franklin Templeton/K2 shall not be liable to any user of this document or to any other person or
entity for the inaccuracy of information or any errors or omissions in its contents, regardless of the cause of such inaccuracy, error
or omission.

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considered a complete investment program. Financial Derivative instruments are often used in alternative investment strategies and
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The identification of attractive investment opportunities is difficult and involves a significant degree of uncertainty. Returns generated
from Alternative Investments may not adequately compensate investors for the business and financial risks assumed. An investment in
Alternative Investments is subject to those market risks common to entities investing in all types of securities, including market volatility.
Also, certain trading techniques employed by Alternative Investments, such as leverage and hedging, may increase the adverse impact
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Depending on the structure of the product invested, Alternative Investments may not be required to provide investors with periodic
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asset-based compensation of investment funds in which these Alternative Investments invest.

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                                                                                             Hedge Fund Strategy Outlook—Q1 2021            11
IMPORTANT LEGAL INFORMATION
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or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any security or to adopt any investment strategy. It does not constitute legal or tax advice.
The views expressed are those of the investment manager and the comments, opinions and analyses are rendered as at publication date
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BEN/342-5236, franklintempleton.com—Franklin Templeton Distributors, Inc. is the principal distributor of Franklin Templeton U.S.
registered products, which are not FDIC insured; may lose value; and are not bank guaranteed and are available only in jurisdictions where
an offer or solicitation of such products is permitted under applicable laws and regulation.

Australia: Issued by Franklin Templeton Investments Australia Limited (ABN 87 006 972 247) (Australian Financial Services License Holder No. 225328), Level 19, 101 Collins Street,
Melbourne, Victoria, 3000 / Austria/Germany: Issued by Franklin Templeton Investment Services GmbH, Frankfurt, Mainzer Landstr. 16, 60325 Frankfurt/Main, Tel 08 00/0 73 80 01
(Germany), 08 00/29 59 11 (Austria), Fax +49(0)69/2 72 23-120, info@franklintempleton.de, info@franklintempleton.at / Canada: Issued by Franklin Templeton Investments Corp.,
200 King Street West, Suite 1500 Toronto, ON, M5H3T4, Fax (416) 364-1163, (800) 387-0830, www.franklintempleton.ca / Netherlands: Franklin Templeton International Services
S.à r.l., Dutch Branch, World Trade Center Amsterdam, H-Toren, 5e verdieping, Zuidplein 36, 1077 XV Amsterdam, Netherlands. Tel +31 (0) 20 575 2890 / United Arab Emirates:
Issued by Franklin Templeton Investments (ME) Limited, authorized and regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority. Dubai office: Franklin Templeton, The Gate, East Wing,
Level 2, Dubai International Financial Centre, P.O. Box 506613, Dubai, U.A.E., Tel +9714-4284100, Fax +9714-4284140 / France: Issued by Franklin Templeton International Services
S.à r.l., French branch. 20 rue de la Paix - 75002 Paris. Tél +33 (0)1 40 73 86 00, Fax: +33 (0)140 73 86 10 / Hong Kong: Issued by Franklin Templeton Investments (Asia) Limited,
17/F, Chater House, 8 Connaught Road Central, Hong Kong / Italy: Issued by Franklin Templeton International Services S.à.r.l.—Italian Branch, Corso Italia, 1, Milan, 20122,
Italy / Japan: Issued by Franklin Templeton Investments Japan Limited / Korea: Issued by Franklin Templeton Investment Trust Management Co., Ltd., 3rd fl., CCMM Building, 12
Youido-Dong, Youngdungpo-Gu, Seoul, Korea 150-968 / Luxembourg/Benelux: Issued by Franklin Templeton International Services S.à r.l.—Supervised by the Commission de
Surveillance du Secteur Financier–8A, rue Albert Borschette, L-1246 Luxembourg, Tel +352-46 66 67-1, Fax +352-46 66 76 / Malaysia: Issued by Franklin Templeton Asset Management
(Malaysia) Sdn. Bhd. & Franklin Templeton GSC Asset Management Sdn. Bhd / Poland: Issued by Templeton Asset Management (Poland) TFI S.A.; Rondo ONZ 1; 00-124 Warsaw /
Romania: Franklin Templeton International Services S.À R.L. Luxembourg, Bucharest Branch, at 78-80 Buzesti Str, Premium Point, 8th Floor, Bucharest 1, 011017, Romania.
Registered with Romania Financial Supervisory Authority under no. PJM07.1AFIASMDLUX0037/10 March 2016 and authorized and regulated in Luxembourg by Commission de
Surveillance du Secture Financiere. Telephone: + 40 21 200 9600 / Singapore: Issued by Templeton Asset Management Ltd. Registration No. (UEN) 199205211E. 7 Temasek
Boulevard, #38-03 Suntec Tower One, 038987, Singapore / Spain: Issued by Franklin Templeton International Services S.à r.l.—Spanish Branch, Professional of the Financial Sector
under the Supervision of CNMV, José Ortega y Gasset 29, Madrid, Spain. Tel +34 91 426 3600, Fax +34 91 577 1857 / South Africa: Issued by Franklin Templeton Investments SA
(PTY) Ltd which is an authorised Financial Services Provider. Tel +27 (21) 831 7400, Fax +27 (21) 831 7422 / Switzerland: Issued by Franklin Templeton Switzerland Ltd,
Stockerstrasse 38, CH-8002 Zurich / UK: Issued by Franklin Templeton Investment Management Limited (FTIML), registered office: Cannon Place, 78 Cannon Street, London EC4N
6HL, Tel +44 (0)20 7073 8500. Authorized and regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Conduct Authority / Nordic regions: Issued by Franklin Templeton International
Services S.à r.l., Contact details: Franklin Templeton International Services S.à r.l., Swedish Branch, filial, Nybrokajen 5, SE-111 48, Stockholm, Sweden. Tel +46 (0)8 545 012 30,
nordicinfo@franklintempleton.com, authorised in the Luxembourg by the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier to conduct certain financial activities in Denmark, in Sweden,
in Norway, in Iceland and in Finland. Franklin Templeton International Services S.à r.l., Swedish Branch, filial conducts activities under supervision of Finansinspektionen in Sweden /
Offshore Americas: In the U.S., this publication is made available only to financial intermediaries by Templeton/Franklin Investment Services, 100 Fountain Parkway, St. Petersburg,
Florida 33716. Tel (800) 239-3894 (USA Toll-Free), (877) 389-0076 (Canada Toll-Free), and Fax (727) 299-8736. Investments are not FDIC insured; may lose value; and are not bank
guaranteed. Distribution outside the U.S. may be made by Templeton Global Advisors Limited or other sub-distributors, intermediaries, dealers or professional investors that have been
engaged by Templeton Global Advisors Limited to distribute shares of Franklin Templeton funds in certain jurisdictions. This is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase
securities in any jurisdiction where it would be illegal to do so.
Please visit www.franklinresources.com to be directed to your local Franklin Templeton website.

For Institutional/Professional Investor and Consultant Use Only—Not for Use with Retail Investors.

© 2021 Franklin Templeton Investments. All rights reserved.                                                                                                               HFSOA_1Q21_0121
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