JANUARY 2020 - Harris Williams
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Energy, Power & Infrastructure (“EPI”) group Vertical Focus Areas Luke Semple • 16 professionals based in Richmond, VA • Energy Management • Oilfield Services Managing Director • Renewables and • Engineering and • 15+ closed transactions in the last 24 months lsemple@harriswilliams.com Distributed Energy Construction Office: (804) 915-0158 • Industrial and • Environmental Services Infrastructure Services • TIC & Integrity Services • Outsourced Utility Services Drew Spitzer Managing Director Energy Management aspitzer@harriswilliams.com • ESCOs • Demand Response/Smart Office: (804) 915-0174 Energy, Power • Utility Program Management Grid & Infrastructure • Building Optimization • Billing & Workforce 2017 • Energy Management Management Systems • Distribution Automation • LED and Smart Lighting • Microgrids/Asset Systems Management • Energy Storage • EV Charging • Electric Submeters Select Energy Management Transactions Leading provider of Provider of demand Provider of integrated Develops and markets Provider of integrated demand-side response capabilities, software, data and transportation analysis cloud-based demand management (“DSM”) energy efficiency analytics solutions to software for improving response, energy solutions to utility projects and distributed the global energy traffic flow efficiency and has been clients has been generation assets to has been market including has been has been customer engagement acquired by acquired by identify, optimize and acquired by financial services, acquired by acquired by solutions for utility monetize across capital markets, and customers distributed energy trading and risk assets professionals Leading implementer Leading independent Leading cloud-based Leading provider of Leading designer of and administrator of ESCO serving the provider of energy energy efficiency and smart submeter energy efficiency federal, MUSH, and services management renewable energy systems and integrated programs commercial and has received a software and services in the energy intelligence has been has been has been has been industrial end markets minority behavioral energy Southwestern U.S. software acquired by acquired by acquired by acquired by investment from efficiency solutions 1
The ongoing shift towards more sustainable energy represents a more than $4 trillion opportunity over the next several decades. Energy service companies (ESCOs) are on the leading edge of this shift, helping a wide range of organizations boost efficiency and cut energy costs. Understanding the Introduction to the sector ESCO landscape Key characteristics and drivers of value Current market landscape Where are we today? Historical strategic and private equity investment in the sector Focus areas for strategic players Where are we headed? Private market participants Key considerations ESCO landscape scorecard for investors Key considerations for investors 2
Our goal is to provide an overview of the North American ESCO landscape and framework for investment opportunities in the context of the ongoing energy transition. Purpose Provide an overview of the North American ESCO market Explore trends and areas of focus in the M&A market Provide a framework for exploring investment opportunities in the sector Scope For the purposes of this discussion, we have focused exclusively on the North American market 3
An ESCO is a professional services business providing a broad range of comprehensive energy efficient solutions, including design and implementation of energy savings projects, energy infrastructure outsourcing, power generation and energy supply, including the design and installation of DERs, and risk management. ESCOs perform in-depth analyses of physical properties, design energy efficient solutions, install proper elements and maintain the systems to ensure energy savings. The savings in energy costs are often used to pay back the capital invested in the project over a five- to 20-year period, or reinvested into the building to allow for capital upgrades that may otherwise be unfeasible. These energy efficiency projects are executed through a variety of financing structures (as outlined on page 8 herein). ESCOs Provide Customers with a Compelling Value Proposition The Problem The ESCO Solution Municipal Schools Hospitals Universities C&I Municipal Schools Hospitals Universities C&I Aging plant and equipment Upgrade and replacement of existing plant/equipment Rising electricity costs Lower energy costs Sustainability initiatives No or limited up-front capital investment Rising Electricity Prices1 Increased resiliency (cents per kilowatt-hour) Enhanced occupant satisfaction, health and safety $0.18 $0.16 Analysis Concept Implementation Service Renewal $0.14 Collection of data Design of the Execution of the Inspection, End of the contract and evaluation of measures and various measures maintenance, repair period $0.12 savings potential definition of the and verification of and ensuring of baseline savings savings $0.10 $0.08 $0.06 Direct benefit 25%+ $0.04 Service Direct benefit Current energy costs Commitment 2018 2020E 2022E 2024E 2026E 2028E 2030E Reduced energy costs Residential Commercial Industrial 1.) U.S. Energy Information Administration 4
Historically, ESCOs have primarily concentrated on projects for municipalities, universities, schools and hospitals (the “MUSH” market) and the federal government. Increased adoption of energy efficiency measures and DERs by commercial and industrial (C&I) represent a significant market opportunity for ESCOs in the years ahead. ESCO Industry Market Segments Overview of Market Segments (% of investment $) Federal projects typically have many facilities 100% Federal and are comprehensive retrofits Public policies have enhanced and State/Local influenced the increased development of 75% ESCO projects at the state and local levels K-12 schools have started to install capital- K-12 intensive, low-energy savings measures to address maintenance backlogs 50% Universities have the highest median project Universities investment levels of any market with a median project investment level of ~$7M 25% Major HVAC retrofits account for over 50% of Healthcare project investment on healthcare facilities 0% 2008 2011 2014 2017 Underserved market that is seeing rising Federal 1 State/Local K-12 Universities Healthcare C&I C&I energy costs and new technologies improving economics of energy efficiency 1.) Federal includes housing/other in 2008, 2011, 2014. 5 Source: LBNL, U.S. Energy Service Company Industry: Recent Market Trends (2016), State of the U.S. ESCO Industry (2019)
ESCOs typically provide a broad scope of services for end users and, in recent years, projects have increased in scope and complexity. For purposes of classification, Lawrence Berkeley National Labs classifies projects into Dominant Retrofit Strategies (DRS), which are summarized below. Primary ESCO Services1 Dominant Retrofit Strategy (DRS) Representative Examples Installation of on-site generation, including solar, natural gas generation, backup generation systems and biomass DERs gasifiers Installation of energy storage assets Facility Management Continuous commissioning, monitoring and preventive maintenance Installation, upgrade and replacement of lighting control systems Lighting-Only Lighting retrofits Major HVAC Major replacement of HVAC equipment, such as boilers, chillers and cooling towers Minor HVAC Modifications and upgrades to existing equipment Repair and replacement of pump systems Motors and Drives Repair and replacement of variable speed drives and electric motors Non-Energy Non-energy facility improvements such as roof replacements and environmental abatements System Integration Coordinating the planning and operation of energy systems across multiple pathways and/or geographical scales Installation of water conservation measures, including low-flow showers, faucets and toilets Water Conservation Installation of meters and leak detection equipment Other Installation of other high-efficiency equipment 1.) Source: LBNL, State of the U.S. ESCO Industry (2017) 6
Over the last several decades, the ESCO industry has generated significant energy savings across the economy through the installation and maintenance of energy efficiency equipment. U.S. ESCO annual industry revenues increased from approximately $2 billion in 2000 to nearly $8 billion in 2017. As the market has evolved, ESCOs have emerged as key players in the installation of not only energy efficiency initiatives, but also on-site renewables, storage and other distributed energy infrastructure. Addressable Market1 Key Growth Drivers ($ in billions) • There are a number of large, vertically integrated ESCOs that both develop and deploy emerging technologies that Deployment of $168 can increase the market potential beyond what was New Technologies originally estimated based on efficiency technologies that MUSH were commercially available during the last 5-10 years $104 • Building owners and operators may opt for additional Subsequent Retrofits retrofits in a facility that has implemented an ESCO project $85 in Existing Facilities to capture benefits of additional measures C&I $37 • It has been reported that public facilities, which are often Project Savings Due targeted by ESCOs, have a significant backlog of deferred to O&M Savings maintenance. For example, U.S. K-12 schools have a total ~$150 to ~$300 billion in maintenance backlog of ~$250 billion $12 remaining market opportunity Federal $6 Increased Number of • All 50 states have enacted legislation that enables various ESCO Industry types of institutional facilities in a state to engage in ESPC $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 “Champions” Upside Case Base Case 1.) Reflects the midpoint of the Base Case and Unfettered Case, respectively. 7 Source: LBNL, Updated Estimates of the Remaining Market Potential of the U.S. ESCO Industry (2017)
In addition to funding through traditional secured and unsecured lease and loan structures, the energy efficiency market utilizes specialized financing products designed to reduce up-front capital investments and encourage greater adoption of energy efficiency measures. Representative Financing Sources Type Description Energy Service Agreements are agreements between a customer and the ESA provider that provides financing for the project and Energy Service Agreement (ESA) delivers energy savings (i.e., megawatt hours) at a negotiated price (less than retail rates for energy services). Under an Energy Savings Performance Contract (ESPC), an energy service company (ESCO) coordinates installation and Energy Savings Performance Contract maintenance of efficiency equipment in a customer’s facilities and is paid from the associated energy savings. The ESCO typically provides a savings guarantee. Commercial PACE (CPACE) Commercial property-assessed clean energy (CPACE) is a financing structure in which building owners borrow money for energy efficiency, renewable energy or other projects and make repayments via an assessment on their property tax bill. The financing Financing arrangement then remains with the property even if it is sold, facilitating long-term investments in building performance. On-Bill Financing/Repayment On-bill financing (OBF) and repayment (OBR) are financing options in which a utility or private lender supplies capital to a customer to fund energy efficiency, renewable energy or other generation projects and is repaid through regular payments on an existing utility (OBF/OBR) bill. A Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) is an arrangement in which a third-party developer installs, owns and operates an energy system Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) on a customer’s property. The customer then purchases the system’s electric output for a predetermined period. A PPA allows the customer to receive stable and often low-cost electricity with no up-front cost. Efficiency-as-a-service is a pay-for-performance, off-balance-sheet financing solution that allows customers to implement energy and Efficiency-as-a-Service (EaaS) water efficiency projects with no up-front capital expenditure. The provider pays for project development, construction and maintenance costs. Customers can borrow money directly from banks or other lenders to pay for energy efficiency, renewable energy and other Loan or Debt Financing generation projects. The customer must then arrange the purchase, installation and management of equipment by a third-party contractor or in-house staff. A lease is a simple financing structure that allows a customer to use energy efficiency, renewable energy or other generation Lease Financing equipment without purchasing it outright. The two most common types are on-balance-sheet capital leases and off-balance-sheet operating leases. Internal funding refers to the use of an organization’s existing financial resources to pay for energy efficiency, renewable energy or Internal Funding other generation projects, rather than seeking external financing. This is often the most simple and direct method for funding projects. 8
Innovative EaaS solutions have emerged as an attractive model to further expand the market for energy efficiency services. In EaaS contracts, the service provider maintains ownership of the installed assets and the customer pays for the services provided by the assets. The EaaS Model1 Case Study: The Ohio State University2 OSU at a Glance: Energy Profile Designs project, installs Pays monthly, quarterly or annual service charge for realized equipment, provides 3 750k $115M 110 2.9M maintenance and High-Voltage MWH of Annual MW Peak mmBTUs of energy savings Substations Electricity Spending Demand Steam monitoring service Situation at a Glance Contractor Ohio State entered into a $1.165 billion public-private partnership that will establish Customer the university as an international leader in sustainability while generating new Energy Services Company Commercial Building Owner resources to advance teaching, learning and research (ESCO) ENGIE North America and Axium Infrastructure, which are world leaders in energy services and sustainability, created Ohio State Energy Partners to serve the university How It Works Energy Service Energy Service Agreement On behalf of Ohio State Energy Partners, ENGIE Services operates the systems Performance (ESA) that power, heat and cool the Columbus campus and will install energy Vendor Contract (ESPC) conservation measures to meet the university’s sustainability goal for energy Energy-as-a-Service (EaaS) Provider What Ohio State Gets In return for a 50-year lease, Ohio State Energy Partners paid Ohio State $1.015 billion up-front and will pay an additional $150 million in direct academic collaboration support. In addition, the consortium will put up the capital funds for The EaaS model shifts the burden of financing, owning, installing and install energy conservation measures and other energy infrastructure and managing the performance of an energy asset from the improvements customer to the service provider What Ohio State Pays Ohio State pays Ohio State Energy Partners an annual utility fee that includes three elements: an operating fee to cover costs (starting at $9.2 million based on a three- year average of university costs), a fixed fee that starts at $45 million and grows 1.5 percent a year, and a financial return for any capital investments it funds at the university 1.) Source: American Council for an Energy-Efficiency Economy, Energy-as-a-Service 9 2.) Source: The Ohio State University, Comprehensive Energy Management Opportunity
The ESCO market remains fragmented with market participants ranging from sector-focused players to larger, diversified players from a variety of markets, including industrial technology, utilities, engineering and construction, international energy services, building and facility services, renewables and professional services. ESCO Market Participant Taxonomy Building and Engineering & Energy Efficiency Facility Services Construction Industrial Technology Lighting International Professional Services Renewables Utility Energy Services 10
ESCOs and adjacencies have a long history of M&A activity. Acquirers 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Ennovate Corporation Quantum Engineering Targets 11
Strategic Energy Management Investments since 2017 Acquirers 2017 2018 2019 E-Mobility Energy E-Mobility Demand Infrastructure Software Distributed E-Mobility Smart EV Charging Demand Energy Distributed Smart Efficiency Response Solutions Consulting Energy Buildings Response Storage Energy Buildings Energy Demand Demand E-Mobility Residential Data Smart Energy Energy Demand Energy Smart Data EV Charging Energy Storage Response Response Retailer Analytics Buildings Services Efficiency Response Storage Buildings Analytics Efficiency Targets 12
The ESCO remains fragmented with a range of private participants, including regional and local players as well as private equity-backed platforms. Select Private ESCO Market Participants Company Ownership Headquarters Bernhard Capital Partners Baton Rouge, LA Bernhard Energy Solutions Kleiner Perkins Dallas, TX Cenergistic Privately Held Fayetteville, AR Clear Energy Privately Held Fort Washington, PA CM3 Building Solutions Privately Held Prospect, KY CMTA Energy Solutions Privately Held Overland Park, KS Energy Solutions Professionals DFW Capital Partners Gambrills, MD Envocore Privately Held Dallas, TX Metco Engineering Oaktree Power Opportunities Minneapolis, MN SitelogIQ Privately Held Tonawanda, NY Stark Tech Group Bow River Capital Phoenix, AZ Veregy 13
Addressable Key Market Segments Market Drivers Market Outlook Market MUSH1 Aging building stock Operational improvements Technology advancement $104B+ Regulations/legislation Financing advantages Critical market segment Commercial & Industrial Improving indoor environment, security and comfort Corporate sustainability and environmental priorities $37B+ Increasing tenant occupancy and property values Economics and shortening payback periods Underserved relative to the opportunity Federal Resiliency needs and security Transition toward distributed energy resources and privatization Regulations and federal mandates $6B+ Dynamic DOD/DOE initiatives Offers counter-cyclical and Deferred maintenance technologically advanced diversification 1.) Municipalities, universities, schools and hospitals 14
What Should Investors Be Looking For? Comprehensive Controls Facilities Demand Measurement Project finance Engineering energy efficiency DER capabilities integration management management and verification solutions expertise offering capabilities capabilities Demonstrated Proven track ability to attach Business Depth of Sales pipeline Proven project Technology End market record of organic to the customer analytics and customer development and execution leadership diversity and inorganic at multiple reporting relationships conversion growth offerings 15
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