Investor Update April 2021 - Kāinga Ora
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CONTENTS SECTION 01 SECTION 02 Construction Overview and urban development SECTION 03 Financing and financials 2
New Zealand’s largest residential landlord and developer We own or manage 189,000+ 5,180 People live in our houses Families placed into homes 66,253 Which is 4% of New Zealand’s 5.0m population last financial year Properties Over 98% Occupancy rate Value of group assets $30.8 billion 4
COVID-19: heading in, and the recovery COVID-19 - lessons learned • Stable and secure rents and income - over 90% of income directly or indirectly from the Crown Customer welfare • $871 million of cash and financial assets available to the Improvements to business - as at 31 March 2021 customer programme on • Construction work quickly recommenced - following one welfare calls and month of a stringent national lockdown in April 2020 check ins Supporting the • Tenant debt largely unchanged - lower risk given most sector tenants receive a benefit ($9 million of $1,465 million total annual revenue) Immediate payment terms for • Continue to work closely with our stakeholders - making all build partners sure contingencies are in place should infections escalate and suppliers as • Supporting the sector as a key economic driver - more BAU than 100 build partners and contractors supporting the national recovery from the impacts of COVID-19 5
Kāinga Ora – established October 2019 The creation of Kāinga Ora brings a more cohesive, joined-up approach to supporting the Government’s priorities for housing and urban development. Kāinga Ora supports people across New Zealand to have good quality, affordable homes, and live in strong, healthy communities. Two key roles Being a world-class public housing landlord Partnering to lead and facilitate urban development projects of all sizes 6
Kāinga Ora On 1 October 2019 the people, capabilities and resources of Housing New Zealand Corporation, KiwiBuild and HLC (a subsidiary of Housing New Zealand) came together as Kāinga Ora – Homes and Communities. Past Present Crown Crown (controlling entity) (controlling entity) Housing New Zealand Corporation Kāinga Ora (incorporating HNZC, HLC and KiwiBuild) KiwiBuild Housing Housing (A department of the HLC (2017) Ministry of Housing Housing New Zealand Housing New Zealand New Zealand New Zealand Ltd and Urban Limited Build Ltd Limited Build Ltd Development - Planning) 7
Our outcomes • Public housing customers - Our public housing customers live well in their homes with dignity, stability, and the greatest degree of independence possible • Māori interest - Partnering with Māori ensures Māori interests are protected and their needs and aspirations are met and allows Kāinga Ora to fulfil its obligations in respect of Te Tiriti o Waitangi • Housing access - We provide good quality, affordable housing choices that meet diverse needs • Communities - We create sustainable, inclusive and thriving communities: supporting good access to jobs, amenities and services • Environment - Environmental wellbeing is enhanced and preserved for future generations • System transformation - System transformation is catalysed and delivered 8
Overview of funding and financing Ministry of Social Minister of Housing Development Minister of Finance Budget appropriations Governance NZD $500 million Independent Crown loans Board Housing NZ Build Ltd. ~68% of rent (income-related rent subsidy) ~22% of rent (benefits, pensions, deducted at source) NZD $1,500 million ~10% (other income) Bonds, Commercial Paper Tenant Capital Markets Source: Moody’s Investors Service 9
Sustainability Financing Framework includes focus on Wellbeing C B Wellbeing UN Sustainable Development Human capital Goals A B • Social connections • Knowledge and skills NZ Living • Time use Standards Framework Social capital A • Cultural identity • Civic engagement and ICMA principles governance and guidelines • Jobs and earnings Financial/Physical capital C • Housing • Income and Kāinga Ora consumption • Subjective wellbeing Sustainability Financing Natural capital Framework • Environment • Health • Safety 10
Impact attributed to Wellbeing Bonds In FY20 we raised $2,321 million, allocated as follows: Eligible projects ICMA (Social / Green) • Social housing for people in the greatest need • Retrofit existing social housing • Modifications / accessibility • Transitional housing Natural capital • Green buildings minimum 6 homestar rating • Reduction in waste from construction activities • Reduced rate of Financial embodied emissions and Physical capital • Supporting top 5% of most at risk tenants with high and complex needs *programme start 1-Jul-19 11
Credit ratings of Kāinga Ora and HNZL equalized with New Zealand Sovereign Agency Domestic currency Foreign currency Last updated Aaa (stable) Aaa (stable) 04 February 2021 AAA (stable) AA+ (stable) 22 February 2021 Note, there is no explicit government guarantee “Because of its public policy mandate, Kāinga Ora's “We believe HNZL will continue business as usual as a core and HNZL's key role in the New Zealand social subsidiary of Kāinga Ora. We also believe there is an housing sector and government oversight, there almost certain likelihood the New Zealand government is no meaningful distinction between Kāinga Ora, would provide it with extraordinary support in a stress HNZL and the Crown from a credit perspective.” scenario, if needed.” Moody’s, February 2021 S&P Global Ratings, February 2021 12
SECTION 02 Construction and urban development Photo: 135 Britomart Street, Berhampore, Wellington 13
Build programme overview • The Government announced plans to deliver an additional 8,000 new homes as part of May 2020 Budget, Forecast build programmes made up of 6,000 state houses and 2,000 transitional houses • The 2,000 transitional houses are targeted for delivery over the next two years, with the 6,000 new state houses targeted in the following two years • Kāinga Ora will be responsible for around 70% of these new houses • The Government announced in March 2021, Kāinga Ora’s borrowing would increase by $2 billion to enable land acquisitions (over 10-year period) • We plan to update the market on our financing requirements around the time of the Government Budget (20 May 2021) • The Borrowing Protocol limit is expected to increase to accommodate the additional build 14
Build programme and capital expenditure has increased in recent years Newly constructed public and supported homes Gross capital expenditure • Around 600 homes moved from 2020 to 2021 year • Significant pre-financing for 2021 has already occurred as a result of disruptions from COVID-19 15
The largest build programme in decades has three key drivers Growth in our public housing Requirement for more affordable Significant renewal and register housing realignment requirement • Public housing register has quadrupled • New Zealand housing is among the • Average age of houses is around in the past four years most unaffordable in the world 45 years – many are cold and damp • Majority of growth in Priority A • House price to incomes remain very • Over 45,000 homes are due for category (most at risk) high, particularly in Auckland renewal in the next 20 years Source: Kāinga Ora Source: Interest.co.nz Source: Kāinga Ora 16
Using scale and innovation to deliver new housing at lower cost Leveraging the build programme to lower costs • Scaled-up procurement practices • Supplier panels • Standardised designs to speed up consent process • Multi-year Construction Partnering Agreements – providing certainty to innovate and scale up Innovation and new construction methods • Offsite manufacturing • Use of cross-laminated timber • All new builds now have minimum 6 Homestar certification (except apartments), apartments from 1 January 2021 • Bathroom pods with accessibility modifications • New Building Consent Authority: Consentium 17
Urban development Leading the largest urban regeneration ever undertaken in New Zealand, by creating sustainable, inclusive and thriving communities that will transform suburbs by: Evaluating new land opportunities to Reviewing existing deliver large scale concentrated projects landholdings for opportunities Working in partnership with others (Councils, private developers, Iwi) to enable quality urban development 18
SECTION 03 Financing and financials Photo: Universal Drive, Henderson, Auckland 19
Our debt programmes Bonds Bills Notes offered are: • $1.5 billion programme limit • Unsecured & unsubordinated • Regular fortnightly tenders of $25 million • Repo-eligible with the RBNZ (3-month paper) • Approved Issuer Levy paid by HNZL • Private placements as required 20
New debt sourced from the market, legacy Crown loans rolled over Crown loans • Legacy loans of around $2.0 billion HNZL bonds on issue • Annual appropriation allows for refinancing Market debt • $7.1 billon of debt can be sourced from the market under Kāinga Ora’s Borrowing Protocol – expected to increase over time • Annual programme around $2.0 billion, subject to Government decisions • Total market debt on issue $4.65 billion: $4,200 million nominal bonds $300 million inflation-indexed bonds $150 million bills 21
Market conditions HNZL yield to maturity HNZL spread to NZGB (interpolated) HNZL Yield to Maturity HNZL spread to NZG 4.00 1.20 2023 2025 2026 2023 2025 2026 2028 2030 2035 2028 2030 2035 3.50 1.00 3.00 0.80 2.50 2.00 0.60 1.50 0.40 1.00 0.20 0.50 0.00 0.00 22
Bond tender programme Overview FY2020/21 • Monthly bond tender operated through Bond tender schedule to 30 June 2021 the Yieldbroker Auction System, to Announcement Tender Settlement Volume Coverage complement the use of syndicated issues 30-Nov-20 02-Dec-20 07-Dec-20 100 4.3 x • Expected to account for around half of annual issuance on an ongoing basis 18-Jan-21 20-Jan-21 26-Jan-21 100 4.9 x 15-Feb-21 17-Feb-21 22-Feb-21 100 3.0 x • Volumes up to aggregate $100 million per tender 29-Mar-21 31-Mar-21 07-Apr-21 100 3.0 x • Up to three bonds offered, existing 23-Apr-21 28-Apr-21 03-May-21 100 maturities only 17-May-21 19-May-21 24-May-21 100 • No reallocations across maturities if 21-Jun-21 23-Jun-21 28-Jun-21 100 undersubscribed Tender announcement and results published via Bloomberg landing page 23
Diversifying our investor base • Primary issues supported by both Bank and Fund • Offshore (non-resident) holdings on average Manager accounts represent ~10% of total bonds outstanding • Non-bank holdings from 34% (2019) to 54% • Noticeable offshore investor enquiry Bank / Non-bank holdings of HNZL bonds Domestic / Offshore holdings of HNZL bonds 24
Demonstrating strong ability to service financing requirements 90% of revenue from Crown 2020 2019 2020 2019 $m % Total $m % Total $m % Total Repairs and maintenance 359 24% 366 27% Rental revenue - income-related rent Depreciation and amortisation 301 20% 287 21% subsidy (IRRS) 959 59% 880 61% Rental revenue - tenants receiving Personnel 176 12% 152 11% IRRS 386 24% 368 25% Rates 171 11% 160 12% Crown appropriation revenue 103 6% 102 7% Interest expenses 135 9% 106 8% Other 166 11% 101 7% Grants 78 5% 84 6% Total 1,614 100% 1,451 100% Third-party rental leases 67 4% 64 5% Other expenses 206 14% 133 10% Total 1,493 100% 1,352 100% 25
Strong, stable and consistent financial performance Year ended (NZ$m) Jun-20 Jun-19 Jun-18 As at (NZ$m) Jun-20 Jun-19 Jun-18 Revenue 1,614 1,464 1,338 Total assets 32,934 28,996 27,490 Expenses 1,078 973 854 Total liabilities 8,964 6,072 5,171 Total equity 23,970 22,924 22,319 EBITDA 536 491 484 Total debt 6,439 3,536 2,653 Depreciation and amortisation 301 287 259 EBIT 235 204 225 Net Interest expense 114 92 72 Tax 32 (24) 49 Gains/(losses) (147) (76) (28) As at (NZ$m) Jun-20 Jun-19 Jun-18 Net profit after tax (58) 60 76 Liabilities / Assets 27.2% 20.9% 18.8% Debt / Assets 19.6% 12.2% 9.7% Debt / EBITDA 12.0 7.2 5.5 EBITDA / net interest expense 4.7 5.3 6.7 Year ended (NZ$m) Jun-20 Jun-19 Jun-18 Operating cash flow 184 294 360 Investing cash flow (2,968) (1,404) (590) Retain strong Financing cash flow 2,909 883 697 standalone credit metrics on gearing & serviceability 26
Strong and stable credit Largest Critical Domestic currency credit ratings residential property owner and developer in New To the delivery of Government’s urban development AAA / Aaa Zealand programmes 90% of income received from the Crown Conservative Treasury policies 27
Investor relations Direct contacts News, credit ratings, borrowing programmes, Matthew Needham Sustainability Financing Framework, and more Chief Financial Officer Matthew.Needham@kaingaora.govt.nz https://kaingaora.govt.nz/investor-centre Jason Bligh Treasurer (Acting) Jason.Bligh@kaingaora.govt.nz Nicki Reeves Liquidity and Investor Relations Manager Nicki.Reeves@kaingaora.govt.nz 28
QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS Photo: Frankmoore Avenue, Johnsonville, Wellington 29
DISCLAIMER This presentation has been prepared by Housing New forward-looking statements and they should not be its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the Zealand Limited (HNZL). This presentation does not regarded as a representation or warranty by HNZL, the offer of Securities; (b) authorised or caused the issue of, constitute or form part of, and should not be construed directors of HNZL or any other person that those forward- or made any statement in, any part of this presentation; as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to looking statements will be achieved or that the and (c) make any representation, recommendation or buy or acquire any securities (Securities) of HNZL or any assumptions underlying the forwarding-looking warranty, express or implied regarding the origin, validity, of its subsidiaries or affiliates in any jurisdiction or an statements will in fact be correct. It is likely that actual accuracy, adequacy, reasonableness or completeness of, inducement to enter into investment activity. results will vary from those contemplated by these or any errors or omissions in, any information, statement forward-looking statements and such variations may be or opinion contained in this presentation and accept no The information in this presentation is in summary form material. liability (except to the extent such liability is found by a and must be considered in conjunction with and subject court to arise under the Financial Markets Conduct Act to publicly available information of HNZL. It is of a general The information in this document is given in good faith 2013 or cannot be disclaimed as a matter of law). nature and does not constitute financial product advice, and has been obtained from sources believed to be investment advice or any recommendation by HNZL or reliable and accurate at the date of preparation, but its A credit rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or any other person to subscribe for, or purchase, any accuracy, correctness and completeness cannot be hold any Securities and may be subject to suspension, Securities. Nothing in this presentation constitutes legal, guaranteed. HNZL makes no representation or warranty change or withdrawal at any time by the assigning rating financial, tax or other advice. as to the accuracy or completeness of the information in agency. this presentation and does not undertake to update it. The information in this presentation does not take into By attending this presentation or otherwise accessing this account the particular investment objectives, financial HNZL has not prepared or registered an investment document, you agree to be bound by the terms and situation, taxation position or needs of any person. You statement, prospectus, product disclosure statement or restrictions set out above. should not rely on this presentation in relation to any other regulated offer document in relation to any offer of No person may offer or sell Securities, or distribute or investment assessment. You should conduct your own Securities. No action has been taken or is proposed to be publish any offering material or advertisement in relation research on HNZL and analysis of its financial condition, taken by HNZL to register any Securities under the laws to any offer of Securities, to any person in New Zealand assets and liabilities, financial position and performance, of any jurisdiction (including New Zealand) for which such other than to wholesale investors within the meaning of profits and losses, prospects and business affairs of registration is required or otherwise to enable the clause 3(2)(a), (c) or (d) of Schedule 1 to the Financial HNZL, and the contents of this presentation. Securities to be offered to the public or under a regulated Markets Conduct Act 2013. offer. This presentation may not be distributed or This presentation contains certain forward-looking published in or from any jurisdiction except under statements with respect to HNZL. All of these forward- circumstances that will result in compliance with all looking statements are based on estimates, projections applicable laws of any such jurisdiction. and assumptions made by HNZL about circumstances and events that have not yet occurred. Although HNZL No Arranger or Lead Manager for any offer of Securities believes these estimates, projections and assumptions to nor any of their respective directors, officers, employees be reasonable, they are inherently uncertain. Therefore, and agents: (a) accept any responsibility or liability reliance should not be placed upon these estimates or whatsoever for any loss arising from this presentation or 30
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