Investor presentation - MarketScreener.com
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Notice This document contains forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the current views, expectations, assumptions and information of the management, and are based on information currently available to the management. Forward-looking statements shall not be construed as a promise for the materialisation of future results and developments and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those described in such statements due to, among other things, changes in the general economic and competitive environment, risks associated with capital markets, currency exchange rate fluctuations, changes in international and national laws and regulations, in particular with respect to tax laws and regulations, affecting the Company, and other factors. Neither the Company nor any of its affiliates assumes any obligations to update any forward- looking statements.
We are delivering on our IPO promises IPO promises Achievements since IPO 1 Unique European asset base 1 Clean play, no legacy liabilities, truly independent Focus on 2 2016 financial guidance achieved, Key Stable 2017 guidance confirmed 5 value investment business 2 creation highlights 3 2016 leverage factor of 3.7, Fitch Rating of BBB+, Moody‘s rating of Baa2, first innogy bond issued Platform Resilient for financial 4 ~100 MW renewable capacity added in 2016, growth profile >130 MW expected in 2017 - Belectric acquisition 4 3 5 Dividend of €1.60 (~80% payout ratio) for fiscal 2016 innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 2
Unique asset mix and diversified European footprint Leading positions across countries in Europe ... … with a distinct asset profile 3.7 GW ✓ Focus on Europe – renewable capacity1 anchored in Germany 574,000 km ✓ Largely CO2 free grid length2 ✓ Limited exposure to commodity prices 5x #1 positions3 ✓ No nuclear liabilities Market presence ✓ Enabler of energy transition Renewables Grid & Infrastructure Retail Strategic partnership Source: Group data as well as company estimates based on competitor publications, regulatory reports and analyst reports. 1 Capacity in the Renewables division as of 31 December 2016. Includes 0.4 GW of renewable generation capacity in the Grid & Infrastructure and Retail divisions. 2 Positions in the Grid & Infrastructure division are based on distributed volumes in 2015. 3 Market positions based on volumes sold; for Belgium, Poland and the Czech Republic, based on customer numbers and for the Netherlands, based on market research – all based on the latest information available as of 31 December 2016. innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 3
Our key priorities and long-term growth fields Renewables Grid & Infrastructure Retail Deliver robust results and Operational excellence & Execute construction optimise capex/opex growth in Energy+ pipeline and leverage strategy within regulatory value in core markets frameworks Deliver UK turnaround KEY PRIORITIES Scalable capex allocation to most value-accretive projects across segments Leverage our excellent Foster growth Enter new markets and operational infrastructure in electric vehicle new technologies FUTURE skills and relationships infrastructure solutions GROWTH Innovation innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 4
Key priorities Renewables – leverage value in core markets Capacity ramp-up1 Short-term growth drivers MW, pro-rata Operational excellence – 3,530 3,557 3,660 3,660 Operations 3,356 reduce costs, increase yield 3,220 Complete Galloper 2017-19: ~440 MW addition expected and Nordsee One Execute onshore Construction hitting scheduling, construction pipeline budget and quality targets Offshore Take FID for Further auctions: onshore 2016 2017 2018 2019 Secured Total growth Triton Knoll projects with remu- Development opport- and Kaskasi secured Under construction unities/ neration (2nd round in remuneration pipeline 2018) of ~100 MW Onshore Offshore Hydro Solar/other 1 As of March 2017. Excluding any growth potential in new technologies/markets. Ramp-up only includes Renewables division. innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 5
Key priorities G&I – deliver robust results and optimise capex/opex strategy within regulatory frameworks Key pillars of value creation for core Regulatory frameworks are mostly confirmed, providing stability business Hungary Germany Allowed revenues agreed for new Operational excellence Important parameters set for regulatory period from 2017. new regulatory periods from 2018/2019. In total, positive outcome of cost review. Clarity on outstanding items expected in 2017/2018. Poland Regulatory management Czech Republic Our DSO in Warsaw gains ‘best in class’ recognition. Most parameters for gas distribution stable. Slovakia Regulatory council took over regulatory office in Aug 2017. Regulatory environment for 2017 Capex/opex strategy with no major changes. innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 6
Key priorities Retail – operational excellence and growth in Energy+ Defending our excellent position in B2C and staying competitive in B2B B2C B2B Digital customer journey Churn prevention Operational end-to-end excellence Cost excellence Improve Cost excellence customer satisfaction Accelerate growth in Energy+ to support retention and create viable stand-alone products B2C B2B Target 2018 Diversification of existing business Growth in (stand-alone Energy+) Build up the Energy+ business by pushing Energy+ ~€100m1 existing and launching Build customer loyalty and support retention new offerings (commodity-linked Energy+) innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 1 Adjusted EBIT (B2B+B2C). 7
Key priorities Retail UK – around £200m of cost savings will be delivered by year-end 2018 npower opex savings (cumulative, on annual cost base) Key messages Realised so far Planned delivery The Recovery Programme is Further £80m will delivering results according to be delivered by £m Dec 18: plan: ~£120m by June 2017 year-end 2018 250 ~200 200 Dec 17: These savings primarily offset additional ~150 opex arising from regulatory costs 150 Jun 17: (incl. smart meters) ~120 100 We are examining further efficiency opportunities in excess of the envisaged £200m cost savings within 50 Mar 16: ~20 the context of a sustainable operating model and to reach our goal of a market-average cost base 0 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17 Jul 17 Jan 18 Jul 18 innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 8
Future growth Renewables – enter new markets and new technologies Onshore wind Offshore wind Solar • Build on core capabilities to • Expand business beyond core • Setup utility-scale business MID-TERM foster growth markets as opportunities arise – • Integrate Belectric and leverage STRATEGY • Successfully enter new markets also outside of Europe business capabilities in EPC and • Target role of lead developer O&M and operator • US office opened and support for • In-depth discussions with • Successful closing of Belectric onshore secured potential partners for promising transaction in Jan 2017 SHORT-TERM 1 (PTC /’safe harbour investment’) growth projects • Multiple opportunities under ACTIONS TAKEN • Successful market entry in Ireland review – mainly in Europe and (Dromadda Beg, 10MW) North America • Brownfield project development in • Successful acquisition of project progress rights ~1 GW2 in Canada 1 Production tax credit. 2 Anticipated full project capacity. innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 9
Future growth G&I – leverage our excellent operational infrastructure skills and relationships Growth through broadband investments by capitalising on operational synergies. Supported by partnership between innogy and Deutsche Telekom. Additional upscale opportunity of retail offerings. Push the development of non-regulated services. Bolt-on M&A in markets we understand. Identify ‘white spots’ and develop viable products and Croatian small-scale acquisition. business solutions. Further consolidation possible. GRID+ innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 10
Future growth Retail – well positioned for EV market growth EV growth through Utility value chain in EV market Our competitive edge One of the European leaders: EV prices Hardware supply more than 5,800 charging points in operation Electricity Driving range sales Installation Excellent grid management capabilities Charging point availability Various B2C and B2B product IT offerings already, with over 30 services O&M products Pipeline of new EV models Excellent IT backend already in Energy services place (innogy is the only provider Strict CO2-regulation in Germany able to bill on a kWh basis) Competitive disadvantages Potential areas where innogy already well in EV industry mainly utilities can benefit positioned abolished innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 11
Scalable capex programme from 2017-19 with bulk of discretionary capex in renewables Planned capex programme 2017-19 €bn 1 6.5 – 7.0 3.8 – 3.9 Renewables Renewables 1.5 – 1.7 Grid & 0.2 – 0.3 Infrastructure 0.7 – 0.8 4.1 – 4.4 ~0.5 1.8 – 2.0 ~1.1 Retail 0.7 – 0.8 Total capex Grid & Infrastructure Renewables + Retail Other Discretionary non-discretionary 1 Includes ‘Corporate/other’. day-to-day capex innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 12
Financial discipline and strict investment criteria – foundation for growing shareholder value Indicative capex Renewables Grid & Infrastructure Retail split 2017-2019E ‘Energiewende’ Solar Offshore wind Customer investments1 IT/smart meter/day-to-day 10-15% 20-25% connections 14% 35-40% Hydro Other grid Renewables
Key messages H1 2017 2017 outlook confirmed on group H1 2017 financials and segment level for adjusted Adjusted EBITDA: €2,439m (+2% y-o-y) EBITDA, adjusted EBIT and Adjusted EBIT: €1,725m (+4%) adjusted net income Adjusted net income: €857m (+16%) Debt push down completed – Moody’s assigns stand-alone EIB loans transferred from RWE rating of Baa2 to innogy to innogy in July (investment grade) innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 14
H1 2017 adjusted EBIT up 4% y-o-y mainly driven by lower costs in the German G&I business Adjusted EBIT development, in €m Key drivers Renewables 178 • Lower wind and precipitation levels, a negative FX effect and absence of prior-year one-off gains only partially offset by higher yield, higher realised prices and the contribution (52) 1,725 of new assets (27) Grid & Infrastructure 1,666 • Germany: lower costs to operate and maintain the grid; Q1 2016 included provision accruals for partial retirement (40) measures • Eastern Europe: positive impact of cold weather Retail • Solid performance in Germany and Eastern Europe H1 2016 Renewables G&I Retail Corp./ H1 2017 • Lower customer numbers and volumes in NL/BE other • UK: still down y-o-y, but Q2 2017 quarterly result on 2016 level; benefits from recovery plan mitigating ongoing market pressure innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 15
H1 2017 adjusted net income up 16% to €857m driven by operational performance and lower financial result Reconciliation of adjusted net income Key drivers H1 2017 adjust- H1 2017 H1 2016 • Non-operating result mainly driven by the valuation of € million reported ment adjusted adjusted derivatives to hedge price risks Adjusted EBITDA 2,439 - 2,439 2,385 • Financial result includes a positive effect of €114m from the Operating D&A1 (714) - (714) (719) amortisation of the step-up on bonds2 and a €6m one-off Adjusted EBIT 1,725 - 1,725 1,666 gain from the transfer of further debt from RWE to innogy – both effects are adjusted Non-operating result (87) 87 0 0 • Effective tax rate still driven by a higher pre-tax contribution Financial result (178) (120) (298) (443) from German entities; this effect will diminish over the Income before taxes 1,460 (33) 1,427 1,223 remainder of the year Taxes on income (430) 73 (357) (306) • Normalised tax rate set at 25% to derive adjusted net Tax rate 29% - 25% 25% income Income 1,030 40 1,070 917 • Non-controlling interests above prior-year level mainly due to improved earnings of German regional entities Non-controlling (213) - (213) (177) interests Net income 817 40 857 740 1 By definition, operating D&A includes operating impairment losses. 2 Including FX effect. innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 16
Increase in net debt driven by seasonal free cash flow pattern and dividend payments Cash flow statement (extract)1 Net debt composition (extract) € million H1 2017 H1 2016 +/- € billion 30 Jun 2017 31 Dec 2016 +/- Adjusted EBITDA 2,439 2,385 54 Financials assets 3.7 4.6 (0.9) Funds from operations (FFO) 2,116 2,329 (213) Financial liabilities 17.0 16.2 0.8 Changes in working capital (1,877) (1,922) 45 t/o senior bonds3 11.3 10.3 1.0 Cash flow from operating t/o loans towards RWE4 3.6 4.3 (0.7) 239 407 (168) activities (CFOA) Net financial liabilities 13.3 11.6 1.7 Capex2 (660) (593) (67) Provisions for pensions and 3.5 3.9 0.4 Divestments 152 194 (42) similar obligations Free cash flow (269) 8 (277) Provisions for wind farm 0.4 0.3 0.1 Dividend payments decommissioning (1,305) (883) (422) Net debt 17.1 15.7 1.4 Leverage factor - 3.7 - 1 The definition of free cash flow has changed: it now includes financial investments and divestments of property, plant and equipment plus intangible and financial assets. 2 Including financial investments. 3 Adjusted for ‘step-up‘ effect of €920m. 4 Does not yet reflect transfer of EIB loans completed in July 2017. innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 17
Outlook for 2017 confirmed € million H1 2017 H1 2016 FY 2017 FY 2016 unless stated otherwise reported reported guidance reported Adjusted EBITDA1 2,439 2,385 ~4,400 4,203 Renewables 179 219 ~350 359 Grid & Infrastructure 1,094 916 ~1,900 1,708 Retail 588 640 ~850 844 Adjusted EBIT1 1,725 1,666 ~2,900 2,735 Adjusted financial result (298) (443) (750) - (800) (874) at the lower Tax rate for adjusted net income 25% 25% 25% end of 25-30% Adjusted net income 857 740 >1,200 1,123 Capex2 713 656 €2.0 - 2.5bn 2,123 Outlook3 confirmed 1 Includes Corporate/other. 2 Including financial investments. 3 As per interim report January to March 2017 (published on 12 May). innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 18
2017 payout ratio of 70-80% based on expected adjusted net income above €1.2bn Adjusted net income, € million Dividend >1,200 At least +7% 1,123 €1.60 ~80%1 70-80%1 2016 2017 2016 2017 actuals outlook actuals outlook 1 Payout ratio based on adjusted net income. innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 19
APPENDIX
Retail – total customer number development Electricity accounts (‘000) Gas accounts (‘000) 16,126 16,136 15,914 15,919 2,910 2,917 6,885 6,833 6,702 6,676 2,791 2,818 2,437 2,407 2,367 2,346 1,981 2,004 1,919 1,939 3,973 4,006 4,023 4,042 2,111 2,073 2,036 2,017 1,455 1,443 1,444 1,428 6,806 6,806 6,733 6,713 1,338 1,313 1,303 1,292 30 Jun 16 31 Dec 16 31 Mar 17 30 Jun 17 30 Jun 16 31 Dec 16 31 Mar 17 30 Jun 17 Germany Eastern Europe NL/BE UK Germany Eastern Europe NL/BE UK innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 21
Retail UK - Overview of customer accounts mix Domestic B2C (million) Standard (SVT1) % of total Non standard % of total Total Customer accounts 2.3 52 2.2 48 4.5 % of dual fuel 54 74 64 Accounts excl. prepay 1.9 47 2.1 53 4.0 % of total accounts 80 99 89 Customers2 1.5 55 1.3 45 2.8 Customers excl. prepay 1.2 49 1.3 51 2.5 % of total customers 79 98 87 1 SVT = Standard variable tariff. 2 Number of households with an electricity and/or a gas account innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 22
Offshore wind: strong competition with first subsidy- free auction bids in Germany Technological levers to reduce costs Beyond the obvious – further levers Wind farm development • O&M concepts: in-house & portfolio-based Offshore installation (standardisation in design) & logistics • EPC: high-quality partner with competitive margin • Economies of scale from project portfolio Innovative • De-risking via asset rotation Next-generation turbines foundation concepts (higher annual energy • Analysis of future market price assumptions production - AEP) Critical success factor More efficient O&M Electrical Derive valuable bid price propositions to interconnectivity secure remuneration levels for viable growth projects innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 23
Renewables – projects under construction Brechfa Mynydd y Bad a Eschweiler Eschweiler Wiedenfelder Dromadda Clocaenog Nordsee 1 Galloper West Gwair Cheo Nord Fronhoven Höhe Beg Forest Country GER UK UK UK UK GER GER GER IRL UK Technology Offshore Offshore Onshore Onshore Onshore Onshore Onshore Onshore Onshore Onshore Full capacity (MW) 332 336 57 33 27 13 29 13 10 96 innogy stake 15% 25% 100% 100% 100% 51% 51% 100% 100% 100% Expected Q4 ‘17 Q1 ‘18 Q2 ‘18 Q1 ‘19 Q1 ‘19 Q4 ‘17 Q1 ‘18 Q1 ‘18 Q3 ‘18 Q3 ‘19 CoD Support scheme EEG ‘14 ROC ROC CfD CfD EEG ‘14 EEG ’14 EEG ‘14 Refit II CfD innogy €43m2 £95m2 £102m £58m £39m €10m €21m €20m €13m £94m capex share1 IRR3 ranges Offshore: ∼13% Onshore: 6-11% 1 Excluding historical investments at FID. 2 innogy equity share. 3 For onshore: project (asset) IRR post tax excluding historical costs; for offshore equity IRR post tax excl. historical costs. innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 24
Overview of senior bonds and loans payable to RWE As of 30 June 2017, by maturity Senior bonds Loans payable to RWE Notional Carrying amount Notional Carrying amount Issuer amount (in EUR million) Coupon Maturity Instrument amount Coupon Maturity (in EUR million) (LCY1, million) (LCY1, million) innogy SE EUR 100 100 6M Euribor + 0.67% Nov 17 Intercompany loan6 EUR 125 125 0.19% Jul 17 innogy Finance B.V. EUR 980 1,030 5.13% Jul 18 EUR 771 771 0.22% Oct 17 Intercompany loan6 innogy Finance B.V. EUR 1,000 1,090 6.63% Jan 19 Intercompany loan6 EUR 956 956 0.56% Mar 19 innogy Finance B.V. EUR 750 764 1.88% Jan 20 GBP 570 Apr 21 Intercompany loan6 EUR 700 700 0.86% Oct 20 innogy Finance B.V. 716 6.50% innogy Finance B.V. EUR 1,000 1,195 6.50% Aug 21 Intercompany loan7 EUR 645 695 3.23% Oct 20 innogy Finance B.V. GBP 500 614 5.50% Jul 22 Intercompany loan7 GBP 350 362 2.14% Feb 23 innogy Finance B.V. GBP 488 601 5.63% Dec 23 Total - - 3,609 1.18%4 - innogy Finance B.V. EUR 800 844 3.00% Jan 24 innogy Finance B.V. EUR 750 744 1.00% Apr 25 innogy Finance B.V. GBP 760 953 6.25% Jun 30 Maturity profile as of 31 July 2017 innogy Finance B.V. EUR 600 731 5.75% Feb 33 € billion innogy SE USD 502 44 3.17%3 Apr 33 5 innogy Finance B.V. GBP 600 638 4.75% Jan 34 RWE loans EIB loans Senior bonds innogy SE EUR 468 513 3.50% Oct 37 4 innogy Finance B.V. GBP 1,000 1,224 6.13% Jul 39 3 innogy SE JPY 20,0002 185 4.76%3 Feb 40 innogy SE EUR 100 100 3.50% Dec 42 2 innogy SE EUR 150 150 3.55% Feb 43 1 Total - - 12,236 4.90%4 - 0 thereof: step-up effect 920 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026+ 1 Local currency. 2 Swapped in Euro: USD50m in EUR39m; JPY20,000m in EUR159m. 3 Interest rate after swap in Euro. 4 Notional-weighted average coupon. 5 Three additional loans with a total volume of €28m not included. 6 Related to hybrids issued by RWE. 7 In July 2017 the transfer of the EIB loans from RWE to innogy was concluded and the corresponding intragroup loans canceled. Note: Rounding differences may occur. innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 25
innogy’s credit rating innogy's investment grade ratings1 (as of 30 June 2017) Fitch Moody’s S&P2 Long-term issuer default rating BBB+ Baa2 BBB- Outlook Stable Stable Positive Senior unsecured rating A- Baa2 BBB- Short-term issuer rating F2 P2 A-3 Note: All ratings still linked to RWE AG ratings. 1 Solicited ratings. 2 S&P assigns innogy a stand-alone credit profile of bbb. innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 26
innogy’s funding programmes to establish stand-alone capital market access Debt issuance • Independent innogy debt issuance programme launched in first half of 2017 programme • Nominal volume: €20bn Commercial paper • Stand-alone programme up and running (since year-end 2016) programme • Nominal volume: €3bn Revolving credit facility • innogy SE has access to RWE AG’s €4bn syndicated credit line (up to €1.5bn) • Stand-alone RCF to be established in Q4 2017 (based on full-year 2016 figures) innogy is establishing its own capital market access to be able to finance its operations going forward innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 27
Management incentives – adaptation to new business environment innogy management incentive scheme well balanced with clear focus on total shareholder return Individual annual bonus • Based on the economic development of the company, individual scheme and collective performance as well as performance with regards to corporate responsibility and employee motivation Long-term • Aims to reward the achievement of long-term strategic incentive plan objectives while facilitating capital market orientation • Conditional right to receive a pay-out in cash following a period of four years • Pay-out dependent on achievement of performance targets derived from the strategic planning and set before the first tranche start (‘3-year IPO business plan’) and based on the share price development as well as the accumulated dividends paid to shareholders (total shareholder return) innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 28
Corporate governance – high degree of independence reflected in innogy’s supervisory board structure Board structure • Two-tier board structure: Executive Board (6 members) Supervisory Board (20 members, thereof 10 shareholder and 10 employee representatives) Supervisory Board composition • RWE AG represented by one management board member (CFO Markus Krebber) • Werner Brandt and Frank Bsirske double as Supervisory Board Chairman and Supervisory Board Deputy Chairman of RWE AG and innogy SE • Audit Committee mainly composed of independent Supervisory Board Members innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 29
Corporate governance – ‘agreement on basic principles’ sets clear and stable rules going forward Key principles governing Selected features on ‘agreement on basic innogy/RWE relationship principles’ between innogy and RWE • Both parties – RWE and innogy – shall be in a • Non-compete clause states that RWE is largely position to pursue their strategic, operational and restrained from competing in innogy’s core businesses financial targets individually and independent of each until 31 December 2019 other • RWE manages innogy as a financial investment • The domination agreement between innogy and RWE RWE will not impose strategic or financial targets was terminated just prior to the IPO and is not involved in planning and management • All intercompany relations and agreements are incentive discussions carried out at arm’s length Investment decisions at innogy are not subject to approval by RWE innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 30
IR contacts Lars Korinth Marcel Rohrbach T +49 201 12-48329 T +49 201 12-15043 lars.korinth@innogy.com marcel.rohrbach@innogy.com Holger Perlwitz Britta Wöhner Fixed Income T +49 201 12-44794 T +49 201 12-15141 britta.woehner@innogy.com holger.perlwitz@innogy.com Lydia Beck Martin Jäger Private shareholders T +49 201 12-15106 T +49 201 12-48236 martin.jaeger@innogy.com lydia.beck@innogy.com innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 31
Financial calendar 13/11/2017 Interim report 9M 2017 12/03/2018 Annual report 2017 24/04/2018 Annual General Meeting € 27/04/2018 Dividend payment innogy SE · Investor presentation · August 2017 32
You can also read