INVESTOR PRESENTATION - GIBSON ENERGY
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Company Snapshot Building a leading oil-focused infrastructure business GEI $3.9B TSX LISTED MARKET CAPITALIZATION(1) $5.1B 15mm ENTERPRISE BARRELS OF VALUE(1) STORAGE(2) ~$1.0B S&P: BBB – INFRASTRUCTURE CAPITAL DEPLOYED DBRS: BBB (low) SINCE 2017(3) ~5.0% ~10% YIELD ON TARGET DCF PER $1.32/SHARE SHARE GROWTH ANNUAL DIVIDEND(1) (1) Based on December 31, 2019 closing price of $26.59 per share and net debt as defined in Gibson’s MD&A and financial statements. (2) Includes 1.5 million barrels under construction at Hardisty. (3) Includes sanctioned Infrastructure growth capital and acquisitions. 2 Note: This and subsequent slides contain forward-looking statements – Please refer to the Forward-Looking Statements notice on slide 28.
Oil Infrastructure Focused ~75% of 2020E EBITDA from core Terminals & Pipelines and ~80% Infrastructure 2020E EBITDA Breakout(1) OILSANDS ~75% Terminals and Pipelines ~80% Infrastructure EDMONTON TERMINAL 1.7 mmbbl existing storage Marketing ~20% VIKING EDMONTON HARDISTY Other MOOSE JAW HARDISTY TERMINAL Infrastructure 12 mmbbl existing storage ~5% MOOSE JAW FACILITY 1.5 mmbbl under construction Hardisty Canadian and ~22 kbbl/d current capacity Terminal U.S. Pipelines DRU(2) ~60% ~5% Customer Agreements for 50 kbbl/d of inlet capacity Edmonton ~10% PERMIAN PYOTE PYOTE PIPELINE (1) 2020E assumes long-term run rate for Marketing of $80 million to $120 million per year. (2) Construction of DRU (Diluent Recovery Unit) remains subject to economics being fully underpinned with long-term, take-or-pay agreements and receipt of various permits and regulatory approvals. 3
Focused Strategy Premier oil infrastructure assets to underpin DCF per share and dividend growth Leverage Terminals Position Complementary Growth Terminals to represent ~70% of Target deploying at least $200 – $300 EBITDA(1,2) Oil million in Infrastructure capital per Infrastructure year to reach target growth Dominant market position at Hardisty Focus Opportunities from the U.S. platform Target sanctioning 2 – 4 tanks per and outside the fence in Canada to year on a run-rate basis, with the supplement core tankage growth potential for additional growth from DRU development Target ~10% DCF per Share Growth Quality Cash Flows Strong Balance Sheet ~80% of EBITDA expected from Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA currently Infrastructure (1,2) 2.6x, relative to 3.0x – 3.5x target(4) Secure, Growing ~80% of EBITDA from stable, long- Fully-funded for all sanctioned term take-or-pay or fee-for-service Dividend capital, with internal funding contracts(1,2,3) capacity of approximately $400 million in 2020 Terminals EBITDA ~85% from Investment Grade counterparties Investment grade credit ratings from S&P: BBB– and DBRS: BBB (low) (1) Refers to EBITDA before inclusion of finance lease costs and is not comparable to figures prepared prior to the application of IFRS 16. (2) Based on 2020E and assumes long-term run rate Marketing contribution of $80 million to $120 million per year. (3) Take-or-pay intercompany contracts currently represent approximately 20% of Infrastructure segment profit, with the proportion expected to decline over time. 4 (4) Calculated as Net Debt, less liability component of Convertible Debentures, divided by Adjusted EBITDA from Continuing Operations, as defined in Gibson’s MD&A for comparability with prior reporting.
Complete Transformation of Business Repositioned from diverse mix of business lines to focused energy infrastructure 2014(1,2) 2017(1,2) 2020E(2,3) ~75% Terminals & ~25% Terminals & Pipelines ~55% Terminals & Pipelines Pipelines Segment EBITDA(1) From T&P and Infrastructure ~30% Infrastructure ~65% Infrastructure ~80% Infrastructure ~15% Take-or-Pay ~45% Take-or-Pay ~60% Take-or-Pay EBITDA(1) From Take-or- Pay or Stable Fee- Based ~30% Take-or-Pay or Stable ~65% Take-or-Pay or Stable ~80% Take-or-Pay or Fee-Based Fee-Based Stable Fee-Based (1) 2014 and 2017 EBITDA adjusted for estimated finance lease payments to be comparable to 2020E under IFRS 16. (2) Take-or-pay intercompany contracts currently represent approximately 20% of Infrastructure segment profit, with the proportion expected to decline over time. (3) 2020E assumes long-term run rate for Marketing of $80 million to $120 million per year. 5
Hardisty Terminal – Best-in-Class Connectivity Replicating Gibson’s competitive position not possible and cost prohibitive Flexibility offered by Gibson’s existing best-in-class connectivity provides a wide moat at Hardisty Key consideration for customers as it helps production volumes reach market at the best price Leveraging existing interconnectivity results in cost advantage on new opportunities for Gibson relative to competitors Gibson’s connectivity advantage built over decades and would be impossible to replicate today Due to both cost and difficulties in securing connection agreements with competitors Gibson has built all new third-party tankage placed into service in the last decade Connections to Inbound Pipelines(1) Connections to Outbound Pipelines(1) (total number) (total number) 12 12 10 10 8 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 0 GEI Peer A Peer B Peer C Peer D Peer E GEI Peer A Peer B Peer C Peer D Peer E (1) Peers include Enbridge, Flint Hills, Husky, Inter Pipeline, and TransCanada (peers are not linked between charts). 6
Hardisty Terminal – Competitive Advantages Replicating Gibson’s competitive position not possible and is cost prohibitive Located at the heart of the Hardisty footprint Land Position 240 acres of land holdings adjacent to existing tankage plus additional land surrounding ensures decades of running room Track record of placing new tankage into service on-time and on-budget Cost Focus Long useful life with limited maintenance capital required Focused on terminal operation with primary objective of improving customers’ market Independent access No preference of where customers bring in or send their crude Exclusive access to the only unit train rail terminal at Hardisty through joint venture with USD Rail Access Current capacity of over 180,000 bbl/d (>3 unit trains per day), with ability to expand Development of the DRU would increase demand for rail access 7
Hardisty Terminal – Overview Continue to grow at Hardisty at an attractive 5x – 7x EBITDA build multiple COLD LAKE N HARDISTY TOP OF Additional Phases THE HILL Gibson connection to Expect sanction run rate to remain at 2 – 4 per HARDISTY EAST 180 mbbl/d rail facility year based on current customer conversations WEST HARDISTY TERMINAL Phase 4 & Phase 4 Expansion Targeting Q4 2020 in-service PROVOST 12 mmbbl 1.5 mmbbl TRANSCANADA KEYSTONE / XL 1.5 mmbbl currently under construction, representing a ~12% expansion of the BELLSHILL Terminal ENBRIDGE EXPRESS Existing Existing Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Future Future Tankage Tankage In-Service Date Sanctions Sanctions 8
DRU at Hardisty – On-Strategy Infrastructure High-quality infrastructure project leveraging and extending Hardisty position 50%/50% joint venture between Gibson and U.S. Development Group (“USD”) First DRU in Agreement in place with ConocoPhillips Canada for 50,000 bbl/d of inlet capacity, and in Western discussions with other producers and refiners interested in DRU capacity Canada Construction remains subject to economics being fully underpinned with long-term, take- or-pay agreements and receipt of various permits and regulatory approvals Infrastructure required to support the long-term egress of oil sands production Underpinned by a long-term, take-or-pay agreement with an investment grade customer On Strategy Leverages existing platform to attain target 5x – 7x EBITDA build multiple Drives nearly a full year of targeted distributable cash flow per share growth Further improves the Gibson Hardisty Terminal’s best-in-class connectivity, becoming the Strengthens sole access point for DRU egress out of Western Canada and Extends Hardisty Customers at the DRU will require tankage at Gibson’s Hardisty Terminal Platform Extends contracted life at the Hardisty Unit Rail Facility Believe that the first DRU to enter service will have a significant competitive advantage in securing potential future expansions and providing an industry solution Anticipate Future Able to sanction in 50,000bbl/d increments, a good fit with brownfield oil sands projects Expansions Provides additional confidence in the ability to continue to sanction growth at Hardisty given the potential for further delays on alternative egress 9
DRU at Hardisty – Full Market Access Solution Full market access solution to support construction of first DRU in Western Canada OIL SANDS 1 Bitumen production from the oil sands shipped as dilbit via pipelines to Gibson’s Hardisty Terminal EDMONTON DRU at Hardisty separates the majority of blended HARDISTY 2 condensate, creating DRUbitTM, a more concentrated heavy oil specifically designed for rail transportation DRUbitTM loaded onto rail at the Hardisty Unit 3 Rail Facility The DRUbitTM is transported by rail to PORT ARTHUR TERMINAL 4 the USD Port Arthur Terminal on the U.S. Gulf Coast N PORT ARTHUR SABINE LAKE Once unloaded at USD’s Port Arthur Terminal, able to access the local refinery 5 market as well as a large network of refining and marine facilities via barge or tanker PORT US GULF COAST ARTHUR 10
DRU Hardisty – Location and Construction Potential mid-2021 in-service at a cost of $200mm to $250mm net to Gibson(1) Targeting in-service date as early as the second quarter of 2021 Total capital cost of the initial phase, net to Gibson, estimated to be between $200mm and $250mm (1) Currently envision roughly two-third of spend to be incurred in 2020, with the remainder in 2021 Intend to secure a lump sum contract with performance guarantees for DRU facility to mitigate risk Utilizes a standardized 50,000bbl/d inlet capacity DRU facility design to allow replication on future phases Modularization where appropriate, allowing for fabrication where facilities and labor readily available Hardisty Terminal and HURC Overview ATHABASCA / ATHABASCA TWIN N DILBIT SENT ~4KM FROM HARDISTY TERMINAL TO COLD LAKE / COLD THE HARDISTY UNIT TRAIN RAIL FACILITY LAKE EXPANSION DRU & HURC ~4KM FACILITY HARDISTY CONDENSATE SEPARATED FROM DILBIT AT THE TERMINAL DRU AND RETURNED TO THE HARDISTY TERMINAL ENBRIDGE TC ENERGY EXPRESS KEYSTONE (1) Based on full Phase 1 inlet capacity of 100,000 bbl/d. Preliminary estimate of a single phase of 50,000 bbl/d would be roughly two-thirds the of total cost. 11
Edmonton Terminal Edmonton Terminal an attractive cash flow stream, although smaller scale Edmonton Terminal benefits from advantageous positioning located next to two major refineries, access to both the CN and CP railway lines and being near both major egress pipelines Provides flexibility to offer both crude oil or refined products storage to customers RAIL LINE SUNCOR N RAIL LINE REFINERY EDMONTON TERMINAL AOSPL Waupisoo KML / ENB and Access COLD LAKE Connection Inbound COLD LAKE PEACE PEACE COLD LAKE IMPERIAL REFINERY ACCESS CORRIDOR Trans Mountain TRANS MOUNTAIN / Connection(1) TRANS MOUNTAIN WAUPISOO EXPANSION ENBRIDGE MAINLINE (1) Trans Mountain Connection easily modified to connect to Trans Mountain Expansion once operational. 12
U.S. Strategy Seek to establish a platform for long-term infrastructure growth in the U.S. CENTRAL BASIN Role in Portfolio PLATFORM ADDITIONAL LEG PLAINS BASIN N IN SERVICE Q3 2020 PIPELINE Long-term goal to create an WINK HUB PLAINS / EXXON JV additional platform for growth MARATHON PERMIAN PIPELINE to help supplement tankage WINK PIPELINE IN-SERVICE MID 2021 opportunities and sustain momentum as existing base EPIC PIPELINE becomes larger IN-SERVICE Q1 2020 CONNECTION TO WINK HUB Current platform expected to ENTERED SERVICE Q4 2019 PHILLIPS 66 GRAY OAK PIPELINE IN-SERVICE Q1 2020 provide opportunity to deploy up to $50 – $100 million per ADDITIONAL LEG year, helping to drive corporate IN SERVICE Q1 2020 FUTURE SYSTEM growth CONNECTION Recent Progress AREA OF DEDICATION Pyote East Pipeline, including EXISTING PYOTE PIPELINE connectivity to third party PYOTE EAST PIPELINE egress pipelines at Wink, placed ENTERED SERVICE Q4 2019 into service on time and on GEI Pipelines In Service budget in October 2019 GEI Pipelines to be Commissioned GEI Sanctioned Pipelines Recent agreements have GEI Proposed Pipelines PLAINS CACTUS II increased dedicated acreage by PIPELINE Third Party Pipelines In Service nearly 200,000 acres Third Party Pipelines Under Construction Secured connections to several egress pipelines at Wink 13
Marketing Capabilities Creates value for customers and drives volumes to Gibson’s Infrastructure assets Refined Products leases the Moose Jaw Facility from the Refined Infrastructure segment, sourcing feedstocks and marketing the Products refined products that are produced by the facility Physically source hydrocarbons, providing increased liquidity and Producer creating market access solutions for the company’s customers Services Drives volumes to both the Hardisty and Edmonton Terminals, as Capabilities well as Gibson’s other infrastructure assets Location, quality or time-based opportunities with focus on not Asset being long or short on the underlying commodity or taking open Optimization positions 14
Segment Profit Outlook Infrastructure to grow to ~80% of total segment profit by 2020E Significant growth in the core Infrastructure segment over time, with a ~20% CAGR between 2011 and 2020E Infrastructure expected to generate $300 – $320 million in segment profit in 2019E (1), $360 – $380 million in 2020E and in excess of a $400 million run-rate by year-end 2020 Long-term run rate for Marketing segment profit estimated at $80 – $120 million Segment Profit Outlook(2) (C$ millions) Existing projects provide strong $600 line of sight to sustained Infrastructure growth through $500 2020E $400 $300 $200 Marketing Outperformance Marketing Long-Term Run Rate(3) $100 Divested Business Core Infrastructure $0 (1) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E (1) 2019E Infrastructure Segment Profit excludes $15mm environmental provision reported in Q2 2019 and $11mm credit for the amendment of Gibson’s post-retirement benefits plan reported in Q3 2019. (2) Segment profit illustratively adjusted for estimated finance leases under IFRS 16 for years 2017 and prior to improve comparability with current presentation. 15 (3) Long-term run rate for Marketing assumes $80 - $120mm per year going forward, where previously the range assumed was $60 - $80mm.
Distributable Cash Flow Outlook Sustained growth in core Infrastructure driving meaningful per share growth Distributable Cash Flow With Illustrative Breakout By Business(1) (C$ millions) $400 Line of sight to delivering DCF $2.50 CAGR of ~10% between 2017A and 2020E… $2.00 $300 …with future project $1.50 sanctions expected to drive attractive long-term growth $200 per share $1.00 Marketing Outperformance $100 Marketing Long-Term Run Rate(2) $0.50 Divested Business Core Infrastructure $0 $0.00 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E (1) Distributable Cash Flow not reported on a segment basis. Segment breakout of Distributable Cash Flow presented for illustrative purposes assuming Corporate G&A, interest, and maintenance capex are fully deducted from Infrastructure segment profit. Marketing shown net of lease costs and tax expenses. 16 (2) Long-term run rate for Marketing assumes $80 - $120mm per year for 2019 forward, where previously the range assumed was $60 - 80mm.
Strong Financial Position Leverage and payout ratio currently below target ranges Obtained two Investment Grade ratings in 2019 New rating of BBB (low) with stable trend from DBRS Upgraded to BBB- with stable outlook by S&P Long-term funding model and continued delivery of the strategy is not contingent on cyclical cash flows Projects sanctioned and under construction provide visibility to remaining within target leverage and payout ranges Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA(1) Payout Ratio (x) 120% (%) 5.0x 100% 4.0x 80% 3.0x Targeting long-term 60% Targeting long-term 2.6x at leverage of 3.0x – 3.5x 60% at payout of 70% to 80% 2.0x Q3 2019 Q3 2019 40% 1.0x 20% 0.0x 0% 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E (1) Calculated as Net Debt, less liability component of Convertible Debentures, divided by Adjusted EBITDA from Continuing Operations, as defined in Gibson’s MD&A for comparability with prior reporting. 17
Contract Quality & Balance Sheet Comparison Attractive contract quality and best-in-class leverage relative to peer group Proportion Take-or-Pay & Fee-for-Service(1) Net Debt / 2018A EBITDA(2) (%) (x) 100% 6.0x 80% 4.0x 60% 40% 2.0x 20% 0% 0.0x Peer A Peer B GEI Peer C Peer A Peer B Peer C GEI (1) Gibson Proportion Take-or-Pay & Fee-for-Service based on 2020E and assumes a long-term run rate for Marketing of $80 million to $120 million per year; Peer Proportion Take-or-Pay & Fee-for-Service per most recent public disclosure as at December 31, 2019. (2) Senior Debt Ratio as shown in Gibson’s MD&A. in Gibson’s MD&A; Peer ratios per public disclosure. 18 Note: Peers include Inter Pipeline, Keyera and Pembina (peers are not linked between charts).
Governing Principles Committed to maintaining a strong financial position by managing to key targets Committed Target Performance High Quality >80% segment profit from take-or-pay and high- Contract Cash Flows ~80% by 2020E(1) Quality of quality fee-for-service contracts Structure Creditworthy >85% of exposures under long-term contracts Reached 85% in 2018 Counterparties are with investment grade counterparties Strong Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA of 3.0x – 3.5x(2) 2.6x at Q3 2019 Flexibility Financial Balance Sheet Maintain & S&P: BBB- rating Improve Secured Two Investment Grade ratings DBRS: BBB (low) rating Credit Ratings Capital Funding Fund growth capital expenditures with Capital program fully-funded Strategy maximum 50% – 60% debt Funding Model Sustainable Sustainable long-term payout of 70% – 80% of DCF 60% at Q3 2019 Payout Ratio Infrastructure cash flows cover 100% of payout ratio (1) 2020E based on a long-term run rate for Marketing of $80 million to $120 million per year and includes internal contracts. (2) Calculated as Net Debt, less liability component of Convertible Debentures, divided by Adjusted EBITDA from Continuing Operations, as defined in Gibson’s MD&A for comparability with prior reporting. 19
Funding Position Through 2020 Fully-funded for all sanctioned capital, with capacity to fund incremental growth 2018 & 2019 Sources and Uses(1,2) 2020 Sources and Uses (1,2,3) (C$ millions) (C$ millions) Meaningfully strengthened …leading to internal funding capacity the balance sheet in 2018 of approximately $400 million of Disposition Proceeds and 2019… infrastructure growth in 2020. 2019 Growth Capital 2019 Retained DCF Further Capacity to & Associated 2020 Retained DCF & Associated Fund Capital in 2020+ Leverage Leverage 2020 Growth 2018 Retained DCF 2018 Growth Capital 2018-2019 Capital & Associated Carry-Over Leverage 1 2 3 1 2 3 2018 & 2019 DCF & Leverage $800 - $875 2018 & 2019 Carry-Over $225 - $275 Proceeds from Dispositions 325 - 325 2020 DCF & Leverage 325 - 400 Total Sources $1,125 - $1,200 Total Sources $550 - $675 Dividends (380) - (380) Dividends (190) - (190) Growth Capital (525) - (550) Growth Capital (275) - (325) Total Uses ($900) - ($925) Total Uses ($475) - ($525) Funding Surplus $225 - $275 Funding Surplus $75 - $150 (1) Assumes target leverage of 50-60% on Infrastructure investment. (2) Illustrative funding analysis may not be additive to maintain narrower aggregate ranges. 20 (3) Assumes long-term run rate for Marketing of $80 - $120mm.
Growth Capital Outlook Long-term target of $200 to $300 million of Infrastructure growth per year Contract Structure Investment Outlook Hardisty & Long-term take-or-pay and stable fee- 2 – 4 tanks per year based, with weighted average remaining $20 – 30mm per year inside the fence Edmonton contract life of nearly 10 years $100 – 200mm per year total, with Terminals ~85% Investment Grade counterparties upside from development of DRUs Long-term area of dedication Extend reach of Pyote system Majors, mid-majors and PE backed Seek additional regional opportunities US Strategy entities Potential Wink Hub opportunities Up to $50 – 100mm per year Long-term stable fee-based; varies by play Likely to sanction a project every few Outside the Seek to underpin with take-or-pay and/or years Fence area of dedication; varies WCSB opportunities more limited Canada Size of counterparties depends on play $0 – 50mm per year Total Corporate >80% Long-Term, stable fee based Long-term target of ~$200 - $300mm 21
Long-Term Capital Allocation Priorities Near-term focus on remaining fully-funded; steady dividend growth longer-term Target payout ratio of 70% – 80% over the long-term Fund Dividend Fund the Business Dividend to be fully covered by stable, long-term Infrastructure cash flows Significant value creation through investment in long-term Fund Infrastructure infrastructure with high-quality contracts and counterparties Growth Expect to deploy capital at 5x – 7x EBITDA, with a focus on ensuring appropriate risk adjusted returns when allocating capital Absent near-term Infrastructure investment opportunities, surplus cash flows from Marketing best returned to Share Buybacks shareholders via share buyback rather than dividend Return Capital to Shareholders Not expected in near-term given current opportunity outlook Intention to provide steady, long-term dividend growth to shareholders Dividend Growth Pace of dividend growth to be driven in part by outlook for capital growth to ensure fully-funded position 22
Key Takeaways Continue to deliver on all facets of the strategy, with visibility to further growth Delivery Since January 2018 Investor Day Go Forward Deliverables Target investing $200mm – $300mm per year Sanction 2 – 4 Tanks Infrastructure 2 – 4 tanks per year on a run-rate basis per Year (vs. 1 – 2) Growth Up to $50mm – $100mm per year in U.S. Sanction Infrastructure Infrastructure Growth $50mm in Canada outside the fence Outside Terminals Upside growth from DRU development Divest Non-core Focused Asset Assets Continue to target investment solely into Base Infrastructure Focus Capital on Remain focused on organic opportunities Infrastructure Growth Reduce Leverage & Strong Balance Leverage to remain with target 3.0x – 3.5x Debt / Payout EBITDA range longer term Sheet Maintain payout of 70% – 80%, growing dividend only Fund Capital Growth when fully underpinned by Infrastructure Internally Remain fully-funding for all sanctioned growth 23
APPENDIX
2020 Capital Expenditure Budget Expected to be in the range of $275 million to $325 million Capital Outlook Expect to sanction 2 to 4 tanks a year on run-rate basis in current environment Expect $275 – $325 million of Growth Capital in 2020 Total DRU capital cost of the initial 100,000 bbl/d Total (1) $300 phase, net to Gibson, estimated to be in the range of $200 – $250 million Hardisty Terminal(2,3) $220 Preliminary estimate of a single phase of 50,000 Edmonton Terminal $20 bbl/d would be roughly two-thirds the of total cost U.S. Infrastructure $50 Currently envision roughly two-third of spend to Other $10 be incurred in 2020, with the remainder in 2021 Expect $25 million of Upgrade and Replacement Capital in 2020 Expect to deploy $20 – $30 million per year on “inside the fence” opportunities at Terminals Continue to advance commercial opportunities in both Canada and the US (1) Individual categories not additive to total to maintain a narrower aggregate range. (2) DRU capital based on currently contracted 50,000 bbl/d of inlet capacity. (3) Construction of the DRU remains subject to certain conditions, including obtaining agreements to underpin the economics of the project and receipt of required regulatory approvals, including from the 25 Alberta Energy Regulator. .
Capital Funding Approach and Maturity Profile Disciplined funding approach to ensure strong financial position Long-Term Funding Approach Maturity Profile(1) $800 (C$ millions) on ≈ 3.0x – 3.5x 5.0x – 7.0x 50% – 60% Senior Unsecured TARGET CORPORATE EBITDA BUILD TARGET LEVERAGE ON 5.250% Notes DEBT/EBITDA INFRASTRUCTURE $600 Senior $560mm Credit Facility Senior MULTIPLE ≈ at GROWTH ($0mm Drawn)(2) Unsecured 3.60% Notes Implied Capital Targets on Infrastructure Growth $400 Run-Rate Target Capital Implied Required EBITDA Leverage on Deployed Leverage Retained DCF at 5x - 7x Investment (C$mm) (C$mm) (C$mm) (x) (C$mm) $200 Unsecured $200 $30 - $40 $100 - $120 3.0x - 3.5x $80 - $100 5.250% Convertible $250 $35 - $50 $125 - $150 3.0x - 3.5x $100 - $125 Debenture $300 $45 - $60 $150 - $180 3.0x - 3.5x $120 - $150 $350 $50 - $70 $175 - $210 3.0x - 3.5x $140 - $175 $0 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2024E 2029E (1) Redemption Notice delivered to holders of the 2022 Notes on September 17, 2019. The Company redeemed all of the 2022 Notes on October 17, 2019. 26 (2) Floating rate revolving credit facility; drawn balance as at September 30, 2019.
Infrastructure Growth Capital Invested $1.75B in Infrastructure 2011-2020E, including 11.5 mmbbl of tankage Infrastructure Growth Capital Expenditure 2011A - 2020E (C$ millions) 2020E 2019E $275 - $325 ~$250 - $280 $243 $221 $219 $184 $147 $101 $62 $41 2011A 2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2 Tanks, 0.6 mmbbl 2 Tanks, 0.6 mmbbl 2 Tanks, 0.8 mmbbl 3 Tanks, 1.2 mmbbl 2 Tanks, 0.6 mmbbl 5 Tanks, 2.3 mmbbl 2 Tanks, 0.8 mmbbl 3 Tanks, 1.1 mmbbl Viking Pipeline, ~120 km Pyote East Pipeline, ~25 km 4 Tanks, 2.0 mmbbl Infrastructure Placed Into Service 3 Tanks, 1.5 mmbbl Infrastructure Under Construction DRU, In-Service 2021 27
Forward-Looking Statement Notice Certain statements contained in this presentation constitute forward-looking information and statements (collectively, “forward-looking statements”) including, but not limited to, management’s expectations with respect to the business and financial prospects and opportunities of Gibson Energy Inc. or its subsidiaries (“Gibson” or the “Company”), forecast operating and financial results of Gibson and its respective business segments for year end 2020 and future periods, business and funding strategy and plans of management (including targeted timing), anticipated growth (including segment growth and annualized growth rate projections) and the sources of financing thereof, allocation of capital, capital investment and the amount, sources and timing thereof, objectives of or involving Gibson, expectations of future market conditions, expectations regarding existing and future counterparties, capital allocation, and sources thereof, competitive position, capital targets, pipeline expansion opportunities and areas for potential growth and costs and timing thereof, the anticipated in-service dates of various projects, including but not limited to Hardisty top of the hill expansions, the Pyote pipeline extension and connection to Wink, TX, the sanction and construction of the Hardisty DRU Project, Gibson’s ability to grow its U.S. business and the timing thereof, Gibson’s ability to sanction additional tankage, anticipated impact of commodity prices, projections for 2020 and future years and Gibson's plans and strategies to realize such projections, expectations and targets for segment operations, growth capital, fixed charges, refined product sales, segment profit and contribution to EBITDA and cash flows, EBITDA, cash flows, distributable cash flow, debt and net debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratios, payout ratio, anticipated leverage, nature of parties contracting with Gibson and contract life, increased crude oil production and exploration activity on shore in North America, including from the Canadian oil sands, management’s expectations with respect to a share buyback ability to pay dividends and the amount and sources of dividend payments and Gibson's anticipated market share. These statements relate to future events or the Company’s future performance. All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. The use of any of the words ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘contemplate’’, ‘‘continue’’, “aim”, “target”, “must”, “commit”, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘propose’’, ‘‘might’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘shall’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘should’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘would’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘predict’’, ‘‘forecast’’, ‘‘pursue’’, ‘‘potential’’ and ‘‘capable’’ and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. The forward looking statements reflect Gibson's beliefs and assumptions with respect to, among other things, general economic trends, industry trends, commodity prices, capital markets, the governmental, regulatory and legal environment in the various jurisdictions in which Gibson's conducts and will conduct its business, Gibson's ability to obtain qualified personnel, owner-operators, lease operators and equipment in a timely and cost-efficient manner or at all, Gibson's ability to generate sufficient cash to meet its current and future obligations, achievability of leverage and payout targets and timing thereof, the number of oil sands projects sanctioned and storage days producers require, Gibson's ability to obtain financing for its capital programs on acceptable terms or at all, the successful and timely implementation of capital projects in a manner consistent with financial expectations, expectations regarding the sources of funding of growth initiatives, Gibson’s financial results for year end 2020, Gibson’s ability to generate sufficient cash flow to meet Gibson’s current and future obligations, Gibson's future debt levels, Gibson’s dividend policy, Gibson’s ability to grow its U.S. business in a manner consistent with expectations, Gibson’s ability to complete all anticipated divestiture transactions on acceptable terms, product supply and demand including demand for tankage, costs, and other assumptions inherent in management’s expectations of future operating and financial results of Gibson and its respective business segments and other forward-looking statements identified herein. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes these statements to be reasonable, no assurance can be given that these expectations will prove to be correct and such forward-looking statements included in this presentation should not be unduly relied upon. The Company’s actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a result of, among other things, risks inherent in the businesses conducted by Gibson, regulatory decisions, competitive factors in the industries in which the Company operates, prevailing economic conditions, the number of oil sands projects sanctioned and storage days producers require world-wide demand for crude oil and petroleum products, volatility of commodity prices, currency and interest rates fluctuations, product supply and demand including demand for tankage, risk that actual financial results for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2020 may be different from the estimates disclosed herein, changes in credit ratings applicable to Gibson, operating costs and the accuracy of cost estimates, exposure to counterparties and partners, including ability and willingness of such parties to satisfy contractual obligations in a timely manner, future capital expenditures, Gibson's ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals, the successful and timely implementation of capital projects or stages thereof, changes to Gibson's business plans or strategy, Gibson’s ability to access various sources of debt and equity capital, generally, and on terms acceptable to Gibson, Gibson’s ability to complete anticipated divestiture transactions on acceptable terms, Gibson’s ability to finance growth and sustaining capital expenditures, changes to Gibson’s dividend plans or strategy and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing lists are not exhaustive. For a full discussion of our material risk factors, see “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual Information Form dated March 4, 2019 as filed on SEDAR and available on the Gibson website at www.gibsonenergy.com. The purpose of the estimated year end 2020 financial information contained herein including but not limited to, estimates for such period, and future periods, of distributable cash flow and sources thereof, segment EBITDA, sources of EBITDA, capital allocations, segment profit and net debt to EBITDA ratios, is to assist investors, shareholders, and others in understanding certain financial metrics relating to expected year end 2020 financial results for the purpose of evaluating the performance of Gibson's business for such period and future periods. This information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Gibson has not completed its financial review process and related assessments for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2019. The results and conclusions of these assessments, along with the known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors referred to above and described in Gibson's publicly available securities laws filing available at www.sedar.com, could impact Gibson's estimates, and actual financial results, for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2020 and the information related to such period and future periods contained herein and any such impact could be material. Segment profit, EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA and distributable cash flow information presented for year end 2019 and onwards in the presentation excludes any impact of early adoption of IFRS 16 – Leases. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation represent the Company’s expectations as of the date hereof, and are subject to change after such date. The Company disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities laws. This presentation contains statistical data, market research and industry forecasts that were obtained from government or other industry publications and reports or based on estimates derived from such publications and reports and management’s knowledge of, and experience in, the markets in which the Company operates. Government and industry publications and reports generally indicate that they have obtained their information from sources believed to be reliable, but do not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of their information. Often, such information is provided subject to specific terms and conditions limiting the liability of the provider, disclaiming any responsibility for such information, and/or limiting a third-party’s ability to rely on such information. None of the authors of such publications and reports has provided any form of consultation, advice or counsel regarding any aspect of, or is in any way whatsoever associated with this presentation. Actual outcomes may vary materially from those forecast in such reports or publications, and the prospect for material variation can be expected to increase as the length of the forecast period increases. While management believes this data to be reliable, market and industry data is subject to variations and cannot be verified due to limits on the availability and reliability of data inputs, the voluntary nature of the data gathering process and other limitations and uncertainties inherent in any market or other survey. Accordingly, the accuracy, currency and completeness of this information cannot be guaranteed. The Company has not independently verified any of the data from third-party sources referred to in this presentation or ascertained the underlying assumptions relied upon by such sources. This presentation may also contain references to non-GAAP measures. These measures have been described and presented in order to provide shareholders and potential investors with additional information regarding Gibson’s liquidity and its ability to generate funds to finance its operations. Readers are encouraged to review our most recent Management’s Discussion and Analysis, available at www.gibsonenergy.com for a full discussion of the use of each measure. 28
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