INVESTOR PRESENTATION - FIRST QUARTER 2019 - SCOTIAFUNDS
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CAUTION REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS Our public communications often include oral or written forward-looking Bank’s business infrastructure; unexpected changes in consumer spending and statements. Statements of this type are included in this document, and may be saving habits; technological developments; fraud by internal or external parties, included in other filings with Canadian securities regulators or the U.S. Securities including the use of new technologies in unprecedented ways to defraud the Bank and Exchange Commission, or in other communications. 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TABLE OF CONTENTS Scotiabank Overview 4 • Canada’s International Bank 5 • Well-Diversified and Profitable Business 6 • Medium-Term Financial Objectives 7 • Why Invest in Scotiabank? 8 • Increasing Scale, Improving Focus 9 • Track Record of Earnings and Dividend Growth 10 • Strong Capital Generation and Position 11 • Progress in Digital Banking 12 • Corporate Social Responsibility 13 Appendix 1: Business Line and Financial Overview 14 • Q1 2019 Financial Performance 15 • Canadian Banking 16 • International Banking 23 • Global Banking and Markets 26 • Credit Performance by Business Lines 28 • Wholesale Funding Composition 29 Appendix 2: Canadian Housing Market 30 Appendix 3: Key Market Profiles 36 Appendix 4: Additional Information 44 Contact Information 46
Scotiabank Overview
Canada’s International Bank Top 10 Bank in the Americas1,2 FY Change Scotiabank3 Q1 2019 Y/Y Americas Revenue $7.6B +7% 7th largest bank by assets1 Net Income4 $2.3B +4% 10th largest bank by market capitalization1 Return on Equity 13.7% (260bps) Europe Operating Leverage4 (4.3%) n.a. Productivity Ratio 54.1% 220bps4 Total Assets $1.0T 12.0% Ranking by Market Share5 Canada #3 USMCA U.S.A. Top 10 Foreign Bank Full-Service Asia Mexico #6 Canada • Mexico Peru #3 #4 PAC in PAC Peru • Chile Chile #3 Colombia • Caribbean Uruguay Colombia #5 Wholesale Operations USA • UK • Hong Kong Earnings by Other Singapore • Australia Geography3,6,7 Ireland • China • Brazil C&CA 7% South Korea • Malaysia 9% India • Japan PAC 50% Canada 2018 Bank of the Year 26% Latin America and the Caribbean by LatinFinance 8% 1 Source: Bloomberg 2/24/19; 2 By assets and market capitalization; 3 Figures adjusted for Acquisition-related costs, including integration and U.S.A amortization costs related to current acquisitions, and amortization of intangibles related to current and past acquisitions; 4 Exclude employee benefits re-measurement credit of $203MM pre-tax, $150MM after-tax in Q1/18; 5 Ranking based on market share in loans as of December 2018 for PACs, as of November 2018 in Canada for publically traded banks; 6 For the three months ended January 31, 2019; 7 Excluding Corporate Americas (>90%) adjustments 5 LEADING BANK IN THE AMERICAS
Well-Diversified and Profitable Business Diversified by business and by geography, creating stability and lowering risk Earnings by Business1,2,3 Earnings by Geography1,2,3 Canadian Banking Other Canadian Banking Wealth 49% International C&CA 7% 10% Colombia 9% Global Canadian 2% Banking and Banking Markets P&C Chile 15% EARNINGS MIX 39% 6% EARNINGS MIX Canada $2.2B Peru $2.2B 50% 10% Mexico International Banking 8% U.S. 36% 8% 18.4% 14.9% 13.7% 11.5% Canadian Banking International Banking Global Banking and All Bank Markets 1 For the three months ended January 31, 2019; 2 Adjusted for Acquisition-related costs, including integration and amortization costs related to current acquisitions, and amortization of intangibles related to current and past acquisitions 3 Excluding Corporate adjustments 6 GREATER SCALE, GREATER FOCUS
Medium-Term Financial Objectives1 Q1/19 RESULTS2 METRICS OBJECTIVES (Y/Y Change) ALL BANK EPS Growth3 7%+ - ROE 14%+ 13.7% Operating Leverage3 Positive (4.3%) Capital Strong Levels 11.1% Dividend Payout Ratio 40%-50% 48.5% BUSINESS LINE CANADIAN BANKING Net Income Growth 7%+ (2%) Productivity Ratio
Why Invest in Scotiabank? Canada’s international bank • Unique footprint that provides sustainable and growing earnings and dividends and a top 10 bank in the • Strong balance sheet, capital and liquidity ratios Americas • Attractive dividend yield and long-term shareholder returns • Leading bank in the Pacific Alliance growth markets of Mexico, Peru, Chile and Colombia – a region of 230 million people with Diversified exposure to high an under-banked market and a median age of 29 quality growth markets • Earnings momentum in personal & commercial, wealth, and wholesale businesses • Gaining market share in key markets of Canada and the Pacific Alliance countries Increasing scale and market • Top 3 bank in Canada, Chile and Peru share in key markets • Increasing scale in Wealth and Pacific Alliance with $7B of strategic acquisitions in 2018 • Approximately 80% of earnings from core personal and commercial banking businesses Improving quality of earnings • Exited over 20 non-core countries and businesses since 2014 while reducing risk profile • Strong Canadian risk management culture – building stronger capabilities for AML, cyber and reputational risk • Leading levels of technology investment supports digital banking Enhancing competitive strategy. Increasing digital sales adoption with clear targets advantage in technology • Well positioned in the Pacific Alliance to leverage technology, risk and talent management and funding versus local and global competitors • Named to Top 25 ”World’s Best Workplaces” (2018) 8
Increasing Scale, Improving Focus1 Gaining scale in key markets to drive earnings growth, improve earnings quality and reduce risk 2013 Gaining Market Share (Total Loans) Increasing Scale with Strategic Acquisitions (2017-2019) 2018 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Increases wealth management assets to $230B. Canada Adds 110,000 potential primary customers. Canada Chile Doubles market share. Creates 3rd largest bank. Mexico Peru Creates #2 bank in credit cards. Chile Colombia Creates market leader in credit cards. Peru Dominican Colombia Doubles customer base. Creates 4th largest bank. Republic Improving Earnings Quality Reducing Risk Profile Between 2013 and 2019, exited 57 20 countries with either low countries 37 returns, small scale or higher countries operational risk: Turkey • Russia • Haiti • Egypt Taiwan • UAE • plus 13 others Increased wealth AUM by 37% to $282B in 2018. 2013 2019 Exited 3 non-core businesses Targeting earnings contribution to All-Bank earnings from • Reduced wholesale funding (% of assets) from 29.6% to 23.9% 12% to 15% • Reduced asset exposure in Asia by 21% 1 5-year period 2013-2018 9 INCREASING SCALE, IMPROVING FOCUS
Strong Track Record of Earnings and Dividend Growth Stable and predictable earnings with steady increases in dividends Earnings per share (C$)1,2 Total shareholder return3 Scotiabank Big 5 peers (ex. Scotiabank) +9% CAGR $7.11 16.7% 14.4% 11.8% 12.0% 11.1% $3.05 8.6% 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 5 Year 10 Years 20 Years Dividend per share (C$) $3.28 +6% CAGR $1.92 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 1Reflects adoption of IFRS in Fiscal 2011 2 Excludes notable items for years prior to 2016. For 2016 onwards, results adjusted for acquisition-related costs including Day 1 PCL impact on acquired performing loans, integration and amortization costs related to current acquisitions and amortization of intangibles related to current and past acquisitions. 3 As of January 31, 2019 10 INCREASING SCALE, IMPROVING FOCUS
Strong Capital Generation and Position Capital levels are well above minimum regulatory requirements. Expect CET1 >11%. CET1 Ratio 11.1% +28 bps 11.1% 11.2% -12 bps -9 bps -3 bps -4 bps +10 bps Q4/18 Internal Capital RWA Impact Pensions Share Other Q1/19 Net Impact of Q1/19 Pro- Generation (ex. FX) issuance / Including FX Announced Forma (buybacks) Acquisitions & (net) Divestitures Strong Capital Levels 15.3% 14.6% 14.5% 14.3% 14.6% 1.8% 1.9% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 11.2% 12.0% 11.4% 11.1% 11.1% Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 CET1 Tier 1 Tier 2 11
Progress in Digital Banking Progressing well against 2018 Investor Day digital targets Digital Retail Sales1 Digital Adoption2 In-Branch Financial Transactions3 +1400bps +700bps -800bps 25 33 33 26 22 29 23 26 20 18 15 11 F2016 F2017 F2018 Q1/19 F2016 F2017 F2018 Q1/19 F2016 F2017 F2018 Q1/19 Goal Goal Goal >50% >70%
Corporate Social Responsibility Our Priorities MEMBERSHIPS & ASSOCIATIONS Financial Responsible K now ledg e D iversity Investin g Financing and in Young Maintaining Access to Inclu sion People Climate Trust Finance Chang e Our Achievements 900,000 3 4 % women $80 Million Joint Lead Manager Achieved Canadian students in leadership in donations on $1 Billion World recognition on the participated in positions (VP+) globally in 2018 Bank Sustainable 2018 Dow Jones Talk With Our Kids globally in 2018 to support the Development Bond Sustainability Index About Money day communities to support women North America in 2018 Named as a Top we operate in and youth 100 Company in 2018 by Thomson Internal Carbon Reuters Diversity & Price set at Inclusion index $15/tonne CO 2 reinvested in energy efficiency initiatives Our Ability We have We have We have financial expertise the reach the resources 97,000+ 25 Million+ $998 Billion employees customers in assets around the globe 13
Appendix 1: Business Line and Financial Overview
Q1 2019 Financial Performance Strong revenue and balance sheet growth $MM, except EPS Q1/19 Y/Y Q/Q YEAR-OVER-YEAR HIGHLIGHTS Reported Net Income $2,247 (4%) (1%) • Adjusted Net Income down 3%2 Diluted EPS $1.71 (8%) - • Excluding pension revaluation benefit, Revenue $7,604 +7% +2% diluted EPS was in-line with last year Expenses $4,171 +19% +3% • Revenue up 7% Productivity Ratio 54.9% +550bps +30bps o Mostly relating to acquisitions Core Banking Margin 2.45% (1bp) (2bps) PCL Ratio1 47bps +5bps +8bps o Net interest income up 9% PCL Ratio on Impaired Loans1 47bps +4bps +5bps o Non-interest income up 6% 2 Adjusted2 • Expenses up 18% Net Income $2,291 (3%) (2%) o Acquisitions and the prior year’s benefits re- Diluted EPS $1.75 (6%) (1%) measurement contributed to approximately two- Expenses $4,110 +18% +4% thirds of the expense growth Productivity Ratio 54.1% +500bps +80bps o Remaining growth due to technology, regulatory initiatives, share-based payments, other business DIVIDENDS PER COMMON SHARE growth expenses +0.03 +0.03 +0.02 • PCL ratio1 on impaired loans up 4 bps 0.82 0.82 0.85 0.85 0.79 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Announced Dividend Increase 1 Provision for credit losses on certain assets – loans, acceptances and off-balance sheet exposures 2 Adjusted for Acquisition-related costs, including integration and amortization costs related to current acquisitions, amortization of intangibles related to current and past acquisitions 15
Canadian Banking Top 3 bank in personal & commercial banking, wealth and insurance in Canada • Canadian Banking provides a full suite of financial advice and banking solutions, supported by an excellent customer experience, to Retail, Small Business, Commercial Banking, and Wealth Management customers Retail Residential 56% Mortgages 61% MEDIUM-TERM FINANCIAL OBJECTIVES Target2 Q1/191,3,4 AVERAGE Net Income Growth5 7%+ (2%) REVENUE MIX1 LOAN MIX1 $3.4B $342B Productivity Ratio
Q1 2019 Canadian Banking Financial Performance Strong deposit growth and higher NIM 1 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE AND METRICS ($MM) YEAR-OVER-YEAR HIGHLIGHTS Q1/19 Y/Y Q/Q Reported • Adjusted Net Income down 2%3 o Lower real estate gains and prior year Interac gain Revenue $3,415 +3% (1%) reduced net income by 4% Expenses $1,730 +8% (1%) o Higher PCLs related to one commercial account PCLs $233 +11% +18% o Includes the impact of acquisitions Net Income $1,073 (3%) (4%) o Asset and deposit growth, margin expansion Productivity Ratio 50.6% +200bps (10bps) • Revenue up 3% Net Interest Margin 2.44% +3bps (1bp) o Includes impact of acquisitions PCL Ratio2 0.27% +2bps +4bps o Net interest income up 5% PCL Ratio on Impaired Loans2 0.27% - +5bps • Loan growth of 4% Adjusted3 o Business loans up 10% Expenses $1,709 +7% - o Residential mortgages up 3%; credit cards up 7% Net Income $1,089 (2%) (5%) Productivity Ratio 50.0% +160bps +50bps • Deposit growth of 9% o Personal up 7%; Non-Personal up 12% • NIM up 3 bps 1,3 ADJUSTED NET INCOME ($MM) AND NIM (%) 2.46% 2.45% 2.44% 2.41% 2.43% o Primarily driven by the impact of prior rate increases • Expenses up 7%3 o Includes impact of acquisitions 1,107 1,022 1,141 1,146 1,089 o Investments in technology and regulatory initiatives • PCL ratio up 2 bps to 27 bps 2 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 1 Attributableto equity holders of the Bank 2 Provision for credit losses on certain assets – loans, acceptances and off-balance sheet exposures 3 Adjusted for Acquisition-related costs, including integration and amortization costs related to current acquisitions, and amortization of intangibles related to current and past acquisitions 17
Canadian Banking: Retail Exposures High quality retail loan portfolio: ~93% secured • Residential mortgage portfolio is high quality 79% o 42% insured, and the remaining 58% uninsured has a LTV of 55%1 Real Estate • Market leader in auto loans Secured Lending o $37 billion auto loan portfolio with 7 OEM relationships (3 exclusive) o Prime Auto and Leases (~91%) o Lending tenor has been relatively stable with contractual terms for new originations averaging 78 months with projected effective terms of 55 DOMESTIC months RETAIL LOAN BOOK • Growth opportunity in credit cards $287.4B o $7.4 billion credit card portfolio represents ~3% of domestic retail loan book and 1.3% of the Bank’s total loan book o Organic growth strategy focused on payments and deepening customer relationships o Upside potential from existing customers: ~80% of growth is from existing customers (penetration rate mid-30s and trending up versus peers in the low-40s) 5% 13% o Strong risk management culture with specialized credit card teams, Unsecured Automotive customer analytics and collections focus 3% Credit Cards 1 LTV calculated based on the total outstanding balance secured by the property. Property values indexed using Teranet HPI data. 18
Canadian Banking: Residential Mortgages High quality, diversified portfolio • Residential mortgage portfolio of $216 billion: 42% insured; LTV 55% on the uninsured book1 o Mortgage business model is “originate to hold” o New originations2 had average LTV of 64% in Q1/19 o Majority is freehold properties; condominiums represent approximately 13% of the portfolio • Three distinct distribution channels: All adjudicated under the same standards o 1. Broker (~59%); 2. Branch (~20%); and 3. Mobile Salesforce (~21%) CANADIAN MORTGAGE PORTFOLIO: $216B (SPOT BALANCES AS AT Q1/19, $B) $109.2 Freehold - $188B Condos - $28B 42% $12.6 Insured Total Portfolio: $216 billion $96.6 $39.2 $9.5 $30.8 $3.6 $16.0 $29.8 $27.2 $1.8 $11.3 $9.5 $14.2 $11.1 $0.2 $8.8 $0.7 58% Uninsured Ontario BC & Territories Alberta Quebec Atlantic Provinces Manitoba & Saskatchewan % of 50.5% 18.1% 14.3% 7.4% 5.3% 4.4% portfolio 1 LTV calculated based on the total outstanding balance secured by the property. Property values indexed using Teranet HPI data 2 New originations defined as newly originated uninsured residential mortgages and have equity lines of credit, which include mortgages for purchases refinances with a request for additional funds and transfer from other financial institutions 19
Canadian Banking: Residential Mortgages (continued) High quality portfolio, lower originations in Vancouver and Toronto NEW ORIGINATIONS UNINSURED LTV* DISTRIBUTION Growth/Change Q1/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Y/Y Canada GVA Total Originations ($B) 10.3 10.5 9.3 -10% 59% Uninsured LTV 64% 63% 64% - GTA 63% BC & GTA Territories Total Originations ($B) 3.4 3.2 3.2 -6% 61% Uninsured LTV 63% 62% 63% - Atlantic Prairies 67% Provinces ON QC GVA 64% 66% 68% Total Originations ($B) 1.5 1.1 1 -33% Uninsured LTV 62% 59% 59% -3% *Average LTV ratios for our uninsured residential mortgages originated during the quarter FICO® DISTRIBUTION – CANADIAN UNINSURED PORTFOLIO1 Average FICO® Score Canada 787 56% GTA GVA 789 791 • 788 FICO is a registered trademark of Fair Isaac Corporation 1 FICO ® distribution for Canadian uninsured portfolio based on score ranges at origination 20
Automotive Finance Canada’s leader in automotive finance • Provide personal and commercial dealer financing solutions, in partnership with seven leading global automotive manufacturers in Canada • Portfolio grew 5%1 year-over-year o Personal up 4%, Commercial up 8% Exclusive Relationships Commercial 13% MAZDA VOLVO JAGUAR LANDROVER AVERAGE ASSET MIX Near-Prime 8% Retail $42.4B1 Semi-Exclusive Relationships* 100% Secured 79% Prime Retail HYUNDAI CHRYSLER GM TESLA * 1 to 2 other financial institutions comprise Semi-Exclusive relationships Market Share2 Prime Retail Market Share3 Near-Prime Retail Market Share4 Commercial Floorplan Market Share5 39% 30% 30% 61% 70% 70% 1For the three months ended October 31, 2018; 2 Data as at June 2018; 3 CBA data, includes BMO, CIBC, HSBC, National Bank, RBC, Scotiabank, TD; 4 DealerTrack Portal data, includes all Near-Prime Retail providers on DealerTrack Portal; 5 Includes BMO, CIBC, RBC, Scotiabank, TD, HSBC, Canadian Western Bank, Laurentian Bank 6 2018 amounts are based on IFRS 9. Prior period amounts were based on IAS 39; 7 Provision for credit losses on certain assets – loans, acceptances and off-balance sheet exposures 21
Tangerine Canada’s #1 Digital Bank STRATEGIC FOCUS: Simplicity • Industry-leading customer service (NPS) • Simple, market-leading products that appeal to value- • 97% digital transactions conscious and tech-savvy Canadians • Seamless digital client experience • 96% digital on-boarding • Highly competitive rates, simple products • 90% digital sales • Velocity • Enhanced self-service options, adding speed & agility • Nimble, modern platform supporting rapid development cycles ~50% multiple-product clients • Low cost, scalable business model Primary clients +18% Y/Y Partnerships • Accelerating momentum through the Toronto Raptors ~50% New Clients via Referrals • Deepening client relationships by introducing SCENE Loyalty • Strong partnership with Scotiabank Modern Platform Speed & Agility Client-Driven Innovation Unique ‘Orange’ Culture Award Winning Approach Scalable: Rapid Deployments: Incubator: Team Tangerine: Third-Party Recognition: Nimble, low cost systems Agile best practices enable Identify, explore, and pilot new Our unique culture and J.D. Power Customer Satisfaction provide a holistic client view. quick & efficient new product & technologies and solutions to lean team are an essential seven years in a row, Finovate “Best feature delivery. meet evolving Client needs. part of how we deliver. in Class” for digital experiences. 22
International Banking Leading diversified personal and commercial franchise in high quality growth markets • International Banking operates primarily in Latin America, the Caribbean and Central America with a full range of personal and commercial financial services, as well as wealth products and solutions Asia Business 4% 51% Loans MEDIUM-TERM FINANCIAL OBJECTIVES REVENUE1 Credit LOAN MIX1 Target2 Q1/193,4 25% $3.3B 71% Cards 6% $149B C&CA Latin Net Income Growth5 9%+ 18% 16% America Personal 27% 25% 24% Peru Loans Productivity Ratio
Q1 2019 International Banking Financial Performance Strong performance across the Pacific Alliance 1, 2 2 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE AND METRICS ($MM) YEAR-OVER-YEAR HIGHLIGHTS Q1/19 Y/Y Q/Q Reported • Adjusted Net Income up 18%5 Revenue $3,331 +22% +6% o Includes impact from alignment of reporting period in Expenses $1,742 +20% +1% Peru which contributed 6% PCLs $470 +37% +14% o Strong asset and deposit growth across the Pacific Net Income $782 +16% +10% Alliance Productivity Ratio 52.3% (100bps) (260bps) Net Interest Margin 4.52% (14bps) - • Revenues up 22% PCL Ratio3 1.28% +2bps +23bps o Includes impact of acquisitions PCL Ratio on Impaired Loans3 1.23% (2bps) +3bps o Pacific Alliance up 31% includes impact of acquisitions Adjusted5 Expenses $1,702 +18% +2% • Loans up 29% Net Income $805 +18% +8% o Pacific Alliance up 44% includes impact of Chile and Colombia acquisitions Productivity Ratio 51.1% (180bps) (190bps) 1,5 • NIM down 14 bps ADJUSTED NET INCOME ($MM) AND NIM5 (%) o Driven by the business mix impact of acquisitions (BBVA 4.66% 4.74% 4.70% Chile) 4.52% 4.52% • Expenses up 18%5 o Includes impact of acquisitions 805 683 715 746 o Business volume growth and inflation 675 o Productivity ratio improvement of 180bps5 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 • Positive operating leverage of 4.2%5 • PCLs ratio reflects stable credit quality 1 Attributable to equity holders of the Bank 2 Y/Y and Q/Q growth rates (%) are on a constant dollars basis, while metrics and change in bps are on a reported basis 3 Provision for credit losses on certain assets – loans, acceptances and off-balance sheet exposures 4 Net Interest Margin is on a reported basis 5 Adjusted for Acquisition-related costs, including integration and amortization costs related to current acquisitions, and amortization of intangibles related to current and past acquisitions 24
Scotiabank in the Pacific Alliance Countries Well positioned for long-term growth in large, growing market Key Highlights of Pacific Alliance countries (PACs) Population1,2 • 230 million. 6.2x Canada’s population. Projected growth outpaces Canada, other EM3 and G7 countries; median age4 of 29 Government Presidential Elections • No elections scheduled until 2021 Financial Stability • All sovereign credit ratings in IG category with central banks’ policy targeting inflation since 1999 Economy GDP1 • 9th largest economy in the world Exports5 • 64% of exports related to manufacturing Trade Partners5 • US, China and Canada are the PACs’ largest trading partners, representing 72% of exports Business Environment HDI Score Rank6 • Rank “High” or “Very High” (United Nations, 2017) Banking Penetration1 • Under-banked with average banking penetration at ~50% compared to over 90% in Canada and the U.S. Foreign Direct Investment1 • FDI averaging 3.2% of GDP compared to 1.7% in Canada and the U.S. PACs Mexico Peru Chile Colombia (Total/Average) Scotiabank Market Share7 7.1% 17.7% 14.0% 6.2% 11.5% Market Share Ranking7 6th 3rd 3rd 5th 4th Commercial, personal Commercial, personal Credit Cards and Strengths Auto and mortgages Well positioned and Mortgages and Mortgages personal Average Total Loans8(C$B) $28.1 $20.5 $45.6 $12.2 $106.3 Revenue9(C$B) $0.6 $0.6 $0.6 $0.4 $2.2 Net Income after NCI9,10(C$MM) $182 $212 $135 $39 $567 ROE9,10 25% 28% 9% 10% 16% # of Employees11,12 13,214 11,080 9,257 9,689 43,240 1 Source: World Bank 2017 8 Average loan balances over Q1/19 2 Population growth: World Bank DataBank 2017-2022 9 For the quarter ended January 31, 2019 3 EM countries include: Argentina, Brazil, China, Greece, India, Indonesia, Poland, South Africa, Turkey, and Russia 4 Source: The World Factbook, CIA 2017 10 Earnings adjusted for acquisition –related costs including integration and amortization costs related to current 5 Source: United Nation Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) 2017; Organization for Economic Co- acquisitions, and amortization of intangibles related to current and past acquisitions 11 Employees are reported on a full-time equivalent basis operation and Development (OECD) 2016 12 As of January 31, 2019 6 Human Development Index. Source: United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) 2017. For more information, 13 May not add due to rounding please refer to: http://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/2018_human_development_statistical_update.pdf 7 Ranking based on publicly traded banks by total loans market share as of December 2018 25
Global Banking and Markets Second-largest Canadian wholesale banking and capital markets business serving global clients • Full-service wholesale bank in Canada, the United States and Latin America. Offers a range of products and services in select markets in Europe, Asia and Australia. Business Canada Banking Equities 34% Asia Global 6% Other 42% Equities 10% Europe 10% 16% 60% GEOGRAPHIC REVENUE TRADING RELATED REVENUE1 BY BUSINESS LINE1 REVENUE (TEB)1,2 $1.1B $1.1B 14% $479MM Commodities 24% 24% 42% 18% US FICC Foreign Interest Rate Exchange & Credit STRATEGIC OUTLOOK • Up-tiering lending relationships, expanding our Investment Banking capabilities in key markets, increasing our investment in the Pacific Alliance to become a leader in local and cross-border banking and capital markets • Continued strong growth in deposits, improved corporate lending and investment banking results to absorb required regulatory and technology investments 1For the 3 months ended January 31, 2019; 2 All-Bank trading-related revenue 26
Q1 2019 Global Banking and Markets Financial Performance Market volatility negatively impacted results 1 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE AND METRICS ($MM) YEAR-OVER-YEAR HIGHLIGHTS Q1/19 Y/Y Q/Q • Reported Net Income down 26% Revenue $1,075 (10%) - • Revenue down 10% Expenses $645 +13% +17% o Non-interest revenue down by 12% due to lower fixed PCLs ($16) N/A N/A income trading, partly offset by higher equity trading and fee income Net Income $335 (26%) (20%) Productivity Ratio 60.0% +1200bps +850bps • NIM down 23 bps o Mainly driven by lower lending margins and loan Net Interest Margin 1.80% (23bps) +8bps origination fees PCL Ratio2 (0.07%) (3bps) +2bps • Loans up 15% PCL Ratio on Impaired Loans2 (0.01%) - +6bps o Strong corporate growth across Canada and the U.S. • Expenses up 13% 1 NET INCOME AND ROE o Higher regulatory and technology investments 16.2% 16.9% 15.6% 15.3% • PCL ratio2 improved by 3 bps to (7 bps) 11.5% o Improving credit quality in oil and gas portfolio 447 454 441 416 416 335 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 1 Attributable to equity holders of the Bank 2 Provision for credit losses on certain assets – loans, acceptances and off-balance sheet exposures 27
Credit Performance by Business Lines Stable underlying credit Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 (As a % of PCLs on PCLs on PCLs on Total PCLs on PCLs on Total Total Total Total Average Net Loans & Impaired Impaired Impaired PCLs Impaired Impaired Acceptance) Loans PCLs PCLs PCLs PCLs Loans Loans (adj) Loans Loans Canadian Banking Retail 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.28 0.28 Commercial 0.11 0.08 0.09 0.09 (0.04) 0.06 0.06 0.15 0.21 0.23 Total 0.27 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.27 0.27 International Banking Retail 2.28 2.39 2.26 2.16 2.36 2.253 2.38 2.21 2.33 2.36 Commercial 0.28 0.201 0.55 0.341 0.38 0.311, 3 0.07 (0.06) 0.19 0.26 Total 1.252 1.261, 2 1.382 1.221, 2 1.33 1.234 1.20 1.05 1.23 1.28 Global Banking and Markets (0.01) (0.04) 0.02 (0.05) (0.06) (0.05) (0.07) (0.09) (0.01) (0.07) All Bank 0.43 0.42 0.46 0.42 0.41 0.40 0.42 0.39 0.47 0.47 1 Excludes provision for credit losses on debt securities and deposit with banks 2 Not comparable to prior periods, which were net of acquisition benefits 3 On an adjusted basis; adjusted for Day 1 PCLs from acquisitions 28
Wholesale Funding Composition Wholesale funding diversity by instrument and maturity1,6,7 1% Bail-inable Notes MATURITY TABLE 34% (CANADIAN DOLLAR EQUIVALENT, $B) (EX-SUB DEBT) Senior Notes 2% Asset-Backed $26 Securities $24 $23 $4 12% Covered Bonds $1 $4 $3 $11 $19 $17 Asset-Backed $3 Commercial Paper3 $2 $247B $1 3% $1 $11 9% Mortgage $21 $17 $6 Securitization4 $15 $15 $12 34% 4% $5 Bearer Deposit Notes, Commercial Paper & Short-Term Certificate 1% Deposits from Banks2 Subordinated Debt5 < 1 Year 2 Years 3 Years 4 Years 5 Years 5 Years > of Deposits Senior Debt ABS Covered Bonds 1 Excludes repo transactions and bankers acceptances, which are disclosed in the contractual maturities table in the MD&A of the Interim Consolidated Financial Statements. Amounts are based on remaining term to maturity. 2 Only includes commercial bank deposits raised by Group Treasury. 3 Excludes asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) issued by certain ABCP conduits that are not consolidated for financial reporting purposes. 4 Represents residential mortgages funded through Canadian Federal Government agency sponsored programs. Funding accessed throu gh such programs does not impact the funding capacity of the Bank in its own name. 5 Although subordinated debentures are a component of regulatory capital, they are included in this table in accordance with EDTF recommended disclosures. 6 As per Wholesale Funding Sources Table in MD&A, as of Q1/19. 7 May not add to 100% due to rounding. 29
Appendix 2: Canadian Housing Market
Canadian Household Credit Growth Moderating Public policy changes are moderating growth in household credit • Total household credit grew at 3.1% in nominal terms in 2018 vs 2008 peak of 12.4% y/y • Consumer loans excluding mortgages (i.e. cards, HELOCs, unsecured lines, auto loans, etc.) grew at 3.0% in 2018 vs > 5% in late-2017 • Mortgage credit grew at 3.1% in 2018 vs 2008 peak of 13% HOUSEHOLD CREDIT GROWTH CONSUMER LOAN GROWTH RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE GROWTH 20 20 20 %, 3-month moving average %, 3-month moving %, 3-month moving average 18 average 18 16 15 y/y % 16 y/y % change 14 change 14 y/y % m/m % change 12 change, 10 12 SA 10 10 8 5 8 6 6 4 0 4 m/m % m/m % change, 2 change, SA 2 SA 0 -5 0 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bank of Canada. Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bank of Canada. Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Bank of Canada. 31
Housing Market Differences vs U.S. Canada’s housing market features distinct practices and policies Canada U.S. • Mortgage interest not tax deductible • Tax-deductible mortgage • Full recourse against borrowers in most provinces interest creates incentive to • Foreclosure on non-performing mortgages - no stay periods borrow and delay repayment Insurance • Lenders have limited recourse in most states • Mandatory default insurance mortgages with LTV > 80% • 90-day to 1-year stay o CMHC backed by Government of Canada (AAA). Private insurers period to foreclose on are 90% government backed non-performing mortgages o Insurance available for homes up to CAD 1 mn • No regulatory LTV limit Regulation and o Premium is payable upfront • Private insurers are not Taxation o Covers full amount for life of mortgage government backed • Homebuyers must qualify for mortgage insurance at an interest rate that is the greater of their contract mortgage rate or the Bank of Canada's conventional five-year fixed posted rate • Re-financing cap of 80% LTV on non-insured mortgages Amortization • Maximum 25-year amortization on mortgages with LTV > 80% • Maximum 30-year amortization on conventional mortgages • Down payment of > 20% required for non-owner occupied properties • Conservative product offerings, fixed or variable rate options • Can include exotic products • Much less reliance upon securitization and wholesale funding (e.g. adjustable rate Product • Asset-backed securities not subjected to US-style off-balance sheet mortgages, interest only) leverage via special purpose vehicles • Terms usually three or five years, renewable at maturity • 30-year term most common Underwriting • Extensive documentation and strong standards • Wide range of documentation and underwriting requirements 32
Housing Policy Developments in Canada Consistent policy initiatives to maintain a balanced and sustainable market 2019 2018 2017 2016 • British Columbia: Increase in • Ontario: Elimination of rent • Ontario: 16 measures aimed to • Canada: Qualifying stress rate speculation tax on foreign and control on new rental units first slow rate of house price for all new mortgage insurance domestic home owners who do occupied on or before appreciation must be the greater of the not pay income tax in BC from November 1, 2018 contract mortgage rate or the 0.5% of a property’s assessed Key aspects include: Bank of Canada's conventional value to 2%; additional school • British Columbia: Extension of o 15% non-resident five-year fixed posted rate tax levied on portion of a the Property Transfer Tax on speculation tax • Low-ratio mortgage insurance property’s value that exceeds non-resident buyers. eligibility requirements updated CAD 3 mn. Investment of more than CAD o Expanded rent control to all private rental units in Ontario for lenders wishing to use 1.6 bn through FY2021 toward portfolio insurance: the goal of building 114,000 o Vacant home tax affordable housing units in the o Maximum amortization 25 o CAD 125 mn five-year years next 10 years program to encourage construction of new rental o CAD 1 mn maximum • Canada: OSFI imposes more apartment buildings purchase price stringent stress tests for o Minimum credit score of 600 uninsured mortgages, including a minimum qualifying rate at the o Property must be owner greater of the five-year fixed occupied posted rate or the contractual • Elimination of primary residence rate plus 200 bps, effective tax exemption for foreign January 1, 2018 buyers • Minimum down payment on insured mortgages on homes valued CAD 0.5–1 mn increased from 5% to 10% • British Columbia: 15% land transfer tax on non-resident purchases in Metro Vancouver introduced 33
Household Debt: Canada vs. U.S. Canadian households’ balance sheets compare favourably to US • Canadian debt-to-income ratio is now 2.2 percentage points below the U.S. peak in 2008 o Over the last 8 years, increases in the Canadian debt-to-income ratio have slowed vs 2002–10 o Calculated on the same terms, Canada’s debt-to-income is currently 167% vs 134% in the U.S. • Canadian debt-to-assets ratio remains below U.S. o U.S. households have incentive to pursue higher asset leverage in light of mortgage interest deductibility o Debt is a stock concept, to be financed over one’s lifetime. Income is a flow concept measuring one single year’s earnings. Debt should be compared to lifetime or permanent income, or assets • Ratio of total household debt-to-GDP remains lower in Canada than U.S. o Calculated on a comparable basis, the ratio of household credit market debt is 98.6% in Canada vs 101.1% in the U.S. Household Credit Market Total Household Liabilities Household Credit Market Debt to Disposable Income As % of Total Assets Debt to GDP 200 30 130 household credit liabilities household debt % of GDP as % of disposable income as % of assets 173.8 120 180 US with 110 unincorporated 160 25 US business debt 166.8 Original 102.9 100 Canada 101.1 140 98.6 90 134.0 20 Canada* 120 17.8 80 100 Original 74.9 Canada 70 US Adjusted Canadian* 16.8 15 80 Official Canadian 60 Official US 60 50 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 10 * Adjusted for US concepts and definitions. 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 * Adjusted for US concepts and definitions. Sources: Scotiabank Economics, BEA, Federal Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Federal Sources: Scotiabank Economics, BEA, Federal Reserve Board, Statistics Canada. Reserve Board, Statistics Canada. Reserve Board, Statistics Canada. 34
Canadian Housing Fundamentals Remain Sound Solid indicators on several dimensions INTERNATIONAL IMMIGRATION TOTAL DEBT-SERVICE RATIO 2021 16 % OF DISPOSABLE INCOME NUMBER OF IMMIGRANTS Target = 350K 290 15 TO CANADA, 000S 14 1990–2017 240 average 13 12 190 11 140 10 90 95 00 05 10 15 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Statistics Canada. Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Statistics Canada. Data through 2018Q3. RESIDENTIAL UNIT SALES TO NEW LISTINGS RATIO RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGES ARREARS % OF MORTGAGES IN ARREARS 1.0 6 5 3 MONTHS OR MORE 0.8 Sellers’ Market 4 0.6 RATIO Balanced Market 3 U.S. 0.4 2 Buyers’ Market 0.2 1 Canada 0.0 0 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, CREA MLS. Data through January 2019. Sources: Scotiabank Economics, CBA, MBA. Data through 2018Q4 (US) and October 2018 (Canada). 35
Appendix 3: Key Market Profiles
Economic Outlook in Key Markets Growth expected to accelerate across the Pacific Alliance 2018 AND 2019 REAL GDP GROWTH FORECAST (%) Real GDP (Annual % Change) Country 2000–17 avg. 2018e 2019f 2020f Mexico 2.2 2.0 1.4 1.3 Peru 5.0 3.6 4.0 4.0 Chile 3.9 4.2 3.2 3.2 Colombia 3.9 2.6 3.4 3.8 PACs simple avg. 3.8 3.1 3.0 3.1 2000–17 avg. 2018e 2019f 2020f Canada 2.1 2.0 1.8 2.0 U.S. 2.0 2.9 2.4 1.7 Source: Scotiabank Economics. Forecasts as of February 7, 2019. 37
Focused on the Pacific Alliance Attractive growth opportunity for Scotiabank • Pacific Alliance o Portfolio of high quality growth markets for Scotiabank o 230 million people with median age of 29 o Largest trading partner is the United States (64% of exports) o Largest sector is manufacturing (64% of exports) o Trade bloc with free trade agreements to liberalize commerce and improve integration o Supports trade flows with Asia in order to compete with Brazil and Argentina which participate in Mercosur o Accounts for 36% of Latin America’s GDP, comparable to Brazil o Canada has bilateral free-trade agreements with all four Pacific Alliance countries and it has initiated an application for Associate Membership in the Alliance • Pacific Alliance is an Attractive Long-Term Opportunity o Region is the 6th largest goods exporter in the world o Trade bloc with governments supporting growth/significant infrastructure spending o Solid GDP growth rates relative to peers o Considerable room to increase banking penetration (avg. domestic credit around 2/3 of GDP) o Fast-growing middle-class with increasing financial demands o Favourable demographics for banking needs o Relatively stable legal, tax, and regulatory infrastructure in place o Central bankers have earned credibility and banking system is well-capitalized 38
Mexican Economy Diverse economy with a strong balance sheet 15.9% 5.8% Health & Education • The Mexican economy reflects a solid mix of Finance, Insurance, commodities, goods production, and services & Real Estate 17.5% Wholesale & • Trade remains dominated by the U.S., but 16.2% Retail Trade Other Mexico’s diversification agenda is underpinned MEXICAN GDP 15.9% by 13 free-trade agreements with 47 countries 3.1% BY INDUSTRY Manufacturing that account for 40% of global GDP Natural (Q3 2018) • Despite NAFTA-related uncertainty, investment Resources 6.3% Mining and Oil rebounded in 2018 and trade has returned to 6.5% & Gas Extraction Transportation making a positive contribution to economy-wide & Warehousing 1.9% 7.0% growth Professional, 3.8% Construction Scientific, & Technical Public Services Administration Contributions to Mexican GDP Growth Top 5 Trading Partners 5 y/y % change 4 3 Others 2 21% Germany 3% 1 United Japan 3% States 0 Canada Other 59% -1 Net Exports 4% Inventories -2 GFCF China Government Consumption 10% -3 Real GDP 16 17 18 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Haver Analytics. 39
Chilean Economy Advanced economy with wide-ranging trade links 3.4% 15.1% Natural Resources 9.7% • Chile’s mix of economic activities reflects its Finance, Insurance, & Real Estate Wholesale & Retail Trade status as an advanced market economy 8.7% 10.2% • Chile’s diversified trading relationships are Manufacturing Other supported by 21 free-trade agreements with CHILEAN GDP BY INDUSTRY 59 countries that account for 70% of global 12.5% GDP 1.9% Restaurants & (SEP 2018) Mining and Oil & Hotels Gas Extraction • Investment has been a strong contributor to growth in Chile over the past year, which 8.5% 6.2% should underpin future productivity gains Transportation & Construction Warehousing 19.3% Housing & 4.6% Personal Services Public Administration Contributions to Chilean GDP Growth Top 5 Trading Partners 8 y/y % change 6 4 China Others 27% 2 40% 0 Net Exports -2 Inventories United Investment States -4 Government Consumption South Korea 16% Real GDP Brazil -6 4% Japan 16 17 18 6% 7% Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Haver Analytics. 40
Peruvian Economy Resilient economic fundamentals • Peru’s important resource sectors are 12.7% Manufacturing 20.7% Transportation, increasingly balanced by stronger service-sector Information & activity and solid economic fundamentals Commerce • Peru has 16 free-trade agreements with 49 9.6% PERUVIAN Finance, Insurance, GDP BY countries that account for 66% of global GDP & Real Estate INDUSTRY • Investment is making a consistently strong (Q3 2018) 5.8% Construction contribution to GDP, which should make higher growth rates more sustainable in the future 31.5% Other 14.6% 5.1% Mining & Energy Natural Resources Contributions to Peruvian GDP Growth Top 5 Trading Partners 8 y/y % change 6 4 China 2 26% Others 0 44% -2 Net Exports Inventories United -4 GFCF Government States Consumption -6 Real GDP 18% 16 17 18 Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Haver Analytics. South Spain Brazil Korea 3% 4% 5% 41
Colombian Economy Gaining momentum 13.6% 2.4% 16.9% Arts & • Services account for a rising share of Colombian Finance, Insurance, Entertainment Wholesale, Retail Trade, Accommodation & Food & Real Estate GDP compared with traditional strengths in Services extractive industries 9.1% 12.0% Other COLOMBIAN Manufacturing • Colombia continues to build on its 10 free-trade GDP BY agreements with 42 countries that account for 6.2% INDUSTRY (Q3 2018) 8.2% 38% of global GDP Natural Resources Mining and Oil & Gas Extraction • Rising consumption, supported by public spending, reflects an expanding middle class as 2.8% 7.0% 6.9% growth gains momentum and converges toward Information & Communication Professional, Construction the economy’s underlying potential Scientific, 14.9% & Technical Public Administration Services Contributions to Colombian GDP Growth Top 5 Trading Partners 5 y/y % change 4 3 United 2 States Others 1 29% 44% 0 -1 Other Net Exports GFCF China -2 Government 14% Consumption -3 Real GDP Germany 16 17 18 Brazil Mexico Sources: Scotiabank Economics, Haver Analytics. 3% 6% 4% 42
Other Regions Strong contribution from leading C&CA franchise and portfolio investments in Asia • Caribbean & Central America o Operations in 16 countries contributing ~ CAD 0.7 bn in earnings in 2018 o Well-established, diversified franchise that serves retail, commercial and corporate customers o Actively managing footprint to ensure scale in larger growth markets and reduce risk profile: o Announced acquisition in Dominican Republic in August 2018 which doubles customer base and creates 4th largest bank o Announced sale of operations in 9 smaller countries in Caribbean in November 2018 o Announced sale of pension and insurance operations in the Dominican Republic in December 2018 o Announced sale of banking and insurance operations in El Salvador in February 2019 o Recognized by Euromoney for the “Best Commercial Banking” capabilities in the Caribbean and Bahamas (2017) o Recognized by Global Finance Magazine as: o “Best Bank Award 2017” in the Bahamas, Barbados, Costa Rica, Turks & Caicos and U.S. Virgin Islands; o “World’s Best Consumer Digital Bank 2017” in 24 countries across Latin America and the Caribbean; and o “Best in Mobile Banking” in the Caribbean region • Asia o Strategic portfolio investments in Asia o Thailand: 49% interest in Thanachart Bank (2007) o CAD 3.0 bn carrying value as of October 31, 2018 o CAD 590 mn of net income for twelve months ended October 31, 2018 o China: 19.9% interest in Bank of Xi’an (2009) o CAD 772 mn carrying value as of October 31, 2018 o CAD 456 mn of net income for twelve months ended October 31, 2018 43
Appendix 4: Additional Information
Additional Information Scotiabank Listings: Scotiabank Common Share Issue Information: • CUSIP: 064149107 • Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX: BNS) • ISIN: CA0641491075 • New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: BNS) • FIGI: BBG000BXSXH3 • NAICS: 522110 Scotiabank Credit Ratings Moody's Dominion Bond Standard & Investors Fitch Ratings Rating Service Poor's Services Ltd. Legacy Senior Debt1 Aa2 A+ AA- AA Senior Debt2 A2 A- AA- AA (low) Subordinated Debt (NVCC) Baa1 BBB+ - A (low) Short Term Deposits/Commercial Paper P-1 A-1 F1+ R-1 (high) Covered Bond Program Aaa Not Rated AAA AAA Outlook Stable Stable Stable Stable 1 Includes: (a) Senior debt issued prior to September 23, 2018; and (b) Senior debt issued on or after September 23, 2018 which is excl uded from the bank recapitalization "bail-in" regime 2 Subject to conversion under the bank recapitalization "bail-in" regime For further information, please contact: www.scotiabank.com/investorrelations 45
Contact Information Investor Relations Philip Smith Michael Lomas Steven Hung Senior Vice President Managing Director Vice President 416-863-2866 Treasury Sales and Market Development 416-933-8774 philip.smith@scotiabank.com 416-866-5734 steven.hung@scotiabank.com michael.lomas@scotiabank.com Lemar Persaud Judy Lai Tiffany Sun Director Director Manager 416-866-6124 416-775-0485 416-866-2870 lemar.persaud@scotiabank.com judy.lai@scotiabank.com tiffany.sun@scotiabank.com For further information, please contact: www.scotiabank.com/investorrelations 46
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