Investing the Proceeds of Growth: City of Philadelphia Budget Choices: 2020-2024 - Center City District
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Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 1 CENTER CITY REPORTS Investing the Proceeds of Growth: City of Philadelphia Budget Choices: 2020–2024 FEBRUARY 2020 CENTER CITY DISTRICT, CENTRAL PHILADELPHIA DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION FIND MORE REPORTS AT: CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG After decades of decline, Philadelphia 2019. On an annualized, inflation adjusted within its geographic boundaries.1 It can do has enjoyed 10 consecutive years of basis, that represents an increase of 2.7% this through program and capital budget unprecedented economic expansion, adding per year. expenditures, but also through tax policy. almost 89,000 jobs since 2009. Growth After decades of struggling against the During his first term, starting in 2016, produced not only more employment, but forces of decline, Philadelphia enters the Mayor Kenney focused increased revenues also rising salaries and more residents; 2020s facing the new opportunities and primarily on social inclusion: creating a new accelerating real estate construction, sales challenges of managing and expanding the City-funded pre-K program, investing in and rentals; and a flourishing hospitality benefits of growth. This report suggests libraries, recreation centers and community and retail industry. All these contributed three broad strategies or paths to consider: schools; boosting support for the School to an expanded municipal tax base that, District of Philadelphia; and enlarging Strategy 1: Enlarge the share of tax revenues when combined with several legislated rate funding for social services, addiction devoted to address crime, criminal justice and increases, produced a 39% upsurge in the treatment and homelessness. As the mayor the city’s substantial social and educational real value of tax revenues collected by the prepares a new operating budget and needs and disparities. City during the last decade. five-year plan that will guide his second Strategy 2: Place greater emphasis on Expanding tax revenues fueled a dramatic term, it is helpful to reflect on recent trends quality of life issues, infrastructure and growth in municipal spending as the and to consider the different policy options economic development to retain and attract recovery accelerated. From fiscal year 2010, Philadelphia now has, especially because more residents and businesses with the the low point of the recession’s impact on economic expansions do not last forever. means to choose many other regional or City operating expenditures, through 2019, Cities are shaped by regional and national national locations. spending from the General Fund, the city’s economic and demographic trends, by primary operating account, increased by Strategy 3: Invest more of the proceeds of changing programs and priorities of $1.6 billion, a 43% increase (4.0% per year), growth in tax reduction, lowering the cost of higher levels of government. However, at a time when the region’s Consumer Price working and doing business in Philadelphia, in an era of diminished federal funding Index (CPI) increased on average 1.3% per to prompt more widespread and inclusive, for cities, local government must play a year. Adjusting for inflation, General Fund private-sector job growth. greater role influencing what happens expenditures grew by 27% from 2010 to 1: In the last half-century, federal resources for cities have steadily declined as population has decentralized nationally. While Philadelphia’s leaders need to maximize the revenues the city can secure from Washington D.C. and Harrisburg, it is important to underscore that through both recent national Democratic and Republican administrations funding from higher levels of government has declined. The City of Philadelphia now generates 75.5% of its operating budget from tax and other revenues raised from within its boundaries. Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
2 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth Each of these strategies present viable FIGURE 1: WAGE & EARNINGS TAX RATE HISTORY, 1952–2020 alternatives, pursued by prior mayors. Each WAGE AND EARNINGS TAX RATE exemplifies a theory of change, focusing 1984: 4.9600% 5.0% on different levers to achieve policy goals. 2008: 3.9800% With limited resources however, governing 4.5% is about choice: not choosing one strategy 2020: 3.8712% 4.0% 4.3125% to the exclusion of another; rather, deciding 1984: 3.5% the appropriate emphasis to place on each 2008: 3.5392% 2020: 3.4481% 3.0% and then forging a blended strategy that secures the most prosperous future for all 2.5% city residents. This report seeks to inform 2.0% that decision by looking back at the trends 1.5% and decisions of the last two decades and 1.0% 1952: 1.2500% forward to the paths that might lead to 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 more expansive and inclusive growth. Resident Non-Resident Legacy from Recent History: Source: City of Philadelphia, Summary Schedule of Tax Rates Since 1952 In the 1970s and 1980s, the loss of manufacturing, the decline of federal FIGURE 2: MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME (CITY & SUBURBS) funding and the departure of working- and middle-class residents left behind physical deterioration, abandonment and growing Bucks County Montgomery $86,055 poverty. To respond to growing social County challenges, the City sought to sustain $88,166 high levels of service through frequent municipal tax increases, even as the tax base was steadily contracting. (Figure 1) A real estate boom in the mid-1980s was Philadelphia followed by a national economic downturn $43,744 at the end of the decade. A severe, local fiscal crisis ensued in 1990-1991, during which tax collections dropped precipitously. The City struggled to pay bills and meet contractual and budgetary obligations incurred when the economy was still expanding. Bankruptcy was prevented only Burlington through state intervention with the creation County of the Pennsylvania Intergovernmental $84,992 Cooperation Authority (PICA), the issuance of PICA-backed bonds to reduce debts, the Delaware introduction of a new local sales tax and County $71,539 the establishment of fiscal guardrails as part of a required five-year financial plan. Camden County With PICA’s authority set to expire in 2023, $67,118 Philadelphia appears to have turned a corner. Despite positive trends however, the city still has the highest poverty rate of the 10 largest U.S. cities and the second highest Tract of the largest 25. Too many residents have Gloucester Less than $20K $50K to $74,999 Not Available low incomes that create significant housing County $20K to $34,999 $75K to $99,999 Source: US Census Bureau, affordability challenges. Job growth since $85,160 $35K to $49,999 $100K or More American Community Survey, 2014-2018 CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 3 the end of the recession, while positive, $1,503,818.4 Without broader growth, the next nine years, with real (inflation- remains low compared to other major cities. Philadelphia’s low median income and adjusted) total spending increasing by $1.1 Recent accelerating employment expansion limited assessed value of property outside billion by 2019, a 27% increase (Figure 4).5 is concentrated disproportionately in low- Greater Center City will leave the City and This translates into an average annual real wage jobs, when compared to other major the School District with a diminished tax increase of 2.7%. cities, which are growing a much larger base and continuing fiscal challenges A recent analysis by The Pew Charitable share of family sustaining jobs.2 Even with (Figure 3). Trusts found that Philadelphia’s growth the revival of neighborhoods surrounding Looking in the rear view mirror at the in per capita government expenditures Center City and University City, housing recent past, Philadelphia’s growth appears from 2008 to 2018 is comparable to other deterioration and abandonment remain impressive. Out the side windows however, major cities. However, the analysis did not major challenges in many communities. we see many peer cities that faced similar examine the specific categories that grew, Despite a few thousand luxury challenges, passing by with faster rates of nor did it ask if there are alternative ways condominiums downtown being added to growth, more family-sustaining jobs and for Philadelphia to allocate or invest these Philadelphia’s citywide inventory of 680,000 significantly lower poverty rates. The sunset unprecedented proceeds of growth.6 That is housing units, regional wealth remains of PICA in just three years provides the a central focus for this analysis. overwhelmingly concentrated in the suburbs impetus and opportunity for Philadelphia Expansion of the Base: With more jobs, (Figure 2). We are far from reversing the both to look back and to consider the higher salaries, increased business volume effects of 50 years of decentralization, choices that might produce a more and sales, population growth and new disinvestment and decline. Philadelphia’s prosperous future. construction, there is more to tax, even median household income is just $43,744. The median household income in Chicago Fiscal Trends of the without an increase in rates. An expanded Past Decade: municipal tax base is a huge dividend is $55,198; New York City, $60,762; Boston of growth. From 2009 to 2019, adjusting $65,883 and San Francisco $104,552.3 The After reaching a peak in 2008, just before for inflation, the base for the wage and assessed value per pupil of city real estate the Great Recession, the City’s General earnings tax grew by 27%; the sales tax is $241,946, the state average is $489,935; Fund expenditures fell to a low point in base expanded by 18%, while the real Pittsburgh, $690,347; Lower Merion is 2010 and then rebounded dramatically over estate transfer tax base jumped by 131%.7 FIGURE 3: ASSESSED VALUE PER PUPIL: 2017 MARKET VALUE/2017-18 ENROLLMENT Lower Merion $1,503,818 Radnor $1,395,072 Council Rock $990,724 Pittsburgh $690,347 Philadelphia $241,946 Erie $214,146 Reading $85,540 State Average: $489,935 $0 $200,000 $400,000 $600,000 $800,000 $1,000,000 $1,200,000 $1,400,000 $1,600,000 $1,800,000 Source: PA Department of Education 2: Growing More Family Sustaining Jobs in Philadelphia, Center City District, October 2019. 3: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2018 five-year estimates. 4: CCD calculations based on PA Department of Education data. 5: This calculation includes Department of Human Services expenditures within the grants revenue fund to account for the transfer of DHS grant funding to that fund in fiscal year 2012. 6: How Philadelphia’s Expenditures Have Increased in Recent Years, The Pew Charitable Trusts, December 2019. 7: Wage and earnings tax base growth calculation includes PICA tax revenues. Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
4 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth FIGURE 4: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA ADJUSTED GENERAL FUND EXPENDITURES, FY 1998 – FY 2019 (2019 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS) $6.0 $5.0 $5.24 $4.96 $4.72 $4.66 $4.51 $4.49 $4.46 $4.44 $4.46 $4.30 $4.30 $4.0 $4.29 $4.29 $4.21 $4.19 $4.18 $4.15 $4.12 $4.10 $3.96 $3.92 $3.78 $3.0 $2.0 $1.0 $0.0 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FIGURE 5: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA TAXABLE ASSESSED VALUE OF Following the implementation of the Actual PROPERTY TAX YEAR 2013 – 2019 (DOLLARS IN BILLIONS) Value Initiative (AVI) in 2013, total taxable assessed value increased from $91.9 billion $140.0 to $115.6 billion in 2019, an 18% increase after adjusting for inflation (Figure 5). $120.0 $115.6 On top of a growing base came several $104.2 $105.0 legislated rate increases for use and $100.0 occupancy, sales, parking and real estate $91.9 $90.9 $90.2 $91.8 transfer taxes. The real estate tax rate increased from 8.264% in 2010 to 9.771% $80.0 in 2013, prior to the citywide reassessment under the AVI. Rates then increased again $60.0 from 1.34% in 2014 (after AVI) to 1.3998% in 2016. $40.0 As a result, the yield from every major City tax rose (in inflation-adjusted dollars) $20.0 from FY09 to FY19. Wage and earnings tax revenues were up 25%; real property tax revenues were up 53%; business income $0.0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 and receipts revenues were up 23%; net profits tax revenues rose by 158%; sales tax revenues increased by 54% and real estate transfer revenues were up 152%. CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 5 In total, municipal tax revenues increased Increased Benefits to the School District: Other Revenue Sources: from $2.95 billion to $4.11 billion during this Because the School District of Philadelphia For a complete understanding of the City’s period, an increase of 39% in real terms.8 is not an independent taxing authority, overall financial picture, it is essential to City tax revenue increased every year for the City of Philadelphia also collects consider not only the General Fund, the the past 10 years, with the exception of taxes for the benefit of its public schools. City’s largest operating account, but also 2015, when state legislation required the Each of those major taxes also increased other sources, such as federal and state dedication of $120 million in local sales tax significantly in real terms from fiscal grants and funds dedicated to specific revenues to the School District. (Figure 6) 2009 to fiscal 2019. The rise in real estate purposes. Besides the General Fund, the taxes resulted in an increase of 18% in the Curtailment of Rate Reductions: The growth City also manages a Grant Revenue Fund, revenue received by the School District in revenues also reflects a significant, the Hotel Tax Revenue Fund, the Community from this source.9 Use and occupancy tax additional policy choice, discussed in Development Fund, the Housing Trust Fund, revenues were up 38%, while school detail below: the City did not continue the Car Rental Tax Fund, a Special Gasoline income tax revenues rose by 70%. In the substantial annual, across-the-board Tax Fund and a County Liquid Fuels Tax addition, the District began receiving reductions in the wage and business taxes Fund. Together, these constitute all local $120 million annually in revenues generated that began in 1996 and continued for 14 tax, non-tax and grant revenue sources that by the local sales tax, beginning in fiscal consecutive years during the Rendell and pay for the programs that are largely within 2015. Overall District tax revenues increased Street administrations and the first two the discretion of local decision-makers. By 46% in inflation-adjusted dollars over the years of Mayor Nutter’s term. comparing these over time, it is possible to past decade. track how priorities have changed between fiscal year 1998 and 2018, the most recent year for which complete data is available.10 FIGURE 6: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA TAX REVENUES BY CATEGORY, FY 1990 – FY 2019 (2019 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS) $4,500 $3,600 $2,700 $1,800 $900 $0 FY90 FY91 FY92 FY93 FY94 FY95 FY96 FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Wage and Earnings Real Property Business Income Sales Real Estate Transfer Other and Receipts 8: These calculations include wage, earnings, and net profits taxes dedicated to the Pennsylvania Intergovernmental Cooperation Authority (PICA). These are effectively local taxes although they are dedicated to PICA and used to cover debt service payments on PICA debt. The amounts of PICA taxes not required for debt service are transferred to the City General Fund. 9: The real estate tax of 13.998 per $1,000 of taxable assessed value is divided in 2020: 6.317 goes to the City and 7.681 goes to the School District. 10: Funds excluded from the analysis are the city’s “enterprise” funds: the Water and Aviation funds, which are financed primarily by user charges, the HealthChoices Behavioral Health Fund, which finances Medicaid behavioral health services though federal and state dollars, and the Acute Care Hospital Assessment Fund, which holds tax funds received from local hospitals that are returned to the state to finance the Medicaid program. These latter funds were established relatively recently, and excluding them allows for comparisons over long time periods, the focus of this report. Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
6 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth In fiscal year 2018, the sum total of The City’s spending growth began to FIGURE 7: CITY OF revenue received by these funds was accelerate after fiscal 2015, increasing $529 PHILADELPHIA REVENUES $5.74 billion with tax revenues being million or 10% in real terms from 2015 to IN MAJOR FUNDS, BY FUND the largest share, accounting for 68.5% 2018. This represents an average annual AND TYPE FISCAL YEAR 2018, of all revenue11 (Figure 7). Other local increase of 3.2%. (DOLLARS IN MILLIONS) sources, besides taxes, include fees for While data for all operating expenditures in licenses and permits, emergency medical REVENUES BY SOURCE fiscal 2019 is not yet available, rapid growth services, trash collection and court filing appears to have continued. General Fund LOCAL TAXES fees, interest earnings, and code violation spending increased 6.3% in FY19, and is General Fund $3,856 67.2% fines. These constitute another 7.0% of projected to increase an additional 7.7% in Hotel Room Tax Fund $69 1.2% revenue. Together, they add up to 75.5% fiscal 2020, at a time when inflation is less of City operating revenue – all generated Car Rental Tax Fund $6 0.1% than 2% annually.14 locally, based on decisions made locally. The TOTAL $3,931 68.5% other large source of funding is grants from Changes in Priorities Over LOCALLY-GENERATED federal and state governments and other Two Decades: NON-TAX $403 7.0% entities, which make up 23.4% of revenues. GRANTS Overall, real spending increased by $1.22 Figure 9 shows how these revenues are billion or 26% from fiscal 1998 to fiscal Federal $401 7.0% allocated by broad program categories. 2018. Some portions of the city budget State $881 15.3% Public safety and court costs form the grew while others declined, reflecting not Other $63 1.1% largest category at $1.51 billion; health only the priorities of different mayors and TOTAL $1,345 23.4% and human services is next at $1.45 city councils, but also mandated pension contributions and declines in some INTERFUND billion; employee benefits is third at $1.38 TRANSFERS $55 1.0% billion; economic development, culture categories of federal funding. However, OTHER $8 0.1% and recreation comes next at $593 million; some clear patterns emerge over the last governance and administration totals $502 two decades. TOTAL $5,742 100.0% million; debt service and other consumes REVENUES BY FUND Figure 11 compares expenditures $338 million; and education receives General $4,556 79.4% (in constant 2018 dollars) in 1998 to $158 million.12 expenditures in 2018 in seven broad Grants Revenue $1,017 17.7% Expenditure Trends program categories. In six out of seven, Community $33 0.6% Over Two Decades: spending increased. The largest categories Development – public safety, health and human services, Hotel Room Tax $69 1.2% Figure 10 looks at longer-term trends, and employee benefits – all increased Car Rental Tax $6 0.1% comparing total City expenditures from substantially, by 23%, 12%, and 91% County Liquid Fuels fiscal year 1998 to 2018. Total expenditures, $9 0.2% respectively in the last two decades. The Tax expressed in constant 2018 dollars, largest dollar increase was in employee Special increased 26% over the 20-year $37 0.6% benefits, rising by $657 million in real terms, Gasoline Tax period, from $4.71 billion to $5.94 billion. representing more than one-half of the total, Housing Trust $14 0.2% Real spending declined in only six of the real increase in spending in all categories. TOTAL $5,741 100.0% 20 years.13 Education spending increased by more than Figure 8 shows all these revenue sources in pie chart form. 11: T he tax amount includes local wage, earnings and net profits dedicated to the Pennsylvania Intergovernmental Cooperation Authority (PICA). The amount shown is PICA taxes net of the cost of PICA debt service. 12: A detailed listing of how City departments and agencies were assigned to these categories is presented in the Appendix. 13: The reasons for declining expenditures were: Fiscal 2005 and 2006. Reduced spending reflected austerities due to the City’s deteriorating financial position. The fund balance had declined from $295 million in fiscal 2000 to $14 million in fiscal 2004. Increasing pension costs were also a factor, because the pension fund incurred significant losses in the recession of the early 2000s. Fiscal 2009 and 2010. Spending declined due to the recession, which caused significant reductions in most major tax revenues. The City cut spending through a hiring freeze, efficiencies in criminal justice and child welfare programs, adopting self-insurance for employee health care benefits, and state-authorized deferrals of pension contributions. Fiscal 2013. City spending declined modestly ($9.1 million) due to lower spending in economic development, housing, health, and human Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009. Fiscal 2015. Spending in fiscal 2015 was lower due to two unusual factors that had increased costs in 2014: repayment of deferred pension payments, and retroactive wages for City firefighters that were paid in fiscal 2014 but represented prior year wages, due to a delayed contract settlement. 14: Quarterly City Managers Report, Period Ending September 30, 2019, City of Philadelphia Budget Office, November 15, 2019. CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 7 to a decline in real General Fund spending. FIGURE 8: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA REVENUES BY TYPE Grants revenue for operations in these MAJOR FUNDS, FY 2018 areas has kept up with inflation. Notably, there was a significant capital grant from the William Penn Foundation in 2016 of up to $2.29 B Wage, Earnings and Net Profits Tax $100 million for the Rebuilding Community $650 M Real Estate Tax 15% Infrastructure Initiative (“Rebuild”) to $446 M Business Income and Receipts Tax 35% transform city parks, libraries, recreation 7% centers and playgrounds. The decline in $332 M Real Property Transfer Tax the City’s support for the Pennsylvania $198 M Sales Tax 7% Convention Center reflects the state’s $276 M Other Taxes 5% assumption of additional financial $403 M Locally-Generated Non-Tax 4% 11% responsibility for the Center following its 6% 8% expansion in 2011. $401 M Federal Grants State Grants Reduced spending in Planning and $881 M $5.74 Billion Development results primarily from cuts $63 M Other Grants Total Revenue in the federal Community Development $63 M Interfund Transfers and Other Block Grant (CDBG) and related programs, but also reflects some reduced local taxpayer support. These reductions were FIGURE 9: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA EXPENDITURES BY partially offset by new local funding PROGRAM CATEGORY MAJOR FUNDS, FY 2018 through the Housing Trust Fund, which receives dedicated revenue from real estate $1.51 B Public Safety and Judicial recording fees. 6% $1.45 B Health and Human Services The reduction in the Streets Department 8% 26% primarily results from declines in local $1.38 B Employee Benefits support. State grant funding from the 10% Economic Development, county liquid fuels and special gasoline tax $593 M Culture and Recreation grants has largely kept pace with inflation. $502 M Governance and Administration However, Mayor Kenney has signaled his 23% 24% intention to increase spending for sanitation $338 M Debt Service and Other services in the coming fiscal year. $158 M Education The only subcategories within the economic $5.94 Billion development category that increased during Total Expenditures this period are arts and culture (+$4.5 million) and the Department of Commerce (+$34.1 million) (Figure 12). 200%, primarily due to higher contributions During the last two decades, reductions The last increase is entirely due to growth to the school district and new community occurred for the Free Library (-$4.4 in the special-purpose Hotel Room Rental schools and pre-K programs established by million); Parks and Recreation (-$8.3 Tax, which supports the City’s convention the Kenney administration. The only broad million); City support for the Pennsylvania sales and tourism marketing agencies. category that declined was the economic Convention Center (-$29.1 million); housing This investment of industry-specific tax development, culture and recreation, which and planning programs that recently dollars has supported efforts to expand decreased by 18%. consolidated under the Department of the hospitality industry and fill the Planning and Development (-$90.7 million); Appendix 1 contains a brief overview of increased number of hotel rooms, resulting the City’s operating subsidy to SEPTA changes in those major spending categories in significant job growth in entry-level (-$0.7 million); and the Streets Department and various subcategories of spending. positions in hotels, restaurants and (-$33.1 million). The discussion that follows below focuses food services. on the one category that decreased: The reasons for lower spending vary by Economic Development, Culture category. In the case of parks, recreation and Recreation. and libraries, reductions are primarily due Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
8 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth Changes in Local Funding programs. The largest increases were in judicial system and for social needs like Over Two Decades: employee benefits ($584 million), and public health, human services, and education. safety, and judicial programs ($287 million). Emphasis shifted away from Strategy 2 Because federal and state funds may rise Economic development, culture and priorities: improving quality of life across or fall, a different way to frame this analysis recreation programs declined $63 million all neighborhoods, facilitating commerce, is to look at just the priorities for local tax (Figure 14). helping attract and retain residents and dollars. The picture remains largely the businesses. Where the City has invested in same. From fiscal 1998 to 2018, local tax In sum, City budget priorities during the economic development in the last decade, support through the General Fund for every past two decades shifted toward employee it has yielded significant dividends, though major spending category increased in real benefits and to those activities termed in primarily focused on lower wage sectors. terms, with the exception of economic the introduction as Strategy 1 priorities: development, culture and recreation expanding support for public safety, the FIGURE 10: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA EXPENDITURES, ALL PROGRAM CATEGORIES MAJOR FUNDS, FY 1998 – FY 2018 (2018 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS) $7.00 $6.00 $5.94 $5.77 $5.65 $5.56 $5.57 $5.48 $5.52 $5.41 $5.39 $5.41 $5.00 $5.30 $5.29 $5.29 $5.28 $5.35 $5.23 $5.17 $5.04 $4.92 $4.88 $4.71 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FIGURE 11: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA EXPENDITURES BY PROGRAM CATEGORY MAJOR FUNDS, FY 1998 AND FY 2018 (2018 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS) $1,600 $1,513 $1,449 $1,400 $1,383 $1,292 $1,233 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $725 $721 $600 $593 $502 $454 $400 $338 $237 $200 $158 $49 $0 Health and Public Safety Employee Benefits Economic Governance Debt Service Education Human Services and Judicial Development, Culture and Administration and Other and Recreation FY98 FY18 CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 9 Given compelling local need and the decline well-maintained parks are critical to event of an economic downturn of having in federal funds to facilitate inclusion, it ensuring that Philadelphia remains an to choose between cutting services or is understandable why City priorities have attractive place to live, locate a business increasing taxes. Cutting services in a moved in this direction. Public safety is an and to work. However, absent more funds recession will be devastating to those in essential focus in a city where crime rates from higher levels of government, the need. Raising tax rates will be counter- remain high. Quality public education is City must rely on its own municipal tax productive to the retention and attraction key to lifting children out of poverty and base, which remains relatively small in of business and the growth of family increasing workforce participation. comparison to other major cities and to sustaining jobs. adjacent counties, whether measured in Avoiding Either/Or Choices: terms of property values or income. This Philadelphia has already found creative ways to avoid these either/or choices. Still, quality of life factors like clean and constrains Philadelphia’s ability to fund During the past 20 years, the largest pothole free streets, reliable transit, and all programs and creates the risk in the FIGURE 12: CITY OF PHILADELPHIA EXPENDITURES FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, CULTURE, AND RECREATION PROGRAMS (2018 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS) Notes: AMOUNT PERCENT PROGRAMS FY98 FY18 1.Includes Art Museum subsidy, Office of Arts and CHANGE CHANGE Culture and the Creative Economy, Atwater Kent Arts and Culture1 $4.5 $8.9 $4.5 100% Museum subsidy, Civic Center subsidy, and Mural Arts Program. Free Library $54.5 $50.1 ($4.4) -8% 2. Includes Camp William Penn. Parks and Recreation 2 $81.5 $73.2 ($8.3) -10% 3. Includes Office of Housing and Community Development, Department of Planning and Commerce/City Representative $51.4 $85.5 $34.1 66% Development, City Planning Commission, Convention Center Subsidy $44.1 $15.0 ($29.1) -66% Historical Commission, and Zoning Board of Adjustment. Planning and Development 3 $171.1 $80.4 ($90.7) -53% SEPTA Subsidy $82.7 $81.9 ($0.7) -1% Streets $231.2 $198.1 ($33.1) -14% TOTAL $720.8 $593.1 ($127.7) -18% FIGURE 13: ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND RECREATION PROGRAMS LOCAL TAX SUPPORT AND TOTAL SPENDING, FY 1998 – FY 2018 (2018 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS) $900 $800 $786 $721 $736 $728 $697 $700 $604 $613 $593 $600 $500 $440 $432 $415 $400 $385 $365 $336 $351 $290 $300 $200 $100 $0 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY02 FY07 FY12 FY17 FY18 Local Tax Support Total Expenditures Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
10 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth reductions in federal funding have been in FIGURE 14: CHANGE IN GENERAL FUND TAX SUPPORT FOR the area of community development – not PROGRAM CATEGORIES, FY 1998 – FY 2018 resources to address homelessness, but (2018 DOLLARS IN BILLIONS) funding to rehabilitate existing homes, reinforce stable neighborhoods and improve $700 housing quality and options for working $584 $600 families whose incomes are constrained. The City has increased local funding for $500 housing and community development $400 by harnessing the proceeds of growth: committing expiring abatements from $300 $287 market rate development to affordable housing, providing density bonuses (not $200 $108 exactions) in return for contributions to $85 $100 affordable housing and dedicating transfer $41 $8 taxes to the Housing Trust Fund. These $0 are promising ways to align, rather than -$100 -$63 juxtapose, the momentum of the market Employee Public Safety Education Debt Service Health and Governance and Economic Development with the need for affordable housing, so Benefits and Judicial and Other Human Services Administration and Recreation long as they are not achieved by adding even more costs onto development. Other cities Public services in general, such as in education, job training and services also augment constrained capital budgets sanitation, public safety and education, for those of limited means and mobility by making greater use of tax increment and physical projects, like playgrounds, and seeks to stabilize moderate-income financing (TIF) districts to capture the recreation centers and street paving neighborhoods, it must simultaneously proceeds of local growth for broader capital, produce visible results. They signal progress prompt faster employment growth. transit and public area improvements that in toward stated goals. They build the public’s Only in this way will there be sufficient turn prompt additional private investment. confidence in government and send positive opportunities in the city for those seeking signals to those who seek to invest. to enter the workforce and to enjoy the There is also a lot of evidence that quality benefits of growth. Only the creation of of life investments, like cleaning, greening However, 41.2% of all working residents more family-sustaining jobs will persuade and gardening on abandoned lots in low of Philadelphia reverse commute to jobs those with the option to leave that there income neighborhoods, improve community outside the city. At the same time, our are promising reasons to stay.16 This leads confidence and home values and have a two largest employment nodes, Center to a consideration of Strategy 3: Expanding positive effect on Strategy 1 objectives, City and University City hold 53% of all of employment by lowering the cost of working reducing crime and enhancing perceptions Philadelphia’s jobs and are easily accessible and doing business in Philadelphia. of safety. at the center of the regional transit system. Therefore, as Philadelphia invests FIGURE 15: CITY AND SCHOOL DISTRICT OF PHILADELPHIA TAX RATES WAGE TAX BIRT GROSS NET REAL USE AND REAL ESTATE YEAR RESIDENT NON-RESIDENT RECEIPTS INCOME ESTATE OCCUPANCY TRANSFER 1995 4.9600% 4.3125% 3.25 mills 6.50% 8.2640% 4.6200% 3.000% 2000 4.6135% 4.0112% 2.65 mills 6.50% 8.2640% 4.6200% 3.000% 2005 4.3310% 3.8197% 1.9 mills 6.50% 8.2640% 4.6200% 3.000% 2010 3.9296% 3.4997% 1.415 mills 6.45% 8.2640% 4.6200% 3.000% 2015 3.9200% 3.4915% 1.415 mills 6.41% 1.3400% 1.1300% 3.000% 2020 3.8712% 3.4481% 1.415 mills 6.20% 1.3998% 1.2100% 3.278% CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 11 Tax Policy, An authority from the Commonwealth to levy (Figures 1 & 15). Further increases in the Historical Perspective: a temporary 1% wage tax. By the 1960s, as 1980s brought it to 4.96%, as Philadelphia the city lost its industrial base and jobs and became a very highly taxed municipality, When Philadelphia thrived with a vibrant residents accelerated their movement to the compared to competitor cities and nearby manufacturing economy in the early 20th suburbs, the City doubled the wage tax to suburbs. Today, despite recent reductions, century, anchored by railroads and rivers, 2% and added new business taxes. our wage tax still remains almost four times the majority of jobs in the region were as high as most surrounding municipalities concentrated in the city. Local government In the 1970s, additional rate increases were and our business taxes can add a 20% supported itself primarily through the levied on a steadily declining tax base to to 30% premium to locating in the city real estate tax. In 1939, a decade into support generous municipal employee labor compared to adjacent suburbs. the Great Depression when property contracts. In that decade, the wage tax values plummeted, Philadelphia received was raised multiple times from 2% to 4.3% In an era when post-industrial firms and FIGURE 16: FISCAL IMPACT OF WAGE AND EARNINGS TAX RATE REDUCTIONS (2019 DOLLARS IN MILLIONS) $40 $38.4 $35 $30 $29.2 $28.2 $25 $24.1 $20.4 $21.1 $20 $18.0 $17.3 $14.9 $14.7 $14.9 $14.7 $14.5 $15 $9.6 $10.0 $10 $4.7 $4.9 $5.1 $5.2 $5 $1.7 $1.8 $0.6 $0.0 $0.0 $0 FY96 FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 Note: The most significant wage cuts over this period occurred at the beginning of FY09, when the resident wage tax declined from 4.219% to 3.98% and the non- resident tax from 3.7242% to 3.5392%. The FY09 reductions were financed primarily by a large infusion of $86.5 million in state gaming proceeds, a funding stream that the City has continued to receive at a much reduced rate over the past decade. (In the figure, the $14.5 million reduction in FY09 represents the amount of the reduction financed by local taxpayers.) In all other years, the primary source of reductions came from the decision not to spend every tax dollar collected for services. FIGURE 17: FISCAL IMPACT OF BUSINESS INCOME AND RECEIPTS TAX RATE REDUCTIONS (2017 DOLLARS IN MILLIONS) $18 $16.8 $16 $14.1 $14 $13.4 $9.6 $12 $10 $9.2 $8 $6 $4 $2 $1.8 $1.0 $1.0 $1.0 $2.5 $0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Gross Receipts Net Income Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
12 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth employees are highly mobile, one way to jump-start development; by 14 years of the proceeds of growth should be invested in to measure the City’s commitment to sustained and predicable tax reduction and tax reduction, lowering the cost of working economic growth is the extent to which it by long-term municipal financial stability, and doing business in Philadelphia, to prompt takes the less visible steps to improve its courtesy of the guidelines and guardrails more widespread and inclusive, private-sector attractiveness through tax competitiveness. established by PICA. job growth? Effective and equitable tax policy is more than geographic or industry-specific, Philadelphia 2020 — A Tale of To answer, it is important to underscore One City Growing Too Slowly: that 14 years of significant, annual tax targeted inducements, abatements or reduction implemented by Mayors Rendell, incentives. Rather, it should be a citywide The rebound from decades of manufacturing Street and Nutter from 1996 to 2010 was effort to create a competitive setting for the decline, however, is far from complete. not primarily achieved by securing new growth of jobs of all kinds. Philadelphia has the highest poverty rate of sources of revenue to pay for tax reduction the 10 largest U.S. cities. More than 200,000 Beginning in 1992, with the infusion of new (though new gaming revenues did have a city households, that make $50,000 or less, revenues from PICA, with their requirement significant impact in one year). Wage and devote 30% or more of their incomes to for a balanced budget, a five-year plan business tax reduction occurred largely pay for housing. While job growth has been and the provision that all municipal labor because not every tax dollar collected by positive since the end of the recession, it contracts take into account their impact the City was devoted to salaries and services. remains low compared to other major cities. on the municipal budget, the City regained Instead, some was reserved to enhance Philadelphia has added jobs at the rate of financial stability. Following decades of rate competitiveness. 1.5% per year since 2009; the 25 largest increases across most of the city’s major tax cities have achieved growth rates of 2.3% The Slowdown of Tax Relief: As shown in sources, in 1996 the Rendell administration per annum. Cities like Boston, New York Figure 16, the amount of collected revenue began a multiyear plan of reductions in and Washington D.C. have exceeded their not spent on services, but dedicated to wage wage and business taxes, recognizing 1970 job levels. Philadelphia still has 23% tax reductions, in constant 2019 dollars, their deleterious effect on local growth. fewer jobs than in 1970. Recent accelerating ranged from $9 million to $38 million per Significant reductions continued through employment expansion is concentrated year for 15 consecutive fiscal years, from eight years of the Street administration disproportionately in low-wage jobs, when 1996 to 2010 for an average of $19.3 million and the first two years of the Nutter compared to other major cities, which are per year. Continuous wage tax reduction Administration. They were temporarily growing a much larger share of family came to a halt with the recession. There suspended during the recession and sustaining jobs. High school and college was no reduction in fiscal 2012 and 2013. resumed at a much slower rate beginning graduation rates outside of Greater Center Beginning in fiscal 2014, the City resumed in FY14. (Figures 16 and 17) City remain very low in comparison to our the reductions, but at a much lower level, The city’s resurgence in the past decade suburbs and many with reductions since that time averaging builds upon the national economic other cities. just $5 million per year. expansion, upon favorable demographic 2020 and Beyond — From fiscal years 1996 to 2010, the revenue trends and a growing national preference Choosing the Path Forward: forgone due to tax cuts in any single year for walkable, transit-oriented, live-work was never more than 1% of total General settings with diverse cultural amenities. In 2020, Philadelphia has an extraordinary Fund obligations. The actual revenue Local strengths include professional and opportunity created by the 39% increase in impact of the tax rate reductions ranged business services; education, health care the real value of tax revenues received by from 0.23% to 0.98% of General Fund with a growing focus on biomed innovation; the City during the last decade. As Mayor spending, and averaged 0.47% of the budget. a burgeoning technology sector, small Kenney begins his second term, he has the When the rate cuts resumed in FY14, they business formation and a vibrant restaurant ability to adjust spending priorities to focus were significantly smaller, never exceeding and startup scene. more on key quality of life challenges, gar- one-tenth of one percent of General Fund ner new support for investments in schools The stage was set for growth in the 1990s spending.15 Had Philadelphia devoted the and, by revisiting tax policy, he can set in by major investments in quality of life same amount to wage tax reduction from motion more expansive and inclusive growth and hospitality; by sustained, well-funded 2014 to 2019 as the average committed trends, leaving a legacy that bears fruit long public space management programs from 1996 to 2010 ($19.3 million per year) after his second term in office ends. and enhancements in Center City and in rather than $5.2 million per year, the wage University City; by citywide tax abatements To consider Strategy 3, it is necessary first tax for city residents would have been to pose the question: How large a portion of 15: T hese calculations include Department of Human Services’ obligations in the Grants Revenue Fund to allow for comparisons over time. Beginning in fiscal year 2012, the City shifted the majority of that department’s spending from the General Fund to the Grants Revenue Fund. CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 13 reduced to 3.6881% rather than 3.8809%. in annual increments of 0.05% to 6.20% in net income), reducing the tax base but not For suburban residents working in the city, 2020. The rate is scheduled to decline to the rate. This exemption has mitigated the rate would have dropped to 3.2863% 6.0% in 2023. the impact of BIRT on thousands of small rather than 3.4567%. If cuts in this range businesses, removing more than 50,000 While the fiscal impact of the gross receipts were projected forward for the next four from the tax rolls, while shifting the burden cuts ranged from $9 million to $17 million years, by 2024 the wage tax could be to larger businesses. A 2018 CPDC analysis from 2004 to 2008, since resuming in 2014, reduced to 3.5148% for city residents and to of Department of Revenue records found the reductions in the net income portion 3.1323% for suburban residents who work that office-using firms account for 21% of have not cost more than $1.8 million in Philadelphia.16 citywide jobs, but shoulder 57% of the BIRT per year. If reductions beginning in 2020 burden. When added to Use and Occupan- There were also significant reductions in were funded at the same annual dollar cy charges, these taxes place a premium the Business Income and Receipts Tax commitment between 2004 and 2008, ($13.1 from 20% to 30%, depending on the type of (BIRT) beginning in 1996, with the gross million/year), the net income portion of the firm, on the cost of locating within the city receipts portion reduced each year from BIRT could be reduced to 5.15% by 2024.17 compared to the surrounding suburbs. As 1996 to 2008, cutting the rate from 3.25 The Shifted Tax Burden: Since the reces- a result, while the exemption was helpful mills to 1.415 mills (a 56% reduction) sion, the City also altered the structure of to many small neighborhood businesses, (Figure 17). The rate reductions ceased the BIRT, changing how revenues within it shifted the burden onto precisely those during the recession and in 2011, the City and outside the city are apportioned for tax firms with the greatest ability to leave adopted a new policy approach, maintaining purposes to favor all businesses located the city. the gross receipts tax at 1.415 mills, in Philadelphia. In addition, new regula- implementing instead modest reductions The Case For Tax Reform: tions exempted the first $100,000 in gross to the net income portion of the BIRT. This receipts from the BIRT tax base (along Those who defend the diminished size rate dropped from 6.45% in 2013 to 6.4% in with a proportionate reduction in taxable of reductions suggest that it is all the 2014, and has been reduced subsequently City can “afford,” given other compelling needs and cuts that were made during the FIGURE 18: CITY AND SCHOOL DISTRICT OF PHILADELPHIA Great Recession. They frequently cite the TAX REVENUE DISTRIBUTION BY TAX CATEGORY, FY 1995 – FY 2019 cumulative, multiyear total of the reductions from 1996 to the present, rather than the actual annual amount of the commitment 100% 3% 3% 3% 4% 5% in relation to the overall size of the General 4% 4% 4% 7% 6% 7% Fund. Nor do they weigh the positive impact 10% 7% 11% 13% on business decisions by firms considering 11% 11% 80% 11% 10 to 15 year leases, if the City’s five-year plan provides reassurance that occupancy costs due to business taxes will go steadily down, narrowing the gap between city and 60% 47% 48% suburban occupancy costs. 46% 45% 44% 43% The core argument for tax reduction, on the scale of the Rendell, Street and first 40% few Nutter years, is that it constitutes an investment in citywide job retention and expansion, putting more income into the 20% hands of wage earners, while making the 36% 34% 33% 34% 33% 33% city a more competitive place for businesses of all sizes to grow. 0% A further justification for wage and business FY95 FY00 FY05 FY10 FY15 FY19 tax reduction, first advanced in the Rendell Real Property Tax Personal Income Tax Business Income Tax Sales Tax Other Tax years and reaffirmed by two independent 16: This calculation assumes that the wage tax base will increase at the rates projected in the City’s FY20-FY24 Five Year Financial Plan, and that the value of the City’s annual investment in wage tax cuts increases by 2.5% annually through 2024. 17: This calculation assumes the BIRT net income tax base will increase at rates projected in the City’s five-year plan, and that the annual investment in BIRT reduction will increase at 2.5% annually. Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
14 | Investing the Proceeds of Growth tax reform commissions, one in 2003 and larger share of local tax revenue, nor were business taxes are avoidable through another in 2009, is that the overall mix of they used to offset and reduce the burden of relocation within the region, they have taxes that Philadelphia levies is counter- other taxes. What needs to occur is growth the most significant negative economic productive. It is not that Philadelphia taxes in the base as more businesses choose to impact.19 too much; Philadelphia disproportionately expand, develop and lease more real estate. Each day, as 41.2% of Philadelphia’s taxes the wrong things. Growing demand for office and workspace workforce reverse commutes to jobs in the produces rising rents and more property Considering all local taxes (including suburbs, they work alongside colleagues used for business purposes, yielding higher those levied by the City and on behalf of who live in the suburbs, paying no more assessed values and a greater share of the School District), wage and business than their locality’s 1% wage tax. Since real estate tax revenues from commercial taxes in fiscal year 2019 comprised half state law obligates suburban employers properties. What little change in the of all local tax revenue, while real estate to withhold the 3.8% wage tax from city proportional weighting of Philadelphia’s tax taxes (including the use and occupancy tax) residents, there is a significant incentive portfolio that has occurred during the past made up just 31%. The sales tax and real (a 2.8% salary increase) for reverse quarter century has been largely due to estate transfer tax each generate 6% of commuters to find homes closer to the increase of sales and parking tax rates revenue, while other levies (including taxes their jobs. The amenities and lifestyle of and new taxes on cigarettes and sweetened on parking, amusements, liquor, cigarettes, Philadelphia have a strong appeal, but they beverages. and sweetened beverages) make up the are pitted each day against pocketbook remaining 6%. A recent analysis by the Pew Charitable issues that Philadelphia has the direct Trusts found that, among the 30 largest US ability to address. The basic share of City tax revenue that cities, Philadelphia’s overall reliance on comes from these different sources has not Philadelphia can perhaps continue to levy the property tax in 2015 was the lowest – at changed significantly since 1995. Excluding these taxes at rates significantly higher than only 25% of tax revenue raised by local the volatile real estate transfer tax, wage the region and other cities and still achieve government. That study also concluded that and earnings taxes have declined modestly, modest levels of growth during periods of Philadelphia ranked second highest out of from 47% to 43% of all tax revenue. economic expansion, as we are currently 30 major cities in the percent of total local Business tax revenue has increased from doing, because of significant amenities revenues derived from business taxes and 10% to 11% of the total (Figure 18). and locational advantages. However, slow third in its dependence on the wage tax.18 growth and low wage jobs will never Despite recommendations of the two tax In 2020, Philadelphia’s very high reliance on generate sufficient revenues locally to commissions that the city should increase wage and business taxes still makes us an meet needs unless the tax base grows. Nor its reliance on the real estate tax (taxing outlier among competitor cities. will it create sufficient well-paying jobs what cannot easily move, rather than Options and Choices For for those with the education and means to taxing highly mobile businesses and the Next Four Years: leave. Both can achieved best by lowering employee salaries), revenues from the wage, business and use-and-occupancy tax property tax have actually declined from Put simply, funding for schools, recreation, barriers more aggressively, bringing them in 36% to 33% of total taxes. This occurred housing and social services is essential to line with other cities and nearby suburbs. despite the enactment of the AVI, which meet the needs of Philadelphia’s residents. held the promise of realizing increased real However, it is not sufficient to secure a What is an appropriate wage tax rate? estate tax revenue in growth areas (and future with more of the well-paying job One can compare Philadelphia rates to lower taxes in areas that were struggling) opportunities. other major cities with local income taxes. assuring that assessments would more With the notable exception of New York, Wage and Business Tax Reform: To realize closely reflect market values. The 2009 tax America’s largest city and one with global more expansive and diversified growth, as is commission specifically recommended reach, no other large U.S. city levies a local occurring in other large cities, Philadelphia dedicating a portion of increased revenue resident income tax at a rate that exceeds should reaffirm its commitment to a from rising real estate taxes to lowering 3.05%, the rate in Baltimore. (Notably, more competitive tax structure by making the rates for wage and business taxes. their commuter income tax is only 1.25%, significant, predictable, ongoing reductions However, increases in the real estate and and other Maryland counties typically to wage and business taxes. Philadelphia’s the use and occupancy tax rates during levy income taxes at similar rates.) Most unique mix of taxes is an outlier compared the past decade have not been sufficient business leaders interviewed as part of the to other cities, and, because wage and to cause real estate taxes to constitute a 2009 tax commission process suggested a 18: The Cost of Local Government in Philadelphia, The Pew Charitable Trusts, March 2019. 19: Other factors that may account for Philadelphia’s slow job growth rate and the disproportionately small share of family-sustaining jobs created since 2009 are outlined in CPDC’s October 2019 report, Growing More Family-Sustaining Jobs. However, local tax policy looms large and is largely within local control. CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation
Investing the Proceeds of Growth | 15 reasonable goal for Philadelphia would be tax from 3.4481% in 2020 to 3.3023% in pay debt service and returned the remainder to get the wage just below 3%. Other cities 2025. The stronger strategy would result to the City’s General Fund. Currently, PICA’s with income taxes include Indianapolis in a resident rate of 3.5433% and a non- share of the wage tax revenue exceeds $550 (2.02%), Detroit (2.4%), and Columbus (2.5%). resident rate of 3.1566% by 2025. For BIRT, million annually. Because the debt service if the entire competitiveness investment was structured in large declining tranches, The annual commitment to wage tax were allocated to lowering the net income unlike the level debt service of a typical reduction can be incremental, because the tax, under the moderate scenario the rate home mortgage, the amount currently cumulative impact can be significant. Since would drop from 6.20% in 2020 to 5.50% in devoted by PICA to retire the bonds has 1996, the resident wage tax has declined by 2025. Under the stronger scenario, BIRT’s declined to just $47 million per year, with more than a percentage point (from 4.96% net income rate would be lowered to 4.81% the balance annually transferred to the to 3.87%), and the gross receipts portion in 2025. City in form of a grant to supplement the of the BIRT has declined by 56% (from operating budget. 3.25 mills to 1.415 mills). The principle Predictability is particularly important for of continuous, reliable, predictable and businesses and office tenants considering PICA will sunset in 2023. City and state fiscally responsible reductions should be a long-term leases. If current wage and officials and civic leaders are beginning to cornerstone of the city’s fiscal policy. business tax rates are committed to a discuss whether to reauthorize its oversight Rather than lock in a schedule of rate downward trajectory in the five-year plan, powers and/or its ability to issue debt for reductions that may be not achievable this provides confidence to businesses some new purpose; whether its oversight in time of contraction, Philadelphia that tax rates and higher-than-suburban powers might be increased or decreased; could adopt simple rule: expressing its occupancy costs will steadily decline. or if it simply goes out of business.20 commitment to competitiveness as a Considering how many regional and If the Authority’s debt issuance powers percentage of total annual expenditures. national firms currently have small are renewed, the PICA portion of the wage If tax revenues and budgeted spending outposts, clustered in coworking spaces on tax could also be reauthorized. (However, rise, so does the amount committed to tax short-term agreements, Philadelphia has a given how little is currently devoted to reduction. If they fall, the dollar amount of significant opportunity to lock in for a longer debt service and how much flows into tax reduction would be curtailed. term many expanding businesses who value the City operating budget, only modest our workforce, but are concerned about our A moderate tax reform strategy, based on amounts could be borrowed, unless the costs. the experience of the last two decades, City restructured its sources of operating would commit 0.5% of the budget to wage Expiration of PICA and Opportunities for income.) If the bonding capacity of PICA is and business tax rate reductions. A strong Change. The expiration of PICA in 2023, not reauthorized, the resident portion of the tax reform strategy would set the annual the last year of Mayor Kenney’s second wage tax will automatically drop by 1.5% investment in tax competitiveness and term, will occur as many candidates will be (currently that would achieve a reduced economic growth at 1.0% of budgeted positioning to run for Mayor. This creates resident rate of 2.3%). Alternatively, in 2023 spending. Based on projected spending another significant opportunity for change. the City will have to increase the wage growth rates in the current five-year tax rate for residents by 1.5%, largely to When PICA was created in 1991, it was given financial plan, the moderate scenario would stay even with wage tax revenues, while the authority to receive a portion of City tax result in a $28 million allocation to tax cuts not having a visible impact on taxpayers. revenues to pay debt service on bonds that in 2021, an amount that would increase to Regardless, the decision represents a major it issued to ease the City’s fiscal crisis. The $30 million by 2025. The stronger scenario landmark for the City that should not be City decided to allocate to PICA the first would result in a $56 million investment taken lightly, if only because its implications 1.5% of the wage tax paid by City residents. in tax reduction in 2021, increasing to $61 need to be represented now in the coming Since FY92, PICA has used this revenue to million by 2025. Based on the proportional five-year plan. revenue generated by the wage tax and the BIRT, a reasonable allocation would FIGURE 19: STRONGER TAX REDUCTION SCENARIO: be to devote 70% of the funds allocated to PROJECTED WAGE AND BIRT RATES, 2021–2025 competitiveness to the reductions in the wage tax and 30% to BIRT reductions. 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 The moderate strategy would reduce the Wage Tax Resident Rate 3.8712% 3.8035% 3.7368% 3.6713% 3.6067% 3.5433% resident wage tax from 3.8712% in 2020 Wage Tax Non-Resident Rate 3.4481% 3.3879% 3.3286% 3.2704% 3.2130% 3.1566% to 3.7072% in 2025 and the non-resident BIRT Net Income Rate 6.20% 5.93% 5.65% 5.37% 5.09% 4.81% 20: The Future of Fiscal Oversight in Philadelphia, The Pew Charitable Trusts, January 2020. Center City District & Central Philadelphia Development Corporation CENTERCITYPHILA.ORG
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