International Protection Needs of Asylum-Seekers from Afghanistan - 12 March 2018 - Vienna, Austria

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International Protection Needs of Asylum-Seekers from Afghanistan - 12 March 2018 - Vienna, Austria
International Protection Needs of
Asylum-Seekers from Afghanistan
       12 March 2018 – Vienna, Austria
International Protection Needs of Asylum-Seekers from Afghanistan - 12 March 2018 - Vienna, Austria
Contents
•   A brief history                     •   Risk profiles
•   Major incidents in Kabul, 2016-     •   Internal protection alternatives
    2018                                •   Humanitarian response &
•   Afghanistan at war                      presence
•   Attacks on religious leaders and    •   Food security
    worshippers                         •   Livelihoods
•   Regions most affected by conflict   •   Health
•   Internal displacement – timeline    •   Education
•   Context                             •   Conclusion
•   Ethnic diversity
International Protection Needs of Asylum-Seekers from Afghanistan - 12 March 2018 - Vienna, Austria
A brief history…
                                       1979-1989: Soviet occupation,
1978: Saur Revolution, People's                                                                                     1996-2001: Taliban rule Kabul and
                                        resistance by mujahideen, 6            1990s: Political instability and
Democratic Party of Afghanistan                                                                                     most of the country, resistance by
                                       million refugees flee to Iran and              power vacuum
         seize power                                                                                                       “Northern Alliance”
                                                   Pakistan

2014-2018: Significant increase in
violence and civilian casualties as
 ANSF battle with different AGEs         2009-2013: Taliban regroup,         2002-2008: Relative improvement         2001: US-led intervention forces
   including emergence of ISK.        renewed insurgency and sporadic        in security situation, international     Taliban out of Kabul and other
    Afghanistan re-classified by      violence particularly in rural areas      investment in reconstruction                       cities
   UNSG from “post-conflict” to
      “active conflict” in 2017.
International Protection Needs of Asylum-Seekers from Afghanistan - 12 March 2018 - Vienna, Austria
Major incidents in Kabul, 2016-2018
                                                                                     Massive truck                                   Suicide
                                                                                    bomb in Wazir                                   attack in
                                                                                   Akbar Khan kills                               central Kabul
                                                           At least 32              150 and injures           Attack on a            near the
             Taliban
                                                            killed and                almost 500,             Shia cultural       perimeter of
             militants
                                                           >80 injured                 significant           centre kills 50       the “Green
              attack                Truck
                                                            in suicide                damage to               and injures         Zone” kills 3
            ANSF, at             bomb and
                                                           bombing of              embassies, local           >80 people,         and wounds
             least 64             complex
                                                              a Shia               businesses and               mainly              at least 7
            killed and           attack on a
                                                             mosque                 UNHCR office                Hazara                people
February       >350       July     hotel in    September                 March                        June              January
            wounded                 Kabul                                                                                                   2018
  2016                    2016                   2016                    2017                         2017               2018               March

Suicide        2016        Almost 100 2016         Twin        2016    Over 100        2017          Three     2017Intercontinental 2018
attack in      April        Hazaras August        suicide    November people           May        explosions December
                                                                                                                    attack, VBIED February
  Kabul                   (Shia) killed         attacks in             killed or                  at a funeral       (ambulance)
 kills at                   and 260            Kabul kill at          injured by                  kill 20 and         blast at the       VBIED
least 20                 injured during          least 41            gunmen in                       wound            Ministry of        against
 people                     peaceful           people and            attack on a                  almost 100       Interior (next to   Australian
   and                   protest at Deh        injure >100             hospital                                      old UNHCR          Embassy
 injures                    Mazang                                                                                   compound),        convoy, 3
 dozens                      Square                                                                                    Save the         killed, 24
                                                                                                                   Children attack      wounded
                                                                                                                     in Jalalabad
International Protection Needs of Asylum-Seekers from Afghanistan - 12 March 2018 - Vienna, Austria
Afghanistan at war
          Civilians casualties in Afghanistan, 2009-2017                            Victim profile

                                                                                  30%

                                                                                                            58%
                                                  6,834   7,469   7,924   7,015
         4,368   4,709   4,821       5,669
 3,557
                                                                                  12%

 2,412   2,792   3,133   2,769       2,969        3,701   3,565   3,510   3,438

 2009    2010    2011    2012        2013         2014    2015    2016    2017

                                 Deaths     Injured                                men   women   children
International Protection Needs of Asylum-Seekers from Afghanistan - 12 March 2018 - Vienna, Austria
Civilian deaths / injuries by region, 2009-2017
Regions most                               3,500

affected by                                3,000

conflict                                   2,500
                                                                                                                Southern

                                                                                                                Central

16% of verified civilian casualties were   2,000
recorded in Kabul city in 2017

                                           1,500                                                                Eastern
For the first time, in 2017, UNAMA
recorded attacks by ISK outside of                                                                             South Eastern
Nangarhar or Kabul, in Herat province
                                           1,000                                                                    Northern
                                                                                                                Western
In 2017, conflict caused new internal                                                                          North Eastern
displacement in 31 out of 34 provinces
                                            500

                                              -                                                             Central Highlands
                                                   2009    2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017
International Protection Needs of Asylum-Seekers from Afghanistan - 12 March 2018 - Vienna, Austria
Attacks on religious leaders & worshippers
38 separate attacks on places of worship, religious
leaders and worshippers verified in 2017
 • 3 x the number of attacks recorded in 2016

500 civilian casualties, predominantly Shia Muslims
(Hazara), verified in 2017
 • Double the number of casualties with this profile, compared to 2016
International Protection Needs of Asylum-Seekers from Afghanistan - 12 March 2018 - Vienna, Austria
Gulbibi, a 70 year internally
                   displaced women from
                   Kunduz province. Gulbibi is
                   a widow who lives with her
                   daughter-in-law who has
                   four young children. She lost
                   her only son, who was a
                   victim in a suicide attack.
                   Gulbibi's eldest grandson is
                   six years old and collects
                   garbage to help the family.
                   Gulbibi survives through the
                   charity of her neighbors and
                   by begging in Kabul city.
© UNHCR / S.Rich
Internal displacement - timeline
                                                                                                                                                                                1.8 m 1.8 m

                                                                                       1.8 million
                                                             1.2 m                      conflict                                                                        1.2 m

                                                     759 k
                                                                                     induced IDPs                                                               805 k
                                                                     665 k           (new and protracted – est.)                                        631 k

                                                                                                                                         448 k 486 k
        332 k                                                                                                                    352 k
                        274 k 297 k 316 k 259 k                                                                  231 k
                                                                                                                         297 k
                160 k                                                        184 k 160 k 143 k
                                                                                               129 k 154 k
 15 k
 1993

         1994

                 1995

                         1996

                                1997

                                       1998

                                              1999

                                                      2000

                                                              2001

                                                                      2002

                                                                              2003

                                                                                     2004

                                                                                            2005

                                                                                                   2006

                                                                                                          2007

                                                                                                                  2008

                                                                                                                          2009

                                                                                                                                  2010

                                                                                                                                          2011

                                                                                                                                                 2012

                                                                                                                                                         2013

                                                                                                                                                                 2014

                                                                                                                                                                         2015

                                                                                                                                                                                 2016

                                                                                                                                                                                        2017
Context
•   Elections in July 2018, with National
    Unity Government facing significant
    political challenges
•   Lack of government capacity to fund
    or implement development programs
    and basic services
•   Deteriorating security, diminishing
    humanitarian access
•   Emergence of Islamic State-
    Khorasan (ISK)
•   Internal displacement
•   Economic growth crashed from 14%
    in 2012 to 2% in 2013 (2.6% in 2017)
Ethnic
diversity
Risk Profiles
(NB: illustrative of certain risks, not exhaustive)

Individuals perceived to   Humanitarian aid and
support Government or      development workers,
                                                          Tribal elders and     Women and children in
      international        human rights activists,
                                                          religious leaders     certain circumstances
  community, and their        and their family
    family members               members

                                                           Religious/ethnic       Men and women
                             Men of fighting age,
 Journalists and media                                   minorities, diverse    suspected of violating
                           children at risk of forced
     professionals                                              sexual          Shari’a or contravening
                                  recruitment
                                                        orientation/gender ID        social mores
Internal Protection Alternatives
   Must be “relevant” and “reasonable”

       Is the area of relocation practically, safely, and legally accessible to the individual?

        Can the claimant lead a relatively normal life without facing undue hardship?

       Must be more than a “safe haven” away from the area of origin

   If an individual would be without family links or effective social protection from an established community
   network, relocation is unlikely to be reasonable
Internal Flight or
Relocation Alternative
“The claimant must be able to find
safety and security and be free
from danger and risk of injury.
This must be durable, not illusory
or unpredictable. In most cases,
countries in the grip of armed
conflict would not be safe for
relocation, especially in light of
shifting armed fronts which could
suddenly bring insecurity to an area
hitherto considered safe.”
Humanitarian
Response &
Presence
                   IOM Country
                   Office
                   IOM suboffice
                   IOM project
                   office

IOM: 448 staff,
4% international
UNHCR: 234
staff, 12%
international
37% districts
inaccessible;

11% districts
where only
district
administrative
centre is
accessible
UNHCR community protection
   measures programme
           video
Food Security

                                  © UNHCR / S.Rich
      40%             41%
                                  Gull Andam, age 35, with her children Hamiedulla, age 8,
 people are food   children < 5   and Khadija, age 4, cooking food outside her house. Gull
    insecure         stunted      Andam and her family were displaced to Mazar city seven
                                  months ago. Here, she works in the houses of her
                                  neighbors and washes their clothes.
Livelihoods

    34%                40%           © UNHCR / S.Rich

 working-age     Afghan population   His name is Ali Muhammad. He is 57, has 8 children. His
population are    live in poverty    two sons-in-law were beheaded by the Taliban. In his
unemployed /
                                     place of origin, he was busy with agriculture and
                                     livestock. Now, not having my livestock with him, he
underemployed                        earns 150 Afs a day. They are three families in one house
                                     and pay 2,500 Afs per month for rent.
Health
• Poor quality services, inequity in services provision, shortage
  of qualified health care providers particularly women
• High rates of preventable maternal, infant, and child mortality
  and morbidity;
• 46% of Afghan women were married
Education
• 2/3 girls do not go
  to school
• almost 50% girls
  marry before
  turning 18 years of
  age                   © UNHCR / S.Rich

• 41% of schools in     Ziarahman, age 8, (left) and Rehimullah, age
                        10 (right) use the solar lamps provided by
  Afghanistan do not    UNHCR and partner to read and write and
  have buildings        study their lessons. Jalalabad, Afghanistan.
Conclusion

                                                                                               Many development
   Widespread and                               Weak governance                                  gains since 2001
                                                                          AGEs control or
  escalating conflict    Internal protection       and rule of law,                            have been lost as a
                                                                        contest almost half
  causing record #       alternatives (eg. in    limited capacity of                              result of armed
                                                                        the country, young
  civilian casualties     Kabul, Herat) are         National Unity                             conflict, and serious
                                                                           men and boys
 especially in Kabul,     not “relevant and       Government and                                   human rights
                                                                        targeted by parties
         forced          reasonable” in the           provincial                                violations by State
                                                                       to the conflict based
   displacement in       absence of family           authorities to                                and non-State
                                                                            on perceived
     every region,          support or an            deliver basic                               actors, which are
                                                                        support/opposition,
increase in violence    effective community          services and                              the leading causes
                                                                         high risk of forced
and targeted killings          network          implement policies                                   of internal
                                                                             recruitment
     with impunity                                in practical terms                            displacement and
                                                                                                 forced migration
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