International Protection Needs of Asylum-Seekers from Afghanistan - 12 March 2018 - Vienna, Austria
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Contents • A brief history • Risk profiles • Major incidents in Kabul, 2016- • Internal protection alternatives 2018 • Humanitarian response & • Afghanistan at war presence • Attacks on religious leaders and • Food security worshippers • Livelihoods • Regions most affected by conflict • Health • Internal displacement – timeline • Education • Context • Conclusion • Ethnic diversity
A brief history… 1979-1989: Soviet occupation, 1978: Saur Revolution, People's 1996-2001: Taliban rule Kabul and resistance by mujahideen, 6 1990s: Political instability and Democratic Party of Afghanistan most of the country, resistance by million refugees flee to Iran and power vacuum seize power “Northern Alliance” Pakistan 2014-2018: Significant increase in violence and civilian casualties as ANSF battle with different AGEs 2009-2013: Taliban regroup, 2002-2008: Relative improvement 2001: US-led intervention forces including emergence of ISK. renewed insurgency and sporadic in security situation, international Taliban out of Kabul and other Afghanistan re-classified by violence particularly in rural areas investment in reconstruction cities UNSG from “post-conflict” to “active conflict” in 2017.
Major incidents in Kabul, 2016-2018 Massive truck Suicide bomb in Wazir attack in Akbar Khan kills central Kabul At least 32 150 and injures Attack on a near the Taliban killed and almost 500, Shia cultural perimeter of militants >80 injured significant centre kills 50 the “Green attack Truck in suicide damage to and injures Zone” kills 3 ANSF, at bomb and bombing of embassies, local >80 people, and wounds least 64 complex a Shia businesses and mainly at least 7 killed and attack on a mosque UNHCR office Hazara people February >350 July hotel in September March June January wounded Kabul 2018 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2018 March Suicide 2016 Almost 100 2016 Twin 2016 Over 100 2017 Three 2017Intercontinental 2018 attack in April Hazaras August suicide November people May explosions December attack, VBIED February Kabul (Shia) killed attacks in killed or at a funeral (ambulance) kills at and 260 Kabul kill at injured by kill 20 and blast at the VBIED least 20 injured during least 41 gunmen in wound Ministry of against people peaceful people and attack on a almost 100 Interior (next to Australian and protest at Deh injure >100 hospital old UNHCR Embassy injures Mazang compound), convoy, 3 dozens Square Save the killed, 24 Children attack wounded in Jalalabad
Afghanistan at war Civilians casualties in Afghanistan, 2009-2017 Victim profile 30% 58% 6,834 7,469 7,924 7,015 4,368 4,709 4,821 5,669 3,557 12% 2,412 2,792 3,133 2,769 2,969 3,701 3,565 3,510 3,438 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Deaths Injured men women children
Civilian deaths / injuries by region, 2009-2017 Regions most 3,500 affected by 3,000 conflict 2,500 Southern Central 16% of verified civilian casualties were 2,000 recorded in Kabul city in 2017 1,500 Eastern For the first time, in 2017, UNAMA recorded attacks by ISK outside of South Eastern Nangarhar or Kabul, in Herat province 1,000 Northern Western In 2017, conflict caused new internal North Eastern displacement in 31 out of 34 provinces 500 - Central Highlands 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Attacks on religious leaders & worshippers 38 separate attacks on places of worship, religious leaders and worshippers verified in 2017 • 3 x the number of attacks recorded in 2016 500 civilian casualties, predominantly Shia Muslims (Hazara), verified in 2017 • Double the number of casualties with this profile, compared to 2016
Gulbibi, a 70 year internally displaced women from Kunduz province. Gulbibi is a widow who lives with her daughter-in-law who has four young children. She lost her only son, who was a victim in a suicide attack. Gulbibi's eldest grandson is six years old and collects garbage to help the family. Gulbibi survives through the charity of her neighbors and by begging in Kabul city. © UNHCR / S.Rich
Internal displacement - timeline 1.8 m 1.8 m 1.8 million 1.2 m conflict 1.2 m 759 k induced IDPs 805 k 665 k (new and protracted – est.) 631 k 448 k 486 k 332 k 352 k 274 k 297 k 316 k 259 k 231 k 297 k 160 k 184 k 160 k 143 k 129 k 154 k 15 k 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Context • Elections in July 2018, with National Unity Government facing significant political challenges • Lack of government capacity to fund or implement development programs and basic services • Deteriorating security, diminishing humanitarian access • Emergence of Islamic State- Khorasan (ISK) • Internal displacement • Economic growth crashed from 14% in 2012 to 2% in 2013 (2.6% in 2017)
Ethnic diversity
Risk Profiles (NB: illustrative of certain risks, not exhaustive) Individuals perceived to Humanitarian aid and support Government or development workers, Tribal elders and Women and children in international human rights activists, religious leaders certain circumstances community, and their and their family family members members Religious/ethnic Men and women Men of fighting age, Journalists and media minorities, diverse suspected of violating children at risk of forced professionals sexual Shari’a or contravening recruitment orientation/gender ID social mores
Internal Protection Alternatives Must be “relevant” and “reasonable” Is the area of relocation practically, safely, and legally accessible to the individual? Can the claimant lead a relatively normal life without facing undue hardship? Must be more than a “safe haven” away from the area of origin If an individual would be without family links or effective social protection from an established community network, relocation is unlikely to be reasonable
Internal Flight or Relocation Alternative “The claimant must be able to find safety and security and be free from danger and risk of injury. This must be durable, not illusory or unpredictable. In most cases, countries in the grip of armed conflict would not be safe for relocation, especially in light of shifting armed fronts which could suddenly bring insecurity to an area hitherto considered safe.”
Humanitarian Response & Presence IOM Country Office IOM suboffice IOM project office IOM: 448 staff, 4% international UNHCR: 234 staff, 12% international
37% districts inaccessible; 11% districts where only district administrative centre is accessible
UNHCR community protection measures programme video
Food Security © UNHCR / S.Rich 40% 41% Gull Andam, age 35, with her children Hamiedulla, age 8, people are food children < 5 and Khadija, age 4, cooking food outside her house. Gull insecure stunted Andam and her family were displaced to Mazar city seven months ago. Here, she works in the houses of her neighbors and washes their clothes.
Livelihoods 34% 40% © UNHCR / S.Rich working-age Afghan population His name is Ali Muhammad. He is 57, has 8 children. His population are live in poverty two sons-in-law were beheaded by the Taliban. In his unemployed / place of origin, he was busy with agriculture and livestock. Now, not having my livestock with him, he underemployed earns 150 Afs a day. They are three families in one house and pay 2,500 Afs per month for rent.
Health • Poor quality services, inequity in services provision, shortage of qualified health care providers particularly women • High rates of preventable maternal, infant, and child mortality and morbidity; • 46% of Afghan women were married
Education • 2/3 girls do not go to school • almost 50% girls marry before turning 18 years of age © UNHCR / S.Rich • 41% of schools in Ziarahman, age 8, (left) and Rehimullah, age 10 (right) use the solar lamps provided by Afghanistan do not UNHCR and partner to read and write and have buildings study their lessons. Jalalabad, Afghanistan.
Conclusion Many development Widespread and Weak governance gains since 2001 AGEs control or escalating conflict Internal protection and rule of law, have been lost as a contest almost half causing record # alternatives (eg. in limited capacity of result of armed the country, young civilian casualties Kabul, Herat) are National Unity conflict, and serious men and boys especially in Kabul, not “relevant and Government and human rights targeted by parties forced reasonable” in the provincial violations by State to the conflict based displacement in absence of family authorities to and non-State on perceived every region, support or an deliver basic actors, which are support/opposition, increase in violence effective community services and the leading causes high risk of forced and targeted killings network implement policies of internal recruitment with impunity in practical terms displacement and forced migration
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