INSIDER - SNACKING INDUSTRY Investors Acquire a Taste for Snacking in a Post-COVID World - Brown Gibbons Lang & Company
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INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE INDUSTRY SNACKING INDUSTRY Investors Acquire a Taste for Snacking in a Post-COVID World
Brown Gibbons Lang & Company is a founding member of Global M&A CHICAGO CLEVELAND Partners, the world’s leading part- One Magnificent Mile One Cleveland Center nership of independent investment 980 N Michigan Ave 1375 East 9th Street banking firms. We have access to — Suite 1800 Suite 2500 Chicago, IL 60611 Cleveland, OH 44114 and deep experience in — all major international markets. p 312.658.1600 p 216.241.2800 f 312.368.1988 f 216.241.7417 Clients can confidently rely on PHILADELPHIA having a senior investment banker One Liberty Place to lead the execution of all aspects 1650 Market Street of their global financial advi- Suite 3600 sory needs. Our exceptional track Philadelphia, PA 19103 record of completing complex p 610.941.2765 cross-border transactions is a testament to the effectiveness of BGLCO.COM our global network. Argentina Germany Peru Austria Greece Poland Daniel J. Gomez Belgium Hong Kong Romania Managing Director Bosnia-Herzegovina Hungary Serbia Food & Beverage Brazil India Slovenia Brown Gibbons Lang & Company 312.658.4789 Canada Israel South Korea dgomez@bglco.com Central America Italy Spain Chile Japan Sweden China Kenya Switzerland Colombia Latvia Turkey Croatia Luxembourg United Kingdom Denmark Mexico United States Finland Netherlands France Norway GLOBALMA.COM
INSIDER Snacking Industry April 2021 Investors Acquire a Taste for Snacking in a Post-COVID World 1 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
CONTENTS 1 Introduction 03 2 Key Players During the Pandemic 04 3 Industry Review 06 Global Snacking Trends 06 Global Drivers 09 COVID Alters Snacking Habits 10 4 Segment Highlights 11 The Snacking Industry is witnessing a Savory Snacks 11 major shift in consumer preferences Nuts, Seeds, and Trail Mixes 12 towards healthier, more flavorful Salty Snacks 12 products. Companies have an exciting opportunity to capture this dynamic Savory Biscuits 12 market, but must successfully navigate Popcorn 13 the challenges of increasing ingredient costs, evolving consumer palates, and Pretzels 13 fierce competition. Significant Other Savory Snacks 14 opportunities exist to drive growth through eCommerce, innovation, and Sweet Snacks 15 alignment with health trends. Fruit Snacks 15 Innovation is forging unique strategic Snack Bars 16 partnerships within the industry. Rather than invest in a new product launch or Sweet Biscuits 16 greenfield operations in a new geography, manufacturers are turning to M&A to fast-track entry into a new Key Investment – Shelf Stable category or gain market share. 5 Snacking 17 Our Global Food and Beverage Team provides extensive sector-specific expertise and close relationships with 6 M&A Highlights 20 global buyers and sellers, both within local markets and throughout the world. Many of our advisory transactions are cross-border. 7 Public Company Performance 24 Overview of GMAP Food and 8 Beverage Team 26 2 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
1 Introduction Key Insights The face of snacking is changing in a post-COVID world as empowered consumers increasingly seek tasty, nutritional, and sustainable foods to fuel their evolving lifestyles. Snacking is on the rise as demand for customization and variety, as well as increased at-home cooking occasions, leads to increased consumption. Consumers are demanding Better-for-You (“BFY”) snack options, which is driving research and product innovation to meet these healthier lifestyles. Localization is encouraging the use of bold, spicy flavors, and exotic ingredients to appeal to international palates, which is driving growth in regional markets. The continued shift towards online purchasing is also driving sales growth, as snack foods is one of the top food categories purchased through the eCommerce channel. The global snacking industry, comprised of both savory and sweet snacks, reached an estimated ~$214 billion1 in 2020. The two primary regions accounting for that are the Asia Pacific region, with the largest global market share at 56%, followed by North America, accounting for 25%. The Snacking Industry has witnessed significant changes in the last twelve months, with companies focusing on adapting new market trends, enhancing operational efficiencies, and expanding product portfolios. Some key players in the snacking market are focused on organic growth through product innovation, while others are pursuing inorganic growth through M&A. Key Snacking Categories Savory Snacks Sweet Snacks Nuts, Seeds, and Salty Snacks Fruit Snacks Snack Bars Trail Mixes Savory Biscuits Popcorn Sweet Biscuits Other Savory Pretzels Snacks Source: 1) ReporLinker 3 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Segment Highlights 2 Key Players During the Pandemic Snacking Giants During the Pandemic • The PLANeT Partnership, a recently formed venture between PepsiCo and Beyond Meat, was created to produce and market innovative snack products with plant-based protein. Beyond Meat’s technology in plant-based protein and PepsiCo’s marketing and commercial capabilities are expected to expand the product portfolio. • Acquired/invested in four companies since 2020, including: Senselet Food Processing, Pioneer Food Group, Baicaowei and Rockstar Energy • Mondelez International’s innovation hub, Snack Futures, has developed NoCOe, a French brand that develops carbon neutral snacks. The snack products contain 95% organic ingredients, contributes to dietary diversification, and is nutritionally dense. • Acquired/invested in four companies since 2020, including: Hu Master, Give and Go, Grenade, and Gourmet Food Holdings • General Mills launched numerous new products during the lockdown in the first half of 2020. They include Cinnamon Cheerios, the top new item in the US cereal category, the convenient new Progresso Toppers, Nature Valley’s Packed Sustained Energy Bars, the relaunched Dunkaroos snacks, and Old El Paso tortilla pockets. • Kellogg is catering to consumers’ dietary needs and is developing snack products that are zero or low in sugar, keto friendly, and contain plant-based protein foods. • A few portfolio additions include Kashi Cereal and Special K snack bars, which were specially developed for the ketogenic diet. • Campbell invested $40.0 million in their Ohio manufacturing facility in September 2020, as part of an expansion to meet the increased demand for Goldfish crackers. • As part of its strategy to promote innovation, the Company has launched new flavors to its Well Yes! Soup brand that contain unique and nutrient-dense ingredients. 4 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Segment Highlights Snacking Giants During the Pandemic • Conagra is accommodating consumers’ increased demand for healthy snacks, launching over two dozen new products that are inspired by plant-based ingredients and keto-friendly diets. • The company invested nearly $100M to expand its Ohio meat snacks processing plant, including the launch of several new brands. • Utz’s Boulder Canyon brand launched a new potato chip that is cooked in avocado oil, providing a healthier snack option to consumers. • Monogram Foods entered into an agreement with Utz® and Zapp’s® brands to launch a unique line of take-home hot appetizers for consumers that are snacking multiple times throughout the day and seeking convenience. • Acquired/invested in several snack companies since 2020, including: C.J. Vitner, On The Border, and HK Anderson’s Pretzel Business • Mars, under SKITTLES®, M&M'S®, and ORBIT brands, announced a new line- up of products that will join Mars’ portfolio of chocolate, fruity confections and gum brands. • Acquired/invested in two snacking companies since 2020, including: KIND Snacks, which recently acquired Natures Bakery • Nestlé has made many strides to increase its global footprint in a post-COVID world, highlighted by its acquisition of Fête Chocolat, a Chilean cookie and dessert producer. • Acquired/invested in several companies since 2020, including: Fête Chocolat, SimplyCook, Freshly, and Essentia Water • Post Holdings is increasing its presence in the egg snacking industry, highlighted by its recent acquisition of the Almark Foods brand. • Acquired/invested in two snack companies since 2020, including: Almark Foods and Peatos 5 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
3 Industry Review Global Snacking Trends The global snack market was estimated at ~$2141 billion in 2020 and is expected to reach ~$308 billion by 2025, growing at a CAGR of 8%. Snacking industry trends are heavily influenced by the overarching healthy and responsible food movement. The mindset toward maintaining fulfilling, yet wholesome diets is further encouraged by the multitude of products available at the consumers’ disposal. Consumers are snacking more frequently and are looking for different snacking options to cater to those different occasions. Covid-19 Momentum2 • The lockdown and dining restrictions across the globe have led to an enormous demand for snacking options. Restrictions on leaving the home and not being able to dine in restaurants have caused consumers to choose snacks as a medium of dealing with mentally and emotionally taxing experiences. • As per a survey conducted by Mondelēz International, nearly 9 out of 10 adults either increased (46%) or maintained (42%) their snacking habits during the pandemic. This trend is expected to continue as consumers view multiple small snacks throughout the day as an alternative to consuming fewer, larger meals. Snack Fusion • Work-from-home (“WFH”) models are carving out a new opportunity for companies to pursue snack products that are consumed more frequently. Catering to remote workers that are now eating at home more often, different variants of snack products are being offered to lure consumers to their brands. Examples include: Snacknation introduced a new work-from-home wellness box that provides a wide variety of healthy snacking options at a reasonable price, giving the consumer the pleasure of both savory and sweet snacks. Similarly, Walkers UK launched a new flavor of chips, Nando’s chips flavored with Peri-Peri Chicken, in partnership with the popular food chain. US-based ParmCrisps and Bridge Lane Wine introduced a snack box that offers a pairing of cheese and wine. Source: 1) ReportLinker, 2) Mondelēz International 6 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Industry Review Taste Factor1 • While consumers are focusing on their health, they still have a soft spot for both salty snacks and feel-good snacks. The taste factor provided by snacks like chips, popcorn, pretzels, and snack crackers has piqued consumer interest in new variants. • According to IRI, the salty snacks segment reported growth of 6.9% for the past 52 weeks ending May 17, 2020, reaching a total of $26.7 billion in sales. Salty Snacks Core Segment Market Data (52 weeks ending May 17, 2020) $8.0 billion $5.9 billion $1.5 billion $1.3 billion 4.6% YoY 7.6% YoY 5.0% YoY 7.0% YoY Potato Chips Tortilla and Ready-to-Eat (RTE) Pretzels Tostada Chips Popcorn • Per IRI, the crackers category grew 5.9% to $7.8 billion. According to the Packaged Facts “U.S. Food Market Outlook 2020”, consumers are striving towards indulgent foods that are full-flavored, such as crackers. Plant-Based Products2 • The pandemic has led consumers to take a more holistic approach to health, which includes a focus on healthy products, personal ethical concerns, and questions on the sustainability of certain farming techniques. • Such preferences have caused consumers to shift toward plant-based products. According to ADM, 56% of global consumers are eating more plant-based foods, with the meat-free category experiencing 29% YoY growth. • Producers are capitalizing on the growing demand, such as Gosh, which launched RTE plant-based snack bites. “There’s an ever-growing demand for healthy, plant-based snacks and we believe that we are entering this category with a truly unique offering, in a convenient format,” said William Topp, Marketing Manager of Gosh. Sustainability3 • Younger consumers are increasingly worried about the environment and climate change, driving food companies to be more thoughtful toward sustainability and reducing their environmental impact. This has led to large snack companies striving towards a lower carbon footprint during production. COVID-19 has accelerated this trend, according to a survey conducted by GlobalData, which found that 41% of European consumers believe a lower environmental footprint is more important as compared to their views before the pandemic. SnackFutures has capitalized on this opportunity by producing a carbon neutral cracker NoCOé. Source: 1) IRI, 2) BakeryandSnacks.com, 3) GlobalData 7 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Industry Review Better-for-You • BFY foods are a combination of healthy and clean products. Healthy is defined as light, nutrient dense, and devoid of harmful ingredients, while clean denotes transparency and simplified ingredients. • With growing consumer demand for claims such as organic, non-GMO, gluten-free, and no additives, BFY is a growing trend as consumers look for both transparency in the supply chain and responsible manufacturing. Key BFY trends include: • Low-sugar or alternative sweeteners • Plant-based foods • Protein-centered snacks • Healthy, yet tasty • Free-From fillers, preservatives, and harmful ingredients Meal Replacement • The six small meals concept1 has made an impact on the snacking category. Certain studies suggest that consuming six small and balanced meals a day suppresses hunger and appetite, and aids in weight loss and digestion. • The convenience factor of multiple small snacks plays a role, as busy consumers look to replace their larger meals with quick snacks throughout the day, saving time on meal preparation. • As a result, food manufacturers are introducing balanced, well-portioned snack products that offer wholesome nutrition and are fit for several occasions. Certain food diets, such as Vegan, Keto, and Paleo, have also contributed to and promoted this trend. Source: 1) MDLinx 8 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Industry Review Global Drivers Change in Snacking Habits1 • Snacking habits have changed dramatically over the last decade. According to an IFIC Snacking Survey in September 2020, ~65% of the consumers snack at least one time a day. • With longer workdays and WFH trends, the role of snacks has evolved for consumers. Convenience and ethnic flavors have been key drivers for increased snack consumption. Daily Snacking Multiple times a day 4% 4% Frequency 5% Once a day 34% 1 in 3 consumers A few days a week snack multiple 22% times each day Once a week or less Never I prefer to snack or graze throughout 31% the day instead of eating three meals Major drivers of increasing snacking frequency include: • Access to attractive options • Increase in disposable income • Convenience of ready-to-eat options • Evolving taste buds / full-flavor profile • Dietary requirements (health, weight, blood sugar) • Stress coping Options Galore • Variety in snacking options has also been a key driver of growth. Innovation has led to a wider selection of options ranging from meat treats, plant-based organics, gluten-free offerings, BFY, and many more flavorful and healthy snack options. Functional Snacking • Snacking habits have changed significantly in the last few years. Consumers seeking healthy snacking for their well- being are exploring functional snacks to achieve specific benefits. • To cater the target market, producers are using CBD and other vitamins and nutrients as functional ingredients with targeted benefits, such as better sleep, more energy and relieved anxiety. Such benefits will act as leading drivers for increased snack consumption. Source: 1) IFIC 9 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Industry Review COVID Alters Snacking Habits 1 in 3 people report snacking more often since COVID-19 began1 Practicing mindful/intuitive eating 21% 24% 41% 14% Eating snacks with family/friends 23% 29% 40% 7% Eating sweet snacks 27% 26% 43% 4% Eating packaged snacks 28% 21% 47% 4% Eating salty snacks 29% 21% 45% 5% Eating healthy snacks 30% 23% 43% 5% Snacking on fresh fruits/vegetables 30% 24% 43% 4% Eating snacks alone 32% 19% 44% 5% Eating when bored/not hungry 33% 21% 39% 7% Snacking overall 36% 15% 44% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Doing more often Doing less often Doing the same amount Not sure 70% 57% of millennials and 67% of those of respondents are relying more working from home prefer on snacks for nourishment snacking over meals In North America…2 In Europe…2 Chips Chips 65% consumers eat once a week or 45% consumers eat once a week or more in 2020; increase from 59% in more in 2020; increase from 35% in 2019 2019 Chocolate Crackers 57% consumers eat once a week or 47% consumers eat once a week or more in 2020; increase from 50% in more in 2020; increase from 42% in 2019 2019 Source: 1) IFIC, 2) Mondelēz International) 10 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
4 Segment Highlights Savory Snacks The global savory snacks segment was estimated at $150.5 billion in 2020 and is expected to reach $176.1 billion by 2024, growing at a CAGR of 4.0%. The increased consumption of baked goods and low- calorie snacks are the major drivers enhancing the growth of savory snacks market globally. Key Categories include Nuts, Seeds, and Trail Mixes Salty Snacks Savory Biscuits Popcorn Pretzels Other Savory Snacks Source: ReportLinker 11 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Segment Highlights Savory Snacks Sweet Snacks Nuts, Seeds, and Trail Mixes1 Key Trends • The Nuts, Seeds, and Trail Mixes category is comprised of three major food categories: Nuts, such Clean label as almonds, cashews, peanuts; Seeds, such as pumpkin, chia, sesame, and flax; and Dried Fruits, such as figs, dates, prunes, apricots, and berries. Plant-based, all-natural offerings • Trail Mixes combines these three items and are on- Exotic flavoring, seasoning, and the-go, energy boosting snacks that require limited coatings preparation. Easy-to-eat, protein- and antioxidant- rich, and energy-boosting attributes are contributing Gourmet preparations to growth with the arrival of the health-conscious providing a sense of indulgence consumer. • According to Mordor Intelligence, the global nuts and seeds market will grow at a 5.4% CAGR (2021-2026) Salty Snacks2 Key Trends • Within the Salty Snacks category, chips and Innovation in shapes and textures puffed snacks are witnessing rising sales. Puffed snacks as well as healthier chip options made Bold, spicy flavors from alternative grains and vegetables are gaining traction, due to innovative options and BFY options (baked and heart- growing consumer demand for BFY options. healthy oils) • The salty snacks category reported sales worth Personalized options (gluten- $21 billion for the 52 weeks ending June 14, 2020 free, organic, non-GMO, plant- at a growth rate of 9.4%. based) Savory Biscuits3 Key Trends • The Savory Biscuits (or crackers) category Free-from claims experienced relatively flat growth of 0.6% from 2013–2018. However, increasing consumer demand for healthy options along with Diet sensitive products ingredient and flavor innovations is expected to rejuvenate the growth of this category. Functional benefits • The global market is expected to reach $56.7 (antioxidants, fiber, protein) billion by 2026, up from $51.2 billion in 2020, growing at a CAGR of 1.7% during the Out-of-the box healthy grains projected period. Source: 1) Morder Intelligence, 2) Baking Business, 3) Medium 12 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Segment Highlights Savory Snacks Sweet Snacks Popcorn1 Key Trends • Popcorn caters to a wide audience with offerings RTE popcorn ranging from indulgent to healthy, and is available in traditional microwaveable or convenient ready- Sweet, savory, and spicy flavors to-eat (RTE) forms. While consumer preferences have shifted toward RTE due to the perceived health benefits, the microwaveable segment is Indulgent coatings / drizzles (candy, resurging due to unique flavor combinations. caramel, chocolate, cotton candy) • The use of high-stability oils in manufacturing RTE Use of high-oleic oils or heart- popcorn has also increased as it improves the shelf- healthy alternative oils life of such products. • The global market is estimated to be $11.0 billion in 2020 and is expected to reach $16.9 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 6.4%. Pretzels2,3 Key Trends • Convenience is a key demand driver for Pretzels, which are commonly available in salt, peanut Flavor-filled pretzels butter, and chocolate variations. • While some manufacturers are embracing flavor Use of alternative flours and ingredient innovation to attract mainstream consumers, others are striving to appeal to health- conscious consumers by highlighting the low-fat All-natural ingredients and low-sodium health benefits of their products. • Per IRI, the pretzels market grew 20% in dollar sales during the eight weeks ending April 26th 2020, and was projected to grow 13% for the remainder of the year. • The dollar sales of frozen pretzels increased 45% during the eight weeks ending April 26th 2020, while the unit and volume sales increased by 45% and 40%, respectively. • According to Mordor Intelligence, the global pretzel market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 2.7% from 2020-2025. Source: 1) ReportLinker, 2) IRI, 3) Modor Intelligence 13 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Segment Highlights Savory Snacks Sweet Snacks Other Savory Snacks1 Key Trends • Other Savory Snacks consists primarily of meat- BFY options based products, such as beef sticks, meat jerky, pork rinds, and other meat sticks. The segment has expanded in recent years with the entry of Clean ingredients new players, but has suffered declining profits due to the emergence of BFY snacks. To stay relevant, the segment began adding new flavors Diet sensitive products (Keto, and clean ingredient labels to promote health and Paleo) wellness. • The global meat snacks market was estimated at $5.4 billion in 2020 and is expected to grow to $6.2 billion in 2024, representing a CAGR of 3.7%. Source: 1) Market Research Future 14 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Segment Highlights Savory Snacks Sweet Snacks Sweet Snacks The Sweet Snacks category is facing challenges as consumers shy away from the consumption of sugar. However, healthy option introductions and greater innovation is broadening the consumer base. Key Categories include Fruit Snacks Snack Bars Sweet Biscuits Fruit Snacks1 Key Trends Fruit Snacks are prepared from concentrated Natural and organic fruit juices and purees. Their nutritional content includes potassium, vitamins, magnesium, and fiber. Exotic flavors and coatings The global market is estimated at $5.5 billion in 2020 and is projected to reach $9.2 billion by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 7.8% Premium fruits (avocado, dragon fruit, baobab) Source: 1) ReportLinker 15 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Segment Highlights Savory Snacks Sweet Snacks Snack Bars1 Key Trends • Snack Bars are available in a variety of options to GMO and free-from claims fulfill varying consumer needs, including diet, energy, nutrition, and sweet cravings. Made from healthy ingredients such as grains, fruits, nuts, plant Nutrient dense and/or animal-based proteins, granola, exotic flavorings, and seeds, snack bars cater to consumers’ niche needs and make a readily Ingredient localization available, on-the-go, healthy snacking option. • The snack bars market reported ~$6.1 billion in Organic and natural dollar sales for the 52 weeks ending October 4, 2020. The nutritional/intrinsic health bars accounted for over 50% of sales. Sweet Biscuits2 Key Trends • Plain biscuits is the leading segment in the Sweet Addition of proteins Biscuit snacking category due to their tastiness and indulgent properties, while cookies and wafers caught consumers’ attention in the high-volume Natural and clean ingredients Chinese market. • Functional innovation and clean label claims are Premiumization of indulgent treats driving growth and reshaping this category globally. Sharing packs • The global cookies market is currently estimated at $26.9 billion and is expected to reach $36.2 billion at a CAGR of 4.3%. Source: 1) IRI, 2) MarketWatch 16 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
5 Key Investment – Shelf Stable Snacking Overview1 Health and Wellness Snacking consists of two major categories: Fresh Snacking and Shelf-Stable Snacking. Shelf-Stable Snacking – While COVID-19 had a negative impact on the food service industry, brand owners and manufacturers of shelf-stable and frozen food products reported unprecedented sales growth. Per IRI statistics, compared to the prior 26-week period, sales in the dry grocery and frozen food departments added ~$17 billion to multi-outlet retailers’ bottom lines. Types of Shelf Stable Snacks Beef Jerky Dried Fruit Granola Bars Dry Cereal Chips/Crackers Whole Grain Crackers Source: 1) IRI, October 4, 2020 17 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Key Investment – Shelf Stable Snacking Beef Jerky Beef Jerky is a convenient snack prepared from thin cuts of beef that are marinated with various sauces, spices, and other flavoring agents. Those pieces undergo numerous processing methods, such as curing, smoking, and drying. It’s a healthy and nutritious snack that is high in protein and low in carbs. The snack is also rich in several minerals, such as zinc and iron, which helps maintain immunity and steady energy levels. The long shelf life and portability of beef jerky make it a practical choice of snacking for travel, backpacking, and other situations. The global jerky market was expected to be worth $3.6 billion in 2020 and is estimated to reach $4.9 billion by 2025, growing at a CAGR of 6.6%1. Key Brands Dried Fruit Dried Fruit is a snacking option comprised of dehydrated fruit (fruit devoid of the water content). Drying makes the fruit small and energy-dense. It can be preserved for a longer period than a fresh fruit, which makes it a vital shelf-stable snack for long trips. Dried fruit is a highly nutritious snack that contains up to 3.5 times the fiber, vitamins, and minerals than fresh fruit. The global dried fruits market is estimated to be worth $7.0 billion in 2020 and is expected to grow at $9.1 billion, growing at a CAGR of 4.4%1. Key Brands Granola Bars Granola Bars are a convenient and a healthy shelf-stable snack that are also a good source of fiber and protein. The ingredients often include oats, dried fruit, nuts, seeds, honey, coconut, and chocolate chips. The bars can also be consumed as a meal replacement snack. The global cereal bars market is estimated at $12.0 billion in 2020 and is expected to reach $15.2 billion by 2026, growing at a CAGR of 4.0%2. Key Brands Dry Cereal Dry Cereal is one of the most popular breakfast meals due to its convenience and price. It is made from processed grains and often contain vitamins and minerals. Dry cereals are usually eaten with milk, yogurt, fruit, or nuts. Key Brands Source: 1) Market Research Future, 2) Expert Market Research 18 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Key Investment – Shelf Stable Snacking Chips/Crackers1 Chips and crackers are both convenient, ready-to-eat snacks prepared from potatoes, wheat, corn, or a different grain. Historically considered as a savory snack with a variety of different flavors, there has been a recent trend for better-for-you options. Gluten-free and free-from brands are making a comeback among consumers with allergies and dietary preferences. According to IRI, the global potato chip market was valued at $8.0 billion in May of 2020, representing a 4.6% YoY growth rate over the 52-weeks prior. At a similar market size, the crackers category grew 5.9% to $7.8 billion. According to Packaged Facts’ “U.S. Food Market Outlook 2020”, consumers are striving towards indulgent foods that are full-flavored. Key Brands Whole Grain Crackers2,3 Whole grain crackers, a subset of the broader cracker markets, is a healthier variety to traditional crackers. According to a study completed by Harvard University, whole grains are a more nutrient dense form of grain compared to refined grains, which are stripped of valuable nutrients in the refining process. BusinessWire is projecting whole grains to be the largest driver of growth in this category, as demand for healthy snacks continues to rise among the broader population. Key Brands Trends Innovative Snacking As the demand for healthy, shelf-stable snacks rises, producers are exploiting the opportunity to launch stimulating products like meat-free jerky that is made from dehydrated fruits and veggies. These ingredients can be lower in sodium and higher in vitamins, minerals, and fiber compared to traditional beef jerkies. Long Shelf-Life Stability1 As consumers are trying to make less frequent shopping visits, they are focusing on buying shelf-stable items. Dublin-based ResearchAndMarkets estimated the packaged food industry rose by 377% as consumers have started to embrace packaged snacks with long shelf life. Ethnic / Full Flavor4 Ethnic snacks are becoming increasingly popular due to its perceived health benefits and high flavor attributes. Plant- based trends are furthering this as consumers search for innovative foods sourced from different parts of the world. Source: 1) Research and Markets, 2) Harvard University, 3) BusinessWire, 4) PBFY 19 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
6 M&A Highlights Selected M&A Transactions by Category Overall M&A activity picked up the second half of 2020 and has not slowed down in Q1 2021. Within the broader food and beverage landscape, there is a keen focus on the snacking category in general and specifically the innovative brands that are driving new products and consumer interest. Several high-profile food companies are highly acquisitive, with a strategic focus on shelf-stable snacking brands, as they continue to thrive in a post-COVID world. Recent Highly Acquisitive Consolidators Other Recent Notable Acquisitions 20 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
M&A Highlights Selected M&A Transactions by Category Key Savory Snacks Sweet Snacks EV Ann. Date Target Company Target Description Country Bidder Company Country ($m) Nuts, Seeds, and Trail Mixes Comprises the Corn Nuts and Planters Hormel Foods 11-Feb-21 Nuts Business of Kraft Heinz United States United States 3350.0 production facilities Corporation Manufactures chocolate and macadamia 12-Jan-21 Hawaiian Host Group United States HHML Acquisition LLC United States - nut snacks Processes and packs fresh fruits, Midsona AB (publ) 07-Oct-20 System Frugt A/S vegetables, nuts, dried specialties, and Denmark Sweden 34.2 (OM:MSON B) snacks Engages in the production and marketing 21-Jul-20 V. Besana S.p.A. of nuts, dried fruit, seeds, chocolate, and Italy Importaco, S.A. Spain - snacks United United 3-Jul-20 Cofresh Snack Foods Operates as an Indian healthy snacks firm Vibrant Foods - Kingdom Kingdom Produces and distributes snacks and 10-Jun-20 Pennsylvania Dutch Candies United States Nassau Candy, Inc. United States - confections food Sells snacks, nuts, and dried fruits mainly 23-Feb-20 Be & Cheery China PepsiCo United States 705.0 on its Chinese eCommerce platforms Salty Snacks PT Indofood CBP Sukses 17-Feb-21 PT Indofood Fritolay Makmur Manufactures and markets snack food Indonesia Indonesia 33.6 Makmur Tbk (IDX:ICBP) Manufactures, markets, and sells packaged Prataap Snacks Limited 04-Feb-21 Avadh Snacks Private Limited India India - snack food products (BSE:540724) Manufactures snacks using Chickpeas rather United 26-Jan-21 Hippeas Snacks United States The Craftory Limited - than traditional grains Kingdom Focused on potato chips, popcorn, corn 11-Jan-21 Certain Assets of Vitner’s Brand United States Utz Quality Foods, LLC United States 25.0 chips, pork rinds, and cheese snacks Produces microwave and frozen 24-Dec-20 Alba Tramezzini s.r.l. Italy CRM s.r.l. Italy - sandwiches, salty snacks, and frozen food 14-Dec-20 On The Border Producer of tortilla chips, salsa, and queso United States Utz Brands United States 480.0 Manufactures and sells snacks and health 20-Nov-20 KOIKE-YA Inc. (JASDAQ:2226) Japan Nissin Foods Holdings Co Japan 163.6 foods Source Capital, LLC; 20-Aug-20 Cheeze Kurls Manufactures and markets snack foods United States United States - Kilroy Partners Produces and distributes natural and 20-Jul-20 La Finestra sul Cielo SpA Italy BV&FdL S.r.l Italy - organic food Produces snack food products for Kameda Seika Co.,Ltd. 29-Mar-20 TH Foods, Inc. United States Japan - customers worldwide (TSE:2220) 10-Mar-20 Sichuan Huiji Food Co., Ltd. Produces and sells snack foods in China China Caogenzhiben Group China - Popcorn United Exponent Private United 22-Jan-21 Catapult Enterprises Ltd Engages in the production of popcorn - Kingdom Equity LLP Kingdom Produces and retails popcorn, chocolate, b.a. Sweetie Candy 16-Nov-20 Campbell’s Sweets Factory United States United States - cupcakes, and cookies Company, Inc. Manufactures, distributes, and markets Champlain Financial 12-Nov-20 Bad Monkey Popcorn Inc ready-to-eat popcorn, microwavable Canada Canada - Corporation popcorn, and other confectionery items Manufactures and distributes gourmet 19-Jul-20 Japan Popcorn, Inc. Japan Food Star Japan - popcorn Manufactures and distributes various The Harris Financial 11-Jun-20 Farber Concessions, Inc. United States United States - popcorn Group, Ltd., LLC Manufactures and markets food products Source: CapitalChicago 05-May-20 IQ Custom Foods LLC United States Sauer Brands, Inc. United States - and non-alcoholic beverages 21 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
M&A Highlights Selected M&A Transactions by Category EV Ann. Date Target Company Target Description Country Bidder Company Country ($m) Pretzels Produces soft pretzel bread and buns 03-Nov-20 Pretzilla United States Benestar Brands United States - under the Pretzilla brand Certain Assets of the H.K. 29-Sept-20 Brand of peanut butter-filled pretzels United States UTZ Brands United States - Anderson business Produces and sells organic breads and 07-May-20 Rudi's Organic Bakery, Inc. United States Promise Gluten Free Ireland - bakery product Other Savory Snacks 12-Jan-21 Parmareggio S.p.A. Produces and sells cheese products Italy Agriform Sca Italy - United Samworth Brothers 23-Dec-20 Higgidy Limited Produces pies, salads, puddings, and snacks United Kingdom - Kingdom Limited 17-Dec-20 Peckish, LLC Produces boiled egg snacking products United States Egg Innovations, LLC United States - Dhampure Speciality Nostalgic Foods Retail 16-Dec-20 Retails snack food products India Sugars Limited India 0.3 Private Limited (BSE:531923) 03-Dec-20 Maki Foods Co., Ltd. Produces snacks, jelly, and soups Japan Nihon Canpack Co., Ltd. Japan - Shanghai Yongjin Tianjin Guifaxiang 18th Street Engages in the research, development, 13-Nov-20 China Investment Management China 322.9 Mahua Food Co.,Ltd. production, and sale of snack foods Co., Ltd. United 09-Nov-20 Addo Food Group Limited Produces and markets pastry products PAI Partners France - Kingdom Produces savory flavors, seasonings, and 04-Nov-20 Jining Nature Group China Kerry Group plc (ISE:KRZ) Ireland - prepared food products Produces plant-based meat product 24-Sep-20 Like Meat GmbH Germany The Live Kindly Co. United States - substitutes 16-Sep-20 Piatti Freschi Italia S.p.A. Produces ready-to-eat meals and snacks Italy Mariofelice SPA Italy - Manufactures, sells, and distributes Pepsi-Cola Products Lotte Chilsung Beverage 16-Sep-20 carbonated soft-drinks, non-carbonated Philippines South Korea 287.3 Philippines, Inc. Co.,Ltd. (KOSE:A005300) beverages, and confectionery products Produces and processes natural and Vukota Capital 31-Jul-20 Beretta Farms Inc. Canada United States 2.9 organic meat products Management LLC IDIA Capital 28-Jul-20 Cofigéo S.A. Manufactures pre-cooked meals France France - Investissement Sire Bioscience Inc. 22-Jul-20 Amino Balls Inc. Produces plant-based protein snacks Canada Canada 0.1 (CNSX:SIRE) Manufactures and sells sweet and savory 21-Jul-20 Danival SAS France Wessanen N.V. Netherlands - organic products, canned goods, etc. Produces and sells beef and chicken Sonoma Brands 09-Jul-20 Chef’s Cut Real Jerky United States United States - jerkies Partners II, LLC Manufactures dough products and fried 01-Jul-20 Deli Asia (S) Pte. Ltd. Singapore KOUFU PTE LTD Singapore 16.5 food Produces and sells culinary-style meat and Sonoma Brands 04-May-20 Krave Pure Foods, Inc. United States United States - poultry snacks Partners II, LLC Hangzhou Haomusi Food Co., 23-Feb-20 Offers online retailing of snack food China PepsiCo United States - Ltd. Thrushwood Farms Manufactures and sells meat snack sticks Western's Smokehouse, 16-Jan-20 United States United States - Quality Meats, Inc. and protein products LLC 10-jan-20 Golden Island Produces and sells jerky United States Jack Link United States - Source: Capital IQ 22 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
M&A Highlights Selected M&A Transactions by Category EV Ann. Date Target Company Target Description Country Bidder Company Country ($m) Fruit Snacks Assets of Country Fresh Comprises fresh-cut fruit, vegetable, and Stellex Capital 16-Feb-21 United States United States - Holding Co Inc. snacking production Management LLC 09-Feb-21 Diver Foods Pty Ltd Produces breakfast cereals and snacks Australia Arnott's Biscuits Limited Australia - Cereal and Snacks operations of 17-Dec-20 Operates as a snacks and cereal producer Australia Arnott's Biscuits Limited Australia 15.4 Freedom Foods Group Limited Manufactures cereal bars, muesli, and United 17-Dec-20 Eat Natural Ferrero Italy - granola Kingdom Matsuyama Confectionery Engages in the manufacturing and 25-Sep-20 Japan Nishihara Shokai Co. Ltd. Japan - Co. Ltd. marketing of confectioneries Produces cereals, porridge, organic dairy- United 12-Jun-20 Rude Health Foods Limited PepsiCo, Inc. United States 100.3 free drinks, and snacks Kingdom Produces, distributes, markets, and sells JPMorgan Chase & Co. 25-Feb-20 Pioneer Food Group Ltd food, beverage, and related products for South Africa United States - (NYSE:JPM) human and animal consumption Snack Bars Manufactures organic food products in the 20-Jan-21 Leev.Nu B.V. Netherlands Nature Bio Foods BV Netherlands - Netherlands 05-Jan-21 HU Manufactures and sells chocolate products United States Mondelēz International United States - Offers snacks, such as Fig Bars and other 02-Dec-20 Nature’s Bakery United States KIND LLC United States - soft-baked foods Manufactures and distributes healthy 17-Nov-20 KIND LLC United States Mars, Incorporated United States - snacks, fruit, and nut bars Manufactures bars, cookies, chips, and 29-Sep-20 Assets Related to SimplyProtein United States Wellness Natural, Inc Canada - crunchy bites for children and adults Produces and sells snack bars for food United 17-Sep-20 Halo Foods Ltd Peak Rock Capital LLC United States - brands and retailers Kingdom Produces a nutritious snack bar containing 01-Sep-20 Arctic Forest Foods Oy Finland Kultasuklaa Oy Finland - rare Nordic ingredients Produces and sells milk-based sport Midsona AB (publ) 26-Jun-20 Gainomax nutrition drinks, protein bars, and snacks for Sweden Sweden 7.1 (OM:MSON B) exercisers and athletes United Lotus Bakeries NV 22-May-20 Natural Balance Foods Ltd. Produces and markets snack bars Belgium 104.3 Kingdom (ENXTBR:LOTB) Produces and sells low sugar and high Bayn Group AB (publ) 10-Jan-20 Pändy Foods AB protein snacks, including candy, energy Sweden Sweden 7.2 (OM:BAYN) drinks, lentil chips, and protein bars Sweet Biscuits 24-Jan-21 Gourmet Crocante S.A.C. Produces desserts, cookies, and snacks Peru Capriccio Express S.A.C. Peru - AUCTUS Capital 11-Nov-20 Landbäckerei Sommer GmbH Owns and operates a chain of bakery shops Germany Germany - Partners AG Manufactures soft-baked-cookies and 10-Oct-20 Farm and Oven Snacks, Inc. United States Dewey's Bakery, Inc. United States - muffins United 07-Oct-20 Fox's Biscuits British biscuit manufacturer Ferrero Italy 317.8 Kingdom Comprises breakfast and snacking Sovos Brands 26-Aug-20 Birch Benders, LLC United States United States - production operations Intermediate, Inc. 01-Apr-20 Give & Co. Sweet baked goods company Canada Mondelēz International United States - Produces and sells gluten-free baking 07-Jan-20 Pamela's Products, Inc. United States Quinoa Corporation United States - mixes, biscuits, snacks, cookies, etc. 03-Jan-20 Voortman Cookies Produces and sells cookies Canada Hostess Brands United States 320.0 Source: Capital IQ 23 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
7 Public Company Performance Share Price Performance Snacking outperformed the broader Food Products industry, with a five-year return of 28.8%, compared to 12.4% for the overall market. COVID-19 was a major growth driver for snacking due to stockpiling by consumers. Companies such as Chacha Food, The Simply Good Foods Company, and Premier Foods have seen the biggest gains in share price. 140.00 27.9% 130.00 120.00 110.00 (Indexed to 100) 100.00 13.8% 90.00 80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 Mar-16 Oct-16 May-17 Nov-17 Jun-18 Dec-18 Jul-19 Jan-20 Aug-20 Mar-21 Snacks and Savory¹ S&P 500 Food Products (Industry) Notes: 1. Snacking Industry includes PepsiCo, Inc., Mondelez International, Inc., General Mills, Inc., The Hershey Company, Kellogg Company, Conagra Brands, Inc., Campbell Soup Company, Want Want China Holdings Limited, Britannia Industries Limited, Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V., Orkla ASA, Post Holdings, Inc., Flowers Foods, Inc., Calbee, Inc., Yamazaki Baking Co., Ltd., PT Mayora Indah Tbk, Gruma, S.A.B. de C.V., J & J Snack Foods Corp., Grupo Nutresa S. A., TreeHouse Foods, Inc., Ezaki Glico Co., Ltd., Premium Brands Holdings Corporation, ORION Corp., Three Squirrels Inc., Tiger Brands Limited, Morinaga & Co., Ltd., The Hain Celestial Group, Inc., Lotus Bakeries NV, The Simply Good Foods Company, Chacha Food Company, Limited, Hostess Brands, Inc., B&G Foods, Inc., Ülker Bisküvi Sanayi A.S., Nongshim Co., Ltd., ARYZTA AG, Premier Foods plc, Borges Agricultural & Industrial Nuts, S.A. Source: S&P Capital IQ as of 29th March 2021 24 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Public Company Performance 7 Public Company Valuation Metrics Margin (%) EV/ EBITDA EBIT Sales (x) EBITDA (x) EBIT (x) Company Name Market Cap (Capital IQ) EV (USDm) LTM LTM LTM LTM LTM Snacks and Savory PepsiCo, Inc. 196,933 233,323 18.1% 15.4% 3.32x 18.3x 21.6x Mondelez International, Inc. 83,936 101,427 20.4% 16.2% 3.82x 18.7x 23.6x General Mills, Inc. 37,190 49,180 22.4% 19.2% 2.64x 11.8x 13.8x The Hershey Company 32,995 36,676 25.8% 22.1% 4.50x 17.5x 20.3x Kellogg Company 21,684 29,912 16.9% 13.5% 2.17x 12.8x 16.1x Conagra Brands, Inc. 18,810 28,360 21.1% 17.9% 2.46x 11.7x 13.7x Campbell Soup Company 15,414 20,729 19.3% 15.7% 2.31x 12.0x 14.7x Want Want China Holdings Limited 8,925 7,911 29.0% 25.1% 2.55x 8.8x 10.2x Britannia Industries Limited 11,631 11,900 19.1% 17.6% 6.77x 35.3x 38.4x Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. de C.V. 9,337 14,647 13.4% 9.8% 0.88x 6.6x 9.0x Orkla ASA 9,801 10,663 14.4% 11.6% 1.94x 13.4x 16.7x Post Holdings, Inc. 6,918 13,398 18.4% 11.8% 2.35x 12.8x 19.9x Flowers Foods, Inc. 5,119 6,134 11.2% 8.3% 1.40x 12.5x 16.8x Calbee, Inc. 3,628 3,316 14.3% 10.4% 1.29x 9.0x 12.4x Yamazaki Baking Co., Ltd. 3,645 3,600 5.6% 1.7% 0.37x 6.6x 21.3x PT Mayora Indah Tbk 4,192 4,300 15.5% 12.8% 2.59x 16.7x 20.3x Gruma, S.A.B. de C.V. 4,673 5,756 16.5% 12.5% 1.26x 7.6x 10.1x J & J Snack Foods Corp. 2,992 2,766 5.7% 0.3% 2.82x NM NM Grupo Nutresa S. A. 2,903 3,814 11.5% 8.9% 1.17x 10.2x 13.1x TreeHouse Foods, Inc. 3,040 5,166 11.4% 6.8% 1.19x 10.4x 17.5x Ezaki Glico Co., Ltd. 2,735 2,122 9.6% 5.3% 0.64x 6.7x 12.0x Premium Brands Holdings Corporation 4,115 4,884 6.7% 4.4% 1.54x 23.0x 35.0x ORION Corp. 4,492 4,391 23.1% 16.9% 2.14x 9.3x 12.7x Three Squirrels Inc. 2,242 2,034 3.7% 3.3% 1.36x 36.5x NM Tiger Brands Limited 2,290 2,204 11.0% 8.7% 1.23x 11.2x 14.1x Morinaga & Co., Ltd. 1,891 1,722 12.7% 9.5% 0.88x 6.9x 9.3x The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. 4,516 4,859 10.9% 8.5% 2.32x 21.3x 27.3x Lotus Bakeries NV 4,273 4,426 18.9% 16.8% 5.46x 28.9x 32.6x The Simply Good Foods Company 2,939 3,447 18.2% 16.5% 3.85x 21.1x 23.3x Chacha Food Company, Limited 3,955 3,663 19.5% 17.2% 4.52x 23.2x 26.3x Hostess Brands, Inc. 1,916 2,883 21.6% 16.7% 2.84x 13.1x 17.0x B&G Foods, Inc. 2,164 4,481 18.1% 14.9% 2.28x 12.6x 15.3x Ülker Bisküvi Sanayi A.S. 902 1,239 17.1% 15.2% 0.98x 5.7x 6.5x Nongshim Co., Ltd. 1,437 1,007 9.9% 6.1% 0.42x 4.2x 6.8x ARYZTA AG 1,122 2,121 1.6% NM 0.64x NM NM Premier Foods plc 1,162 1,718 16.1% 12.1% 1.50x 9.3x 12.4x Borges Agricultural & Industrial Nuts, S.A. 71 140 NM NM 0.73x NM NM Mean 15.2% 12.3% 2.2x 14.3x 17.6x Median 16.3% 13.5% 0.9x 7.5x 16.1x Source: S&P Capital IQ as of 29th March 2021 25 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
8 Overview of GMAP Food and Beverage Team EUROPE Michael Petit* Ivars Pinkulis Paul McGlone Managing Director Partner Director +33 6 30 80 71 66 +371 67212324 +0161 393 1983 mpetit@globalma.com ipinkulis@globalma.com pmcglone@globalma.com FRANCE LATVIA UNITED KINGDOM Philipp Elsen Pal Farkas Harold Brummelhuis Partner Partner Principal +49 211 15887064 +36 1 275 1116 +31 (0) 30 6999 000 pelsen@globalma.com pfarkas@globalma.com hbrummelhuis@globalma.com GERMANY HUNGARY NETHERLANDS Frederic de Boer Partner +41 44 755 59 99 fdeboer@globalma.com SWITZERLAND AMERICAS Daniel Gomez* Esteban Olivera Alex Cerri Head of Food & Beverage Managing Partner Partner +1 312 658 4789 +54 11 2150 7185 +55 11 3165 5804 dgomez@globalma.com eolivera@globalma.com acerri@globalma.com UNITED STATES ARGENTINA BRAZIL Ian Macdonell Rafael Wilhelm Matthei Luis Ortiz Managing Director Partner – Executive Director Partner +1 416 362 1953 +56 2 580 6000 +52 555520 3144 imacdonell@globalma.com rwilhelm@globalma.com lortiz@globalma.com CANADA CHILE MEXICO Mónica Com Partner +511 203 9800 mcom@grupomacro.pe PERU REST OF THE WORLD Bingyu Chen Jacob Won Mihir Shah Partner Partner Director +86 106 520 2002 +82 2 3478 9802 +91 9819 333 693 cbingyu@globalma.com jhwon@globalma.com mshah@globalma.com CHINA SOUTH KOREA INDIA * Denotes Co-heads of the Food & Beverage team 26 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
Peer Trading Analysis and Share Price Performance Global M&A Partners Select Transactions Food Ingredients and Agricultural Products Food Processing and Food Manufacturing CPG Food 27 INSIDER FOOD & BEVERAGE www.bglco.com
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