India Real Estate RESEARCH - OFFICE MARKET - JANUARY - JUNE 2021 - Knight Frank
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CONTENTS ALL INDIA AHMEDABAD BENGALURU PA G E N O. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 08 PA G E N O. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 PA G E N O. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 CHENNAI HYDERABAD K O L K ATA PA G E N O. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 PA G E N O. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 8 PA G E N O. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 MUMBAI NCR PUNE PA G E N O. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 PA G E N O. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 PA G E N O. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
4 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E
5 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E FOREWORD S H I S H I R B A I JA L C H A I R M A N A N D M A N AG I N G D I R E CTO R K N I G H T F R A N K ( I N D I A ) P V T. LT D. The intensity of COVID-19 infections has been the primary bellwether for the economy and the real estate markets across India since the beginning of 2020. There was a standstill in activities when the pandemic and consequent nationwide lockdown first hit the nation. However, post the first wave and with easing of the stringent lockdown, we saw that the real estate sector made a strong comeback. The pandemic second wave this year was more severe than the first one. Unfortunately, we lost many human lives. However, with better awareness and understanding of the virus, mass vaccination drives and preparedness to work with restricted mobility, businesses and households alike saw a relatively better economic momentum this time. Seen in this light, the severe second wave, at worst, served as a temporary blip. On the commercial real estate front, office sector recorded a better performance during the second wave impacted Q2 2021 compared to the first wave seen in Q2 2020. Transactions across the markets under coverage grew by 39% YoY in the latest quarter despite severely restrictions on workforce mobility. Cumulatively, in H1 2021, transactions were down by 29% YoY when compared to pre pandemic levels. Going forward, with rapid vaccination progress and economic aspirations to return to normality, we are likely to see improved activity levels once important vaccination milestones are achieved. The Information Technology sector continued to hire employees amid this prolonged pandemic, and this creates a strong potential for office space once normalcy returns. I am glad to share the 15th edition of our flagship half-yearly report ‘India Real Estate’. The report captures key developments in the office sector across top 8 cities in the country. I hope you find that this edition provides an encouraging connect with the market. Wishing you and your loved ones a safe and healthy life.
6 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E RA JA N I S I N HA CHIEF ECONOMIST & N AT I O N A L D I R E C T O R RESEARCH PICK-UP IN CONSUMPTION: KEY TO ECONOMIC REVIVAL The Indian economy had started to recover from the first wave of pandemic before it got hit by a second wave in March 2021. The lockdown imposed during the second wave was regional in nature and less restrictive. Hence, the immediate economic impact has been relatively less severe. However, the damage to health and life in the second wave has been brutal, resulting in deeper scarring of consumer sentiments.
7 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E With the second wave of infection on a downward trajectory, a sustained increase in inflation while growth remains weak will economic activity is again gathering momentum. The ongoing make RBI’s task more challenging going forward. immunization is also providing comfort in the current opening up The pick-up in India’s exports, in the midst of these challenges, is process. However, it is to be noted that so far, only around 7% of a silver lining. Exports in April-June 2021 have recorded a healthy India’s population has been fully vaccinated as against almost 50% of growth of 19% even when compared to the corresponding period of the population fully vaccinated in developed economies like US and 2019. As economic growth in developed economies gain momentum, UK. Moreover, even though the economy has started to re-open, there India’s exports are likely to benefit from the external demand. Strong is concern around a third wave of infection. FDI inflows is another positive for the economy, as reflected by FDI The Indian economy is projected to grow by 9.5% in FY 2022 as per inflows of USD 82 billion in FY 2021. India currently has a comfortable RBI. This high number comes on the low base of the previous year forex reserve of over USD 608 billion which reduces the vulnerability when the economy had contracted by 7.3% due to the stringent of the Indian currency, even if developed economies like the US move national lockdown. Even with 9.5% growth in FY 2022, the economy away from an accommodative monetary policy stance. would only be recording a minor uptick from the FY 2020 level of As the Indian economy is opening up in phases, there is growing hope GDP. The risk is that if there are further waves of infection which that economic momentum will gather pace. India’s growth trajectory are severe, the GDP growth could be lower than this projected will depend on the COVID situation and whether we get hit by further number. India’s economic recovery is likely to be K shaped in nature waves of the infection. The pace of vaccination will play a very critical with sectors like pharmaceutical and IT/ITeS recording healthy role to avoid severe waves of infection in future. India has seen growth, manufacturing sectors picking up, while the touch-based vaccination of around 4 million doses per day in June 2021 and this Service sector will feel the pain for a longer period of time. The large daily vaccination number needs to rise to over 10 million doses per unorganised sector and MSME sector of India, which is impacted by day for us to achieve full vaccination of the adult population by year lockdowns, will have a more difficult recovery path. end. With the Government working towards increasing vaccination The critical aspect for India’s economic recovery will be increased supply, India’s growth story in this pandemic year will be contingent consumption spending, as Private Final Consumption Expenditure on the speed of vaccination going forward. contributes 56% to India’s GDP. Consumer sentiments though have been severely impacted by the pandemic, more so by the second wave that has been debilitating to human life. The second wave has also had a severe impact on the rural area compared to the previous wave. As per RBI’s Consumer Confidence survey, the current situation index (CSI) in May 2021 dropped to a low of 48.5, lower than that seen after the first wave of pandemic. In the current situation, what is needed is direct demand boosting stimulus measures from the government to 7% aid consumption revival. Any kind of tax cut even for a limited period of time, will help provide the much-needed boost to consumption spending as was seen with the stamp duty cut in Maharashtra. This cut in stamp duty rates, effective from September 2020 to March 2021, not just helped boost residential sales in Maharashtra but was of India’s population has also effective in increasing the state government’s revenue collection been fully vaccinated from registration. Another aspect of concern for the Indian economy is the rising 9.5 % trend of inflation. The CPI inflation in India breached RBI’s upper band of 6% in May 2021 and remained steady at the same levels in June 2021, while the WPI hit a high of 12.9% in May 2021 and continued to remain above 12% in June 2021 as well. Commodity prices, specifically metal and crude oil, have been rising globally as India’s projected GDP economies like US and China have started to pick up. While RBI has growth for FY22 kept the monetary policy accommodative and the interest rates low,
8 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - I N D I A I N D I A
9 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - I N D I A Expert Take The impact of second wave of the pandemic in Q2 2021 has not been as pronounced as that of the first wave in Q2 2020. However, the office market has been more affected by the pandemic compared to the residential market that is seeing a sustained resurgence in demand. The outperformance of the IT sector and the strong hiring it witnessed during the pandemic holds the potential for office demand once a return OFFICE to workplace occurs as vaccination milestones are achieved. MARKET The progress in employee vaccinations and the extent of improvement in corporate earnings hold the key to a return to the office and a resumption of expansion plans. YA S H W I N B A N G E R A INDIA MARKET SUMMARY PARAMETER 2020 CHANGE (YOY) H1 2020 H1 2021 CHANGE (YOY) Completions 3.30 (35.5) -42% 1.71 (18.4) 1.39 (15.0) -18% mn sq m (mn sq ft) Transactions mn 3.66 (39.4) -35% 1.60 (17.2) 1.14 (12.3) -29% sq m (mn sq ft) Stock mn sq m (mn sq ft) 73.52 (791.4) 5% 71.93 (774.2) 74.92 (806.4) 4% Vacancy (%) 15.4% 14.2% 16.6% - Source: Knight Frank Research
10 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - I N D I A INDIA OFFICE MARKET ACTIVITY Completions (mn sq m) Transactions (mn sq m) 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 mn sq m 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research • The economic shock of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic the requirement of technological applications and associated resulted in a 24.4% YoY drop in GDP in Q2 2020 due to the software and internet infrastructure which is the domain of the IT complete stoppage of business activity during the period. The industry. On account of a robust business environment, IT sector office market was also impacted by this event as corporate hiring remained strong even during the pandemic and this holds occupiers restricted non-core expenses and put expansion plans the potential for office demand once a return to workplace happens on hold. However, the market recovered well towards the end of the in full force as vaccination milestones are achieved. In the interim, year as the intensity of the pandemic waned and clarity over the the IT sector’s share in office transactions fell to 31% in H1 2021 availability of a viable vaccine increased. Q4 2020 posted a historic compared to 43% in H1 2020. high in quarterly transaction volumes as latent occupier demand • Other Service Sectors such as E-commerce, Healthcare and got converted during the period. Education bucked the negative trend and were very active during • The second wave of the pandemic hit the market in Q2 2021 but H1 2021. The volume transacted by them grew by a substantial 68% despite its severity being much more than first wave, transaction YoY. volumes in Q2 2021 have grown 39% YoY compared to Q2 • Co-working companies accounted for a modest 10% of the 2020. Five out of eight markets have shown an improvement transactions during H1 2021 but saw substantial increases in in transaction volumes in Q2 2021 compared to Q2 2020. their occupancy rates during this period. They have also been An improved understanding of the pandemic and increasing increasingly able to negotiate favorable deals on revenue-sharing availability of vaccines helped keep the needle moving during terms with most, if not all of the up-front investment in fit-outs etc the quarter. However, in terms of half-yearly numbers, transaction being borne by the developer. Their positioning as experts in the volumes have fallen 29% YoY to 1.14 mn sq m (12.3 mn sq ft) in H1 domain of workspace delivery continues to strengthen even as this 2021. sector goes through a consolidation phase that will see the weaker • The construction situation was better managed during the second players eventually getting pushed out of the market. Co-working wave compared to the first wave of pandemic. However, the 1.39 mn sector companies accounted for a significantly high 23% and sq m (15.1 mn sq ft) of office space that attained completion during 27% of the volumes transacted in Hyderabad and Ahmedabad H1 2021 was 18% lower than that in H1 2020 as developers focused respectively. on leasing existing projects. The vacancy rate has increased • Despite the severe second wave, transaction volumes in Q2 2021 to 16.6% in H1 2021 compared to 14.2% previously. Average have shown a strong growth over same period last year. Developers transacted rent trended lower for seven of the eight markets during have continued their accommodative stance by extending flexibility H1 2021 with rents in Bengaluru, Pune and Mumbai falling by 14%, in deal terms to keep occupiers interested in this uncertain 11% and 9% YoY respectively. environment. The progress in employee vaccinations and the • The Information Technology (IT) sector has not been impacted by extent of improvement in corporate earnings hold the key to a the COVID-19 pandemic as the need for remote activity magnified return to the office and a resumption of expansion plans.
11 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - I N D I A INDIA OFFICE MARKET VACANCY SECTOR-WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H1 2020 AND H1 2021 18% 16.6% 16% 16.0% 14% 16% 15.4% 15.4% 14% 14.2% 13.2% 13.1% 13.1% 14% 12.6% 12.7% 12% H1 2020 10% 13% 8% 43% 6% 4% 2% 13% 0% Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q2 2021 Q1 2019 Q1 2021 34% H1 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research 31% 10% 13% 39% SECTORS H1 2020 H1 2021 ■ BFSI 16% 13% ■ Information Technology 43% 31% ■ Manufacturing 13% 13% ■ Co-working 14% 10% ■ Other Service Sectors 14% 34% YoY growth in transactions during Q2 2021 Note: BFSI includes BFSI support services Source: Knight Frank Research
12 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - I N D I A MARKET -WISE RENTAL MOVEMENT OFFICE TRANSACTIONS OFFICE COMPLETIONS H1 2021 IN MN SQ M 2020 IN MN SQ M H1 2021 IN MN SQ M 2020 IN MN SQ M (MN SQ FT) (YOY CHANGE) (MN SQ FT) (YOY CHANGE) (MN SQ FT) (YOY CHANGE) (MN SQ FT) (YOY CHANGE) MUMBAI 0.15 (1.6) (-58%) 0.56 (6.0) (-38%) 0.12 (1.3) (-65%) 0.49 (5.3) (-2%) NCR 0.22 (2.4) (16%) 0.43 (4.7) (-46%) 0.28 (3.0) (273%) 0.27 (2.9) (-76%) BENGALURU 0.33 (3.6) (-25%) 1.14 (12.3) (-19%) 0.48 (5.2) (29%) 0.88 (9.4) (-41%) PUNE 0.11 (1.2) (-43%) 0.34 (3.7) (-40%) 0.27 (2.9) (1344%) 0.07 (0.7) (-83%) AHMEDABAD 0.04 (0.4) (-16%) 0.12 (1.3) (-15%) 0.1 (1.1) (-58%) 0.48 (5.1) (5%) CHENNAI 0.11 (1.2) (-9%) 0.42 (4.5) (-13%) 0.08 (0.8) (-75%) 0.31 (3.3) (91%) HYDERABAD 0.15 (1.6) (-27%) 0.55 (6.0) (-53%) 0.07 (0.8) (-80%) 0.8 (8.7) (-20%) KOLKATA 0.02 (0.3) (-45%) 0.08 (0.9) (-32%) 0 (0) (-100%) 0.01 (0.1) (-99%) TOTAL 1.14 (12.3) (-29%) 3.66 (39.4) (-35%) 1.39 (15.0) (-18%) 3.3 (35.5) (-42%) Source: Knight Frank Research MARKET -WISE RENTAL MOVEMENT RENTAL VALUE IN H1 2021 IN INR/ MICRO-MARKET SQ M/MONTH 12-MONTH CHANGE 6-MONTH CHANGE ( INR/SQ FT/MONTH) MUMBAI 1,173 (109) -9% -6% NCR 872 (81) 3% -1% BENGALURU 775 (72) -14% -10% PUNE 710 (66) -11% -6% AHMEDABAD 433 (40.2) -5% -2% CHENNAI 645 (59.9) -1% 0% HYDERABAD 664 (61.7) -1% 1% KOLKATA 375 (34.8) -10% -3% Source: Knight Frank Research
13 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - A H M E D A B A D A H M E D A B A D
14 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - A H M E D A B A D Expert Take The second wave of COVID-19 infections has put corporate expansion plans on hold. The office market rent continues to correct, as occupier demand falters after a brief recovery in H2 2020. The vacancy level rose to 46% as office development continued unabated in H1 2021. OFFICE MARKET YA S H W I N B A N G E R A AHMEDABAD MARKET SUMMARY PARAMETER 2020 CHANGE (YOY) H1 2020 H1 2021 CHANGE (YOY) Completions 0.48 (5.1) 5% 0.24 (2.6) 0.10 (1.1) -58% mn sq m (mn sq ft) Transactions mn 0.12 (1.3) -15% 0.05 (0.5) 0.04 (0.4) -16% sq m (mn sq ft) Average transacted rent INR/sq m/month (INR/sq 442 (41) -4% 454 (42) 433 (40) -5% ft/month) Stock mn sq m (mn sq ft) 2.9 (31.5) 19% 2.7 (29) 3.0 (32.6) 12% Vacancy (%) 45.2% 45.6% 45.8% - Source: Knight Frank Research
15 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - A H M E D A B A D AHMEDABAD OFFICE MARKET ACTIVITY Completions (mn sq m) Transactions (mn sq m) 0.30 0.25 mn sq m 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research • The Ahmedabad office market was hit hard by the turbulence caused by the pandemic during 2020, but the spike in transactions AHMEDABAD OFFICE MARKET VACANCY seen during the last quarter of the year made up for some of the lost ground. While Ahmedabad concluded 2020 with transaction 50% volumes down 15.1% YoY, it emerged as the least impacted among the eight markets that cumulatively saw annual volumes fall by a 45% 46.4% 45.8% 45.2% historic 35.1% YoY. However, persistently high supply continued to 45.0% be the bane of the market that pushed vacancy levels to 45.2%. 40% 41.7% 39.9% • The office market has not been able to sustain the recovery in 35% transaction volume seen during H2 2020, as occupier activity 35.9% 35.0% was curtailed by weaker sentiments due to the still bleak business 34.0% 30% environment and the surging second wave of infections which hit 31.7% hard in Q2 2021. Transacted volumes during H1 2021 were lower by 25% 15.6% YoY at 0.04 mn sq m (0.4 mn sq ft), still much better than the 29% fall seen cumulatively across the eight markets. 20% • The already high vacancy level rose an additional 410 basis points YoY to 45.8% in H1 2021 as office completions outstripped supply 15% during the period, albeit to a lesser extent than at the beginning of 2018. Increasing vacancy levels and weak occupier activity pushed 10% the average transacted rentals down by a further 4.7% YoY to INR 432/sq m/month (INR 40/sq ft/month). 5% • Approximately 0.1 mn sq m (1.1 mn sq ft) of office space was completed during H1 2021 and nearly all of it was located in CBD 0% Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q2 2021 Q1 2019 Q1 2021 West locations such as Ambavadi and Bopal Ambli Road. Navratna Corporate Park and Ashwamegh Elegance-3 were among the largest projects that attained completion during this period. Source: Knight Frank Research
16 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - A H M E D A B A D BUSINESS DISTRICT CLASSIFICATION BUSINESS DISTRICT MICRO MARKETS CBD West Bodakdev, Keshav Baug, Prahladnagar, Satellite, SG Highway, Thaltej PBD Gandhinagar, GIFT City CBD Ashram Road, Ellis Bridge, Paldi Source: Knight Frank Research • A lease of 0.01 mn sq m (0.08 mn sq ft) inked by the pharmaceutical BUSINESS DISTRICT WISE TRANSACTIONS major Eris Lifesciences at Shivarth Ambit, Bodakdev in CBD West SPLIT IN H1 2020 AND H1 2021 was the largest transaction during H1 2021. Limited investment activity was observed during the period with about 0.004 mn sq m 8% (0.04 mn sq ft) being committed to by investors. 5% • The CBD and PBD business districts saw little traction during H1 2021 with only 3% of the transactions during the period taking place in each of these business districts. • Rental levels were under pressure due to subdued activity and H1 2020 mounting supply in H1 2021, with the CBD, CBD West and PBD business districts each correcting by 5%, 4.5%, and 5.5% YoY respectively. 87% SECTOR-WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H1 2020 AND H1 2021 3% H1 2020 H1 2021 4% 8% BFSI 7% Information 14% Technology 18% 7% Manufacturing 22% H1 2021 68% Other Services 26% 93% 3% Co-working 27% Note: BFSI includes BFSI support services Source: Knight Frank Research • While transaction activity has contracted significantly during the period, it is well distributed across the five sectors unlike the share Business district H1 2020 H1 2021 of business districts. This can be attributed to the absence of big- ■ CBD 5% 3% ticket deals in the current period, which play a big role in an office ■ CBD West 87% 93% market like Ahmedabad which has averaged only 0.05 mn sq m (0.6 ■ PBD 8% 4% mn sq ft) per half-yearly period over the past six years. Source: Knight Frank Research • The occupiers’ preference to defer longer term commitments in favor of more flexible office space arrangements has motivated • The CBD West business district continued to dominate occupier co-working operators to increase their stake in the Ahmedabad interest due to the growing infrastructure and new office space market. This sector accounted for 27% of the space transacted developments occurring here in recent times. 93% of the volume during H1 2021, the highest of all sectors and almost double the transacted during H1 2021 occurred in CBD West locations on space ever transacted by the Co-working sector in a half-yearly Bopal-Ambli Road, Keshavbaug and SG Highway. period.
17 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - A H M E D A B A D • Similar to the Co-working sector, the Information Technology (IT) • The second wave of the pandemic impacted transaction volumes and the Manufacturing sectors have gained in transactions’ share during the first half of the year. While traction started picking and also in terms of absolute volumes YoY. Of the two sectors, the up by the end of Q2 2021, the market still faces significant volume transacted by the Manufacturing sector has increased to challenges, especially with the threat of a third wave weighing a greater extent, growing by 188% YoY to 0.009 mn sq m (0.09 mn down on corporate expansion plans. While occupier activity has sq ft) in H1 2021. Considering that this is the second consecutive been subdued, office development continues to outstrip demand period of strong volumes by the Manufacturing sector, we believe putting pressure on rent growth. The market will be hard pressed that this increase in traction is a positive indication for the market, to maintain equilibrium if the rate at which new office spaces have despite being on a lower base. In addition to FMCG companies, been coming online, continues to persist. pharmaceutical companies from the Manufacturing sector such as Eris Lifesciences and Unison were active during the period. • The YoY drop in volume during H1 2021 can be largely attributed AVERAGE DEAL SIZE AND NUMBER OF DEALS to the steep fall in the Other Services sector’s transactions which TREND has taken up just a third of the volume achieved during H1 2020. However, it must be noted that H1 2020 was also an exceptional Average deal size sq m Number of deals period for the Other Services sector as it accounted for an 3500 50 extraordinarily high 68% of the transacted volume. This was largely due to one big-ticket lease which amounted to nearly 41% of the total volume transacted during that period. The current 26% share 3000 of transaction volume is closer to the sector’s long-term mean 40 share of 27%. Leases were signed by law firms like Amarchand Mangaldas, healthcare players like Shalby Hospitals in premium 2500 properties such as Parshwanath Esquare and Mondeal in the CBD West business district. 30 Average deal size sq m 2000 • The BFSI sector’s share in transactions has marginally reduced Number of deals from 8% in H1 2020 to 7% in H1 2021. A bulk of these were small leases signed in PBD micro-markets of GIFT City, Mani Nagar and 1500 Odhav by companies such as Citibank, Barclays, IDFC and ICICI 20 Lombard. 1000 • The absence of big-ticket transactions and an increase in the overall number of deals has brought down the average deal size 10 significantly. Almost 18 deals or 53% of the 34 transactions during 500 H1 2021 were accounted for by the BFSI and Other Services sector companies which collectively took up only 33% of the area transacted. 0 0 H1 2018 Source: Knight H2 2018 H1 2019 Frank Research H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 BUSINESS DISTRICT-WISE RENT MOVEMENT Rental value range in H1 2021 in Business district 12-month change 6-month change INR/sq m/month (INR/sq ft/month) CBD 488-452 (36-42) -5% -3% CBD West 420-538 (39-50) -4.5% -2% PBD 323-431 (30-40) -5.5% -3% Source: Knight Frank Research
18 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - B E N G A L U R U B E N G A L U R U
19 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - B E N G A L U R U Expert Take The prolonged COVID-19 pandemic has temporarily restricted physical occupancy at office premises and this has weighed on occupier sentiments for space take-up. Expectedly, this reflects on the H1 2021 transaction numbers. The strong trend of hiring in the Information Technology sector during the pandemic created a latent demand, the conversion of which into space take-up was deferred by the severe second wave. The inherent OFFICE strength of the Bengaluru office market ecosystem, which was MARKET visible post first wave and pre-vaccination roll-out, will be a key determinant of market trajectory as pandemic situation improves. V I V E K R AT H I BENGALURU MARKET SUMMARY PARAMETER 2020 CHANGE (YOY) H1 2020 H1 2021 CHANGE (YOY) Completions 0.88 (9.42) -41% 0.37 (4.0) 0.48 (5.2) 29% mn sq m (mn sq ft) Transactions mn 1.14 (12.32) -19% 0.35 (3.8) 0.33 (3.6) -25% sq m (mn sq ft) Average transacted rent INR/sq m/month (INR/sq 861 (80) 0% 904 (84) 775 (72) -14% ft/month) Stock mn sq m (mn sq ft) 16.18 (174.2) 6% 15.7 (168.7) 16.7 (179.0) 6.3% Vacancy (%) 9.3% 6.5% 11.3% - Source: Knight Frank Research
20 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - B E N G A L U R U BENGALURU OFFICE MARKET ACTIVITY Completions (mn sq m) Transactions (mn sq m) 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research • The second wave of COVID-19 and the consequent lockdown • With pressure on rent, average transacted rent in H1 2021 was abruptly halted transaction activity in the market. On a cumulative recorded at INR 72/sq ft/month, down 14% YoY. basis, H1 2021 saw transactions of 3.6 mn sq ft, which is lower by • During this prolonged pandemic, Information Technology sector 25% YoY. has accelerated its hiring momentum. As improving vaccination • Office occupancy decision was temporarily kept in abeyance by milestones enhance mobility of workforce, this factor will serve as the key driver Information Technology sector which led to this a key element to drive office demand in the country’s technology decline. It was reflected in the sector’s transaction share, which capital. slipped to 24% in H1 2021 from 37% in H1 2020. The Co-working sector took 8% in the latest half yearly period compared to 20% in same period last year. This dip in share of key driver industries was captured by the Other Services sector, which took up 50% space. This sector was represented by occupiers from e-commerce, health care, education, real estate and logistics amongst others. • The labour situation in the second wave was better managed compared to the first wave and as a result, new completion of 1.81 mn sq ft was recorded during the lockdown affected Q2 2020. Cumulatively for H1 2021, new completions of 5.2 mn sq ft at a 24% YoY growth was recorded. • Given that project completion was more than the transactions, vacancy increased by 200 basis point to 11.3% during H1 2021. • Among the business districts, ORR followed by PBD East (Whitefield) and SBD, were the most active markets during H1 2021 with a transaction share of 34%, 29% and 25% respectively.
21 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - B E N G A L U R U BENGALURU OFFICE MARKET VACANCY 11.3% 12% 11.3% 10.2% 9.3% 10% 8.0% 8% vacancy in Bengaluru office market 6.5% 5.3% 6% 4.8% 4.8% 4.1% 3.7% 4% 2% 0% Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q2 2021 Q1 2019 Q1 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research BUSINESS DISTRICT CLASSIFICATION BUSINESS DISTRICT MICRO MARKETS Central Business District (CBD) and off CBD MG Road, Residency Road, Cunningham Road, Lavelle Road, Richmond Road, Infantry Road Suburban Business District (SBD) Indiranagar, Koramangala, Airport Road, Old Madras Road Peripheral Business District (PBD) East Whitefield Peripheral Business District (PBD) South Electronic City, Bannerghatta Road Peripheral Business District (PBD) North Thanisandra, Yelahanka, Devanahalli Outer Ring Road (ORR) Hebbal ORR, Marathahalli ORR, Sarjapur Road ORR Source: Knight Frank Research
22 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - B E N G A L U R U SECTOR-WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H1 BUSINESS DISTRICT WISE TRANSACTIONS 2020 AND H1 2021 SPLIT IN H1 2020 AND H1 2021 H1 2020 H1 2021 8% 13% BFSI 4% 6% 5% Information 37% Technology 24% 9% Manufacturing 14% 22% Other Services 50% 20% Co-working 8% H1 2020 8% Note: BFSI includes BFSI support services Source: Knight Frank Research AVERAGE DEAL SIZE AND NUMBER OF DEALS 35% 38% TREND Average deal size Sq /m Number of deals 3% 9,000 160 5% 3% 8,000 140 29% 7,000 120 H1 2021 25% 6,000 100 Average deal size Sq /m 5,000 Number of deals 80 34% 4,000 Business district H1 2020 H1 2021 60 ■ CBD & Off CBD 5% 3% 3,000 ■ SBD 8% 25% 40 ■ ORR 35% 34% 2,000 ■ PBD East 38% 29% ■ PBD South 6% 3% 20 1,000 ■ PBD North 8% 5% ■ PBD West 0%
23 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - C H E N N A I C H E N N A I
24 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - C H E N N A I Expert Take The Chennai office market recorded a YoY growth in office leasing activity as well as new supply in Q2 2021. Office space absorption of BFSI and Other Services sector has seen a significant YoY growth. SBD continued to dominate the office space demand share while demand picked up in CBD and off-CBD locations during H1 2021. OFFICE MARKET P R A D N YA N E R K A R CHENNAI MARKET SUMMARY PARAMETER 2020 CHANGE (YOY) H1 2020 H1 2021 CHANGE (YOY) Completions 0.3 (3.3) 91% 0.3 (3.3) 0.08 (0.8) -75% mn sq m (mn sq ft) Transactions mn 0.4 (4.5) -13% 0.1 (1.3) 0.1 (1.2) -9% sq m (mn sq ft) Average transacted rent INR/sq m/month (INR/sq 645 (60) 0% 653 (61) 645 (59.9) -1.3% ft/month) Stock mn sq m (mn sq ft) 7.1 (76.3) 5% 7.1 (76.2) 7.2 (77.1) 1% Vacancy (%) 11.7% - 12.2% 12.7% - Source: Knight Frank Research
25 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - C H E N N A I CHENNAI OFFICE MARKET ACTIVITY Completions (mn sq m) Transactions (mn sq m) 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research • The Chennai office market recorded a growth in both demand and registered a positive YoY growth in H1 2021. The highest growth new supply during Q2 2021 as compared to Q2 2020. was seen in the Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) sector’s office space absorption that recorded 87% YoY increase, • In terms of half-yearly completions, 0.08 mn sq m (0.8 mn sq ft) followed by 37% YoY increase in the leasing activity of the Other entered the Chennai office market during H1 2021, recording a Services sector. 75% YoY fall. However, this significant fall is attributable to the high base of H1 2020. Large new supply of 0.3 mn sq m (3.3 mn sq ft) • The Co-working sector accounted for only 6% share in the total was recorded last year as two large buildings received Occupancy H1 2021 transactions pie and recorded a significant 34% YoY Certificates. decrease in its office space absorption this year. This dip is attributable to the COVID-induced market exigencies that has • 62% of the H1 2021 new supply was accounted for by a large impacted the demand within co-working facilities in H1 2021 in building (0.05 mn sq m / 0.5 mn sq ft) located in the Peripheral Chennai. Business District (PBD) – Old Mahabalipuram Road (OMR) and Grand Southern Trunk Road (GST). • Geographically, the thriving Suburban Business District (SBD) comprising Guindy and Nandambakkam continued to dominate • On the demand front, quarterly transactions registered a YoY with a 48% share in the total transactions activity of H1 2021. growth in Q2 2021. However, on the half-yearly front, the market However, in absolute terms, this business district recorded a 21% witnessed a 9% YoY fall in H1 2021 with 0.1 mn sq m (1.2 mn sq ft) YoY fall in leasing volumes, going down from 0.07 mn sq m (0.7 mn of office space absorption recorded during this period. This fall is sq ft) in H1 2020 to 0.05 mn sq m (0.5 mn sq ft) in H1 2021. largely on account of the lull in business activity resulting from the pandemic-induced exigencies. • On the other hand, the Central Business District (CBD and off CBD) witnessed a 28% YoY growth in office space absorption in H1 2021 • In terms of industry share, the Information Technology (IT) sector as activity picked up in T Nagar, RK Salai and Nungambakkam accounted for the highest share of 44% in the total H1 2021 micro-markets. absorption. This was followed by the 33% demand share of the Other Services sector which includes consulting, healthcare, • Although the number of deals recorded went up from 37 in H1 2020 education, logistics and other such companies. to 70 in H1 2021, the average deal size fell by a significant 52% YoY, from 3,347 sq m (36,027 sq ft) in H1 2020 to 1,602 sq m (17,247 sq ft) • However, in terms of growth in leasing activity, only two industries
26 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - C H E N N A I in H1 2021. CHENAAI OFFICE MARKET VACANCY • The city-level average transacted rentals inched down marginally by 1% YoY, from INR 653 / sq m (INR 61 / sq ft) 16% 14.1% in H1 2020 to INR 645 / sq m (INR 60 / sq ft) in H1 2021. On account of the ongoing market challenges, developers have temporarily extended various qualitative and quantitative 14% considerations to their existing as well as new tenants which has caused the office rentals to slide down marginally. 12.7% 12% 12.5% 12.2% • The city-level office market vacancy inched up from 12.2% in 11.7% H1 2020 to 12.7% in H1 2021. 10% 10.4% 10.2% 10.1% 9.0% 8.8% 8% 6% 4% 87% 2% 0% Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q2 2021 Q1 2019 Q1 2021 YoY growth in BFSI office space demand in H1 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research BUSINESS DISTRICT CLASSIFICATION BUSINESS DISTRICT MICRO MARKETS Central Business District (CBD and off CBD) Anna Salai, RK Salai, Nungambakkam, Greams Road, Egmore, T Nagar Suburban Business District (SBD) Mount – Poonamallee Road, Porur, Guindy, Nandambakkam SBD – Old Mahabalipuram Road (OMR) Perungudi, Taramani Peripheral Business District (PBD) – OMR and OMR beyond Perungudi Toll Plaza, GST Road Grand Southern Trunk Road (GST) PBD – Ambattur Ambattur Source: Knight Frank Research
27 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - C H E N N A I SECTOR-WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H1 BUSINESS DISTRICT WISE TRANSACTIONS 2020 AND H1 2021 SPLIT IN H1 2020 AND H1 2021 H1 2020 H1 2021 5% 5% BFSI 11% Information 54% Technology 44% 11% Manufacturing 6% 20% 22% Other Services 33% 8% Co-working 6% H1 2020 13% Note: BFSI includes BFSI support services Source: Knight Frank Research 7% AVERAGE DEAL SIZE AND NUMBER OF DEALS TREND 55% Average deal size Sq /m Number of deals 5,000 120 3% 18% 4,500 100 19% 4,000 3,500 H1 2021 80 3,000 Average deal size Sq /m 12% Number of deals 2,500 60 48% 2,000 40 Business district H1 2020 H1 2021 1,500 ■ CBD 13% 18% 1,000 ■ SBD 55% 48% 20 ■ SBD OMR 7% 12% 500 ■ PBD OMR & GST 20% 19% ■ PBD Ambattur 5% 3% 0 0 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research Source: Knight Frank Research BUSINESS DISTRICT-WISE RENT MOVEMENT Rental value range in H1 2021 in Business district 12-month change 6-month change INR/sq m/month (INR/sq ft/month) CBD 700–1,023 (65–95) -1% 0% SBD 592–861 (55–80) 0% 0% SBD OMR 581–980 (54–91) -0.5% 0% PBD OMR and GST Road 280–430 (26–40) 0% 0% PBD Ambattur 301–377 (28–35) -1.5% 0% Source: Knight Frank Research
28 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - H Y D E R A B A D H Y D E R A B A D
29 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - H Y D E R A B A D Expert Take The Hyderabad office market recorded a YoY growth in office space absorption in Q2 2021. The office leasing activity of the Other Services, BFSI and Co-working sectors grew substantially during H1 2021. The SBD comprising the HITEC City continued to dominate the transaction share in H1 2021 as well. OFFICE MARKET P R A D N YA N E R K A R HYDERABAD MARKET SUMMARY PARAMETER 2020 CHANGE (YOY) H1 2020 H1 2021 CHANGE (YOY) Completions 0.8 (8.7) -20% 0.3 (3.8) 0.07 (0.8) -80% mn sq m (mn sq ft) Transactions mn 0.6 (6.0) -53% 0.2 (2.2) 0.1 (1.6) -27% sq m (mn sq ft) Average transacted rent INR/sq m/month (INR/sq 658 (61) 0% 667 (62) 664 (61.7) -1% ft/month) Stock mn sq m (mn sq ft) 7.8 (83.9) 11% 7.2 (78) 7.9 (84.7) 7% Vacancy (%) 9.4% - 8.9% 12.3% - Source: Knight Frank Research
30 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - H Y D E R A B A D HYDERABAD OFFICE MARKET ACTIVITY Completions (mn sq m) Transactions (mn sq m) 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research • The Hyderabad office market recorded a YoY growth in demand sector’s office space absorption increased from 0.002 mn sq m during Q2 2021. (0.02 mn sq ft) in H1 2020 to 0.02 mn sq m (0.2 mn sq ft) in H1 2021. Other industries to record YoY growth in office leasing volumes in • On a half-yearly basis, completions fell substantially from 0.3 mn sq H1 2021 are the Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI) m (3.7 mn sq ft) in H1 2020 to 0.07 mn sq m (0.7 mn sq ft), an 80% sector with 147% YoY and the Co-working sector with 108% YoY YoY fall. The slow pace of regulatory clearance to ready buildings increase. due to lockdowns was one of the reasons for the slump in the recorded number of supply in H1 2021. • The Co-working sector absorption almost doubled in H1 2021 as it went up from 0.02 mn sq m (0.2 mn sq ft) in H1 2020 to 0.03 mn sq • New supply continues to be concentrated in the west of Hyderabad m (0.4 mn sq ft) in H1 2021. i.e. Suburban Business District (SBD) and Peripheral Business District (PBD) West as demand continues to remain strong in HITEC • In terms of geography, 93% of the total H1 2021 transactions were City, Financial District and other western suburbs. concentrated in SBD whereas the remaining 7% were accounted for in the PBD West business district. In terms of absolute volumes, • While demand registered a growth on the quarterly front, office PBD West recorded an 88% YoY fall in transaction activity while the space absorption came down by 27% YoY in H1 2021 with a total HITEC City-dominated SBD continued to grow even in H1 2021. of 0.1 mn sq m (1.6 mn sq ft) transacted space recorded during this period. The transaction activity momentum was hindered by the • The average deal size has also seen an 18% YoY fall in H1 2021 as it pandemic-induced lull in business activity. came down from 6,992 sq m (75,262 sq ft) in H1 2020 to 5,720 sq m (61,657 sq ft) in H1 2021. • On the industry front, the Information Technology (IT) sector continued to be the driver industry with 48% share in the total • The city-level average transacted rent slipped by a marginal 0.5% transactions pie of H1 2021. However, in absolute terms, the sector YoY in H1 2021, down from INR 667 / sq m / month (INR 62 / sq ft / witnessed a 53% YoY fall in its office space absorption, down from month) to INR 664 / sq m / month (INR 61.7 / sq ft / month). 0.1 mn sq m (1.6 mn sq ft) in H1 2020 to 0.07 mn sq m (0.8 mn sq ft) • The vacancy levels in Hyderabad office market have inched up to a in H1 2021. double-digit range in H1 2021, going up to 12.3%. • On the other hand, the Other Services sector which includes consulting, healthcare, education, logistics and other such companies recorded a huge jump in leasing volumes as the
31 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - H Y D E R A B A D HYDERABAD OFFICE MARKET VACANCY 14% 12.3% 147% 11.8% 12% 9.9% 9.4% 8.9% 10% YoY growth in BFSI office space demand in H1 2021 8% 7.3% 7.1% 7.0% 7.0% 6.8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q2 2021 Q1 2019 Q1 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research BUSINESS DISTRICT CLASSIFICATION BUSINESS DISTRICT MICRO MARKETS Banjara Hills, Jubilee Hills, Begumpet, Ameerpet, Somajiguda, Himayat Nagar, Raj Bhavan Central Business District (CBD and off CBD) Road, Punjagutta Suburban Business District (SBD) HITEC City, Kondapur, Manikonda, Kukatpally, Raidurg Peripheral Business District (PBD) West Gachibowli, Kokapet, Madinaguda, Nanakramguda, Serilingampally Peripheral Business District (PBD) East Uppal, Pocharam Source: Knight Frank Research
32 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - H Y D E R A B A D SECTOR-WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H1 BUSINESS DISTRICT WISE TRANSACTIONS 2020 AND H1 2021 SPLIT IN H1 2020 AND H1 2021 H1 2020 H1 2021 3% BFSI 12% Information 75% Technology 48% 12% Manufacturing 7% 1% Other Services 10% 8% Co-working 23% Note: BFSI includes BFSI support services Source: Knight Frank Research H1 2020 42% AVERAGE DEAL SIZE AND NUMBER OF DEALS 58% TREND Average deal size Sq /m Number of deals 7% 10,000 140 9,000 120 8,000 H1 2021 100 7,000 6,000 Average deal size Sq /m 80 Number of deals 5,000 93% 60 4,000 3,000 40 Business district H1 2020 H1 2021 2,000 ■ CBD & Off CBD 0% 0% 20 ■ PBD East 0% 0% 1,000 ■ PBD West 42% 7% ■ SBD 58% 93% 0 0 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research Source: Knight Frank Research BUSINESS DISTRICT-WISE RENT MOVEMENT Rental value range in H1 2021 in Business district 12-month change 6-month change INR/sq m/month (INR/sq ft/month) CBD and Off-CBD 592-646 (55-60) -1% -1% SBD 732-786 (68-73) 0% -1% PBD West 592-646 (55-60) -1% -1% PBD East 323-377 (30-35) -2% -1% Source: Knight Frank Research
33 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - K O L K ATA K O L K A T A
34 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - K O L K ATA Expert Take Kolkata witnessed muted demand for office spaces as lock- down in April 2021 led to delayed decision making on new occupancy. High office space vacancy in H1 2021, with ten- ants demanding flexibility and sub-leasing arrangements, have led to a softening of rents compared to the past. Second generation office spaces are being remodelled and let out with amenities for co-working, a trend which is catching on OFFICE amongst occupiers in the Information MARKET Technology sector, more so, after the pandemic outbreak. KOLKATA MARKET SUMMARY PARAMETER 2020 CHANGE (YOY) H1 2020 H1 2021 CHANGE (YOY) Completions 0.01 (0.10) -98% 0.01 (0.1) - - mn sq m (mn sq ft) Transactions mn 0.09 (0.92) -32% 0.04 (0.5) 0.02 (0.3) -46% sq m (mn sq ft) Average transacted rent INR/sq m/month (INR/sq 385 (35.8) -7% 415 (38.6) 375 (34.8) -10% ft/month) Stock mn sq m (mn sq ft) 2.94 (31.6) 0% 2.94 (31.6) 2.94 (31.6) 0% Vacancy (%) 41.7% - 41.4% 41.8% - Source: Knight Frank Research Note – 1 square metre (sq m) = 10.764 square feet (sq ft)
35 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - K O L K ATA KOLKATA OFFICE MARKET ACTIVITY Completions (mn sq m) Transactions (mn sq m) 0.06 0.05 0.04 mn sq m 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research • The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Kolkata’s office real introducing any new supply. The pandemic situation also led estate market was apparent in 2020. In line with H1 2020, H2 2020 occupiers to reassess their office space needs which shifted the also experienced a low volume of office space take-up. With the developer focus from developing new office space inventory. severity of the second wave manifesting in Q1 2021, office space • Of the total office spaces transacted in H1 2021, Peripheral consumption remained muted. In H1 2021, Kolkata recorded Business District - I ([PBD-1] [Salt Lake City]) comprised an 81% leasing transactions worth 0.02 mn sq m (0.03 mn sq ft), a YoY share. In H1 2020, this micro-market accounted for a 92% share in decline of 46%. Various parts of Kolkata underwent disturbances the city’s total office space leased. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the second wave of the pandemic during April to June fewer deals were inked which reduced the share of this business 2021 which brought about a temporary pause in office space district both in percentage and absolute square footage leased. demand. • In H1 2020, PBD-2 (Rajarhat New Town) had accounted for a 7% • A historic low transaction base across the top eight cities and share in the city’s overall leasing volume. In H1 2021, this share the absence of any driver service industry for office space reduced to 2%. Factors like upcoming metro connectivity, well- consumption led to very high office vacancies, a trend that has developed road infrastructure and proximity to the international been prevalent since the past three years. This is largely due to a airport as well as the IT/ITeS hub are yet to attract large enterprise few business districts driving the office leasing transactions for the clients which will enhance its tenant profile. entire city. As the transaction volume has been declining, vacancy at the end of June 2021 stood at 41.8%, 400 basis points higher • The IT/ITeS sector’s share in the gross leasing reduced from 52% than a year ago. Kolkata’s office space vacancy also happens to be in H1 2020 to 36% in H1 2021. Due to the pandemic, many large IT/ the second highest amongst the vacancies recorded in India’s top ITeS tenants continue to reconsider new space take-up and there eight markets. Tenants are demanding sub-leasing of their office has been a delay in decisions with regard to corporate real estate spaces during the pandemic and are also vying for better terms deals. with landlords. • During the current period, BFSI sector’s share remained at par • In H1 2021, no new office supply was available as the city’s high with H1 2020 with 7%. The co-working sector’s share held steady office market vacancy led developers to think judiciously before at 15%, much in line with H1 2020. The pandemic has attracted tenants to co-working spaces and many companies in the IT/ITeS
36 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - K O L K ATA sector are moving there. While the square footage leased remains lockdown in April 2021 and mainly, small office space take-ups have low, it is increasingly gaining in popularity due to the flexibility and been seen in the city. Salt Lake City, which accounts for a majority amenities offered. of the office space leasing in Kolkata, noted a 10% YoY decrease in rents due to a lack of deal activity like in previous years. Rajarhat • During the H1 2021 period, the average transacted rents in New Town also noted a 6% YoY decline in rents. Kolkata noted a 10% annual decrease. Due to the second wave of COVID-19 hitting the city, the demand for office spaces remained low. The transaction volume has dipped substantially post the 60% KOLKATA OFFICE MARKET VACANCY 55% 50% 42.8% 42.7% 41.8% 41.9% 41.7% 41.4% 41.4% 40.7% 45% Of the total office spaces 40% transacted in H1 2021, 32.3% 32.0% 35% Peripheral Business District-1 ([PBD-1] [Salt 30% Lake City]) comprised an 81% share. 25% 20% 15% Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q2 2021 Q1 2019 Q1 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research BUSINESS DISTRICT CLASSIFICATION BUSINESS DISTRICT MICRO MARKETS Park Street, Camac Street, Theatre Road, AJC Bose Road, Elgin Road, Rabindra Sadan, Esplanade, Lenin Central Business District (CBD) Sarani, S N Banerjee Road, Central Avenue, Dalhousie Square, Mangoe Lane, Brabourne Road, Chandni and off CBD Chowk, Rawdon Street, Loudon Street, Lee Road, Lord Sinha Road, Hastings, Hare Street, Kiran Shankar Ray Road, Upper Wood Street, Hungerford Street, Circus Avenue, Syed Amir Ali Avenue, Chowringhee Suburban Business District Topsia, JBS Haldane Avenue, EM Bypass-Park Circus Connector (SBD-1) Park Circus Connector Suburban Business District EM Bypass-Rashbehari Connector, Anandapur Main Road, Rajdanga, South Ballygunge, Ashutosh (SBD-2) Rashbehari Connector Mukherjee Road, Gariahat, Hazra, Chetla, Jessore Road, Nagerbazar Peripheral Business District Salt Lake Sector V (PBD-1) Salt Lake City Peripheral Business District Rajarhat New Town, BT Road, Bantala (PBD-2) Rajarhat New Town
37 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - K O L K ATA SECTOR-WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H1 BUSINESS DISTRICT WISE TRANSACTIONS 2020 AND H1 2021 SPLIT IN H1 2020 AND H1 2021 H1 2020 H1 2021 7% 6% BFSI 7% 1% Information 52% Technology 36% 10% Manufacturing 9% 17% Other Services 33% 15% Co-working 15% Note: BFSI includes BFSI support services H1 2020 Source: Knight Frank Research 92% 3% 2% 14% The pandemic has attracted tenants to co- H1 2021 working spaces and many companies in the IT/ITeS sector are moving there. While the square footage 81% leased remains low, it is increasingly gaining in popularity due to the flexibility and amenities Business district H1 2020 H1 2021 offered. ■ PBD-1 (Salt lake City) 92% 81% ■ CBD & Off CBD 1% 14% ■ PBD -2 (Rajarhat New Town) 7% 2% ■ SBD -2 (Rashbehari Connector) 0% 3% ■ SBD -1 (Park Circus Connector) 0% 0% Source: Knight Frank Research
38 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - K O L K ATA AVERAGE DEAL SIZE AND NUMBER OF DEALS TREND Average deal size (sq m) Number of deals 2,500 40 35 2,000 30 Average deal size (sq m) Number of deals 25 1,500 20 1,000 15 10 500 5 0 0 H1 2018 H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 H1 2020 H2 2020 H1 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research BUSINESS DISTRICT-WISE RENT MOVEMENT Rental value range in H1 2021 in Business district 12-month change 6-month change INR/sq m/month (INR/sq ft/month) CBD & Off CBD 700–1,023 (65–95) -6% -6% SBD-I (Park Circus Connector) 538–753 (50–70) 0% 0% SBD-II (Rashbehari Connector) 538–915 (50–85) -10% -10% PBD-I (Salt Lake City) 312–517 (29-48) -10% -3% PBD-II (Rajarhat New Town) 258–452 (24-42) -6% -3% Source: Knight Frank Research
39 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - M U M B A I M U M B A I
40 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - M U M B A I Expert Take The leasing activity in the MMR office market has been subdued due to the extended pandemic situation. Owing to its high case load during the first wave, MMR was amongst the last of the top 8 cities to allow office activities resume at enhanced capacity. Though offices were allowed to open at 10% capacity in June 2020, the capacity was enhanced to 30% only in September 2020. Further, there were restrictions on access to local trains which were lifted only in February 2021. As a result, occupiers were forced to go slow on their office re- OFFICE occupancy and leasing plans. To add to the woes, Maharashtra MARKET was the amongst the first states to go into a lockdown again on 5th April 2021 due to the second wave of pandemic. After suffering for two consecutive quarters, the office demand had started to recover towards the end of Q4 2020 and improved further in Q1 2021, but the segment received a another jolt towards the end of Q1 2021 due to the second wave of pandemic. This pent up demand is likely to come back as the restrictions are eased and pace of vaccination improves further. NIBODH SHETTY MMR MARKET SUMMARY PARAMETER 2020 CHANGE (YOY) H1 2020 H1 2021 CHANGE (YOY) Completions 0.49 (5.3) -2% 0.34 (3.6) 0.12 (1.3) -65% mn sq m (mn sq ft) Transactions mn 0.56 (6.0) -38% 0.36 (3.9) 0.15 (1.6) -58% sq m (mn sq ft) Average transacted rent INR/sq m/month (INR/sq 1,246 (116) -5.6% 1,292 (120) 1,173 (109) -9.2% ft/month) Stock mn sq m (mn sq ft) 14.1(151.3) 4% 13.9 (149.6) 14.2 (152.6) Vacancy (%) 19.8% - 17.9% 19.7% - Source: Knight Frank Research
41 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - M U M B A I MMR OFFICE MARKET ACTIVITY Completions (mn sq m) Transactions (mn sq m) 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research • The MMR office market witnessed a 58% Year-on-Year (YoY) decline in transaction activity during H1 2021. This drop in leasing While several other cities was primarily on account of two factors: the extended lockdown have removed most scenario in the MMR and the high base of Q1 2020 which was a period when the office markets across India were enjoying a restrictions on office multiyear bull run. usage imposed during the • The transaction activity in MMR had started recovering towards second wave, Maharashtra the end of 2020 and had improved further in Q1 2021. However, has gone slow on lifting the second wave stalled this upward momentum. The maximum restrictions. As witnessed brunt of the second wave of pandemic was borne in Q2 2021 as a complete lockdown was enforced on 5th April 2021 which last year, the transaction continued till 7th June. The lockdown restrictions were only partly activity is likely to recover lifted post that; with office capacity being capped at 50% till end of once these restrictions are June and restrictions on office timings. relaxed. • In H1 2021, completions were down 65% YoY. Developers went slow citing labour shortages, increase in construction costs and slow take up of new space. Moreover, once the projects receive Occupancy Certificate (OC) the developer has to start paying property tax on it which adds to the costs. Consequently, developers are deferring the process of applying for OC. Only two out of the six business districts of the city – SBD Central and BKC & off BKC – witnessed an addition of new supply in H1 2021.
42 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - M U M B A I MMR OFFICE MARKET VACANCY 20% 19% 58%YoY drop in leasing activity in H1 2021 18% 17% 16% 15% Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q2 2021 Q1 2019 Q1 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research • The vacancy level in MMR was largely stable at around 19.7%, as demand and supply maintained a near balance since Q4 2020. BUSINESS DISTRICT CLASSIFICATION BUSINESS DISTRICT MICRO MARKETS CBD & Off-CBD Nariman Point, Cuffe Parade, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mahalaxmi Bandra Kurla Complex & Off-Bandra Kurla Complex (BKC & Off-BKC) BKC, Bandra (E), Kalina and Kalanagar Central Mumbai Parel, Lower Parel, Dadar, Prabhadevi, Worli SBD West Andheri, Jogeshwari, Goregoan, Malad SBD Central Kurla, Ghatkopar, Vikhroli, Kanjurmarg, Powai, Bhandup, Chembur PBD Thane, Airoli, Vashi, Ghansoli, Rabale, Belapur
43 I N D I A R E A L E S TAT E - M U M B A I BUSINESS DISTRICT WISE TRANSACTIONS SECTOR-WISE TRANSACTIONS SPLIT IN H1 SPLIT IN H1 2020 AND H1 2021 2020 AND H1 2021 H1 2020 H1 2021 14% 12% 41% BFSI 30% Information 35% Technology 15% 11% Manufacturing 16% 10% Other Services 27% 14% H1 2020 02% 3% 12% Co-working Note: BFSI includes BFSI support services Source: Knight Frank Research 41% 17% • The BFSI sector continued to dominate leasing activity in MMR garnering 30% share of transactions in H1 2021. The ‘Other 16% Services’ sector accounted for the second highest share or 27% of the total leasing in H1 2021. The space take up from the ‘Other Services’ sector was led by companies in retail, education and consulting segments. 03% • Co-working operators have become more active after the first wave 43% H1 2021 of the pandemic citing better growth prospects. The operators 04% believe that many companies would avoid spending on creating new office spaces and prefer to take up ready office spaces that 11% can be scaled up or down as required. The space take up from the co-working segments grew by 54% YoY in H1 2021. The share of 23% this sector in overall transactions increased from 3% in H1 2020 to 12% in H1 2021. The sector had also garnered 18% share of Business district H1 2020 H1 2021 transactions in H2 2020. In the pre-pandemic era i.e. before H2 ■ BKC & Off-BKC 12% 16% 2020, the share of space take up co-working operators has never ■ CBD & Off-CBD 2% 3% crossed double digits in any half yearly period. ■ Central Mumbai 17% 4% ■ PBD 41% 11% ■ SBD Central 14% 23% ■ SBD West 14% 43% Source: Knight Frank Research • While the overall transactions fell across business districts on a YoY basis during H1 2021, SBD West had the highest share of transactions in H1 2021, followed by SBD Central at 43% and 23% respectively. • The share of Central Mumbai dropped from 17% in H1 2020 to 4% in H1 2021. Central Mumbai also witnessed the highest decline in transaction activity of 75% YoY in the same period.
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