Increased circulating C-reactive protein and macrophage-colony stimulating factor are complementary predictors of long-term outcome in patients ...
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European Heart Journal (2005) 26, 1618–1624 doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehi192 Clinical research Increased circulating C-reactive protein and macrophage-colony stimulating factor are complementary predictors of long-term outcome in patients with chronic coronary artery disease Ignatios Ikonomidis1*, John Lekakis1, Ioanna Revela1, Felicita Andreotti2, and Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/eurheartj/article/26/16/1618/632755 by guest on 01 February 2022 Petros Nihoyannopoulos2 1 Department of Clinical Therapeutics, University of Athens, Alexandra Hospital, Vas. Sofias 80, Athens 11528, Greece; and 2 Imperial College School of Medicine, National Heart & Lung Institute, Cardiology Department, Hammersmith Hospital, London, UK Received 27 September 2004; revised 30 December 2005; accepted 3 February 2005; online publish-ahead-of-print 30 March 2005 KEYWORDS Aims We investigated, in a 6 year follow-up study, whether circulating levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) Inflammation; and macrophage colony stimulating factor (MCSF) have an independent or complementary prognostic Coronary artery disease; value in patients with chronic coronary artery disease (CAD). Long-term prognosis Methods and results MCSF and CRP were measured in 100 patients with chronic CAD. Of 95 (33%) patients, 31 who completed the 6 year follow-up presented adverse events (death, myocardial infarc- tion, and unstable angina). In multivariable analysis (including traditional risk factors and medications), the upper tertiles of MCSF (814 pg/mL) and CRP (2.5 mg/L) levels were independently associated with a 13- and 6-fold increase in risk of events, respectively (P , 0.01). Patients with combined high CRP and MCSF had a higher absolute risk of events than patients with elevated MCSF or CRP alone (75 vs. 59 vs. 32%, respectively, P , 0.01). The mean event-free time was 39, 64, and 52 months in patients with elevated MCSF, elevated CRP, and their combination, respectively. Conclusion In patients with chronic CAD, the prognostic value of MCSF is independent and complemen- tary to that of CRP. MCSF is a particularly useful prognostic marker when CRP levels are low, but also provides additional information concerning risk and time-course of events in patients with elevated CRP. Introduction contribute to the development of acute coronary events in patients with atherosclerosis. Macrophage colony stimulating factor (MCSF) released by an Circulating CRP and MCSF levels have been associated injured endothelium1 causes monocyte/macrophage acti- with death and recurrent ischaemic events in patients vation,2 increases the macrophages’ cholesterol uptake,3 with acute coronary syndromes.17–21 In addition, CRP pre- mediates monocyte-induced apoptosis of vascular smooth dicts outcome in patients with chronic coronary artery muscle cells,4 and favours foam cell formation.5 MCSF- disease (CAD).17–19 However, it remains unclear whether activated macrophages migrate to the fibrous cap of an CRP and MCSF have an independent or additive prognostic atherosclerotic plaque,6 produce metalloproteinases7 and, value in patients with chronic CAD during a long-term thus, may cause plaque destabilization.4,7 MCSF also pro- follow-up period. We, therefore, prospectively compared motes platelet activation,8,9 tissue factor expression,10 and the prognostic significance of CRP to that of MCSF or their the release of the procoagulant cytokine, interleukin-6 combination in patients with chronic CAD during a 6 year (IL-6),11 which leads to C-reactive protein (CRP) pro- follow-up period. duction.12 CRP has a direct proinflammatory effect on the endothelium,13 mediates LDL uptake by macrophages,14 and may initiate the process of coagulation by inducing vas- Methods cular smooth muscle cell apoptosis15 and monocyte Patient selection expression of tissue factor.16 Through these actions, both MCSF and CRP may promote thrombosis and, thus, Between 1994 and 1997, we prospectively examined 150 consecutive outpatients with: effort angina of 1 year duration, documented exercise-induced ischaemia, 50% luminal diameter * Corresponding author. Tel: þ30 210 338 1497; fax: þ30 210 777 0473. stenosis of one or more epicardial artery at angiography E-mail address: ignoik@otenet.gr (performed within 5 + 2 months of screening), and written & The European Society of Cardiology 2005. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oupjournals.org
CRP and MCSF as complementary predictors in patients with chronic CAD 1619 informed consent. All patients underwent a treadmill exercise test according to the Bruce protocol. The number of metabolic Table 1 Clinical characteristics of the study population equivalents (Mets) achieved at ST-segment depression .0.1 mV, Age (years) 54 + 5 (32–68) 60 ms after the J point, was used to quantify the ischaemic Gender (M/F) 84/16 (84%) threshold. Of these, 50 patients were excluded for the following Cholesterol (mmol/L) 5.9 + 0.99 (4.8–8.1) reasons: 25 for an acute coronary event or coronary revasculariza- Triglycerides (mmol/L) 1.8 + 1.2 (0.8–5.7) tion within the previous 6 months, seven for cerebral or periph- Body mass index (kg/m2) 28 + 4 (22–36) eral vascular disease, 10 for diabetes mellitus, and eight for Smoking 60 (60%) malignant or known inflammatory diseases. Patients with diabetes Hypertension 34 (34%) were excluded becasue hyperglycaemia is a powerful activator of Parental CAD 50 (50%) MCSF production.22 Thus, the final study cohort consisted of 100 CCS anginal class patients (84 men, 16 women, mean age 54 + 5 years, range 1 40 (40%) 32–68) (Table 1 ). The study was approved by the local Research 2 47 (47%) Ethics Committee. 3 13 (13%) Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/eurheartj/article/26/16/1618/632755 by guest on 01 February 2022 Diseased coronary arteries Blood sampling 1 29 (30%) 2 36 (35%) A fasting morning blood sample was taken from each patient for the 3 35 (35%) measurement of plasma MCSF and CRP at inclusion in the study. Previous MI 52 (52%) Aliquots of plasma were stored at 2708C and analysis were per- Drugsa formed within a year of sampling. b-Blockers 52 (52%) Ca2þ-Blockers 51 (51%) Laboratory assays Long-acting nitrates 26 (26%) Plasma MCSF was measured by enzyme-linked immunoassay (‘human Lipid lowering 41 (41%) MCSF Quantikinine’, sensitivity 20 pg/mL, R&D system, Minneapolis, Antiplatelets 100 (100%) MN, USA). CRP was measured using particle-enhanced immuno- Diuretics 15 (15%) nephelometry (N Latex CRP mono, Behring Diagnostics). The assay ACE-inhibitors 25 (25%) detects a range of values between 0.175 and 1100 mg/L. The Monotherapyb 48 (48%) intra-assay coefficients of variation were ,5% for both tests. GTN onlyc 16 (16%) CCS, Canadian Cardiovascular Society; SA, chronic stable angina; ACE, Follow-up angiotensin-converting enzyme; GTN, glyceryl nitrate. Lipid lowering: 40% statins and 1% fibrates. Of the 100 patients, 95 (95%) completed a mean follow-up of a Medical treatment at inclusion. The patients’ medication was similar 6 years (72+3 months). The remaining five were lost to follow at the beginning and at the end of the follow-up period (P . 0.05). up and were considered as censored cases. Patients were followed b Patients on only one of the three classes of antianginal drugs. c as outpatients at 6–12 month intervals, starting from the day of Patients on only sublingual GTN at inclusion. blood sampling. The clinical endpoints considered in our analysis were the occurrence of cardiac death, acute myocardial infarction (MI), and hospital admission for unstable angina. Elective percuta- neous coronary intervention (PCI) or coronary artery bypass graft- overall sample of 80 patients was required to detect a 10% ing (CABG) was not considered, as they were not thought to increase of the event rate in the group of patients with high con- represent an acute coronary event. Of the 100 patients (23%), 23 centrations of inflammatory markers using a two-tailed test with a had a revascularization procedure (6 PCI and 17 CABG) during significance level of 5%, a power level of 90%, a drop-out rate of the 6 year follow-up. Deaths of cardiac origin were confirmed by 5%, and a total follow-up period of 6 years. We prospectively stra- death certificates and were verified by medical record review or tified patients into three groups, on the basis of the tertiles of the primary care physician interview. Non-cardiac death was not measured biochemical indices (MCSF: ,449 pg/mL, n ¼ 34; included in the analysis. MI was confirmed by ST-elevation or 450–813 pg/mL, n ¼ 34; 814 pg/mL, n ¼ 32; CRP: ,1.09 mg/L, non-ST elevation changes on ECG and diagnostic increases in n ¼ 33; 1.1–2.4 mg/L, n ¼ 33; 2.5 mg/L, n ¼ 34),18 and cardiac serum cardiac enzymes. Unstable angina was diagnosed by the event-free survival curves were constructed by Kaplan–Meier occurrence of rest angina with non-ST segment elevation ischaemic analysis.18 Differences among curves were assessed using the log ECG changes or with a positive troponin T test without concomi- rank test. Because the outcomes for the first and second tertile tant increase in serum creatine kinase levels. of MCSF and CRP plasma levels were not statistically different, they were combined for the final Kaplan–Meier and Cox pro- portional hazard analyses.18,24 Univariate Cox proportional hazard Statistical analysis analysis24 was used to assess the predictors of cardiac events for Inflammatory indices are presented as medians and interquartiles, the following covariates: age, gender, smoking status, hyperten- as the data were not normally distributed. Stata 8.0 (Stata sion, hyperlipidaemia, parental CAD, previous (.6 months) MI, Corporation, College Station, TX, USA) software was used. Differ- multivessel disease (two and three vessel disease), non-use of ences within and among groups were analysed by Wilcoxon signed b-blockers, calcium blockers, nitrates, angiotensin-converting rank test, Mann–Whitney U test, or analysis of variance (Kruskal– enzyme inhibitor, lipid-lowering medication, MCSF 814 pg/mL, Wallis and Friedman test). Simple relations were assessed by and CRP 2.5 mg/L. The covariates with a P-value ,0.10 at Spearman’s rank correlation. Multiple relations were assessed by univariate analysis were entered in the multivariable model.24 linear regression analysis after logarithmic transformation of MCSF Cox multivariable analysis with a stepwise selection method was and CRP. Categorical variables were compared by contingency x2 used to estimate the final predictors of cardiac events. test. Significance between models was calculated by the likelihood Only the first event of the combined primary outcome variable ratio test. In multivariable analysis, a P , 0.05 was considered (cardiac death, non-fatal MI, and unstable angina) was counted statistically significant. as an endpoint. On the basis of an annual event rate of 2% for Interactions between MCSF, CRP, smoking, and multivessel the primary end-point in patients with stable angina,23 an disease were also assessed in the multivariable analysis. To
1620 I. Ikonomidis et al. adjust the final model for other atherosclerotic risk factors and for patients with MCSF and CRP levels lower than the corre- medication, a forced entry approach was used.24 The results of the sponding upper tertiles (Figure 1 ), suggesting a complemen- Cox regression analysis are expressed as hazard ratios (HR) and tary role of MCSF and CRP. corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI). The appropriateness Kaplan–Meier analysis showed that patients with of the risk assumption was examined by preparing the log (2log) MCSF 814 pg/mL had a worse prognosis than patients plots of the survival function. The final multivariable model was validated by plotting the residuals against the fitted values (gener- with MCSF ,814 pg/mL (log rank: 28.7, P , 0.0001, alized Cox–Snell residuals) and testing the goodness of fit. Figure 2A ), and that patients with CRP 2.5 had a greater Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was also used to risk of adverse events than patients with CRP ,2.5 mg/L compare the predictive value of MCSF vs. CRP levels. The curves (log rank: 12.64, P , 0.001, Figure 2B ). Patients with com- were constructed by plotting sensitivity against (one-specificity). bined elevated CRP (2.5 mg/L) and MCSF (814 pg/mL) The area under the curve (AUC) for MCSF or CRP was also calcu- had a higher risk of adverse events than patients with elev- lated, in addition to the standard risk factors (age . 60 years, ated CRP levels alone (log rank: 8.35, P ¼ 0.003, Figure 3 ). sex, smoking, hypelipidaemia, and hypertension) using logistic Thus, the prognostic information provided by MSCF may be regression analysis. Wilcoxon’s signed rank test for dependent Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/eurheartj/article/26/16/1618/632755 by guest on 01 February 2022 complementary to that provided by CRP. Finally, survival samples was used for comparisons between the unadjusted AUCs, tables showed that the mean event-free time was 64 and one-sample test of proportions for comparisons between the adjusted AUCs. months (95% CI: 53–75) in patients with elevated CRP alone, compared with 39 months (95% CI: 23–53) in patients with elevated MCSF alone (log rank ¼ 4.67, P ¼ 0.03), and Results 52 months (95% CI: 40–65) in patients with combined elev- ated CRP and MCSF (log rank ¼ 8.35, P ¼ 0.003), indicating Clinical characteristics (Table 1) a significant difference in the time-course of events pre- All patients had an ejection fraction 55% at left ventricu- dicted by high levels of MCSF vs. those of CRP. lography. None presented with signs of heart failure at inclusion. Twenty-five patients (25%) presented myocardial Univariate and multivariable predictors of cardiac ischaemia at a workload of ,7 Mets during treadmill exer- events cise test. The proportion of patients receiving antianginal, antiplatelet, or lipid-lowering drugs was similar at the Univariate Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that beginning and at the end of the follow-up period (P . 0.05). male gender, smoking status, multivessel disease, and the upper tertiles of MCSF or CRP levels were significant predic- Association of MCSF and CRP with atherosclerotic tors of cardiac events (P , 0.05, Table 2 ) among traditional risk factors risk factors and medications. Patients with high MCSF (814 pg/mL) or CRP (2.5 mg/L) By multivariable regression analysis, MCSF and CRP levels had a 5.9-fold (95% CI: 2.74–12.81) (P , 0.001) and 2.6-fold were related to smoking (r ¼ 0.37 and r ¼ 0.28 respectively, (95% CI: 1.29–5.42) (P ¼ 0.008) higher risk of cardiac events, P , 0.01) and MCSF additionally to multivessel disease compared with patients with low levels of MCSF or CRP, (r ¼ 0.21, P ¼ 0.035), among age, gender, body mass respectively. index, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia, family history of The multivariable Cox regression model included gender, CAD and medications. MCSF levels were related to those of smoking, multivessel disease, and elevated MCSF and CRP, CRP (r ¼ 0.47, P , 0.05). as only these variables were significant at P , 0.1 at univari- ate analysis among traditional risk factors and medication. Cardiac events Using the backwards stepwise selection method, smoking Thirty-one patients presented cardiac events within the status was removed from the model. Then, using the follow-up period. Of these, 6 died, 9 suffered a non-ST forward stepwise selection method, the non-significant cov- segment elevation MI, and 16 had an episode of unstable ariates previously examined in univariate analysis were angina. The median time from the start of follow-up to added. No new significant covariates were added in the mul- the occurrence of cardiac events was 24 (12–68) months. tivariable model at the end of this analysis. At this point, Of the 31 (23%), patients with cardiac events, 7 had a interactions between inflammatory indices and smoking or revascularization procedure (two PCI and five CABG) at multivessel disease were examined in the multivariable a median time of 13 (12–21) months of follow-up or at a model. A significant interaction emerged between the sub- median time of 16 (9–51) months before the adverse groups of MCSF and CRP (P ¼ 0.03 for interaction), event. Moreover, 16 of the 69 patients without events suggesting that the adjusted HR for cardiac events was (23%) had a revascularization procedure (4 PCI and different between each subgroup of MCSF and CRP. The 12 CABG) at a median time of 14 (12–46) months of interaction term between MCSF and CRP remained signi- follow-up. There was no difference in revascularization ficant after using the backward selection procedure rate between patients with or without events (P ¼ 0.178). (P ¼ 0.02). However, multivessel disease became non- significant (P . 0.05) and, thus, was removed from the final model. The final multivariable model was therefore Predictors of outcome constructed by male gender, MCSF levels 814 pg/mL, CRP Kaplan–Meier life-time analysis for MCSF and CRP levels 2.5 mg/L, and their interaction term, as Survival tables showed that the absolute risk (%) of cardiac summarized in Table 2. events was 75% in patients with combined high CRP Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that patients (.2.5 mg/L) and MCSF (.814 pg/mL), 59% in patients with with high MCSF (814 pg/mL) alone had a 13.17-fold (95% high MCSF alone, 32% in patients high CRP alone, and 8% in CI: 4.14–42) higher risk of cardiac events compared with
CRP and MCSF as complementary predictors in patients with chronic CAD 1621 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/eurheartj/article/26/16/1618/632755 by guest on 01 February 2022 Figure 1 Absolute risk (%) of cardiac events in patients with high or low MCSF ( or ,814 pg/mL) and CRP ( or , 2.5 mg/L) levels derived by survi- val tables (P , 0.05). N indicates the number of patients in each subgroup. Figure 3 Kaplan–Meier survival curves for patients with combinations of high or low MCSF ( or , 814 pg/mL) and CRP ( or , 2.5 mg/L) levels (Log rank: 45.09, P ¼ 0.00001). The event-free rate in patients with com- bined high CRP and MCSF is lower than that in patients with high CRP alone (Log rank: 8.35, P ¼ 0.003). The survival curves for patients with combined high MCSF and CRP and for patients with high MCSF alone crossed over during follow-up indicating an interaction between the subgroups of CRP and MCSF. and CRP did not change: 14 (95% CI: 3.6–60) for MCSF and 6.29 (95% CI: 1.46–27) for CRP (P ¼ 0.001). Comparison of the usefulness of MCSF and CRP as predictors of cardiac events Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed a greater AUC for plasma MCSF levels than for CRP levels [80% (95% CI: 70 to 91) vs. 61% (95% CI: 55 to 74), z ¼ 8.419, P ¼ 0.00001 for the unadjusted AUC and z ¼ 2.605; P ¼ 0.009 for the adjusted AUC], suggesting a superior prognostic value of MCSF than of CRP for predicting cardiac events (Figure 4 ). Discussion In this prospective study of patients with chronic CAD, we demonstrate for the first time that CRP and MCSF plasma levels are complementary predictors of adverse outcome, among traditional atherosclerotic risk factors such as age, male gender, smoking, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia, Figure 2 Kaplan–Meier survival curves for patients with chronic CAD. (A ) family history of CAD, and multivessel disease, during a 6 The event-free rate in patients with MCSF 814 pg/mL (upper tertile of year follow-up period. The combination of increased CRP MCSF levels) is significantly lower than that in patients with MCSF ,814 pg/ mL (Log rank: 28.7, P ¼ 0.00001). (B ) The event-free rate in patients with and MCSF levels was associated with a greater absolute CRP levels 2.5 mg/L (upper tertile of CRP levels) is significantly lower and relative risk of future events and a shorter event-free than that in patients with CRP levels ,2.5 mg/L (Log rank: 12.64, period compared with elevated CRP levels alone in patients P ¼ 0.0001). with chronic CAD. patients with low MCSF and low CRP (P ¼ 0.0001), whereas MCSF, CRP, and acute cardiac events patients with high CRP levels (2.5 mg/L) alone had a In the present study, male gender, multivessel disease, 6.24-fold (95% CI: 1.74–22.42) higher risk of cardiac events smoking status, and the upper tertiles of MCSF and CRP compared with patients with low CRP and low MCSF levels levels were significant predictors of prognosis by univariate (P ¼ 0.005, Table 2 ). analysis. However, in multivariable analysis only male After adjustment for other potential confounders such as gender and the upper tertiles of MCSF and CRP levels age, hypertension, hyperlipidaemia, parental CAD, previous retained their prognostic value among age, smoking, hyper- MI, and medications, the HR associated with elevated MCSF tension, hyperlipidaemia, family history of CAD, and
1622 I. Ikonomidis et al. Table 2 Cox proportional hazard analysis for the predictors of cardiac events Variables Univariate analysis Multivariable analysis P-values HR (95% CI) P-values HR (95% CI) a Inflammatory indices MCSF 814 pg/mL 0.0001 5.9 (2.74–12.81) 0.0001 13.17 (4.1–42)c CRP 2.5 mg/L 0.008 2.6 (1.29–5.42) 0.005 6.24 (1.74–22.42) MCSF CRPb 0.02 Coronary risk factors Age 0.80 1.005 (0.97–1.05) Male gender 0.06 6.6 (0.9–49) 0.03 8.34 (1.13–61.4) Smoking 0.03 2.9 (1.09–7.5) Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/eurheartj/article/26/16/1618/632755 by guest on 01 February 2022 Hyperlipidemia 0.49 1.32 (0.6–2.9) Hypertension 0.76 1.11 (0.5–1.2) Parental CAD 0.17 1.7 (0.8–3.4) Previous MI 0.29 2.02 (0.5–7.5) Multivessel disease 0.05 2.5 (0.98–6.2) Medicationa No use of nitrates 0.17 1.6 (0.8–3.4) No use of b-blockers 0.22 1.56 (0.7–3.1) No use of Ca-blockers 0.60 0.83 (0.4–1.6) No use of lipid-lowering drugs 0.38 1.4 (0.7–3.8) No use of ACE-Inhibitors 0.23 1.54 (0.76–3.1) All covariates except age are categorical. HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval. a The cut-off values for MCSF and CRP correspond to the upper tertiles of their levels that are compared with the combination of the first and second tertile of their levels by multivariable analysis.18 b MCSF CRP indicates the interaction term between CRP 2.5 mg/L and MCSF 814 pg/mL entered in the multivariable model. c HR for patients with high MCSF or CRP alone vs. patients with combined low MCSF and CRP; multivessel: two and three vessel; ACE, angiotensin converting enzyme; NS, not significant (P . 0.05). cardiac events in patients with stable and unstable angina during a 2 year follow-up period. Saito et al. 21 showed the prognostic significance of increased MCSF levels for future cardiac events in a mixed population of patients with stable and unstable angina during 14 months of follow-up. However, in their study, increased MCSF levels on admission and incidence of future events were associated with the diagnosis of unstable angina at inclusion, indicating that the results of their study were mainly driven by the subgroup of patients with unstable angina. Conversely, in the present study, we showed that high MCSF levels predicted an adverse outcome in patients with chronic CAD. Moreover, in this study, patients with CRP levels ,2.5 mg/L, who are considered at low risk of cardiac events,17 had a 13-fold risk of future events when their MCSF levels were .814 pg/mL compared with when they were ,814 pg/mL. Figure 4 Receiver operating curves for the prediction of cardiac events Thus, in the presence of low CRP levels, MCSF becomes par- showed a greater area under the curve for MCSF levels than for CRP levels ticularly useful in distinguishing patients at a substantially [80% (95% CI: 70–91) vs. 61% (95% CI: 50–74), P ¼ 0.00001]. lower or higher risk of cardiac events. Furthermore, patients with the combined elevation of MCSF and CRP levels had a higher absolute and relative multivessel disease. Because atherosclerotic risk factors risk of future events when compared with patients with promote cytokine production1–4,22,25,26 and, consequently, elevated levels of a single inflammatory factor or to patients CRP release,12,27,28 these findings suggest that inflammatory with low levels of both inflammatory indices. Thus, high indices may serve as a surrogate marker of the cumulative MCSF provided additional prognostic information in patients effect of traditional risk factors on the prognosis of patients with high CRP levels and vice versa. with chronic CAD. However, it is possible that MCSF and CRP Our results suggest that MCSF and CRP levels may be may directly contribute to plaque rupture, thrombo- synergistic and complementary predictors of adverse sis,4,6,7,10,15,16 and thus, to the genesis of acute cardiac outcome in patients with chronic CAD. Indeed, both CRP events.17–21 Our findings are in agreement with those of and MCSF induce apoptosis of vascular smooth muscle others18 who found that CRP levels independently predicted cells4,15 and tissue factor expression10,16 in atherosclerotic
CRP and MCSF as complementary predictors in patients with chronic CAD 1623 lesions and, consequently, may cause a synergic increase in Thus, increased MCSF may signal patients with more aggres- plaque thrombogenicity and instability. sive CAD and, therefore, with a higher risk for acute ischae- Survival tables showed that the mean event-free time was mic events at an earlier follow-up time compared with 39 months in patients with elevated MCSF when compared patients with elevated CRP alone. Our results are in line with with 64 months in patients with elevated CRP and 52 those of other investigators who found that MCSF but not months in patients with combined elevation of CRP and CRP was an independent predictor of in-hospital and short- MCSF. This finding suggests that increased MCSF levels term outcome in patients with unstable angina.20 For these alone or combined with elevated CRP levels may predict reasons, MCSF levels may be considered a reliable alternative the incidence of future coronary events occurring at an marker of outcome in patients with chronic stable CAD. earlier time when compared with elevated CRP levels alone. Atheroslerotic risk factors1,22,25 or infections2 may trigger Study limitations increased MCSF production, mainly by endothelial cells,2 in the initial process of atherosclerosis.31 Moreover, MCSF-acti- The following limitations should be acknowledged. Inflammatory indices were measured in peripheral blood. Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/eurheartj/article/26/16/1618/632755 by guest on 01 February 2022 vated macrophages produce further amounts of MCSF that can enter the systemic circulation.2 MCSF promotes the This does not allow firm conclusions on the release of release of IL-6,11 which drives CRP production.12 Thus, these factors within the coronary circulation. Medications MCSF production by endothelial cells and resident macro- may affect plasma levels of the measured inflammatory phages at atherosclerotic lesions may precede the cyto- indices.19,27 However, the study subgroups did not differ in kine-mediated release of CRP by hepatocytes.12 As a antianginal, antiplatelet, or lipid lowering treatment at result, MCSF may promote apoptosis of smooth muscle enrolment or at the end of the follow-up period. Thus, any cells,4 release of metalloproteinases,7 platelet acti- possible influence of medications on cytokine plasma vation,8,9 tissue factor expression10 and, consequently, levels was evenly distributed within the study subgroups. plaque instability at an earlier time than CRP. Although The sample size of our study population is relatively small, CRP and MCSF have been detected in human atherosclerotic though adequately powered (.80%) for the differences lesions,28,29 CRP is not present in the normal vessel wall,2,28 reported between the various study subgroups. The study suggesting a role of CRP in the advanced phases of athero- population comprised a high proportion of smokers and genesis. Recent evidence suggests that a balance of pro- male patients and thus our results should be interpreted in thrombotic15 and anti-thrombotic effects of CRP30,31 on view of this. Finally, the number of patients using b-blockers the vessel wall may be important in the development of and lipid lowering drugs was relatively low; thus, our study adverse cardiac events.32 Increased MCSF production may population may not be representative of the current disrupt this balance towards increased apoptosis and patient population, in whom the current widespread use of plaque thrombogenicity at an early stage of atherosclerosis b-blockers and statins may influence the prognostic value by enhancing the apoptotic effects of CRP.4,15 Alternatively, of the measured inflammatory markers. MCSF may facilitate the structural modification of the native, pentameric, CRP to monomeric subunits which are Conclusion required for proinflammatory actions on endothelial cells.33 Through this action MCSF may enhance and acceler- In this prospective study of patients with chronic CAD, high ate the proinflammatory effects of circulating CRP on vascu- CRP, and MCSF levels were independent and complementary lar tissues so that these are augmented and become evident predictors of adverse outcome during a 6 year follow-up at an earlier time than they would have become in the pre- period. Furthermore, the prognostic value of elevated sence of elevated CRP levels alone. The above pathophysio- MCSF became evident at an earlier time during follow-up logical mechanisms may explain the greater risk of future than that of elevated CRP. Our findings are clinically rel- events and the shorter event-free time in patients with com- evant, as MCSF levels provide additional information on bined high CRP and MCSF levels compared with patients with the risk and time course of adverse events in patients with elevated CRP levels alone observed in the present study. elevated CRP levels, but are also useful to further stratify Thus, the measurement of MCSF provides additional prog- the risk of patients who have low levels of CRP. nostic information on the risk and time-course of events compared with the measurement of CRP in patients with Acknowledgement chronic CAD. This work was supported by Hammersmith Hospital Grant no. RC/ In this study, a head-to-head comparison between the pre- 259. dictive value of MCSF and of CRP showed that the upper tertile of MCSF levels was associated with an approximately two-fold higher absolute (59 vs. 32%) and relative (13.17 vs. References 6.24) risk of events, as well as with a shorter event-free 1. Rajavashisth TB, Andalibi A, Territo MC, Navab M, Fogelman AM, Lusis AJ. time (39 vs. 64 months) than the upper tertile of CRP Induction of endothelial cell expression of granulocyte and macrophage colony stimulating factors by modified low-density lipoproteins. Nature levels. In addition, by receiver operating curve analysis, (Lond) 1990;344:254–257. the predictive value for acute cardiac events of MCSF 2. Roth P, Stanley ER. The biology of CSF-1 and its receptor. Current Topics levels was higher than that of CRP levels (area under the in Microbiology and Immunology. Berlin: Sonneg-Verlag, 1992, vol. 181, curve 80 vs. 61%). 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