Immigration Reform: What Does It Mean for Agriculture?

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Immigration Reform: What Does It Mean for Agriculture?
POLICY ISSUES
                                                                                                                                   PI5 - September 2009
                                                                                                            A publication of the
   Insights on food, farm, and resource issues
                                                                                                         Agricultural & Applied               AAEA
                                                                                                                                              Agricultural & Applied
                                                                                                         Economics Association                Economics Association

Immigration Reform: What Does It Mean
for Agriculture?
Philip Martin

JEL Classifications: J43, J48

About 5% of U.S. residents and 7% of California resi-                              Immigration
dents are foreigners believed to be illegally in the United                        In 1970, the 10 million immigrants in the United States
States (Passel and Cohn, 2009). Over half of the hired                             were less than 5% of U.S. residents; by 2010, the 40 mil-
workers employed on U.S. and California crop farms                                 lion immigrants are likely to be 13% of U.S. residents. The
have been unauthorized for the past decade, a period dur-                          largest single source of immigrants is Mexico—a third of
ing which unauthorized workers spread from crop farms                              foreign-born U.S. residents were born in Mexico. Most
to dairies and other livestock operations throughout the                           Mexican-born U.S. residents arrived since 1990, and a few
United States (NAWS).                                                              numbers highlight the dramatic growth. In 1970, when
    In most industrial countries, 5 to 15% of residents were                       Mexico’s population was about 50 million, there were
born abroad; the United States is near the high end of this                        less than 750,000 Mexican-born U.S. residents. By 2010,
range, with 39 million foreign-born residents in 2008,                             when Mexico expects 110 million residents, there are likely
almost 13% of the 305 million U.S. residents (OECD,                                to be 13 million Mexican-born U.S. residents, meaning
2009). However, the United States is unique in having over                         that more than 10% of those born in Mexico will have
30% of its foreign-born residents unauthorized. The esti-                          moved to the United States.
mated 12.5 million unauthorized foreigners in 2008 were                                There are three major subgroups among the foreign
equivalent to the population of the fifth most populous                            born. About 14 million are naturalized U.S. citizens, in-
state, Pennsylvania.                                                               cluding California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger.
    President Obama met with 30 Congressional leaders on                           Another 14 million foreign-born U.S. residents are legal
June 25, 2009 to begin “an honest discussion about the                             immigrants who have not yet become naturalized U.S. citi-
issues” involved in comprehensive immigration reform,                              zens and temporary visitors such as foreign students and
which has three major elements: legalization for some of                           guest workers, many of whom stay in the United States sev-
unauthorized foreigners in the United States; a secure ID                          eral years and some of whom become immigrants. Finally,
to make future employment of unauthorized workers more                             there are 12 million unauthorized foreigners, including
risky for their employers; and a framework to deal with “fu-                       seven million or 60% Mexicans. Unauthorized foreigners,
ture flows” of migrant workers. In Mexico in August 2009,                          almost all of whom were born in Mexico, are over half of
Obama said he remained committed to comprehensive                                  the hired workers on U.S. crop farms.
immigration reform, but that it would have to wait until                               Between 2003 and 2007, when the U.S. unemploy-
2010 so that Congress can deal with health care, energy                            ment rate was mostly below 5% , the number of unau-
and reform of financial regulation.                                                thorized foreigners in the United States increased by about
    This article explores the implications of comprehensive                        500,000 a year, including 300,000 Mexicans (Passel and
immigration reform for farm employers, farm workers, and                           Cohn, 2009). During this period of low U.S. unemploy-
rural communities. After a brief review of immigration pat-                        ment rates, Mexican and other unauthorized foreigners
terns, we turn to the role of foreign-born workers in U.S.                         spread from California and other traditional migrant desti-
agriculture, outline the major reform proposals, and assess                        nations throughout the United States. In 1990, California
their likely impacts.                                                              had 42% of the estimated 3.5 million unauthorized for-

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                                                                                                  PI5 - September 2009   POLICY ISSUES       1
eigners in the United States, and the           living costs. By 2008, over half of the    foreigners loom larger in two farm-
six states with the most unauthorized           foreign-born residents in states such      related occupations, farm worker
foreigners had 80% of the total. By             as Colorado, Indiana, and North            and meat packer, where about half
2008, California’s share had fallen to          Carolina were unauthorized.                and a quarter of production workers,
22% of 12 million unauthorized for-                 There are about eight million un-      respectively, are believed to be unau-
eigners, and the same six states had            authorized foreigners in the U.S. la-      thorized.
only 60% of the total.                          bor force, meaning that 5% of U.S.
    Many of the “new growth states”             workers are unauthorized (Passel and       Farm Labor
for unauthorized foreigners are in the          Cohn, 2009). Most are employed in          There are two major types of labor
Midwest and Southeast. Unauthor-                service jobs ranging from food prepa-      employed on farms: farmers and fam-
ized workers, but relatively few legal          ration to janitorial services, but these   ily members whose earnings from
immigrants, were attracted to these             occupations have so many employees         farm work reflect the difference be-
states by jobs in farming, meatpack-            that the unauthorized are less than        tween farm revenue and expenses, and
ing, and construction and often lower           15% of all employees. Unauthorized         hired workers who are paid on hourly,
                                                                                           piece rate or other bases. Both types
                                                                                           of farm labor have declined over the
                                                                                           past half century due to labor-saving
    Figure 1. Unauthorized Share of Foreign-born Residents by State, 2008
                                                                                           changes in farm production, but the
                                                                                           decline in family labor has been most
                                                                                           pronounced. In 1950, there were
                                                                                           an average three farmers and family
                                                                                           members for each hired worker; to-
                                                                                           day, there are two farmers and family
                                                                                           members for each hired worker.
                                                                                               Most U.S. farms do not hire any
                                                                                           labor—less than a quarter of the 2.2
                                                                                           million farms enumerated in the 2007
                                                                                           Census of Agriculture reported ex-
                                                                                           penditures for hired workers. Hired
                                                                                           labor expenditures are concentrated
                                                                                           in three major ways: by commodity,
                                                                                           geography, and size of farm. Farms
                                                                                           producing fruits and nuts, vegetables
                                                                                           and melons, and horticultural spe-
                                                                                           cialties such as greenhouse and nurs-
                                                                                           ery crops (FVH crops) accounted for
                                                                                           over half of the $26.4 billion in total
                                                                                           farm labor expenditures in 2007, in-
    Figure 2. Farmers, Family Members and Hired Workers Employed on Farms,                 cluding almost $22 billion for work-
    1950–2006                                                                              ers hired directly and $4.5 billion for
                                                                                           contract labor expenditures.
                                                                                               Most hired farm workers were
                                                                                           born abroad, and almost all new farm
                                                                                           workers were born outside the US.
                                                                                           The supply of U.S. farm workers de-
                                                                                           pends on U.S. farm wages remaining
                                                                                           significantly above wages in workers’
                                                                                           countries of origin, primarily Mexico.
                                                                                           However, most foreign-born workers
                                                                                           do not stay in the seasonal farm work
                                                                                           force, so that the U.S. farm labor mar-
                                                                                           ket resembles a revolving door, ab-
                                                                                           sorbing newcomers from abroad and
    Source: Kandel, 2008, p13
                                                                                           retaining them for less than a decade.

2                POLICY ISSUES   PI5 - September 2009
The National Agricultural Worker        workers is not new. The commercial              Then President Bush issued a
Survey (NAWS) finds a sixth of farm         farms that evolved in the western          statement expressing strong support
workers are newcomers, or in the            United States in the late 19th cen-        for the House enforcement- and-at-
United States less than a year, equiva-     tury depended on newcomers with            trition approach: “America is a nation
lent to 100% turnover every six years.      few alternatives to fill seasonal farm     built on the rule of law, and this bill
In most industries, turnover is costly      jobs. In California, Chinese migrants      will help us protect our borders and
for employers, who must invest in the       were followed by Japanese and Fili-        crack down on illegal entry into the
recruitment, screening and training of      pino newcomers, Dust Bowl refugees         United States (Bush and Congress:
replacement workers. However, agri-         in the 1930s, and Mexicans since the       Action?, 2006 ). Migrant advocates
culture minimizes the costs normally        Bracero Program began in 1942. The         decried the House bill, and their
associated with high labor turnover in      children of these workers educated in      protests culminated in mass rallies
several ways, including hiring crews        the United States rarely follow their      May 1, 2006. Unauthorized migrants
of workers via bilingual intermediar-       parents into the fields, helping to        were encouraged to demonstrate their
ies and developing wage systems that        explain the keen interest of farm em-      economic importance by refusing to
keep labor costs stable even if worker      ployers in immigration policy.             work, and some meatpacking plants
productivity varies. For example, crew                                                 closed for the day. Perhaps not co-
pushers or slow-moving conveyor belts       Immigration Reform                         incidentally, beef, chicken and pork
in the field can set a productivity stan-   The United States has been debating        prices were at three-year lows, and
dard for workers paid hourly wages,         what to do about the growing number        provided another reason for closing
and workers who do not earn enough          of unauthorized foreigners for almost      the plants May 1, 2006.
at the employer-set piece rate are nor-     two decades, a period in which the              The Senate under Democratic
mally not retained. There are no lon-       number of unauthorized foreigners          leadership took a “comprehensive
gitudinal data that track farm workers      almost quadrupled and illegal mi-          approach” to immigration reform
over time, nor studies to prioritize the    grants spread throughout the country.      in May 2006, approving the Com-
steps that employers could take to in-      There are two contending approaches:       prehensive Immigration Reform Act
duce seasonal farm workers to remain        enforcement-and-attrition, and com-        (CIRA) on a 62-36 vote. The CIRA
in the farm work force longer.              prehensive immigration reform.             included many of the same enforce-
    The NAWS paints a picture of a              The House under Republican lead-       ment provisions that were in the
Spanish-speaking farm work force            ership in December 2005 approved           House bill, such as a requirement that
with little education employed about        the Border Protection, Antiterrorism,      employers use an internet-based sys-
two-thirds of the year on FVH farms.        and Illegal Immigration Control Act        tem to check the legal status of newly
These hired workers earned an av-           on a 239-182 vote. It called for man-      hired and current employees and
erage $8 an hour in 2006, half the          datory screening of newly hired as well    more fencing on the Mexico-U.S.
$16 average hourly earnings of U.S.         as existing employees to ensure that all   border. However, CIRA also offered
production workers. Earning half as         workers are legally authorized, more       a path to legal immigrant status for
much for two-thirds as many weeks           fencing along the Mexico-U.S. bor-         unauthorized foreigners in the Unit-
of work means that farm workers had         der, and legal and policy changes to       ed States at least two years and a new
annual earnings that averaged only a        make life more difficult for unauthor-     guest worker program with a “market
third of the $34,000 of nonfarm pro-        ized foreigners, such as making “illegal   mechanism” to adjust the number of
duction workers. Most crop workers          presence” in the United States a felony    visas available. If employers requested
rented housing away from the farm           and encouraging state and local police     all available visas before the end of
where they worked and reported re-          to be trained to check the immigra-        the year, the number of visas available
ceiving no employment-related ben-          tion status of persons they encoun-        would rise for the following year. The
efits from farm employers such as           ter. The House bill, considered an         House did not consider the Senate
health insurance of pensions.               enforcement-and-attrition approach         bill.
    The combination of relatively           to illegal migration, did not include a         In May-June 2007, the Senate
low wages and seasonal work reduc-          guest worker or legalization program,      again considered comprehensive im-
es the appeal of farm work to most          under the theory that enforcement          migration reform with the active
U.S. workers. This means that those         should be proven effective before ad-      encouragement of President Bush.
attracted to the farm work force are        ditional migrant workers arrive legally    However, the Senate’s 2007 bill was
workers whose alternative U.S. job          and before the government perhaps          “tougher” on illegal migration by,
options are limited by lack of English,     legalizes some of the unauthorized         for example, not allowing the entry
education, and other factors. The re-       foreigners in the United States.           of additional guest workers until the
liance on newcomers to be seasonal                                                     president certified that stepped-up

                                                                              PI5 - September 2009   POLICY ISSUES       3
enforcement had reduced unauthor-            of AgJOBS, including legalization for         doing at least 150 days of farm work
ized migration. One provision would          unauthorized farm workers and em-             in any three years, plus 100 days in a
have required unauthorized foreign-          ployer-friendly changes to the H-2A           fourth year (for workers who do not
ers seeking legalization to leave the        guest worker program, were negoti-            do 150 days in each of the first three
United States and re-enter legally, a        ated by farm employers and farm               years).
“touchback” requirement that mi-             worker advocates in December 2000,                 Legalization, the major goal of
grant advocates said would deter mi-         just before President Bush took office.       farm worker advocates, is offset in Ag-
grants fearful of not being allowed               AgJOBS echoes the agricultural           JOBS by changes to the H-2A guest
back into the United States. The bill        provisions of IRCA in 1986, which             worker program, the major goal of
stalled when majority Democrats              legalized then illegal farm workers           farm employers. The H-2A program
could not secure the 60 votes needed         and gave farmers easy access to guest         allows farm employers to request cer-
to stop debate.                              workers in the event of farm labor            tification from the U.S. Department
                                             shortages. However, only the agricul-         of Labor to have foreign workers ad-
Agricultural Provisions                      tural legalization provisions of IRCA         mitted “temporarily to the United
U.S. farm employers may obtain legal         took effect; a flood of unauthorized          States to perform agricultural labor…
guest workers under the H-2A pro-            foreigners in the late 1980s made it          of a temporary or seasonal nature.”
gram by obtaining certification from         unnecessary to implement the new              DOL certified 94,000 farm jobs to be
the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL)           guest worker provisions (Martin,              filled with foreign workers in FY08,
that two conditions are satisfied: (1)       1994).                                        up from 77,000 in FY07.
there are not sufficient workers who              The current version of AgJOBS,                AgJOBS would make three ma-
are able, willing, and qualified, and        introduced in May 2009 by Senator             jor employer-friendly changes to the
who will be available at the time and        Dianne Feinstein (D-CA), would al-            H-2A program. First, attestation
place needed, to perform the labor or        low up to 1.35 million unauthorized           would replace certification, effectively
services involved in the employer pe-        farm workers who did at least 150             shifting control of the border gate
tition and, (2) that the employment          days of farm work in the 24-month             from the U.S. Department of Labor
of the alien in such labor or services       period ending December 31, 2008               to employers. After making asser-
will not adversely affect the wages and      to apply for Blue Card probationary           tions (assurances) to DOL that they
working conditions of workers in the         status. Unauthorized farm workers             have vacant jobs, are paying at least
United States similarly employed.            would present evidence of their quali-        the minimum or prevailing wage, and
    DOL certifies over 95% of em-            fying farm work and pay application           will comply with other H-2A require-
ployer requests to hire H-2A work-           fees and $100 fines to obtain Blue            ments, employer job offers would
ers, granting permission to fill 94,000      Card visas with personal biometric            be reviewed for “completeness and
farm jobs with H-2A workers in               data, which would allow them to live          obvious inaccuracies” and normally
FY08, up from less than 50,000 a             and work legally in the United States         approved within seven days. Foreign
year in the late 1990s. Nonetheless,         for five years. The unauthorized fam-         H-2A workers would arrive and go
the H-2A program is often described          ily members of Blue Card holders              to work, and DOL enforcement of
by employers as broken and bureau-           in the United States could obtain a           employer assurances would respond
cratic, and by worker advocates as           “derivative” probationary legal status        to complaints of violations of H-2A
unable to achieve the goal of protect-       that would allow them remain in the           regulations.
ing U.S. workers. Employers often            United States and obtain work per-                 Second, rather than provide the
cite as problems the requirement that        mits.                                         free housing to H-2A and out-of-area
they must apply for foreign workers               Blue Card holders could earn an          U.S. workers as is currently required,
at least 45 days before they expect          immigrant status for themselves and           AgJOBS would allow farm employers
to employ them, must try to recruit          their family members before their             to pay a housing allowance of $1 to
U.S. workers, and must provide both          Blue Cards expired by continuing to           $2 an hour, depending on local costs
foreign- and out-of-area U.S. workers        do farm work. There are three con-            to rent two-bedroom units that are
with free and approved housing.              tinued-farm-work options: (1) per-            assumed to house four workers. State
    Both Senate bills included a spe-        forming at least 150 days (a day is at        governors would have to certify that
cial legalization and guest worker           least 5.75 hours) of farm work a year         there is sufficient rental housing for
program for agriculture, the Agricul-        during each of the first three years af-      the guest workers in the area where
tural Job Opportunity Benefits and           ter enactment; (2) doing at least 100         they will be employed in order for
Security Act or AgJOBS (Rural Mi-            days of farm work a year during the           H-2A employers to pay a housing
gration News). The major provisions          first five years after registration; or (3)   allowance rather than provide free
                                                                                           housing.

4             POLICY ISSUES   PI5 - September 2009
Third, the Adverse Effect Wage        Implications for Agriculture                    The status quo means uncertainty
Rate, the minimum wage that must                                                      for farm employers, farm workers,
                                          The hired farm workers who do most
be paid to legal guest workers, would                                                 and the communities they share. De-
                                          of the work on large fruit, vegetable,
be frozen at 2008 levels and studied.                                                 spite risk-absorbing labor intermedi-
                                          and specialty crop farms are mostly
The AEWR is currently the annual                                                      aries that shield many farm employers
                                          unauthorized foreigners, raising risks
average earnings of field and livestock                                               from the risk of fines in the event of
                                          in a subsector of agriculture that al-
workers reported by employers to the                                                  enforcement, employers may have to
                                          ready faces higher-than-average pro-
National Agricultural Statistics Ser-                                                 raise wages if enforcement removes
                                          duction and marketing risks. The sea-
vice four times a year and reported                                                   unauthorized workers, as in meat-
                                          sonal farm labor market has evolved
in Farm Labor (http://usda.mannlib.                                                   packing. Farm workers unsure of their
                                          to match immigrant workers with
cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewDocu-                                                        future in the United States minimize
                                          short-term jobs on farms, often by re-
mentInfo.do?documentID=1063)                                                          investments in human capital, mean-
                                          lying on bilingual intermediaries such
    If Congress failed to enact a new                                                 ing that several hundred thousand
                                          as crew leaders and labor contractors
AEWR within three years, the AEWR                                                     newcomers who have not finished
                                          who speak both English and Span-
would be adjusted on the basis of the                                                 high school move into rural and agri-
                                          ish to organize crews of workers and
three-year change in the Consumer                                                     cultural areas each year. Finally, rural
                                          move them from farm to farm. If cur-
Price Index, eventually rising with the                                               communities that may not have ex-
                                          rent trends continue, the farm work-
CPI up to 4% a year.                                                                  perienced large-scale immigration for
                                          ers of tomorrow are growing up today
    If AgJOBS is enacted, the H-2A                                                    a century are grappling with integrat-
                                          somewhere outside the United States.
program would change to allow dair-                                                   ing some of the neediest newcomers
                                              Over 30% of all foreign-born
ies to hire legal guest workers. Cur-                                                 arriving in the United States at a time
                                          U.S. residents are unauthorized, and
rently, only employers offering season-                                               of recession and budget uncertainties.
                                          the United States has been debating
al farm jobs may hire H-2A workers,                                                       These risks and challenges should
                                          what to do about them for over a
although sheep and goat herders have                                                  make immigration reform relatively
                                          decade. President Obama and most
been allowed to work in the United                                                    straightforward. However, the fed-
                                          Democrats support comprehensive
States continuously with H-2A visas                                                   eral government has little credibility
                                          immigration reform, which entails
for up to three years as an exception.                                                on immigration reform, especially
                                          both new enforcement mechanisms
Under AgJOBS, dairy workers would                                                     because the 1986 reform increased
                                          such as a secure worker identification
be added to this exception. Some                                                      rather than reduced unauthorized
                                          card to make it harder for unauthor-
H-2A program requirements would                                                       migration and spread unauthorized
                                          ized foreigners to fill U.S. jobs and le-
not change, including a requirement                                                   workers throughout agriculture and
                                          galization for many of the unauthor-
that employers reimburse H-2A                                                         the United States. AgJOBS, endorsed
                                          ized foreigners in the US. AgJOBS, a
workers for their transportation and                                                  by most farm employer and worker
                                          special legalization and revised guest
subsistence costs if they complete                                                    groups, has been unable to overcome
                                          worker program for farm workers and
their work contracts, that employers                                                  opposition from those who favor en-
                                          farm employers, is a component of
continue to hire U.S. workers who                                                     forcement-and-attrition rather than
                                          comprehensive immigration reform.
request jobs until half of the work pe-                                               legalization.
                                              Immigration, along with health
riod is completed, and that employers                                                     There is general agreement that
                                          care, energy, and financial regulation,
guarantee work to H-2A workers for                                                    the current immigration system is
                                          is one of the complex and controver-
at least three-quarters of the contract                                               “broken” and that reform is urgent-
                                          sial issues that President Obama has
period they specify.                                                                  ly needed. However, the status quo
                                          promised to tackle. As with health
    AgJOBS could presage a ma-                                                        persists because it is the second-best
                                          care, the United States is among
jor change in the farm labor supply.                                                  solution for advocates who cannot
                                          the highest spenders among OECD
Legalized farm workers may seek to                                                    achieve their first-best option. Ad-
                                          countries on immigration control
fulfill their farm work requirement                                                   vocates may prefer legalization, but
                                          and has some of the worst outcomes,
quickly, temporarily increasing the                                                   the status quo allows unauthorized
                                          with the highest share of unauthor-
labor supply. As unauthorized farm                                                    foreigners to establish “equities” and
                                          ized among foreign-born residents.
workers legalize and leave farm work,                                                 “roots” in the United States, includ-
                                          As with energy, the long-term im-
replacement H-2A workers may cost                                                     ing via U.S.-born children, that they
                                          plications of immigration reform are
farmers an additional $1 to $2 an                                                     hope will lead to eventual legaliza-
                                          hard to predict. Finally, as with finan-
hour because of the housing allow-                                                    tion. Advocates who oppose legaliza-
                                          cial regulation, economic interests are
ance.                                                                                 tion prefer the status quo in the hope
                                          jockeying to protect their interests.
                                                                                      that current enforcement efforts will
                                                                                      eventually lead to “self deportation.”

                                                                             PI5 - September 2009   POLICY ISSUES       5
In the meantime, those at the core       For More Information                   Martin, P. (1994). Good intentions
of illegal migration, unauthorized mi-                                                 gone awry: IRCA and U.S. agri-
                                             Bush and Congress: Action? (2006,
grants themselves and their employ-                                                    culture. The Annals of the Acade-
                                                January). Migration News, 12
ers, may prefer the status quo to some                                                 my of Political and Social Science.
                                                (1). Available online: http://mi-
elements of reform. Most migrants                                                      (534): 44-57.
                                                gration.ucdavis.edu/mn/more.
are able to get the higher wage jobs                                                NAWS. National Agricultural Work-
                                                php?id=3155_0_2_0
they seek, and most U.S. employers                                                     ers Survey. U.S. Department of
                                             H-2A. Foreign Labor Certification.
find workers to fill their vacant jobs.                                                Labor. Available online: www.
                                                Available online: www.foreign-
Unless immigration reform “legalizes                                                   doleta.gov/agworker/naws.cfm
                                                laborcert.doleta.gov/h-2a.cfm
the status quo,” both employers and                                                 OECD. (2009). International Migra-
                                             Kandel, W. (2008). Profile of Hired
migrants have little incentive to offer                                                tion Outlook 2009. Paris. OECD
                                                Farmworkers, A 2008 Update.
support.                                                                            Passel, J. and D’V. Cohn. (2009). A
                                                Economic Research Report No.
    These considerations mean that                                                     Portrait of Unauthorized Immi-
                                                60, Economic Research Service,
immigration reform is likely to re-                                                    grants in the United States. Pew
                                                U.S. Department of Agriculture.
main a distant dream, especially                                                       Hispanic Center. Available on-
                                                Available online: www.ers.usda.
during the recession. Meanwhile,                                                       line: http://pewhispanic.org/re-
                                                gov/Publications/ERR60/
newcomers will continue to arrive                                                      ports/report.php?ReportID=107
                                             Martin, P. (2009). Importing Pov-
in rural and agricultural areas, filling                                            Rural Migration News. Quarterly.
                                                erty? Immigration and the
seasonal farm jobs and giving im-                                                      Migration Dialogue. Available
                                                Changing Face of Rural Ameri-
migrants their first experience in the                                                 online: http://migration.ucdavis.
                                                ca. Yale University Press. Avail-
U.S. labor market. The farm labor                                                      edu/rmn/
                                                able online: http://yalepress.
market is likely to remain a revolving
                                                yale.edu/yupbooks/book.             Philip Martin (plmartin@ucdavis.edu)
door, admitting newcomers and later
                                                asp?isbn=9780300139174              is Professor, Department of Agricultural
sending them on to nonfarm labor
markets. The status quo represents                                                  and Resource Economics, University of
a large-scale experiment for rural                                                  California, Davis.
America, testing whether the famed
engine of economic mobility will be
able to fill farm jobs and assure that
ex-farm workers and their children
find the economic opportunity that
drew them to the United States.

6             POLICY ISSUES   PI5 - September 2009
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