IMF and World Bank complicit in 'austerity as new normal', despite availability of alternatives
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WINTER 2019 observer BRETTON WOODS A quarterly critical review of developments at the World Bank and IMF CONDITIONALITY analysis In this issue IMF and World Bank complicit in ‘austerity as 3 IMF’s recognition of unpaid care work new normal’, despite availability of alternatives undermined by its own harmful role by Rachel Noble 4 Reviews of WBG’s accountability mechanisms too important to be done in secret by Kris Genovese 6 Local communities oppose planned dam construction supported by World Bank in Manipur by Jiten Yumnam 9 EIB rules out most fossil fuel funding from 2021, setting new benchmark for MDBs This fiscal contraction phase is projected policies and the welfare state,” the report Austerity projected to affect 5.8 billion to continue at least until 2024 and is concluded that this does not need to be the people by 2021 “characterised by shocks [in total spending] case and that there are alternatives, even in in which adjustment deepens, the first the poorest countries. UN offers handbook on alternative occurring in 2010-11, the second taking financing options Austerity alternatives remain widely hold during 2016-17, and a third expected to initiate in 2020.” According to the report, underutilised IMF and World Bank continue to cling to unnecessary and harmful fiscal orthodoxy this “forthcoming adjustment shock is Multiple options for expanding fiscal expected to impact 130 countries in 2021 in space are indeed available, according to terms of GDP,” adding that “the developing a November report by the International In October, a report by Matthew Cummins world will be the most severely affected,” Labour Organization (ILO) and the United and Isabel Ortiz, entitled Austerity: The and that “projections indicate that austerity Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the New Normal; A Renewed Washington will affect approximately 5.8 billion persons Empowerment of Women (UN Women), Consensus 2010-24, established that most by 2021 – about 75 per cent of the global entitled Fiscal Space for Social Protection; governments are on track to reduce public population.” A Handbook for Assessing Financing spending, as a percentage of GDP and Options (hereafter ‘the handbook’). The nominally adjusted by inflation, at least until The projected austerity measures include handbook detailed eight financing options 2024. The report concluded that the world is pension and social security reforms; cutting governments should be aggressively moving from “a decade of adjustment”, as or capping the public sector wage bill; exploring to promote national socio- the last report in this series documented in labour flexibilisation reforms; reducing or economic development that remain 2015, to an institutionalisation of austerity eliminating subsidies; increasing regressive underutilised: Expanding social security as “the new norm.” consumption taxes; strengthening public- coverage and contributory revenues; private partnerships (PPPs); and privatising The report detailed that an initial phase increasing tax revenues; eliminating public assets, all of which exacerbate of fiscal stimulus in response to the 2008 illicit financial flows; improving efficiency inequalities. Arguing that, “public financial crisis was followed by a distinct and reallocating public expenditures expenditure adjustment is being used as second phase starting in 2010, in which (emphasising this requires going beyond a trojan horse to introduce Washington governments started to reduce spending. a simple financial cost-benefit analysis); Consensus policies to cut back on public 1
B RE T TO N WO O D S O B S ERVER WI NTE R 2 0 1 9 tapping into fiscal and foreign exchange and 90s, the bulk of their macroeconomic abuses. Recent examples include the reserves; managing debt (meaning policy advice continues to ignore this lesson, reported reduced specialised services to borrowing or restructuring sovereign with “23 out of 26 [IMF loan] programmes combat violence against women as part debt); adopting a more accommodative continuing to be conditional on fiscal of Brazil’s IMF-backed austerity measures; macroeconomic framework; and increasing consolidation,” as reported by Eurodad (see the rising death rate in Greece following aid and transfers. Observer Summer 2019). the IMF-imposed austerity measures; the severely diminished living standards For example, on managing debt, the Bank- and IMF-backed austerity continues in Ukraine as part of Bank and Fund handbook prescribed that, in the absence to cause misery programmes; and IMF-sponsored austerity of a sovereign debt workout mechanism, undermining the provision of essential, The IMF’s November working paper, countries should seek to restructure gender-responsive public services in Ghana Doing more with less: How can Brazil existing high levels of debt. This could take (see Observer Autumn 2018, Spring 2018, foster development while pursuing fiscal place through various means, such as re- Summer 2017; Briefing, The IMF, Gender and consolidation?, is the latest example of the negotiation, and including debt repudiation Expenditure Policy). IMF seemingly taking the opposite approach or default, “especially when the legitimacy to the guidance laid-out in the handbook. of the debt is questionable and/or the BWIs move further away from the UN It argues that Brazil has “room for public opportunity cost in terms of worsening social consensus savings of about 3 per cent of GDP per year outcomes is high.” In relation to assessing in the health and education sectors,” which, While the handbook made clear that optimal debt levels, the authors questioned it estimated, is what would be “required… the eight alternative financing options the IMF’s 40 per cent long-term debt-to-GDP to reach satisfactory progress in the are endorsed by various individual ratio as the ceiling for developing countries Sustainable Development Goals [SDGs]… policy statements and research papers and emerging economies. It called instead given Brazil’s current fiscal consolidation of international finance institutions, it for a focus on the quality of the spending needs.” As pointed out on online news simultaneously underscored the continued being financed with debt, echoing with platform openDemocracy in April, data disparities between the bread-and-butter the 10 civil society principles for sovereign indicates that three years of deepening policies of the IMF and World Bank and debt resolution published in September by austerity policies in Brazil have already that of many other UN agencies. As the Belgium-based civil society organisation led to a further lowering of GDP and an handbook pointed out, it is merely the Eurodad. increase in public debt, while exacerbating latest iteration of a long line of UN and civil In relation to tapping into fiscal and foreign social inequalities to detrimental effects, society research that supports expansionary exchange reserves, the IMF’s continued undermining Brazil’s ability to achieve its macroeconomic policies and argues “against reluctance towards governments using SDG targets. Criticism that the IMF’s 2018 mainstream macroeconomic policy advice, capital controls, despite its recent more social spending framework continues to be as advised by the IMF [and others].” accepting ‘institutional view’ on the matter “out of step with international standards” (see Observer Summer 2019), even after This includes the 2019 Trade and (see Observer Autumn 2019), contrasted prolonged evidence-based advocacy to Development Report by the UN Conference with other UN organisations favouring the contrary (see Observer Summer 2018, on Trade and Development, which argued them “as integral to the macroeconomic Winter 2017-18), further reinforces the that, in an effort to establish a Global policy toolkit.” The World Bank’s Country notion that the view at the IMF is, in its Green New Deal, a serious discussion of Policy and Institutional Assessments were staff’s own words, “in terms of austerity… public financing options is first required also criticised for reinforcing contractionary you cannot defy gravity” (see Dispatch for governments to reclaim policy space policies, while being so influential as to Annuals 2017). and collectively act to boost demand, cause harmful herd-like behaviour amongst to enable the massive new wave of other donors as part of the discussion on Meanwhile, a September white paper investments required to tackle climate increasing aid and transfers (see Inside the by the World Bank on rethinking social change. Poignantly, the report frames this Institutions, Country Policy and Institutional protection systems was premised on the as an effort aligned with the original spirit Assessments). idea that governments can only finance a of the Bretton Woods conference of 1944, More broadly, in arguing for a more minimum safety net of last resort if, “they to restore the faith in multilateralism lost by accommodating macroeconomic scale back widescale public social insurance the scars of austerity, stagnant real wages, framework, the handbook set-out that fiscal schemes, lower the size of social insurance sluggish productivity growth, rising debt and monetary policies were consistently contributions and put greater emphasis levels and unprecedented levels of inequality used counter-cyclically until the late 1960s, on privately-managed mandatory and (see BWP Briefing Bretton Woods at 75: A making social protection measures fiscally voluntary individuals savings and insurance series of critical essays). sustainable. This has changed markedly schemes,” according to an October blog, Δbit.ly/Austeritypolicies however since the early 1980s, “when the published by UK-based consultancy agenda of privatisation, liberalisation and organisation Development Pathways. In globalisation reforms…was advanced by the doing so, it argued, the World Bank proposed IMF and World Bank,” shrinking policy and “a rollback of existing rights and protections fiscal space via the establishment of a new for workers, both in terms of social security For additional online content for macroeconomic orthodoxy (see Inside the and labour market protections.” this issue of the Observer, see Institutions, Common Criticisms of the Bank brettonwoodsproject.org/observer Meanwhile, civil society around the world and Fund). While the Bank and Fund have continues to push back and count the tacitly begun to acknowledge the limitations Para la versión en español, visite: human costs these policies entail, especially of the approach of their structural brettonwoodsproject.org/es/observador for those most vulnerable to human rights adjustment programmes of the 1980s 2
B RE T TO N WO O D S O B S ERVER WI NTE R 2 0 1 9 GENDER analysis IMF’s recognition of unpaid care work undermined by its own harmful policy advice Guest analysis by Rachel Noble, ActionAid the rights of women and girls in the Global Ghana’s most recent IMF loan programme, IMF publishes first paper on unpaid care South – regardless of whether gender is public investment levels were expected to be and domestic work deemed macro-critical by any particular cut again, from 5.4 per cent of GDP in 2014 government or not. to around 2.8 per cent of GDP by 2018. Nor Fails to acknowledge how Fund policies exacerbate unpaid care work burdens is there any recognition of the possible need As one would expect from the IMF, the for alternative policy mixes to be considered argument for addressing women’s unequal to avoid harmful gendered impacts, as In October, the IMF published its first share of unpaid care work is made from per the guidance on operationalising working paper dedicated to unpaid care and an entirely instrumentalist perspective, gender in IMF country-level work (see domestic work (UCDW). Globally, women meaning it is justified in order to increase BWP Briefing, The IMF and Gender Equality: perform 76.2 per cent of the total hours women’s labour force participation and thus Operationalising Change). of unpaid care work. While recognition of to contribute to economic growth, rather UCDW by the IMF is welcome and can be than as an intrinsic human rights imperative. On labour market policies, while there is an seen as a response to decades of wider Astonishingly, the paper also seems to implicit nod to aspects of the ILO’s Decent advocacy by feminist activists, the working instrumentalise having children, asserting Work agenda, such as its social protection paper is merely aimed at eliciting debate that, “no one can dispute the importance pillar, it is again unclear whether the IMF and does not constitute or officially inform of raising and rearing a child for future is advocating that such social protection IMF policy. economic growth.” be provided universally by the state, as advocated for by many women’s rights Disappointingly, the authors have chosen On public services, the authors recognise groups and wider civil society organisations, not to adopt the internationally agreed UN that appropriate public services and including ActionAid. Nor does it mention language of “unpaid care and domestic infrastructure play an important role in the importance of living wages or collective work”, instead referring more broadly to redressing women’s UCDW, recommending bargaining rights as being critical to securing “unpaid work”. However, the definition of that governments invest in these areas. decent pay and conditions. There is no unpaid work the IMF gives in the paper However, health and education are only mention of the informal sector and of the largely corresponds with what is commonly considered as important in relation to particular measures women need to balance understood as UCDW. building women’s ‘human capital’ (see their unpaid care work and paid work that is Observer Autumn 2018), rather than decent (see BWP Briefing, The IMF, Gender The paper clearly asserts that, “Reducing recognising women’s agency in caring for Equality and Labour). and redistributing unpaid work is a macro- the sick and for children who are not in critical issue,” meaning, in the IMF’s school. Provision of child and elderly care is While the paper acknowledges that tax terminology, that unpaid care is essential also recommended, although it is unclear policies can have gendered impacts in to economic stability and growth. By whether the paper is calling for childcare relation to tax filing systems, it makes no implication, as the paper is framed under to be provided universally by the state, mention of financing public services and “stronger policies to support gender which would enable the countless women infrastructure through progressive taxation. equality”, it could be understood to argue and men working in the informal sector to It also neglects clamping down on corporate that gender inequality is also a macro- access such services. tax avoidance and illicit financial flows, as critical issue, given that an overarching ways to finance gender equality measures, impediment to achieving this is women’s By far the biggest problem with the paper as ActionAid has recently argued alongside unfair share of UCDW. This is possibly a slight is that it provides zero acknowledgement many other feminist advocates. advancement from the Fund’s 2018 paper of how IMF policy recommendations and on How to Operationalize Gender Issues in loan conditionalities themselves compel Unpaid care and domestic work is vital to Country Programme Work, which noted, countries to implement austerity measures the social reproduction of the human race. “the macro-criticality of gender issues in a and cut and privatise the very same public That the IMF has produced a paper on this broad set of circumstances,” but stopped services, thereby shifting the care burden is a notable step in advancing the feminist short of affirming it is always the case, in back onto women (see BWP Briefing, The struggle for UCDW to be recognised and every country. It instead recommended IMF, Gender Equality and Expenditure Policy). valued by policymakers and wider society. that, “Staff should point to macroeconomic For example, in Ghana, following a loan However, any positive impact it may hope significance where it exists.” ActionAid and agreement with the IMF which required to have will be severely compromised until it other social justice organisations have been drastic cuts to the public sector wage recognises and addresses how the majority calling for the IMF to take a systematic bill, the number of doctors halved and of its policy prescriptions often directly approach to how it considers and addresses the number of nurses and midwifes fell undermine women’s rights, including by gender in its work, not least by recognising by 26 per cent between 2004 and 2007. exacerbating their UCDW burden. and addressing the impacts of its policies on ActionAid’s analysis found that, under Δbit.ly/IMFunpaidcare 3
B RE T TO N WO O D S O B S ERVER WI NTE R 2 0 1 9 IFI GOVERNANCE commentary Reviews of World Bank Group’s accountability mechanisms too important to be done in secret Guest analysis by Kris Genovese, Centre for Research on Multinational Corporations (SOMO) The team’s terms of reference, which complainants should have the same Reviews of World Bank’s accountability presumably contain a timeline for the opportunity to review and comment on the mechanisms lack proper civil society review, have not been disclosed, nor has draft compliance report as the IFC – which is engagement and transparency the board committed to disclose the consistent with best practice at other IAMs. Civil society calls for reviews to result in team’s final recommendations. Moreover, The CAO should also be transparent about establishment of remedy funds there will be no public consultation on the the eligibility criteria applied to financial recommendations, departing from standard intermediary complaints. practice for IAM reviews. Instead, the team You would be forgiven if you didn’t know will seek input from a multi-stakeholder But the biggest priority is for the IFC to that the International Finance Corporation group, whose composition has not been assume responsibility for the harms caused (IFC), the World Bank’s private sector lending disclosed and who have not been given any to complainants. To its credit, the IFC has arm, was reviewing its accountability information about the consultation process. taken some important steps recently to framework, including the effectiveness of There is an email address though, in case enhance its focus on environmental and its independent accountability mechanism you want to submit your comments, in the social risk, and has adopted structural (IAM), the Compliance Advisor Ombudsman hope that they correspond to the issues that changes that – if implemented well – could (CAO) (see Observer Winter 2018). Despite are actually on the table, which have also better prevent harm to communities (see the importance of the process, in particular not been shared. Observer Summer 2019). But these changes given the numerous documented cases in are not enough. The IFC’s homepage claims which IFC financing has resulted in harms There is a lot at stake with this review. credit for outcomes that would not have to communities (see Observer Spring 2015), One priority is to maintain the CAO’s occurred without IFC involvement. Yet, when the only publicly available information about independence and structure. The head of something goes wrong in an IFC-financed the review is a brief announcement made the CAO is currently selected by an external project, it points the finger at its client and in October by the IFC and the Multilateral committee of representatives from the cries “not our fault”. We will see if the courts Investment Guarantee Agency board of private sector, civil society, and academia, buy that argument (see Observer Spring directors. Within the scope of the review, who make a recommendation to the 2019). In the meantime, the IFC must the board should be commended for going president of the World Bank Group. This, and engage in dispute resolution processes, beyond the CAO and its role and examining provisions that prevent a revolving door with when invited by the parties, and ensure that how the IFC responds to CAO processes. Yet, IFC, give affected communities confidence its response to compliance investigations the limited information about the process, that the CAO will handle their complaints in result in meaningful changes for combined with the precedent set by the a way that does not favour the institution complainants. It can do both by establishing protracted and similarly clandestine review that they believe caused them harm. a remedy fund that could be used to of the Inspection Panel, the independent supplement what the client has offered Broadening accountability and remedy (see Observer Winter 2019). One small accountability mechanism for the World Bank’s public-lending side, raises doubts The structure of the CAO, which houses but important step the IFC could take is to about its outcome (see Observer Autumn compliance, dispute resolution and require its clients to disclose the availability 2019). This view was detailed in an October advisory functions under one roof, ensures of the CAO. The CAO and the Inspection letter to the IFC’s board of directors signed a streamlined process for complainants Panel are too important to communities and by 75 civil society organisations. Excluding and helps them decide whether dispute the credibility of the World Bank Group to be the Bank’s stakeholders and the people who resolution or compliance review (i.e. the reviewed in secret. helped to create and are the beneficiaries extent to which the IFC complied with its Δbit.ly/CAOReview19 of these accountability systems from these own regulations) best suits their needs. discussions is not only ironic, but deeply This reflects the notion that regardless of Photo: ota_photos problematic. the function, the outcome of a complaint process should be: To prevent harms, The announcement reveals that the provide effective remedy to project-affected review will be led by a team of external people and the environment, and to experts, who will “seek input from a multi- ensure institutional accountability as well stakeholder group.” The composition of as continuous improvement in preventing the review team, chaired by Peter Woicke, and addressing social and environmental former Executive Vice President of the risks and impacts of development finance IFC and member of the CAO’s Strategic institution-supported projects. Advisors Group, inspires some confidence, but it might be the only thing that does. That does not mean the CAO’s processes could not be strengthened. For example, “Opportunity Street”. 4
B RE T TO N WO O D S O B S ERVER WI NTE R 2 0 1 9 ACCOUNTABILITY news Civil society urges US Congress to hold IFC accountable before approving capital increase In November, civil society organisations increase could exacerbate existing problems the committee to “use its congressional (CSOs) participated in hearings held by the within the institution (see Dispatch Spring oversight role to hold the IFC accountable US House Committee on Financial Services in 2018). to those [the IFC’s] standards and promote Washington DC, which included scrutinising a clear path towards required disclosure in the International Finance Corporation’s Jolie Schwarz, of US-based CSO Bank IFC’s financial intermediary portfolio” (see (IFC), the World Bank’s private sector arm, Information Center, highlighted the need Observer Summer 2016), in addition to $5.5 billion proposed capital increase (see for Congress to push for specific structural calling for an end to IFC’s support for for- Observer Summer 2018). reforms, such as the creation of a remedy profit education providers. fund at the IFC. Nadia Daar, of Oxfam The US Congress has yet to authorise the International’s Washington DC office, urged Δbit.ly/IFCcapitalincrease US contribution to the IFC’s capital increase, approved by the Bank’s Governors in 2018. Committee chair, Maxine Waters, previously Photo: Center for International Environmental Law expressed concerns about accountability and transparency of IFC activities, including the International Development Association’s (IDA), the Bank’s low-income arm, Private Sector Window (PSW) (see Observer Summer 2019). Waters made her position clear again at November’s hearing, stating that, unless structural reforms are made, including regarding the PSW and financial intermediaries investments, she “is just not interested” in supporting the IFC’s capital increase. CSOs reiterated concerns raised during discussions around the World Bank’s general capital increase last year about the need for substantial reforms to address longstanding accountability, environmental and human rights concerns, without which a capital Jolie Schwarz, Bank Information Center (right), at US Congress hearings, November 2019. ACCOUNTABILITY news IFC accountability mechanism investigates World Bank-funded for-profit schools The Compliance Advisor Ombudsman The report comes after a complaint was step forward in the long-running fight (CAO), the independent accountability submitted to the CAO in April 2018 by against the commercialisation of education mechanism for the International Finance Kenyan civil society organisation (CSO) in low-income countries, following recent Corporation (IFC), the World Bank’s private East African Centre for Human Rights triumphs such as the recognition of the sector lending arm, published a report in (EACHRights), outlining alleged BIA Abidjan Principles in a UN Human Rights October raising “substantial concerns” about violations of IFC’s social and environmental Council resolution (see Observer Summer IFC’s $13.5m investment in controversial performance standards and breaches of 2019) and the Global Partnership for for-profit multinational school chain Bridge human rights law. The CAO raised alarm Education’s decision in June to prohibit its International Academies (BIA), announcing about BIA’s “adherence to relevant health funds from supporting for-profit education. that it will conduct a compliance and safety requirements” and the potential investigation (see Observer Spring 2018). “adverse impacts to teachers, parents and In a press release, Dr Judith Oloo of The decision takes place in the context of students raised in the complaints.” The CAO EACHRights commented: “…We look forward ongoing campaigns to end World Bank also identified concerns about the IFC’s to a rigorous and thorough investigation, support for private education and instead monitoring of its own client performance. and call on all investors to start taking action ensure it contributes to the expansion of to avoid further harm.” public education. CSOs welcomed the investigation as another Δbit.ly/BIAinvestigations 5
B RE T TO N WO O D S O B S ERVER WI NTE R 2 0 1 9 INFRASTRUCTURE analysis Local communities oppose planned dam construction supported by World Bank in Manipur by Jiten Yumnam, Center for Research and Advocacy, Manipur (India) initiative through power sector reform. Dam impacts & peoples’ resistance IFIs support hydropower building spree in Additionally, the International Financial Manipur The NHPC’s 105 MW Loktak hydroelectric Corporation (IFC), the World Bank’s private project caused displacement and loss of sector investment arm, has provided Projects threaten local communities’ livelihoods of indigenous communities, rights and livelihoods finance to a number of Indian financial submerging more than 50,000 acres of intermediaries (FIs), which have in turn agricultural land in the Loktak wetlands. Bank finances transmission line linked to provided $3.19 billion to the National NHPC’s proposed 1,500 MW Tipaimukh dam hydropower expansion in region Hydroelectric Power Corporation Limited has been opposed by local communities, (NHPC), the largest public dam-building as it will submerge 27,000 hectares of company in India. Between 2005 and Manipur, a region in India’s North East forest and agricultural land along the 2014, IFC invested $520 million in Indian (NE), announced plans in 2012 to generate Barak River basin. In the case of the high infrastructure bank IDFC, as well as other more than 2,000 MW of power under its voltage transmission and distribution lines banks, including ICICI, HDFC, Axis Bank, hydropower Policy, prompting concerns in Manipur, the World Bank’s environmental according to a 2016 report by US-based civil among indigenous communities. Previous assessment failed to consider the physical society organisation Inclusive Development large hydropower projects in the region, and health impacts for the local populations. International. The NHPC was involved in including the 105 MW Loktak hydroelectric The planned dams and related infrastructure building the 105 MW Loktak hydroelectric project, the Mapithel dam and the Khuga projects will also destroy the floral and project, commissioned in 1983, and more dam, came with adverse impacts for local faunal diversity of Manipur. recently signed an agreement with the populations. Government of Manipur to build the 1,500 The deployment of Indian security forces at As part of its policy, in August the MW Tipaimukh Hydroelectric Project in April several dam sites, under the 1958 Armed Government of Manipur identified 32 2010. It is preparing to build the 66 MW Forces Special Powers Act, has also led to potential hydropower development sites Loktak Downstream Hydroelectric Project human rights violations: Three villagers were on rivers in Manipur, which is flanked by the over the Leimatak River in Manipur, in killed by border security forces guarding the Eastern Himalayas and the Indo-Burma addition to other proposed projects. Khuga dam in December 2005, for instance, biodiversity hot spot. Hydropower projects for demanding just rehabilitation and for The Singapore-based Asian Genco Private are classified as ‘renewable energy’ by the resisting the dam (see Observer Summer Limited company invested $1.4 billion in the Government of India – a measure designed 2019). Indigenous communities of Manipur 1,200 MW Teesta-III project in Sikkim near to help achieve India’s goal of 40 per cent called for decommissioning of 105 MW Loktak Manipur; the IFC also held investments in of total power generation from non-fossil dam and a halt to construction of new dams private equity funds that financed Teesta fuel sources by 2030, as part of its Nationally in Manipur like the 1,500 MW Tipaimukh III dam, which had adverse impacts on Determined Contribution to the Paris dam and the 190 MW Pabram dam. Villagers the rights of the indigenous Lepcha People Agreement (NDC). affected by Mapithel dam protested its in Sikkim. However, it is difficult to trace planned commissioning in 2016. However, hydropower is no longer the least- financing involving the IFC in hydropower cost energy option in India, as the unit price projects, as sub-projects supported by its IFIs like the World Bank should stop from hydroelectric projects stood at around investments in FIs are not typically disclosed, financing financial intermediaries that 4 India Rupees (Rs.) in June 2019, while depriving impacted communities of access support NHPC, and providing other support the solar tariffs decreased in India from to IFC’s Compliance Advisor Ombudsman, its for hydropower projects in NE India, which Rs. 18 per unit in 2010 to Rs. 2.44 in May independent accountability mechanism (see are not sustainable nor cost effective. 2019. Despite this, national authorities and Observer Winter 2018). An accountability standard to hold international finance institutions (IFIs) are financial intermediaries, equity funds and Additionally, in June 2016, the World Bank pushing ahead with Manipur’s hydropower financial institutions accountable needs approved a $470m loan for high voltage boom and risking local communities’ to be established for Manipur’s potential transmission and distribution lines in Manipur livelihoods. hydroelectric projects. Protecting Indigenous and five other states in India’s NE. The World Peoples’ rights, supporting their call for IFIs financing dams in Manipur Bank-financed transmission lines criss-cross sustainable development, and ensuring their the Barak, Irang and other rivers of Manipur, IFIs are increasingly financing dam projects informed consent should be paramount in and will be one of several key infrastructure and related infrastructure in Manipur. For all energy projects in Manipur – including projects, along with road construction instance, the Asian Development Bank those supported by the World Bank. financed by ADB, to facilitate the construction (ADB) supported the North East Power of over 200 dams across India’s NE over the Δbit.ly/ManipurHydro Development Project, which complemented Brahmaputra–Barak River system, including the Government of India’s Power for All the 32 dams proposed in Manipur. 6
B RE T TO N WO O D S O B S ERVER WI NTE R 2 0 1 9 IFI GOVERNANCE news New IMF head applauds Trumps tax reforms harmful tax competition, including the over the interests of developing countries IMF managing director Kristalina risk of a race to the bottom.” While civil (see Observer Winter 2017-18, Autumn Georgieva backs Trump’s tax reforms society organisations (CSOs) generally 2016). Moreover, in October 2019, doubts welcomed this acknowledgment, the were once again cast around the OECD’s Campaigners call for reform of international corporate tax rules paper fell short of including broader civil willingness to meaningfully reform society recommendations set out in their international tax rules, as an October consultation responses. One example is the analysis commissioned by the Independent In an October interview with US-based establishment of a UN intergovernmental Commission for the Reform of International media channel HBO, Kristalina Georgieva, tax body, which has been repeatedly Corporate Taxation demonstrated that its the newly appointed IMF managing director, rejected by the Organisation for Economic latest proposal for corporate tax reform will made comments that could signal a Co-operation and Development (OECD), likely “further intensify global inequalities different approach from the Fund on tax. a group of mostly rich nations, who, as and fail to curb rampant tax abuse.” Belgium-based CSO Eurodad noted, insist on When asked by the interviewer about the Meanwhile, civil society research continues keeping standard-setting for taxation reform US president’s approach to decision-making, to show that in practice, the bulk of the under the auspices of the OECD and G20. Georgieva replied, “To give credit to the IMF’s tax policy advice remains focused leadership here, the United States is one While the supposed programmatic focus on pushing regressive consumption taxes, of the better performing economies and it on sustainable development and tax of rather than a meaningful shift towards is because it had the bravery to use a tax the Platform for Collaboration on Tax – a ending the-race-to-the-bottom on corporate reform to spur more growth.” When pressed partnership between the IMF, World Bank, taxes and eliminating illicit financial flows directly as to whether she is in favour of OECD and UN aiming to intensify their tax (see Dispatch Annuals 2019, Springs 2018; President Trump’s 2017 tax reforms, which work – has been cautiously welcomed by Briefing The IMF, Gender and VAT). include a $1.5 trillion tax cut that slashes some, it has also been accused thus far of Δbit.ly/IMFTaxReforms corporate tax rates, Georgieva responded, continuing to promote the OECD’s agenda “I’m in favour of countries using their policy space to make the economy more vibrant Photo: IMF and to make the lives of people better.” The managing director’s inference that reforms have improved people’s lives sits at odds with the 2017 report by the UN Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights, which described the tax changes as “a bid to make the US the world champion of extreme inequality.” Doubts have also been cast as to whether the reforms made the economy more vibrant, as the Congressional Budget Office estimates that the total cost of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is $1.9 trillion. Notably, Georgieva’s comments also run in contrast to those expressed by the previous managing director Christine Lagarde, who, at the 2018 World Economic Forum, identified Trump’s tax reforms as a hazard that “could destabilise the current economic recovery,” and “lead to serious risks” around financial vulnerability. In fact, the Fund’s 2017 Article IV on the US specifically noted that the tax reforms are “likely to generate a fall in the revenue-GDP ratio over the medium-term and that tax relief is likely to disproportionately benefit the wealthy.” The IMF and corporation tax – Where does it stand? In January, the IMF released a flagship policy paper on corporation tax, which emphasised the “damage from continued AM19 – Press Briefing. 7
B RE T TO N WO O D S O B S ERVER WI NTE R 2 0 1 9 CONDITIONALITY news Uprising and discontent: Global protests erupt against IMF-backed policies IV called for austerity measures such as Strikes in Tunisia overturned an IMF-backed Protests against Fund loan programmes “restraining public wages.” Its 2019 Article wage bill in February, which was followed continue in Argentina and Ecuador IV, released on the first day of the uprisings by Tunisia’s Truth and Dignity Commission on 17 October, called for, “front-loaded and seeking reparations from the IMF and World MENA region shaken by uprisings in response to IMF policy recommendations sustained fiscal consolidation,” with news- Bank for human rights violations linked agency Reuters reporting in the same month to the legacy of structural adjustment that the Fund insists on, “tough austerity programmes (see Observer Autumn 2019, Recent months have proven particularly measures,” that politicians have, “publicly Spring 2019). Further, in Jordan, Prime tumultuous for the IMF, with thousands vowed not to take.” This ‘business as usual’ Minister Hani al-Mulki resigned in June 2018, taking to the streets around the globe approach to economic crises management amid the biggest protests in Jordan since to demand change. Against a turbulent is unlikely to appease protesters. CSO Arab the 2011 Arab Spring, after pushing through backdrop in Latin America, IMF-backed NGO Network on Development noted in unpopular IMF-supported reforms (see policies have triggered civil unrest across its October/November bulletin that the Observer Summer 2018). the region, resulting in civil society Lebanon protests arose from, “a structurally organisation (CSO) Latindadd spearheading flawed economic system,” and that today’s A report on IMF programmes in Egypt, a joint statement to the IMF in October situation can be attributed to, “the direct Jordan and Tunisia by CSO Oxfam condemning the “familiar austerity policies” consequences of the rentier economy and International, presented to the Fund in that have led to “devastating economic liberal macroeconomic policies the country October, found that, “The austerity policies and social impacts.” In Ecuador, nation- has openly adopted since the 1990s, supported by the IMF contributed to a wide protests, led by indigenous leaders, and will definitely constitute the fuel to decrease in social spending and an increase broke out against IMF-backed austerity as the revolution that shall not stop before in poverty, leaving women the most part of a $4.2 billion loan, resulting in fuel changing the entire economic and political affected” (see Observer Winter 2019). subsidy cuts being reversed in October 2019 systems.” Δbit.ly/IMFGlobalProtests (see Dispatch October 2019). In Argentina, the Fund’s largest-ever loan was met with Photo: ITUC extensive protests in 2018 and 2019 and, in October, Mauricio Macri lost the presidential vote to IMF-critic Alberto Fernández (see Observer Autumn 2019, Summer 2018). While developments in Latin America have dominated headlines, protests linked to IMF policy recommendations have also erupted once again across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region (see Observer Summer 2018). Egypt, which received a $12 billion IMF loan in 2016, has seen a wave of protests in response to Fund policy recommendations, despite threats of force by Egyptian authorities. In October, authorities were forced to lower fuel prices following demonstrations, despite the Fund’s deputy managing director in July backing the “elimination of most fuel subsidies.” While the loan was hailed a success, with the country’s fast-growing economy being favoured by international investors, the poverty ratio jumped from 27.8 per cent in 2015 – prior to the IMF loan – to almost one- third today. In Lebanon, widespread protests, strikes and roadblocks took place in October, culminating in Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s resignation on 29 October, with demonstrators demanding changes such as poverty reduction and an end to corruption. While the IMF does not have a loan programme in Lebanon, its 2018 Article General strike in Tunisia. 8
B RE T TO N WO O D S O B S ERVER WI NTE R 2 0 1 9 ENVIRONMENT news EIB rules out most fossil fuel funding from 2021, setting benchmark for MDBs for fossil fuel projects,” and a civil society online media outlet Euractiv, replacing the European Investment Bank ends support protest outside October’s World Bank Annual previous threshold of 550g kw/hr. This will for unabated coal, oil and gas from 2021 Meetings, calling for a ‘Fossil Free WBG’ (see exclude unabated fossil fuels but means Dispatch Annuals 2019). the EIB could potentially still invest in so- Policy surpasses ambition of World Bank’s attempts to align with Paris Agreement called “low-carbon gases such as biogas Key supporter of fossil fuels takes leap and hydrogen,” according to Euractiv. towards becoming EU’s ‘climate bank’ but Additionally, the Guardian noted, “The EIB In November, the European Investment Bank loopholes remain will continue to support any project added (EIB) board of directors approved a revamped As noted by coverage in UK newspaper the to the EU’s ‘projects of common interest’ list energy policy that will see it cease finance for Guardian, estimates compiled by European before 2022. At present, more than 50 gas unabated coal, oil and gas from 2021. CSO network Bankwatch suggest, “the projects could be eligible.” EIB handed out €6.2m every day to fossil The policy provides a new benchmark, as the Alex Doukas, from US-based CSO Oil Change fuel companies between 2013 and 2018.” EIB, the World Bank Group (WBG) and other International responded to the EIB’s new This includes $2.8 billion in support for multilateral development banks (MDBs) work policy by stating, “Gas lobbyists were able to the controversial Southern Gas Corridor, to define their joint approach to aligning convince many parties — most significantly according to Bankwatch, a project designed with the Paris Climate Agreement. Germany and the European Commission — to bring natural gas from Azerbaijan to to override public support for a fossil free The approval of EIB’s energy policy followed European markets, which has also been EIB, and write significant concessions into a compromise, which saw its start date supported by the World Bank and other this policy. However, with people-powered pushed back a year from 2020, after initial MDBs (see Observer Summer 2018). movements for climate action stronger than opposition from the European Commission, Under EIB’s new policy, energy projects ever, the gas industry will face an uphill Germany and select Eastern European EU applying for EIB funding will have to show battle in using these EIB loopholes to get member states to a draft policy proposed by they can produce one kilowatt hour (kw/ new projects funded by 2021.” EIB management in August (see Observer hr) of energy while emitting less than 250 Autumn 2019). Δbit.ly/EIBclimatepolicy grammes of carbon dioxide, according to Despite this, the EIB’s policy sets a new standard among MDBs in terms of their alignment with the Paris Agreement: Under the policy, the EIB will seek to unlock €1 trillion of “climate action and sustainable investment” by 2030 and will “align all financing activities with the goals of the Paris Agreement for the end of 2020.” It will also end the vast majority of EIB’s finance for fossil fuels. The EIB, the World Bank, and seven other MDBs announced in December 2018 that they would work to develop a joint MDBs’ approach to Paris Agreement alignment (see Observer Spring 2019), with MDBs providing a progress update on this process at COP25 in Madrid this December, and continuing to work on the process through COP26 in Glasgow in December 2020. “Today’s landmark decision should… prompt other international financial institutions – multilateral development banks in particular – to immediately halt all support to the fossil fuels industry,” said Belgium-based civil society organisation (CSO) Counter Balance, in its reaction to EIB’s announcement. The approval of the EIB’s new energy policy follows a letter signed by over 110 CSOs in October calling for the World Bank to, “Phase out lending for all fossil fuels after 2020, including lending for ‘associated facilities’ Civil society groups call for the World Bank to stop financing fossil fuels outside its 2019 Annual Meetings in October. 9
B RE T TO N WO O D S O B S ERVER WI NTE R 2 0 1 9 ENVIRONMENT news IMF joins discussion on greening financial sector, as climate risks threaten macro-stability arguing that this is the most ‘efficient’ way withdrawal from the Paris Agreement under Fund and central banks ponder for countries to implement the Paris Climate the Trump Administration notwithstanding, macroeconomic policy responses to Agreement, despite skepticism from climate US Federal Reserve governor Lael Brainard climate risks justice advocates about whether focusing on noted in November that, “To fulfil our core Report commissioned by UK Labour Party this particular policy is politically viable (see responsibilities, it will be important… to highlights importance of public green Observer Summer 2019). study the implications of climate change for taxonomy the economy and the financial system and Commenting at a Civil Society Policy Forum to adapt our work accordingly.” event during the 2019 Annual Meetings that Shortly after being appointed as the IMF’s explored the IMF’s role in helping countries A recent paper commissioned by the new managing director in late September, tackle climate risks, Signe Krogstrup of UK’s Labour Party, entitled Finance and Kristalina Georgieva made clear that tackling Denmark’s central bank remarked, “I think Climate Change: A progressive green finance climate risk would be a key part of the Fund’s that there is still a discussion about what approach for the UK, and published in mandate during her tenure (see Dispatch should the IMF be doing on climate change. November, highlighted the need for the Annuals 2019; Observer Autumn 2019). … Macro-stability is the clear focus of IMF. creation of robust macroeconomic policies, So, the question is: Is climate macro-critical rather than relying on private finance- At a 2019 IMF Annual Meetings panel in for the Fund, and should it be doing more? led approaches. It noted, “an ambitious October on how central banks can combat Climate is potentially macro-critical in transition to low-carbon [sic] will not take climate change, Georgieva said, according to at least two ways: disaster risks, where place via the market because of a series of US-based news outlet Bloomberg, that the countries’ macroeconomic prospects are market failures that include incompatible Fund, “is gearing up very rapidly to integrate negatively affected by climate impacts; and time horizons between private finance and climate risks in our surveillance work.” transition risks, where the shift to a low- climate crisis, incomplete capital markets, Georgieva, however, was more tentative carbon economy may cause a change in corporate market power, and subjective about exactly what the Fund’s role will be: asset valuations.” private classifications of green assets.” She noted that while conducting climate In addition to the creation of a robust ‘stress tests’ to try to gauge risks in countries As the IMF and central banks test waters green public taxonomy – which identifies or sectors is a less contentious step the on greening finance, creating monetary assets well-aligned with a low-carbon Fund could take, other measures, such policy in the public interest is vital transition – the paper called for mandatory as developing a taxonomy of sustainable The IMF’s shift to analysis of climate risks disclosure of climate risks, and the greening financial assets, could be seen as more comes as central banks are increasingly of the Bank of England’s macroeconomic divisive. Earlier this year, efforts by the seeking to tackle the issue. In 2018, Bank of policies, including how this applies to its European Union to create a taxonomy of England governor Mark Carney warned that commitment to quantitative easing through ‘green’ financial products were side-tracked an unmanaged transition to a low-carbon investing in corporate debt. after some EU member states objected that economy could result in the sudden collapse these changes would damage their national Civil society will be watching closely to of assets linked to the fossil fuels, which he industries, and the completion of the see whether the Fund recommends that dubbed “a climate Minsky moment” (see taxonomy has now been delayed until 2022. countries develop such robust policies, Observer Summer 2019). The Network for or whether it continues to support more The Fund has also made several calls in Greening the Financial System now includes ‘market-driven’ approaches to tackling the past year for countries to adopt more over 51 members, the majority of whom are climate risks. ambitious carbon taxes, most recently central banks, which are working on joint in its Fiscal Monitor published in October, analysis of climate risks. The US’s imminent Δbit.ly/IMFgreening Photo: IMF The IMF’s managing director Kristalina Georgieva, centre, at a seminar entitled, ‘Can Central Banks Fight Climate Change’ during the 2019 IMF Annual Meetings. 10
B RE T TO N WO O D S O B S ERVER WI NTE R 2 0 1 9 IFI GOVERNANCE news Accountability Counsel launches key tool US blocks IMF voting rights redistribution for accountability Efforts to use the IMF’s 15th Review of package of IMF resources and governance community Quotas to redistribute voting rights on its reforms” (see Dispatch Annuals 2019; board have been unilaterally thwarted by Observer Winter 2018, Winter 2016). In November, US-based civil society the US, despite being supported by the organisation Accountability Counsel majority of IMF member states. Confronted In response to an April 2019 statement launched the Accountability Console, with US opposition, shareholders agreed by US Treasury Secretary, Steven Mnuchin, a new tool to provide communities, instead with the US proposal to extend New who noted, “…we do not see a need for a investors, policy-makers and Borrowing Arrangements (NAB) – designed quota increase at this time,” Mark Sobel researchers with comprehensive data as a “backstop to the Fund’s quota-based of UK-based think-tank OMFIF, speculated on all Independent Accountability financing mechanism” – as a way to ensure, that Washington was blocking the reform Mechanism (IAM) complaints to date. at least in the short-term, that the Fund because it did not want to increase China’s The tool includes cases from 24 IAMs of maintains its lending capacity (see Inside voting power at the IMF. The US move not multilateral and regional development the Institutions, IMF resources: quota, NAB only leaves the voting shares unchanged, banks and other international finance and GAB; Observer Summer 2019). but also potentially undermines the notion institutions. Resulting from community- of the IMF being a quota-based institution driven demand, the Accountability The 15th review was scheduled for (see Observer Summer 2019). Following Console provides a body of rare completion no later than the 2019 World the decision to uphold the ‘gentleman’s community-level feedback about human Bank and IMF Annual Meetings – after the agreement’ with the appointment of rights and environmental grievances US Congress failed to authorise the 14th European-backed candidate Kristalina tied to internationally financed projects, quota review, concluded in 2010, until 2016. Georgieva as IMF managing director, the including deep levels of information The International Monetary and Finance blocking of the quota review also raises and comparative views about policies Committee’s October 2019 communiqué broader questions around the IMF’s governing every aspect of the complaint called “on the executive board to complete undemocratic governance structures. process at each IAM. its work on the 15th Review and on a Δbit.ly/IMFvotes The tool comes at a particularly crucial time as civil society organisations and human rights defenders are increasingly LAND news being threatened in development contexts (see Observer Summer 2019), amidst fears of a race to the bottom of World Bank, IMF and EBRD push for controversial environmental and social safeguards land reform in Ukraine between competing public finance institutions (see Observer Winter 2018). A November article on news site Common Bank approved a US$200 million loan for the The potential that the current reviews of Dreams analysed a bill that became a draft restructuring of the agricultural market and the Inspection Panel and the Compliance land reform law in Ukraine’s parliament. the auctioning of state lands.” The Bank’s Advisor Ombudsman, the World Bank The draft law, which lacks measures to privatisation agenda for Ukraine was outlined and International Finance Corporation ensure that land is not concentrated in by its president David Malpass in a Financial IAMs respectively, may result in the the hands of wealthy landowners, or to Times article during his visit to the country erosion of their mandates and capacities prevent land purchases being backed by in August. The reforms were also supported (see Observer Winter 2019), highlights foreign corporations, passed its first reading by a 2018 IMF loan to Ukraine, which the the importance of efforts like the in November despite protests outside UN independent expert on foreign debt and Accountability Console, which strengthen parliament and the opposition of 73 per cent human rights criticised for its privatisation community campaigns for justice (see of the population. agenda (see Observer Autumn 2018). Observer Winter 2018). The article highlighted that Ukraine has come The Bank’s role in Ukraine clearly Δbit.ly/AccountabiltyConsole under sustained pressure, including from demonstrates that much remains to be the World Bank and the European Bank for done to ensure it supports democratic and Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), to equitable land structures on the ground. end its 18-year moratorium on land sales, Δbit.ly/UkraineLandReform noting that, “In August 2019, the World Bretton Woods Project The Observer is available in print, The Bretton Woods Project is an ActionAid 33-39 Bowling Green Lane on the web, and by email. hosted project, UK registered charity no. London EC1R 0BJ Subscriptions 274467, England and Wales charity no. United Kingdom www.brettonwoodsproject.org/subs 274467, Scottish charity no. SC045476. CRITICAL VOICES ON THE WORLD BANK AND IMF This publication is supported by a network of +44 (0)20 3122 0610 Spanish UK NGOs, the C.S. 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