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Gerald Celente’s TRENDSJOURNAL.COM | FORECASTING WORLDWIDE SINCE 1980 | DECEMBER 2018 HISTORY BEFORE IT HAPPENS ® 2019 Top Trends PECIAL REPORT S
IN THIS ISSUE HISTORY BEFORE IT HAPPENS ® Top Trends 2019 ® Editor and Publisher Gerald Celente Global forecaster Gerald Celente has released his Top Trends for 2019, offering detailed, Executive Editor Derek Osenenko essential predictions that will touch nearly every aspect of our daily lives and reach across the Contributing Editors globe, helping the “aware and the awake” to see “History Before It Happens®.” Richard Fusco Bennett Daviss More than just descriptions of 10 powerful trends what will occur in the year Office Manager ahead, these forecasts underscore the risks and the many opportunities that lie Bryan Boova ahead. They go beyond headline news to deliver a portrait of what will change Illustrations and how as 2019 unfolds. Anthony Freda The Top Trends for 2019 are a road map of the future, pinpointing the critical Design turns and detours ahead… providing guidance to Prepare, Prosper and Prevail Creative Circle in the year ahead you won’t get from any other source. Media Solutions, In 2018, from declining equity markets and economies globally, to the diving East Providence, RI value of cryptocurrencies, to the rising number of explosive geopolitical trends threatening social unrest, to powerful social trends that will dramatically alter Gerald Celente the status quo for many and much more, the foundation has been set for a wild All rights reserved. For permission ride in 2019. to reproduce or translate material from The Trends Journal®, con- Know what to expect. Be prepared. Read our Top Trends for 2019. tact The Trends Research Institute. The Trends Journal (ISSN 1065- 2094) is published monthly by The Trends Research Institute. ©2018. Globalnomics, Trends 2019 TOP TRENDS SPECIAL REPORT Journal, Trend Alert, Trends in The News, History Before it Happens and Presidential Reality Show • Economic 9/11 2 • Ready to Explode 14 are registered trademarks of the Trends Research Institute. • Human Waves 2019 5 • Get High, Get Healthy 17 The Trends Research Institute P.O. Box 3476 • America: Puritan 2.0 7 • Blessed are the Geeks 20 Kingston, NY 12402 845 331-3500 • Censorship 2019 10 • Gen Z=Gen Zero 22 www.trendsresearch.com • Bye, Bye Boomers 12 • Dying Brands 24 TRENDING 26 Longevity New sight Robots talk New energy Fat gene Socially science in Manufactured to robots vehicles Is obesity minded a worm replacement Wifi without Electric cars genetic? Younger eyes on the way electronics could be their investors are Breakthroughs own batteries banking on in life extension social causes THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
TOP TRENDS 2019 SPECI 1 AL REPORT Shutterstock Economic 9/11 On September 19, two days before U.S. equity markets hit new highs, we alerted Trends Journal subscribers to prepare for an “Economic 9/11.” The Central Bankers, the economic terrorists who we had forecast in November 2016, it would push have, by their policies, engineered every boom bust currencies lower, weaken economies and sink equity cycle over the past 100 years, would strike again. markets across the globe. And that is precisely what Having artificially pumped up the global economy has occurred. with negative/zero interest rates and Quantitative In just a few weeks after making our “Economic Easing monetary methadone following the Panic of 9/11 forecast,” the Nasdaq slumped 9 percent, its big- ’08, the $250 trillion global debt bomb they created is gest drop since the Panic of ’08, and the S&P 500 lost ready to explode. 7 percent, its worst month since September 2011. In fact, last December, in one of our Top Trends for As we go to press, both indexes are in correction 2018, “Market Shock, Mass Murder,” we warned that territory, down over 10 percent. And the Dow, which rising U.S. interest rates and a strengthening dollar at one point was up more than 8 percent for 2018, has would not only signal the end of the Trump Rally erased its gains for the year and also is in correction 2 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019 posite Index is down over 25 percent and keeps fall- ing. Overall, the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index has plunged into bear territory, losing over $5 trillion this year. Japan, with its Gross Domestic Product falling at an annualized pace of 2.5 percent in 3 months through September, is also in economic decline despite its central bank’s bond buying spree and negative in- terest rate cheap money injections. In fact, Bank of Japan’s total holdings hit $4.9 trillion, which is bigger than the country’s annual GDP. And in Europe, despite its central bank injecting some $4 trillion in Quantitative Easing monetary meth for almost four years to pump up the economy (which is now ending), its third quarter GDP growth of .02 percent was the weakest in four years. On the market front, the DAX index of 30 com- panies is in bear territory, plunging over 20 percent from its January high, while the FTSE 100 is down 10 percent, its worst performance since the peak of the 2012 eurozone crisis. On the Emerging Market front, the MSCI Emerg- ing Market stock index has tumbled 25 percent from its January peak. And while the United States’ relatively strong GDP and employment numbers suggest a healthy econ- omy, the total debt incurred by Americans hit an- other record in the last quarter rising to $13.5 trillion. Markets on monetary territory, while the small cap stocks entered bear mar- And with total household debt now $837 billion methodone. ket territory, with Russell 2000 benchmark down 20 higher than its 2008 peak, when the last recession Anthony Freda percent from its August high. hit, America, like the rest of world, cannot take And on the global scale, with much of the world’s higher interest rates. $250 trillion debt dollar based, as the dollar grows Further, U.S. durable goods orders fell 4.4 percent stronger and global currencies get weaker, the cost in October, the largest decline in 15 months, and the burden of servicing that debt grows heavier. third successive month of decline. Also as forecast, economies worldwide are slowing, And mortgage refinance applications hit an 18-year stagnating and/or falling into recession. low in the U.S. this November. Since the Federal Re- In China, the world’s second largest economy, third serve raised rates a mere .25 basis points in Septem- quarter GDP growth has slowed to Panic of ‘08 levels, ber, mortgage applications have steadily declined. auto sales are on track for their first annual sales de- With rates at their highest point in eight years for cline since the 1990s, and retail sales grew in Novem- mortgage refinances, volume is down a whopping ber at their slowest pace in 15 years. 40 percent since a year ago. Subsequently, shares of Reflecting the economic pain, the Shanghai Com- homebuilders stocks have slumped nearly 30 percent. With some $250 trillion in global debt, much of it dollar based, as the dollar grows stronger and global currencies get weaker, the cost burden of servicing that debt grows heavier. Subsequently, as forecast, economies worldwide are slowing, stagnating and/or falling into recession. 3 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019 newyorkfed.org Student loan delinquencies are up, new car loan the mainstream media continually attributes equity applications are down, as are credit card applica- market volatility and global economic slowdowns to tions… virtually every financial indicator related to U.S.-China trade wars and tariffs. credit availability and affordability, is down. As we In fact, there is no trade war and “Tariff Man” Trump’s have consistently demonstrated, based on the facts imposed tariffs only account for 0.7 percent of China’s and our daily trend-tracking analysis, the world, in- GDP, while the U.S. trade deficit widened for the fifth cluding the U.S., cannot taker higher interest rates. straight month in October, with the deficit now bigger In India, despite Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s than it has been in 10 years. war of words for the Reserve Bank of India not to Yet, for example, as China’s economy slows to an ex- raise interest rates, third quarter Gross Domestic pected 6.3 percent in 2019, its real estate market cools, Product fell to 7.1 percent from 8.2 percent in the luxury goods purchases fall, auto sales plunge 13 percent second quarter. in October and the Chinese stock market index slumps PUBLISHER’S NOTE: Since the beginning of this year, deep into bear territory, the business media still blames and now at the end year, following Donald Trump’s and the declines on trade tensions with Washington rather Xi Jinping discussions at the December G-20 conference, than basic economic fundamentals. TREND FORECAST In 2019, “Economic 9/11” is poised to strike and boost failing economies and financial markets. cause equity and market meltdowns worldwide. Yet this time, considering the $250 trillion mas- What can pause the crash? At this juncture, the sive debt load weighing down the global economy, same measures that were taken that have artifi- another monetary drug fix will only push markets cially pumped up stock and real estate markets to up temporarily before they OD. soaring heights following the Panic of ’08: Cheap Therefore, as the economic health of these Money. More rounds of lowering interest rates money-drugged induced economies worsens, and more trillions of Quantitative Easing. demand for gold, the ultimate safe-haven asset Indeed, it was not basic economic fundamentals will increase. We maintain our forecast that gold that put the world on the path of recovery follow- prices’ bottom range is around $1,200 per ounce ing the Great Recession. It was the central banks and prices will not spike until gold solidifies above injecting heavy doses of monetary methadone to $1,450 per ounce. 4 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
TOP TRENDS 2019 SPECI 2 AL REPORT Syrian refugees flee their war-torn country. Shutterstock Human Waves 2019 Across the continents, millions of desperate people are fleeing their homelands, risking their lives and those of their loved ones in hopes of finding a promising future. While it is headline news today, particularly in corruption and high crime rates, both the press and the United States with the human caravan leaving politicians ignore the Coup d’état regime changes Central America and President Trump’s vow to not and covert American influence in Central America let them enter the United States, the Human Wave that has destabilized many countries in the region. trend has been long in the making and one that the Also, virtually absent in media coverage are the Trends Research Institute and Gerald Celente have American-led wars against Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, been tracking and forecasting for over two decades. Libya, etc., which have destroyed nations, killed mil- Yet, whether in the U.S. or the millions of migrants lions and displaced tens of millions. and refugees escaping the Middle East and Africa And as with Libya, a war launched by Nobel Peace flooding into Europe, the manner in which this trend prize winner U.S. President Barack Obama, along is being reported by the media often omits the causes with Prime Minister David Cameron of the U.K. and of the Great Migration. President Nicolas Sarkozy of France, long forgotten For example, while they note the abject poverty, are both the warning and the consequences of their 5 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019 violent acts of mass destruction that sunk Libya into SAUDI SAVAGERY chaos and a launch pad for migration: And the three-year-old civil war against Houthi rebels in Yemen, being carried out by Saudi Arabia, “Now listen, you people of NATO,” wrote Muam- and its coalition of the killing, including the U. S., the mar Gadhafi a few months before he was killed in United Arab Emirates, the U.K., Canada, France and 2011. “You’re bombing a wall which stood in the other nations, has resulted in the deaths of as many way of African migration to Europe, and in the as 56,000 innocent civilians from direct bombings way of Al-Qaeda terrorists. This wall was Libya. and more than 80,000 from famine resulting from You’re breaking it. You’re idiots, and you will burn the war. in Hell for thousands of migrants from Africa and As millions seek refuge away from the killing, dis- for supporting Al-Qaeda. It will be so. I never lie. ease and starvation in Yemen, the United Nations And I do not lie now.” declared it the world’s worst humanitarian crisis. Subsequently, as reported in our Spring, 2011 Starving children, families suffering cholera and Trends Journal, the “idiots” paid the consequences: other diseases spreading by the day throughout the “In March 2011, the first wave of the human tsu- region … Yemen is a destroyed nation with a massive nami washed ashore. Tens of thousands of desper- homeless population seeking shelter and safety. ate refugees fleeing North Africa and the Middle In 2019, as millions of refugees continue to flee East made landfall in the nearest Italian port. By war-torn, violent, politically- and economically-op- mid-April, the UN reported that more than a half- pressed countries seeking safety, they will be greeted million people had fled Libya in the preceding two by “Not Welcome Here” signs by the countries they months, and as Qaddafi warned, it worsened. “ wish to enter. Shutterstock Refugees have gathered in Aristotelous Square in Syrian Thessaloniki, Greece, waiting to be formally arrested and gain temporary residence in the European Union country. 6 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019 And in the two decades since Celente made his Five-O forecast, another 1.6 billion people were added to the planet … and ultimately the workforce. SOUTH OF THE BORDER Throughout Central America, hundreds of thou- sands of migrants are fleeing their economically depressed countries that are ruled and ruined by cor- rupt, dysfunctional governments, to seek safety and job opportunities. In Venezuela, once one of the most prosperous na- tions of Latin America, but now suffering deep eco- nomic depression, violence and social degradation, has some 3,000 citizens fleeing the country every day. And the U. N. estimates 2 million Venezuelans will emigrate in 2019. Overall, across the globe, according to the Interna- Shutterstock tional Rescue Committee there are over 20 million Hundreds of immigrants are waiting at the border between Greece and FYROM waiting for the right refugees, with the majority fleeing the Middle East, time to continue their journey from unguarded Africa and South America. passages. MORE PEOPLE THAN JOBS tion was 1.6 billion. Today, the world’s population Among the socioeconomic dynamics driving the is 7.6 billion. And in the two decades since Celente Human Wave crisis is the Five-O Formula identified made his Five-O forecast, another 1.6 billion people by global trend forecaster Gerald Celente 20 years were added to the planet … and ultimately the work- ago. force. In forecasting the macro trends that will shape the Across the globe, beyond the wars, violence and 21st century economy, he cited a new set of equa- corruption, even in the most civilized countries, the tions defined by market forces that did not exist in story is the same: More workers in the labor forces the 20th. Celente defined those factors as: than jobs available. This is one of the major factors Overproduction—there are more products and driving the massive migrant trend: People fleeing services than can be consumed. their countries looking for work. And, as populations Overcapacity— there is a glut of advanced fa- continue to increase, there will be a greater supply of cilities and excess service capabilities to supply the workers than the demand for jobs, thus adding fur- world market place with more than can be con- ther downward pressure on wages. sumed. In the new world of high-tech innovations such as Open Markets—a borderless new millennial mar- robotics, Artificial Intelligence, online retail and ser- ketplace provides products and services free from vices, etc., from top to bottom, jobs will be replaced traditional economic channels. and the pay scale will continue to be lowered. TJ Overpopulation— companies are now positioned to exploit a 6-billion-plus labor pool without geo- graphic constraints. TREND FORECAST Online—a planet full of browsers will enable and As economies decline and personal incomes drive a universal economic culture of cheap product drop, such as in France, which is experiencing and service production supported by cheap labor its most volatile social uprising since the 1960s, expenses. anti-immigration/anti-establishment movements will escalate as populist parties defeat entrenched EXPLODING POPULATION political parties. At the start of the last century, the world’s popula- 7 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
TOP TRENDS 2019 SPECI 3 AL REPORT more conservative social values in recent years. Missamerica.org The Miss America pageant is one of many organizations to start adopting America: Puritan 2.0 God Bless America. The land of the politically correct. A nation at constant war. And, since it launched is the five-letter hashtag marking the rapid rise of the the War on Terror in 2001, has spent $6 trillion to kill #Metoo movement that went viral in 2017. and maim millions of innocent civilians and destroy Alleged sexual predator Harvey Weinstein and Bill entire nations. Cosby, who was convicted of three counts of sexual Yes, politically correct America! So correct that not assault, were indeed the trigger points to flesh out one politician running for national office in the 2018 countless allegations and examples of sexual harass- midterm elections uttered a word about such a trivial ment, abuse and assault. issue as America’s endless murderous, costly wars. From Hollywood, to the halls of government, to There were much more important issues to ad- corporate offices and across the media landscape, dress. Instead it was an election mostly framed on resignations, firings and public debasing took down identity politics issues. And prominent among them the men who abused their power to abuse women. 8 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019 But now, despite the validity of many claims and the abhorrent violations committed by many men, a one-size fits-all mindset has generalized personal ex- periences; bosses, co-workers or the powerful in suits become victims based on unsubstantiated allegations that fuel an environment of fear and paranoia: • A male college professor refuses to meet with any of his female students in private, only with some third-party, college employee present. • A seasoned male lawyer refuses to mentor a fe- male law student intern unless she’s paired with a Welcome to “Puritan America.” male intern. The MeToo movement is only the latest in a series of identity issues that have redirected the American • A financial consultant taking a cross-country psyche from one of “make love not war,” to “make business trip with a female co-worker asks that war, not love.” they sit apart on the flight. Fulfilling its “make war” passion, in the U.S. And this past July, former U.S. President Barack midterm elections, while no peace candidate was Obama, speaking to students at the African Leader- championed into office, eleven military-intelligence ship Academy in Johannesburg, South Africa told Democratic candidates won House seats. them, “Every day I read the newspaper and just think like ‘Brothers, what’s wrong with you guys? What’s SLAUGHTERHOUSE wrong with us? We’re violent, we’re bullying … Men In the uptight America, at every level of discourse, are getting on my nerves.” freedom of expression can no longer be freely ex- With an arrogant, single about-face breath, Obama pressed. George Washington warned: “If freedom of who, when as President in 2013 was denounced by speech is taken away, then dumb and silent we may feminists for complimenting the physical beauty of be led, like sheep to the slaughter.” Kamala Harris shortly after lauding her professional Welcome to the slaughterhouse. As evidenced by achievements, took a cheap politically correct shot by the censorship trends imposed upon those consid- denouncing the entire male gender as “violent” and ered politically incorrect by the social media mo- “bullying.” nopolies such as Google, Facebook and Twitter who Obama speaking in Johannesburg, SA. obama.org 9 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019 banish all voices and movements from left to right that do not adhere to their divine belief systems... what George Washington had warned is now a living reality. Mel Brooks, just one of What has become standard practice with America the many comedians and Europe’s great trading partner, Communist warning that the China, in terms of government control of free speech move toward political across media platforms, is being embraced by western correctness is killing comedy. “Democracies.” (See, “Censored: A vicious trend to gag Wikipedia independent media,” Trends Journal, October 2018). beyond the gender divide, splitting, dismantling and upending nearly every aspect of American life, from SEX DOESN’T SELL home, to school, to business, to media and entertain- As the political, cultural and social divides sharpen, ment. so too does intolerance toward what is perceived as On the entertainment front, proper comedy must being sexist or otherwise socially inappropriate: be pristine clean, Puritan pure and politically correct. "Sex Is No Longer Selling for Victoria’s Secret Veteran comedian Mel Brooks said “PC culture” Victoria’s Secret was once the trend setter in that prohibits offensive language or actions, par- the world of women’s undergarments ... Now the ticularly as it refers to race, creed or gender is killing brand selling sexiness – or at least, a particular vi- comedy. “We have become stupidly politically cor- sion of sexiness – has lost its appeal." rect, which is the death of comedy. Comedy has to – The Wall Street Journal, 19 November 2018. walk a thin line, take risks,” said Brooks. From undergarments to outer garments, even Both Jerry Seinfeld and Chris Rock announced beauty contests don’t want women to wear that sexy they will not play colleges citing overly politically cor- “itsy bitsy teenie weenie yellow polka-dot bikini.” rect attitude of college audiences. In recent years both the Miss World and Miss Seinfeld says “I hear a lot of people tell me, ‘Don’t America pageants eliminated their bathing suit com- go near colleges. They’re so PC.” He says teens and petitions. After being accused of anti-feminist, the college-aged kids don’t understand what it means to Miss America contest will now focus on the woman’s throw around certain politically-correct terms. “They mind rather than body. just want to use these words: ‘That’s racist;’ ‘That’s Having now become more rigid in its political sexist;’ ‘That’s prejudice,’” he said. “They don’t know correctness, the political and cultural divide in the what the hell they’re talking about.” United States has added new, powerful dimensions Rock said he stopped doing shows at colleges because they were “too conservative.” “Not in their political views,” Rock clarified. “But in their social TREND FORECAST views and their willingness not to offend anybody. You can’t even be offensive on your way to being in- Welcome to Puritan America. Watch what you say, how you say it, where offensive.” you say it, when you say it and who you say it to. And most importantly, Verifying Seinfeld's and Rock's take on today's col- what you think. lege mentality, in December, former "SNL" writer Major issues affecting society from the nations’ dysfunctional govern- ments, rotted infrastructures, to the chemical laden poisonous water that Ninesh Patel, who was invited to perform at Co- will kill you if you drink it, air you can’t breathe, to dirty deals that politi- lumbia University's culture SHOCK event, had his cians deal … are just minor matters when compared to the identity politics microphone cut off for "inappropriate" remarks that issues. being "gay cannot be a choice because no one looks A nation dying of both illegal and legal drug abuse. A nation whose in the mirror and thinks this black thing is too easy; educational standards steadily fall when compared to other countries. A let me just add another thing to it." nation whose population’s health and wealth rapidly decline, are secondary And this November, it was announced that to identity politics issues. comedy would be banned at the White House Cor- The unconscious of America is projecting its guilt over its murderous, respondents’ Dinner. The hosting organization de- illegal wars, deteriorating living standards, a melting middle class and a creed that telling jokes at its annual black-tie event society that supports lying, corrupt political leaders by imposing Puritan was prohibited. Instead, the main act will be an his- standards to wash away the sins it won’t face or atone. torian speaking on the First Amendment. TJ 10 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
TOP TRENDS 2019 SPECI 4 AL REPORT Shutterstock Censorship 2019 Freedom of speech? Freedom of Expression? Forget about it! From the United States to China, from New Zealand to Nepal, Censorship is a megatrend. For well over a year, social media giants and gov- trend of free speech and an assault on First Amend- ernments have been silencing voices that challenge ment rights barely made the headline news until establishment agendas. media giants Facebook, Twitter, YouTube and Ins- For example, last September, the World Socialist tagram unplugged the Alex Jones show and his IN- Web Site (WSWS.org) accused Google of censoring FOWARS media operation during the summer. left-wing, anti-war and socialist web sites, stating However, despite claims such censorship mea- “Stop the censorship of the Internet! Stop the politi- sures were targeting “extremists” and “conspiracy cal blacklisting of the World Socialist Web Site!” theorists,” as we have detailed, America, like many Earlier this year, the European Commission gave nations has been silencing voices that challenge es- Google, Facebook and Twitter, three months to tablishment agendas. (See "Media Censorship Trend demonstrate that they were removing “extremist” to Escalate," Trends Journal, September 2018) content more rapidly, or face legislation forcing them Helping to lead the censorship charge, Facebook, to do so. has undertaken a massive purge of watchdog, politi- But the extent of the ongoing censorship mega- cal, opinion-driven and alternative media accounts 11 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019 The monopolists that dominate the social media that the world uses and depends on, have made it clear – in both written statements and at government hearings – that they will decide what’s best for you. Another characteristic of the trend is that the so- cial media police state shows no particular political or content leanings in its ongoing purge. Lean left or right, if you express unconventional viewpoints or contradict, challenge or circumvent the establish- ment, the plug could be pulled. In the United States, which promotes the free Facebook's Mark Zuckerberg speaking speech myth while stifling real free speech (as evi- at the F8 developers denced by the recent overt censorship trends by the conference in the tech giants), just five mega-corporations monopolize wake of the Cambridge Analytics fiasco. over 90 percent of the broadcast media. They control Wikipedia the message and champion their own messengers. The monopolists that dominate the social media for “inauthentic behavior” content. that the world uses and depends on, have made it Just weeks before the November midterm elections clear – in both written statements and at government in the United States, Facebook, without warning and hearings – that they will decide what’s best for you. with only scant, flimsy explanations, unplugged 800 They determine what’s credible and what isn’t. They accounts because, they alleged, these accounts were will tell you what content you can see, hear and share. “working to mislead others about who they are, and These tech giants have pledged their allegiance to what they are doing.” governments to aggressively and relentlessly silence But the vast majority of the pages were indepen- what they deem are the “bad actors” for violating dent media platforms. Some advocated for legal their self-proclaimed, ever-changing policies. marijuana, others promoted political candidates, still What policies? Who makes these decisions? What others were political or social commentary sites and about Freedom of Speech? Not in Amerika. The Fed- others were watchdog sites, monitoring police vio- eral Government has decided not to intervene and lence or government overspending. provide oversight of the censorship wave spreading One characteristic of the Censorship 2019 trend across social media. is the immediacy in which platforms are unplugged Federal Trade Commissioner (FTC) Noah Phil- and the lack of accountability for why these sites are lips has said he would not use the agency’s antitrust wiped away, other than vague references to over gen- authority to address Facebook, Google, and Twitter’s eralized and highly objective policy rules. censorship practices. TJ TREND FORECAST Governments across the globe, regardless of what sites to circumvent the government/media mo- political doctrine they profess, in collusion with nopolies. social media giants, will accelerate the Censorship Beyond the issues of censorship, the Internet 2019 trend. has and will serve as the launch pad for major While Google, Facebook and Twitter will populist revolutions against established political dominate market share for the foreseeable future, parties, multi-nationals and globalist interests. market gaps will widen. They’re ready to be filled New web sites and hosting companies “of the by nimble, trustworthy First Amendment-driven people, by the people and for the people” will gain OnTrendpreneurs® having 2020 foresight to host healthy market share. 12 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
TOP TRENDS 2019 SPECI 5 AL REPORT A record-setting number of seniors over 70 are still working. Shutterstock Bye, Bye Boomers The Baby Boomer Generation are babies no more! From Davy Crockett and Leave it to Beaver, to Dick Clark, the Beatles and Motown, they are now heading to Notown. Broke, busted, overweight, how many will live DOWN AND OUT with their children, die at home alone or end up as Across the globe, the negative financial difficulties inmates in nursing homes? many boomers are now facing have steadily evolved How many of the boomers will live long healthy, since the Panic of ’08. When the Great Recession hit, wealthy and wise lives? large numbers of boomers lost their homes, their While The Bye Bye Boomer trend shines a bright savings and many were laid off prematurely from light on the dismal state many seniors find them- their life-long careers … the sustained downward selves in… broke, sick, depressed and dependent, for trending is intensifying and expanding well beyond those that accentuate the positive and reverse the personal finances to myriad quality of life issues. negatives – although the end is growing near and As with all age groups there are several health and there are always the wild cards of ups and downs that wealth layers. For Baby Boomers, those born be- can disrupt the best laid plans – the on-trend boom- tween 1946 and 1964, who once helped shape popu- ers will pass on in peace and harmony. lar culture, societal norms and advance social change, 13 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019 fast food workers and housekeeping attendants. Unable to supplement their income, bankruptcy rates among seniors are skyrocketing, growing at a rate that outpaces by at least two-to-one every other age group. More than 100,000 of the 800,000 an- nual bankruptcy filings are from households headed by seniors in the U.S. Longevity and fitness centers tailored to boomers are on the rise. DOING MORE WITH LESS Shutterstock A study by Pew Research Center found that 52 while many are living well in over 55 plus-senior percent of U.S. citizens in their 60s are either finan- communities – having retired with pensions, benefits cially supporting a parent or being supported by their and investments – many more are facing tough, and offspring. often impossible, choices. They’re grappling with These financial conditions have generated strong financial, health, emotional and personal hardships growth in the co-habitation trend, in which some 32 unimagined in their idealistic youth. percent of all adults who share households are over Most notable, U.S. studies show that only about the age of 70. Beyond just two boomers sharing a half of boomers entering retirement age have any house or apartment, we forecast shared household savings at all and three quarters of retirees are under- arrangements in which numerous boomers will be funded, with not enough money to make ends meet. living under one roof: Boarding Houses 2.0. Unlike their parents’ generation, many of whom retired at around 65 years of age or earlier, because UNHEALTHY BODY MEANS UNHEALTHY FINANCES so many boomers are cash strapped, today’s seniors Adding to the dismal plight of many Boomers is have to keep working. In the U.S., more than 9 mil- the dawn of an unprecedented era of chronic poor lion senior citizens over the age of 70 are in the work health. Among the conditions that are rising at his- force, the vast majority of them in service jobs. toric rates are: diabetes, heart failure, cancer, circula- In fact, 23 percent of men and about 15 percent of tory conditions, kidney and liver diseases and related women ages 65 and older are still in the labor force, illnesses. and these levels are projected to rise to 27 percent Today, more than 25 percent of Americans over and 20 percent respectively by 2020. the age of 65 have been diagnosed with diabetes. Moreover, many others in that age group are not Astoundingly, some 70 percent of boomers are over- able to work because a majority of available positions weight, and nearly 40 percent are clinically obese. require some level of physical ability seniors can’t at- As a result, they will be far more dependent on tain…like standing on their feet for hours as cashiers, others and government subsidies to survive. In fact, in the U.S., public health care expenses are expected to rise nearly six percent this year as a direct result TREND FORECAST of the increased spending necessary to cover the The world is not prepared for the impact the Bye, Bye Boomers trend is escalating number of boomers enrolling in Medicare about to unleash. health insurance programs. The golden years for millions of seniors in 2019 will be marked more by how to survive rather than how to thrive. As noted, the data in virtually DEAF, BLIND AND OUT OF THEIR MIND every area that determines quality of life for seniors is negative and trend- Latest estimates project that 1 in 10 people older ing more negative. than 65 have developed features of Alzheimer’s And the institutions and legacy support systems designed to help alleviate disease and other forms of dementia. This is a pro- the impact of these trends is woefully inadequate. gressive, irreversible, non-curable disease that will Bye Bye Boomer is a macro, powerful trend. How seniors will house, feed continue to worsen despite the best medical care. and heal themselves are the three categories that demand creative, broad And as their condition declines, they will need thinking. From shared living options, such as co-housing, which is a newly emerg- greater supervision and assistance. Dementia ing trend, to affordable, effective whole health healing alternatives that can disorders will further tax already overburdened improve the lifestyle of Golden Agers, there are numerous golden opportu- health care systems worldwide, most of which are nities for Ontrendpreneurs®. ill equipped to provide medical care for these pa- tients. TJ 14 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
TOP TRENDS 2019 SPECI 6 AL REPORT metropolis, obesity is everywhere. Shutterstock The virtually ubiquitous site, whether it be in a small town or bustling Ready to Explode It’s a rapidly growing American trend that is spreading across the globe: An obesity epidemic that is spawning costly and devastating health, social, cultural and economic conditions that will worsen in 2019 and beyond. Despite what is being promoted on the surface as the food sold in retail channels. Indeed, a walk a growing, promising healthy food movement, in through any major supermarket chain store shows America, and in many other countries, more people how small the organic sections are and how limited are becoming addicted to fast, processed food, laden the scope of product compared to the low quality, with salt, sugar and unpronounceable chemicals highly processed, non-organic aisles that dominate. with devastating results to health than those going On the fast food front, an industry that had only all natural. $6 billion in revenue in 1970 and surged to over $200 While organic movements have grown substan- billion in 2017, while major chains promise fresher tially over the last two decades, and the media keeps ingredients with less additives and more vegetables, blasting how American’s food tastes have changed, for the most part, Americans keep gobbling down organic in 2017 accounted for only 5.5 percent of burgers, fries and other fast food junk. 15 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019 World map of male And it shows. Obesity is becoming an expected through their daily drills and military preparation. obesity, 2016. norm. From middle America to the military ranks, So pervasive and growing is the obesity trend, Wikipedia coping not only with the physical and health effects that the U.S. government issued new guidelines for of obesity but its emotional, societal and psychologi- maintaining a healthy lifestyle, including eating more cal effects and their ramifications are forming the whole, and fewer processed foods and, less obvious, Ready To Explode trend which is exploding into a incorporating exercise in spurts into daily routines. public health emergency. The new guidelines paid particular attention to children. Nearly 30 percent of boys and girls under DYING YOUNGER age 20 are either obese or overweight, up from 19 per- For example, in 2016, the latest year for which of- cent in 1980. ficial data is available, U.S. ranked 43rd among 195 na- Overall, 180.5 million Americans—or 60.7 percent tions with an average lifespan of 78.7 years. By 2040, of the nation’s population ages 2 and over—are either Americans are forecast to only live 1.1 more years to obese or overweight. And among the 70 percent of 79.8, while dropping 21 spots in the global ranking to adults who are overweight, 40 percent of them are 64th, as other nations make faster gains, according to obese, compared to just 3.4 percent of adults back in recently released data from the Institute for Health the 1960’s. Metrics and Evaluation. The drop in the U.S. is the most for high-income countries. FAT PRIDE Indeed, life expectancy in the U.S. is expected to be Yet, in America today, as well as in the U.K. and only slightly better than that of Bangladesh, a country other nations facing obesity epidemics, there are with considerably lower income. Yet, Bangladesh will growing Fat Pride movements proclaiming there are have made a significant stride of having 6.7 more no social, economic or health issues associated with years in average life span by 2040. being overweight or obese. The top five health drivers that explain most of the This past April, Lizzi Cernik, a journalist and fea- future trajectory for premature mortality are high tures writer for The Guardian who covers relation- blood pressure, high body mass index, high blood ships, travel and women’s issues, wrote a column sugar, tobacco use, and alcohol use. entitled, “It’s not fine to be fat. Celebrating obesity is Even in the military, where peak physicality was irresponsible,” stated: once the norm, overweight-driven poor health is “No one should be bullied for their weight or food pervasive. A recent study shows nearly 30 percent of choices, but ‘fat pride’ promotes dangerous weight military members are overweight. Fat and tired, and levels. … as we move away from the skinny goals of wrought with PTSD and other related psychological the mid-2000s and embrace different shapes and disorders, they are turning to energy drinks to get sizes, one group of campaigners has taken things 16 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019 Family obesity is on the rise. Shutterstock a step too far. Fronted by plus-sized models and a new study, “America’s Obesity Crisis: The Health social media influencers, the fat acceptance move- and Economic Costs of Excess,” authored by Hugh ment aims to normalize obesity, letting everyone Waters and Marlon Graf, that found: In 2016, chronic know that it’s fine to be fat. With terms such as diseases driven by the risk factor of obesity and over- ‘straight size’ and ‘fat pride’ proliferating, some weight accounted for $480.7 billion in direct health influential figures are now even likening the valid care costs in the U.S., with an additional $1.24 trillion concerns of health officials to hate crimes. in indirect costs due to lost economic productivity. “The comedian Sofie Hagen recently accused The total cost of chronic diseases due to obesity Cancer Research of bullying fat people, after the and overweight was $1.72 trillion—equivalent to 9.3 charity launched a campaign to raise aware- percent of the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP). ness about the link between cancer and obesity. Obesity as a risk factor is by far the greatest contribu- Through a series of expletive-laden tweets, she tor to the burden of chronic diseases in the U.S., ac- criticized the organization for its damaging mes- counting for 47.1 percent of the total cost of chronic sages, claiming that fat didn’t equal unhealthy.” diseases nationwide. However, contrary to Ms. Hagen’s belief, according Indeed, America, accounting for just 5 percent of to recent reports, not only does fat ‘equal unhealthy,’ the world’s population is truly #1, weighing in with it equals extremely costly. 13 percent of the total world overweight and obese On 26 October 2018, The Milken Institute released people. TJ TREND FORECAST The effects of America’s and other nations’ ad- line until a new wave of self-consciousness and diction to processed, low quality, junk food will self-confidence captures the American spirit. continue to take its toll. However, trends are born, they grow, mature, If, indeed, it is true that you are what you eat, is reach old age and die. While the Ready To Ex- America’s low spirit, diminishing self esteem, lack plode trend is rapidly expanding, there will be of dignity, absence of energy and drive to elevate ups and downs in its growth trajectory … both to higher emotional, spiritual, physical and politi- personally and nationwide. Clearly, numerous op- cal levels directly tied to the massive amounts of portunities exist for OnTrendpreneurs® to design/ highly processed, chemically laced, artificially col- provide products and services to assist the over- ored/flavored food they eat and drink? weight and obese who will not lose weight, and Therefore, at this time, there is no trajectory to for those who want to lose weight. suggest a change in the Ready to Explode trend 17 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
TOP TRENDS 2019 SPECI 7 AL REPORT Kingston, N.Y. Courtesy of High Times Magazine Bradford Beckerman, CEO of Hennepen's, a hemp products company, Get High, Get Healthy Imagine. It’s 1933 in America, Prohibition ends and it’s now legal to manufacture, sell and drink alcohol and it’s the beginning of a booming industry. In 2019, the legalization of marijuana in many palities, states and countries are voting for legaliza- states and the new federal Farm Bill that will legalize tion. hemp will open the floodgates of explosive growth In October, Canada became the latest country for both the marijuana and hemp industries that, be- to legalize recreational marijuana, joining Uruguay cause of their recreational, industrial and medicinal and the Netherlands where recreational pot is legal. qualities, will be much bigger than booze. Marijuana is already legal for medical use in Austra- Across the globe, it’s the same story: Resistance to lia, Puerto Rico, Poland, Czech Republic, Croatia and legalizing cannabis is weakening while more munici- Macedonia. And in Turkey, citizens are allowed to 18 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019 clear path to legalization is widening. That’s exactly how the trend is unfolding. Just as with Prohibition, politicians made alcohol legal so they could generate more money by making people pay taxes to drink it. The same applies to hemp and marijuana legalization. For example, Colorado, the pioneer legalization state, is generating more tax rev- enue from marijuana sales than on alcohol. And the other aspect of “Reefer Money Madness” we forecast was the medical benefits of marijuana would increasingly be supported by science and, as a result, more easily accepted and legalized. For thou- sands of years, marijuana has been used to treat vari- ous illnesses in cultures worldwide. But the science is only now catching up to and confirming what has been known for centuries: Pot heals. Today, there is scientific proof that medi- cal marijuana can help with neurological diseases, cancer, depression, respiratory ailments, epilepsy Marijuana costumed attendee at the 2016 But the science is only and other medical conditions. That’s why medical marijuana is being legalized at a faster rate than rec- Southwest Cannabis Conference & Expo in now catching up to and reational. Phoenix, AZ Wikipedia confirming what has been FAST TRACK TO LEGALIZATION IN STATES known for centuries: The likelihood of legalization in all 50 United Pot heals. States or full federal legalization while not imminent is on the radar. Currently, cannabis is illegal under federal law for any purpose under the Controlled grow marijuana for personal medical use. Substance Act of 1970 that classifies it as a Schedule Even Mexico’s incoming government submitted a 1 substance putting it in the same category as Heroin bill to allow medical marijuana and recreational use. and LSD. The bill would also permit companies to grow and Under that determination, it is considered to have sell marijuana, allow possession of up to 30 grams, a strong potential for abuse and addiction with no and cultivation for private use. Smoking pot in public valid medical use prohibiting usage for recreational places would also be permitted. or medical reasons. Some on Capitol Hill are pushing In the United States, following the midterm to have cannabis rescheduled to a Schedule 2 drug, elections, anyone over the age of 21 will be able to which would recognize its medical benefits but still consume marijuana in 10 states and the District of with a strong potential for abuse. Columbia, while 33 states now have laws legalizing Though this may be considered a positive develop- medical marijuana. ment by some for medical usage, cannabis would And following the passage of a law to legalize rec- still be a regulated substance and under full control reational marijuana in Michigan, Maria McFarland of the FDA, which could impose its own restrictions Sanchez-Moreno, the Executive Director of the Drug for medical usage and keep recreational usage totally Policy Alliance, said: “Western and northeastern illegal. The FDA would control packaging and mar- states have led the way on legalizing marijuana, but keting and would oversee growing, processing and the victory in Michigan powerfully demonstrates the distribution. national reach of this movement.” A more productive alternative for the industry As we had forecast in December 2016, when we short of federal legalization would be to de-schedule made “Reefer Money Madness” a Top Trend for 2017, cannabis. Earlier in 2018, Senate Minority Leader with countries and municipalities worldwide ben- Chuck Schumer filed the Marijuana Freedom and efitting from the tax revenue cannabis generates, a Opportunity Act, which would decriminalize mari- 19 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019 there are currently 37 cannabis bills sitting in Congress waiting to be evaluated by the various congressional committees which would de-schedule cannabis and wipe cannabis crimes from federal records. juana and remove it from the Controlled Substances cludes former Republican governor of Massachusetts Act entirely. Other similar bills have been intro- Bill Weld. duced. Boehner’s turnabout, in particular, exemplifies why In fact, there are currently 37 cannabis bills sitting cannabis will be a big industry in 2019: It’s about the in Congress waiting to be evaluated by the various money to be made. congressional committees which would de-schedule cannabis and wipe cannabis crimes from federal re- BIG MONEY, BIG INDUSTRY cords. In fact, the global legal pot industry is expected to What is developing now is the end of the stigma reach $146 billion by end of 2025, according to Grand of supporting marijuana legalization for politicians View Research, Inc., and the explosion in expected on both sides of the aisle with the polls showing ma- revenue will create a booming job market. In the U.S. jority support with Democrats, Republicans, young alone, the industry is expected to create 250,000 jobs, and old people, and even former cannabis foes. For according to the research firm New Frontier Data. example, Republican Former Speaker of the House Job opportunities will cover a wide spectrum, in- and once stanch marijuana opponent John Boehner, cluding technology, product development, customer who is now “all in” and is currently on the advisory service, health care management and more. Zip board of a major marijuana company, which also in- Recruiter estimates that job growth stemming from both legal recreational and medical marijuana will outpace growth in the hottest job sectors, including health care and technology. Further, the 2018 Farm Bill, legalizing hemp culti- vation in all 50 states, passed the House of Represen- tatives in a 386-47 vote. The parallel hemp industry is now positioned to experience explosive growth, Medical Marijuana exceeding $22 billion by 2020. comes in many forms Already an $800 million industry, hemp products for many maladies and is progressively range from apparel, food, health and well being rem- becoming more edies to building materials. Moreover, in its many accessible wherever configurations, the natural fiber will be recognized as you may be living. a replacement for a wide range of synthetic materi- Shutterstock als, including plastics TJ TREND FORECAST In 2019, the cannabis industry breaks through, are added to the market, the demand for medical making the transition from a strong entrepre- marijuana is expected to increase multiple folds neurial and small business playing field to big over the forecast period. industry. Moreover, the increasing number of companies Medical marijuana is especially ripe for explo- operating in the marijuana market is expected to sive growth. bolster the quantity, quality and variety of prod- The number of conditions treated using medi- ucts that will further enhance and expand the cal marijuana is growing rapidly, as new patients consumer base. 20 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
TOP TRENDS 2019 SPECI 8 AL REPORT or more comfortable in, than real reality. Shutterstock Virtual reality is an environment many GenXers are as comfortable in, Blessed are the Geeks Blessed are the meek, for they shall inherit the Earth. Guess the King James Bible got it wrong. Must Mark Zuckerbergs of Geekworld, the only thing have been a typo. that’s changed in a generation is the color of their T- The Geeks, “a person that is socially awkward… a shirts…from black to blue. person of an intellectual bent that is disliked by oth- Not an ounce of boogie, not a drop of jive, they’re ers,” not the Meeks, have inherited the earth. stiff, dull, and predictable. Spiritless, they exude the The blessed Geeks have transformed every aspect energy of their hardware and software. of 21st century life, and it’s just the beginning. There Not only is there no Motown in Silicon Valley, is virtually no corner of human existence that has Geeks have replaced the soul of human musicians not been directly and powerfully affected by the and the voices that belted out songs with passion and Geek created techno-world. heart, with computerized programming that embod- Lacking style and grace, from the Steve Jobs to ies the passionless personalities they personify. 21 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019 of their world. They work, live and play in those spheres. Rather than trust themselves, they trust Amazon’s technol- ogy enabling Alexa to detect users’ physical, emo- tional, and behavioral states, and provide responses based on that information. For them, rather than designing their own future, how and where they live will be left to Alphabet that will devise and implement sensors and analytics to decide how tomorrow’s “smart cities” are built, run, and lived in. Perhaps most removed from thousands of years of human history, but soon to be mainstream and com- monplace, is technology that sets new standards for “imagination.” What you think, how you feel, what you believe, Geek culture has Across the spectrum, algorithms have replaced what you can imagine and aspire to means nothing created the phone heartbeats. The human emotion has been diluted. because Google Brain, Deep Mind and Nvidia AI sys- zombie, wandering tems will create and evolve ultra-realistic, computer Think for yourself has been lost to Geek control that the streets and public areas absorbed in their does the thinking, solves simple and complex prob- generated images and sounds to tell their own story, handheld oblivious to lems, educates, intellectualizes, sexualizes, drives ar- not yours. the world around them. tistic impulses and ultimately decides what’s worthy They will write their own script, create their own Shutterstock and relevant. characters, determine what emotions or thoughts they want to elicit and the best means to accomplish ANCIENT HISTORY that. They know what you want and they know bet- For nearly two generations, the Millennials and ter than you how to express it. Generation Z, it’s a new world order. Having been Today, the avalanche of VR/AI technology we fore- born into and growing up at the dawn of the Inter- cast in our Winter 2015 Trends Journal would soon net and techno-revolutions, they have no feeling, saturate public consciousness and become the norm, understanding or emotional connections to what is now the norm. the world looked like or how it functioned before the With studies showing since the iPhone was intro- Smartphone, Artificial Intelligence, Virtual Reality duced in 2007, and smartphones gained widespread and Alexa era. usage, the percentage of teens who reported having Thus, while the technology trend has been evolv- sex fell significantly, therefore, the future for sexbots ing for years, for the first time in history the mantle looks bright. is being handed off to a generation completely in and The human touch is dying. Long live the Geeks. TJ TREND FORECAST In 2019, the Blessed Geeks celebrate their overturn programs will become, in effect, virtual human of the human experience. The generation now beings; they’ll take tests, advance their knowledge entering adulthood, is primed to engage these fast- base through trial and error, perform complex evolving technologies across every aspect of their human functions and learn from their mistakes lives. and failures. Their AI/VR technologies will sweep industries, They’ll get degrees, honors and salutations households and governments worldwide. More along the way, and become motivated to become and more jobs will be replaced by robotics and AI more “human” as we become less human. 22 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
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