HSBC Asia Seminar for Investors and Analysts - Day 3 afternoon presentations - HSBC Group
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HSBC Asia Seminar for Investors and Analysts Important notice and forward-looking statements Important notice The information, statements and opinions set out in this presentation and subsequent discussion do not constitute a public offer for the purposes of any applicable law or an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to purchase any securities or other financial instruments or any advice or recommendation in respect of such securities or other financial instruments. The information contained in this presentation and subsequent discussion, which does not purport to be comprehensive nor render any form of financial or other advice, has been provided by HSBC Holdings plc and its subsidiaries (the “Group”) and has not been independently verified by any person. 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This presentation contains non-GAAP financial information. The primary non-GAAP financial measure we use is ‘adjusted performance’ which is computed by adjusting reported results for the period-on-period effects of foreign currency translation differences and significant items which distort period-on-period comparisons. Significant items are those items which management and investors would ordinarily identify and consider separately when assessing performance in order to better understand the underlying trends in the business. Reconciliations between non-GAAP financial measurements and the most directly comparable measures under GAAP are provided in the 2017 20-F and the Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures document which are both available at www.hsbc.com. Information in this presentation was prepared as at 6 April 2018.
HSBC Asia Seminar for Investors and Analysts Day 3 afternoon presentations Business Corridors, Belt and Road 03 ASEAN introduction, panel discussion and Q&A 20 Sustainable finance 35 Closing remarks 46 Appendix 49 Glossary 52
Business Corridors, Belt and Road 11 April 2018 Mukhtar Hussain Chief Executive Officer, Malaysia
Business Corridors, Belt and Road Agenda HSBC’s network – strength of the franchise Overview of the Belt and Road Initiative HSBC’s unique positioning as the “Go to Bank” for BRI
Business Corridors, Belt and Road: HSBC’s network – strength of the franchise Our global presence allows us access to c.90% of global trade and capital flows HSBC footprint Home Priority Network Rep office 67 countries and territories Our network covers 90 countries accounting for more than 90% of global GDP, trade and capital % flows Our international 50 > % network supports more than 50% of our client revenue Inter-connected global 4 businesses share balance sheets and liquidity in addition to strong commercial links 25 China desks 5
Business Corridors, Belt and Road: HSBC’s network – strength of the franchise Trade flows increasingly centred around Asia, helped by BRI Global 20 top trade corridors1 Key takeaways 2010 2030E 3x Further integration in ASEAN, USD10.0tn RCEP2, as well as the Belt and Road initiative are expected to USD6.5tn 14 deliver additional trade growth in USD4.0tn Asia USD2.1tn 12 Mainland China expects its annual Top 20 Asia at No. of Top 20 Asia at No. of trade with the more than 65 corridor value either end corridors corridor value either end corridors countries along the Belt and Road routes to surpass USD2.5 trillion 14 of Global 20 top trade corridors by 2030 will have Asia at either end1 in the next decade, up from about USDbn USD1 trillion in 20153 2010-30 8% 8% 9% 5% 20% 6% 12% 9% 3% 12% 9% 10% 6% 11% Activity arising from these corridors CAGR: 1,303 to drive urbanisation, which will 1,158 have a material impact on 640 regional economic growth 536 462 321 305 284 279 262 261 249 205 199 UAE USA India- India- China- HK China- USA China- China- China- Australia- China- China- USA China- USA Korea- Germany China Japan- Korea China- Japan India Malaysia Singapore Vietnam 1. Source: Oxford Economics 2. Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership accord is a mega-regional trade deal covering 16 countries in the Asia-Pacific region 3. Xi Jinping in 2015 Boao Forum, Xinhuanet, 29MAR15 6
Business Corridors, Belt and Road: HSBC’s network – strength of the franchise Majority of Group priority corridors are related to Asia, especially China Corridor performance in 2017 has grown three times the rate of GDP and Asia-Pacific growth HSBC Group priority corridors (not ranked in terms of revenue size) 1. China ↔ Hong Kong Comparison with selected 2. China ↔ United States market growth rates2: 3. China ↔ Germany Example on slide 9 4. China ↔ Australia 5. 6. China ↔ China ↔ India Singapore + 15%1 GDP growth 2017: 7. China ↔ Malaysia The top 17 Asia 8. China ↔ United Kingdom 9. China ↔ United Arab Emirates corridors have grown 15% Y-o-Y + 11%1 China 6.8% 10. China ↔ Canada vs. 4.4% Asia- 11. China ↔ Saudi Arabia pacific GDP The top 25 Hong Kong 3.7% 12. China ↔ France growth corridors have 13. Hong Kong ↔ United States grown 11% Y-o-Y India 6.7% 14. Hong Kong ↔ United Kingdom vs. 2.9% world 15. India ↔ United Kingdom GDP growth 16. India ↔ United Arab Emirates 17. India ↔ United States Real export growth 2017: 18. United Kingdom ↔ United States 19. Canada ↔ United States China 5.6% 20. Mexico ↔ United States 21. Germany ↔ United States Hong Kong 5.3% 22. Germany ↔ United Kingdom 23. France ↔ Germany India 3.4% 24. France ↔ United Kingdom 25. Saudi Arabia ↔ United States 1. Growth rates exclude FIG 2. HSBC Global Research 7
Business Corridors, Belt and Road: HSBC’s network – strength of the franchise BRI is a part of our execution of the business corridors strategy Asia’s international revenue growth is led by mainland …with top growth areas of China outbound coming China…. from countries along the Belt and Road USDbn, 20171 Y-o-Y growth (%) Y-o-Y growth (%), 2017 Asia inbound from Saudi Arabia 16 other Regions 13% Vietnam 12 Asia outbound to other Regions 13% UAE 10 Indonesia 8 Intra-Asia 8% Singapore 4 BRI Country Asia-ex China China on one side of the corridor 1. HSBC data 8
Business Corridors, Belt and Road: HSBC’s network – strength of the franchise A business corridor offers multi-faceted opportunities for a universal bank: a case study – Australia and China Business corridor: two-way flows Market trends HSBC response / action Mainland China is Australia’s top trading partner with c.AUD155 bn trade volume1; however with tariffs declining for many goods & services due Gaining ground in cross-border transaction Goods & services to the ChAFTA2 DEC15 banking, especially for the middle-market8 1 trade Mainland China is a major consumer of hard Recently hired an agri-business specialist to and soft commodities e.g. taking over half of iron target this sector and aluminium exports where Australia is the world’s #1 and #4 exporter, respectively3 Supporting recent expansion of Australian pharma and med-tech companies in China Mainland China securing access to as well as Chinese acquisition of a private infrastructure technology and mineral resources healthcare services provider via M&A 2 Capital flows Mainland China’s 5 year plan in upgrading With a retail branch network and Global technology across many sectors, including Premier online platform, HSBC has been healthcare4 growing the RBWM business in Australia. Australia had c.1.4m tourists from China in Strengthened collaboration between RBWM 2017, up by 12% Y-o-Y5 referrals from China to Australia; develop Higher education continues to be a strategic the China Australia Mortgage proposition sector with strong demand seen from mainland 3 Wealth flows China into Australia - up to 38% of total international students6 Introduced the ‘Significant Investment Visa’ migration scheme during 2012-137 1. Source: Australian Government Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade 2. China Australia Free Trade Agreement 3. HSBC Research; Australia Dept. of Industry, Innovation and Science reports on Aluminium (Dec 2016) and Iron (Dec 2016) 4. The State Council, The People’s Republic of China 5. Tourism Australia 6. Australia Gov Statistics - Based on government statistics, as at DEC17, international students studying Higher education from China made up 38% of total international students 7. Australia Gov 8. East & Partners 19FEB18 HSBC Bank Australia is gaining ground among the middle-market as a preferred transaction banking (TB) provider, as Corporates seek out Cross-Border Payment and International TB capabilities, new 9 research from East & Partners shows. Over the last five years, HSBC expanded its primary relationship transaction banking market share among the Corporate (annual turnover of AUD20-725 million) segment by 17%
Business Corridors, Belt and Road: HSBC’s network – strength of the franchise Case study: HSBC’s ability to support China outbound: Australia China Communications Construction Co. Ltd (CCCC) is a long-standing GB customer of more than HSBC demonstrated strong international 25 years. Key products provided to this group include GLCM, GTRF, GM, C&L, DCM, Project structuring capability by providing a global Finance and ECM financing solution given the cross-border nature HSBC supported CCCC with its 100% acquisition of John Holland Group Pty of the transaction The transaction represented one of the largest China outbound cross-border acquisitions into HSBC further strengthened itself as a key Australia and the largest single investment for CCCC banking partner to CCCC through this CCCC is a leading A&H dual listed company mainly engaging in design and construction of transaction. HSBC is well-positioned to leverage transportation infrastructure, dredging and heavy machinery manufacturing business its global network and strong connectivity among various product groups to support John Holland is one of Australia’s leading engineering, contracting and services providers to CCCC’s future financing needs infrastructure, energy, resources and transport services sectors 2015 2016 2017 CCCC’s acquisition of CCCC’s acquisition of GLCM provider John Holland Bonding Capital Metro PPP, Host to Host Upcoming NSW PPP John Holland Group John Holland Group Facility ACT Connectivity Project AUD1.1bn AUD1bn AUD1bn AUD633m AUD4bn APR15 APR15 JUL15 MAY16 MAY16 SEP16 2018 HSBC acted as HSBC acted as HSBC was Mandated HSBC acted as HSBC acted as HSBC implemented HSBC looking to Mandated Lead Mandated Lead as John Holland’s Mandated Lead Mandated Lead Host to Host provide PPP Project Arranger for CCCC’s Arranger and offshore GLCM partner Arranger for the Arranger, Lender and Connectivity across all Finance and USD1.1bn bridge loan Bookrunner for John bank. New account extension and reduction Hedge Provider on the countries to automate Receivable Financing to facility in support of its Holland’s AUD1.0bn 3- subsequently opened in in pricing of John AUD633m project connectivity between support CCCC in its bid 100% acquisition of year syndicated Singapore, Malaysia Holland’s AUD1bn financing for the John Holland and John Holland Group Pty performance bond to and New Zealand bonding facility AUD713m Capital HSBC support John Holland Metro PPP in the ACT, post acquisition to Australia. John Holland replace bonding lines was 30% equity available under provider drawn under Leighton Holding’s facilities in the acquisition 10
Business Corridors, Belt and Road: Overview of the Belt and Road Initiative HSBC is well-positioned to capture BRI opportunities Belt and Road Initiative is made up of “The Silk Road Economic Belt” and “The 21st Century Maritime Silk Road” Seek to connect > 65 countries across Asia, Middle East, Africa and Europe, c.30% of global GDP and 63% of world population 1 By improving the global infrastructure and network connectivity, mainland China can better facilitate international trade and development Mainland China’s trade with countries along the Belt and Road is expected to surpass USD2.5trn by 2025 2 BRI countries with HSBC presence BRI countries with HSBC presence and dedicated China Desk Committed funding by multinationals / policy banks3 Agency Capital (USDbn) CDB 890 AIIB 100 SRF 55 NDB 50 CHEXIM 19 1. China Development Bank 2. Xi Jinping in 2015 Boao Forum, Xinhuanet, 29MAR15 3. CDB: China Development Bank; AIIB: Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank; SRF: Silk Road Fund’; NDB: New Development Bank; CHEXIM: Export-Import Bank of China 11
Business Corridors, Belt and Road: Overview of the Belt and Road Initiative Initial opportunities arising from BRI will be focused on significant infrastructure investments… USD26tn (USD1.7tn p.a.) of infra-structure investments forecasted to 20301 in Asia HSBC strengths in infrastructure projects Infrastructure investment, by sub-region HSBC provides a full suite of investment banking services, including advisory East Asia and financing solutions to our clients in the infrastructure sector 12% South Asia 2% Southeast Asia 0% Infrastructure and Real Estate Group (IRG) leads HSBC’s infrastructure 24% coverage and has over 200 personnel globally in key hubs, including London, Central Asia 61% New York, Hong Kong, Singapore, Paris and Dubai The Pacific HSBC’s expertise is well recognised in the industry and was awarded ‘Best BRI bank’ (AsiaMoney) and ‘Best Financial Adviser Asia Pacific’ (Infrastructure Journal 2017) Forecast investment spend to 2030 USDtn2 Notable transactions Indonesia 2.7 Jul 2017 France Apr 2017 China Phillipines 0.9 Thailand 0.8 Malaysia 0.7 EUR375m USD5bn Financial Adviser to China Multi-tranche bond offering Singapore 0.7 Eastern Airlines on its acquisition of a 10% stake in Joint Global Coordinator, Vietnam 0.7 Air France-KLM Sole Rating Adviser, Joint Lead Manager, Joint Others 0.5 Sole Financial Adviser Bookrunner 1. ADB estimate. Climate adjusted estimate. Without climate change mitigation and adaptation costs, USD22.6tn will be needed, or USD1.5tn per year (baseline estimate). Definitions and source data are different to those shown in the Sustainable Finance presentation 2. Source: Mckinsey “Southeast Asia at the crossroads: Three paths to prosperity” 12 3. For 25 economies with adequate data, comprising 96% of the region’s population. 4. The difference between investment needs and current investment levels
Business Corridors, Belt and Road HSBC infrastructure capabilities HSBC provides a full suite of HSBC offers comprehensive infrastructure solutions Notable transactions investment banking services, Dec 2017 UK Jul 2017 France including advisory and Infrastructure Broad knowledge of the industry and in-depth financing solutions to our understanding of the business through our dedicated Advisory Power & Utilities teams clients in the infrastructure sector Strategic direction lead for each sub-sector globally GBP555m EUR375m Renewables International network providing M&A advisory and Acquisition of 30% stake in Dudgeon Financial Adviser to China Eastern IRG Group leads HSBC’s Transport, Services & capital market solutions to our clients offshore wind farm from Statkraft Airlines on its acquisition of a 10% Logistics stake in Air France-KLM infrastructure coverage and has over 200 personnel Infrastructure Acquisition globally in key hubs, including Sole Financial Adviser Sole Financial Adviser London, New York, Hong Structured Bonds HSBC has a track-record of providing value-added Kong, Singapore, Paris and advisory and arranging financing through volatile markets Jun 2017 Indonesia Apr 2017 China Dubai Rating Advisory Bankers are product agnostic providing advice on best HSBC’s expertise is well Project Finance solution be it loan, bond or private placement Financing Solutions recognized in the industry: Ability to provide balance sheet to support clients Debt Advisory including underwritten and club solutions USD29.2m USD5bn #3 APAC Financial HSBC has one of the largest global Export Finance Sinosure supported facility for the Multi-tranche bond offering Export Finance Advisor for infrastructure teams of any commercial bank procurement of a 1x55MW coal-fired power Finance 20171 Debt Capital Markets Ability to arrange Export Credit Agencies (ECAs) Coordinating Bank, Mandated Lead Joint Global Coordinator, Sole Rating #2 APAC Bond Arranger supported facilities across diverse business sectors Arranger, Facility and Security Agent Adviser, Joint Lead Manager, Joint worldwide with all the major ECAs, with a particularly Provider Bookrunner for infrastructure Equity Capital Markets strong presence in arranging Sinosure-supported finance 20171 facilities Aviation Finance Jan 2017 Sri Lanka Sep 2016 Indonesia #1 Airports M&A Single global team to ensure common / integrated client Advisor 2005 - 20171 Maritime Finance pitching Best overall international bank for the Belt and Green Bond USD44m Sinosure Facility USD1.8bn Road Initiative Global Markets HSBC has infrastructure experts in Global Markets, Financing for the runway overlay and Jawa 7 2x1000MW IPP solutions associated works at Bandaranaike PT Shenhua Guohua Pembangkitan Global Trade Receivable Financing (GTRF) and Global Other International Airport in Katunayake, Sri Jawa Bali; China Shenhua won the bid Global Trade Liquidity and Cash Management (GLCM) Lanka on this project Receivable Financing Ability to provide Global markets, GTRF and GLCM Sole Arranger, Agent and Security Transaction Advisor to PLN Global Liquidity and Agent Source: IJGlobal, Dealogic solutions to support infrastructure transactions Cash Management 1. League table ranking by deal value 13
Business Corridors, Belt and Road: Overview of the Belt and Road Initiative …the projects create further opportunities In addition to the immediate opportunities, there is tremendous potential for spillover benefits Financial services required by participants in the immediate supply chain associated with a project Project development will also create local demand for upstream / construction-related materials and services Completed projects and enhanced connectivity will stimulate commercial / tourism development Follow on opportunities include Residential Development Commercial Development New transport routes are a Enhanced connectivity boosts catalyst for new community relative attractiveness of sites for development commercial / industrial users Logistics Development Local economic multiplier Improved connectivity will Infrastructure projects will impact business location and stimulate local economy – supply chain decisions generating increased local economic activity 14
Business Corridors, Belt and Road: HSBC’s unique positioning as the “Go to Bank” for BRI Using the international network and universal banking model, HSBC can help clients of all sizes to participate in BRI opportunities Geographic spread Product breadth Customer depth • HSBC’ global coverage is aligned with BRI • HSBC’s products offering provides • HSBC’s differentiated proposition territories one-stop holistic solutions for our • HSBC has set up 25 China desks1 around the customers world and is the international bank with the largest onshore network in China Global Global Liquidity & Banking Securities Cash Services Management Large Corporates Global Insurance & Trade & Receivables Mid Market Investments Finance Corporates Corporate & Business Banking Hedging (FX, Project Upper Interest rate) Lending M&A ECM Business Banking Mass DCM Retail Business Banking HSBC has a unique competitive position 1. China Desk locations: Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, UK, USA, UAE, Germany, France, Poland, Luxembourg, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Macau, Thailand, India, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Sri Lanka, Canada, Argentina, Mexico, South Africa, Mauritius. 15
Business Corridors, Belt and Road: Overview of the Belt and Road Initiative Increased trade flows from improved network connectivity and China’s BRI policies will facilitate more RMB usage Improved network connectivity across Belt and Road (BR) routes and mainland China’s trade and investment focus in key BRI countries will lead to increased usage of RMB as a trade, payment and financing currency 70% of corporates surveyed agreed that the BRI would have a positive impact on RMB usage in the future1 With RMB now the 3rd trade finance and 5th payment currency globally, China continues to improve offshore RMB infrastructure in partner countries and through its RMB Cross-border International Payments System (CIPS) RMB usage along BR and within AIIB China’s trade in RMB3 50% In 2017, China’s trade with countries along BR was 27% of its total trade at USD7.4tn2 In 2017, 12% of China’s total trade was conducted in RMB3. By 2020, HSBC estimates 4x that China will conduct 50% of its trade in RMB 26% 22% Of the 24 RMB clearing banks globally, 18 countries / territories are along the BR 17% 12% 12% 8% Of the 254 markets with active RMB swap lines (c. >RMB2.2tn), 22 are along the BR Most of China’s top trade partners are using RMB or have RMB clearing banks 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2020F 1. HSBC RMB Internationalisation Survey 2017; Ministry of Commerce; 3. PBOC, % trade settled 4. 36 foreign central banks have signed RMB swap lines, including 11 expired swap lines; 5. CEIC goods trade, not including services; 6. SAFE; 7. HKMA, MAS, Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan), City of London, BOK; 8. European Central Bank 16
Business Corridors, Belt and Road: HSBC’s unique positioning as the “Go to Bank” for BRI HSBC can reach all the business opportunities around a single BRI project proposal Clients’ needs / product opportunities over the Project’s life cycle Project Project t • Int’l & local Owner Ministry of Finance (MoF) Funding (loan / bonds) procurers Ministry of Transport (MoT) • Financial & structuring depending on Advice markets / Full Government Agencies • Hedging Central Bank currency required Coverage The Project’s Ecosystem ProjectCo International Bidder A Bidder B Bidder C • Financial Advisory International Global Bidders / investors • Intro to local partner banks’ scope network Investors partnering with • Bid & Perf. bonds • Funding (loan / bonds) local large Expertise in • Hedging (IRS, FX) Company advising and financing of Lead Large International • Performance bonds infrastructure contractors • Receivable financing Full & local • Payable financing Infrastructure Deliver both Coverage • Working Capital Local companies event and • Hedging (FX) banks recurrent flow Sub Mid-size local Infrastructure products Contractor / & logistics companies • Performance bonds suppliers • Receivable financing • Working Capital Real Estate International & Local real estate • Funding (loan / bonds) Companies investors and builders • Performance bonds • Trade financing • Working Capital 17
Business Corridors, Belt and Road Summary of recent examples of HSBC supporting Chinese clients going outbound Supply Initial Initial event Risk chain advisory financing management support China to Australia Mandated Lead Arranger for CCCC US$1.1bn bridge loan facility in support of its 100% acquisition of John Holland Group Pty Mandated Lead Arranger, and Hedge Provider on the A$633m project financing for Capital Metro PPP in the ACT Mandated as John Holland’s offshore GLCM partner bank. Mandated Lead Arranger for the extension and reduction in pricing of John Holland’s A$1bn bonding facility China to France Sole Financial Adviser for China Eastern Airlines to acquire 10% stake in Air France KLM. CEA financed its stake acquisition through pledging of AFK and CEA (H-shares) shares owned by CEA, where HSBC further assisted to ensure successful closing in Oct 2017 China to UK Sole Financial adviser to the China Resources Consortium for the purchase consideration of c.£555m for the 30% equity stake in Dudgeon Holdings Limited (“Dudgeon“) China to Sri Lanka Sole Arranger, Agent and Security Agent for the financing of runway overlay and associated works at Bandaranaike International Airport in Katunayake, Sri Lanka. China to Bangladesh Mandated Lead Arranger, Coordinating Arranger, Lender, Facility Agent and Security Agent, LC Issuing Bank, Account Bank for the USD 333m financing package for the re-powering of the 210MW Ghorasal 3rd Unit involving a Swiss-Chinese consortium, comprising General Electric (ex- Alstom) and China National Machinery Import & Export Corporation (“CMC”) China to Switzerland Lead Financial Adviser for ChemChina on its full cash tender offer for Syngenta, the Swiss listed world leader in crop protection, valued at USD46bn 18
Business Corridors, Belt and Road BRI is a significant long-term growth theme that will help trade, FDI and wealth flows across the region (and globally) 1 BRI opportunities not limited to infrastructure, but also adjacent project opportunities, and downstream opportunities 2 2017 Asian loan growth of 14%1, and 15% revenue growth for the top 17 HSBC Asian corridors highlights early evidence of BRI benefits starting to accrue 3 BRI reaffirms our existing Business Corridor strategy 4 HSBC well-positioned to be the “go to” bank for BRI Product capability allows to service the customer needs throughout the project lifecycle Our presence in BRI countries combined with our customer base (SME – Large multinational corporates) means that we are able to service multiple participants of a single project Customer / industry has recognised our ability to finance BRI opportunities 1. Adjusted basis - same definition as shown in the HSBC Holdings plc 4Q17 results slides published on 20 February 2018 19
ASEAN 11 April 2018 Matthew Lobner Head of International, Asia-Pacific and Head of Strategy and Planning, Asia-Pacific Tony Cripps Chief Executive Officer, Singapore Mukhtar Hussain Chief Executive Officer, Malaysia Sumit Dutta Chief Executive Officer, Indonesia
ASEAN Agenda ASEAN introduction Opportunities arising from ASEAN integration and HSBC’s position Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia: Country overview and HSBC priorities Clients’ view of ASEAN and HSBC’s structure to support their needs Summary 21
ASEAN: Introduction Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) 10 Countries, Combined GDP of USD2.7tn1,2, population of c.650 Population1 GDP1,2 million1 and trade of USD2.2tn1,3 Trade1,3 Priority markets 68m Other presence Lao PDR4 Cambodia 95m USD423bn Myanmar USD223bn USD399bn USD372bn Thailand Vietnam 31m 104m USD293bn USD333bn Philippines USD315bn Malaysia Brunei Singapore USD127bn 264m 5.8m USD1.0tn USD304bn Indonesia USD295bn USD696bn As a single entity, ASEAN ranks as world’s seventh largest economy and is expected to become fourth largest by 20305. 1. Source: Global Insight; 2017 data 4. Lao People's Democratic Republic 2. Nominal GDP 5. Source: Global Insight 3. Trade = Exports + Imports 22
ASEAN: Introduction ASEAN: Journey towards integration ASEAN established Announced creation ASEAN pushes ASEAN to grow at a rapid pace, to promote of ASEAN for deeper trade supported by planned initiatives to collaboration, Economic liberalisation increase connectivity / integration peace and stability Community (AEC) TPP-111 agreed among members by 2015 for regional RCEP2 in final Increased investment in infrastructure economic integration to support intra-ASEAN physical negotiations connectivity (e.g. Singapore Kunming Rail Link, ASEAN Highway Network project) 1967 1977-2003 2007 2010-15 2015-18 Growth in trade driven by further reduction in tariffs and other trade- distorting measures (e.g. further strengthening of ATIGA) 1977: ASEAN Preferential 2010: ASEAN Trade in Goods Greater mobility of skilled labour in the Trade Agreement Agreement (ATIGA) region (e.g. enhanced commitments 1992: ASEAN Free Trade Area 2012: ASEAN Comprehensive under Agreement on Movement of Investment Agreement Natural Persons) 1995: ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services 2014: ASEAN Bank Integration Framework Deeper regional financial integration to 1997: Adopted ASEAN Vision help accelerate economic development 2015: AEC formally 2020 (e.g. ASEAN Banking Integration established; AEC Blueprint 2003: Declared formation of 2025 was adopted Framework) AEC 1. TPP11: Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership 2. RCEP: Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership 23
ASEAN: Opportunities arising from ASEAN integration and HSBC’s position Opportunities arising from ASEAN integration Integration to accelerate economic expansion and wealth creation across ASEAN Key opportunities Estimated infrastructure and real estate investment, Growth of investment and corporate banking, 2014-301,2, USDtn arising from: Infra- 2.7 0.9 ASEAN based businesses expanding across structure 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 ASEAN to improve competitiveness through needs M&A, JVs, and upgrading regional supply chains Indonesia Philippines Thailand Malaysia Singapore Vietnam MNCs outside ASEAN setting up regional HQs within ASEAN to capture opportunities across the ASEAN trade3, USDtn Exports bloc Imports +7.3%4 Acceleration of infrastructure investments to 5.6 Trade enhance regional integration, supported by the growth 2.2 2.9 Belt and Road Initiative 1.2 2.7 1.0 Growth of transaction banking, arising from: 2017 2030F Lowering of trade tariffs and barriers to further ASEAN per capita GDP3, USD'000 increase in trade flows 2.6x Growth of offshore wealth and individual Wealth international banking needs, arising from: creation 11.0 4.2 Ease of labour movement / travel throughout ASEAN 2017 2030F 1. Source: Southeast Asia at the crossroads - Three paths to prosperity (McKinsey, 2014) 2. ID: Indonesia; PH: Philippines; TH: Thailand; MY: Malaysia; SG: Singapore; VN: Vietnam 3. Source: Global Insight 24 4. 2017-30 CAGR
ASEAN: Opportunities arising from ASEAN integration and HSBC’s position HSBC well-positioned to capture ASEAN opportunities xx Year of establishing HSBC presence 200 Priority markets branches Other presence 10,000 For c.150 years, HSBC has corporate clients played an active role in development of economies 20,000 and infrastructure of ASEAN countries SME clients At scale / near-scale 2,500,000 positions in three of the largest markets retail clients Presence in other key 15,000 markets – Vietnam, Thailand, Philippines CAGR staff 2016 trade1 2016-30 Ability to capture both flows: USDbn intra-ASEAN and ASEAN c.88% of ASEAN’s trade is with with Rest of World / Asia Intra-ASEAN 153 9% rest of Asia / World. HSBC’s global network hence puts us Strong onshore franchise ASEAN-Rest of Asia 692 9% in a strong position against with fully functional RBWM, regional / local banks1 CMB and GB&M in key ASEAN countries ASEAN-Rest of World2 404 7% 1. Export + Import; Source: Oxford Economics 2. Rest of World Ex-Asia 25
ASEAN: Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia: Country overview and HSBC priorities Country overview: Singapore (1/2) Country highlights Real GDP1, USDbn Strong fundamentals AAA credit rating from three ratings 2.1%2 2.3%2 agencies 323 USD0.7tn of One of world’s most connected economies6 289 302 Infra- investment Leading international financial centre GDP structure estimated between Largest FX centre in Asia; 3rd largest 2014-20304 globally7 Expected to become the second largest 2015 2017 2020F offshore wealth centre globally by 20205 Centre of ASEAN finance and commerce World-leading hub for container Trade3, USDbn Offshore wealth5, USDtn transhipment, connecting ASEAN to the Exports Imports xx CAGR (2016-21E) world Fastest growing international 2/3rd of project financing in ASEAN is 5.7%2 1.4%2 wealth centre arranged out of Singapore8 820 3% 8% 7% Hub for regional headquarters Trade 676 696 Wealth 454 2.4 Around 7,000 MNCs in Singapore with 380 393 1.2 c.60% having regional responsibilities9 0.8 366 Becoming the financial conduit linking 297 303 mainland China, ASEAN and the rest of the Switzer- Singa- Hong world 2015 2017 2020F land pore Kong 1. 2010 USD basis; Source: Global Insight 6. Source: McKinsey Global Institute Connectedness Index, 2016 2. CAGR 7. Source: Bank for International Settlements (BIS) 3. Source: Global Insight 8. Source: Singapore – Asia’s infrastructure hub, Monetary Authority of Singapore & 26 4. Source: Southeast Asia at the crossroads - Three paths to prosperity (McKinsey, 2014) International Enterprise Singapore 5. Source: Global Wealth 2017, Transforming the Client Experience (BCG) 9. Source: Cushman & Wakefield (2016)
ASEAN: Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia: Country overview and HSBC priorities Country overview: Singapore (2/2) HSBC performance highlights1, 2017 Contribution by global business Revenue PBT Loans and advances to USDm customers (net) Revenue 1,174 44% 42% 34% 12% 6% 7% 12% PBT 463 17% 20% 14% 20% 31% 26% 15% USDbn RBWM CMB GB&M GPB Corp Centre Loans and advances to Strategic priorities 28 customers (net) Continue to build regional product and coverage expertise to capture opportunities from Singapore’s role as a regional hub Customer 41 Capture infrastructure / BRI opportunity accounts Capture international flows from key business corridors Grow domestic retail and private banking business, enabled by digital and multi-channel capabilities Key ratios (2017) Scale up international wealth centre to capture greater share of wealth flows CER 61% LICs / loans +0.03%2 Be the ‘go-to’ financial advisor and industry thought leader for sustainable finance 1. All financials are on reported basis 2. The ratio is positive due to net loan recoveries 27
ASEAN: Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia: Country overview and HSBC priorities Country overview: Malaysia (1/2) Country highlights Real GDP1, USDbn Strong and enduring economic fundamentals Forecast GDP growth at c.5% p.a. through to 4.7%2 20203 4.2%2 411 Middle and upper middle class expected to be 330 358 USD0.7tn of more than 80% of population by 20205 Infra- investment Regional centre of excellence for Islamic GDP structure estimated Banking between 2014- Growing as a major regional hub 20304 Over 3,600 MNCs with global and regional representative offices. Further c.1,400 MNCs 2015 2017 2020F with an operating presence6 Well-developed infrastructure. 18th position globally on ease of doing business6 Trade3, USDbn Per capita GDP3, Cost competitive, ranking 212th most expensive USD'000 destination in the world7 (Singapore ranked 24th) Exports Imports Young, educated and cost effective workforce 2.6x (median age of population is c.28 years)8 +6.7% +1.5% 24.6 Strong diplomatic, cultural and commercial 404 Wealth relations with mainland China, linking it with Trade 323 333 ASEAN creation 220 9.4 176 180 Over 30 inter-governmental MOUs signed 9 major Chinese corporates set up regional 148 152 184 centers in Malaysia in the last 24 months 2017 2030F Aggressive investment in ports and rail links in 2015 2017 2020F Malaysia under BRI 1. 2010 USD basis; Source: Global Insight 5. Source: Capitalizing on Asia’s Booming Upper Middle Class (BCG, 2016) 2. CAGR 6. Source: Kuala Lumpur, Asia’s regional headquarters hub (EY, 2016); Malaysian Investment Development Authority (MIDA) 3. Source: Global Insight 7. Source: Cost of Living survey published by ECA International 28 4. Source: Southeast Asia at the crossroads - Three paths to prosperity (McKinsey, 2014) 8. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia
ASEAN: Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia: Country overview and HSBC priorities Country overview: Malaysia (2/2) HSBC performance highlights1, 2017 Contribution by global business Revenue PBT Loans and advances to customers (net) USDm 50% 27% 16% 34% Revenue 836 15% 9% 44% 17% 21% 40% PBT 325 26% RBWM CMB GB&M Corp Centre USDbn Strategic priorities Loans and Build coverage and product expertise to capture opportunities advances to from growing numbers of MNCs using or transferring to Malaysia 14 as their regional operating hub, especially from mainland China customers (net) Leverage early leadership in BRI investment flows, capturing Customer both event and the flow opportunities 14 Capturing opportunities from key business corridors including accounts mainland China, intra-ASEAN and Japan Grow Retail, leveraging propositions in Cards and Wealth. Key ratios (2017) Invest in digital to enhance competitive positioning Leverage Malaysia’s international capital markets leadership in Shariah compliant financial services. Build out Shariah CER 56% LICs / loans (0.32)% compliant personal financial services to capture the rapid growth in this sector 1. All financials are on reported basis 29
ASEAN: Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia: Country overview and HSBC priorities Country overview: Indonesia (1/2) Country highlights Real GDP1, USDbn Strong economic fundamentals and demographics 5.3%2 5.0%2 ASEAN’s largest economy. Expected to become 1,272 the 7th largest (by GDP) globally by 20303 1,090 USD2.7tn of Assigned Investment Grade Credit rating by all 988 Infra- investment major rating agencies in 2017 GDP structure estimated 4th most populous country with a young between 2014-304 population (median age of population is c.28 years)5 GDP growth fuelled by strong domestic demand, 2015 2017 2020F supported by a growing middle class. Middle and upper middle class expected to be more than 50% of the population by 2020 (37% in 2015)6 Trade3, USDbn Per capita GDP3, Growing trade flows Exports Imports USD'000 Trade to grow at c.10% CAGR between 2017- 20203, with mainland China and Singapore as 3.2x +10.0% leading partners, driven by commodities exports7 +1.9% 12.3 Investments in infrastructure 393 Wealth Trade 284 295 creation Requires USD2.7tn in infrastructure and real 205 estate investment (between 2014 and 2030) to 149 157 3.9 support growth, the most in ASEAN4 135 138 188 Currently ongoing / planned projects amount to c.USD300bn, expected to be supported by 2017 2030F 2015 2017 2020F funding from private sector and BRI6 1. 2010 USD basis; Source: Global Insight 5. Source: Global Insight; IMF 2. CAGR 6. Source: Capitalizing on Asia’s Booming Upper Middle Class (BCG, 2016) 3. Source: Global Insight 7. Source: Oxford Economics, HSBC Trade Connections 30 4. Source: Southeast Asia at the crossroads - Three paths to prosperity (McKinsey, 2014) 8. Source: Natixis
ASEAN: Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia: Country overview and HSBC priorities Country overview: Indonesia (2/2) HSBC performance highlights1, 2017 Contribution by global business Revenue PBT Loans and advances USDm to customers (net) 1% Revenue 564 7% 54% 8% 27% 19% 24% 17% PBT 180 -13% 72% 42% 42% USDbn RBWM CMB GB&M Corp Centre Loans and advances to Strategic priorities 4 customers Leverage our international network to maximise opportunities (net) across key Business Corridors, including mainland China, Customer intra-ASEAN, US, UK & Germany 4 accounts Capture infrastructure opportunity (including BRI) to drive growth Invest in digital to scale up Retail business Key ratios (2017) Grow liabilities across businesses to support asset growth CER 56% LICs / loans (1.6)% Strengthen and grow local corporate and SME relationships across the top cities to capture growth in domestic businesses 1. All financials are on reported basis 31
ASEAN Client viewpoints: illustrating HSBC’s ability to support MNCs expand into ASEAN and ASEAN clients expand within and outside ASEAN 1 2 3 Expansion opportunity beyond home An attractive location to set up a Strategic location for regional country in ASEAN manufacturing base business hubs Indonesian Group, aiming to establish Large manufacturer in mainland China, Dutch marine engineering firm, with a strong footprint in Asian markets, expanding production sites in ASEAN, regional sales and finance hub in including ASEAN with regional sales hub in Malaysia Singapore Large group in resin distribution and Vertically integrated knitwear Operates in over 50 countries, consumer packaging business manufacturer, headquartered in Hong including 6 locations in ASEAN Has expanded across 7 countries in Kong, with most of the production in HSBC is providing the client with a mainland China Asia (5 in ASEAN) regional cash management solution Actively expanding production in to centralise its cash position Has strong conviction in ASEAN’s Cambodia and Vietnam to mitigate across Asia and Netherlands growth potential, looking to expand in rising costs in mainland China and for the remaining ASEAN countries Obtained the mandate by delivering an better access to the attractive ASEAN innovative liquidity management Considers HSBC as the best partner market solution and close cooperation to help in its expansion, with its Have set up their regional sales hub between HSBC teams in experience and international network in Labuan (Malaysia) Netherlands and Singapore HSBC Indonesia supports the client HSBC supports the client by funding Demonstrates HSBC’s transaction with trade facilities, FX hedging and capital expenditure in Vietnam and banking capabilities and ability to cash management. Client also banks providing GLCM services in Labuan, support a corporate globally with HSBC in Malaysia, Singapore, where the collections are centralised Australia, and New Zealand 32
ASEAN Structure to enable focus on ASEAN opportunities Indonesia Malaysia Singapore Philippines Thailand Vietnam Strong onshore presence and coverage enhanced by regional capabilities International wealth centre in 1 Regional coverage 2 Product specialists 3 Singapore 1. Clients’ view of ASEAN andHSBC’s structure to support their needs 33
ASEAN HSBC well positioned to capture opportunities across ASEAN Well positioned to capture opportunities across ASEAN… 1 Deep heritage across key ASEAN markets At scale / near-scale positions in three of the largest markets Well positioned to support strong economic Presence in other markets – Vietnam, Thailand and Philippines fundamentals in ASEAN markets, further bolstered by ongoing integration 2 Ability to capture wealth, investment and trade flows intra-ASEAN and activities between ASEAN with Rest of World / Asia 3 Strong onshore franchise with full coverage, supported by regional capabilities 34
Sustainable finance 11 April 2018 Daniel Klier Group Head of Strategy and Global Head of Sustainable Finance
Sustainable Finance Sustainability and HSBC’s approach to ESG1 Sustainability at HSBC HSBC’s approach From climate change to Support the global transition to the low-carbon economy, wealth equality and job Environmental through our own sustainable operations and by supporting our security, the challenges to customers with their transition today's global economy are unprecedented in nature We have robust climate-related risk management covering In this changing environment, sensitive sectors, such as energy, palm oil and forestry HSBC is committed to develop the skills, business innovation and low-carbon Foster a customer and employee centric approach to our solutions to secure long-term Social business prosperity for all Focus on diversity and inclusion of our workforce, and strive to Our sustainability approach put the customer at the heart of everything we do focuses on three main areas: Support the transition to a low carbon economy Enable sustainable supply chains and entrepreneurship Governance Maintain high standards of governance across all geographies Provide communities, Committed to protecting our customers and communities customers and employees with skills to succeed in the through our Financial Crime Risk management and cyber future security diligence 1. Environment, Social and Governance 36
Sustainable Finance Pathway to achieve Paris Agreement is challenging; speed of change is accelerating Material reduction in carbon emissions required to deliver Paris Agreement1 …and stakeholders have already taken actions Carbon emissions Carbon budget to combat climate change France and UK to ban sale of new gigatonnes of carbon gigatonnes of carbon petrol and diesel cars by 2040 China cancelled plans of more than 100 Government 3,000 coal power plants early 2017 California to receive all of its power from renewable energy by 2045 Investors demand reports from big O&G companies on possible impact of 1,720 global warming policies on business Investors 1,480 HSBC research shows that 68% of 1,300 investors plan to increase their 1,000 climate-related investment 550 A global O&G company is investing in 400 renewables for their power generation and installing charging stations at petrol stations Carbon Emissions Emissions >50% >66% >50% >66% A multinational utility company stored in at current with existing chance of chance of chance of chance of Corporates pledged to dispose EUR15bn in assets known fossil run rate commitments achieving achieving achieving achieving to reinvest into low-carbon, distributed- reserves this goal this goal this goal this goal energy projects A global Original Equipment 2oC world 1.5oC world Manufacturer will produce only electric (Paris Agreement) or hybrid cars from 2019 onwards 1. Source: Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change, UCL, HSBC calculations, until 2050 37
Sustainable Finance Over USD100tn investment in infrastructure in the next 15 years is required globally under 2 degree scenario, c.50% will be in Asia Global infrastructure investment needed in the next 15 years for a 66% chance of 2°C1 USD trillion, 2016-2030 103.5 100% 16.5 c.50% of total investment will be in 29% Mainland China Asia, especially 9.0 emerging Asia India 15.0 6% Other emerging Further areas of 6% Asia investment: 9.0 7% Developed Asia Energy 2% Power / electricity 7% Africa 13.5 Transport 5% Latin America Banking Revenue pool in next 15 Middle East Mainland China’s BRI years3: 22% US and Canada will further drive >USD5tn global investment and 40.5 trade, especially in the Asia-Pacific 16% Europe region Transport Water & Telecoms Power and Primary Energy 2016-2030 By region2 sanitation electricity energy demand/ Total transmission/ supply efficiency distribution chain 1. OECD, IEA, Investing in Climate, Investment in Growth, JUL17; The OECD estimates that for infrastructure to be consistent with a 2oC 66% scenario, investment needs to amount to USD6.9tn per year in the next 15 years, an increase of about 10% in total infrastructure investment from the reference estimate of USD 6.3 trillion. Definition and source data are different to those shown in the BRI presentation 2. McKinsey, “Bridging Global Infrastructure Gaps” JUN16 38 3. HSBC estimation
Sustainable Finance Asia is at the heart of the transition and key countries from Asia are pioneering in this area Top 100 most Changes in Gross capacity Total investment Taking leadership populous cities1 electricity demand2 additions2 projected2 2016 PWh, 2016-40 TW, 2016-40 USDtn, 2016-40 China China is the world’s biggest producer of wind energy, Asia-Pacific 55 55% 8.4 60% 4.4 51% 4.8 47% with a total installed capacity of c.170GW in 20164 China aims for renewables (incl. hydro power plants) to Americas 10 10% 1.3 9% 1.4 16% 1.5 14% contribute half of new electricity generation by 2020, committing RMB2.5tn5 META3 30 30% 2.5 18% 1.1 13% 1.5 14% India India plans to increase its solar installations from below 5GW to 100GW by Europe 5 5% 0.2 2% 0.9 11% 1.2 12% 2022, more than double the present solar capacity of China and Germany6 India aims for 57% of installed capacity to come Rest of World 0% 1.6 11% 0.8 9% 1.3 13% from non-thermal energy by 20277, requiring USD200- 300bn of investment8 1. Country Disclosure, HSBC estimation 5. China to invest GBP292bn in renewable power by 2020, the Guardian, JAN17 2. Bloomberg New Energy Finance, 2017 6. Financial Times, Investors look to India as the next solar power, JAN16 3. META includes Middle East, Turkey and Africa 7. Forbes, India Coal Power Is About To Crash, JAN18 39 4. Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC), 2016 8. India needs over USD200bn of investment in renewables, Economic Times, NOV17
Sustainable Finance The transition will affect many industries and create opportunities Transition Business opportunities Financing solutions Risk of stranded assets Portfolio diversification Corporate Lending Renewables will contribute at least 20% of • Transition from high-carbon to low-carbon M&A, DCM, ECM primary energy supply by 20401 assets Trade Finance Energy • USD350bn of investment in wind and solar needed to achieve the current market share in upstream O&G3 Decentralisation of power generation system Households to install more solar panels Personal Loan Grid health (risk of overgeneration due to New infrastructure: energy storage to provide Corporate Lending intermittency of renewable energy systems); behind-the-meter solutions and control over- Project Finance Utilities smart grids generation M&A, DCM, ECM “Green buildings” Total spending on energy-efficient products Trade Finance Regulatory requirements to increase energy and services in buildings was USD406bn in Mortgage / Personal efficiency 20164 Loan Real Estate Better insulation materials / technologies in Corporate Lending new buildings Smart meters Transition from Internal Combustion Engine Car makers to invest at least USD90bn in Corporate Lending (ICE) vehicles to Electric Vehicles (EV) designing new EV models and increasing Project Finance • Countries set target years for ban of new production5 Transportation M&A, DCM, ECM ICE sales (e.g. France / UK by 2040) USD2.7tn investment on infrastructure • 54% of annual global light duty vehicle needed for EV adoption6, i.e. building new sales will be EV by 20502 charging points in petrol stations 1. Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2017, New Policy Scenario projection, incl. hydro, bioenergy, wind, 4. UN, Global Status Report 2017; IEA geothermal, solar photovoltaic, concentrated solar power, marine 5. Reuters Analysis, JAN18 2. BNEF, Long-Term Electric Vehicle Outlook 2017 6. Morgan Stanley Research 40 3. Wood Mackenzie 2017
Sustainable Finance HSBC is committed to leading the way to a sustainable future Our commitments Progress so far We are committed to financing clean USD10.5bn of GSS1 bonds facilitated in 2017 Provide USD100bn of energy, low carbon technologies and sustainable financing and projects, which will help deliver the 2015 3 low-carbon funds launched in 2017 investment by 2025 Paris Climate Agreement and the UN Sustainable Development Goals Applied Equator Principles to loans2 USD67.6bn We will do this via direct investment or 27% of signed renewable power purchase agreements Source 100% of our electricity direct purchase agreements that in turn (2016: 23%) from renewable sources by help finance new renewable energy 2030 (90% by 2025) projects Reduce our exposure to We will reduce our exposure to thermal Restrict the development of carbon intensive sources thermal coal and actively coal and engage with clients to actively of energy manage the transition for manage the transition path for other high other high carbon sectors carbon sectors Embed climate risk in credit risk assessment We will adopt recommendations of the Adopt recommendations of Task Force on Climate-related Financial Reported governance, strategy and risk management Task Force on Climate-related Disclosures report 2018. This will help us components in 2017 ARA Financial Disclosures (TCFD) identify and disclose climate-related risks and opportunities across our businesses We aim to provide the thought leadership Member of 20 Sustainability-focused industry forums Lead and shape the debate needed to unlock the capital flows required around sustainable finance to address the world’s major sustainability #1 team for Climate Change research (2014-2017) 3 and investment challenges 1. Dealogic, GSS bonds refer to green, social, sustainability bonds 2. Since 2003 3. EXEL 41
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