How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe
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How empowering women Win-win can benefit Central and Eastern Europe Joanna Iszkowska Paweł Nawrocki Kamila Kawecka Jurica Novak Júlia Lázár Dániel Róna Márta Matécsa Iva Štverková
About McKinsey & Company McKinsey & Company is a global management consulting firm committed to helping organizations create change. In more than 130 cities and 65 countries our teams support clients across the private, public and social sectors. We help them shape bold strategies, transform the way they work, embed technology where it unlocks value and build capabilities to sustain change—not just any change, but change that matters: for their organizations, their people and for society at large. About McKinsey in Central Europe McKinsey & Company opened its first offices in Central and Eastern Europe in the early 1990s, soon after the momentous democratic changes that took place across the region. We played an active role in the region's economic rebirth, working with leading business organizations, governments and nonprofit organizations. With offices in Belgrade, Bucharest, Budapest, Kyiv, Prague, Warsaw and Zagreb, we serve clients across a wide range of industries, including automotive, banking and insurance, retail, heavy industry, high tech, media and telecommunications. McKinsey research into diversity and inclusion Over the past decade, McKinsey has invested around $20 million in research into diversity and inclusion (D&I), publishing groundbreaking reports such as Diversity wins (2020), The economic impact of closing the racial wealth gap (2019), the annual Women in the Workplace study and the Power of Parity series (both since 2015). Our research demonstrates that diversity and inclusion go hand in hand with business performance. Our own experience of cultural transformation also informs our Diversity & Inclusion service line, which has advised clients since 2015 as they address relevant issues within their own organizations, using innovative capabilities based on behavioral psychology, proprietary tools and technology- driven solutions. 2
Contents Preface 4 Executive summary 7 Key numbers 12 Chapter 1: Benefits of gender parity in Central and Eastern Europe 15 Chapter 2: Gender parity in Central and Eastern Europe 25 Chapter 3: Reasons for modest progress in Central and Eastern 35 Europe Chapter 4: Accelerating women's empowerment in Central and 43 Eastern Europe Methodological appendix 54 Endnotes 56 About the authors 58 Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe 3
Preface This study investigates the topic of graduates. Yet, they make up just 45 gender equality in Central and Eastern percent of the labor force and even less Europe (CEE), both in companies and in management positions. According to more broadly within society. our analysis, closing the gender gap in CEE could unlock as much as 146 billion In recent publications, such as Digital euro in annual GDP by 2030. Challengers in the next normal, our analysis has shown that CEE In the following pages we look at the urgently needs to find new sources potential benefits of greater gender of economic competitiveness. Other equality for businesses and for society McKinsey research and that of many in general, identify barriers to progress, other organizations has found that and pinpoint potential actions that diversity and inclusion could be a could help shift the needle on equality. source of competitiveness, driving This study builds on earlier publications economic growth and enabling better by McKinsey & Company, in particular performance by individual companies. Diversity Wins, Women in the Work- As fundamental European values, place, Women Matter, Women and diversity and inclusion are the the Future of Work, and the Power of subject of a range of European Union Parity series, also the Polish and Czech legislation, covering topics varying reports in this series published in the from gender equality and sexual local languages. orientation to ethnic origin and We would like to take this opportunity disability.1 There are many aspects to thank the authors of these publica- of diversity and inclusion in the CEE tions and the leaders of diversity region where attention and additional and inclusion at McKinsey for their research may be needed, such as the expertise, inspiration, and guidance. inclusion of the LGBTQ+ community 2,3 Our particular thanks are due to Jess and of millions of Roma people 4. Huang (Partner, Silicon Valley), Lungile In this study, however, our analysis Makhanya (Manager, London), Maria focuses on the women’s empowerment del Mar Martinez Márquez (Senior and the economic activity of the Partner, Madrid), Anu Madgavkar approximately 67 million women in (Partner, New Jersey), Sandra Sancier- seven countries in CEE: Croatia, the Sultan (Senior Partner, Paris), Julia Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Sperling-Magro (Partner, Frankfurt) Romania, Slovakia and Ukraine. Women and Alix de Zelicourt (Associate account for 52 percent of the overall Partner, Paris). population of these nations and more Work on this report was led by Jurica than 60 percent of all of university Novak (McKinsey’s Managing Partner in 4 Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe
Central Europe), Dániel Róna (Partner, Budapest), Márta Matécsa (Associate Partner, Budapest) and Paweł Nawrocki (Associate Partner, Warsaw). These individuals worked with a team consisting of Kamila Kawecka, Júlia Lázár, and Iva Štverková (Consultants), Joanna Iszkowska (Head of Communications in CEE) and Małgorzata Leśniewska (Graphic Designer). To validate our findings and act as a sounding board for our insights, we created a panel of CEE leaders at McKinsey consisting of Eleonóra Bacsó (Director, Diversity & Inclusion in EMEA), Agnieszka Czabańska- Zielińska (Associate, Warsaw), Gosia Gontarz (Director of the Client Capability Hub, Wrocław), Olga Gordusenko (Senior Knowledge Expert, Kyiv), Wojciech Kazanecki (Capabilities and Insights Team Leader, Wrocław), Martina Konecna (Diversity & Inclusion Specialist, CEE), Evgenia Novikova (Professional Development Manager, CEE), Ivana Novosel (People Director, CEE), Helena Šarkanova (Partner, Czech Republic) and Ivana Valachovicova (Manager, Prague). We are grateful for their inspiration and guidance. We would further like to express our gratitude to the many executives and experts from across the region who shared their personal stories and perspectives on gender parity, provided insights and data, and helped advance our thinking. Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe 5
Executive summary Since the transition to a market growth: closing the gender gap in the economy three decades ago, Central workplace. In the seven CEE countries and Eastern Europe (CEE) has enjoyed analyzed here—Croatia, the Czech what many have called a golden age Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, of growth. The region recorded an Slovakia, and Ukraine—women account increase in per capita GDP of around for 52 percent of the overall population 110 percent in the 15 years between and more than 60 percent of college 2004 and 2019.5 However, the factors graduates. Yet, they make up just 45 driving that growth— such as labor- percent of the labor force.8 cost advantages and strong traditional The reasons for this gap are complex, industries—are now losing momentum. but consider the impact: a significant CEE needs to find new sources of part of the population of CEE is failing competitiveness.6 to realize its full potential contribution In our recent publications we have to the region’s economy. That potential investigated the case for digitization, contribution is huge, our research automation, and a new focus on shows. According to our calculations, sustainability.7 The current report stepping up efforts to close the gender explores another promising source of gap in CEE could unlock as much as Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe 7
44% €146 billion in annual GDP by 2030, individual companies.15 To confirm or roughly the size of the economies that this correlation also applies to of Slovakia and Croatia combined.9 companies in CEE, we augmented That could put the region squarely data from a five-year global study by of leading companies in CEE do not back on a path to dynamic growth McKinsey that looked at more than have a single woman in an executive after the challenges of the COVID-19 1,000 large companies in 15 different role pandemic.10 countries by adding new information from more than 200 major companies Female empowerment unlocks in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and value Poland. Our analysis of the entire An additional €146 billion a year data pool revealed that companies represents an 8 percent increase over with the greatest gender diversity a business-as-usual scenario. Analysis in their executive teams have shown by the McKinsey Global Institute above-average profitability 26 percent (MGI) indicates that this extra GDP more often than those with the least could be achieved with three factors: diverse executive teams or no female greater participation of women in the representation at this level. workforce, increased paid hours worked Further evidence for the value of by women, and better representation closing the gender gap at a leadership of women in high-productivity sectors.11 level comes from the McKinsey A “full parity” scenario, where women Organizational Health Index (OHI), match men across all three indicators, based on survey responses from would more than double that impact. more than 1 million employees across Increasing the participation of 350 companies.16 The OHI shows women in the workforce would go a that workplaces with more women in considerable way toward solving CEE's executive positions are characterized expected labor shortage. The region by leadership styles and management currently has 630,000 vacancies practices that are well suited to the across its constituent countries.12 organizations of the future.17 That If CEE returns to its pre-pandemic includes factors such as a more (2010–19) growth rate, this vacancy open and trusting environment, a rate could increase to more than two shared vision and clear purpose, and million by 2030—less than the extra 2.5 supportive leaders who empower their million women who would potentially employees. join the workforce if countries in CEE made efforts to close the gender gap.13 CEE started out strong, but Moreover, the sectors expecting to progress has been modest see the steepest increase in demand Equality at work and equality in society for new employees are healthcare and go hand in hand. The MGI Gender social work, retail and wholesale, and Parity Score (GPS) looks at 15 different manufacturing.14 Given that nearly half indicators related to workplace and the female labor force in CEE today social factors, shedding light on where works in one of these three sectors, the greatest challenges lie.18 While women are well positioned to fill a large the CEE region scores well above the proportion of these vacancies. global average on gender equality Improving the participation of women in in terms of its GPS, it trails Western the workforce is only part of the value Europe and especially the Nordic that gender parity can deliver, however. countries. The greatest inequalities McKinsey research conducted over in CEE relate to leadership positions, the last decade indicates that there unpaid work, legal protection, and is a business case for diversity. For political representation. In this report example, our studies have shown we focus on the first two areas: the that a larger share of women in top underrepresentation of women in management positions correlates leadership positions and the challenge to better financial performance by of unpaid work placed upon them. 8 Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe
As mentioned above, women make after Western Europe and more up more than 60 percent of college than two decades after the Nordic graduates and 45 percent of the countries.23 While the progress has workforce of CEE. Around 37 percent been modest, CEE has a high chance of all managers are female.19 The of improving gender balance at the top higher up the corporate hierarchy, executive level given the relatively high the more evident the lack of gender percentage of women at managerial equality. Thus, women hold 20 percent positions. This however, requires active of executive roles in CEE and eight effort and commitment. percent of CEO positions. 44 percent of leading companies in CEE do not have Ambition is not a challenge a single woman in an executive role.20 To find out why there are so few This finding may be surprising because women in executive positions in CEE, CEE is coming from a position of we surveyed more than 3,000 women relative strength. In 2012, the share and men working at companies with of female executives in CEE was 14 more than 500 employees in the Czech percent, just one percentage point Republic, Hungary, and Poland. The behind the Nordic countries and a results were as follows: full five percentage points ahead of — Women are as ambitious as men, Western Europe.21 Fast forward to but they perceive more barriers 2020, however, and the gap between to promotion. Men and women CEE and the Nordic countries had showed almost the same level grown sixfold, while Western countries of interest in getting promoted had reduced the amount by which they (57 percent of women versus 56 trailed CEE to just three percentage percent of men). However, 28 points.22 The pace of change has percent of women said that their differed significantly between the gender made it harder for them various regions, and progress in CEE to secure a raise or a promotion. has been modest. Indeed, if CEE And while 66 percent of men were continues improving at its current confident that they could make it to pace, it will be overtaken by Western the top leadership positions, only 62 Europe in 2028 and will not achieve percent of women thought that they full parity until 2062—almost a decade could do so. Stepping up efforts to close the gender gap in CEE could unlock as much as EUR 146 billion in annual GDP by 2030. That could put the region squarely back on a path to dynamic growth after the challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe 9
— Women blame themselves, women provide daily unpaid care work men blame others. Women who (looking after children, the elderly, or thought that they were unlikely people with disabilities).24 This is twice to make it to the top said it was as many as men. Essentially, female because they lacked the necessary employees are still working a “double skills (43 percent) or the right shift”. leadership style (38 percent), or that promotions to top executive COVID-19 has meant changes positions were not based on merit The effects of the COVID-19 pandemic (33 percent). When we asked men have meant that both women and why they thought that they—men— men are now spending more time on were unlikely to make it to the top, a household chores and unpaid care far smaller proportion said that they work, as many employees and schools lacked the necessary skills for the sent workers and children home to job (eight percentage points less work and learn remotely. However, than for women) and a much larger the increased burden has fallen more share said that it was because on women than on men. More than promotions were not based on 40 percent of female respondents merit (ten percentage points more in our survey said that the pandemic than for women). In other words, has meant that they are more likely women are more likely to blame to consider scaling back on their paid their own shortcomings for their work—reducing their working hours, failure to become executives, while changing to a part-time role, switching men are more likely to blame the to a less demanding job or leaving the shortcomings of their company. workforce altogether, for instance. For women with children under the Unpaid work is a major age of ten the figure was as high as barrier 54 percent. Interestingly, we found In our survey of more than 3,000 the opposite pattern for men: just 25 employees, 27 percent of women gave percent of men with children under the another reason for why they were age of ten said they considered scaling unlikely to make it to the top: the lack of back, compared with 34 percent of men work-life balance. Just one-fifth of men overall.25 It would appear that fathers said the same. According to a 2018 with young children in CEE have not survey by Eurostat, almost 70 percent felt pressured to cut down on their of women in CEE perform household paid work so much, implying that their chores daily, compared to 22 percent of female partners have shouldered the men. In addition, nearly 40 percent of burden of scaling back for them. Women make up more than 60 percent of college graduates and 45 percent of the workforce of CEE. Yet, just 37 percent of all managers are female 10 Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe
The time to act is now in professional capability building, Action to improve gender such as management training representation in the work place in programs, and set up sponsorship CEE could help the economy. As we schemes to help women, as well as have seen, COVID-19 poses additional other underrepresented groups, challenges. If the countries of CEE now move up the corporate ladder. hope to return to the macroeconomic Special skills training courses and growth trajectory that they were recruiting programs for women enjoying prior to the pandemic and can help correct the gender keep up with or even overtake their imbalance in specific industries. peers in the rest of Europe, they may Complimentary efforts may also need to consider how to course correct be needed to educate younger the current imbalance. generations about their study and career choices. With this in mind, we have identified four distinct areas that could help III. Work-life balance: Progress on policy makers and businesses facilitate gender parity depends critically gender parity: on women and men both being in I. Shared vision: Closing the gender a position to balance their private gap is a complex process, and and professional lives. Efforts could governments and companies would be made to improve the availability be well advised to take a structured of flexible work arrangements approach. Ideally, this would include (part-time work, remote work, formulating an aspiration, creating flexible working hours), introduce an agenda of goals and actions or increase paternity leave, addressing the gaps identified, and improve the availability of and measuring and regularly affordable, high-quality childcare communicating the progress. Broad services. In addition, companies coalitions between the public and could strengthen their return-to- private sectors can be especially work programs to help people powerful here, as shown by the maintain networks, skills and Chefsache26 initiative, a network of knowledge during periods of care public and private-sector leaders leave. in Germany committed to making IV. Social norms and attitudes: gender balance a top management Shifting the cultural factors priority, and the Champions of underlying gender inequality is a Change program in Australia27 and complex undertaking. Our research Poland.28 shows that ensuring that the II. Career support schemes: To leaders of companies and public bring more women into the labor institutions are visibly engaged force and realize the goal of in efforts to reduce the gender generating an additional €146 imbalance, rather than delegating billion in annual GDP by 2030, this work to “diversity officers,” special support schemes for can make a real difference. underrepresented talent could The leadership should build an be launched. Policymakers understanding of benefits their could consider monitoring which organization can gain from having industries are growing the fastest more diverse teams among and which will be the most affected their employees and actively by automation; they could then tackle gender stereotypes and decide on that basis where best unconscious bias in recruiting and to invest in vocational training promotions. Female role models at schemes. Companies can invest the highest level are also essential. Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe 11
CEE could add €146 billion a year to GDP by 2030 by tapping into Key numbers women’s potential Women’s contribution to GDP in CEE, € billion 1,070 rio ena sc 846 ity scen ario +€146 billion r o n pa gi or 8.3% annual ll- -re t-in Fu s increase in GDP Be scenario s-as-usual 700 Busines 550 2019 2030 2.5 million more Women able to work More women employed women in the workforce ~2 paid hours more per week in most productive sectors CEE lags behind on gender equality CEE businesses could in society, while keeping up with benefit from higher gender the rest of Europe on gender parity in leadership equality at work positions Gender Parity Score (GPS) Share of companies with above-average profitability grouped by gender diversity of executive team, 2019 Overall At work In society 0.73 0.70 0.75 CEE +26% Nordics 0.84 0.76 0.89 Western 0.76 0.67 0.82 Europe World 0.61 0.52 0.67 Level of gender equality High: 0.95–1 Medium: 0.75–0.94 Low: 0.50–0.74 Extremely low: 0–0.49 55% 44% Companies with Companies with more than 30% no female female executives executives
Women are underrepresented in leadership positions, despite Higher than CEE a high share of labor force and graduates Lower than CEE Female representation along the corporate ladder in CEE Western Nordics % Europe Male Female CEOs 92 8 Executives 81 19 16 25 Managers 63 37 32 36 Labor participation 55 45 47 48 Tertiary education graduates 39 61 57 63 CEE is coming from a strong position, but the modest progress in female executive representation will likely take away the advantage Change, Full Average female representation in executive positions 2012–20, parity %, 2012–20 and extrapolated pp achieved 40 Nordics 11.1 2039 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 35 Western 30 Europe 8.5 2053 6.4 pp 25 CEE 24% 6.3 2062 20 Western Europe 15 2.6 pp may overtake 1.6 pp CEE in 2028 10 4.8 pp If it continues at this pace, CEE could 5 achieve full parity Forecast in 4 decades! 0 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Women are as ambitious as men, but they perceive more barriers to promotion Share of women and men who want to… Share of those who want to become a n = 3,082 top executive yet consider it unlikely n = 1,110 ... get promoted ... become a top executive 56% 57% 66% 36% 30% 62% Women Men Men Women Source: McKinsey Global Institute analysis; Diversity Matters dataset; OECD; Eurostat; Ukrstat; UNDP Ukraine; McKinsey CEE Diversity Survey, 2021; company annual reports; company websites
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1 Benefits of gender parity in Central and Eastern Europe Since the transition to a market competitiveness: closing the gender economy three decades ago, Central gap. In the seven CEE countries and Eastern Europe (CEE) has enjoyed analyzed here—Croatia, the Czech what many have called a golden age Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, of growth. The region recorded an Slovakia, and Ukraine—women increase in per capita GDP of around account for 52 percent of the overall 110 percent in the fifteen years population and more than 60 percent between 2004 and 2019.29 However, of college graduates. Yet, they make the factors driving that growth—such up just 45 percent of the labor force.32 as labor-cost advantages and strong A significant part of the population traditional industries—are now losing of CEE is thus failing to realize its full momentum. CEE needs to find new potential contribution to the region’s sources of competitiveness.30 economy. In our recent publications we have Research led by McKinsey and many investigated the case for digitization, other institutions has indicated automation, and a new focus on that narrowing the gender gap has sustainability.31 The current report a number of advantages for entire explores another promising source of economies, societies, and individual Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe 15
companies. Not only does it benefit Impact on the economy a country’s economy, it also helps The McKinsey Global Institute Power address challenges such as the aging of Parity publication series models the population and shortages in the labor contribution of women to individual force. In addition, our research shows countries’ GDP. It focuses on three that at the level of individual companies, main indicators: female population having a higher proportion of women and labor participation, total hours on the leadership team correlates worked (based on the employment with improved financial performance. rate and the average weekly hours of Not only that, companies with more paid work by men and women), and diverse executive teams tend to average productivity (meaning the GDP embody a variety of leadership styles contribution per worker) of the sectors and practices and benefit from greater in which men and women work.33 agility, putting them in a superior position to cope with the challenges of According to the MGI model, women tomorrow’s workplace. In this report, currently contribute around 40 percent we validate these findings for Central of GDP in the CEE region. This is and Eastern Europe, we look at CEE- higher than the global average of 36 specific barriers to greater gender percent (Exhibit 1) and the average equality, and we provide region-specific for Western Europe (38 percent) and recommendations. the Nordic countries (38 percent). Exhibit 1 Women’s contribution to GDP ranges from 38–43 percent across CEE, slightly above the global average of 36 percent. GDP in 20191 Women's share %, € billion2 of labor force Female Male World 36 64 73,220 42% Czech Republic 38 62 209 45% Western Europe 38 62 15,025 46% Nordics 38 62 1,576 47% Poland 39 61 559 44% Romania 39 61 208 43% CEE 40 60 1,384 45% Croatia 41 59 55 46% Hungary 41 59 143 45% Slovakia 41 59 98 45% Ukraine 43 57 112 47% 36% Global average 1 Contribution to GDP by gender for each country is based on the most recent population data, labor force participation rate, employment rate, hours worked and productivity per broad sector. 2 All calculations are based on real GDP values at $ 2014 base for the years 2000–30, using the latest $–€ conversion rate (0.83). Source: IHS; ILO; national statistical agencies; Oxford Economics; World Input/Output Database; McKinsey Global Institute analysis; McKinsey Global Growth Model 16 Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe
However, women also account for in-region scenario, and a full-parity around 45 percent of the labor force scenario (Exhibit 2). in CEE—a higher percentage than In the business-as-usual scenario, we their contribution to the region’s GDP. assume until 2030 labor participation, At a country level, Ukraine has the hours worked and change in the highest female contribution to GDP (43 sector mix of employment will follow percent), while the Czech Republic has consensus forecasts and historical the lowest (38 percent), despite the trends in each country, with women’s fact that 45 percent of the Czech labor current contribution to GDP remaining force is female. This disparity between roughly the same in 2030. the share of women in the labor force In the best-in-region scenario, we and their contribution to GDP is due assume that in the period to 2030, to a number of factors, including the labor participation, hours worked, and fact that women work fewer paid hours change in sector mix of employment than men, their employment rates are will grow at the level of the country different, and a disproportionately large with the fastest historical growth rate proportion of women work in lower- for each of these three parameters.35 productivity sectors—all areas that In this scenario, the region’s annual CEE countries would be well advised to GDP would increase by €146 billion address going forward. by the year 2030—an 8.3 percent To get a clearer picture of the potential improvement on the business-as-usual impact of improving gender parity scenario. This represents an uplift in CEE, we developed a specific roughly the size of the entire 2019 GDP methodology for use in this report. Our of Slovakia and Croatia combined. approach allows us to model the impact The main driver of this potential of improving gender parity in three key improvement would be the increase in areas: labor participation, hours worked female labor participation, which would and the sector mix of employment account for 39 percent of the impact on for men and women (that is, the GDP, followed by 35 percent from the representation within each sector, improved sector mix, so the shifting of and the average productivity of those women into work in higher-productivity sectors).34 Using these parameters, sectors, and around 26 percent from we posit three potential scenarios: a the increase in the number of paid business-as-usual scenario, a best- hours worked by women.36 €146bn additional GDP could be achieved in the best-in-region scenario, yielding up to the level of 2019 GDP of Slovakia and Croatia combined Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe 17
Exhibit 2 CEE could add €146 billion a year to GDP by 2030 by tapping into women’s potential. Women’s contribution to GDP in CEE, The additional € billion €146 billion would 1,070 come from 3 factors 2.5 million more women in the o workforce i ar en sc 846 +146 billion ty o nari ari sce ll-p on or 8.3% annual egi Women able to n-r Fu i increase in GDP st- work ~2 hours Be more per week al scenario siness-as-usu 700 Bu 550 More women employed in most 2019 2030 productive sectors Source: IHS; ILO; national statistical agencies; Oxford Economics; World Input/Output Database; McKinsey Global Institute analysis; McKinsey Global Growth Model In the best-in-region scenario, 2030—a 9.2 percent improvement on female labor participation rises from the business-as-usual scenario. The 48 percent in 2030 (business-as-usual next biggest beneficiaries would be scenario) to 52 percent. This equates to Romania (an 8.7 percent additional approximately 2.5 million more women GDP) and Slovakia (8.6 percent), with in the workforce. In addition, female the Czech Republic (7.8 percent) and working hours increase from around Hungary (7.6 percent) falling slightly 38 hours per week to around 40 hours below the regional average. The per week, the equivalent of around two smallest improvement would be seen in additional paid work hours per week Ukraine (6.4 percent) and Croatia (5.6 per woman. Female representation percent). In the case of Ukraine, this in higher-productivity industrial and is likely due to the country’s stronger service sectors (for example, utilities, starting point in terms of female manufacturing, financial services, labor participation and hours worked. real estate, or public administration) Croatia, on the other hand, has the is also greater, and the employment highest rate of historical growth in the rate of women is around one percent region for female labor participation higher than in the business-as-usual among 25- to 54-year-olds and better scenario.37 sector mix in any case, resulting in a smaller relative increase in GDP in our At a country level, the economic impact projections. varies across countries. Poland would see the biggest improvement in our While an additional €146 billion in GDP best-in-region scenario, enjoying in the best-in-region scenario might an additional €66 billion of GDP in seem difficult to attain, it is in fact just 18 Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe
Exhibit 3 Best-in-region scenario could add €146 billion a year to GDP by 2030, an 8.3 percent improvement on the business-as-usual scenario. Extra annual GDP % gain in GDP vs business-as-usual1 by 2030, € billion2 From an increase World 8.9 8,646 From a change in the labor-force in sector mix participation rate CEE 8.3 146 Poland 9.2 66 35% 39% Romania 8.7 24 Slovakia 8.6 11 Czech Republic 7.8 20 26% Hungary 7.6 14 From an increase in Ukraine 5.8 9 the paid hours worked Croatia 5.1 4 Note: Numbers may not sum due to rounding. 1 In the best-in-region scenario, the female-to-male rate for each factor (labor force participation, number of paid working hours, sector mix) is adjusted to the highest level found among CEE countries. A similar methodology is used in the MGI global Power of Parity report from 2015 and regional Power of Parity from 2015–20. 2 All calculations are based on real GDP values at $ 2014 base for the years 2000–30, using the latest $–€ conversion rate (0.83). Source: IHS; ILO; national statistical agencies; Oxford Economics; World Input/Output Database; McKinsey Global Institute analysis; McKinsey Global Growth Model a fraction of what could be achieved contribution to GDP would additionally in a full-parity scenario. According to require the burden of household our analysis, this scenario could result chores and unpaid care work to be in an annual increase in GDP of €370 shared more equitably between men billion—a 21 percent improvement on and women, freeing women to engage GDP in 2030 on the business-as-usual in higher-paid professions. CEE scenario. The female contribution countries would also be well-advised to the region’s GDP could even to implement policies on the “demand potentially surpass that of men’s, as side,” for example targeting job creation women account for a larger share of efforts to women specifically. the population. As we acknowledge, In the meantime, according to our achieving full parity would be difficult research, activating women could be to reach in CEE within the next decade, a solution to labor shortages across and so we take the best-in-region the CEE region. In the last quarter scenario as the target ambition level for of 2019 around 630,000 positions the region. were unfilled in Croatia, the Czech Women could solve the labor Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, shortage Slovakia, and Ukraine.38 This compares It is important to note that all three to just 215,000 vacant posts nearly of our scenarios focus exclusively on a decade earlier in 2010. Of these the “supply side” of the labor market, vacancies, about 62 percent were in meaning the number of women the broader service sector, a further 35 available for paid work. Righting the percent were in industrial sectors (for gender balance in the workforce and example, manufacturing, construction, Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe 19
energy, and utilities) and 3 percent in for by three sub-sectors: healthcare and agriculture. The subsectors accounting social assistance, manufacturing, and for the largest share of these vacancies retail and wholesale trade.39 Due to the were services (such as transportation aging population and growing need for and storage, accommodation and care staff, vacancies in the healthcare food service, real estate, and other sector are expected to increase service activities), manufacturing, fast. In 2019, women represented an wholesale and retail trade, public overwhelming share (81 percent) of sector and education, and healthcare. people employed in this sector in CEE. Assuming the same rate of growth Women also accounted for over half as in the years prior to the COVID-19 (55 percent) of people employed in pandemic, the number of all unfilled the wholesale and retail sectors, and jobs could reach around 2.3 million by more than one-third of those working 2030 in the region. Increasing female in manufacturing—areas that are also labor participation and women’s share expected to see a strong increase in in higher-productivity sectors could new jobs. These three sub-sectors therefore represent an important part already accounted for a considerable of the solution. share of the vacancies in CEE in 2019, and given that nearly half of the female Research by MGI into the future of workforce in CEE works in one of these women at work finds that a majority three subsectors, women are clearly of the global job gains for women well positioned to fill a considerable expected through 2030 are accounted share of these vacancies. Exhibit 4 Services, thepublic sector, and manufacturing are theindustries with the most women. The first two are dominated by women, the last one is 65 percent male. Share of men and women in different industries, Share of Jobs %1 the female Share of potentially workforce per vacancies displaced by industry, % 1 in 2019, % automation, % 2 Male Female Industries Healthcare and social work 19 81 12 6 41 dominated by women Public sector & education3 36 64 20 8 36 Financial & insurance services 39 61 3 1 40 Industries Wholesale & retail trade 45 55 16 10 61 with equal representation Services4 50 50 21 34 58 Industries Manufacturing 65 35 17 22 23 dominated by men Information & 68 32 2 3 12 communication Agriculture 69 31 6 3 12 Energy & utilities 76 24 1 2 27 Mining and quarrying 85 15 1 0 N/A Construction 93 7 1 11 61 1 Data includes Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia. 2 Based on the findings of the McKinsey report “Digital Challengers in the next normal: Central and Eastern Europe on a path to digitally-led growth,” October 2020, McKinsey.com. 3 Includes public administration and defense, compulsory social security; activities of extraterritorial organizations and bodies; and education. 4 Includes transportation and storage; accommodation and food service activities; real estate activities; professional, scientific, and technical activities, administrative and support service activities; arts, entertainment, and recreation; activities of domestic personnel and other service activities. Source: Eurostat and Ukrstat statistics, 2019 20 Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe
However, McKinsey’s “Digital Diversity and inclusion (D&I) practices, Challengers in the next normal” including gender-related initiatives, publication shows that some of these are becoming increasingly prevalent sectors also score considerably high in today’s business world. However, in terms of the share of jobs that could not all organizations have already potentially be displaced by automation mastered D&I. Common pitfalls can in the future, with around 60 percent include an incomplete understanding of of wholesale and retail jobs, and 40 the underlying principles, an excessive percent of healthcare and social- focus on short-term outcomes, work jobs expected to be affected by and overreliance on piecemeal advancing technologies.40 Therefore, commitments. in order to achieve the potential Clearly, it is essential that companies— economic impact and to account for at all levels of the organization — the technological changes altering the understand the positive impact of nature of work and the types of jobs increased gender parity. Evidence in demand, both short and long-term suggests that good leaders will solutions would be required. typically ensure that those benefits In the short term, CEE countries are clear to everyone within their would need to make investments for organization as part of their change providing incentives and training, management programs. Below, we look in order to increase the share of at key aspects of that positive impact women in industries of moderately on business. high productivity and high expected The business case for diversity job gains, such as manufacturing, McKinsey research conducted over healthcare, and wholesale and retail. more than a decade proves that there In the long term, the education of girls is a business case for diversity globally and women should increasingly target and in many regions of the world. To sectors that are expected to be less substantiate this claim for Central affected by job displacement through and Eastern Europe, we built on data automation, and which already account from a five-year study by McKinsey for a relatively lower share of the that looked at more than 1,200 large female workforce, such as information companies in 18 different countries with technology and telecommunications, new CEE region information from 223 financial services, utilities, and public major companies in the Czech Republic, administration. Governments would Hungary, and Poland.41 We examined the need to invest in education and correlation between gender diversity vocational training, as technological on companies’ executive teams and advances are increasingly altering the financial performance. Our analysis nature of work and the types of jobs in revealed that the best-performing demand. Therefore, incentivizing and companies in terms of gender diversity supporting women to make the shift among their executive teams (top would not only create more gender- quartile) have shown above-average balanced workplaces and increase profitability 26 percent more often parity in economic output, but would than companies with the least gender also be key to preparing for future diversity on their executive teams changes in the job market. (bottom quartile) (Exhibit 5).42 We also found that the same top quartile Impact on organizations is 12 percent more likely to experience Besides the overall benefits to the above-average profitability when economy, gender parity also brings compared to all companies in our sample added value to organizations. In (second, third, and fourth quartiles). the following section we review the Moreover, there is an even bigger ways these benefits translate into disadvantage for the companies are at tangible advantages for companies the bottom: companies that lag the most and increase their likelihood of better on gender diversity on their executive financial overperformance. teams (fourth quartile) were 19 percent Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe 21
Exhibit 5 less likely to outperform financially than CEE businesses could benefit from higher gender all the others (first, second, and third parity in leadership positions. quartiles). These findings also held true when we assessed gender diversity on supervisory boards. We acknowledge, however, that diversity on boards on it’s own is not enough. The corporate Share of companies with above-average profitability grouped by culture should also be inclusive so that gender diversity of executive team1 , 20192 diverse individuals can stay and thrive. % Impact on organization health and culture +26% Additionally, increasing the number of women in leadership positions has potential benefits that go beyond improved financial performance. In our 2018 report “Women and the Future of Work,” we discuss how women’s leadership styles tend to align with the agile workplace of the future.43 This leads us to identify four key tasks for future leaders.44 They are: — to foster cooperation and collaboration, acting as an “integrator” within organizational networks. This is in line with the notion of “breaking silos” and creating more cross-functional teams — to empower employees to make important decisions and to be accountable for them—this is pivotal to flattening steep organizational structures, increasing ownership among employees, and creating more autonomous teams — to be more transparent about key 55 44 strategic shifts and their purpose so that the organization shares Companies with more Companies with than 30% female no female a common goal and vision—this executives executives can increase engagement and instill a sense of belonging among employees In our sample of more than 1,200 companies, firms with a more — to build ecosystems based on gender-diverse leadership team were more often showing above- business partnerships rather average financial performance. than focusing solely on internal Companies at the bottom (no women on executive team) are 19% less capabilities and services—this often outperforming the market financially. helps create compelling end-to-end solutions for customers and enables companies to capture a larger share 1 Compared to national industry median; p-value
respondents from 56 companies by contrast, more often rely on around the globe measuring overall innovating from the top (top-down organizational health.45 The OHI innovation, rank difference: 29), shows that companies with a higher building a performance-driven proportion of women in leadership culture (performance transparency, positions employ management rank difference: 20; consequence practices that are better aligned with management, rank difference: 20), the future needs of organizations and standardizing knowledge and (Exhibit 6). Those practices include a processes (process-based capabilities, more employee-centric approach rank difference: 24). to communication, engaging and The evidence is clear that increased supporting colleagues (open and gender parity at the executive level trusting environments, rank difference: is correlated with better financial 29; supportive leadership practices, performance. Naturally, that is not to rank difference: 29; consultative say that women’s leadership style and leadership, rank difference: 21; and values are better than those of men. personal ownership, rank difference: Rather, the true potential of diversity 18), creating a clear purpose and and gender parity lies in giving those compelling vision of the future differing styles and values an equal (shared vision practice, rank difference: voice in the running of the company. 21), and building strong business Bringing additional and more diverse partnerships (business partnerships perspectives into decision making practice, rank difference: 33). results in a stronger, more resilient and Companies with the lowest flexible organization that is fit for the level of female representation, future. Exhibit 6 Greater gender parity also helps align leadership styles to the changing demands of the workplace. Employee ranking of management practices in companies Practices with largest rank differences in with high and low share of female leaders employee ranking (>15) 3 between top and bottom quartiles (1 = highest ranking, 40 = lowest ranking) Ranking of management practices in firms with high share of female leaders (top quartile1) 1 Shared vision Business Future- partnerships Consultative Supportive 5 oriented leadership Open and management leadership More trusting 10 traditional practices Talent Personal management development ownerships Performance 15 practices contracts Government Professional Performance & community standards 20 transparency relations People perfor- Customer mance review 25 Consequence focus Inspirational management 30 leaders Process based Top down capabilities Operational Role 35 innovation management clarity 40 1 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Ranking of management practices in firms with low share of female leaders (bottom quartile2) 1 Top quartile: companies in the top quartile in proportion of women in leadership positions. 2 Bottom quartile: companies in the bottom quartile in proportion of women in leadership positions. 3 Each of the 37 managerial practices (that impact a company's financial and operating performance) is ranked according to its level of importance in the company. The highlighted practices are the ones showing the largest ranking difference between the two groups (more than 15 ranking grades between top and bottom quartile companies, in absolute values of rank difference). Source: McKinsey, Organization Health Index database Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe 23
24 Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe
2 Gender parity in Central and Eastern Europe Following its emergence from the Soviet parity is true or not. We also present Bloc in early 90s, CEE faced the task of findings from our own study of more catching up with the West economically. than 360 companies in CEE, as part of CEE countries are still generally which we examined those companies’ viewed as being at a disadvantage top management teams to determine as compared to the West given their the level of female representation. We past of planned economies. However, start by assessing the state of gender this same history does not appear to parity in CEE compared with other apply to the question of gender parity. regions in Europe and the rest of the In our interviews, business leaders in world, before turning to the question of CEE often mentioned that countries in female representation at different levels the region are in fact more equal than of the corporate hierarchy. others today due to CEE’s history of women at work. Gender Parity Score In this chapter, we present a series of In Chapter 1 we looked at the size of macroeconomic analyses to determine the gender gap in economic terms. whether the notion that CEE countries However, this is just the tip of the are more advanced in terms of gender iceberg. To give a fuller picture, we Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe 25
used a Gender Parity Score (GPS), a parity, but some are doing better than metric first used in a global study of ten others. Poland stands out from its peers regions and 95 countries carried out by with an overall score of 0.77, followed the McKinsey Global Institute, to further by Slovakia (0.74), Ukraine and Romania assess the gap.46 The GPS measures (both 0.72), and Hungary, Croatia, and how far a country has traveled along the the Czech Republic (all at 0.70). In terms road to gender parity, with a GPS of 1.00 of equality in the workplace, Poland, representing full gender parity. Viewed Ukraine, and Hungary are in the lead. through this lens, our analyses show that In terms of equality in society, Poland, CEE has not improved as fast as the rest Slovakia, and Romania are ahead. of Europe, and that key discrepancies lie Gender equality at work in societal factors. Looking more closely at the situation A country’s GPS is based on 15 in the workplace, we find that CEE as indicators across four dimensions. The a whole scores 1.0 for the indicators first dimension is gender equality at “formal employment” and “female-to- work, which is driven by the choices that male ratio in professional and technical women (and men) make about their lives jobs.” This implies full equality, both and work. The other three dimensions across the region and in individual relate to gender equality in society: countries (Exhibit 7).49 By contrast, essential services and enablers of “leadership positions” and “unpaid economic opportunity, legal protection work” show low levels of equality. and political voice, and physical security Yet, although the region’s rate of 0.61 and autonomy. These three factors are for leadership positions is low, it is necessary for people of all genders to still higher than in Northern Europe have access to the resources needed to (0.54) and Western Europe (0.46).50 live a life of their own making. Previous Additionally, women in CEE spend more McKinsey Power of Parity reports on time doing unpaid care work (looking different countries and regions have after children and the elderly) than established a clear link between gender women in the Nordic countries, but the equality at work and in society: almost amount is similar to that of women in no countries exist that have high gender Western European countries. A smaller equality in society but low gender share of women in leadership positions equality at work, and vice versa.47 is usually regarded as a key symptom of gender inequality, while women In the coming pages we focus on the doing the larger share of housework seven CEE countries—Poland, the and unpaid care work is seen as one Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, of the causes of that inequality. In the Romania, Croatia, and Ukraine.48 In following section, we examine women’s 2019, the overall GPS of the CEE region career progression in more detail; in was 0.73, indicating medium-level Chapter 3 we look at unpaid work and gender equality (Exhibit 7). This is well other barriers to equality. above the world average of 0.61, and Gender equality in society puts CEE in fourth place globally, just Where CEE clearly trails its northern and below the Nordic countries (0.84), western neighbors is on gender equality North America and Oceania (0.76) and in society. The region’s overall score of Western Europe (0.76). This means that 0.75 here is below both the scores of CEE can realistically aspire to close the Northern Europe (0.89) and Western gap and become an example for others Europe (0.82), with the most substantial to follow. However, between 2015 and gap in the dimension of “legal protection 2019, CEE’s score improved just by and political voice.” This dimension is 0.02 percentage points, which is slower based on two specific indicators, of which progress than in other parts of Europe “political representation” is the source of (0.03), although slightly faster than the the problem: of the 15 indicators included global improvement (0.01). in the GPS, political representation is the All the countries of CEE have some way only one where CEE shows “extremely to go before they achieve full gender low equality.” The average share of 26 Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe
Exhibit 7 CEE trails European countries on gender equality in society, while keeping up with the rest of Europe on gender equality at work. Level of gender equality High 0.95–1 0.90–0.94 Medium Low 0.50–0.74 Extremely low 0–0.49 0.85–0.89 0.80–0.84 0.75–0.79 Gender equality at work1 Gender equality in society Essential services Overall and ena- Legal Overall Labor- Professio- gender blers of protection Physical Female Overall gender force- Formal nal and Unpaid Leader- equality economic and security population, gender equality participa- employ- technical care ship in opportu- political and million equality at work tion rate ment jobs work positions society nity2 voice3 autonomy4 Croatia 2.1 0.70 0.64 0.79 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.41 0.74 0.86 0.47 0.98 Czech 5.3 0.70 0.61 0.77 1.00 0.95 0.50 0.33 0.76 0.91 0.49 0.98 Republic Hungary 5.1 0.70 0.72 0.74 1.00 1.00 0.54 0.65 0.70 0.87 0.36 0.96 Poland 19.6 0.77 0.73 0.75 1.00 1.00 0.55 0.70 0.79 0.92 0.55 0.99 Romania 10.1 0.72 0.63 0.70 1.00 1.00 0.47 0.43 0.78 0.94 0.51 0.95 Slovakia 2.8 0.74 0.66 0.77 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.49 0.78 0.93 0.53 0.96 Ukraine 24.1 0.72 0.72 0.81 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.70 0.72 0.93 0.38 0.93 CEE 69.0 0.73 0.70 0.76 1.00 1.00 0.53 0.61 0.75 0.92 0.46 0.96 Western 201.0 0.76 0.67 0.82 0.99 0.95 0.54 0.46 0.82 0.90 0.65 0.97 Europe Nordics 13.0 0.84 0.76 0.91 1.00 1.00 0.73 0.54 0.89 0.92 0.82 0.97 Note: The Gender Parity Score (GPS) measures distance from parity. Color coding is illustrative and based on actual, not rounded, values. All GPS calculations are conducted using a sum-of-squares method with equal weighting across indicators for the year 2019. Numbers are rounded to two decimal places. 1 Comprising labour-force participation, professional and technical jobs, perceived wage gap for similar work, leadership positions, and unpaid care work 2 Comprising unmet need for family planning, maternal mortality, education, financial inclusion, and digital inclusion. 3 Comprising political representation and a legal protection index (including, for example, legislation protecting against domestic violence, providing equal inheritance rights and paternity or parental leave, and mandating non-discrimination in hiring). 4 Comprising sex ratio at birth, child marriage, and violence against women. Source: McKinsey Global Institute Win-win: How empowering women can benefit Central and Eastern Europe 27
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