HOTEL PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES - Define the right procurement strategies for the 'new normal' - HRS.com
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PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES HOTEL PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES Define the right procurement strategies for the ‘new normal’ 1
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES EXECUTIVE SUMMARY As the world takes steps – some nations faster than others – to recover from the Coronavirus pandemic, the outlook for corporate hospitality evolves seemingly every week. This comprehensive report, looking at the realities for managed lodging programs and the hotels that serve them from multiple perspectives, captures the depth of the industry’s losses while exploring avenues for its comeback. THE WAY BACK – MIXING NEW PRIORITIES WITH REFINED EXISTING TECHNOLOGIES Since 2009, hoteliers have overseen a remarkable supplier’s marketplace, with average daily rate (ADR) and revenue per available room (RevPAR) growing every year for the vast majority of the world’s top business travel destinations. New hotels have opened in growing numbers all around the world; STR reports that the number of rooms in London has grown by a stunning 41% in the past decade alone. Corporate hotel procurement leaders were laser-focused on room rates and other fee-related elements of their contracts with preferred hotels, straining to maximize the value of their lodging allocation. COVID-19 has swiftly redefined dynamics for both buyers and suppliers. Travel program leaders are now asked to be experts on how travelers can safely traverse every step of their journey, covering air and ground transport, cleanliness and distancing 2
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES in hotels, even guidelines for dining in restaurants and/or room service. This challenge for travel leaders also creates an opportunity for them to showcase quick competency to address serious employee concerns. They need to develop data-driven procurement strategies that factor in hygiene protocols - with smarter rate/fee insights - in an uncertain time that demands a high degree of planning agility. Beyond duty-of-care priorities, the realities of physical distancing and the traveler’s newfound need to minimize personal engagements on trips sets the stage for a major leap forward for touchless payment. Automated payment technology – which has been enhanced and refined at a rapid pace in the past five years – is ready for corporations and hotels to take advantage of its many benefits (speed, accuracy, savings, fraud reduction, increased preferred supplier use, etc.). Widespread use of touchless services at hotels also enhances the traveler’s sense of personal safety, a key factor in getting people back on the road. HOTELS RESPOND WITH EN- HANCED HYGIENE PROTOCOLS & REVAMPED PRICING BUNDLES Hotels are quickly reacting to these changing guest priorities. With 86% of corporations in an HRS survey saying they will ONLY consider hotels with revised cleaning protocols in their 2021 RFPs, hotels have no choice but to enhance hygiene protocols. Most have already begun. One large global chain announced that they will hire a dedicated director of hygiene for each of its 1,000+ properties. Revenue managers are also exercising newfound creativity to win more market share from streamlined corporate programs – marrying transient and group volume, offering more flexible cancellation fees, building new individualized food and beverage offerings, deploying robots, etc. With each passing week, we see a trend in pricing for corporates. As a result of lower occupancy, Last Room Availability (LRA) options no longer make sense for buyers to pay extra for. Due to new health guidelines, breakfast buffets are now relegated to the past. These savings are counterbalanced by hotels baking in the costs of their new hygiene protocols. With companies requiring greater cancellation flexibility as the pandemic’s path is clearly unpredictable, hotels are experimenting with pricing that factors in this element. New bundles are being developed around enhanced touchless service options and flexible terms. Hotels that used the downturn in second quarter volume 3
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES to recalibrate their proposals to preferred corporate clients will be best positioned to come back faster as government regulations lift and companies travel again. A TIME FOR MANAGED TRAVEL TO SHINE The industry’s challenges will be trying for many entities, especially due to furloughs and staff reductions. However, the practice of travel procurement has a clear opportunity to demonstrate its value for any company, in every vertical market. Travel managers are becoming experts on travel safety and touchless experiences at precisely the right time. They are collaborating with colleagues like never before, focusing on key destinations as companies narrow their most important post- quarantine business objectives. HRS’ flash survey of corporate travel program leaders in May found that 51% of buyers will issue overhauled RFPs to get vital new information they need, as well as review proposals that fit their downsized travel budgets. HRS anticipates the bulk of these new RFPs will be sent in September to a recovering hotel industry that will be motivated to secure projectable corporate volume for 2021. This report provides vital insight to all parties – for buyers considering their RFP queries, for hoteliers seeking to win volume – as we look forward to playing our facilitating role in helping the corporate hospitality industry recover. Tobias Ragge CEO HRS Group 4
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES INDEX CONTENTS 1. Coronavirus impact on corporate travel industry 06 2. Direct impact of the corona virus on companies 11 1. Duty of care 12 2. Product bundles and savings 13 3. Planning reliability 13 3. How companies should react 14 1. Duty of care 14 2. Product bundles and savings 17 3. Plannning reliability 27 4. Manage your RFP in 2020 29 5
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES 1. CORONAVIRUS IMPACT ON CORPORATE TRAVEL INDUSTRY ACCOMMODATION INDUSTRY IN SPECIFIC GLOBAL TRAVEL AND, HENCE, THE GLOBAL ACCOMMODATION SEGMENT AMONGST MOST IMPACTED INDUSTRIES The global travel industry has never experienced an external demand shock like this. Through July, the daily variation in the number of flights compared with equivalent days in 2019 is down dramatically year-over-year, according to Eurocontrol. More than 160 internationally operating airlines had their entire fleets grounded at one point; another 91 were using less than 10% of their capacity for multiple weeks. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) assumes that the airlines’ turnover will drop by 44 percent in comparison with 2019 or by $252bn USD. This assumption is based on restrictions on air transport for three months. Regarding the accommodation segment: the unprecedented demand shock has hospitality reeling on every continent. Occupancy rates ranged from 0-20% across almost all global markets for weeks during the second quarter. 1 https://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/2020-07/covid19-eurocontrol-comprehensive-air-traffic-assessment-08072020.pdf 2 https://www.eurocontrol.int/sites/default/files/2020-04/eurocontrol-aviation-recovery-factsheet-27042020.pdf 6
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES STR detailed the steep year-over-year occupancy drops across the globe for May: › Europe: Fell 82% to 13.3% › Asia-Pacific: Dropped 47.3% to 35.8% › U.S.: Reduced 51.7% to 33.1% › Central/South America: Fell 73% to 15.3% SLOW RECOVERY WITH SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER LEVEL OF OCCUPANCY EXPECTED UNTIL 2022 Even after recovery commences, corporate travel will not go back to supply and demand levels we saw in 2019 due to the following factors: 1. DEMAND HRS data proves that domestic travel will pick up first, with international travel recovering slowly with different levels of speed. A deeper look into the pace of China’s recovery shows a trend which we expect to see on multiple continents as travel recovers: Increasing domestic travel but international travel remaining at a very low level. Generally, the return to the new normal is expected in three phases: 1. Domestic As many borders are still closed around the world, or entry is at least limited drastically, domestic travel – with drive-to and train-to destinations leading the way - will pick up first. 2. Regional Travel in regions which are culturally and economically strongly interwoven (e.g. inside the EU, North America) will return next. With most of Europe’s borders opening in July, mixed with manageable virus infection rates and pent-up demand, third-quarter activity should be noticeable. Conversely, in the USA, with the virus rampant in southern and western states, third quarter rebound figures will be inconsistent. More than 77,000 new coronavirus cases were announced in the USA on July 16, a new single-day high for the country. By mid-August, more than 5.5 million Americans were infected. These figures surely weigh down hopes for short-term recovery. 7
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES 3. Intercontinental/Global This segment will suffer and take much longer to recover. According to a research study by Oracle and Skift1, over 60% of hotel executives expect that the number of international travelers will be less than before. The analytical forecasting model by HRS, which is based on our data and recovery scenarios as well as external industry sources, predicts that we will see demand to recover to only 70% of pre- COVID-19 times far into 2022 – main reasons are as following: › LOWER AIRLINE CAPACITIES › EXTENSIVE HEALTH AND reduce the potential number of SECURITY CHECKS as well passengers. Boeing CEO Dave as aggravated immigration Calhoun stated that “air travel procedures are expected won’t return to 2019 level for at to lengthen travel duration 2 least two to three years . extensively. › PROTECTIONIST measures from › Increasing NEAR-SHORING top corporate travel markets like ACTIVITIES by companies to China, the U.S. and Europe limit get less dependent on other the number of foreign inbound countries diminish travel travelers who could provoke demand . 3 another outbreak . › Corporations will reduce TRAVEL BUDGETS to save costs and mitigate the widespread drop in overall revenues. A survey of 263 global travel managers released in July – conducted by Uniglobe4 – found that 61% of European respondents said their firms either are traveling already or expect to within the next three months, compared with only 32% of North American respondents. Different nations have varying quarantine regulations still in place, limiting opportunities for re-opening. Therefore, predictions on the pace as well as magnitude of recovery remain crystal ball gazing. 1 https://www.oracle.com/a/ocom/docs/industries/hospitality/data-driven-hosp-recovery.pdf?elqTrackId=2424d5b5c0c34071aa6010189eb99f3a &elqaid=95552&elqat=2 2 https://www.seattletimes.com/business/ boeing-aerospace/boeing-ceo-air-travel-wont-return-to-2019-level-for-two-to-three-years 3 https://public.tableau.com/profile/ the.boston.consulting.group#!/vizhome/BCGsTravelRecoveryInsightsPortal/PortalHome?publish=yes 4 https://www.businesstravelnews.com/Global/Survey-Travel-Managers-Lifting-Restrictions-More-Quickly-in-Europe-than-N-America?utm_source= newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=eltrglobal&oly_enc_id=2871H4119645H3G 8
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES 2. SUPPLY The effect on supply will be minor. A Bernstein Research report from late April estimates that only 2% of the global hotel supply will permanently shut down due to COVID-19. Recovery is possible for the remaining supply through government assistance or lenient lenders: › In Europe, the lenders and landlords › In the US, it is more governmental need to play ball to keep the hotels support that will keep hotels open in business. When European hoteliers and operational. The Paycheck reopen properties, they might need Protection Program under the $2 to rely on flexibility from lenders trillion coronavirus relief fund is to relax payment schedules on accessible for hotels, helping them mortgages until occupancy and get through the initial months of the revenue per room return crisis. As the third quarter hits the midway point, there is a lobbying effort underway to secure more Federal government support given the rise of the virus in southern and western states. With the dominance of more financially-sound chains in the U.S., there remains a high sense of confidence that the vast majority of properties will survive. As a reference, the 2008 financial crisis, according to the Bernstein report, resulted in a net closure of around 1 percent of hotels in the UK. Another effect which is expected on the supply side are increased Merger & Acquisition activities. The industry already has some supporting facets for high M&A attractiveness: market fragmentation, benefits of scale and multibrand/product platform, improved bargaining power with online travel agencies and expanded loyalty programs. Once, the most severe effects from the crisis have been overcome by the bigger, more global chains, the consolidation trend from the past year will surely go on and even accelerate as many smaller and regional chains may become easy targets through the effects of the crisis. 9
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES HOTEL PRODUCT OF THE FUTURE WILL CHANGE IN MANY ASPECTS The hotel stay of the future will definitely look different in many aspects than before the arrival of COVID-19. We anticipate changes in almost every area of the hotel stay, including: › More digitization of core processes like online › Some corporate programs may even require check-in/ check-out options, as well as virtual such options, as they seek to keep the payment solutions traveler in their (safe) hotel room and out of restaurants until there is a vaccine. › Arrival kits for guests, which include hygiene kits with masks, gloves, sanitizer etc. › There are new standards for typical guest room services, e.g. supply of all necessary › Breakfast buffets are likely rendered to towels/linens before the stay and no room the past. Hotels are investing in creating service during stay etc. packaged, single-meal options for guests, for pick-up in dining areas or delivered as room service. 10
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES 2. DIRECT IMPACT OF THE CORONAVIRUS ON COMPANIES The Coronavirus situation presents huge challenges for travel management, procurement and HR-related matters. The most severe constraints are around duty of care, product bundles and savings and planning reliability for the next 18 months. Procurement leaders will need to expertly manage these three dimensions to adapt to the “new normal,” and deliver more broadly-understood results for company: MANY CHALLENGES EXISTS FOR 2021 PROGRAM MGMT- COVID-19 OFFERS UNIQUE OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATIONS DUTY OF CARE PRODUCT BUNDLES & SAVINGS PLANNING RELIABILITY Employees’ health Increasing internal High desire for agility and safety importance cost pressure and in hotel program create need for need for savings lead management. to safety and hygiene to strong push for adapt program to certification/label hard & soft savings in changing economic of hotels travel and hotel market conditions Provision of adjacent Changing needs of services to fulfill corporates due to duty of care and COVID-19 leading ensure safety of to adapted product travelers (e.g. food bundles and rate and beverage, composition transportation) 11
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES 1. DUTY OF CARE Of course, health and security of employees comes first before everything else. Companies should undertake all necessary actions to protect their employees – and most have used the downturn in recent months to do just that. Travel policies will be much more directed at security and health related issues. An HRS survey shows the immense interest of corporate travel managers in revised hygiene standards for the hotels within their managed programs. It will be one of the core tasks of travel managers to restore the confidence of travelers into traveling safe and return healthy when traveling for business purposes. ARE YOU SEEKING HOTELS THAT HAVE A REVISED COVID-19 DRIVEN HYGIENE STANDARD? 86,5% 13,5% Yes No The crisis will change the practice, with more programs going towards more mandatory travel policies that include rigid cost and content control. Duty of Care is now the top priority. It will be comprised of procurement, authorization flows, carefully selected and managed booking channels, touchless stay experience and employee tracking possibilities. The general strategy will focus on Compliance Enforcement, ensuring booking channel management, and use of procurement experts and central virtual payment. 12
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES 2. PRODUCT BUNDLES AND SAVINGS The HRS COVID-19 Travel Buyer Sentiment Survey in June found out that 65% of corporations are recalibrating travel priorities for post-coronavirus business activities. Additionally, the survey showed that for 73% of companies, the most important aspect for the hotel program is to ensure that hotels are following hygiene protocols, leading to the result that 62% see revising duty-of-care guidelines as a priority topic. Procurement will make sure that ‘new normal’ product bundles incorporate such changes and, therefore, evaluate the various components of product bundles such as breakfast, LRA and/or flexible cancellation rates. These items are prime for negotiation without harming the pure bid rate of hotels. 3. PLANNING RELIABILITY Solving leakage problems by ensuring channel and content control strengthens duty of care (know where the traveler is) and planning reliability (know what the traveler paid). Travel managers will reinforce (via stricter travel policies) that their travelers should book in appropriate managed channels. In combination with the consolidation of most programs on a destination level, there is the potential for programs to have consistent, recurring demand for select single properties in some locations. 13
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES 3. HOW COMPANIES SHOULD REACT “THE GREATEST DANGER IN TIMES OF TURBULENCE IS NOT THE TURBULENCE ITSELF, BUT TO ACT WITH YESTERDAY’S LOGIC.” Managing in Turbulent Times by Peter F. Drucker (1980) There are many elements and strategies corporations can put into place when preparing and issuing 2021 RFPs to sufficiently address the three challenges mentioned above: (1) duty of care, (2) product bundles and savings and (3) planning reliability. 1. DUTY OF CARE MAKE YOUR TRAVELERS FEEL SAFE THROUGH HOTEL HYGIENE CERTIFICATIONS At HRS, our main priority is to ensure the health, safety and security of our customers and business partners. This is why HRS partnered with SGS, the world‘s leading inspection, verification, testing and certification company, to develop the Clean & Safe Protocol. 14
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES The HRS Clean & Safe Protocol provides both corporations and hoteliers with a well-defined, transparent standard of property hygiene. The Clean and Safe Protocol is based on guidelines from: › The World Health Organization (WHO) › The U.S. Center of Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) › World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) › The Research Institute for Exhibition and Live-Communication (RIFEL) The Clean & Safe Protocol comes in two different labels, Self-Inspected and Expert-Inspected (compliance audited by a 3rd party). These labels are visible across all HRS booking and procurement channels, as well as the RFP platform. The Clean & Safe Protocol helps corporations to: ✓ Meet duty of care requirements throughout ✓ Help travelers feel at ease traveling knowing the sourcing, searching and booking that their health and safety is being looked process after ✓ With more than 350 thousand hotels ✓ Build a safe hotel program with the label in the HRS portfolio alone, it provides visible in the RFP transparency of cleanliness standards with two unique labels ✓ Provides a guideline for travelers, with the label visible throughout the booking process DIGITIZE TRAVEL RELATED PROCESSES (E.G. TOUCHLESS CHECK-IN/CHECK-OUT) While there have been efforts in the last few years to use technology to make business travel more efficient, the COVID-19 pandemic has put this at the forefront of the industry. Many industries are looking at how they can use technology to increase automation and efficiency in their processes, while reducing physical touchpoints. The overall consensus is that digital strategies will help minimize the impact of COVID-19. As cited in a study by the World Economic Forum, digitization helps businesses stay open while reducing the spread of COVID-194 and other diseases. As customer expectations and demand have dramatically shifted, organizations that anticipate those needs will be positioned for long-term success. 4 WEF. 2020. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/04/10-technology-trends-coronavirus-covid19-pandemic-robotics-telehealth/ 15
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES Digitizing the check-in/check-out process benefits both individual and chain hotels. Even before the pandemic, hotels like CitizenM began incorporating digital processing to attract more tech-savvy consumers5, standing out in a highly competitive market. COVID-19 has only heightened the demand for technology. In May 2020 McKinsey published a study demonstrating that in eight weeks businesses and customers have jumped five years forward in their adoption of digital technologiess6. Digitalization has shifted from a convenience to a necessity. For corporations, the imperative is to reduce costs and improve transparency and control over their travel programs, while keeping their travelers safe. The touchless experience addresses two of the biggest reasons of why travelers don’t follow the corporate travel policy: complexity and time consumption. The touchless experience incentivizes program adoption by simplifying travel and reducing pain points through digital check- in/check-out and virtual payment. At the same time, it provides greater transparency of employee movement and spending for the corporate. The digitization of the registration and payment information increases data processing speed and the quality of the information. Corporates can then continuously improve their travel program based on analysis of this information. For example, if they need to include parking in their procurement of certain cities because their employees tend to drive to that location versus using a train and taxi. Providing a touchless experience helps corporates save time and money, enables hotels to differentiate themselves, and ultimately gives travelers a better experience. DRIVE COMPLIANCE AND CHANNEL CONTROL TO ENHANCE YOUR TRAVELER TRANSPARENCY There was a period when, due to a lack of advanced technology, travel procurement professionals saw the only way to drive savings in a corporate lodging program was through strict compliance into designated booking platforms. Unfortunately, for too many, this led to more travelers booking outside of managed channels. The corporate Online Booking Tools (OBT) had limited functionality and could only bring in a single source of content. Hotels were becoming more advanced in their revenue management and direct marketing to corporate travelers – leveraging higher loyalty points and free WIFI to drive travelers to book at the hotel website. As technology and advanced analytics progressed, there was a shift from channel control to traveler centricity. Travel procurement professionals saw that they could still show volume and savings through multi-source data integration, while allowing travelers to choose their booking method. Nevertheless, this practice led to the inability to locate travelers in extreme times of crisis – a reality that many programs discovered when the pandemic first hit and companies needed to quickly get travelers home. The outbreak of COVID-19 initiated a wide-spread global crisis that has impacted corporate travel like we have never seen before. But corporate travel will resume. As employees get back on the road, more responsibility falls to procurement to deliver both safety and savings within the hotel program. 5 Kim, Chan; Mauborgne, Renée. “CitizenM Hotels: A Blue Ocean Chain in a Red Ocean Industry: Blue Ocean Blog.”, www.blueoceanstrategy.com/blog citizenm-hotels-a-blue-ocean-chain-in-a-red-ocean-industry/. 6 McKinsey. 2020. https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/mckinsey-digital/our-insights/the-covid-19-recovery-will-be-digital-a-plan-for-the- first-90-days 16
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES So, what is driving the urgency and what can you do? › Duty of care: Knowing where your employees › Cost control: Channel control helps drive are in times of further corona outbreaks: savings through content management, • Modify your travel policy and compliance consistent traveler communication and (open booking is dead) to provide guidance payment options. Especially if all transactions to employees that ensure the ability to are channeled through one globally managed find travelers in times of need and provide platform a level of confidence in their safety › Loyalty to be available through managed • Implement a central Payment option as channels to decrease maverick bookings of an instrument to drive a more contactless heavy travelers. traveler experience and provide additional data transparency and incentivize your travelers to use the managed channel. This is the time when procurement departments can demonstrate their value by expanding their strategic toolbox. As the “traditional” RFP season begins, they can include a variety of existing and emerging instruments to achieve the best possible impact at the market level. This includes technology-driven savings and duty of care strategies via real-time benchmarking, automated and selective re-bid processes, and e-auctions that provide measurable results with less time and resources. By providing the booking tools, content, and amenities that drive both cost savings and traveler confidence, procurement increases channel control and transparency. 2. PRODUCT BUNDLES AND SAVINGS ADAPT PRODUCT BUNDLES TO CHANGED TRAVELER NEEDS AND “NEW NORMAL” Clearly, the “new normal” leads to different needs and expectations by corporations and travelers towards hotels and, therefore, to changed product bundles and pricing. Product bundles from the pre-COVID-19 era must be reevaluated and adapted to the new buyer’s market. The HRS Travel Buyer Sentiment Survey highlights that companies mainly focus on two things in adapting their desired product bundles: Increased flexibility with T&Cs (88%) and enhanced hygiene protocols (86%). The survey shows that travelers will simply expect that negotiated rates include hygiene kits as well as high flexibility on cancellation policies. Increasing investments into personnel, touchless elements and COVID-19 related hygiene measures and the increased need for higher cancelation flexibility might influence rates into becoming more expensive. While properties that adopt minimal legal hygiene measures may not add to the price point, other properties that try to differentiate themselves by offering high-end hygiene practices are more likely to increase rates. On the other hand, changed rate packages will also be reflected in lower rates. For example, due to new health guidelines, breakfast buffets are now relegated to the past. Many companies have the cost of breakfast included into their rate as part of their legacy contracts. This cost can be reduced, cut or modified, depending on the 17
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES changed travel policies of corporations. The HRS survey highlights that the companies now prefer take-away breakfast for their travelers. Also, as a result of lower occupancy, Last Room Availability (LRA) options no longer make sense for buyers to pay extra for in all destinations. By leveraging the HRS database - the most extensive benchmarking database in the industry - the surcharge of an LRA rate in comparison to NLRA was analyzed in detail. The results showed that for the top 100 business travel destinations, the average LRA surcharge on the rate was 10% in 2019. A thorough analysis of required destinations and the anticipated pace of occupancy increases in those locations should take place when readjusting the corporate program to the “next normal.” SURCHARGE OF AN LRA RATE IN FIVE SELECTED BUSINESS 86% 80% 71% Avg. Availability 52% 52% 14% 9% 11% 9% Avg. LRA 10% Surcharge 2019 Berlin Shanghai Paris Sao Paulo Chicago Source: HRS Data With companies requiring adapted product bundles as the pandemic’s path is clearly unpredictable, hotels are experimenting with pricing that factors in this element. Hotels that use the downturn in second quarter volume to recalibrate their proposals to preferred corporate clients and develop new bundles will be best positioned to come back faster as government regulations lift and companies get back on the road. 18
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES Corporations and procurement leaders must reevaluate their hotel program and adapt to their post-COVID-19 travel requirements and needs. Due to the ongoing uncertainty, the following factors need to be taken into consideration and prepared thoroughly by procurement leaders: › FOCUS ON DATA-DRIVEN PROCUREMENT: › AUDIT HOTEL PROGRAM: Check hotel program Establish an even stronger focus on data- on hygiene and safety requirements and driven procurement strategies derive necessary measures (e.g. include hotels which are certified by a universal program, › UPDATE TRAVEL POLICY: Essential travel, such as the HRS Clean & Safe Protocol) approvals, end-to-end hygiene (flight, smart check in/out, touchless payment), smart rate › ANALYZE VOLUME AND TARGET RATES: caps, cancellation clauses… Identify lower volume destinations, national / regional / global, high volumes (negotiations) › SET SAVINGS TARGETS: Define savings need vs Mid/Low destinations (bundling and target › UNDERSTAND TRAVELER: Incorporate › ADAPT PRODUCT BUNDLES: Analyze employee’s preferences, feedback and risks amenities and define requirements of product bundle in general and per destination ENSURE COMPETITIVE RATES AND ATTRACTIVE BUNDLES DESPITE LOWER EXPECTED VOLUMES While negotiating rates with new suppliers can drive savings in top travel destinations for the program, what about low-to-medium volume destinations or those with artificially lower volume in early 2020? Typically, low volume destinations in a travel program are left to book a public rate, or possibly a discount off public rate via a chain-wide discount. However, as COVID-19 pushes volume down across corporations worldwide, procurement leaders should make use of a provider who can bundle travel volume across multiple programs to achieve more competitive fixed rates in so-called consortia rates while delivering steady and sustainable revenue to the hotel. In order to cover secondary locations not close to Points of Interest (POIs), with a lower production, within a large destination city (e.g. airports, train stations, etc.), consortia rates are the most convenient choice to grant coverage, attractive bundles and savings. 19
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES This scalable solution provides coverage to “bridge” the gap from current low volume until travel recovers at different rates across geography and industry. Important safety standards or amenities (think hygiene kits with masks or in-room dining) are pre-negotiated, and destinations can be re-evaluated as volume returns to a level justifying a dedicated corporate rate. BUNDLING OF LOW VOLUME ROOM NIGHT DESTINATIONS IN CONSORTIA RATES Bundling low volume room night destinations of several buyer’s ensures OPTION A > Hotel program Low volume = 100 company A moderate savings potential OPTION B 100 100 100 Higher bundled volume CCR 100 100 100 = higher savings potential Company A Company B Company C HRS HAS THE MOST SUCCESSFUL CONSORTIA PROGRAM IN THE WORLD, WITH STRATEGICALLY TARGETED RATES BASED ON MARKET FLUCTUATION 89€ avg. rate 3.7 avg. stars 8,700+ hotels with worldwide HRS coverage CONSORTIA PROGRAM 8.3 google 99% rating Wifi 76% incl. 6pm cxl breakfast 20
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES MONITOR RATE COMPLIANCE TO TRANSLATE PAPER SAVINGS INTO REALIZED SAVINGS The Coronavirus pandemic only emphasizes the need for real-time information, enabling a focus on the current most important topics of security and costs to ensure more reliable and flexible planning7. The goal of travel and procurement managers should be to utilize data as a predictive tool, forming the decision grounds for their future portfolios. Valuable data about the following items can translate into valuable benchmarks: › Their markets’ developments, › available suppliers and their compliance, as well as › other buyers and › their own data One example when it comes to the rate is to identify and analyze the gap between a fixed negotiated rate and the actual averaged booked rate over the course of the year. In reality, there is a gap between the average displayed rates and the average actual spend: inclusion of amenities, availability, different cancellation policies, and incorrectness of the displayed rate will impact the real spend compared to the original evaluation. Driven by a commitment for transparency, HRS developed an estimation of the “actual” average rate a given room will be associated to - dubbed “Normalized Rate” - to enable a fair comparison between offers, and also provide a better evaluation of the realized savings a given portfolio optimization will lead to. To evaluate normalized rates, HRS takes advantage of its comprehensive booking data history and its unique innovative tool set, including automated Rate Auditing functionality. These tools incorporate historical information on the costs of amenities (such as Breakfast and Wifi), but also the impact of the rate availability and rate correctness based on actual retrospective scans of the rates proposed by the hotels. In addition, the overall impact of cancellation policy associated to the original rate is also integrated. The additional average costs are evaluated for a given hotel and a given customer based on their historical cancellation pattern (average share of cancellations and average cancellation period). 7 Whitehill, 2020; UNWTO, 2020b 21
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES VIZUALIZATION OF THE BREAKDOWN OF THE NORMALIZED RATE ALONG WITH NORMALIZED RATE DISPLAY IN OUR eRFP TOOL Normalized Rate Breakdown 10,5 5,5 151 8 7 10 110 Bid Breakfast Wifi Cancellation Unavailability Incorrectness Normalized Rate Procurement Tool SMARTLY APPROACH DYNAMIC RATES AND PROLONGATION OF 2020 RATES It is commonly agreed that the annual corporate lodging RFP process needs an overhaul. Spending six months negotiating a yearlong program every year is not efficient or effective. Opinions vary on how to manage that change. GBTA announced in April 2020 that they were endorsing a full rollover of 2020 rates for all of 2021 due to the limited resources at the hotel level8. As discussed before, while there are many logical and expedient reasons to overhaul your program to COVID-19 endorsed needs, some corporations might still decide to prolong their 2020 rates. In theory this does seem to free up everyone’s time. However, this strategy and logic does not take into account the effort and potential impacts to “just prolonging rates.” 22
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES EFFORT RATE COLLECTION CLOSED HOTELS › Even if your program relies heavily › Find an alternative to cover the need on chains, there is still analysis and communication necessary - blanket vs › Negotiate a rate not to impact ADR individual property efforts to determine › What will be the negotiation process? if the hotel will honor the 2020 rate, amenities, and if they are even open › Collection of hotel extension agreement & Official T&C agreement RATE LOADING › Check Rate / Tax / Amenities compliance › Heavy work to ensure format & client’s with Previous Year. Several countries specific request compliancy are lightening the VAT tax for a specified › Offline rate management period of time › Collection of updated Seasons, Trade Fairs and Black Out Days. Holidays and REPORTING trade fairs will shift from year to year, and are especially hard to project as the › Impossibility to update Directory & OBE impact of the pandemic extends into reports 2021. AUDITS › Missing Official T&C agreement for Rate › Misalignment between previous year rate Extension and activated rate in CRS/GDS NON-COMPLIANT HOTELS • Check Rate compliance with Previous Year › Duty of care: security & hygiene norms not respected • Check Tax compliance with Previous Year › Ensure hotels and hotel referent are available • Check Amenities compliance with previous Year › Chase manually the hotels to agree on same rate › If refusal: • Find an alternative to cover the need • Negotiate a rate not to impact ADR IMPACT 8 https://www.gbta.org/blog/gbta-endorses-postponement-of-2020-hotel-rfp-amid-coronavirus-pandemic/ 23
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES IMPACT ECONOMICS QUALITY › Missed Savings › Leakage on both program & tools due to higher rates than market › Potential ADR increase › Risk of uncovered destinations › On site costs for additional amenities › Risk of inconsistent rate conditions TIME › Lack of transparency on hotel level › Extended time to negotiate & replace › Duty of care risk: extending hotels non hotels afterwards COVID compliant › Long cycle to collect, verify & chase › Cancellation policy flexibility hotels on various metrics › Traveler experience worsened with › 2021: time consuming to manage amenities you might not benefit from dissatisfaction of higher rates, to without negotiation renegotiate better rates or new hotels to get better offers, potential › Rate Activation delay due to closed contaminations hotels 24
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES WHY NEGOTIATE RATHER THAN PROLONGING 2020 RATES? STRATEGIC RELEVANCE Corporate now have a strong desire for a unified standard hygiene protocol within their SAFETY, lodging programs next to enhancements of HYGIENE AND duty of care protocols. Chains are developing DUTY OF CARE different safety protocols while HRS is trying to harmonize on this. It is part of the travel buyer role to renegotiate TRAVEL BUYER the rates, since there is a huge imbalance ROLE IN A between supply and demand, to meet the actual BUYER MARKET corporate demand pressure for cost savings. After 10+ years of rates increases we will now SAVINGS face a period of heavily decreased demand OPPORTUNITY while supply is anticipated to still grow. It is important to revise the list of amenities, because world has changed after COVID-19 AMENITIES and those negotiated in 2019 will not cover travelers’ needs. Extending rates does not necessarily save time: hotels have to be contacted in any case to agree on the extension, to check if they are open or close and to ask them specific EFFORT questions (safety / hygiene, new amenities, blackout rates, tradefair rates etc), heavy rate loading process, audits. There are heavier administrative costs involved. 25
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES On the other end of the spectrum, there is the opinion that a 90-100% dynamic program is the way to go. That is not the answer either. This approach doesn’t consider the fact that 84% of global hotel market share is owned by independent hotels. This approach favors global chains that have the technology to either implement dynamic rates at the property level, chain wide discounts across all properties or dual load static/dynamic rates. In addition, there is very little alignment on how to capture savings and audit the application of a dynamic rate. Even with a LRA (last room available) dynamic rate and comparable amenities included, there is still a lack of reliable technology to apply and audit the discount. Dynamic rates limitations, including: › BUDGETING AND PLANNING HARDLY › NO COMMITMENT OF CHAINS – Dynamic rates POSSIBLE – Corporates lose ability to plan infer no chain commitment to agreed rates, ahead and budget costs professionally availability & best price delivery › DYNAMIC RATES HELP IN TIMES WITH LOW › TIME-INTENSIVE MONITORING OF RATES – No AVAILABILITY – Availability will be of no big transparency of rates leads to high workload concern for the next 18 months+ to monitor rates and availability Both sides of the argument are assuming that there is a one-size-fits-all strategy. However, years of rate analysis say there is not. There is a time and place for extending static rates, implementing dynamic rates and renegotiating both. In addition, both sides fail to acknowledge that after a decade of being in a seller’s market, the tables have turned. Therefore, it has never been more critical to build a strategy that works for your specific company’s needs and culture through a hybrid approach. Whether or not we know the exact volumes in the recovery period, what we do know are the percentages and distribution within a corporate’s program. Historical data can show us where the highest volumes will be and advanced forecasting logic will show us which rate strategies to apply and what a corporate should be paying in those markets. One of the biggest deterrents to a negotiated dynamic discount or hybrid approach has been how to calculate the savings for internal reporting. In recent years, there has only been a focus on the savings methodology for a dynamic discount applied at the time of booking. As global chains have adapted to the current environment, offering dual rate loading (static & dynamic), the need for an updated negotiated savings methodology has become critical to this RFP season. When travelers do return to using updated booking channels, some savings drivers will stand out for their proven ability to turn negotiated results into realized savings: › Sourcing alternative suppliers › Bundling travel volume across corporates, and › Implementing dynamic adoption within a 15 to 18 months portfolio horizon. 26
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES 3. PLANNNING RELIABILITY MAKE YOUR RFP LEAN AND AGILE TO PREPARE TO ACT FAST IN UNCERTAIN TIMES While it is acknowledged that there are limited resources on the supplier side to manage RFPs, it is unreasonable to ask corporates to do nothing to adjust their programs to the current market conditions. Travel procurement professionals would be negligent in their corporate responsibility to duty of care and competitive bidding if they did not go to RFP. So, how can the 2020 RFP process feature advantages for both corporations and hotels? › DELAYED START OF RFP SEASON: While peak › CONTINUOUS REVIEW AND ADAPTATION OF RFP season has traditionally begun in the THE PROGRAM: The market environment is beginning of June, RFPs have been generally extremely volatile, fragile and agile, therefore postponed and delayed until September. adapting the hotel program continuously is This will allow for better responses as hotels crucial. By utilizing historical data, we can reopen and furloughed employees return to create a solid and reliable 2021 program work. foundation. However, HRS recommends re- assessing in late Q1 to early Q2 2021. This › SHORTENED RFP CYCLE: Through an will provide early recovery data to consider: innovative paralleled approach to the RFP • Market price shifts in key markets process that HRS put in development pre- COVID, the negotiation timeline is shortened • Travel pattern changes from an average 16 weeks to 4 weeks. • Organizational changes • Multiple RFPs are launched at the same • Hotel partner accountability time with a one-bid request in order to improve process efficiency and • Any unexpected events reduce the burden on hotels and chains that would normally be responding to hundreds of ad hoc RFPs. • Data is pre-released to allow for response preparation and the ability to submit a best-and-final offer the first time. • Live benchmarking gives assurance to both hotels and corporates that the offer is competitive The corporate hospitality industry is at an unprecedented juncture. This calls for action and innovation – not inaction and complacency. Through transparent communication, partnership and agility, the industry has a unique opportunity to modernize the outdated annual RFP and create a sustainable continuous sourcing process. 27
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES USE NEW BI MODELS BASED ON COVID-19 DATA AND INSIGHTS The crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has had repercussions in all aspects of our industry, including our ability to evaluate future volume of travelers and room rates, which was traditionally based on pattern analysis of historical data. HRS adapted its approach and built a new set of forecasts. These approach combines advanced statistical modeling, in form of an additive regression model for decomposing the time-series into different factors such as general trend and seasonality effects for a given destination for instance, and the in-depth knowledge of our travel experts, including the specifics of particular client relationship, travel patterns and post-COVID-19 priorities. As we look ahead, the most critical aspect to understand is the volume of demand for travel, as supply and availability is no longer a limiting factor. HRS’ demand forecast assembles all available data, with the addition of Google trend data to model the new behavior of travelers. HRS experts can input various recovery scenarios in the forecast to better reflect the reality on the ground (certain markets will recover faster than others, domestic travel will recover faster than international travel, etc.). This unique approach enables a forecast tailored to the new reality and specific needs of customers and partners. In addition, future rates are evaluated from the prior year’s rates, while also incorporating the new reality of our travelers, as mentioned above in section 3.2 product bundles and savings. Accordingly, these new rate forecasts allow for transparent communication with corporate clients and hotel partners. Screenshot of the output of our demand volume forecast 28
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES 4. MANAGE YOUR RFP IN 2020 As the globe emerges from the Coronavirus pandemic, corporations are recalibrating their managed travel programs as they plan to get back on the road. Companies are revising their duty-of-care guidelines, and sharpening their focus on prioritized destinations. Due to increased pent-up demand, detailed volume and capacity planning is crucial for success. The newly- defined goal for decision-makers in travel management is clear: they need to take steps to ensure traveller safety and health, even as they maximize the value of reduced lodging allocations. This trend is driven by the financial pressure many companies face due to the slump in sales caused by the global economic downturn. New bundles that appropriately balance critical hygiene and safety issues with financial considerations are quickly becoming the next normal in managed travel. DUTY-OF-CARE AND HYGIENE ARE THE NUMBER ONE PRIORITY FOR HOTEL PROGRAMS The coronavirus outbreak has redefined priorities for corporate hotel program managers. Leaders are examining traveller safety for every part of the business trip – literally from the moment the employee leaves their home, through the “traditional” elements of the business trip (air / hotel / ground transport / dining / meeting location), and on to the completion of the journey and return home. 29
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES On the hotel front, RFPs are totally revamped, with safety and hygiene questions dominating the document. Queries include topics such as: › Guest and meeting room cleaning › Distancing guidelines for public areas protocols and frequencies, like lobbies, elevators, and gyms, and › Sanitizing chemicals the hotel uses, › Enhancements to food and beverage preparation, individual item options, etc. With the pace and penetration of the virus varying by location, flexibility is also a highly-ranked priority. Companies are placing a premium on same-day cancellation to account for local virus trends, as well as concerns travelers may have about going to a specific location. THE NEW BUNDLE: FACTORING HYGIENE & SAFETY WITH LOCAL PRICING REALITIES With each passing week, HRS sees a pricing trend for corporate hotel programs. The changed circumstances are reflected in changed product bundles and, hence, pricing. Factors include: › At a time when occupancy rates have dropped dramatically, companies no longer need to pay the (on average) 10 percent premium to have Last Room Availability clauses in hotel agreements in all destinations. A thorough analysis of required destinations and the anticipated pace of occupancy increases in those locations should take place. › As properties adjust to Coronavirus- related hygiene protocols, buffet breakfasts have been removed from the vast majority of hotels. Many companies have the cost of breakfast negotiated into their rate as part of their legacy contracts. This cost can be reduced, cut or modified, depending on the changed travel policies and breakfast/food guidelines of corporations 30
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES › As discussed above, fluid on-the- ground realities with local COVID transmission levels are placing a premium on cancellation flexibility. Hotels...enduring lower demand in most markets...are more willing to offer that flexibility. › Hotels have had to make investments in personnel, cleaning materials and other touchless elements to address the need for enhanced hygiene and distancing practices. These recurring investments inevitably are reflected in hotel rates. Properties that adopt the minimal legal cleanliness requirements may not add to the price point, while other properties that seek to differentiate with high-end sanitization practices are more likely to increase rates. › With general demand uncertain, corporations that have the proven capability to truly steer volume to preferred hotels can secure deeper discounts with market share commitments. › Finally, as companies ask their travelers to get back on the road to visit clients and sell to prospects, travelers rightly seek assurance that preferred hotels are clean and safe. To address this baseline requirement, hotels should engage with universal programs, such as the HRS Clean & Safe Protocol, which provide labels that showcase the hotel’s newly enhanced standard in both procurement and shopping processes. 31
PROCUREMENT STRATEGIES IN COVID-19 TIMES In addition, companies are taking steps to drive more travellers to book within the travel policy, thereby enabling better tracking in the event of medical or regional crises. Given the fragmentation of the global hotel market, with ongoing challenges in benchmarking, the optimizing of the lodging program remains a major task for procurement leaders worldwide. Accordingly, new bundles are being developed around these elements, as well as touchless service options and flexible terms. Moving forward, corporations need to be more thorough as they prepare for hotel negotiations. They should have more pre-RFP exchanges with hotels to have a better sense of the bundles preferred partners are considering. Hotels using the downturn in second and third quarter volume to recalibrate their proposals to preferred corporate clients will be best positioned to come back faster once companies travel again. This client-partner transparency is essential to a successful negotiation season for both parties. For more insights on the Corporate Travel 32 and the lodging industry visit hrs.com/corporate 32
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