Hotel Market in Georgia | 2019 - PREPARED FOR
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Photo: Radisson Blu Iveria Hotel Tbilisi CONTENTS Executive Summary 3 Appendix 1 - Real Estate Registration 90 and Construction Permits Country Profile 4 Appendix 2 - Primary Information Sources, International Rankings 6 data used for the study and definitions 94 Economic Overview 7 Disclaimer 96 Tourism Overview 14 Project Team 97 Tbilisi Hotel Market Overview 26 Colliers Global Stats at a Glance 98 Batumi Hotel Market Overview 39 Kutaisi Hotel Market Overview 52 Seaside Resorts Hotel Market Overview 57 Mountain Resorts Hotel Market Overview 64 Spa and Wellness Hotel Market Overview 78 Destination Hotel Market Overview 86 Conclusions 89 Colliers International Georgia 2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Tourism In 2019, Batumi International Hotels Performed Well In 2019, the number of Georgia’s international inbound travelers grew by 7% year-over-year from The occupancy rate for Batumi’s internationally- 7.2 million to 7.6 million. Tourist arrivals increased branded hotels has maintained its stability at 65%, by 7% from 2018 to 2019, reaching 5.1 million while the figure in local upscale and middle-class visitors. hotels declined by 7%. RevPAR in local upscale and midscale hotels remained stable at USD 27, Hotel Supply Trend while the figure in international hotels has merely The hotel industry in Georgia comprises decreased by 2.6%. The ADR at internationally approximately 33,460 rooms. The supply is branded hotels decreased slightly by 3%. In expected to increase roughly by 7K new rooms by contrast, the ADR at local upscale and middle-class 2024. hotels grew by 14% . Tbilisi and Batumi – Main Suppliers of Hotel Rooms Overall, the occupancy rates at Tbilisi’s hotels decreased across all classes in 2019. International The supply of Tbilisi and Batumi hotel rooms has and local upscale &midscale hotels held an increased significantly during the past few years. In occupancy rate of 62%. The ADR and RevPAR in all 2019, the total number of hotel rooms in Tbilisi segments dramatically declined compared to 2018. increased by 23%, amounting to 12,430 units. Batumi’s supply rose to 6,341 rooms, reflecting a Spa and destination resort hotels are characterised 13% increase. Taking the pipeline into with their high-performance indicators. The total consideration, these two cities will remain occupancy rate at spa resorts was 49% in 2019, Georgia’s top suppliers over the next five years. while that of destination hotels was 57%. The ADR at spa resorts stands at USD 68, while the same International Operators Continue to Expand in figure at destination hotels amounts to USD 85. Georgia Georgian ski resorts have hosted more than Substantial growth of the Georgian hotel market is 550,000 visitors during the 2017-2018 winter expected during the next few years. Several major season. Among other ski resorts, Mestia hotels international brands will open hotels in not only recorded the highest occupancy rate (48%) in 2019. Tbilisi and Batumi, but also in Kutaisi, and Georgia’s While Gudauri has the highest ADR at USD 83. Ski seaside and mountain resorts. The first resorts are characterised by increasing internationally-known midscale brand, Best competitiveness of the Airbnb market, reflected in Western, already opened a 45-room hotel in the substantial growth of its revenue. Kutaisi. Another international brand, Ramada Encore, is expected to open a hotel in Kutaisi in 2021, adding another 124 rooms. Internationally-branded hotels have not entered Batumi’s hotel market since 2017. But the number of international hotel rooms is expected to grow by 1,600 units by 2024. Today, internationally-branded hotel rooms represent 21% of Tbilisi’s total supply. There are 18 international hotels in the current pipeline with a total investment volume of approximately USD 700 million. Photo: The Biltmore Hotel Tbilisi Colliers International Georgia 3
COUNTRY PROFILE Background At the crossroads of Europe and Asia, Georgia POPULATION AREA borders Turkey, Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Russia. The 3.7mln 69.7K km country occupies an area of 69,700 square kilometers (sq km) and is home to a population of 3.7 million 2 people. The country’s land borders run a length of 1,839 kilometers (km), while the Black sea coastline is 315 km. CAPITAL CITY OF GEORGIA TBILISI During last two decades, Georgia has implemented OFFICIAL LANGUAGE GEORGIAN large-scale reforms that have led to political and economic transformation. It has strengthened its CURRENCY GEORGIAN LARI (GEL) democracy and furthered its relationship with the GDP PER CAPITA, 2019* USD 4,763 European Union (EU). The Association Agreement with EU was signed and ratified in 2014. Georgia has REAL GDP GROWTH RATE, 2019 5.1% also made business development within the country a UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, 2019 11.6% top priority through encouraging entrepreneurship, attracting private investments, and shifting tax AVERAGE MONTHLY SALARY, 2019* USD 567.9 incentives, thereby positioning itself as an attractive LIFE EXPECTANCY, 2018 74 years option to the international business world. Source: Geostat (preliminary data) With its unique cultural heritage and exuberant hospitality, Georgia’s tourism industry continues to grow and thrive, further bolstering economic growth. Government Georgia is a parliamentary republic. Parliamentary elections are held every four years. In 2018, Georgia’s parliament relocated to Tbilisi from Kutaisi. It acts as the representative body for the country, exercising legislative power and developing domestic and foreign policy. As an executive council of government ministers, Georgia’s cabinet is headed by Giorgi Gakharia, a member of the majority ‘Georgian Dream Party.’ Based on accountability, citizen participation, technology, and innovation as its guiding values, today’s government continues to make European and Euro-Atlantic integration a primary strategic objective. Colliers International Georgia 4
Legal Framework Tax Climate The Georgian Constitution, adopted in 1995, lays out To stimulate investments and boost economic the structure of the national government and defines growth, developing an attractive tax system is one of its authority and function. Georgia’s court system has the main goals of the Georgian government. With three branches: the Courts of First Instance (District or only six flat-rate taxes (Personal Income Tax – 20%, City Courts), the Appellate Courts, and the Supreme VAT – 18%, Profit Tax – 15%, Import Tax – 0%, 5%, or Court. The Courts of First Instance have jurisdiction 12%, Excise Tax – on a few selected goods, and over all civil, criminal, and administrative cases. Property Tax – up to 1%) and the Estonian tax model Decisions from the Courts of First Instance may be implemented in 2017 that exempts undistributed appealed at the Appellate Courts and further earnings from profit tax, has made Georgia one of appealed at the Supreme Court. the most competitive places to invest in. Georgia’s liberal trade regimes include: “Double Taxation As an alternative to litigation, Georgian laws allow Avoidance” 56 countries and the DCFTA with the EU arbitration both in local as well as international (since 2014). arbitration institutions. Georgia is a member of the International Centre for Settlement of Investment In January 2019, a new pension fund system was Disputes (ICSID). The Public Service Hall in Georgia launched in Georgia that is compulsory for every provides customers with state services, including hired person under the age of 40. For self-employed business registration and property registration people and those above the age of 40, engagement through the ‘one-stop-shop’ principle that ensures in the system is optional. The methodology of the efficient service delivery. reform is a 2+2+2 scheme, meaning that employer, employee, and government transfer 2% of the gross volume of the employee’s income on a personal account. Colliers International Georgia 5
International Rankings Georgia has improved its status as a free economy EASE OF DOING BUSINESS thanks to its fiscal policy, regulatory efficiency, and open market policies. According to the World Bank’s Doing Business report 2020, Georgia ranks 7th for “ease of doing business” among 190 economies, 2nd for “ease of starting a business”, and 5th for “ease of registering property”. In 2019, Fitch Ratings upgraded Georgia's Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating from 'BB-' to 'BB' with a stable outlook. As Fitch explains, it was due to the country maintaining a resilient economy during the regional shocks in 2018 and adds that Georgia ranks above the current medians of 'BB' category peers. Standard & Poor’s also raised Georgia’s ranking from ‘BB-’ to ‘BB’, while Moody’s credit rating for Georgia remains at ‘Ba2’. Registering a new business takes a maximum of two Source: World Bank, Colliers International days and requires no minimum capital requirements. GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS INDEX According to the ‘Heritage Foundation Index of Economic Freedom 2020,’ Georgia’s economy is categorized as Mostly Free, ranking 12th across 180 countries. Georgia remains the least corrupt country in the region. According to Transparency International, Georgia is the top performer among the Eastern European and Central Asian countries. Foreign investors in Georgia are guaranteed equal rights to those of Georgian citizens. After payment of Source: World Bank, Colliers International taxes, foreign investors are entitled to repatriate the earnings (income) gained from investments and other funds abroad. Property Ownership & Non-agricultural Lands In Georgia, property rights are recognized and protected by the Law. An owner has the right to possess, use and dispose of his or her property. The rights of individual owners to possess, use and dispose of land are regulated by the land legislation. There is no restriction on non-agricultural land ownership in Georgia. According to the Heritage Foundation Index, Georgia has substantial improvement in property rights in 2020 and is 21% above the world average. THE WORLD CORRUPTION RANKING Georgia 44 Belarus Romania 66 Bulgaria Armenia 70 74 77 Turkey 91 Moldova Ukraine Azerbaijan 120 126 126 Source: World Bank, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 6
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW Gross Domestic Product In 2019, according to the preliminary data of Geostat, GDP AT CONSTANT PRICES BY YEARS (GEL, BLN) the gross domestic product of Georgia reached an all-time high of GEL 40.4 billion. Despite the political and economic difficulties at the edge of the 2nd and 3rd quarters of 2019, the real GDP growth reached its 40.4 38.4 36.6 maximum after 2015 at 5.1%, well above the 33.9 34.9 Caucasus (Russia, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Georgia) region average of 3.7%. As of 2019, according to the Ministry of Finance of Georgia, the ratio of total government debt to nominal GDP is 40.6%, well below the euro area average (86.4% - 2019 Q2). During the last eight years (up to and including 2018), the budget deficit has 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 remained under 4%. As of 2018, the budget deficit constitutes only 2.9% of the nominal GDP. Source: Geostat, Colliers International Fast-growing Sectors Despite the political and economic difficulties at the edge of the 2nd and 3rd quarters, strong growth in the professional, scientific and technical activities Georgia has recorded the highest (26% YoY), administrative and support activities (20% real GDP growth of 5.1% since 2012. YoY) and information and communication (19% YoY), as well as art and entertainment (19% YoY) sectors contributed positively to the real GDP growth. REAL GDP GROWTH (%) GDP STRUCTURE Georgia Caucasus 5.1 4.8 4.8 3.0 2.9 3.7 3.5 13% 3.3 Trade Public Administration 1.3 Real Estate Financial Activities Industry Accommodation 0.1 Transport & Communication Education 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Construction Health & Social Work Agriculture Other Source: Geostat, Colliers International Source: Geostat, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 7
Exports The main exporting partners for the country in 2019 MAIN EXPORT COUNTRIES, 2019 (MLN,USD) were Russia, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Bulgaria, and Ukraine. In 2019, based on the preliminary data, total 498 497 exports grew by 12% YoY. This figure is significantly lower compared to the previous years, when the 412 growth rate was above 20%. The increase in exports to EU countries was also 12% YoY and represented 22% of the total exports. For CIS countries, it grew by 284 245 20% YoY, making up 53% of total exports. 228 202 178 132 The high volatility and depreciation of the Georgian national currency is Azerbaijan Bulgaria Turkey one of the main challenges in Russia Ukraine Romania recent years. Armenia China USA Source: Geostat, Colliers International Currency Fluctuations Depreciation and high volatility of the Georgian national currency was one of the main issues of the first half of 2019, seeing it reach a peak in August when, after the effects of flight ban from Russia were fully realized, 1 USD was exchanged for 2.97 GEL. However, as the negative expectations eventually dissipated following intervention by the National Bank of Georgia in the FX market, and the fundamental macroeconomic indicators showed a positive trend, the GEL quickly strengthened and at the end of 2019, 1 USD was traded for 2.82 GEL. CURRENCY FLUCTUATIONS (LCU vs. USD) Azerbaijan Armenia Ukraine 100% Georgia Russia Turkey 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 -20% Source: Geostat, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 8
Unemployment Rate Georgia’s labor force comprises approximately UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IN GEORGIA (%) 1,911,200 people. The unemployment rate is 11.6%, which is the lowest it has been for more than a decade. Since 2013, the unemployment rate in urban areas has declined by approximately 10%; however, the flat trend in rural areas indicates the fact that the main cities of Georgia remain the gravitational centre for businesses and are more attractive places to 14.1% 14.0% 13.9% invest in. The distribution of hired people in the labor 12.7% 11.6% force for Tbilisi and rest of the country is significantly different. Remittances In 2019, the total number of 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 remittances amounted to USD 1.73 Source: Geostat, Colliers International billion, reflecting a 10% growth compared to 2018. REMITTANCES (USD), 2015-2019 The main source markets are Russia (25%), Italy 2.0 25% (14%), Greece (11%), USA (10%), Israel (9%), and 20% Turkey (6%). 20% 1.5 14% Billion (USD) 15% 1.0 10% Inflation 7% 10% The annual inflation rate in 2019 was 4.2% (IMF 0.5 5% estimate). The main source of inflationary pressure on prices was the depreciation of the nominal currency. 1.08 1.15 1.39 1.58 1.73 As a result, the monetary committee of the central 0.0 0% bank raised the monetary policy rate from 6.5% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (September) to 9.0% (December). It is expected that Remittances Growth y-o-y during the year, the refinancing rate will decrease as Source: National Bank of Georgia, Colliers mid-term inflation expectations become positive. International CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (INFLATION, %) Headline Inflation Core Inflation 6.9 6.4 6.4 6.1 6.0 4.6 4.3 4.1 3.9 2.8 4.7 4.3 4.4 2.5 2.3 4.4 2.2 3.6 3.4 3.3 2.8 3.0 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.4 Jan 2017 Apr 2017 Jul 2017 Oct 2017 Jan 2018 Apr 2018 Jul 2018 Oct 2018 Jan 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Source: Geostat, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 9
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (FDI) According to the preliminary estimates of Geostat, in FDI INFLOWS BY YEARS (MLN, USD) 2019, the volume of FDI increased by a modest 0.2% (amounting to USD 1,268 million) compared to the 1,963 previous year, while dramatically decreased 1,729 1,650 compared to 2017. Among the reasons for the decline may be the completion of magistral gas 1,265 1,268 pipeline project, the transfer of several enterprises to the ownership of Georgian residents, as well as the reduction of non-resident direct investors liabilities. The United Kingdom, Turkey, and Ireland were the main investors, with shares of 19.5%, 18.7%, and 10.5%, respectively. As for the sectoral distribution, 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 20.6% of total FDI was invested in the financial sector, Source: Geostat, Colliers International while the second and the third were the energy and manufacturing sectors with 15.4% and 13.4%, FDI BY SECTORS (MLN, USD) respectively. 262 253 In 2019, unlike other sectors, FDI in real estate experienced a significant decrease and recorded a negative figure. The first quarter of 2019 was 194 171 particularly remarkable in terms of decline as the 158 number stood at USD -125 million. The most likely 118 117 reason for such a sharp decline in 2019 was the fact that companies moved to ownership by residents, from non-residents. 14 14 -32 In 2019, Financial, Energy & Manufacturing were the key sectors Financial Transport & Communication that attracted around 50% of total Energy Health & Social Work FDI. In 2020-23, around USD 1 billion Mining & Manufacturing Agriculture is expected to be invested in the Hotels & Restaurants Construction Real Estate Other construction of hydroelectric power stations. Source: Geostat, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 10
Covid-19 Effects & Economic Outlook Exposure Of Economic Sectors Towards Covid-19 Georgia’s economic sectors are exposed to the crisis on different scales. The Hotels, Food & Beverage and Entertainment sectors are highly exposed; however, in total, their share in the GDP amounts to 10%. Trade (14%) and Construction & Development (8.6%) have a relatively larger share in the GDP, yet both fall into the category of highly exposed sectors. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, COVID-19 IMPACT ON SECTORS (2019) Very Exposed Exposed Partially Exposed Neutral/Limited Impact More positive, than negative Other Sectors Professional, Scientific & 6.7% Technical Services 2.9% Information & Wholesale & Retail Communication Trade 3.0% 14.4% Arts, Entertainment & Recreation 3.2% Health & Social Work Activities Real Estate 4.3% Activities 11.5% Education 4.5% Accommodation & Food Service Activities 4.8% Manufacturing Financial & Insurance Activities 10.1% 5.4% Transportation & Storage Construction 6.5% 8.6% Public Administration & Defence Agricalture, Forestry 6.8% & Fishery 7.2% Source: Geostat, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 11
5 2,084 km AMBROLAUR AIRPORTS RAILWAY I 1,603 5,298 km km INTERNATIONAL INTERNAL ROADS STATE ROADS TRANSPORT & LOGISTICS INFRASTRUCTURE While already contributing roughly 9% to the Georgia has 1,603 km of international roads, 5,298 country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Georgia’s km of internal state roads, and 2,084 km of railway manufacturing sector is poised to provide further lines. Construction of Georgia’s central highway is significant investment opportunities. Greenfield one of the top priorities in the government’s investments are expected to rise in the export- infrastructure rehabilitation program. Since 2005, oriented manufacturing sectors, for which access to most of the country’s significant roads for the European market would be attractive. Together international trade have been upgraded or are now with international and local experts, Georgia’s under reconstruction. government is performing a deep analysis of the competitive sectors, and seeking new ways to Poti Sea Port is the largest port in Georgia. Currently stimulate foreign investment, attract new technology serving as the European gateway for international and know-how, and create high value-add trade in Georgia, Armenia, and Azerbaijan, it is production in the country. ideally located to become a future hub for trade with central Asia. Together with the Georgian From the transport and logistics perspective, government, the Chinese conglomerate CEFC China Georgia can serve as a gateway for foreign Energy group recently signed a cooperative companies interested in the Caucasus/CIS region agreement regarding the construction of a Common due to its geographic location and open business Market Zone in Poti that will actively promote the environment. Georgia is uniquely positioned to export of advanced technologies, production capitalize on the increasing trade flows between capacity, and products from China to countries in Europe, the Caspian Region, Central Asia, and China. the Eurasian region, and build a new Eurasian land With a transport system that functions as a key link bridge that will function as an economic corridor in the historic “Silk Road,” it offers the shortest route between China, Central Asia, and Western Asia. between the Black and Caspian seas. Georgia’s five airports are located in various regions, In October 2017, leaders of Georgia, Azerbaijan, and with the largest - operated by TAV Airports - in Turkey officially opened the Baku-Tbilisi-Kars (BTK) Tbilisi. The Ambrolauri airport opened in December railway as a part of Iron Silk Road project. The 826- 2016; it serves smaller aircraft with a 30-50 kilometer (km) / 513-mile line has the capacity to passenger capacity. Georgia’s additional airports are transport one million passengers and 6.5 million in Batumi, Mestia, and Kutaisi. tons of freight per year. The project will deepen trade relations between Georgia and China, making A recent governmental initiative regarding the the country a primary link between Europe and Asia. establishment of logistic centres in Tbilisi and Kutaisi Additionally, the government is investing heavily in created substantial interest from investors. Along road infrastructure, including highways and local with several Georgian companies, applications from roads. It is believed that long-term growth will stem companies registered in China, Switzerland, Turkey, from Georgia’s role as a transit state for pipelines. and others were received. The anticipated Three pipelines currently exist: development of infrastructure and manufacturing in Georgia, combined with its increasingly recognized • The Baku-Supsa pipeline; strategic location at the crossroads of Europe and • The Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline; Asia, will open up opportunities for modern • The South Caucasus pipeline (operated by industrial and logistics real estate investments. BP). Colliers International Georgia 12
The Influence of Covid-19 on Foreign Direct Investments LARGEST DIRECT INVESTOR COUNTRIES According to the national statistics (USD,MILLIONS), 2019* office, in 2019 the foreign direct investments (FDI) slightly increased by 0.2% and amounted to USD 1,267.7 UNITED KINGDOM 247.8 million. Around 50% of the investments are coming in from the UK, Turkey and Ireland (preliminary TURKEY 236.5 data, Geostat). The way these countries tackle the spread of Novel Coronavirus, and their investing IRELAND 132.7 strategy, will be critical for the inflow of future investment in Georgia. USA 99.0 The crisis of 2008-2009 had a negative impact on direct foreign PANAMA 78.1 NETHERLANDS 52.9 investment inflows in Georgia, recording a 60% decrease compared RUSSIA 40.4 CHINA 50.5 JAPAN 39.2 to the previous year. Source: Geostat, Colliers International FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT BY LARGEST SECTORS IN THE ECONOMY, 2019* Agriculture, Mining & Forestry and Quarrying Other Sectors Fishing 5.4% In 2019, (preliminary data) 1.1% 18.5% Manufacturing 8.1% investments were made in the given sectors: Finance (20.6%), Electricity, Gas, Steam and Air Conditioning supply (15.3%), and Hotels & Restaurants Electricity, Gas, Steam and Air (12.4%). Hotels & Restaurants Conditioning Supply and Construction sectors fall 15.3% into the very exposed and Financial exposed category, respectively. Sector 20.6% In the period of isolation, it is expected that investments in Construction 9.3% Hotels & Restaurants and Construction sectors will dramatically decrease. Transport and Hotels and Communications Restaurants 9.2% 12.4% Very Exposed Exposed Partially Exposed Neutral Other Note: *Preliminary data Source: Geostat, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 13
TOURISM OVERVIEW Tourism in Georgia In 2019, the number of international traveller trips INTERNATIONAL ARRIVALS BY YEARS (MLN) grew by 7.8% YoY from 8.7 mln to 9.4 mln, of which 83% were international visitor trips (7.7 mln.). The number of tourist arrivals increased by 8.3%, constituting 65.7% (5.1 mln) of the total number of 5.1 international visits, while same-day trips stood at 4.8 4.1 about 34.2%. 3.0 3.3 Citizens of 98 countries can travel to Georgia without a visa and stay up to one full year. In addition, foreigners who hold a visa/residence permit of 50 5.2 5.3 6.4 7.2 7.7 countries can enjoy visa-free travel to Georgia. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Visitors who need to obtain a visa can take advantage of the e-visa portal to get a short-term visa. International arrivals Tourist arrivals Simplified travel and visa-free regimes build on the strong growth of inbound tourism. Source: Geostat, Colliers International Road travel remains the main means of transport for INTERNATIONAL ARRIVALS BY TYPES OF VISIT (MLN) international arrivals due to the large share of travellers from neighbouring countries in the total number of visitors. In 2019, this increased by 8.7%, representing 74.8% of the total. Air travel, the second 2.6 2.4 most popular choice among travellers, increased 2.4 modestly by 2.3%, and constituted 23.7% of the total. 2.2 2.0 4.8 5.1 3.3 4.1 3.0 In 2019, the number of international arrivals as well as the number of 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 tourists increased by modest 7%. Tourist arrivals Same-day visit Source: Geostat, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 14
Source Markets In 2019, the number of tourist arrivals amounted to SHARE OF MAIN SOURCE MARKETS 5.1 million. Most tourist visits originated from Russia (23%), Azerbaijan (19%), Turkey (13%), EU countries (12%), and Armenia (11%). Despite difficulties related 13% to US sanctions on Iran, the country remained in the 23% list of top 15 countries of international visitors. 5.1 Remarkably, in recent years, Georgia has become more attractive to the western Europeans, as the 12% number of visits from EU countries increased by 21.9%. July and August remained the most popular 1% months for visiting Georgia. 4% From July 8, 2019 Russia has banned direct flights to Georgia due to extended street protests. After the 4% MLN 19% flight bans the number of international visits by Russian citizens decreased by 20.6% in Q3 2019, 11% when compared to Q3 2018. The annual figure 13% marked an insignificant 0.6% decline. However, the strong growth of the number of tourists visits from Israel (31%), Ukraine (20%), Armenia (12%) mitigated Russia Armenia Iran the shock and the total annual number of tourist Azerbaijan Ukraine EU visits increased by 6.8%. Turkey Israel Other NUMBER OF TOURIST VISITS FROM RUSSIA IN Q3 Source: Geostat, Colliers International 2019 vs. Q3 2018 (THOUSAND) Even though the number of tourist 20.6% visits dropped by 20.6% in Q3 2019 456 362 due to flight bans from Russia, the annual figure marked an Q3 2018 Q3 2019 insignificant decline. Source: Geostat, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 15
Map Of Top 15 Source Markets DYNAMICS OF INTERNATIONAL TRIPS FROM TOP 15 SOURCE MARKETS (THOUSAND) Georgia’s tourism market is sourced COUNTRY 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 dominantly by neighbouring countries Azerbaijan 1,156 1,076 1,302 1,425 1,527 (71% of tourist trips in 2019). However, Russia 763 849 1,135 1,405 1,472 there’s significant increases shown from Armenia 1,192 1,152 1,287 1,269 1,365 other non-neighbouring countries. Turkey 1,074 988 1,007 1,099 1,157 Ukraine 127 152 170 177 208 DISTRIBUTION OF INTERNATIONAL TRIPS FROM Israel 55 85 115 157 205 NEIGHBOURING AND NON-NEIGHBOURING Iran 22 130 283 291 142 COUNTRIES Kazakhstan 31 41 47 59 104 20.4% 24.6% 27.0% 27.9% 28.6% Germany 30 33 43 64 89 Poland 39 42 49 67 88 Saudi Arabia 8 18 46 52 75 79.6% 75.4% 73.0% 72.1% Belarus 26 33 42 60 66 71.4% India 8 26 43 51 55 China 7 11 18 32 48 USA 25 27 34 42 47 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Neighbouring countries Non-neighbouring countries Source: GNTA, Colliers International Source: Geostat, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 16
Economic Impact of Tourism The tourism industry accounted for 8.1% of Georgia’s STRUCTURE OF TOURISM VALUE ADDED, 2019 economy in 2019. The same year, tourism value added (USD) grew by 16.9% YoY and amounted to USD 1.3 billion 3% (GEL 3.53 billion). Tourism value added reflects the economic activity generated by industries such as 22% 1.3 hotels, food and beverage (F&B), travel agencies, airlines and other transportation services. The transport 38% category, which represents 38% of the total value added, grew by 20% YoY. The F&B industry grew by 23%, while the travel agencies and the accommodation categories increased by 17% and 11%, respectively. Travel industry supported 123 million jobs in 2018. BLN Revenues from inbound tourism have been growing rapidly over the past five years. In 2018, revenues rose by 17% YoY and amounted to USD 3.22 billion. The 37% volume of foreign card operations by international travellers has also grown - by 3.7%, hitting 2.14 billion Transport Food & Beverage GEL in 2018. Spending volume is expected to increase Accommodation Travel Agencies as Georgia continues to attract travellers with higher Source: GNTA, Colliers International holiday budgets. TOURISM REVENUE BY YEARS (USD, BLN) EXPENDITURES PER TOURIST VISITS BY YEAR (USD) 2019 3.27 645 658 665 677 644 2018 3.22 2017 2.70 2016 2.17 2015 1.94 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: GNTA, Colliers International Source: GNTA, Colliers International TOURISM VALUE ADDED AND SHARE IN GDP BY YEARS (USD, BLN) 8.1% 7.6% 7.1% 6.9% 6.7% 0.86 0.83 1.03 1.19 1.27 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Tourism value added Share in GDP Source: GNTA, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 17
Types of Tourism Winter tourism is becoming ever more popular. HOTEL INDUSTRY REVENUES (USD, MLN) The Mestia-Hatsvali cableway construction was completed in 2017. Goderdzi ski resort in Adjara and Tetnuldi ski resort in Mestia both opened in recent years. Two cableways were 363 added to Goderdzi resort and in 2023, the 331 world championship in freestyle ski and 288 snowboarding is set to be held in Bakuriani. 241 Three new ski lifts are to be built for the event. 202 Wine tourism, adventure tourism and spa and wellness tourism are under development. In 2019, wine tourism grew further with 46 newly built cellars and small enterprises. In Kakheti, near the village of Kisiskhevi, a wine village was built by Schuchmann Wines Georgia, consisting 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 of 10 cottages with 15 more to be built in 2020. Georgia hosted the 18th World Federation of Source: Geostat, Colliers International Tourist Guide Associations (WFTGA) international convention in Tbilisi from January 17 to January 25, 2019. The convention brought together 300 tourist guides and representatives Hotel industry revenues are growing from around 70 countries and contributed to in line with the tourism trend in raising awareness about tourism in Georgia and will further contribute to the development of Georgia. the tourism industry in the future. Colliers International Georgia 18
Benchmarking In 2019, tourist arrivals in Georgia has increased by INTERNATIONAL TOURIST ARRIVALS (24+ HOURS) 6.3%. Among benchmark countries Bulgaria and Y-O-Y GROWTH RATE (%) BY BENCHMARK Estonia experienced the highest annual growth rate COUNTRIES, 2019/2018 in 2019 amounted to 4.5% and 3.2%, respectively. Israel and Turkey had the negative growth rate in 6.3% 2019 amounted to 1.2% and 2.4%, respectively. Among benchmark destinations, international tourist receipts were the highest in Turkey (USD 4.5% 36.5 billion), followed by Israel and Bulgaria with USD 8.16 billion and 5.07 billion, respectively. 3.2% 1.4% Georgia has the fastest growth in arrivals, and the revenue per tourist Georgia Bulgaria Estonia Romania Israel Turkey visit is on par with the benchmark -1.2% countries, except for Israel. -2.4% Source: Worldbank, Geostat, Colliers International INTERNATIONAL TOURISM RECEIPTS (BLN) AND EXPENDITURE PER TOURIST TRIPS (USD) BY BENCHAMRK COUNTRIES, 2019 2,005 818 698 641 545 274 2.33 36.5 8.16 5.07 3.27 3.26 Turkey Israel Bulgaria Georgia Romania Estonia International tourism reciepts(USD/billion) 2018 Expenditure per tourist Source: Worldbank, GNTA, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 19
Travel Purposes The number of guests in hotels has had a positive PURPOSE OF TOURIST VISITS IN GEORGIA, trend over the past four years. Out of 2.8 mln hotel 2019 guests in 2018, 1.9 mln were international travellers. 1% 2% 74% of these were leisure travellers, 13% visited Georgia for business purposes and only 1% for health 4% tourism. 12% 5.1 Out of 5.1 million tourist trips, 56% were made for leisure-recreation and shopping purposes, 25% for visiting families and relatives, and about 12% for business purposes. Its notable that business visits have increasing trend, the figure grows with an 56% average of 9% annually. On average, the typical tourist spent 6.2 nights in Georgia. 25% MLN AVERAGE LENGTH OF STAY IN GEORGIA (NIGHTS) 6.6 Leisure & Shopping Transit 6.3 6.3 Visiting Friends/family 6.2 Health & Medical Care Business Other Source: Geostat, Colliers International During last five years, the number of business trips is growing on average 2016 2017 2018 2019 by 9% annually. Source: Geostat, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 20
Domestic Tourism In 2019, Georgian residents took a total of 14.3 PURPOSE OF VISITS IN GEORGIA 2019 mln domestic trips. 44.7% of those visits included at least one overnight stay, with an average trip 4% length of 1.97 nights. 5% Visiting Friends 9% & Family The majority of domestic trips made by Georgian 14.3 residents were made with the intention of visiting Leisure & Shopping friends and relatives (51%). The second and third 9% Visiting second most frequent purposes were leisure & shopping 51% home and visiting a second home, respectively. Adjara Health & Medical was the third most visited region in 2019: since it is located next to the Black Sea, it was the most MLN Care Business popular holiday, leisure, and recreation 22% Other destination. Domestic tourism is a significant part of Georgia’s economic activity. In 2018, domestic travel Source: Geostat, Colliers International spending accounted for 71.2% of direct Travel & Tourism GDP. Total expenditure by domestic SHARE OF TOTAL EXPENDITURE (USD), 2018 visitors amounted to c. USD 792 million (over 2 bln GEL). The majority, more than 852 mln GEL, 1.5% was spent on shopping, followed by food and 5% drinks (400 million GEL) and transportation (305 mln GEL). Since 87.1% of domestic visitors preferred to stay at a friend’s, relative’s, or their 19.4% 33.5% 792 Shopping own homes, spending on accommodation Food & Beverage accounted for only 5% of the total expenditure Transportation (over 86 mln GEL). Other 775,838 local travellers stayed in hotels in 2018, 58% of them for leisure and 28% for business MLN Accommodation Cultural & Entertainment service 17.6% purposes. Hotels in Tbilisi received 255,354 local guests, while hotels in Batumi and Kutaisi hosted 23% 222,556 and 53,935 Georgian guests, respectively. Source: Geostat, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 21
Visa Liberalisation Georgia, especially those who are looking for a low budget trip. This also increases demand on local The government continues to make European and hotels and other hospitality facilities and incentivises Euro-Atlantic integration a primary strategic native businesses to develop to meet the objective. Since March 2017, the EU-Georgia visa expectations and requirements of European liberalisation agreement has allowed Georgians to customers. access visa-free travel to the Schengen zone. This has led to the increased inflow as well as outflow of The visa free regime with Europe will potentially visitors from Georgia. contribute to the development of the tourism industry in Georgia in the future. However, as this First of all, less bureaucracy, simplified travelling industry has suffered in all countries due to the procedures and decreased costs have made it much current COVID-19 crisis, the future remains uncertain easier for natives to visit Europe more frequently for and it is hard to foresee the prospects of this sector. different purposes like travelling, education, business, healthcare, etc. The free movement of people, along with free trade with the EU, brings Host in Georgia significant economic benefits. Georgian SME owners, In 2016, the Government of Georgia launched the who before needed to go through long and ‘Host in Georgia’ program to develop the hospitality complicated procedures to obtain a visa, are now industry in the country. The program encourages able to travel to European countries to explore new entrepreneurs to build hotels in all regions of markets, attend international exhibitions, find Georgia, except Tbilisi and Batumi, by providing partners, and gain experience. This leads to new them with financial and technical support. Under the jobs, more developed business processes, improved Host in Georgia program, the government subsidizes quality of production and a better environment for a 10% interest rate for loans in GEL and 8% for loans attracting investors into the country. in USD/EUR for the first two years. In addition, the collateral guarantee for 50% of the total loan Increased demand on travelling has spurred the amount is provided in the first four years. The number of passengers at Georgian airports, which maximum loan amount can be GEL 5 million in case has attracted different airlines to open flights in new of an International Franchise/Management Contract, directions. In 2019, Ryanair, a relatively low budget and GEL 2 million otherwise. In case of international Irish airline company, entered the Georgian market. brand hotels, the government also co-finances The increased flow of passengers from neighboring franchising and management agreement fees of up countries has also created an opportunity especially to GEL 0.3 million annually for the first two years. for Kutaisi airport to become an air hub. The entry of new airlines creates new jobs and contributes to the The Host in Georgia program has been very performance of travel agencies and other local successful in developing the hotel industry in hospitality businesses. Georgia, and the Georgian government has already supported the development of 80 new hotels under As the new destinations abroad become easily the program, with a total investment volume of GEL accessible for the Georgians due to the visa 225 mln. As a result, more than 2,200 rooms will be liberalisation, this raises the competitiveness and added to the Georgian hotel market. The new hotels encourages local providers to improve the quality of are being built in various towns, including Bakuriani, their hospitality services. Moreover, better Gudauri, Kazbegi, Gonio, Shekvetili, and Tskaltubo. relationships with Europe as a result of the visa liberalisation reform has improved the image of the country and attracted more international tourists to Colliers International Georgia 22
Air Travel Airlines carried 1.97 million international travellers NUMBER OF INTERNATIONAL TRAVELLERS in 2019, up by 1.3% from 2018. Tbilisi International RECEIVED IN AIRPORTS, 2018-2019 (THOUSAND) Airport once again received the largest number of 3% travellers – 1.5 mln depicting a 3% decrease YoY. Decline of travellers in Tbilisi airport was caused 2018 2019 by flight bans from Russia as the number of 1,551 1,498 international travelers received in airports from this country decreased by 24% YoY. The number of travellers in Kutaisi Airport increased significantly by 43%. The main contributors were Ukraine and Poland. 55% of the travellers were 43% 7% received from these countries. Batumi Airport was also up from 262 K to 279 K international travellers, which represents a 7 % increase. 197 138 261 279 In 2019, there were 50 international and two domestic airlines operating on the Georgian Tbilisi Kutaisi Batumi market. Wizz Air Hungary is the largest company Source: GNTA, Colliers International operating on the Georgian market. It offers flights to up to 39 destinations. In 2019, it provided NUMBER OF INTERNATIONAL TRAVELLERS service for 825,290 passengers (16% of the total RECEIVED IN AIRPORTS FROM RUSSIA , 2018-2019 trips). The second largest company is Turkish (THOUSAND) Airlines, with 572,181 passengers and 11.1% of the market share. This is followed by Georgian Airways, Ural Airlines, Fly Dubai, and Ukraine 24% International Airlines. In 2018, one Georgian, My Way Airlines, and nine international companies 530 404 appeared on the market. Additionally, in 2019, Ryanair, one of the Europe’s low-cost and most popular airlines, also entered Georgia, offering 2018 2019 two routes from Tbilisi and two from Kutaisi. Source: Geostat, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 23
Map Of Direct Flights From Georgia MAIN FLIGHT ROUTES Duration Duration Duration Origin Destination Origin Destination Origin Destination (hours) (hours) (hours) Tbilisi Baku 1.0 Tbilisi Riga 3.1 Tbilisi Kuwait 2.1 Tbilisi Tehran 1.7 Tbilisi St. Petersburg 3.1 Tbilisi Bahrain 2.5 Tbilisi Istanbul 2.0 Tbilisi Vienna 3.2 Tbilisi Astana 3.1 Tbilisi Tel Aviv 2.1 Kutaisi Berlin 3.3 Tbilisi Aktau 1.2 Tbilisi Kiev 2.2 Tbilisi Prague 3.4 Tbilisi Doha 2.7 Tbilisi Moscow 2.4 Tbilisi Almaty 3.5 Tbilisi Bucharest 2.2 Tbilisi Athens 2.6 Tbilisi Munich 3.6 Tbilisi Barcelona 4.6 Tbilisi Minsk 2.6 Kutaisi Milan 3.8 Tbilisi Tashkent 2.8 Kutaisi Vilnius 2.8 Tbilisi Amsterdam 4.2 Tbilisi Ankara 1.6 Kutaisi Budapest 2.9 Tbilisi Urumqi 4.5 Kutaisi Paris 4.2 Tbilisi Dubai 2.9 Tbilisi London 4.6 Kutaisi Prague 3.2 Tbilisi Warsaw 3.0 Batumi Istanbul 1.7 Kutaisi Rome 3.3 Tbilisi Yerevan 0.39 Batumi Kiev 2.0 Kutaisi Riga 3.0 Tbilisi Brussels 4.2 Tbilisi Paris 4.4 Kutaisi Thessaloniki 2.4 Tbilisi Beijing 7.4 Tbilisi Bologna 3.6 Batumi Minsk 2.5 Tbilisi Sharm el sheikh 2.5 Tbilisi Milan 3.8 Batumi Moscow 2.3 Source: www.flighttime-calculator.com Colliers International Georgia 24
The Reliance of The Georgian Economy on Tourism The reliance of the Georgian economy on tourism same category, and the recovery period will be has increased significantly in the last couple of years. extensive. In 2019, tourism made up 8.1% of the Gross Georgia mainly receives tourists from its neighboring Domestic Product of Georgia. countries. Leading countries by the number of Domestic tourism has a small role in the sector tourists in Georgia are Russia, Turkey, Armenia, overall and takes up a mere 27% (percent of local Azerbaijan, Ukraine, and the EU countries tourists in the total number of tourists staying at collectively. In order to make an accurate estimate of hotel-type accommodations). With these numbers, future visitors to Georgia, the spread of the virus in Georgia appears in the lower right corner of the said countries must be taken into consideration, as graph (close to Greece). It is expected that the crisis when these countries will be able to stop the spread will have a significant effect on the hotel industry of the virus. and the economy in general for countries in the DOMESTIC TOURISM RELATIVE TO TOURISM AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE ECONOMY, 2019 Significant impact on the hotel industry Significant impact on the hotel industry and economy, prolonged recovery and economy, gradual recovery Significant impact on the hotel industry Significant impact on the hotel industry but but less on the economy, slow recovery less on the economy, faster recovery Source: Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 25
Tbilisi Hotel Market Overview Photo: Panorama Freedom Square
Supply Tbilisi’s hotel market provides the largest share of EXISTING HOTEL ROOM SUPPLY BY YEARS hotel rooms in Georgia. In 2019, the existing supply consisted of 541 hotels, with a total of 12,430 rooms. The largest share, 41% of rooms, are categorized as economy/budget, while 38% fall in to the local 5,119 upscale and middle segment, 13% into the 3,888 international midscale segment, with only 8% of the 4,744 total room supply categorized as international 5,222 upscale. 4,046 4,728 The total supply of rooms increased by 22% in 2019 4,251 when compared to 2018. However, the tourism sector 2,820 2,335 2,348 suffered due to the ban on flights to Georgia from 1,573 972 1,091 1,423 Russia in July 2019. Until 2017, there were only three 972 632 1,010 376 590 590 international upscale hotels in Tbilisi: the Radisson Blu Iveria, Tbilisi Marriott and the Biltmore hotel. In 2018, 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 the Sheraton Grand Tbilisi Metekhi Palace, Wyndham Local Economy/Budget Class Local Upscale and Middle Class International Midscale Class International Upscale Class Grand Tbilisi, and Stamba Hotel entered the market. Together, these hotels provide 5% of the city’s total Source: Colliers International room supply. Nine more international upscale brands, EXISTING SUPPLY BY YEARS among them Hilton, Marriot Autograph Collection, Radisson Red, and Tbilisi Hyatt, are expected to open 27,165 during the next few years, adding 706 hotel rooms to 22,661 the capital’s stock. 21,319 18,329 International midscale hotels provide 13% of the 14,692 city’s hotel room supply. Eight hotels are categorized 12,430 9,466 10,107 in this segment, consisting of Courtyard Tbilisi, 8,360 6,656 Rooms Hotel Tbilisi, Holiday Inn Tbilisi, and Mercure Tbilisi Old Town. Five hotels are expected to open in 287 352 379 426 541 this segment over the next three years, including Park 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Inn by Radisson, Swissotel, Hilton Garden Inn, Number of Hotels Number of rooms Number of beds Wyndham Garden and Ramada Tbilisi (Melikishvili). Together, they will add 655 rooms to the supply. Source: Colliers International Looking ahead, 18 international hotels are scheduled to open during the next three years, which will result The stock of international hotel in around 3,296 new rooms joining Tbilisi’s stock. rooms is expected to double by 2023. EXISTING AND FUTURE SUPPLY OF INTERNATIONALLY-BRANDED HOTELS 38 36 31 12,165 11,535 10,231 20 18 15 6,256 5,879 5,266 5,539 10 11 4,602 9 4,256 3,190 3,451 2,760 2,979 2,583 1,681 2,055 1,348 1,562 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Number of Hotels Number of rooms Number of beds Source: Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 27
MAP OF EXISTING AND UPCOMING INTERNATIONAL HOTELS Majority of upcoming announced hotels are situated out of central hotel cluster. In particular, Vake district features three major hotel developments. EXISTING INTERNATIONAL HOTELS Capacity of # of # Operator Location Owner Conference Class Rooms Rooms 1 Radisson Blu Iveria 1 Rose Revolution Square JSC New Hotel 249 645 Upscale Sheraton Grand Tbilisi Metechi Ras Al Khaima Investments 2 Palace 16 Telavi Street Authority Georgia 220 2,472 Upscale 3 Wyndham Grand Tbilisi 3 Gudiashvili Street City M 158 350 Upscale 4 Tbilisi Marriott 13 Shota Rustaveli Avenue GMT Hotels 127 427 Upscale 5 The Biltmore Hotel 29 Shota Rustaveli Avenue Dabi Group Georgia 214 1,104 Upscale 6 Stamba Hotel 14 Merab Kostava Street City Loft 42 230 Upscale 7 Holiday Inn Tbilisi 1 26 May Square Adjara+ 270 712 Midscale Hotels & Preferences Hualing Joseph Pilsudski Avenue, Tbilisi 8 Tbilisi Sea Hualing Group 246 1,410 Midscale 9 Ibis Tbilisi Stadium 178 Aghmashenebeli Avenue Stadium Hotel 150 - Midscale 10 Moxy Tbilisi by Marriott Saarbrucken Square GMT Hotels 130 - Midscale 11 Ibis Styles Tbilisi Center 4 G.Tabidze Street MaQro Construction 119 - Midscale MaQro Construction 12 Mercure Tbilisi Old Town 9 Vakhtang Gorgasali Street 108 65 Midscale 13 Courtyard Tbilisi 4 Freedom Square GMT Hotels 118 662 Midscale 14 Citadines City Centre Tbilisi 4 Freedom Square Amtel Properties Georgia 66 - Midscale 15 Rooms Hotel Tbilisi 14 Merab Kostava Street City Loft 125 818 Midscale 16 Ramada Encore 15 Kazbegi Avenue M2 152 145 Midscale 17 Best Western Tbilisi Art Hotel 11 Apakidze Street Tifli Development 45 222 Midscale 18 Best Western Tbilisi City Center 92 Vasil Barnovi Street Bani 2007 44 - Midscale Colliers International Georgia 28
PIPELINE OF INTERNATIONALLY-BRANDED HOTELS # of Opening Construction Investment # Developer Operator/brand Location Class Rooms Year Type Volume Axis/Georgian Co- AccorHotels/ Pullman 37-39 Chavchavadze 1 226 2020 Upscale Greenfield Investment Fund Hotels & Resorts Avenue Georgian Co- Panorama Freedom 2 Freedom Square 220 2021 Upscale Greenfield Investment Fund Square Paragraph Hotel Georgian Co- & Convention 3 Sololaki Hills 208 2022 Upscale Greenfield Investment Fund Center/ Panorama Sololaki 4 Granat Georgia Hilton Tbilisi 41 Kostava Street 206 2021 Upscale Brownfield Radisson Blu 5 Silk Road Group LLC 31 Rustaveli Avenue 180 2023 Upscale Brownfield Telegraph Georgian Co- Paragraph Golf & Spa 6 Tabori Mount 176 2022 Upscale Greenfield Investment Fund Resort Rustaveli Property 7 Tbilisi Hyatt 30 Rustaveli Avenue 170 2022 Upscale Greenfield LLC 44 Agmashenebeli 8 Telegraph LLC Radisson Red 110 2021 Upscale Brownfield Avenue Kempinski Hotels 22 Zaal Dumbadze USD 900 mln 9 M2 Residence 99 2021 Upscale Greenfield (incl.VAT) Tbilisi Street 10 Beta Group Ibis Budget Tbilisi 14 Uznadze Street 227 2022 Midscale Brownfield LLC Block- 11 Park Inn by Radisson 10 Chanturia Street 200 2021 Midscale Brownfield Investment 64 Chavchavadze 12 Redix Hilton Garden Inn 170 2020 Midscale Greenfield Avenue Hilton Garden Inn 13 KIT 2016 17 Ialbuzi Street 161 2021 Midscale Greenfield Tbilisi Riverside 49G Chavchavadze 14 Alliance Group Wyndham Garden 160 2023 Midscale Greenfield Avenue 15 Beta Group Ibis Budget Vera 22 Akhvlediani Street 158 2021 Midscale Brownfield 16 Archi Group Ibis 22 Gulua Street 156 2022 Midscale Greenfield 16 Macro Construction Swissotel 3 Virsaladze Street 145 2021 Midscale Greenfield 17 M2 Residence Ramada Tbilisi 10 Melikishvilis Street 125 2021 Midscale Greenfield Simetria/Capitol 18 Holiday Inn Express 4 Lagodekhi Street 121 2021 Midscale Greenfield Investment Group LLC Block- Louvre Hotels 19 2A 300 Aragveli Street 78 2021 Midscale Greenfield Investment Group/Golden Tulip Colliers International Georgia 29
Photo: Wyndham Grand Tbilisi Demand The number of tourists in Tbilisi usually follows the BREAKDOWN OF HOTEL GUESTS BY trend of the whole Georgia. Despite the decreased PURPOSE OF VISIT, 2016-2018 number of Russian tourists due to flight bans, there was no significant decline in the annual 11% 15% 17% tourist inflow. Georgia managed to partially substitute it with a significant increase in demand 22% 15% 25% from non-neighbouring countries, as well as with internal tourism. Travellers from Russia, Turkey, Iran, and Azerbaijan 67% 70% comprise the majority of Tbilisi’s hotel guest 58% numbers. The number of guests in Tbilisi hotels increased by 7% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2018, with 70% of those guests visiting Tbilisi for leisure and 15% in town on business. 15% of hotel guests are 2016 2017 2018 locals and 85% international visitors. Tbilisi’s hotels Leisure & Recreation Business Other hosted around 1,743,000 guests in 2018. Source: Geostat Ministers of tourism from several dozens of countries will gather in Tbilisi in September 2020 to discuss the future prospects of the tourism industry at a ministerial under the aegis of the United Nations World Tourism Organisation (UNWTO). Colliers International Georgia 30
Performance Indicators The hotels’ market has witnessed a decreasing stability yet, also reduces the average indicators of trend in all main performance indicators during past international upscale hotels. few years. The main reason for this downward The average daily rate (ADR) in Tbilisi decreased in going trend is not only the increased supply of 2019 in all segments. As Georgian Lari critically hotels since 2017, but the strengthening depreciated against USD Dollar in 2019, the ADR in competition of Airbnb as well. USD terms significantly changed. A substantial Occupancy rate recorded a decrease in all segments decrease (13% y-o-y) was recorded in International in Tbilisi after 2017 due to the abovementioned Upscale class hotels. reasons. Additional cause of the sharp decline in the occupancy rate in 2019 could also be the flight bans from Russia, which negatively affected tourism Among different classes, international upscale industry. Relatively to other hotel segments, hotels suffered from the sharpest fall in international upscale, as well as local upscale and performance indicators in 2019, supposedly midscale hotels experienced the higher occupancy rate in 2019 amounting to 62% each. The fact that due to increased supply by 60%. Sheraton Grand Metekhi Palace has not reached a ADR (USD, excl. VAT) 2015-2019 177 175 175 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 161 152 118 112 108 104 94 77 79 72 72 61 57 39 43 39 36 International Upscale Class International Midscale Class Local Upscale and Middle Class Local Economy/Budget Class Source: STR Global, Colliers International OCCUPANCY RATE (%) 2015-2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 70% 69% 68% 70% 68% 69% 68% 65% 64% 64% 62% 60% 62% 64% 62% 57% 55% 54% 48% 46% International Upscale Class International Midscale Class Local Upscale and Middle Class Local Economy/Budget Class Source: STR Global, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 31
Performance Indicators Revenue per available room (RevPAR) experienced in 2019. It is followed by the local upscale class with significant decline in 2019 in all segments of hotels, USD 38 and local budget class with USD 18, both which is caused by the increased competition all declining by 23% and 25%, respectively. segments, combined with the decreased inflow of tourists due to the flight bans from Russia. In 2019, a substantial decrease was seen in The figure for International upscale class hotels stands at USD 94, decreasing by significant 22%. RevPAR across all hotel classes ranging from International midscale class also recorded the 15% up to 25%. decline in the REVPAR by 15%, standing at USD 57 REVPAR (USD, excl. VAT) 2015-2019 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 121 123 120 113 94 77 74 71 67 57 53 47 46 49 38 27 22 24 19 18 International Upscale Class International Midscale Class Local Upscale and Middle Class Local Economy/Budget Class Source: STR Global, Colliers International Colliers International Georgia 32
Photo: Airbnb Listing, Tbilisi Airbnb Market in Tbilisi The daily rental, home-sharing platform Airbnb, MONTHLY AVERAGE NUMBER OF ACTIVE LISTINGS offering around 7 million listings in more than 100 K AND BOOKED PROPERTIES BY YEARS cities, operates in 220+ countries and regions. Since its launch in early 2008, the website has grown 6,658 rapidly in popularity among tourists and domestic travelers all around the world. As of 2019, the platform has more than 750 million guest arrivals. 3,732 In Georgia, the rental platform was launched in early 2017. Even though it was a novelty for locals, by the 2,020 end of the year, the platform had around 6,319 active listings. The figure impressively grew in 2018, 6,319 10,248 14,418 with 62% more listings, amounting to a 10 K monthly average. 2017 2018 2019 Relatively to 2018, in 2019 the number of properties Active listings Booked Properties listed on Airbnb also saw a substantial growth by Source: AirDna 41% from 10,248 to 14,418 average monthly listings. However, this is 2.2x higher than the average number of booked properties (that is 6,658 in 2019). MARKET REVENUE BY YEARS (USD) The median ADR of entire homes in Tbilisi has seen a slight decline during past 3 years, standing at USD 33 in 2019. The market revenue of Airbnb has been 35,174,352 55% characterised by a steadily increasing trend over the past few years, having grown by 55% from 2018 to 81% 22,747,078 2019. This trend reveals the fact that Airbnb is successfully competing with local budget hotels and gradually taking up a larger portion of their 12,548,464 consumers. The Airbnb market is impressively competing 2017 2018 2019 with hotels, almost tripling its total market 2017 2018 2019 revenue since 2017. Source: AirDna Colliers International Georgia 33
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