HOTEL INVESTMENT IN SPAIN - HOTELS - 1H | 2018 - Colliers International

Page created by Joanne Gross
 
CONTINUE READING
HOTEL INVESTMENT IN SPAIN - HOTELS - 1H | 2018 - Colliers International
HOTELS

HOTEL INVESTMENT
IN SPAIN

  1H | 2018
HOTEL INVESTMENT IN SPAIN - HOTELS - 1H | 2018 - Colliers International
“Hotel investment
in first half of 2018
reaches 1,830 million
euros”
HOTEL INVESTMENT IN SPAIN - HOTELS - 1H | 2018 - Colliers International
01 HOTEL INVESTMENT IN SPAIN

In the first half of 2018 hotel investment was once                                   • The extraordinary level of activity in purchases and
again remarkably strong.                                                                sales of hotel portfolios.
                                                                                      • The leading role played by Blackstone, which in
With a total investment of 1,830 million as of the end
                                                                                        recent months has become itself as the most active
of June, Spain posted the second highest semi-annual
                                                                                        investor in the Spanish hotel market.
results its history, 13% below the absolute record
achieved in 2017.                                                                     • The limited investment activity in Barcelona and
                                                                                        Madrid compared to previous years.
Considering the last 12 months (Jun17/Jun18),
                                                                                      • The strong inertia at the start of the second half
investment amounts to 3,633 million euros, which
                                                                                        of teh year, especially regarding the potential
shows that investor appetite for the Spanish market
                                                                                        completion of deals currently under way, such
remains at very high levels. Highlights of this first half-
                                                                                        as Blackstone’s offer for the remaining shares of
year are:
                                                                                        Hispania or Minor’s bid for NH.

TOTAL HOTEL INVESTMENT VOLUME 2013 - H1 2018 (€m)

4,500
                                                                                                                        3,907
4,000

3,500

3,000
                                                                     2,614
2,500                                                                                          2,184
                                                                                                                         2,104
2,000                                                                                                                                             1,830

1,500
                                            1,081
                    792                                              1,061
1,000                                                                                           697

  500

     0
                   2013                     2014                      2015                     2016                      2017                    H1 2018

                                                                              H1    H2

Source: Colliers International

PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT ACTIVITY                                                        Investment in hotel portfolios outperformed the
                                                                                     previous record (612 million euros, posted in the first
Purchases of hotel portfolios reached an investment                                  half of 2017) by 71.4%.
volume of 1,0481 million euros, accounting for 60%
of total investment. Portfolio sales and purchases
became the highlight of the half-year and experienced
huge growth compared to previous periods.

1 Weighted by the percent of investment actually acquired. The amount of the investment is the GAV of the hotels located in Spain that are included in the
acquired portfolio.

Report on Hotel Investment in Spain
1H 2018                                                                         3
HOTEL INVESTMENT IN SPAIN - HOTELS - 1H | 2018 - Colliers International
PORTFOLIO TRANSACTIONS VS. INDIVIDUAL ASSETS (H1’14-18) (€m)

2,000

1,800

1,600

1,400                                                                                                612
1,200                                                                                                                1,048

1,000

  800
                                                       609                32
  600                   74
                                                                                                    1,082
  400
                                                                                                                       699
                                                                          595
  200                  453                             434

        0
                    H1 2014H                       H1 2015            H1 2016H                  H1 2017            H1 2018

                                                 Asset Portfolio                 Individual Asset

Source: Colliers International / Investment data on existing hotels

Although many of these deals have taken place in                          3. Implementation of the strategy adopted by
the context of corporate transactions, the origins and                       the Accor Group (following in the footsteps of
motivations of buyers and sellers have been diverse                          other international chains) of separating hotel
and can be summarised as follows:                                            management and ownership. This strategy resulted
                                                                             in the sale in June of a 57.8% stake in AccorInvest
1. The acquisition by Hispania of 7 hotels (1,708                            vehicle to an investor group led by the sovereign
   rooms) belonging to the Alua hotel chain with an                          funds of Saudi Arabia (PIF), Singapore (GIC) and
   asset value of 165 million euros, applying 100% of                        Colony. The acquired portfolio included 11 hotels
   the investment capacity initially committed by its                        (1,572 rooms) located in Spain and operated under
   shareholders, just before the investment deadline                         the Novotel and Ibis brands.
   set in the members’ agreement ran out.
                                                                          4. The acquisition by Blackstone from Banco
2. Total or partial completion of Build-Up projects                          Santander of 50% of all the real estate property
   started in 2014, including:                                               and loans Santander acquired from Banco Popular,
                                                                             which included a significant portfolio of foreclosed
   • The acquisition of 16.56% of Hispania by
                                                                             hotels (REOs).
     Blackstone. Through this acquisition Blackstone
     adds to its earlier investment in HIPartners a
                                                                          5. Lastly, the recent acquisition by Minor Hotel Group
     stake in 46 new hotels and three plots of land for
                                                                             of a 29.81% stake in NH, becoming the indirect
     hotel developments.
                                                                             owner of 11 NH hotels in Spain (1,790 rooms).
   • The full acquisition by Atom, a Socimi (Spanish
     REIT) led by Bankinter, of a portfolio of 15 hotels
     and more than 3,700 rooms. This portfolio was
     built up by the seller through hotel selective
     purchases between 2014 and 2017.

                                                                                                              Report on Hotel Investment in Spain
                                                                      4                                                                  1H 2018
HOTEL INVESTMENT IN SPAIN - HOTELS - 1H | 2018 - Colliers International
HOTEL PORTFOLIO DEALS 2018 H1
                                                   # Hotels in   # Rooms weighted by
                                                     Spain          % acquisition

 Alua portfolio                                        7                1,708
 Acquisition by Blackstone of 16.56% of Hispania       49               2,139
 Atom Hotels (Bankinter Socimi)                        15               3,779
 Purchase of 57.8% of AccorInvest                      11               903
 50% Quasar Project                                    77               1,976
 Acquisition by Minor of 29.81% of NH                  11               534
 H2 Hotels                                             2                 187
 B&B Hotels                                            2                 191
 Total portfolios                                     174               11,417

Source: Colliers International

                            “Investment in hotel
                            portfolios reaches
                            1,048 million euros”
HOTEL INVESTMENT IN SPAIN - HOTELS - 1H | 2018 - Colliers International
“Blackstone is the
market’s most active
investor in the first half
of 2018”

                             Report on Hotel Investment in Spain
                         6                              1H 2018
HOTEL INVESTMENT IN SPAIN - HOTELS - 1H | 2018 - Colliers International
INVESTOR PROFILE                                                           Notably, Covivio, an eminently urban hotel investor,
                                                                           recently approved a broadening of its investment
Turning to investors, the most important player by far                     strategy towards vacation products.
in recent months has been the U.S. private equity firm
Blackstone.                                                                Among the most noteworthy hotel chains in a buying
                                                                           position are the Minor Hotel Group from Asia, which
In 2018, as a surprise follow-up to the acquisition                        has become a key shareholder of the NH Hotel Group
of HIPartners at year-end 2017—through which, in                           (aiming for full control); Hotusa, with the acquisition
addition to a large asset portfolio (14 hotels and 3,546                   of 8 hotels and 729 rooms; B&B, which continues to
rooms), the firm also acquired a hotel investment and                      add hotels to its portfolio; and lastly, various other
management platform—Blackstone acquired George                             medium-sized hotel chains that have been very
Soros’ stake in Hispania, subsequently launching a full                    effective in scooping up smaller assets that are not
takeover bid for the Company.                                              targeted by the large funds and investors.

Not only will the eventual outcome of this takeover bid                    Finally, there is the Bankinter-led initiative to set up
greatly affect the year-end investment figure, but a                       the Atom Socimi, creating an investment alternative
major bet on the Spanish hotel market by a fund such                       in the hotel sector for its private banking clients. It
as Blackstone at this point in the cycle will also help                    currently has a portfolio of 19 hotels comprising more
maintain investor appetite in our country.                                 than 4,500 rooms and has a core profile.

Other international Socimis (REITs) such as Elaia and
Covivio (formerly Foncière des Murs) remain very
active in the Spanish hotel sector.

INVESTOR PROFILE (1H 2018-%)

                                        International                               Real Estate
                                        Investor
                                                                 31%
                                                                               1%            Hotel chain
                                                                                    11%

                                      National
                                                     10%
                                      chain

                                                           13%                  34%         Socimi

                                              National
                                              Investor

Source: Colliers International / Global investment data

Report on Hotel Investment in Spain
1H 2018                                                                7
GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION OF INVESTMENT                                            The reasons for this marked difference are:

Unlike the first half of 2017, when the investment                               • In the first half of 2017 both Madrid and Barcelona
was more or less evenly shared between the urban                                   were the targets of a large number of investments
and vacation segments, in the first half of 2018 71%                               in high-value individual assets: Edificio España, sale
of the investment was intended for the acquisition                                 of 50% of the Four Seasons Canalejas, the Hilton
of vacation hotels, mainly resulting from deals such                               Diagonal Mar in Barcelona, Silken Diagonal, etc.
as the acquisition of Alua by Hispania, Blackstone’s
                                                                                 • The political uncertainty in Catalonia in the wake
investment in Hispania and the bulk of the assets
                                                                                   of the 1st October 2017 referendum paralysed
acquired by the Atom Socimi.
                                                                                   Barcelona’s investment market.
The Canaries and the Balearic Islands attracted 53%                              • Madrid is still an object of desire for many
of the total investment, well ahead of the rest. It is                             investors, but the good market prospects have
noteworthy to mention the sharp fall in Madrid and                                 put owners in a position where they can retain
particularly Barcelona. Whereas in the first half of                               ownership of the hotels, invest in their repositioning
2017 Madrid and Barcelona had 549 and 310 million                                  and profit in the medium-term from the city’s
euros of investment, the respective figures for the                                continued draw as a destination.
same period of 2018 are 154 and 71 million.

MAIN INVESTMENT DESTINATIONS 1H 2018 (€M)

                                                          Other                              Madrid

                                                                                      154
                                                                  437                                   Barcelona
                                                                                                  71
                                                                          239
                                                                                      269
                                                                   230

                                        Malaga        148                                   300
                                                                   302                                 479

                                                                                353
                                              Canary                                                     Balearic
                                              Islands                                                    Islands
                                                                    460

Source: Colliers International / Global investment data

                                                                                                                     Report on Hotel Investment in Spain
                                                                            8                                                                   1H 2018
Also worth noting is the increase in investment in            As we indicated in previous reports, this seems a clear
“non-prime” destinations. In the first half, as can           indicator that secondary markets, which are more
be observed in the chart, 437 million euros (25% of           dependent on domestic customers, are becoming
the total) were invested in destinations other than           more attractive as a result of the Spanish economy’s
Madrid, Barcelona, the Islands or the Costa del Sol.          good growth figures.
This investment was shared among 36 provinces. This
contrasts with the smaller volume recorded in the first
half of 2017 (239 million euros), which was spread
across 18 provinces.

2   Asumiendo toma de control del 100% de Hispania.

Report on Hotel Investment in Spain
1H 2018                                                   9
02 OUTLOOK

The Spanish market is now in its fourth consecutive                         together with the hotel chains, have given way to more
year of unprecedented investment volumes.                                   conservative (Core) investors, who acquire the now
                                                                            repositioned and stabilised product; yet there are still
The aggregate volume over the last three and a half                         opportunities to be found at all levels.
years already comes to 10,535 million euros, which
represents an average of 3,010 million euros per                            Nevertheless, the strong investor pressure and the
year. Added to that figure are the almost 1,000 million                     market’s good performance at the operational level
euros invested annually, on average, in Capex for                           have pushed up hotel purchase prices, and business
repositioning and hotel construction.                                       plans are reducing their room for manoeuvre in
                                                                            comparison to three years ago.
The reasons behind these extraordinary investment
volumes include, among other things, the market                             Moreover, the vacation market is starting to show
consensus regarding the good fundamentals for                               the first signs of a slowdown in growth. Against
tourism in Spain over the medium and longer term                            this background we anticipate a gradual easing of
and the fact that both institutional investors and                          investment levels over the next few years, although
specialised funds have discovered in vacation hotels                        the positioning achieved by Spain among the investor
an attractive investment product category to keep                           community will allow it to continue to be one of the
in their portfolios and on which they can deploy                            preferred investment alternatives in Europe in the
different investment strategies (core, value added and                      medium to long term.
opportunistic).
                                                                            The strong inertia that has marked the start of the
The path has not been easy. After considerable effort,                      second half of the year, investment levels for 2018 as
the developments that have taken place in the market                        a whole could approach or even surpass those of 2017
since 2015, when the starting signal was given for                          if the various deals under way eventually go through.
the more opportunistic and value-added investors, are                       Minor’s bid for 100% of NH, coupled with a successful
gradually bringing about a transformation of mature                         bid by Blackstone for Hispania, could catapult the
destinations and breathing new life into obsolete                           investment volume to levels approaching 3,700 million
hotels that were eroding Spain’s ability to reposition                      euros2. Combined with the good number of sales of
itself commercially and be profitable as a destination.                     individual assets currently in progress, that could bring
                                                                            investment close to the record levels seen in 2017.
The opportunistic and value-added investors, acting
as the principal initiators of the hotel repositioning

2   Assuming the acquisition of control of 100% of Hispania and NH.
CONTACT

                                Miguel Vázquez
                                Managing Director | Hotels
                                miguel.vazquez@colliers.com
                                +34 91 579 84 00

                                Laura Hernando
                                Managing Director | Hotels
                                laura.hernando@colliers.com
                                +34 91 579 84 00

The content prepared by Irea Corporate Finance, S.L., an associate member of Colliers International Property Consultants (hereinafter, “Colliers International
Corporate Finance”), is protected by copyright, in accordance with the provisions of Legislative Royal Decree 1/1996 of 12 April, enacting the recast Intellectual
Property Law, which regularises, clarifies and harmonises currently applicable law on the subject. As provided in Articles 17 et seq. of the abovementioned law, any
reproduction, distribution, public communication or transformation of content prepared by Colliers International Corporate Finance is prohibited without the prior
written permission of Colliers International Corporate Finance, which has exclusive rights to use that content
You can also read