HAMPTONS RENTAL MARKET REPORT 2021 - STAYMARQUIS
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Season Recap Reflecting continued momentum from 2020, booking activity in 2021 kicked off extremely early in the year. Gross Booking Value for bookings with check-ins between Memorial Day and Labor Day (peak season) that were made in the first quarter of 2021 were 3.0x above 2020 levels and 1.5x above 2019 levels, demonstrating renters’ desire to lock in summer plans earlier than years prior. New owners who had originally purchased properties for their own COVID safe havens only added additional inventory to the market. As these owners returned to their primary residences, they subsequently marketed their properties for rent, opening peak season availability earlier than owners traditionally have. This early availability aided to facilitate high booking activity in Q1 of this year. Online Bookings in the Hamptons Made in Q1 2021 for MDW-LDW 7,000 $50M $47M Gross Booking Value ($M) 6,000 $33M $40M 5,000 # of Bookings 4,000 $30M $16M 3,000 6,251 $20M 5,253 2,000 2,661 $10M 1,000 - $0M 2019 2020 2021 # of Bookings Gross Booking Value Optimism around an expeditious rollout of vaccinations combined with the reopening of restaurants and businesses offered a renewed sense of normalcy just in time for summer. This sense of hope only supplemented the steadfast booking activity showcased in Q1. As spring headed into the summer, booking activity seemingly then cooled off due to a few factors including: depleted supply, increased rental rates, and eased international travel restrictions which would allow potential renters to travel overseas for the first time in 18 months. I 2 I www.staymarquis.com HAMPTONS RENTAL MARKET REPORT 2021
Timeline of 2021 Booking Activity School closure announcements (ultimately extended) 7,000 Vaccinations become available across adult age range 6,000 Delta variant concerns rise, represents International travel 50% of COVID cases in NYC restrictions reinstated 5,000 # of Bookings 4,000 School reopening guidance for ‘21 - ’22 academic year 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Maturation in other markets such as Upstate New York, the Berkshires, and Litchfield County – which have cheaper price points than the Hamptons – also shifted demand away from the Hamptons market mid-summer. As new rental properties emerged in these markets and Hamptons pricing stayed at all-time highs, this steered potential renters to search for alternative markets to vacation in. Forecasting ahead, the influx of demand, pricing, and revenue experienced over the last 18 months are likely to revert towards 2019 levels. Prepared with this information, owners should temper their expectations and take a proactive approach to these changes to generate maximum income for the 2022 season. While rates are not anticipated to mirror 2019, pricing is expected to fall between 2021 and 2019 levels. THE MOST SUCCESSFUL OWNERS IN 2021 DISPLAYED STRATEGIES THAT INCLUDED: BOOKING EARLIER IN THE YEAR, MONITORING THEIR ASSETS, AND PLANNING PROACTIVELY IN RESPONSE TO THE CHANGING MARKET ENVIRONMENT. HAMPTONS RENTAL MARKET REPORT 2021 www.staymarquis.com I 3 I
Market Overview Overall booking activity increased this year in both volume and value. In 2021, peak season market booking volume grew by ~1,400 (+8.9%) transactions compared to 2020, with an associated market value increase of $8.2m (+7.5%). This trend reflected lower lengths of stay -- a reversion to pre-pandemic levels. Higher booking volume and value, coupled with shorter stays facilitated higher nightly rates for owners. Even though overall nights booked decreased 8.2% vs. 2020, favorable rates allowed revenue per property to remain flat YoY. DESPITE A SHIFT IN DEMAND, INVENTORY WAS RELATIVELY STABLE AS MANY OWNERS CONTINUED TO RESIDE IN THEIR PROPERTIES. THESE TRENDS HIGH- LIGHT AN EXTENSION OF THE 2020 MARKET ENVIRONMENT AND COLLECTIVE SENTIMENT AROUND TRAVEL, COVID-19, AND OWNER PREFERENCES. 2019 2020 2021 MDW - LDW MDW - LDW MDW - LDW # Bookings 23,740 15,284 16,645 Growth (35.6%) 8.9% Bookings ($ Amount) $124,895,114 $109,212,183 $117,369,259 Growth (12.6%) 7.5% # Nights Booked 126,309 99,748 91,526 Growth (21.0%) (8.2%) Avg. Rate / Nt $989 $1,095 $1,282 Growth 10.7% 17.1% # Booked Properties 4,685 3,428 3,697 Growth (26.8%) 7.8% Revenue / Property $26,659 $31,859 $31,747 Growth 19.5% (0.4%) Nights Booked / Property 27 29 25 Growth 7.9% (14.9%) Avg. Duartion of Stay (# Nights) 5.3 6.5 5.5 Growth 22.7% (15.7%) I 4 I www.staymarquis.com HAMPTONS RENTAL MARKET REPORT 2021
Supply The number of properties in the Hamptons available for rent in 2021 grew slightly YoY (+7.8%) but trailed slowly behind 2019 levels – 3,697 in 2021 vs. 4,685 in 2019. # of Booked Properties in the Hamptons 5,000 $26,659 $35,000 Revenue per Property ($) # of Booked Properties $31,859 $31,747 4,000 $32,000 3,000 $29,000 2,000 4,685 $26,000 3,428 3,697 1,000 $23,000 - $20,000 2019 2020 2021 # of Properties Rev. per Property ($) Another driver of increased inventory came from former renters who turned into owners. During peak season, a portion of this owner subset either periodically or frequently resided in their properties. As owners in this segment seek to capitalize on this steady rental demand, supply is expected to increase in the off-season. Further, preparation time for newly purchased homes limited marketability of these properties, as furnishing, permitting, and improvement projects were all delayed throughout the year. EXPECTED AS OF EARLY 2022, MANY OF THESE HOMES WILL BE MARKET READY, INCREASING SUPPLY AS WE MOVE TOWARD NEXT PEAK SEASON. HAMPTONS RENTAL MARKET REPORT 2021 www.staymarquis.com I 5 I
Demand Throughout the 2021 Peak Season, there were 16,645 bookings (+8.9% vs. 2020) executed in the Hamptons for a Gross Booking Value of $117.5M (+7.5% vs. 2020). Online Bookings in the Hamptons (MDW - LDW) $125M Gross Booking Value ($M) 25,000 $130M $125M 20,000 # of Bookings $109M $117M $120M 15,000 $115M 23,740 10,000 16,645 $110M 5,000 15,284 $105M - $100M 2019 2020 2021 # of Bookings Gross Booking Value The influx of bookings, compared to total Gross Booking Value, reflects a slight decrease in occupancy. Lower occupancy levels are an inherent risk to renting with shorter lengths of stay; average length of stay decreased from 6.5 nights in 2020 to 5.5 nights in 2021. THIS TREND REFLECTS A BROADER SHIFT BACK TOWARD SHORTER TERM BOOKINGS, AS THERE WAS A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN LONG TERM BOOKINGS – 39% FEWER TWO-TO-FOUR-WEEK BOOKINGS AND 47% FEWER BOOKINGS FOR OVER A MONTH THIS YEAR, AS COMPARED TO 2020. I 6 I www.staymarquis.com HAMPTONS RENTAL MARKET REPORT 2021
Long Term Bookings (2 weeks + ) MDW - LDW 9.0% 8.0% Share of Total Booking Count 7.0% 6.0% 3.6% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 1.7% 2.0% 4.1% 1.0% 2.3% 0.0% 2020 2021 14-28 nights > 28 nights Booking activity for check-in dates later in the year slowed over time. The number of bookings requested in July for August and September check-ins and their associated Gross Booking Value have both decreased YoY, 4.5% and 11.1%, respectively. Online Bookings in the Hamptons made July forward (August and September Check-Ins) Gross Booking Value ($M) 6,500 $35M $40M $31M # of Bookings 6,000 $30M 6,368 5,500 6,080 $20M 5,000 $10M 2020 2021 # of Bookings Gross Booking Value HAMPTONS RENTAL MARKET REPORT 2021 www.staymarquis.com I 7 I
Pricing and Length of Stay Average nightly rates continued their meteoric rise increasing 17.1% in 2021 over 2020. Average Rate per Night $1,500 6.5 5.5 7.0 Avg. Length of Stay (Nts) 5.3 6.0 $1,000 5.0 Avg. $/Nt 4.0 $1,282 3.0 $500 $989 $1,095 2.0 1.0 $- - 2019 2020 2021 Avg $/Nt Avg LOS (Nts) Seasonality has been consistent with prior years. While in 2020, September was achieving peak season rates, 2021 activity shows that renter behavior has reverted towards pre-pandemic levels, where activity and pricing for September reflect a more significant drop off from peak season. 2021 Bookings by Month (Based on Check-in Date) 7,000 $60M Gross Booking Value ($M) 6,082 6,000 5,322 $50M 5,059 # of Bookings 5,000 4,557 $40M 4,000 4,059 2,546 $30M 3,000 2,178 $49 $31 $39 $20M 2,000 1,148 1,430 $8 $20 $7 $19 $10M 1,000 $4 $3 - $0M Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep # of Bookings Gross Booking Value I 8 I www.staymarquis.com HAMPTONS RENTAL MARKET REPORT 2021
Future Expectations A reversion to pre-COVID off-season booking trends is expected to extend into October. Owners who opened off-season dates earlier, however, have been able to use lead time to their advantage achieving higher nightly rates than owners who decided to open fall dates towards the end of the summer. September bookings executed within one week of check-in post-LD had a 14% lower average nightly price, as compared to those executed six to eight weeks early ($836 / night vs. $972 / night); the same is true for October. Post-LD September October Lead Time Booking Dollars Avg. Nightly Rate Booking Dollars Avg. Nightly Rate Less than 1 Week $1,490,554 $836 $0 1 - 2 Weeks $860,012 $888 $16,698 $757 2 - 4 Weeks $1,560,920 $932 $614,416 $800 4 - 6 Weeks $1,264,314 $968 $740,479 $826 6 - 8 Weeks $947,345 $972 $784,276 $874 8 - 12 Weeks $1,190,825 $979 $825,337 $859 Evaluating pricing through the lens of its key drivers – 1) demand at the individual renter level, 2) size of renter pool, and 3) market level inventory – it is expected that future nightly pricing will revert to lower levels as each one of these key drivers will individually slide backwards. Collectively, these drivers will produce a compounding, negative effect. As vaccination rates have increased, renters are becoming more comfortable with traveling, dampening comparisons to 2020 behavior and the notion of “needing to get out of the house”. Further, as borders open, potential renters are expected to increasingly opt for fly-time locations versus those within driving distance. This mentality towards travel creates market-level travel decisions that are expected to have a negative impact on demand to the Hamptons, relative to the last year. As owners who have been living in or improving their properties re-open them for bookings, this increased supply will also create a drag on pricing. AS A RESULT, BOOKINGS EXECUTED NOW FOR PEAK SEASON 2022 ARE LIKELY TO COME IN AT HIGHER RATES – ANY OWNER WHO PLANS ON MARKETING THEIR PROPERTY FOR NEXT SUMMER SHOULD OPEN AVAILABILITY AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. HAMPTONS RENTAL MARKET REPORT 2021 www.staymarquis.com I 9 I
2021 StayMarquis Highlights In the News: We were recognized by INC5000 for the second year in a row, #343 Fastest Growing Private Company in the Country and #4 in the Travel & Hospitality Sector Enhanced Services: Rolled out Home Vision, our tech-enabled property management service, currently with over 40 properties enrolled Newly launched “Pricing Analytics Dashboard” (PAD), available to all owners on our platform This dashboard provides real-time, data driven pricing recommendations for owners and their properties Newly launched Advisory Services for prospective buyers, helping existing and future owners source buying opportunities and understand realizable income levels for potential purchases As always, please do not hesitate to reach out if you have any questions about the rental market, need a full-service solution to renting your home, or need property management services. For owners, please email owners@staymarquis.com For travelers or travel agents, please email travel@staymarquis.com For brokers, please email broker@staymarquis.com We hope you find this analysis helpful and hope to hear from you soon! The StayMarquis Team I 10 I www.staymarquis.com HAMPTONS RENTAL MARKET REPORT 2021
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