Gulf Stream Temperature, Salinity, and Transport during the Last Millennium
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Gulf Stream Temperature, Salinity, and Transport during the Last Millennium David Lund - University of Michigan • Part I - Geostrophic estimation of Gulf Stream flow - Gulf Stream strength varied by ~10% - Weaker vertical shear and transport during Little Ice Age - Consistent with timing of North Atlantic cooling • Part II - Sea-surface temperature and salinity - Gulf Stream salinity increased during LIA - Likely due to southward migration of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone • Part III - Linking the oceanic circulation and ITCZ
Gulf Stream volume and heat transports 31 Sv (1Sv = 1x106 m3s-1) 1.3 PW (1PW = 1015 W) 25-40% of heat transport due to shallow gyre overturning Talley, 1999 Schmitz, 1996 Larsen, 1992
Benthic foraminiferal δ18O and density Cibicidoides floridanus increasing S and decreasing T causes sea water density AND foraminiferal δ18O to increase 200 µm after Lynch-Stieglitz et al., 1999
Foraminiferal density estimates match modern observations 0 100 $RY 4ORTUGAS 200 'REAT "AHAMA "ANK 300 Water Depth (m) 400 500 600 700 SYMBOLS CORETOP DATA 800 LINES *AN CTD CASTS 23 24 25 26 27 28 density (St) Lund et al., 2006
Estimating Gulf Stream transport Modern techniques - current meters ~ 29-31 Sv Pillsbury, 1890; Schott et al., 1988; Leaman et al., 1995 - submarine cable estimates of 29 Sv (Jan) to 33 Sv (July) Wertheim, 1954; Baringer and Larsen, 2001 - geostrophic estimates ~ 28-30 Sv Montgomery, 1941; Schmitz and Richardson, 1968 Geostrophic estimation (using thermal wind equations) ---> vertical current shear is ∂v = - g ∂ρ proportional to horizontal ∂z ρof ∂x density gradient ∂u = g ∂ρ * transport can be calculated only ∂z ρof ∂y if velocity at a given depth is known
Lower Gulf Stream transport during Little Ice Age modern annual average what do estimates LIA of salinity tell us about LIA conditions? Lund et al., 2006
Dry Tortugas reflects tropical Atlantic salinity Dry Tortugas salinity= 36.0 79ggc and 62mc Levitus, 1994
North Atlantic surface salinity controlled by evaporation-precipitation rate ITCZ ITCZ evaporation-precipitation rate daSilva et al., 1994
Calculating surface salinity using planktonic foraminifera Globeriginoides ruber δ18Ocalcite = δ18Owater - 0.20(SST) + 2.98 Kim and OʼNeil, 1997 Lynch-Stieglitz et al., 1999 δ18Owater = δ18Ocalcite - 2.98 + 0.20(SST) 200 µm 5.5 5.0 Mg/Ca (mmol/mol) 1.4 4.5 1.2 4.0 δ18Owater (‰) 1.0 3.5 0.8 0.6 3.0 Anand et al., 2003 0.4 2.5 34.5 35.0 35.5 36.0 36.5 20 22 24 26 28 30 Salinity (psu) Temperature (°C)
Dry Tortugas δ18Ocalcite increased during LIA 95% confidence interval G. ruber δ18O (‰) 100yr running mean Lund and Curry, 2006
Dry Tortugas sea surface temperature increased during LIA Lund and Curry, 2006
Dry Tortugas δ18Ow increased during LIA salinity Lund and Curry, 2006
Dry Tortugas δ18Ow record is replicable δ18Owater anomaly (‰) salinity
! The magnitude of δ18Ow variability is due to either: A) influence of thermocline water or B) incorrect Mg/Ca calibration LUND AND CURRY: FLORIDA CURRENT TEMPERATURE AND SALINITY P Calendar Age (yr BP) 0 200 400 600 800 1000 !18O c (‰, PDB) -1.6 -1.4 -1.2 28.5 SST (ºC) 28.0 27.5 * 27.0 !18O w (‰, SMOW) 1.05 1.00 0.95 * Schmidt, 1999 0.90 Craig & Gordon, 1965 36.4 Salinity 36.2 * 36.0 based on multivariate equations of deMenocal et al., 2007
Higher LIA salinity driven by southward ITCZ migration ITCZ ITCZ evaporation-precipitation rate daSilva et al., 1994
saltier northern tropical Atlantic δ18Owater anomaly (‰) LIA Haug et al., 2001 drier northern Coherent change in northern Venezuela precipitation Venezuela
Gulf Stream characterized by low transport and high surface salinity during the Little Ice Age
! A function of reduced windstress curl? 224 W.E. Johns et al. / Deep-Sea Research I 49 (2002 O. Annual mean Sverdrup streamfunction 2 Sv of net in and St. Luci WESTERLIES consistent w Sverdrup the tion of water much smaller reasons for th the return cu O. exiting the so be infinitesim oppose the S significant red Partial block channels and TRADES could also co either case, an and the Sverd O. forced inflow south of 151N approximatel My ≈ 1 ∂Tx the Sverdrup feeding the Fl β ∂y the subtropi Caribbean no Fig. 4. The annual mean Sverdrup streamfunction derived subtropical gy from Hellerman and Rosenstein (1983) winds. Johns et al., These are the 2002 same winds used to drive the model simulations. The region
nomalies exhibit a zonal band of increased aridity jus ! orthModel of theresults equator, although suggest curl opposing increases positive when ITCZprecipita precipita- on migrates anomalies to the south of this band are more subtle southward - forcedSignificant igure 2. NCAR CAM3 using mean SST annual precipitation - SST anomalies (contours (contours, scaled to simulate anomalies !1 from hosing experiment LIA observations !1 mm day(Zhang) &and wind stress Delworth, 2005) (vectors, dyn cm ) anomalies or (a) NA1, (b) NA2, (c) XTA1, (d) XTA2, (e) TNA1, and ) TNA2. Shading highlights positive (dark/green) and Saenger et al., 2009
A role for the MOC? warm HadCM3 surface ` temp. (ºC) anomalies cold HadCM3 precipitation wet (cm/yr) anomalies ` dry Vellinga and Wu, 2004
Conclusions • Gulf Stream transport varied by ~10% during the last millennium, but was 3±1 Sv lower during Little Ice Age • Surface Gulf Stream salinity increased during the LIA, most likely due to southward ITCZ migration • Simultaneous transport and salinity variability implies tight linkage between oceanic circulation and hydrologic cycle on centennial time scales • Southward migration of wind-field would likely enhance flow, implying MOC was primary driver of LIA transport anomaly
Water depth (m) Holocene variability in Gulf Stream transport a) Transport increased Transport (Sv) ~ 4 Sv during Holocene b) Calendar Age (yr BP) Lynch-Steiglitz, et al., in press ITCZwith gure 4. a) Calculated geostrophic flow through the Florida Straits migrated southward 2-sigma error Water depth (m) imates. b) Geostrophic flow per unit depth (Sv m-1).! during Holocene Haug et al., 2001 17 AUGUST 2001 VOL 293 SCIENCE www.sciencemag.org
Dry Tortugas δ18Owater record mimics Δ14Catm Lund and Curry, 2006
North Atlantic region cooled by ~1°C during LIA Greenland Temp. (oC) Dahl-Jensen et al., 1998 Lamb, 1995 Marchitto and deMenocal, 2003 Bond et al., 2001 Keigwin, 1996 deMenocal et al., 2000
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