Ground Rents Income Fund Plc - James Agar & Chris Leek April 2020 - Schroders

 
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Ground Rents Income Fund Plc - James Agar & Chris Leek April 2020 - Schroders
Ground Rents Income Fund Plc
James Agar & Chris Leek        Marketing material for professional investors or advisers only.
April 2020                                                                       Confidential.
Ground Rents Income Fund Plc - James Agar & Chris Leek April 2020 - Schroders
Executive summary

          Company strategy                                   Income focus                                Asset management                                   Balance sheet

                                                                                                   Highly experienced asset                             £25.0m refinance-
                                                 Recurring dividend cover of 91%                  management team across the
     Secure, consistent, inflation                                                                                                                         2.8% vs. 3.4%
                                                 for interim period to September                  managed and non-managed
      protected income returns                                                                                                                   £100,000 interest rate saving on
                                                               2019                                         estate                                      like-for-like basis

                                                                                                                                                     Expiry extended to 2025
    Delivering value to consumers,                43% of the ground rent income
                                                                                                   VITA headlease – £1m capital                    RCF maximises balance sheet
     through socially responsible                  due to be reviewed over the
                                                                                                      sum and reduced risk                           efficiency and provides
             stewardship                                  next six years
                                                                                                                                                      operational flexibility

                                                      2019 strategic review                         Headwinds from Leasehold
    Resolve legacy litigation issues                                                                                                              LTV of c.24% on charged assets,
                                                 maintained dividend at 3.96 pps.                  Reform, CMA and regulatory
          at Beetham Tower                                                                                                                        against a covenant of 45% LTV
                                                   Assessing Covid-19 impact                                change

Past performance is not a guide to future performance and may not be repeated. The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and investors may not get back
the amount originally invested.
Source: Schroders, April 2020

1
Ground Rents Income Fund Plc - James Agar & Chris Leek April 2020 - Schroders
Investment case
Inflation linked returns
Ground Rents Income Fund Plc (GRIO)                                                                       Illustrative ground rent revenue – RPI sensitivity
                                                                                                          £m
                                                                                                          7.5
                        – Highly-diversified, long-term portfolio of approximately 19,000
    Diversified
                          units across 400 assets with a low default risk
                                                                                                          7.0

                        – Upwards only rental increases over all durations given the                      6.5
    Predictable
                          fundamentals of the instruments

                                                                                                          6.0

    Long-term           – Weighted average unexpired lease term of 345 yrs                                5.5

                                                                                                          5.0
                        – Uncorrelated to real estate sectors – residential, commercial
    Non-correlative
                          or alternatives
                                                                                                          4.5

                        – c.70% of the portfolio is index-linked, of which c.90% is RPI
    Inflation-          – 43% of the portfolio ground rent income is due to be reviewed                   4.0
    hedged                over the next six years (from the most recent half-year report as                     2019   2020     2021    2022    2023     2024   2025   2026   2027   2028     2029
                          at 31 March 2019)                                                                              -2% RPI               -1% RPI            0% RPI             1% RPI
                                                                                                                         2% RPI                3% RPI             4% RPI             5% RPI
    Income              – 3.96p per share dividend
                                                                                                            Assuming future RPI inflation of 2.5% per annum, ground rent income should increase
                                                                                                                c.16% over next 6 years or an annualised figure matching that of RPI at 2.5%

Source: Schroders, ONS, April 2020. Chart for illustrative purposes only and should not be viewed as a recommendation to buy or sell.

2
Ground Rents Income Fund Plc - James Agar & Chris Leek April 2020 - Schroders
GRIO share price and NAV
Currently trading at a 34% discount to NAV1
145                                                                                                                                                                                                                   20%
                                                     February 2017. Media coverage begins
140                                                                                                 December 2017. Tackling unfair
135                                                                                                 practices in leasehold                                                                            Covid-19
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      10%
130                                                                                                                                     October 2018. Implementing                                    CMA
                                                                                                                                        reforms to leasehold
125
                                                                                                                                                                         January 2020. LC report
120                                                                                                                                                                         on enfranchisement                        0%
115                                                                                                                                                                                   premiums

110
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      -10%
105
100
    95                                                                                                                                                                                                                -20%
    90
    85
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      -30%
    80
    75
    70                                                                                                                                                                                                                -40%
                             Sep-16

                                                                              Sep-17

                                                                                                                               Sep-18

                                                                                                                                                                                 Sep-19
         Mar-16

                  Jun-16

                                          Dec-16

                                                      Mar-17

                                                                  Jun-17

                                                                                           Dec-17

                                                                                                         Mar-18

                                                                                                                   Jun-18

                                                                                                                                            Dec-18

                                                                                                                                                        Mar-19

                                                                                                                                                                    Jun-19

                                                                                                                                                                                             Dec-19

                                                                                                                                                                                                             Mar-20
                                                   Share price (LHS)                          NAV (LHS)                         Discount/Premium (RHS)
Past performance is not a guide to future performance and may not be repeated.
Source: Refinitiv, Schroders, 16 April 2020. 1Most recent NAV per ordinary share (undiluted) as at 30 September 2019, 111.30 pence; share price at 15 April 2020 73.50 pence. Chart for illustrative purposes only
and should not be viewed as a recommendation to buy or sell

3
Compliance Disclosure Requirement
Ground Rents Income Fund plc- calendar year performance
                                                                     12 months to Dec             12 months to Dec   12 months to Dec   12 months to Dec         12 months to Dec
Property portfolio total returns1
                                                                                 2019                         2018               2017               2016                     2015
Ground Rents Income Fund Plc                                                  -1.1                         -8.5            2.9                  19.4                     13.1

Past performance is not a guide to future performance and may not be repeated. The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well
as up and investors may not get back the amounts originally invested.

Ground Rents Income Fund Plc – Risk Factors:
The Company borrows for investment purposes. This will magnify any gains or losses made by the Company.
The Company has no maturity date. The Company may only be terminated by a continuation vote, a shareholders’ voluntary liquidation or by a compulsory liquidation if the
Company were unable to pay its debts. The Company owns a portfolio of assets with the income generated from the collection of ground rents.
Potential legislative reform may impact the Company’s value and future income streams. However, any reform would be required to strike a fair balance between leaseholders and
landlords with legitimate property interests.
The Company invests in real estate which may be viewed as a higher risk and illiquid investment and may, therefore, be adversely affected by a decrease in market liquidity for the
assets in which it invests
You may not be able to sell your product easily or you may sell at a price that significantly impacts on how much you get back. This product does not include any protection from
future market performance so you could lose some or all of your investment.
The Company will invest solely in property located in the UK. This can carry more risk than investments spread over a number of countries. The performance of the Company would
be adversely affected by a downturn in the property market in terms of capital value or a weakening of rental yields. The Company invests in real estate which may be viewed as a
higher risk and illiquid investment and may, therefore, be adversely affected by a decrease in market liquidity for the assets in which it invests.
The Company has the ability to use gearing as part of its investment strategy. The use of gearing will increase the risk profile of the Company and the volatility of the value of
Shares, and will amplify losses in the event of a decline in gross asset values. Gearing may create significant underperformance, particularly in times of a falling property market.
Borrowing costs may, from time to time, exceed returns on property.

Source: Schroders, Refinitiv, 31 December 2019. 1 Schroders, NAV to NAV (per share) plus dividends paid.

4
GRIO dividend yield vs 10 year index-linked gilt yield
    Current yield margin is 1.5x the five year average
    Yield
    10

      8

      6

      4

      2

      0

     -2

     -4
          Dec-14

                                                   Dec-15

                                                                                               Dec-16

                                                                                                                                       Dec-17

                                                                                                                                                                            Dec-18

                                                                                                                                                                                                                Dec-19
                             Jun-15

                                        Sep-15

                                                                       Jun-16

                                                                                  Sep-16

                                                                                                                 Jun-17

                                                                                                                            Sep-17

                                                                                                                                                          Jun-18

                                                                                                                                                                   Sep-18

                                                                                                                                                                                              Jun-19

                                                                                                                                                                                                       Sep-19
                   Mar-15

                                                             Mar-16

                                                                                                        Mar-17

                                                                                                                                                 Mar-18

                                                                                                                                                                                     Mar-19

                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Mar-20
                                                 Yield margin                              GRIO dividend yield                        10 Year Index-linked Gilt Yield

Past performance is not a guide to future performance and may not be repeated.
Source: Fixed Income Investor, Schroders. April 2020. Chart for illustrative purposes only and should not be viewed as a recommendation to buy or sell
5
Market commentary
    Regulatory uncertainty leading to weak sentiment despite strong underlying cash flows
                                                  Long-dated, cash flow driven assets are increasingly attractive and can provide
                                                   consistent, inflation-linked returns

                                                  Despite strong demand for annuity-type cash flows, transactional volumes within
                                                   residential ground rents have been low since 2018 due to leasehold reform

                                                  Wait-and-see approach from institutional investors, as well as pivot to commercial

                                                  Law Commission report on enfranchisement process in January 2020 viewed
                                                   positively, but now overshadowed by CMA investigation

                                                  Several parties continue to be active pre Covid-19

                                                  Market dynamic likely to remain unchanged until greater certainty is provided
                                                   regarding the Government’s leasehold reform agenda and the CMA investigation

                                                 Commercial Ground Rents Assets

                                                  In contrast, commercial volumes are increasing with very strong demand for
                                                   investment grade matching assets i.e. income strips

                                                  Pre Covid19 commercial transactions continue to attract competitive bidding with
                                                   some initial yields under 3%

                                                  Commercial assets may be an option to grow the company and provide greater
                                                   liquidity

    Wapping Wharf, Bristol

    Source: Knight Frank Schroders, April 2020
6
Covid-19
The appeal of real estate is unchanged - relatively high yields, income growth and asset control
                                           Transactional activity is falling in most sectors globally due to uncertainty

                                           Banks generally supportive but likely see increase in distressed sales

                                           While monetary easing and low bond yields are supportive, real estate yields are also
                                            heavily influenced by expectations for rental growth. Yield expansion is therefore
                                            likely across most traditional sectors as the economic outlook deteriorates

                                           Impact on value will be sector specific - supermarkets, logistics and data centres may
                                            emerge relatively unscathed as ‘national infrastructure’ and become more sought
                                            after by investors seeking secure income

                                           Assets with short unexpired leases are likely to see a bigger fall in value than assets
                                            with secure, long-dated income

                                           Schroders forecast sharp drop in inflation in the short term due to falling energy
                                            prices and weaker demand for non-food goods

                                           Once the lockdown is lifted inflation is forecast to rise as increased demand is met by
                                            supply disruptions. Forecast RPI of 1.5% for 2020 and 3.9% for 2021

                                           GRIO’s secure, long-dated, index-linked portfolio should be well positioned in this
                                            period

Imperial College, White City, London
Source: Schroders, April 2020
   7
Leasehold reform timeline
                  Past, present and future
                      •   Feb: Government Housing White Paper             •   Apr: Government responds to                 •   Mar: Select Committee report on              •   Jan 20: Law Commission published their
                          published (proposes housing market                  consultation 2 (proposes regulation of          leasehold reform (recommends a cap on            report on enfranchisement
                          reform to boost the supply of new homes             managing agents)                                existing ground rents of £250/0.1%, zero     •   Positive for GRIO - little impact on the
                          and promote fairness and transparency for       •   May: Hackitt review published (proposes         future ground rents, standardized leases         long-dated ground rents
Reform Timeline

                          homeowners)                                         new regulatory framework, including Duty        and review by Competition and Markets
                                                                                                                                                                           •   Feb 20: CMA investigation into leasehold
                      •   Jun: Grenfell Tower tragedy                         holders)                                        Authority (CMA))
                                                                                                                                                                               housing market
                      •   Jul: Hackitt Review; and Government             •   Sep: Law Commission leasehold               •   Jun/Jul: Government building safety
                                                                                                                                                                           •   Covering the alleged mis-selling of new-
                          leasehold consultation (1)                          enfranchisement consultation                    consultation (4); CMA begins review into
                                                                                                                                                                               build leasehold homes and potentially
                                                                                                                              home buying process; Government
                      •   Oct: Government managing agent                  •   Oct: Government leasehold reform                                                                 unfair ground rents, service charges and
                                                                                                                              responds to consultation 3 (proposes
                          consultation (2)                                    consultation (3)                                                                                 fees
                                                                                                                              implementation of leasehold reform); and
                      •   Dec: Government responds to                     •   Dec: Law Commission Commonhold                  Government responds to Select                •   2020: Building Safety Bill
                          consultation 1 (proposes zero future                consultation                                    Committee (leasehold remains a
                          ground rents and banning sale of                                                                    legitimate form of home ownership, rebuffs
                          leasehold houses)                                                                                   retrospective legislation)

                                            2017                                              2018                                            2019                                  2019/2020 and Beyond
                      •   Sep: GRIO launches doubling ground              •   Apr: Leasehold Reform Group (LRG)           •   Feb: GRIO attends Law Commission             •   Continued interaction with government ,
                          rents asset management (all of its                  formed                                          symposium on proposals to reform                 CMA and Law Commission
                          residential leaseholders with doubling          •   Jun: GRIO meets civil servant leading the       Commonhold                                   •   Meeting with new Housing Minister
                          ground rents offered the opportunity to             government’s leasehold project leader,      •   Mar: GRIO and other large scale              •   RPI Reform Consultation
                          convert their existing review mechanism to          Lakbir Hans, to discuss proposed                freeholders meet with the then Housing
GRIO Action

                          the lesser of inflation, as measured by the                                                                                                      •   Industry Code of Conduct
                                                                              reforms                                         Minister, Heather Wheeler MP
                          Retail Prices Index (RPI), or doubling, while                                                                                                    •   Continue with doubling ground rents
                                                                          •   Jul: GRIO attends Industry Roundtable       •   Feb: GRIO attends LRG seminar on draft
                          retaining their existing review cycle)                                                                                                               asset management
                                                                              with the then Secretary of State, James         Code of Conduct
                      •   Oct: GRIO and other large scale                     Brokenshire MP, on remediating                                                               •   Best-in-class asset management- Golden
                                                                                                                          •   May: Schroders appointed as AIFM
                          freeholders and developers meet the                 buildings with potentially unsafe                                                                thread, digitisation of O&Ms
                          then Secretary of State, Sajid Javid MP, to                                                     •   Jun: GRIO signatory of Government’s
                                                                              cladding                                                                                     •   Delivering value to consumers
                          discuss leasehold reform proposals                                                                  Public Pledge for Leaseholders
                                                                          •   Jul: GRIO attends LRG and Winckworth
                                                                                                                          •   Aug: Announcement of review of the
                                                                              Sherwood seminar on leasehold reform
                                                                                                                              Company’s strategy
                                                                          •   Oct: Representations by GRIO and LRG
                                                                              to government and Select Committee
                      Source: Schroders, April 2020
                  8
Leasehold reform
GRIO portfolio- well positioned in relation to reform
– The timescale and final outcome of leasehold reform and its potential impact on the Company is uncertain

– The extent of any negative impact on the Company may be mitigated by the following:

    – 345 Year Weighted Average Unexpired Lease Term

    – The portfolio median ground rent is £250 p.a.

    – 96% of the Company's ground rent income reviews are not deemed 'onerous' and so index-linked, fixed, flat (no
      review) or double less frequently than every 20 years

    – Of the remaining 4%, less than 0.1% of portfolio income (4 units) doubles in perpetuity

    – Doubling ground rent asset management plan – engages with all residential leaseholders with doubling leases
      regardless of review cycle (10–50 yrs)

    – Offering a review variation to the lesser of doubling or RPI inflation, retaining their review cycle

    – The industry pledge made this approach industry standard

    – Limited exposure to leasehold houses – only 11% of total income and median ground rent is £110 p.a.
Source: Schroders, October 2019.

9
Summary
Focus on growing net income and risk management
                                                                                                   Actions COMPLETED
                                                                                                        Refinance                         Building safety reform
                                               Delivering scale and                          1     Reduced cost, extend
                                                    liquidity to                                   term & give flexibility                   Beetham Tower
                                                  shareholders
                                                                                                                                               resolution

                                                  Actions Ongoing                                                                    Actions COMPLETED
                                                 Rerating the shares                                                                  Additional Income
                                           4                                                                                     2
                                                   Working to close                                          GRIO                      VITA Headlease
                                                   discount to NAV                                                                   Supplier Agreements

                                                                                                      Actions Ongoing                         Best-in-class
                                                       Covid-19                                      Leasehold Reform                         Management
                                                                                                       Interaction with
                                                RPI- recalculation                           3                                             Delivering value to
                                                                                                      Government, Law
                                                                                                     Commission & CMA                          consumers

                                   Strategy to increase shareholder total returns and deliver a fully covered dividend
Source: Schroders April 2020. Shown for illustrative purposes only and should not be viewed as a recommendation to buy or sell

10
Appendix
Ground Rents Income Fund Plc (GRIO) team
GRIO team supported by Schroders Group and Company Board
           Board                                         Schroders Residential team                           Schroder Real Estate/Group
                                                                                                                 Schroder Real Estate Direct
                                                                                                                   Investment Committee
                                                                                                                   Chaired by Duncan Owen

                                                                                                                 UK Direct Investment Team
                                                                James Agar
  Malcolm Naish                                                                                                       Nick Montgomery
                                                                Fund Manager
  Chairman
                                                                                                                 Research and Performance
                                                                                                                 Jeremy Marsh, Rosie Nguyen

                                                                                                                Accounting, Insurance and Tax
                                                                                                                  Rick Murphy, Derek Reeves,
                                                                                                                         Lucy Henry
  Paul Craig                       Chris Leek                  Robert Dean                Christopher Moore
                                   Deputy Fund Manager         Head of Asset Management   Senior Accountant           Distribution and
  Non-Executive Director
                                                                                                                     Company Secretary
                                                                                                                  James Lowe, Matthew Rowe

                                                                                                                     PR and Public Policy
                                                                                                                   Estelle Bibby, Sheila Nicoll

  Bill Holland                     Lauren Collier              Alex Cooke                 Amber Wilcox             Legal and Compliance
  Chairman of Audit Committee      Assistant                   Asset Manager              Accountant              Luong Truong, Mark Perry
  Appointed 1 September 2019
Source: Schroders, October 2019.

12
Schroder Real Estate overview
   Experienced and well resourced team
    Schroder Real Estate Direct Investment Committee

               Mark Callender                Nick Montgomery                     Jessica Berney                          Duncan Owen                      Jonathan Harris                 Roger Hennig                 Tom Walker
                                                                                                                         (Chairman)

Head of Real Estate Research      Head of UK Investment             Senior Fund Manager, UK           Global Head of Real Estate               Head of Continental          Head of Switzerland Real     Co-Head, Global Real Estate
                                                                                                                                               European Investment          Estate                       Securities

             Schroder Real Estate
             Over 200 professionals involved in the management of real estate:

                                                                                         Chief
               Indirect                               UK                                                                     Continental Europe                 Asia Pacific and Australasia              Capital and Product
                                                                                    Operating Officer

            Capital Partners                   United Kingdom                            Operations                                Pan European                             Singapore                      Strategic Partnerships

         Real Estate Securities                Sector Specialists                         Finance                                    Nordics                                  Japan                            Pan European

                                             Investment Research                              Legal                                  Germany                                Hong Kong                          International

                                               Real Estate Debt                                                                     Switzerland                             Australia                       Client Management

                                                  Residential                                                                         France                                                                Fund Development

   Source: Schroders, October 2019.

   13
GRIO portfolio
Portfolio breakdown by ground rent income1
Asset location                                                                                         Type of ground rent review

                                             1.5%
                                         5.3%                                                                                                     7.0%

                                9.8%                                                                                                     7.2%

                                                                30.6%

                        10.9%                                                                                                   16.2%

                           12.2%
                                                                                                                                                                        69.6%

                                                     29.7%

         North West                     North East                      Midlands
                                                                                                                          Index-linked          Doubling        Fixed        Flat (no review)
         London                         South West                      South East (exc. London)

Source Schroders, 31 December 2019. 1Based on total portfolio ground rent income. Shown for illustrative purposes only and should not be viewed as a recommendation to buy or sell

14
GRIO portfolio
Overview of the portfolio as at 31 March 2019
–    70% of ground rent income reviews are index-linked         Detailed review type           Ground rent income (£k)    % of ground rent total               Market value (£m)    % of market value total
                                                                Index-linked                                    3,336                       69.6                             90.6                      72.3
–    Fixed and doubling leases provide performance, even
     in deflationary environments                               Doubling                                           779                      16.2                             20.0                      16.0
                                                                Fixed                                              343                       7.2                              8.6                       6.9
–    Under the government’s definition ‘onerous leases’ are
                                                                Flat (no review)                                   334                       7.0                              6.0                       4.8
     ground rents that double more frequently than every
                                                                Total                                           4,792                     100.0                            125.2                     100.0
     20 years – this represents only 4.1% of income
–    Median ground rents are sensible and sustainable
                                                                Unit type                              No. of units (%)   Median ground rent (£)      Ground rent income (%)         Portfolio valuation (%)
–    15% of portfolio units are houses                          Apartments                                        72.8                      250                             68.9                        67.0
                                                                Houses                                            15.0                      110                             11.0                        10.5
                                                                ‘Residential’ subtotal                            87.8                      250                             79.9                        77.5
                                                                Students                                          10.6                      350                             16.6                        18.9
                                                                Commercial                                         1.6                      250                              3.5                         3.6
                                                                Total                                            100.0                     £250                            100.0                       100.0

                                                                Years to next review                                                                                                Ground rent income (%)
–    345 years average lease length                             0–5                                                                                                                                   42.4
                                                                5–10                                                                                                                                  22.6
–    42% reviewing over the next 5 years                        10–15                                                                                                                                 21.8
–    c.19,000 units across c.400 addresses                      15–20                                                                                                                                   3.9
                                                                Over 20                                                                                                                                 2.3
–    Diversified geographically                                 Flat (no review)                                                                                                                        7.0
                                                                Total                                                                                                                                100.0

                                                                Property                                                             Current valuation (£m)                          Portfolio valuation (%)
                                                                The Student Village, York                                                                8.5                                              6.8
                                                                Masshouse Plaza, Birmingham                                                              4.0                                              3.2
                                                                The Gateway, Leeds                                                                       3.8                                              3.1
                                                                One Park West, Liverpool                                                                 3.5                                              2.8
                                                                Rathbone Market, London                                                                  3.4                                              2.7
                                                                Wiltshire Leisure Village                                                                3.3                                              2.6
                                                                Ladywell Point, Manchester                                                               2.9                                              2.3
                                                                First Street, Manchester                                                                 2.8                                              2.2
                                                                Richmond House, Southampton                                                              2.4                                              1.9
                                                                City Island, Leeds                                                                       1.9                                              1.5
                                                                Total                                                                                   36.6                                            29.1
Source: Schroders, April 2020.
Shown for illustrative purposes only and should not be viewed as a recommendation to buy or sell
15
North West Ground Rents (NWGR)
     Mediation & ongoing litigation
      In 2014 issues were identified regarding the structural sealant bonding on the façade shadow boxes

      Mediation between all parties took place in November 2019, no definitive agreement has been reached between parties

      NWGR continues with the mobilisation for the Option A repair, to comply with the January 2019 judgment

      Tenders for Option A were issued 13 December 2019, quotations are ahead of expectation at over £8m due to the inclement weather risk

      NWGR has been exploring a more viable alternative repair - Option B

      NWGR has submitted a formal planning application and an application to the Court for permission to vary -

          a) The timeline for the completion of remedial work

          b) The type and nature of the remedial work to Option B

      Exploring a sale of the asset

      Disclosures were made in 2019 accounts, relating to any possible insolvency’s impact on NAV. Interim accounts will update shareholders

      NWGR is Guernsey SPV, it’s only asset is Beetham Tower, it has no external third-party liabilities and is ring-fenced from the wider group

      The board believes that seeking Court approval and planning consent for Option B remains in shareholders best interests

      Without a resolution there is a risk that GRIO’s support will be withdrawn & NWGR placed into liquidation

     Source: Schroders, April 2020
16
Retail Price Index (RPI)
     Reforming the UK inflation measure
      In September 2019 the Government agreed with the UK Statistics Authority (UKSA) to reform RPI

      The Chancellor pledged to bring RPI in line with a measure of consumer prices that includes housing costs (CPIH)

      Reform unlikely to take place before 2025, not least due to impact on the index-linked Gilt market

      The chancellor rejected a proposal from UKSA to cease publication of the RPI altogether

      Investors holding RPI linked assets or obligations are likely to be impacted as CPIH is typically lower than RPI

      This includes GRIO - 62% of ground rent income directly linked to RPI

      Retrospective action on current RPI linked contracts would be hard to enforce without appropriate compensation (A1P1)

      A consultation on whether reform should be made before 2030 has begun and will close on 22 April 2020

      The Government and UKSA will respond to the consultation before the parliamentary summer recess

      GRIO’s base case financial model assumes inflation of 3.0% in 2020, 2.9% in 2021 and 3.0% thereafter

      This may need to be revised post 2030 depending on the outcomes of the consultation and legislative process

      SREIM will discuss next steps with our internally policy team Government may-

         1.     Keep a notional RPI measure, so existing contracts are honoured, whilst transitioning to CPIH

         2.     Reform the calculation of RPI to CPIH or similar, to circumvent any compensation or market challenge

     Source: Schroders, FT.com & HM Treasury March 2020

17
Schroders CPI & RPI UK Inflation Profile – 31 March 2020
Y/Y%

    5

    4

    3

    2

    1

    0

                                                         Forecast           RPI         RPIX          CPI          CPI Core          CPI target bands

Source: Schroders. 31 March 2020. Shown for illustrative purposes only and should not be viewed as a recommendation to buy or sell
 18
Cost efficient, flexible refinancing
£25m Santander refinancing delivers c. £96k interest rate saving*
                 Reduction in interest rate (existing £19.5m drawn, p.a.)                                                          Reduction in interest rate (initial £15.5m drawn, p.a.)
       £k                                      £96k interest saving
                                £657k                                                                                                                 £657k       £172k interest saving
     700                                                                                                                  700
     600                                                                          £561k                                   600
                                                                                                                                                                                                 £485k
     500                                                                                                                  500
     400                                                                                                                  400
     300                                                                                                                  300
     200                         3.4%                                              2.9%                                   200                         3.4%                                        3.1%
                                  p.a.                                              p.a.                                                               p.a.                                       p.a.
     100                                                                                                                  100
       0                                                                                                                    0
                             Prior Loan                                        New Loan                                                            Prior Loan                                   New Loan

                                   Negotiated refinancing costs                                                                          Increase in the term of the loan (years)
      Amort.
     (£k p.a.)             £498k refinancing cost, funded by cash
                                                                                                                       Prior Loan                  1.8 years
     150                                                                        £139k
                                                                                                                                          Maturity Nov-2021

     100                         £90k
                                                                                                                        New Loan                                                5.0 years
      50                                                                                                                                  Maturity Jan-2025

        0                                                                                                                                0                1                 2               3            4   5
                               Sep-19                                    Post refinancing                                                                             years
Source: Schroders, March 2020.
*based on existing drawn amount of £19.5m. Includes new RCF non-utilisation fee. Shown for illustrative purposes only and should not be viewed as a recommendation to buy or sell
19
Key Information Document
(KID)
Background
– As required under the regulations for Packaged Retail and Insurance based Investment Products (PRIIPs), a KID has been a
  requirement for all investment products available to the retail investor since 1 January 2018
– The calculation of figures and performance scenarios contained in the KID are prescribed by PRIIPS and have neither been
  set nor endorsed by the board
– PRIIPS is inconsistently applied by market participants and hence creates confusion amongst investors

GRIO – cost composition1                                                                                Challenges
 Breakdown of calculation            % of NAV                                                           – Lack of consistency of calculation
 Portfolio transaction costs           0.02%
                                                   Impact of the costs of buying and selling            – Misleading for investors
                                                   underlying investments
                                                                                                        – Risk score depended on historic share price volatility,
                                                   The impact of the costs taken each year
                                                   for managing the Company’s
                                                                                                          not market specific criteria
                                                   investments (comprising the
 Other ongoing costs                   2.71%
                                                   management fee, finance costs and all
                                                   other operating costs excluding
                                                   transaction costs)
 Total                                 2.73%

GRIO - warrant
– The GRIO warrant instrument is also a PRIIP which requires its own KID but with no ongoing costs, expiring on 31 August 2022

Source: Schroders, March 2020. 1Costs published within the KID issued by Schroders and based on the Schroders fee structure.

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Important information
Marketing material for professional investors or advisers only.

Past performance is not a guide to future performance and may not be repeated. The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and investors may not get
back the amount originally invested. Exchange rate changes may cause the value of any overseas investments to rise or fall.

Schroders has expressed its own views and opinions in this document and these may change.

This information is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or to adopt any investment strategy. Nothing in this material should be construed as
advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Information herein is believed to be reliable but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy.

Any data has been sourced by us and is provided without any warranties of any kind. It should be independently verified before further publication or use. Third party data is owned or
licenced by the data provider and may not be reproduced, extracted or used for any other purpose without the data provider’s consent. Neither we, nor the data provider, will have any
liability in connection with the third party data.

The material is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for accounting, legal or tax advice. Reliance should not be placed on any views or information in the material when
taking individual investment and/or strategic decisions. No responsibility can be accepted for error of fact or opinion.

Any references to securities, sectors, regions and/or countries are for illustrative purposes only.

Schroders will be a data controller in respect of your personal data. For information on how Schroders might process your personal data, please view our Privacy Policy available at
www.schroders.com/en/privacy-policy or on request should you not have access to this webpage.

The forecasts stated in the presentation are the result of statistical modelling, based on a number of assumptions. Forecasts are subject to a high level of uncertainty regarding future
economic, and market factors that may affect actual future performance. The forecasts are provided to you for information purposes as at today's date. Our assumptions may change
materially with changes in underlying assumptions that may occur, among other things, as economic and market conditions change. We assume no obligation to provide you with updates
or changes to this data as assumptions, economic and market conditions, models or other matters change.

This product is listed on the London Stock Exchange and is governed by its Board of Directors. The Board has appointed Schroder Real Estate Investment Management Limited as its
investment manager and accounting agent. Schroder Real Estate Investment Management Limited was appointed on 13 May 2019. Schroder Real Estate Investment Management Limited is
a member of the Schroders Group and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA).
Issued in April 2020 by Schroder Real Estate Investment Management Limited, 1 London Wall Place, London EC2Y 5AU. Registration No 1188240 England. Authorised and regulated by the
Financial Conduct Authority.

21
Important information (cont.)
Ground Rents Income Fund Plc – Risk Factors:
The Company borrows for investment purposes. This will magnify any gains or losses made by the Company.
The Company has no maturity date. The Company may only be terminated by a continuation vote, a shareholders’ voluntary liquidation or by a compulsory liquidation if the
Company were unable to pay its debts. The Company owns a portfolio of assets with the income generated from the collection of ground rents.
Potential legislative reform may impact the Company’s value and future income streams. However, any reform would be required to strike a fair balance between leaseholders and
landlords with legitimate property interests.
The Company invests in real estate which may be viewed as a higher risk and illiquid investment and may, therefore, be adversely affected by a decrease in market liquidity for the
assets in which it invests
You may not be able to sell your product easily or you may sell at a price that significantly impacts on how much you get back. This product does not include any protection from
future market performance so you could lose some or all of your investment.
The Company will invest solely in property located in the UK. This can carry more risk than investments spread over a number of countries. The performance of the Company would
be adversely affected by a downturn in the property market in terms of capital value or a weakening of rental yields. The Company invests in real estate which may be viewed as a
higher risk and illiquid investment and may, therefore, be adversely affected by a decrease in market liquidity for the assets in which it invests.
The Company has the ability to use gearing as part of its investment strategy. The use of gearing will increase the risk profile of the Company and the volatility of the value of
Shares, and will amplify losses in the event of a decline in gross asset values. Gearing may create significant underperformance, particularly in times of a falling property market.
Borrowing costs may, from time to time, exceed returns on property.

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Contact
James Agar
Schroder Real Estate
Investment Management Limited,
1 London Wall Place London EC2Y 5AU

schroders.com
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