GROUND DEFORMATION AND ITS CAUSES IN ABBOTTABAD CITY, PAKISTAN FROM SENTINEL-1A DATA AND MT-INSAR - MDPI
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remote sensing Article Ground Deformation and Its Causes in Abbottabad City, Pakistan from Sentinel-1A Data and MT-InSAR Naeem Shahzad * , Xiaoli Ding , Songbo Wu and Hongyu Liang Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China; xl.ding@polyu.edu.hk (X.D.); sabriwu@outlook.com (S.W.); allenhongyu.liang@connect.polyu.hk (H.L.) * Correspondence: naeem.shahzad@connect.polyu.hk Received: 24 September 2020; Accepted: 15 October 2020; Published: 20 October 2020 Abstract: Land subsidence, as one of the engineering geological problems in the world, is generally caused by compression of unconsolidated strata due to natural or anthropogenic activities. We employed interferometric point target analysis (IPTA) as a multi-temporal interferometric synthetic aperture radar (MT-InSAR) technique on ascending and descending Sentinel-1A the terrain observation with progressive scans SAR (TOPSAR) images acquired between January 2015 and December 2018 to analyze the spatio-temporal distribution and cause of subsidence in Abbottabad City of Pakistan. The line of sight (LOS) average deformation velocities along ascending and descending orbits were decomposed into vertical velocity fields and compared with geological data, ground water pumping schemes, and precipitation data. The decomposed and averaged vertical velocity results showed significant subsidence in most of the urban areas in the city. The most severe subsidence was observed close to old Karakorum highway, where the subsidence rate varied up to −6.5 cm/year. The subsidence bowl profiles along W–E and S–N transects showed a relationship with the locations of some water pumping stations. The monitored LOS time series histories along an ascending orbit showed a close correlation with the rainfall during the investigation period. Comparative analysis of this uneven prominent subsidence with geological and precipitation data reflected that the subsidence in the Abbottabad city was mainly related to anthropogenic activities, overexploitation of water, and consolidation of soil layer. The study represents the first ever evidence of land subsidence and its causes in the region that will support the local government as well as decision and policy makers for better planning to overcome problems of overflowing drains, sewage system, littered roads/streets, and sinking land in the city. Keywords: land subsidence; Sentinel-1A; multi-temporal InSAR; interferometric point target analysis (IPTA); Pakistan 1. Introduction Ground subsidence is a common geological hazard worldwide, which is mostly linked to natural (e.g., earthquake, compression of soil, and change in aquifer) or anthropogenic (e.g., underground construction activities, groundwater extraction) processes [1]. Subsidence at the local scale specifically in urban areas can be a serious threat to the economy, such as damages to infrastructures (buildings, roads, bridges, canals), and to viable and sustainable economic development [2]. Changes in geological settings, mining, construction of subways, and ground water extraction are among the main causes of land subsidence in most cities in the world [3,4]. Other than these causes, the subsidence showed high correlation with changing geology in terms of strata lithology, formation, and structure [5]. The areas with unconsolidated surficial deposits generally form the most prolific aquifers and subsidence in such areas is mostly due to the extensive extraction of ground water [6]. This extensive use of underground water resources and increase in the pumping stations due to increase in the population is causing Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 3442; doi:10.3390/rs12203442 www.mdpi.com/journal/remotesensing
Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 3442 2 of 18 significant loss in small and large aquifers in most parts of the world, creating problems related to drainage system, flooding during rainy seasons, and the functioning of structures such as canals [6–8]. Numerous events of localized land subsidence have been reported in the past couple of decades in various parts of the world, especially due to extensive groundwater discharge [9]. Variation in seasonal timings and change in precipitation patterns have disturbed the runoff and recharge in aquifer systems. This change in runoff and recharge is also linked with increased demand of water in cities, which is one of the hurdles in achieving the sustainable goals of any country. Therefore, the demand for spatio-temporal monitoring of this hazard has increased to take necessary measures and to achieve sustainable goals. A number of traditional studies describing different methodologies and effective solutions are available in the literature to monitor and study the ground deformation/subsidence processes. These traditional point-based monitoring studies include the following: global positioning system (GPS), leveling, and geological monitoring methods [10,11]. These methods lack in providing enough samples for ground-based subsidence monitoring and are very difficult to use in areas surrounded by steep slopes. Interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) has been proven to be the most efficient method, widely used to monitor land subsidence all over the world [1,12,13]. This technique is capable of detecting small changes at an unprecedented level of spatial details (centimeter to millimeter) in land surface elevation at low cast under ideal conditions [14–16]. So far, the problem incorporated in InSAR approach due to change in scatterer with time is mainly due to atmospheric and ionospheric disturbances, which lead to the introduction of decorrelation in the signal [17,18]. This is a common problem associated with the repeat-pass InSAR technique as a result of discrepancies that arise between two related SAR signals over the same location at different epochs [19]. Many advanced InSAR techniques has been developed to overcome this limitation by using multi-temporal InSAR (MT-InSAR) techniques [20]. MT-InSAR techniques work on the principal of simultaneously processing multi-SAR images to accurately extract deformation information. Zhang et al. [21] and Crosetto et al. [22] presented very good reviews of these techniques. These MT-InSAR techniques have been widely applied to monitor ground subsidence on different SAR data sets, concluding that these techniques have the ability to overcome (at least partially) the weaknesses of the conventional InSAR approach [23–25]. In this study, a step-wise and iterative technique, i.e., interferometric point target analysis (IPTA) multi-baseline technique of persistent scatterer interferometry (PSI), is implemented on Sentinel -1 (4 season × 4 years) data acquired between January 2015 and December 2018 along ascending and descending orbits in order to investigate, highlight, and understand the causes of subsidence and its temporal evolution in response to increasing demand of ground water and changes in soil properties in Abbottabad city of Pakistan (Figure 1). Based on iterative process for calculating high-precision deformation on point scatterers (PSs), IPTA has been proven to hold strong power in monitoring deformation using a large number of SAR images [26–29]. The study area has various types of natural conditions surrounded by mountains and an attractive place thanks to its natural beauty. This is why the city has experienced rapid urban growth in the past decade. In order to facilitate this increased urban settlement in the area, the Government of Pakistan (GoP) has implemented various drinking water supply schemes/projects [30]. As a result of contamination in the surface water and upper level of groundwater, the need to drill deeper borewells has increased with the increased number of tubewells in the area. This study is the first ever attempt to examine the spatio-temporal deformation patterns and their causes in the region. The results obtained by implementing the advanced InSAR technique will support the local government for better decision making and planning to overcome problems such as overflowing drains, disturbed sewerage system, sinking land, and littered roads and streets.
Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 3442 3 of 18 Remote Sens. 2020, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 3 of 19 Figure Figure 1. Location map 1. Location map of of study study area. area. 2. Study Area and Datasets 2. Study Area and Datasets 2.1. Characteristics of the Study Area 2.1. Characteristics of the Study Area Abbottabad, formerly known as “the city of the maple trees” and a famous hill station in the lower Abbottabad, Himalayas, formerly known is the administrative as “the city headquarters of the of the maple Hazara trees”ofand division a famous Khyber hill station Pakhtunkhwa in the province lower Himalayas, is the administrative headquarters of the Hazara division of of Pakistan (Figure 1). Geographically, the study area extends from 34◦ 140 47.0000 N, 73◦ 110 56.0000 EKhyber Pakhtunkhwa province to of Pakistan 34◦ 70 46.00 00 N, 73◦ 16(Figure 0 56.0000 1). Geographically, E. Endowed the and with scenic study areamountains green extends from located 34°14′47.00″ about 125 km N, 73°11′56.00″ E to 34° 7′46.00″ N, 73°16′56.00″ E. Endowed with scenic north of Islamabad (Capital of Pakistan) through Karakoram Highway, the area is a very famous and green mountains located about hill 125 kilometers resort in summer. north With of Islamabad an altitude(Capital of 1260of mPakistan) (4120 ft),through the areaKarakoram also serves Highway, as a gatewaythe area to is a very famous hill resort in summer. With an altitude of 1260 m (4120 ft), the Galliyat regions in west. Geologically, the central part of the study area consists of Quaternary Alluvialarea also serves as a gateway to Galliyat (unconsolidated regions surficial in west. deposits Geologically, of sand and gravel) the surrounded central part by of Hazara, the study area consists Tanawal, Lokhart, of Quaternary and Alluvial (unconsolidated Hazira formation [31]. surficial deposits of sand and gravel) surrounded by Hazara, Tanawal, Being the part of Orash Valley, rainfall[31]. Lokhart, and Hazira formation occurs throughout the year with the highest rainfall during Being the part of Orash monsoon seasons, making the region prone toValley, rainfall occurs throughout flashflood. the year According withrecent to the the highest census rainfall report, during the monsoon population seasons, of the city hasmaking the region increased at a rateprone to flashflood. of 3.61%/year According from 1998 to 2017to the recent census [32]. report, the population of the city has increased at a rate of 3.61%/year from 1998 to 2017 [32]. 2.2. Datasets 2.2. Datasets The selection of Sentinel-1 data was based on the fact that this mission provides long-term, timelyThe dataselection of Sentinel-1 with satisfactory data wasfree resolution based on the of cost. fact data These that are thisamission reliable provides source tolong-term, study the timely data with deformation and itssatisfactory evolution over resolution free ofcan time, which cost. Thesetodata be used arefuture predict a reliable source scenarios to Therefore, [33]. study the deformation and its evolution over time, which can be used to predict future in this study, we used Sentinel -1A data along the ascending and descending orbits (incident angle scenarios [33]. Therefore, in this study, ~33.81 and 33.15 we degrees, used Sentinel -1A data along respectively). the ascending Interferometric wideand descending swath (IW) singleorbits look (incident complexangle (SLC)~ 33.81 and 33.15 degrees, respectively). Interferometric wide swath (IW) the terrain observation with progressive scans SAR (TOPSAR) images, operating in C-band (~5.6 cm single look complex (SLC) the terrain observation wavelength), acquired from with progressive European Space scansAgency SAR (TOPSAR) images, operating (ESA) distributed in C-bandprogram, under Copernicus (~5.6 cm wavelength), were used to map acquired from distribution the spatial European Space Agency of ground (ESA) distributed deformation and timeunderseries Copernicus deformationprogram, patterns. were used to map the spatial distribution of ground deformation and The 84 acquired ascending orbit images (track 100) were between 4 January 2015 and 2 December 2018, time series deformation patterns. The 84 acquired ascending orbit images (track 100) were between 4 January 2015 and 2 December 2018, and the 82 descending orbit images (track 107) were between 17 January 2015 and 27 December 2018. All the acquired images were preprocessed for orbital refinement using precise orbit
Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 3442 4 of 18 and the 82 descending orbit images (track 107) were between 17 January 2015 and 27 December 2018. All the acquired images were preprocessed for orbital refinement using precise orbit determination (POD) files released by ESA. Moreover, 1 arc second (~30 m) shuttle radar topography mission (SRTM) digital elevation model (DEM) was downloaded from United States geological survey (USGS) and used to simulate and remove topographic phases. For processing and co-registration, the acquired images on 8 August 2017 for ascending data and 13 December 2016 for descending data were selected as master images. This selection of the master image was based on the joint correlation method presented in [34]. Google Earth was used to interpret and analyze the data at different stages. Advanced InSAR processing software, GAMMA-2017® , developed by GAMMA Remote Sensing AG, Switzerland, was used to define and implement the IPTA processing chain for the mapping of ground subsidence in the area. 3. Methodology The use of the InSAR technique for ground deformation mapping and monitoring depends on a number of factors, including operational band (C, X, or L), type of incident surface, topography and geography of the area, number of acquisitions, and temporal intervals between repeated images. These factors play an important role in achieving high efficiency of the InSAR technique [35]. To achieve such efficiency of the results, the IPTA approach was employed to analyze and monitor the ground subsidence in the area. Although the phase model used for point target analysis is the same as that used in conventional interferometry, its step-wise iterative process is very helpful in refining the parameters and to separate the deformation phase from all non-deformation phase components of Equation (1) [36]. ϕki,unw = ϕki,de f o + ϕki,noise + ϕki,topo + ϕki,atm (1) where ϕki,unw is the unwapped phase of the ith point target in the kth interferogram and is expressed as the sum of ϕki,atm (atmospheric path delay phase), ϕki,noise (decorrelation phase noise), ϕki,topo (phase residues due to the digital elevation model (DEM) inaccuracies), and actual ϕki,de f o deformation phase. The term ϕki,topo is the phase attributed to the errors introduced by DEM as elaborated in Equation (2) by [35], k k 4π Bi,perp ϕi,topo = ∆ε (2) λ RSinθ where ∆ε is the height error (m) increment; Bki,perp is the perpendicular baseline; and λ, R, and θ are the radar wavelength, slant range, and look angle, respectively. The term ϕki,de f o is actual deformation phase that can be further divided into linear and non-linear components [35]. The linear component of this deformation phase is presented in Equation (3). 4π k ϕki,de f o−lin = t vi (3) λ where tk is the time difference of the kth interferogram and vi is the linear deformation velocity at the ith point target. Moreover, the efficiency of the models and data storage capacities is one of the main concerns of the researchers working with limited computer resources. The vector format data structure used in this approach has provided a great benefit to generate results even with the limited system resources. The overall processing sequence adopted for IPTA processing in this research study is presented in Figure 2.
Remote RemoteSens. 2020,12, Sens.2020, 12,3442 x FOR PEER REVIEW 55 of of 18 19 Remote Sens. 2020, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 5 of 19 Figure 2. Processing workflow for interferometric point target analysis (IPTA). Figure Figure 2. 2. Processing Processing workflow workflow for for interferometric interferometric point point target target analysis (IPTA). analysis (IPTA). 3.1. Generation of Point List and Differential Interferograms 3.1. Generation of 3.1. Generation of Point Point List List and and Differential Differential Interferograms Interferograms In order to minimize the contribution of non-deformation phases elaborated in Equation (1), In In order generationorderof to minimize atogood minimize quality the theof contribution contribution of of non-deformation points is important. non-deformation In this study, the phases phases elaborated elaborated strategy used toin in Equationgood Equation determine (1), (1), generation generation quality point of a good of atargets, quality good quality of points of points is i.e., persistent is important. important. scatterers In In this (PS), this wasstudy, study, basedthe the strategy onstrategy used to used to determine two approaches, determine good i.e., temporal good quality quality variabilitypoint andpoint targets, targets, spectral i.e., i.e., persistent persistent diversity scatterers [36].scatterers The ratio (PS), (PS), of the was was mean based based onontwo (temporal two approaches, approaches, average i.e., temporal i.e., temporal of backscattering) to variability variability the standard and spectral anddeviation diversity spectral diversity [36]. (sigma) of[36]. The ratio The ratiofrom backscatter of the mean of thethis mean (temporal (temporal average average average was used of for of backscattering) backscattering) temporal to to variability. the For standard the standard deviation an deviation spectral diversity, (sigma) (sigma) averagedof backscatter of backscatter coherencefrom from this fromthiseach average average SLC was wasused was usedtofor used for temporal temporal select variability. the PSvariability. with low For For spectral spectral spectral diversity, diversity, diversity. anan In order averaged to havecoherence averaged coherence enough from PS, each from the SLC each point was used SLC targets was to select used of both the PS with thetoapproaches select the werelowwith PS spectral low merged diversity. spectral In order together.diversity. to have For theseInpoints, order theenough to have PS, SLC enoughthe values arepoint targets PS,extracted the pointandof both targets the approaches of both written thevector in the were approaches merged data SLC were together. merged point data For these together. stack. points, For Taking these the advantage SLCofvalues points, the theSLC are extracted values long-term are and written timeextracted series andthe data, in maximum the vector written data SLC in thescene vector datapoint SLC of difference data point stack. data three (3) Taking stack. advantage scenesTaking of the advantagewith was considered long-term of the time series long-term time perpendicular data, the series data, baseline maximum checkthe scene of maximum 200 m andscenedifference of three difference temporal baseline (3) scenes of three check(3)of was 100 considered scenesdays with perpendicular wastoconsidered generate with perpendicular interferometric baseline check Basedofon pairs.baseline 200 check themofand 200temporal baseline m chart baseline and temporal check (Figure 3),baseline theseof 100 PS days check of were to 100generate days tointerferometric translated togenerate generate pairs. Based interferometric point-based on the pairs. DEM, baseline Based leading tochart on the (Figure baseline calculating 3),the chart these PS were (Figure translated 3), these point-based PS wereto differential generate translated point-based interferogram. DEM, leading to calculating the point-based differential to generate point-based DEM, leading to calculating the point-based differential interferogram. interferogram. Figure 3. Baseline Figure 3. Baseline vs. vs. time plots (left) ascending orbit data data (right) (right) descending descending orbit orbit data. data. Figure 3. Baseline vs. time plots (left) ascending orbit data (right) descending orbit data. 3.2. Interferometric Point Target Processing 3.2. Interferometric Point Target Processing IPTA is basedPoint 3.2. Interferometric on aTarget 2D linear regression model, in which the phase difference between point Processing IPTA is based on a 2D linear regression model, in which the phase difference between point targets is analyzed in the temporal domain. This 2D regression is based on the linear dependency of IPTA targets is based in is analyzed onthe a 2D linear regression temporal domain. Thismodel, in which is 2D regression the phase based ondifference the linear between dependencypoint of the topographic phase with the perpendicular baseline (Equation (2)) and the linear dependency of targets is analyzed the topographic in the phase temporal with domain. Thisbaseline the perpendicular 2D regression is based (Equation on the linear dependency (2)) and dependency ofof the deformation phase with time (Equation (3)). This 2D linear regression was applied to generate the the topographic deformationphasephasewith withthe perpendicular time baseline (Equation (3)). This 2D(Equation (2)) and the linear regression waslinear dependency applied of to generate initial estimates of deformation phase, residual topography, and phase standard deviation. This phase the deformation initial estimates phase with time phase, of deformation (Equation (3)). This residual 2D linearand topography, regression was applied phase standard to generate deviation. This initial phase estimates of deformation standard deviation phase,a residual represented topography, quality check betweenand phase standard the model deviation.phase. fit and differential This phase standard deviation represented a quality check between the model fit and differential phase.
Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 3442 6 of 18 standard deviation represented a quality check between the model fit and differential phase. In addition to these terms, the phase model also generated the linear regression phase residual, which was comprised of phase variations related to atmospheric artifacts as well as non-linear deformation phase component with decorrelation noise (Equation (4)). ϕki,res = ϕki,non−lin + ϕki,atm + ϕki,noise (4) The residual phase at this stage exhibited phase jumps related to unwrapping errors that were removed iteratively using the minimum cost flow (MCF) algorithm [37]. Because atmospheric phase screen (APS) and non-linear deformation phases are spatial low-pass signals, we applied the linear least square spatial filtering method to the unwrapped residual phase in order to calculate the phase attributes related to APS. The estimated APS is then subtracted from the point-based differential interferogram stack for all of the PS candidates. As presented in Figure 2, this process was iterated several times to generate improved quality estimates of the height correction, APS, and refined unwrapped differential phase. More technical details on processing strategies using the IPTA framework can be found in [36,38]. 3.3. Deformation Rate and Time Series Retrieval The final deformation rate and deformation time series histories were retrieved for each point by implementing the multi-baseline (mb) approach [39]. These final deformation histories and average annual deformation rates corresponding to point information are converted to line of sight (LOS) displacement and equiangular (EQA) projection for further analysis. 3.4. Decomposition of LOS Displacements into 2D Displacement Fields The mean LOS velocity fields against each PS, extracted from two different orbits, i.e., ascending and descending, were decomposed into vertical and east–west components. Assuming the negligible north–south movement [40], the vertical (dv ) and east–west (dh ) components were computed using Equation (5) [41,42]. dasc asc sinθasc ! ! ! los cosθ cos∆α d v = (5) ddsc los cosθdsc sinθdsc dh where θasc and θdsc represent the incident angles of ascending and descending orbits, respectively, and ∆α is the difference between headings of ascending and descending orbits. 3.5. Causal Factors of Deformation The cause of the subsidence is normally considered and interpreted as an individual/single factor, but urban subsidence especially in areas surrounded by hills with variety of geological units may be caused by the interaction of two or more factors together. This interaction between causal factors is very clear and reported in many studies [43]. If changes in such casual factors are left unnoticed, then the subsidence can lead to significant disaster in the area. Abbottabad, being one of the major affected cities in the October 2005 earthquake, has attracted a number of researchers for several reasons. One reason is its location in an intermountain basin with thick Quaternary deposits. Apart from the number of causal factors of subsidence, we gathered data about natural and anthropogenic factors that influence land subsidence. Geological layers (Figure 4) were extracted from the map of Geological Survey of Pakistan (GSP) [44] and refined using the map published in [31].
Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 3442 7 of 18 Remote Sens. 2020, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 7 of 19 Figure 4. Geological Geological map of the study area. Precipitation data were gathered from Kakul Station of Pakistan Meteorological Department 4. Results (PMD) from the year 2015 to 2018. Moreover, information related to the increase in drinking water The criteria for the generation of interferometric pairs on the basis of multi-baseline can supply schemes was collected from various reports [45–47] and compiled for the analysis. Because of guarantee that all of the Sentinel 1A images are involved. These interferometric pairs were assessed the unavailability of ground water discharge data at these water supply schemes, the analysis with by applying a standard two-pass D-InSAR algorithm to generate differential interferograms. During ground water discharge was done with the help of the implemented plans of water supply under such D-InSAR processing, it was observed that the interferograms with relatively longer temporal schemes. The pattern of subsidence and the locations of high subsidence zones were compared and intervals showed the phase variations in some part of the study area. The phase variations could be analyzed with these developments in the area. related to topographic residuals and perpendicular baselines. Such phase variation cannot be categorized 4. Results to a specific phase signal unless multiple D-InSAR products based on time series data are analyzed. For this purpose, IPTA was employed in Abbottabad city and adjacent surrounding areas The criteria to extract for theinformation. deformation generation of interferometric pairs on the basis of multi-baseline can guarantee that all of the Sentinel 1A images are involved. These interferometric pairs were assessed by applying a standard 4.1. Average two-pass SubsidenceD-InSAR Rate Mapalgorithm to generate differential interferograms. During D-InSAR processing, it was observed that the interferograms with relatively longer temporal intervals showed Figurevariations the phase 5 shows the in average some part velocities in cm per of the study area.year Thealong LOS phase directionscould variations of both be ascending related to (left) and descending (right) data, derived by implementing the IPTA technique. topographic residuals and perpendicular baselines. Such phase variation cannot be categorized These LOS resultsto were geocoded in WGS 84 coordinate system and superimposed onto the shaded a specific phase signal unless multiple D-InSAR products based on time series data are analyzed. relief map of the study For this area. Color IPTA purpose, rampswasfrom blue to red employed represent the in Abbottabad movement city of land and adjacent along the areas surrounding LOS direction. to extract The negative deformation deformation information. values indicate the movement away from the sensor (i.e., subsidence) and positive deformation values are related to movement towards the sensor (i.e., uplift). Owing to lower positive values 4.1. Average (FigureRate Subsidence 5), Map it can be assumed that there is no movement towards the sensor (i.e., uplift); therefore, the term “deformation” is represented as “subsidence” in this research paper. It can Figure 5 shows the average velocities in cm per year along LOS directions of both ascending (left) be seen in Figure 5 that the results extracted from both orbits’ data exhibit similar spatial patterns. and descending (right) data, derived by implementing the IPTA technique. These LOS results were These similar patterns represent the presence of dominant vertical deformation and negligible geocoded in WGS 84 coordinate system and superimposed onto the shaded relief map of the study area. horizontal velocity [42]. Color ramps from blue to red represent the movement of land along the LOS direction. The negative The results of average vertical velocity obtained after decomposing LOS velocities of both orbits are shown in Figure 6. It was observed in Figure 6 that the averaged vertical deformation (subsidence) rate varies up to −6.5 centimeter (cm) per year in the area. Figure 6 also represents a prominent, un-
Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 3442 8 of 18 deformation values indicate the movement away from the sensor (i.e., subsidence) and positive deformation values are related to movement towards the sensor (i.e., uplift). Owing to lower positive Remote Sens. 2020, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 8 of 19 values (Figure 5), it can be assumed that there is no movement towards the sensor (i.e., uplift); therefore, the term “deformation” is represented as “subsidence” in this research paper. It can be seen in Figure 5 even subsidence pattern and the most prominent pattern with values from −6.5 to −2 cm/year was that the results extracted from both orbits’ data exhibit similar spatial patterns. These similar patterns identified along the old Karakoram highway (locally known as road Nowshera-Abbottabad road, represent the presence of dominant vertical deformation and negligible horizontal velocity [42]. N35), which is settled in the foothills of the Himalayas, including the cantonment area of the city. Figure Figure 5. 5. Average Average line line of of sight sight (LOS) (LOS) velocity velocity maps: maps: (a) (a) ascending ascending and and (b) (b) descending descending orbits’ orbits’ data. data. Moreover, The resultsFigure 6 also of average represents vertical three velocity main subsidence obtained regions, i.e., after decomposing LOSA,velocities B, and C.ofAboth andorbits B are the regions with high population density and exhibit higher subsidence rates, whereas are shown in Figure 6. It was observed in Figure 6 that the averaged vertical deformation (subsidence)region C falls into rate the medium varies up to to lowcentimeter −6.5 subsidence(cm) region perwith yearainrelatively the area.scattered Figure 6population. The subsidence also represents a prominent,in region A incorporates residential societies of Hassan town, Amir alam awan town. un-even subsidence pattern and the most prominent pattern with values from −6.5 to −2 cm/year was The subsidence varies from identified −6.5the along cm/year to −0.5 cm/year old Karakoram highwayin this region. (locally knownRegion B lies as road in Mir Alam Town and Nowshera-Abbottabad road,Jhangi N35), area which with a higher is settled centered in the value foothills of −6.5 of the cm/yearincluding Himalayas, up to −1 cm/year at the outer the cantonment edges area of of the region. the city. Region C is the northern part of the main city, and lies in Kaghan and Sir Syed Colony with relatively higher altitudes than regions A and B. The subsidence rate varies between −3.0 and −1 cm per year in this region.
Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 3442 9 of 18 Remote Sens. 2020, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 9 of 19 Figure 6. Meanvertical 6. Mean verticalvelocity velocity map map in in cm/year. cm/year. TheThe red red color color represents represents downward downward movement movement (i.e., (i.e., subsidence). subsidence). Moreover,Time 4.2. Subsidence Figure 6 also represents three main subsidence regions, i.e., A, B, and C. A and B are Series the regions with high population density and exhibit higher subsidence rates, whereas region C falls Themedium into the spatio-temporal evolution region to low subsidence in the deformation pattern with a relatively using population. scattered ascending orbit The data at six (6) subsidence in different stages overlaid on averaged multi-looked intensity (MLI) image in RADAR region A incorporates residential societies of Hassan town, Amir alam awan town. The subsidence geometry is shown in Figure 7. Analyzing the increasing and expanding trend of the deformation varies from −6.5 cm/year to −0.5 cm/year in this region. Region B lies in Mir Alam Town and Jhangi in the eastward/westward and southward/westward area with a higher centered directions, value of −6.5 cm/year up to −1respectively, four cm/year at the typical outer edgesPSof(P1, the P2, P3, region. and P4) were selected for detailed regional time series analysis (Figure 8a–e). Time series trends Region C is the northern part of the main city, and lies in Kaghan and Sir Syed Colony with relatively show the deformation higher evaluation altitudes than regionsextracted A and B. using ascendingrate The subsidence datavaries and scattered at different between −3.0 and −1 locations cm per yearover in the thisdeforming region. area. The locations of these points are shown in Figure 8a. 4.2. Subsidence Time Series The spatio-temporal evolution in the deformation pattern using ascending orbit data at six (6) different stages overlaid on averaged multi-looked intensity (MLI) image in RADAR geometry is shown in Figure 7. Analyzing the increasing and expanding trend of the deformation in the eastward/westward and southward/westward directions, respectively, four typical PS (P1, P2, P3, and P4) were selected for detailed regional time series analysis (Figure 8a–e). Time series trends show the deformation
Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 3442 10 of 18 evaluation extracted using ascending data and scattered at different locations over the deforming area. The locations of these points are shown in Figure 8a. Based on LOS deformation obtained using ascending data, the temporal variations in the subsidence values of P1 vary from 0 to −25 cm, with an average rate of −6.63 cm/year. P2, which lies in the upper part of subsidence zone A, exhibits an average rate of −5 cm/year and the trend varies from 0 to −18 cm. P3, which lies in the upper part of subsidence zone B, varies from 0 to −16 cm, with an average rate of −4.3 cm/year. P4, which lies in northern part of study area and in the center of subsidence zone C, shows lower values varying from 0 to −12 cm, with an average rate of −3 cm/year. The temporal variations of these points are shown altogether in Figure 8b–e. These variations show a non-linear trend in the subsidence. The variations in time series patterns show that deformation slows down and is sustained for a certain period of time. One of the possible reasons for this variation could be the seasonal changes in the underground water levels, particularly after the monsoon season every Sens. Remote year.2020, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 10 of 19 Figure Figure 7. 7. SixSix different stages different of of stages cumulative landland cumulative subsidence pattern subsidence in RADAR pattern in RADARgeometry. The geometry. background image is the averaged intensity image of the study area. One color cycle corresponds The background image is the averaged intensity image of the study area. One color cycle corresponds to 10 cm/year to 10 displacement. cm/year displacement. Based on LOS deformation obtained using ascending data, the temporal variations in the subsidence values of P1 vary from 0 to −25 cm, with an average rate of −6.63 cm/year. P2, which lies in the upper part of subsidence zone A, exhibits an average rate of −5 cm/year and the trend varies from 0 to −18 cm. P3, which lies in the upper part of subsidence zone B, varies from 0 to −16 cm, with an average rate of −4.3 cm/year. P4, which lies in northern part of study area and in the center of subsidence zone C, shows lower values varying from 0 to −12 cm, with an average rate of −3 cm/year. The temporal variations of these points are shown altogether in Figure 8b–e. These variations show a non-linear trend in the subsidence. The variations in time series patterns show that deformation slows down and is sustained for a certain period of time. One of the possible reasons for this variation could be the seasonal changes in the underground water levels, particularly after the monsoon season every year.
Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 3442 11 of 18 Remote Sens. 2020, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 11 of 19 Figure8.8. Time Figure Time series seriesevaluation evaluationofofaveraged averagedLOS deformation LOS presented deformation using presented ascending using data:data: ascending (a) location of PSs, (b) P1, (c) P2, (d) P3, and (e) P4. (a) location of PSs, (b) P1, (c) P2, (d) P3, and (e) P4. 5.5.Discussion Discussionand andAnalysis Analysis Beingpart Being partofofthethe valley valley andand foothills, foothills, the exhibits the city city exhibits heavyheavy flash floods. flash floods. SeveralSeveral drainage drainage systems systems were were introduced introduced in the areaintothe moveareathetoflooded move the flooded water fromwater the cityfrom thenearby to the city to river the nearby channels river via channels via Darkhan Katha into Dor River. With the passage of time, the situation Darkhan Katha into Dor River. With the passage of time, the situation of flooded and standing water in of flooded and standing the water in the city is becoming more city is becoming severe, more severe, which results which the in paralysing results city in paralysing with theespecially traffic jams, city with traffic during jams, especially rainfall seasons [48]. during rainfall To better seasons [48]. understand To betterthe this scenario, understand subsidence this scenario, profiles alongthetwosubsidence transects, profiles west along to east (W–E)twoandtransects, south towest to east north (S–N),(W–E) wereand south to analyzed. northobserved It was (S–N), werethat analyzed. the magnitude It wasof observed that the magnitude of LOS subsidence along these transects LOS subsidence along these transects decreases in value while moving from W–E or S–N, keeping decreases in value while the moving from W–E or S–N, keeping the maximum values in the centers of the maximum values in the centers of the transects and causing a bowl-shaped profile, particularly along transects and causing a bowl-shaped the W–E transect, profile, particularly and some alonginthe major dips theW–E transect,profile subsidence and somealongmajor dips transect the S–N in the subsidence (Figure 9). The comparison of these subsidence profiles with the actual ground elevation profileswith profile along the S–N transect (Figure 9). The comparison of these subsidence profiles canthe actualin be seen ground Figure 9. elevation profiles It is clear from can 9bethat Figure seen in Figure these 9. It is regions bowl-shaped clear from Figure 9 that of subsidence these zones bowl-shaped in this part of the regions of subsidence zones in this part of the city are basically responsible for the standing water
Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 3442 12 of 18 Remote Sens. 2020, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 12 of 19 city are basically responsible for the standing water during the rainfall season, limiting human activity; navigation; during the and severe rainfall destruction season, limitingtohuman roads, streets, activity;and buildings,and navigation; making them severe prone to to destruction seepage roads, as well. and buildings, making them prone to seepage as well. streets, Figure9. Figure 9. Subsidence Subsidence profile profile along alongthe theS–N S–Nand andW–E W–Etransects. transects. In Ingeneral, general,most most subsidence subsidence areas areas inin Abbottabad Abbottabad belong belong toto residential residential area area and commercial area. The The subsidence subsidence inin these these areas areas isis of of course course due due to to some some underground underground activities activities related related toto various various anthropogenic (e.g., ground water withdrawal) and natural (e.g., soil consolidation) anthropogenic (e.g., ground water withdrawal) and natural (e.g., soil consolidation) processes. processes. In most In cases, the land most cases, thesubsidence patternpattern land subsidence represents an integrated represents effect of an integrated bothofofboth effect theseoffactors. In suchIncases, these factors. such the anthropogenic cases, factors act the anthropogenic as a speed factors act as up tool forupthe a speed naturally tool for theoccurring naturallyevents suchevents occurring as subsidence such as and degradation. Because of the increase in population with time, this subsidence subsidence and degradation. Because of the increase in population with time, this subsidence and and degradation can be relatedcan degradation to the increase be related tointhethe demand increase of the in the underground demand natural resources of the underground natural (water discharge). resources (water The detailed relationships of land subsidence with the categorized factors are discussed discharge). The detailed relationships of land subsidence with the categorized factors are discussed below. below. 5.1. Soil Consolidation 5.1. Soil Consolidation soil is postulated as a primary driver of land subsidence in most of the major Unconsolidated cities Unconsolidated and areas of the world soil is[6]. Figure 4 as postulated shows that most a primary of the driver of central part of the in land subsidence study mostarea of is thelocated major in alluvial sediments with grey brown shale and minor limestone in the west; cities and areas of the world [6]. Figure 4 shows that most of the central part of the study areadolomite, dark grey is shale, light grey medium to thick bedded limestone in the south; and dolomite limestone located in alluvial sediments with grey brown shale and minor limestone in the west; dolomite, dark comprised of sandstone grey shale, and shale light in the grey north [31]. medium Figure to thick 10 shows bedded the relationship limestone between in the south; andthese geological dolomite units limestone and averageof comprised vertical subsidence sandstone rates. and shale in It thecan be observed north in Figure [31]. Figure 10 shows10 that themost of the subsidence relationship area between these belongs to unconsolidated deposits (alluvial surfaces). geological units and average vertical subsidence rates. It can be observed in Figure 10 that most of Keeping in area the subsidence viewbelongs the importance of unconsolidated to unconsolidated depositsdeposits, (alluvialwhich makes mattresses of aquifers, surfaces). the three-layered structure analysis as presented by [46] showed that the first layer is comprised of clay and silt along the inter-beds of gravel, with a thickness of 30 to 40 m in the west and 70 to 80 m in the central part of the subsidence area; the second layer majorly consists of gravel with a conspicuously increased thickness of about 40 m in the center and southern part of the subsidence area; and the third layer of the unconsolidated soil in the region is underlying bedrock, represented by shale in the west and dolomite and limestone in the east. The thickness of the second layer increases while moving in a westerly direction along the transect W–E, which follows exactly the western extent of the subsidence region. This structural analysis showed a strong correlation with the overall extent subsidence. Although most of the land subsidence occurred in alluvium deposits, the direct correlation between this type of soil with subsidence may not be solely possible, but the direct correlation of this type of geological unit with the existence of aquifer and its exploitation (changing the unconsolidated
Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 3442 13 of 18 surface to consolidated surface) could provide a better understanding of the land subsidence process in this populated part of the city. Remote Sens. 2020, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 13 of 19 Figure 10. Figure 10. Relationship Relationship between between geological geological units units and and average average subsidence subsidence rate. rate. 5.2. Effect Keepingof Ground in view Water Withdrawal of unconsolidated deposits, which makes mattresses of aquifers, the importance the three-layered Anthropogenic structure analysis factors mostly as presented include by [46]development, infrastructure showed that the first activities, mining layer is comprised and ground of clay and silt along the inter-beds of gravel, with a thickness of 30 to 40 m water exploitation. Abbottabad city and the surrounding area are mostly dependent on surfacein the west and 70 to 80 m in theand water central ground part of the water. Thesubsidence increase inarea; the second layer the contamination majorly of water due to consists mixingof gravel with of minerals froma conspicuously surrounded increased hills thickness was bringing of aboutdiseases water-borne 40 m in into the center and southern the community part of themore and becoming subsidence severe area; and the third layer of the unconsolidated soil in the region is underlying with time [49]. In order to handle this situation, Government bodies implemented a number of safe bedrock, represented by shale water drinking in the schemes west andindolomite the area. and Onelimestone of the majorin the andeast. mostThe thickness recent schemes of was the aided secondbylayer the increases while moving in a westerly direction along the transect Japanese Government and implemented by Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) W–E, which follows exactlyafter the western extent of the subsidence region. This structural analysis showed a strong conducting a survey in 2009 [46]. Under this project, combined use of surficial and underground water correlation with the overall was extent subsidence. proposed by repairingAlthough most of the the old tubewells andland subsidence building occurred ininalluvium new tubewells the areasdeposits, with densethe direct correlation between this type of soil with subsidence may not be solely population. For this purpose, a network of water supply lines connecting surface water reservoirspossible, but the direct correlation and tubewells of this wastype of geological developed unit (Figure with 11), the existenceand implemented, of aquifer handed and its to over exploitation (changing the Government in the unconsolidated October 2015 [50]. surface to consolidated surface) could provide a better understanding of the land subsidence processthe By comparing in this populated subsidence part of the of with area the city. the existing and implemented water supply scheme, it can be seen in Figure 9 that the crests along profiles W–E and S–N belong to the locations of tubewells. 5.2. Effect of Ground Water Withdrawal Similarly, it can be seen in Figure 11 that the extent and pattern of the subsidence zone follow the Anthropogenic distributed locations offactors mostly include The tubewells/boreholes. infrastructure development, edges of subsidizing zones mining activities, are at relatively and higher ground water altitudes than theexploitation. central partAbbottabad of the citycity andand the the follow surrounding locations ofarea are tubewells other mostly dependent on in this area. surface As waterinand elaborated ground Section water. 5.1, the Theinincrease aquifers the study inarea the are contamination of water identified in the due first and to mixing second layers ofof minerals the from surrounded underground hills wasinbringing soil and groundwater water-borne these aquifers moves withdiseases into varying the level water community from 1190and to becoming 1210 m mean more severe sea level with therefore, (M.S.L); time [49]. In order it was to handle emphasized by thethis JICAsituation, team duringGovernment the handing bodies over implemented of the project toa number monitor of thesafe drinking water water discharge in schemes in the major order to avoid area. One of issues, future the major and such as most recent subsidence schemes in the area.was The aided increasebyof the Japanese 3.5 percent Government population per year and implemented since 1999 in 2017,by Japan an including International increase of Cooperation 17 percent from Agency 2009 to(JICA) 2015 after conductingincreased [47], ultimately a survey thein 2009 [46]. Under drinking this project, water demand combined in the area. use of surficial and underground water was proposed by repairing the old tubewells and building new tubewells in the areas with dense population. For this purpose, a network of water supply lines connecting surface water reservoirs and tubewells was developed (Figure 11), implemented, and handed over to the Government in October 2015 [50].
Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 3442 14 of 18 Remote Sens. 2020, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 14 of 19 Figure 11. Location Figure of tubewells 11. Location and and of tubewells supply lineslines supply overlaid on average overlaid vertical on average velocity vertical map.map. velocity By comparingthe Nevertheless, thearea subsidence of higher of the area rates subsidence withagrees the existing well withandthe implemented tubewell in the water study supply area; scheme, the it can bemostly deformation seen in Figure started 9 that with the crestsincrease an excessive along profiles of waterW–E and S–N pumping from belong to thetubewells developed locations of tubewells. during Similarly, itperiod. the investigating can be seenOne in of Figure the other11 possibilities that the extent of and pattern of the this subsidence subsidence could zone be the water follow the distributed locations of tubewells/boreholes. The edges of leakage problem in the underground pipes, as there have been more than 800 different cases reported subsidizing zones are at relatively higher regarding altitudes water leakage than in issues thethe central area. part of the city Moreover, andconnections illegal follow the locations of other tubewells and uncontrolled pumping in thiscould hours area. Asalsoelaborated be responsiblein Section for the5.1, the aquifers changing waterintable the study in the area area.are identified in the first and second layers to In order of verify the underground the cause of soil and this groundwater change in these in the area, aquifers moves we analyzed with varying the temporal water correlation level from between 1190 to 1210 IPTA-InSAR m mean derived time sea serieslevel (M.S.L); at subsidence therefore, investigatedit was PSs,emphasized by and i.e., P1, P2, P3, the P4, JICAandteam the during the handing precipitation (Figureover12). ofThe thecollected project toprecipitation monitor the water data atdischarge the nearby in order Kakultostation avoid (the major future location issues, of such asissubsidence the station shown in Figure in the 11) area. The increase showed a strong of correlation 3.5 percentwith population time seriesper year trendsince 199912). (Figure in 2017, The including seasonal an increase variation of 17 percent in the ground from 2009 to water particularly 2015 after [47], ultimately monsoon rainfall (Juneincreased throughthe drinking September) water demand justifies the causein of thethe area. subsidence in the area. The monsoon rainfall refills the aquifers, balancing the Nevertheless, underground waterthe area of higher discharge subsidence and stabilizing rates the agrees process ofwell with the This subsidence. tubewell in the clearly study area; demonstrates deformation the process mostly and cause of started subsidence withinan theexcessive study area.increase Zhangofetwater al. [51]pumping and Gallowayfrom developed et al. [52] tubewells during the investigating period. One of the other possibilities of showed a similar relationship and joint effect of natural and anthropogenic conditions with subsidence.this subsidence could be the water leakage Moreover, problem in the identification of the highunderground pipes, as there subsidence particularly in thehave been more peripheries than 800 locations of tubewell different cases reported showed regarding a good ability water1A of Sentinel leakage data and issues in the the IPTA area. Moreover, approach illegal connections for land subsidence mapping in and this uncontrolled part pumping hours could also be responsible for the changing water table in the area. of the region. In order to verify the cause of this change in the area, we analyzed the temporal correlation between IPTA-InSAR derived time series subsidence at investigated PSs, i.e., P1, P2, P3, and P4, and the precipitation (Figure 12). The collected precipitation data at the nearby Kakul station (the location
balancing the underground water discharge and stabilizing the process of subsidence. This clearly demonstrates the process and cause of subsidence in the study area. Zhang et al. [51] and Galloway et.al. [52] showed a similar relationship and joint effect of natural and anthropogenic conditions with subsidence. Moreover, the identification of high subsidence particularly in the peripheries of Remote Sens. 2020, tubewell 12, 3442showed a good ability of Sentinel 1A data and the IPTA approach for locations 15 land of 18 subsidence mapping in this part of the region. Figure 12. Figure 12. Time Time series series LOS LOS subsidence subsidence of of PS PS points points P1, P1, P2, P2, P3, P3, and and P4 P4 versus versus daily daily precipitation precipitation at at Kakul Station. Kakul Station. 6. 6. Conclusions andFuture Conclusion and FutureWork Work In In this this study, study,thethemulti-temporal multi-temporalInSAR InSARapproach approachof ofIPTA IPTAwas wasemployed employedon on multi-track multi-track Sentinel Sentinel 1A 1ATOPSAR TOPSARimages images collected collectedbetween betweenJanuary 2015 2015 January and December and December 2018 to2018 analyze the spatio-temporal to analyze the spatio- distribution and trendand temporal distribution of subsidence in Abbottabad trend of subsidence City and in Abbottabad theand City surrounding the surroundingarea. Step area.by step Step by processing step processing chainchain of iterative IPTA IPTA of iterative approach was employed approach was employed and the andcauses of the of the causes subsidence were the subsidence investigated were investigated by analyzing the relationship by analyzing between natural the relationship between(soil consolidation) and anthropogenic natural (soil consolidation) and factors (ground factors anthropogenic water extraction) (ground water in detail. The average extraction) subsidence in detail. The average rate subsidence map showed that rate maptheshowed central part that ofthethe subsiding central part ofarea, thewhich is close subsiding to which area, Karaokram highway is close and cantonment, to Karaokram highway and including major cantonment, localities such as Hassan town, Amir Alam Awan town, Mir alam town, including major localities such as Hassan town, Amir Alam Awan town, Mir alam town, and Jhangi and Jhangi Area, is sinking at a maximum Area, is sinking rate at of ~6.5 cm/year, a maximum ratevarying of ~6.5 from different cm/year, varyingratesfrom up todifferent 1 cm/year. ratesTimeup series history to 1 cm/year. graphs Time seriesshowed a close history correlation graphs showed with the rainfall a close during correlation the investigation with the rainfall during periodthe andinvestigation subsidence profiles period and alongsubsidence the W–E and S–N transects profiles along theshowed W–E and varying S–N crests transectsalong the transects showed varying that are related crests along theto the locations transects thatofare tubewells. related to Thetheoverall pattern locations of the subsidence of tubewells. The overallwas investigated, pattern of theand it was found subsidence was that it follows the development made for providing safe drinking water investigated, and it was found that it follows the development made for providing safe drinking to the community under a recently water tocompleted the community projectunder of JICA. The aquifer a recently in this part completed of the project Abbottabad of JICA. basin in The aquifer is decreasing this part ofasthe a result of extensive Abbottabad basinwater dischargeasina recent is decreasing result years, resulting of extensive in the water consolidation discharge of soil, in recent further years, leading resulting in to thethe creation of several consolidation local problems of soil, further leading to in the thecreation area. Building of several dikes/bowls local problemsafter rainfall in the area.or flood are Building ultimate dikes/bowls responses after to the subsidence rainfall or flood processes are ultimate and responses the concerned to thedepartments subsidence were unawareand processes of this the phenomenon in the studywere concerned departments area.unaware This study of highlights the first ever this phenomenon in the evidence study area.of land Thissubsidence and its study highlights causes the firstinever the region, evidence and ofthe land results obtained subsidence andbyitsimplementing causes in the the advanced region, and the InSAR results technique obtainedcan by provide support to the local government as well as decision and policy makers for better decision making and planning to overcome problems such as availability of drinking water, overflowing drains, sewage system, littered roads/streets, and sinking land in this part of the city. Because in situ observations were not available, some decorrelation noises may be present in the final deformation maps, but they have been greatly minimized during 2D regression quality checks at each iteration. Therefore, the LOS deformation rates generated for each point target are basically reliable for mapping the land subsidence in the area, and showed consistency in the results of ascending
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