Greater Manchester Clean Air Plan - Overview and update February 2019
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Poor air quality is one of the largest public health issues facing the UK • Long-term exposure to elevated levels of particulate matter (PM2.5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) contributes to the development of cardiovascular or respiratory disease, and may reduce life expectancy. • The youngest, the oldest, those living in areas of deprivation, and those with existing respiratory or cardiovascular disease are most likely to develop symptoms due to exposure to air pollution. • People walking or cycling are exposed to significantly lower levels of air pollution compared to drivers and passengers inside vehicles travelling along the same urban route. Cars take in emissions from surrounding vehicles and they recirculate the pollutants within the confined ‘cabin’ space. • By 2035, the estimated UK health and social care costs due to exposure to air pollution are £5.3 billion for diseases with a strong association with air pollution, and £18.6 billion for all diseases evidence shows have an association with air pollution.
Why are we producing a Clean Air Plan?
• EU 2008 Directive on Ambient Air Quality sets legal limit values for a range of air pollutants, including NO2. • This was incorporated into UK law in the UK Air Quality Standards Regulations 2010. • The UK has been in breach of the legal limits for NO2 since 2010.
UK Air Quality Plans (AQP) December 2015 AQP: ClientEarth v The SoS for the Government to draw up AQP to National Air Quality Plan: Environment, Food and Rural achieve the EU limit values in the Affairs [2015] UKSC 28 Birmingham, Derby, Leeds, shortest time possible Nottingham, and Southampton ClientEarth (No. 2) v The SoS 2015 AQP gave too much weight July 2017 AQP: 23 local for the Environment, Food to cost, political sensitivity and authorities including Bolton, and Rural Affairs [2016] administrative difficulties. Bury, Manchester, Salford, EWHC 2740 New AQP by 31 July 2017. Stockport, Tameside, Trafford ClientEarth (No. 3) v (1) The SoS Mandatory order: urgent for the Environment, Food and production of a Supplement to March 2018 Supplementary Rural Affairs; (2) The SoS for 2017 AQP including requirements Directive: 33 local authorities Transport and (3) Welsh for additional feasibility studies including Oldham Ministers [2018] EWCH 315 to be undertaken in 33 of the 45 areas.
What have local authorities been directed to do?
Local responsibility to act • Government has delegated the responsibility to address NO2 compliance to Local Authorities and has set out the process and timescale for doing so. • Local Authorities are responsible for the local road network and their own fleets. • Responsibility for the Strategic Road Network (Motorways and trunk roads) lies with Highways England, who have not been directed to act to reduce NO2 on the Strategic Road Network in the same timescale/process. • Highways England is currently assessing sections of the motorway network around GM to explore potential measures.
What Government requires Defra and DfT (2017) ‘UK Plan for tackling roadside nitrogen dioxide concentrations’.
Diesel vehicles are the largest source
Public consultation to be undertaken if the option that emerges from the required feasibility study process requires it
GOVERNMENT HAS ALLOCATED £255 MILLION FOR IMPLEMENTATION FUNDING AND £220 MILLION TO A CLEAN AIR FUND (NATIONALLY)
The three legal tests for assessing air quality plans Local plans must: 1. Aim to achieve compliance as soon as possible; 2. Choose a route to compliance which reduces human exposure as quickly as possible; and 3. Ensure that compliance with the limit values is not just possible but likely. (ClientEarth (No. 2) v The Secretary of State for the Environment, Food and Rural Affairs [2016] EWHC 2740) NOTE: The legal responsibility for achieving the requirements of UK Plan for tackling roadside nitrogen dioxide concentrations sits with the local authorities with exceedances in their area.
The National Plan identifies charging Clean Air Zones (CAZ) as the benchmark measure for achieving statutory NO2 limit values in the shortest possible time. Local authorities must consider introducing charging CAZ unless they can identify alternatives that are at least as effective at reducing NO2, and deliver compliance as quickly as a charging Clean Air Zone.
Differences: Congestion Charging and Clean Air Zones Clean Air or Low Congestion Charging Emission Zone Objective: ensure drivers pay the cost they Objective: persuade drivers to upgrade their impose on others vehicle to a cleaner model Charge applies to all vehicles (with some Charge applies only to non-compliant discounts and exemptions applied) vehicles, compliant vehicles are unaffected Designed so most people upgrade their Designed so most people stay and pay vehicle and do not pay A CAZ is a Goal is to reduce congestion with wider Goal is to improve air quality and reduce temporary benefits to air quality, safety etc emissions by cleaning up the vehicle fleet measure to achieve air quality targets Schemes are highly profitable, providing Schemes typically make a loss, especially in resources to invest in public transport, active later years travel and other complementary measures
Clean Air Zone Framework: Compliant Vehicles GM being encouraged to sign up to Fossil- Age of Compliant Vehicles Fuel-Free streets (buy zero-emission buses GM has signed a Vehicle Type Compliant Class from 2025 and ensure a declaration of intent major area of city is for the city-region Diesel Euro 6 (2015) Car/Taxi zero emission by 2030) to move to a zero- Petrol Euro 4 (2005) emission bus fleet Van Euro 6 (2016) (May 2018) Bus/HGV Euro 6 (2013) Motorcycle/Moped Euro 3
Activity in Greater Manchester
A Greater Manchester Clean Air Plan The purpose of taking a GM-wide approach is to avoid introducing measures in one part of the conurbation that simply displace pollution to other locations, and to ensure that (as far as possible) the eventual Clean Air Plan complements other GM-wide strategies including the existing GM Air Quality Action Plan and GM Low Emission Strategy.
Where are we now? Spring 2018: - Development of long-list of 96 measures, refined to 17 to include in Strategic Outline Case. - Strategic Outline Case approved by 10 Local Authorities and submitted to Government. Summer 2018: - Detailed modelling and understanding of air quality problem across GM. - Refining possible measures and development of options. Autumn 2018: - Modelling of options (NO2 reduction). - Commenced analysis of socio-economic impact of options.
Understanding the NO2 problem • Government initially identified 11 non-compliant links on the Pollution Climate Mapping (PCM) network in GM • The national model does not contain detailed local data (local roads and fleet) (etc) and must be verified against local evidence. • Local authorities were asked to re-model predicted NO2 levels in 2021 under a “do minimum” scenario as part of the feasibility study to confirm the local air quality problem.
Local evidence used to understand likely NO2 concentrations beyond 2020 Based on government guidance: • Detailed Base Year (2016) and Future Year (2021) transport model (actual and future demand on the road network) for all roads within GM (the National Model underpinning the National Plan includes only major urban roads). • Local vehicle fleet (e.g. ages and types of vehicle) using ANPR data. • Local background concentrations of NO2 (e.g. from energy generation, industry, domestic, non- road transportation). • Detailed road network & junction data (e.g. real-word road alignment and width). • Representation of canyons (e.g. tall buildings). • Local air quality monitoring data (from across GM). • Confirmed future changes to the local road network, regional traffic growth and changes to the traffic fleet.
Manchester Evening News, 7th October 2018
A wide range of options continue to be analysed … Type of option Overview of analysis (headlines) Latest analysis Increase public transport capacity Build new Metrolink line: not possible by 2021. May not provide sufficient NO2 reduction across GM Increase rail capacity: not possible by 2021. Insufficient powers Increase bus capacity: commercial market, discuss with operators – identify routes with most impact Retrofit/upgrade public transport Existing fleet must be retrofitted or replaced with a higher Euro rating fleet Electric vehicle incentives Good NO2 impact, Early Measures Funding creating momentum Travel choices/active travel Good NO2 impact but insufficient by 2021 as a single measure engagement Parking (e.g. different charges for Undeliverable in time (contracts with parking suppliers), unfair as based on time of day/vehicle type/car reliance on parking rather than cleanliness of vehicle, and insufficient NO2 sharing/workplace levy) impact by 2021 as a single measure Switch bus/HGV/LGV fuelling Industry engagement shows not feasible stations or GM fleet to GtL fuel Retrofit or upgrade GM Family fleet Existing fleet must be retrofitted or replaced with a higher Euro rating
A wide range of options continue to be analysed … Type of option Overview of analysis (headlines) Latest analysis Congestion Deal – increase Feasible but unlikely to reduce NO2 sufficiently as a single measure capacity Congestion Deal – encouraging Feasible but unlikely to reduce NO2 sufficiently as a single measure alternatives Congestion Deal – network Feasible but unlikely to reduce NO2 sufficiently as a single measure management Active travel programme (e.g. Good NO2 impact but insufficient by 2021 as a single measure cycling and walking infrastructure) Communications campaigns Feasible but unlikely to reduce NO2 sufficiently as a single measure Private hire and taxi EV and Switch to alternative fuels unlikely to be feasible in time alternative fuels EV upgrade feasible but support needed Charging Clean Air Zone (as Charging all non-compliant vehicles: undeliverable by 2021 (infrastructure), defined by Government) and creates re-distribution of NO2 Targeted area-based charging: feasible as enables different vehicles to be included in toll at different times/scales based on NO2 emissions, availability Ongoing of alternatives, and socio-economic impact. To include exemption periods + support to replace/upgrade vehicles
Charging Clean Air Zones (as defined by Government) As required by Government Guidance and agreed in the Strategic Outline Case (March 2018), a range of charging options for Clean Air Zones (CAZ) are being developed and modelled. Options being modelled include: 1. Different classes of charging CAZ for non-compliant vehicles at different scales (Government’s categories A,B,C and D): - E.g. within the inner ring road only - E.g. within the M60 boundary - E.g. across the whole of Greater Manchester 2. Exemption periods and discounts (including timing) No decisions have been made. Analysis of their full impact continues.
Analysis is not yet completed but … A multi-option approach is likely to be needed because: - Incentives and support to replace or retrofit the most-polluting vehicles must underpin any action. - Any residents in an area where a toll could be introduced must be offered exemption periods. - There must be support for people on low incomes to replace their vehicle if it falls into the most polluting categories. - Any tolls for the most-polluting vehicles must also take account of availability of alternatives (timing). - Action must reduce exposure as quickly as possible (some things can be done faster than others).
Analysis is not yet completed but … Multi-variant policy analysis is needed to … - Ensure any options support economic well-being. - Ensure any options support social inclusion. - Ensure any options support reduction of carbon emissions and particulates as well as NO2. Whilst recognising the reality of the implications of the court findings.
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