GLOBAL DEMOCRACY & COVID-19: UPGRADING INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT - BACK TO CONTENTS
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Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS GLOBAL DEMOCRACY & COVID-19: UPGRADING INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT A CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support CONTENTS SUMMARY2 INTRODUCTION4 DEMOCRACY IN THE PANDEMIC5 UNPACKING THE THREATS TO DEMOCRACY8 DEMOCRATIC PUSHBACK 16 DEMOCRACY SUPPORT IN THE PANDEMIC & BEYOND 22 RECOMMENDATIONS27 ENDNOTES34 PHOTOCREDITS39 AUTHORS Richard Youngs (Carnegie Europe); Elene Panchulidze (Georgian Institute of Politics). REVIEW TEAM Peter Sondergaard (EED); Victoria Bruce (EED); Sam Van der Staak (International IDEA); Marilyn Neven (International IDEA); Laura Thornton (International IDEA); Chad Vickery (IFES); Christopher Walker (NED); Ken Godfrey (EPD); Tom Cormier (Parliamentary Centre). 1
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS SUMMARY This report assesses the organisations concerned with supporting democracy globally should impact that Covid-19 is respond to the Covid-19 crisis. It having on democracy advocates: a global monitoring of around the world. Covid-19 related democratic infringements; new ways of including It examines how international democracy efforts into Covid-19 democracy support organisations and emergency and recovery aid; an donors are responding to the enhanced support of democratic civic challenges related to the pandemic and activism that has emerged during the calls for a stronger and reformulated pandemic; a new multilateral initiative international democracy support both to learn lessons from how democracies now and into the longer-term future. have coped with the crisis; and an Rather than getting immersed in effort to explore the growth in new inconclusive debates about which kind types of democratic practice that have of political system is set to deal best proliferated under Covid-19. Through with Covid-19, the report calls for a these recommendations, the report more practical policy effort to ensure offers guidance to democracy that democratic norms are defended organisations and donors as they and work in a way that is tightly endeavour to keep democracy on the relevant to the pandemic. While international agenda during the global democratic systems may have several health crisis, as well as for civil society potential advantages in fighting organisations adjusting their strategies pandemics and their aftermath, these to the altered context. These issues are need to be proactively fostered. The also of broader relevance to report demonstrates that the pandemic governments and citizens around the is having distinctive political world given the challenge of sustaining implications across different types of Covid-19 measures over the regime. Policy responses need to be longer-term that do not trample on tailored to these contrasting outcomes basic democratic practices. and risks in the way they seek to advance and uphold democratic rights. Aligning with the recent ‘Call to Defend Democracy’ and based on an Disinfo assessment of crisis-related democratic trends, the report offers five concrete recommendations for how governments and international 2
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS INTRODUCTION While Covid-19’s tragic committed to doing so. The radically ‘The pandemic altered political environment calls on death toll1 is above any sharpens the international organisations not only to political considerations, recommit to defending democracy but need to defend the pandemic also poses a also to adjust their strategies. The democracy, serious challenge to pandemic experience reinforces the yet also presents democracy. generic requirements for more effective some promising democracy support; but it also presents new and very specific policy challenges new access In an effort to contain the virus that will require deeper change on the points for governments across the world have part of those concerned with domestic and enacted diverse emergency powers to enforce lockdowns and other measures. upholding democratic norms. international While in many cases these restrictive actors A recent ‘Call to Defend Democracy’ measures were proportionate and was signed by almost 100 committed to justified for the imperative of organizations from all over the doing so.’ protecting lives, some governments world, as well as nearly 500 have used them disingenuously to prominent individuals from 119 restrict democratic activities and countries, including 13 Nobel silence critical voices. Emergency Laureates and 62 former Heads of measures are not inherently State or Government.2 Adding undemocratic, but in many places have operational ideas to this, the undercut civil liberties. Some weak report offers five core policy democracies and autocracies have recommendations that reflect the suffered a particularly serious lurch altered context for democracy support. towards more centralised power and It calls for a comprehensive monitoring repression with probable long-term mechanism to help guide international ramifications. Even if new risks to responses to Covid-19 democratic democracy are not present in all infringements; commitments to countries, they are pervasive enough to incorporate democracy efforts into be of serious concern. Covid-19 emergency and recovery aid; a programme to support the new If Covid-19 has in some places democratic civic activism that the triggered anti-democratic restrictions pandemic has prompted; more and repression, it has also incentivised action-oriented and genuinely innovative pro-democratic efforts and multilateral cooperation for initiatives. The stirrings of a greater safeguarding democratic practices; and concern for democratic protection can an effort to harness emergent be witnessed in some countries. The innovations in democratic pandemic sharpens the need to defend participation, electoral practices, democracy, yet also presents some political-party organisation and promising new access points for institutional oversight. domestic and international actors 4 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS DEMOCRACY IN THE PANDEMIC 5 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS DEMOCRACY IN THE PANDEMIC There has been much been a primary determinant of ‘Previous governments’ effectiveness. Rather debate about which pandemics than only focusing on a ‘democracy type of political system versus authoritarian’ discussion, the suggest that has dealt best with the practical approach in the immediate citizens are Covid-19 health future will be to ensure democratic more likely to emergency. politics function more effectively to comply with assist Covid-19’s long-term containment and that emergency health Several democracies and responses do not generate further measures over authoritarian regimes have suffered especially deadly outbreaks; democratic regression. the longer-term conversely, a number of both where they feel Some of democracy’s advantages may democratic countries and autocracies they have a come to the fore as countries move have kept death rates low. So many into the latter phases of Covid-19. voice over different variables are at play that it is Previous pandemics suggest that government extremely difficult to isolate the impact of political regime-type. citizens are more likely to comply decisions.’ with health measures over the Countries are at different stages of longer-term where they feel they have the pandemic and there is no a voice over government decisions.5 common method in the reporting of Trust within communities and official figures. At this point, it is towards governments6 is a key feature difficult to proffer definitive that underpins effective public judgements over the impact of policies; while not unique to different types of politics on Covid-19 democracies, such trust can be more responses. However, it is useful to easily thickened through bottom-up look at more specific aspects of inclusion and pluralism. different governance and political Unhindered access to information is systems that support or harm effective crisis management. Some correlations reveal relatively low levels of fatalities in countries with stronger civic capacities and low levels of corruption.3 And it is widely agreed that the relatively imprecise measure of governance capacity has been a factor in effective crisis management.4 Still, political regime type alone does not appear to have 6 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS more likely to ensure government different options. Democracies can ‘Over time, cover-ups do not cost lives. show a more inclusive, fairer and democracies Legislative oversight and open debate open way of dealing with the are more likely to keep effective challenges that the pandemic’s tend to score pressure on governments in the long long-tail will present. They are also lower on post-pandemic recovery phase.7 In more inclined to show more epidemic democracies, citizens will be able to international solidarity and deaths and vote against governments that have cooperation in times of crisis. performed badly in the crisis; better on electoral accountability should give Over time, democracies tend to suffer health and leaders more incentive to enact good fewer deaths from epidemics8 and human policies. It has been widely noted that score better on health and human development women leaders in democratic development indicators.9 Perhaps the indicators.’ countries have performed well during crucial policy-relevant point in the crisis. To the extent that autocracy-democracy comparisons is democracies provide stronger this: while these kinds of democratic gender-rights protection, this is also advantages are often asserted, they likely to be advantageous to health cannot be taken for granted. It is indicators over the longer term. unlikely that they will manifest themselves automatically; rather the The economic and social impact of benefits of open politics and societal Covid-19 will place a strain on all trust need to be carefully curated types of political systems; yet through tailored and purposive democracies can gain a wider buy-in policies, marked by a strong social to difficult economic and fiscal contract between public and state. measures to the extent that policies result from open debate over 7 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS UNPACKING THE THREATS TO DEMOCRACY 8 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS UNPACKING THE THREATS TO DEMOCRACY Many emergency A key dividing line is where ‘There are in regimes have used emergency restrictions have been many cases provisions in ways unrelated to the necessary, and health emergency – and that dangers in governments may still undercut constitutional principles leaders putting remove them if and when on freedom of expression, good off elections for the immediate crisis electoral practice, formal too long in institutional checks-and-balances, abates. non-discrimination and media order to prevent independence. The following areas challenges to Most democracies have kept are of particular worry: their own emergency measures largely within incumbency.’ constitutional limits and have kept Excessive violence by parliaments open. Data suggest that security forces those countries already suffering democratic repression have been at Security forces have in many higher risk of further repression due countries seized an outsized role in to Covid-19.10 Yet, some more general the pandemic, clearly beyond what is trends clearly do not auger well. needed to enforce emergency While many emergency measures are measures. The Philippine fully justified, several aspects are not. government’s pandemic response has 9 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS been highly militarised, with security Interrupted elections and ‘Many leaders forces detaining thousands of people electoral integrity challenges have used for violating curfew and killing many citizens.11 As one activist in Tunisia To date, 106 elections have been Covid-19 as a reports, the government there has postponed in 61 countries.15 In many pretext for approached the crisis through a cases the adjustments to election curtailing ‘security lens’. In Africa, excessive timing and voting arrangements have parliamentary police brutality has been reported in been a necessary and justifiable part South Africa, Uganda and Kenya, oversight and of the Covid-19 responses and have where more people have died at the respected constitutional provisions tightening the hands of security forces in 2020 than and legality. However, decisions pressure on from Covid-19.12 Militaries have about holding elections often become political gained a prominent role in deeply politicised and polarising. opposition.’ Covid-management across Latin Some elections held after the virus’ America. Deadly interventions from outbreak suffered from extremely low security forces to revolts in prisons turnout and many primaries have have been witnessed in Iran and also been significantly affected.16 Nigeria.13 These trends have wide and There are in many cases dangers in disturbing political implications. 14 leaders putting off elections for too long in order to prevent challenges to their own incumbency. Ethiopia is an example of where postponement may Map generated using International IDEA’s Electoral Risk Management Tool, 24 June 2020 10 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS have been justified but uncertainty the only acutely worrying instance. ‘The broader has been created because no date has Many governments have detained not pandemic been given for when the rearranged only opposition activists and election will be held. journalists but healthcare workers context has who dared to criticise official posed wider & In other cases, the concern is more responses to the coronavirus. In unprecedented about regimes trying to force through Russia several frontline doctors challenges to votes or plebiscites in lockdown strangely fell from hospital windows conditions that make it easier for after making critical statements about the functioning them to manipulate voting processes the country’s crisis response.21 In of independent - Russia is an example of such an Thailand, Cambodia, Venezuela and media across attempt.17 In Niger, faked Bangladesh extreme pressure and the world.’ announcements have been used to detentions have been meted out disrupt electoral processes.18 Even against political opponents.22 In DISINFO DISINFO DISINFO where governments are genuinely Bolivia, authorities used the pandemic trying to find ways to keep to electoral timetables, special voting as a justification to threaten political opponents with up to ten years in DISINFO INFO arrangements and election related prison.23 Throughout the Balkans DISINFO disinformation are in places governments have launched DISINFO DISINFO DISINFO introducing problems and crackdowns on political opponents vulnerabilities for some groups. and media outlets.24 Regimes in Iraq, Other concerns have arisen such as Algeria and Lebanon have detainedDISINFO DISINFO DISINFO Covid-19’s distorted impact on democracy activists with little political campaigning, doubts over health-related justification. Turkish the capacity and preparedness of authorities have extended repressive electoral bodies, and the new measures on political and civic difficulties of ensuring international opposition in parallel to managing the observation.19 Across the world health crisis.25 Kazakhstan’s measures governments will be taking decisions against peaceful assembly represent a over holding or postponing elections serious breach of international human that need to be based on stronger rights standards. 26 political consensus and trust in decision-making process. Censorship and threats to independent media Opportunistic clampdowns on political opponents Many governments have passed decrees that allow governments to Many leaders have used Covid-19 as a fine or imprison those deemed to be pretext for curtailing parliamentary spreading ‘fake news’ critical of oversight and tightening the pressure official management of the pandemic. on political opposition. While public This has happened in Bolivia, attention is drawn to the health crisis, Bangladesh, Russia and Vietnam, for authoritarian leaders have launched example. Press freedom has been new assaults against opposition more widely curtailed in Ghana, groups.20 The Chinese assault on Hong Nigeria, Senegal, Montenegro, Serbia Kong democracy activists is the most and Sierra Leone, amongst many serious case of this but far from being other states. One of the last countries 11 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS in the world to acknowledge an between ethnic36 and religious groups ‘Minority rights outbreak of the virus, Tajikistan by accusing some sections of the are suffering all blocked a website reporting fatality population of being responsible for figures different to government the virus.37 Some disinformation over the world. official figures.27 In the Philippines stories about health measures have Discrimination the operations of the country’s largest directly put lives in danger. has increasingly broadcasting network have been undermined the halted.28 In Cambodia, Misuse of digital surveillance China, Egypt, Ethiopia, Turkey, core democratic and Venezuela, journalists and others The global health crisis has principle of have been arrested and detained demonstrated the positive role of rights equality.’ simply for reporting the virus.29 technology in terms of spreading Egypt and China have expelled preventive messages and increasing foreign journalists.30 The broader public access to health care; in many pandemic context has posed wider democracies, governments have built and unprecedented challenges to the in concerns over privacy rights to functioning of independent media their tracking apps. However, across the world. A number of media various governments across the outlets have suffered significant world have misused technology for revenue falls.31 In the Western unlawful surveillance.38 China, Iran Balkans, even successful media and Russia’s digital surveillance operators are experiencing serious measures have been especially financial challenges.32 The altered intrusive of individuals’ right to pandemic context has posed an privacy, freedom of expression and existential threat to media. association. 39 Many countries have used tracing apps without Increased disinformation anonymisation. Ecuador implemented GPS tracking to enforce There are many examples of quarantine measures and the Israeli state-backed influence operations government authorised security linked to the pandemic. Malign services to use a system initially disinformation campaigns have come designed for counterterrorism particularly from Russia, Iran and operations. In South Korea, China. The disinformation stories authorities spread advisory messages have attempted to blame the West for which contained personal details of the coronavirus outbreak and infected patients. These measures emphasised its inability to tackle the have raised concerns not solely over crisis.33 These three countries’ digital breaches of medical privacy but of narratives look increasingly similar broader human rights violations.40 to one another.34 Disinformation stories have expressly attempted to Minority rights and instrumentalise the health crisis and vulnerable groups serve a general goal of undermining public trust in democratic Minority rights are suffering all over countries.35 More broadly, the world. Discrimination has governments’ disinformation has increasingly undermined the core deliberately fostered rivalries democratic principle of rights equality. 12 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS The Indian government has targeted Technocratic governance ‘The enactment Muslim communities. In some countries, sexual minorities have been of emergency A more second-order issue is that subject to further abuses. Pandemic scientific committees are wielding powers that responses have made refugees and significant influence and bypass asylum seekers even more vulnerable. generating a more technocratic accountability In addition to the suspension of style of governance. Ironically, this and oversight asylum applications, those living in science-based approach may be refugee camps have been the target of procedures undermining illiberal-populists, but discriminatory policies.41 Several EU it brings its own problems for dramatically and Arab governments have democratic accountability and increase the introduced restrictions that transparency.45 Experts in the Lancet risks of discriminately target Syrian refugees. observe that at present, governments corruption.’ Governments are largely disingenuous are not learning the lessons of in justifying all these various previous pandemics to the extent measures on health grounds. that they are taking a top-down, Lockdowns have resulted in a paternalistic approach that actually dramatic increase in cases of undercuts the kind of local gender-based violence depriving participation that has helped provide women the basic human right to live more robust strategies in previous free from violence.42 In France, medical crises.46 Cyprus, Singapore, Argentina, Canada, Germany, Spain, the UK and Public sector corruption the US the number of registered cases, emergency calls and demand The enactment of emergency powers for emergency shelter have increased that bypass accountability and by varying but significant degrees.43 oversight procedures dramatically Confinement further limits access to increase the risks of corruption.47 education for children and students Health sectors have become across the world. Digital learning has especially vulnerable to corruption particularly challenged the most due to simplified procurement rules. vulnerable and disadvantaged In countries like Russia, Colombia, communities, which due to the lack Argentina, Bosnia and Herzegovina of necessary facilities and and Bangladesh major corruption infrastructure have not benefitted cases have been reported related to from national or global efforts aimed medical supplies.48 Bolivia’s health at sustaining education during the minister and Sicily’s coronavirus crisis. The pandemic further emergency coordinator were arrested worsened conditions of migrant on pandemic related corruption workers across the world. 44 It has cases. Israel’s prime minister, likewise affected people with Benjamin Netanyahu was able to disabilities, narrowing their options push back his planned hearing for for access to healthcare, education, corruption charges, clearly unrelated political participation, the digital to the health emergency.49 Access environment and work force. Now has charted a significant increase in problems over corruption 13 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS under emergency procurement politics.53 In those countries that procedures.50 This corruption has enjoy reasonably high-quality increasingly extended beyond the democracy, restrictive measures are health sector to other spheres of of real concern, yet they are mostly public procurement due to a lack of respectful of constitutional limits, oversight on economic policies and have parliamentary backing and do financial bailouts. The regulation of not override most core freedoms. In political party campaign finances has more hybrid systems or fragile suffered, adding further doubts to the democracies, the concerns are fairness of electoral processes.51 In greater; even where emergency the longer-term this rise in restrictions are not overly draconian corruption is likely to eat away at the virus is straining institutions and public trust in democratic processes pluralism. In restrictive regimes, and institutional legitimacy. governments are using the pandemic further to limit political space and Overall, it can be concluded that deepen already existing trends. Covid-19’s political impacts differ Illiberal-populist politicians in both across regime types.52 While autocracies and democracies have democracies and autocracies have performed badly, not only refusing to mostly imposed similar kinds of take factual evidence seriously but emergency measures, countries’ also using the emergency to nourish respective emergency measures have nationalist narratives. very different implications for 14 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
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Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS DEMOCRATIC PUSHBACK 16 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS DEMOCRATIC PUSHBACK While the pandemic has Through new civic practices, in many ‘...many long- countries civil society actors have unleashed this panoply of existing and provided support to the most concerns, not all trends vulnerable parts of society. Mutual more are negative. aid initiatives have multiplied aimed traditional at complementing state capacity by NGOs have Alongside the range of anti- helping provide medical supplies or redirected their democratic steps, there are signs of food, assisting vulnerable members of local communities and running activities stronger democratic resolve across the world. This can be seen at several social support schemes. Volunteerism towards the different levels and in varied ways: has expanded in relatively open emergency and contexts like Ukraine, Armenia, gained a new Civil society efforts Georgia, Tunisia and South Africa lease of life by for democracy but also in more restrictive environments like Iran. Especially doing this.’ The pandemic has had both positive influential local neighbourhood and negative effects on global civic committees have formed in Sudan. In activism. Although civil society addition to these new initiatives, across the world has faced rigid many long-existing and more restrictions, the adaptive experience traditional NGOs have redirected of finding new ways to mobilise is their activities towards the helping them circumvent some of emergency and gained a new lease of these new obstacles. Finding new life by doing this.56 This has been the ways to undertake both online and case, again, in relatively open cases offline campaigns, civil society in like Brazil, India and Kenya as well as Russia, Chile, Poland and Israel has the most difficult contexts like Syria. managed to voice concerns either In countries like Portugal and regarding pandemic responses or Malaysia civic groups have got over political restrictions.54 The very governments to offer stronger real threat of Covid-19 emergency protection for migrants’ rights. measures has spurred civil society organisations into launching Pushback against campaigns monitoring governments’ disinformation rights abuses during the health emergency – good examples of this As the very real damage done by can be found in Argentina, Nigeria disinformation has become all the and Zimbabwe as well as across the more tragically apparent, so civic Western Balkans.55 initiatives and CSOs have expanded and multiplied against it and are playing an important role on the 17 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS ground in providing credible and democratic rights, calling witnesses ‘Political trustworthy information. The rising and questioning ministers even as opposition wave of disinformation about the full legislative sessions are in pandemic has induced diverse abeyance. In some countries, citizens parties in many national and global efforts to fight and civic groups have found ways to parliaments misinformation. Reflecting demand mobilise against governments’ overly have stepped up for trustworthy information about lax response to Covid-19; this to provide the virus, the World Health pressure has often widened to focus Organisation launched the on more general political grievances detailed and Information Network for Epidemics – in Egypt, Thailand and some forensic (EPI-WIN) through which technical European countries, for example. If scrutiny of and social media specialists swiftly governments have sought to government respond to misleading narratives and instrumentalise the crisis for their measures, rumours and offer citizens own ends so have political opposition evidence-based information. Around forces. Many of them are using showing the 60 locally based UN information government Covid-19 importance of centres play a crucial role in mismanagement as a wedge to parliamentary spreading the information in local develop renewed engagement on oversight for languages.57 The EU has notably democracy. good quality stepped up its multiple misinformation initiatives. It has New types of democratic launched a new strategy to reinforce democratic process accountability.’ resilience for countering disinformation including through A large number of online deeper international cooperation.58 democratic forums have sprung up. UNESCO is monitoring the These include initiatives linking pandemic’s impact on media citizens into online parliamentary freedom, access to information and debates. Legislative bodies in the safety of journalists; has Albania, Colombia, Brazil, and the established a ‘resource centre’ on Maldives changed parliamentary these challenges; and has an initiative rules to allow remote digital working. on debunking misinformation.59 Chile and Singapore passed constitutional amendments Political opposition specifically to allow for virtual gathers steam parliamentary debates. 60 Some countries like Armenia, Guatemala, Opposition to many governments has Indonesia and Kosovo have brought sharpened. Political opposition in social media tools better to parties in many parliaments have connect with citizens. 61 In Mexico, a stepped up to provide detailed and women’s caucus has engaged in forensic scrutiny of government virtual meetings to protect women’s measures, showing the importance of rights. 62 Many countries have been parliamentary oversight for good looking at how to extend online quality democratic accountability. voting for public and parliamentary Parliamentary committees have in votes, while addressing digital some instances set up enquiries into vulnerabilities to make these the impact of the crisis on practices more fully secure.63 18 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
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Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS With the pandemic’s impact set to police for warning about the ‘The pandemic endure considerable time, more coronavirus.64 In Russia civic activists countries have begun to introduce used the digital space to tag does not push formal legal changes to allow for themselves in front of government global politics digital debates and votes. Most buildings. In many European in any clear or climate citizen assemblies have countries, climate change protests pre-determined moved online. All this has added have held digital protests calling on direction; it some dynamism to institutional world leaders not to neglect action oversight and civic participation as against global warming. In Lebanon, does intensify cornerstones of good governance. hundreds of demonstrators protested the struggles in their cars in an ongoing series of that already New protest activity grievances against the government. exist between While online protests cannot be a Online ‘protests’ have spread. The democratic and substitute for traditional street new reality has forced civic activists rallies, in the pandemic this anti-democratic and political opposition to look for innovative approach to freedom of forces.’ innovative ways to raise concerns. expression has proven a viable option Online revolts went viral in China for articulating citizen discontent. following the death of doctor Li Wenliang, punished by the Chinese A different type of opposition protest 20 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS is more complex and challenging for tightening repression or to more democracy. In a growing number of democratic momentum. In hybrid countries more or less organised regimes, democratic decay could groups have mobilised against easily set in or Covid-19 problems lockdowns. Many of these use a could spark popular pressure for democracy narrative yet have been more consolidated transitions. In pushed by rightist groups whose states that were already classified as commitment to democracy is not weak democracies, democratic especially strong; the fierce erosion and mobilisation against this libertarianism at the heart of these are likely to co-exist. Data suggest sporadic protests is arguably a threat that those democracies that have to public health and not necessarily performed well are those that have conducive to stable democracy. high levels of social trust and civic Rather, it risks generating deeper empowerment relative to those polarisation that could be damaging democracies that have performed to democracy in many places. badly.65 The pandemic does not push global politics in any clear or In general, autocracies are likely to be pre-determined direction; it does subject to popular pressure just as intensify the struggles that already much as democracies, as citizens feel exist between democratic and anger at deaths, Covid-19 anti-democratic forces. mismanagement and economic hardship; this could lead to 21 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS DEMOCRACY SUPPORT IN THE PANDEMIC & BEYOND 22 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS DEMOCRACY SUPPORT IN THE PANDEMIC & BEYOND The global political context is has given more than 1 billion dollars ‘Donors have in changing in important and complex for the fight against Covid-19 and particular ways as a result of Covid-19. These relief, 66 while the European changes bring acute and long-term Commission has released 20 billion begun to see dangers for democracy; in some ways euros to deliver support to countries information they also open up new avenues of in Africa, Eastern Partnership and transparency, democratic action. International Western Balkans countries, the e-governance, democracy support will be more Middle East and North Africa, parts important; in the changed context, it of Asia and the Pacific, Latin parliamentary will also need to adjust. Yet, at America and the Caribbean.67 The and judicial present democracy support risks World Bank Group has launched its oversight, losing priority amid the pandemic. largest and fastest crisis response constitutional ever, reaching over a hundred constraints, the A thorough understanding of the developing countries.68 Through impacts of the pandemic is necessary emergency financing, the fight against for democracy support organisations International Monetary Fund has disinformation, to adjust their strategies and areas of also provided support to around a resilient interventions. To ensure democratic hundred countries.69 communities governance in the pandemic and and citizen- post-pandemic circumstances, The health emergency and countries will need to develop socio-economic ramifications of the oriented innovative approaches for holding pandemic have naturally become a governance as elections, ensure the effective priority for donors. Democracy issues that functioning of democratic support has not yet attracted such Covid-19 has institutions, improve parliamentary priority attention. Formally, however, oversight of executives and increase the need for revised approaches aimed made more citizens’ participation in political at ensuring democratic governance vital.’ processes. and human rights protection also appears in governmental and International emergency international organisations’ agendas. responses Donors have in particular begun to see information transparency, Covid-19 has altered the e-governance, parliamentary and governments’ external priorities judicial oversight, constitutional across the world and resulted in constraints, the fight against re-orientation of the existing disinformation, electoral integrity, resources. Donors have prioritised resilient communities and citizen- health challenges more clearly: the oriented governance as issues that United States Agency for Covid-19 has made more vital.70 International Development (USAID) 23 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS The Swedish International Covid-19 management focusing in Development Cooperation Agency particular on elections, (Sida) is supporting various parliamentary oversight, multi-sector Covid-19 programmes constitutional provisions, the that include civil society and importance of political-party roles governance elements.71 United and new voting arrangements for Nations agencies have increased their elections. The National Endowment efforts to protect children, women, for Democracy has provided flexible refugees, prisoners and other emergency funds and increased rapid vulnerable parts of global response funding.79 community. 72 Under the rubric of the Council of Europe, the European The European Endowment for Committee on Democracy and Democracy (EED) has provided core Governance has been sharing grant support to civil activists and best-practice guidelines on elections, independent media to address new rights, civil participation and needs and challenges that arose e-democracy in the management of following the crisis. Additionally, Covid-19. 73 The OSCE’s Office for EED launched a specific Covid-19 Democratic Institutions and Human response scheme to facilitate Rights has closely monitored the immediate actions among media and implications of emergency measures civil activists.80 The International for democracy and compliance with Foundation for Electoral Systems human rights and fundamental (IFES) continues to track global freedoms.74 The European Bank for election postponements and provide Reconstruction and Development has a range of resources, including the also reinforced the good governance IFES Covid-19 Briefing Series which elements of its programmes.75 offers guidance to democracy and governance practitioners on seven Many democracy organisations have fundamental challenges they face in also responded. The National the wake of the pandemic.81 Human Democratic Institute and the rights organisations like Amnesty International Republican Institute International82 and Human Rights are providing support to legislatures76 Watch have strengthened monitoring and local governments across the of human rights components of the world in managing crisis policies adopted by governments communications and helping citizens amid the Covid-19 outbreak. 83 The understand government responses to Board of the EU-Russia Civil Society the pandemic.77 The Open Forum has pushed for stronger Government Partnership launched a procedures to safeguard the rule of platform called Open Response + law, democracy and human rights.84 Open Recovery that serves as an information sharing space for open Civil society challenges in government approaches to Covid-19. times of Covid-19 78 International IDEA has stepped up its work to produce comparative Despite these responses, democracy knowledge and provide technical support risks losing momentum since assistance and advisory services on the international community has 24 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS understandably channelled more its CSOs fear that economic recession ‘Nearly all CSOs available resources into emergency will squeeze and deplete their fear that pandemic responses. In preparing resource base dramatically to the this report we heard from many point that the survival of many economic democracy CSOs that have had activist organisations will be in recession will funding rather abruptly cut as donors doubt. squeeze and shift resources to Covid-19 priorities. deplete their This has forced them to cut staff and Civil society representatives also fear stop operations that will be difficult that in the post-Covid environment resource base to recover later on. One Armenian donors will divert political funding to dramatically to civic leader laments that ‘we have programmes related to economic the point that been left more vulnerable just when recovery. In this context, CSOs are the survival of the community needed us most’. calling for greater accountability many activist over economic recovery CSO representatives note that while programmes, amid the increased organisations some donor organisations were need for oversight of donor funded will be in relatively flexible and adapted economic aid. Similarly, we heard a doubt.’ support for operational sustainability common story from Western Balkan at the start of the pandemic, most CSOs of international funding being have not allowed project activities to re-oriented towards state capacity be adjusted. We heard from nearly all building and away from those areas our CSO interlocutors that most where governments are closing off donors have imposed heavily access, like media freedom, judicial bureaucratic conditions that militate independence and the protection of against social organisations adapting. human rights. As another Middle One Middle East activist told us that Eastern activist warned: ‘economic funding cuts and donor inflexibility recovery will not succeed if there is have together led to ‘a massive no good governance and oversight of shrinking of implemented activities these programmes.’ CSOs themselves on the ground’ related to human have begun to create innovative rights and democracy in this region. accountability and scrutiny initiatives but feel they are getting little support Many activists told us they are from the international community having to lie low for the moment but for these. need help to plan for ways in which they can rebuild democratic activities CSOs also express concerns about beyond the emergency period. In this being left more vulnerable by the they fear many donors and funding shift to online activities. One activist organisations are now diluting in a particularly sensitive pressure on non-democratic regimes environment fears that the in order to work with them on international community is Covid-19 issues and that this leaves supporting much online civic activity CSOs’ basic security compromised in that is not secure: ‘we do not trust the face of increased state repression the devices [being supported]’. Our – we heard this message from interlocutors placed great stress on Balkan, Eastern European and Arab the fact that donors are not doing states, and from Turkey. Nearly all nearly enough to help CSOs’ digital 25 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS empowerment in this new context. things. These features are also ‘Democracy And CSOs from countries in conflict relevant to other challenges on the assistance helps are worried that the international agenda, like climate change, social community is withdrawing just when justice and the struggle for build strong they are seeking to restore local rights-equality driving the current civil-society community bridge-building efforts sweep of protests in the US and organisations around the crisis. In the Western beyond. Democracy assistance helps that can help Balkans and Eastern Europe, CSOs build strong civil-society are worried that the EU is retreating organisations that can help wider wider society further from accession perspectives society meet a range of complex meet a range of – which many democracy activists challenges, especially in a public complex still see as the most important health crisis context. These challenges, guarantor of democratic norms. organisations can help generate especially in a on-the-ground information about Support for democracy will gain where needs are most pressing, and public health importance and be especially vital for also keep corruption and misuse of crisis context.’ the long-term recuperation from the aid in check. Such support can help pandemic. Recovery can’t effectively countries be more adaptable to the happen without enhanced state challenges ahead. And it will be of capacity and good governance, vital importance in pushing back including the safeguarding of against the possibility of Covid-19 oversight, scrutiny, civic participation empowering autocratic politics. and responsive politics, among other Anti-corruption effect on fatality rates from Covid-19 26 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS RECOMMENDATIONS 27 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS RECOMMENDATIONS Well before the Covid-19 processes. Covid-19 also invites those ‘A Covid concerned with international pandemic struck there Democracy democracy to consider a number of was a need for more specific modifications that have Monitor should international democracy become more pressing due to the track whether support to adjust to a Covid-19 crisis. They would benefit governments global trend of from considering five very concrete are removing policy initiatives: democratic backsliding crisis measures and declines in civic Covid Democracy Tracking as and when freedoms.85 the health A fully coordinated effort is required situation from international organisations Many of the improvements required allows.’ remain urgent as Covid-19 responses methodically to track the evolution of have revealed systemic governance restrictive emergency measures. A and democracy challenges and a need Covid Democracy Monitor should to prepare for a next crisis requiring track whether governments are responsive and inclusive political removing crisis measures as and 28 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS when the health situation allows. equally of international responses to ‘The This could be structured around these. Democracy organisations international major threats to democracy posed by should not overplay their hand: many the pandemic as outlined above. restrictions have been necessary and community Various international efforts have may still have some relevance to should commit been undertaken in this regard. The immediate public health priorities. to including Westminster Foundation for Not every measure merits criticism; civil society Democracy has started a Covid-19 polls suggest many of them still enjoy Tracker and a Global Monitor on public backing. Rather, monitoring and rights- Covid-19’s Impact on Democracy and must home in tightly on those oriented Human Rights is being launched by measures that governments are using funding within the European Commission and disingenuously to further their own post-Covid International IDEA.86 However, more political aims and hold on power. As recovery global effort is necessary in this there is uncertainty over emergency regard. International organisations measures’ impact on democracy, a packages.’ need to scale up such monitoring Covid Democracy Monitor would efforts and give them far more make a huge contribution if it could high-level political backing. They disentangle medically justified from should support similar cross-regional politically nefarious emergency and international initiatives measures. Crucially, governments especially for those countries with and international organisations weak checks-and-balances. should ensure tangible action is taken Specialised tracking and analysis on the basis of such detailed and could offer guidance to local actors to systematic Covid-19 monitoring. better engage in democratic oversight. Monitoring is required not Democracy-sensitive just of in-country measures but Covid aid Donors, multilateral organisations and philanthropists will begin to channel significant shares of their development aid towards humanitarian emergency relief associated with the pandemic. It is right that vulnerable people across the world receive this help and that such emergency relief is not politicised to the point that individuals’ lives are put at risk. Yet it would also be important to ensure that the forthcoming wave of medical aid and funds aimed at helping economic recovery also foster democratic delivery and do not unduly empower authoritarian leaders. Institutions and political processes marked by inclusion, 29 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS representation, transparency and onto power. But in the Covid-19 era ‘A truly responsiveness provide the best state capacity will be important to guarantees to this end. manage health priorities and the multilateral socio-economic imbalances that the response is The international community should crisis accentuates. The donor required to commit to including civil society and community should also invest more democracy and rights-oriented funding within in tying together civic and state Covid-19 that post-Covid recovery packages. capacity-building in a mutually Democracy support needs to be made reinforcing way. CSOs themselves includes all a more integral part of getting closed told us they want more of this regions of the regimes to be more honest and ‘cross-sector’ support to engage with world.’ transparent about Covid trends and state bodies and that they feel share scientific work.87 Some modest democracy organisations still parts of macro-economic aid might under-provide this kind of help. The come with democracy-related future agenda is likely to require civic conditionality; this should not be and well-functioning state capacities applied too heavy-handedly but used to be enhanced in tandem with each sparingly to help prompt other. Both civil society and governments to restore rights institutional perspectives will need to curtailed during the emergency. The be taken on board to fine-tune this Covid monitoring would identify kind of joined-up support. loopholes in democratic practices and help tailor reform-based aid Covid Global Civics decisions. Governments and international organisations should International democracy support commit to ring-fencing a higher needs a concerted effort to target proportion of their total aid for new civic initiatives that are efforts related to civil society, human emerging as a result of the rights, good governance and pandemic – as donors are likely to democracy. focus more on government capacity-building and post-Covid Crucially, democracy-sensitive economic recovery there is a risk Covid-19 aid should work more that these promising initiatives will effectively to strengthen state get overlooked. Amidst all the capacities and the role of formal gloomy political developments the institutions in democratic processes. formation of such groups represents This will be integral to a long-term the most positive change to come out perspective that helps prepare the of the crisis. These initiatives give next health crisis. Supporting CSOs and donors a chance to democratic oversight by parliaments, reconnect with local communities, political parties, electoral regain legitimacy and show that commissions and civil society will democracy support is not neglectful help to achieve these objectives, of people’s day-to-day concerns. democracy aid has often provided Higher levels of support and vitally important support to civil coordination will be needed to society and opposition forces against sustain and link together all the new governments inclined to grip strongly Covid, health related civil society 30 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
Global Democracy & Covid-19: Upgrading international support BACK TO CONTENTS activity with human rights and need more multiannual core support ‘The post- democracy questions. International as their resources may dwindle. pandemic networks can help move the new local civic dynamism to a more International coordination on development national and political level – as and Democracy agenda shall where local citizens desire this. put a special The international democracy emphasis on There are also possible concerns to community needs to step up its head-off. Efforts will be needed to coordination in the wake of the strategic ensure that over the medium-term pandemic. A truly multilateral planning and civil society does not get dragged response is required to democracy inclusive away too much from its more and Covid-19 that includes all regions analysis of of the world. In particular, such political concerns. Civil society needs coordination should involve experiences to be helped contain the rights abuses, gender violence and countries that have engineered stemming from educational imbalances that the successful responses to crisis the current pandemic is exacerbating. Support including through maintaining crisis.’ for independent media should be functioning democratic institutions given top priority as many outlets throughout the crisis – like Canada, face an existential struggle for Korea, New Zealand and Taiwan. survival. International efforts are These countries – perhaps joined by needed to support the financial one or two of the best performing sustainability of media in times of European and other democracies pandemic and in the post-pandemic - could form the core of a group of environment. These efforts could be front-runner states that begin to built around efforts to establish an convene international democracy International Fund for Public Interest efforts in the months ahead. Media (IFPIM).88 An international initiative could be Perhaps most pressingly, despite the advanced to foreground how Asian, new civic vibrancy the economic African and some Latin American squeeze that lies ahead could put civil democracies have performed well and society funding in acute danger. to highlight the governance lessons Governments and international that emerge from their experiences. It organisations could launch dedicated could be kicked-off with a high- funding schemes specifically to help profile (virtual) event to generate the new civic initiatives that have political momentum. This emerged due to Covid-19 and use this multilateral coordination should to inject democracy support with focus on sharing lessons between greater legitimacy and relevance. The democracies; more effectively international community already has showing democracy’s advantages in an agreed commitment to support crises; common positions where civil society within the Nairobi democratic rights are threatened; and Outcome Document; this could be perhaps even coordinated used more systematically to buttress programming activities on the these aims.89 In the Covid-19 context, ground in some places. It should also CSOs and independent media will pursue long-term planning: 31 CLICK TO ENDNOTES
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