Future-proof: Fuel retail businesses and changing landscapes
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Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail Future-proof: Fuel retail businesses and changing landscapes 12
Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail GCC fuel retailers are The changing paradigm of fuel GCC fuel retailers are also not immune to retailing the global themes affecting the industry also not immune to the The fuel retail industry across the GCC that include the commitment of countries global themes affecting has been experiencing significant and companies to meet targets set by changes over the past decade. There Paris Agreement, society’s need for the industry that include were amendments to laws and sustainable energy, and pressure from the commitment of regulations, women driving in Saudi investors on companies to embed countries and companies Arabia and a reduction in fuel subsidies across several GCC countries. In addition, sustainability in the way they operate. Given these changes, fuel retailers are to meet targets set by we observed a shift in the competitive asking difficult questions regarding how Paris Agreement, landscape as some fuel retailers they can best serve their customers, and expanded to new territories, such as the how their businesses should respond to society’s need for entrance of Abu Dhabi National Oil remain competitive. In the retail industry sustainable energy, and Company (ADNOC) fuel stations into the at large, stories of incumbents failing to Saudi market and Dubai. Furthermore, evolve and allowing newcomers with pressure from investors there has been a change in consumer innovative and customer-centric business on companies to embed sentiment as customers in the region models to acquire their consumers, such sustainability in the way experience the convenience of a digitized as Nokia, are still fresh in our minds. This and personalized service across different represents a challenge for the local fuel they operate. areas of retail, including fuel retail outlets. retail market players, but also an opportunity to grow and explore new ways of doing business (Figure 1). The landscape in which GCC fuel retailers Figure 1: Adapting to the changing market landscape requires fuel retailers to revisit their strategy, business model and capabilities Forces of change Changing market dynamic Fuel retail business continuum Organization analysis components Consumer behavior Strategy/Vision 1 Carbon-free economy - Adoption of shared vehicles, Redefine customer experience strategy electric vehicles, etc. - Embracing digitization Business Model e.g. digital payment, etc. Develop customer-centric model Digital technologies 2 and connectivity Capabilities Operating model architecture Competitive landscape Reassess organizational activities and operating model - New regulatory frameworks Mobility and adjacent 3 offerings - Receding footprint of fuel retail monopolies Enablers Process, people and technology Review/Update enablers 14
Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail operate is being reshaped by certain macro-forces, namely, a shift towards a EV charging stations present an carbon-free economy, a rise in digital connectivity, and a structural change in opportunity for GCC fuel retailers to mobility and adjacent offerings. These forces are also coupled with a change in tap into a growing market, generate fuel retailer customer behavior. We observe how the customer experience income from non-fuel sales, and take strategy, customer value proposition (CVP), as well as the business model of part in shaping the net-zero emissions fuel retailers may need to evolve to cater to the changing market landscape, and future. consequently allowing these companies to thrive in the new environment, and future-proof their business. environment. As seen in Figure 2, 54 percent of GCC respondents who do not Forces of change yet own a car would be inclined to buy a Through our survey, we identified key car if it were an electric vehicle (EV). This internal and external macro-forces that makes fast EV charging stations a critical are affecting the landscape for fuel upgrade consideration for fuel retail retailers in the GCC. These forces have players who want to cater to the presented key market players with a new customer of the future, as the set of challenges and opportunities that overwhelming majority of respondents will require them to adapt and evolve. were millennials and generation Z, signaling that the trend is here to stay. EV Carbon-free economy charging stations present an opportunity A global movement towards a carbon- for GCC fuel retailers to tap into a free economy is underway. In fact, in its growing market, generate income from 2020 Energy Outlook report, BP is non-fuel sales, and take part in shaping predicting a base-case scenario where the net-zero emissions future. contribution of solar to global energy will have a compound annual growth rate Figure 2: Car non-owners inclined to own an (CAGR) of 7.8 percent through to 2050. electric vehicle in the future This, contrasted with a CAGR of 1 percent for natural gas and -0.3 percent for oil, highlights the shift away from fossil fuels, albeit gradual1. This creates a challenge 30% for fuel retailers as less carbon-based fuel is likely to be sold, but also gives 54% them an opportunity to explore new markets. Moreover we note that within 16% the GCC, consumers are perturbed by climate change since, as evidenced by our survey, 70 percent of respondents Yes No Maybe were concerned about the effect of fossil fuel carbon emissions on the 15
Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail Exhibit 1: BP Chargemaster case study: Catering for a growing EV market An example of this is illustrated in Exhibit 1, where BP has acquired Chargemaster2 in the UK, in order to establish a firm The company was founded in 2008 by entrepreneur David Martell. In June 2018, BP foothold in the UK EV charging services announced that it had entered into an agreement to buy Chargemaster for GBP130m, market, expecting to have one million EV with the company to be rebranded BP Chargemaster. users by 2022. Digital technologies and connectivity The company provides charging units for home, business and public use, and operates On-demand services and online retail its own electric vehicle public charging network, called POLAR, which is the largest consumption continue to evolve and network in the United Kingdom. By 2017, the company had supplied more than 30,000 charging points for electric vehicle drivers’ homes and more than 10,000 public and raise consumer expectations. This is due commercially-operated charging points. to advancement in universal connectivity and its underlying technology infrastructure, not to mention the Covid- The business model of Chargemaster capitalizes on two revenue streams. The first 19 lockdown, which introduced many is installing charging stations at homes or offices for a fixed fee. The second is a subscription fee whereby customers pay a monthly fee and through a mobile app can people to the convenience of online find where the closest charging station is and use it, an option to pay per use is also shopping. Customers, now more than available. ever, expect to have seamless communication and increased personalization in services. In fact, the Chargemaster is growing rapidly and is currently the largest operator of charging survey reveals that 86 percent of expat stations in the UK, putting it in the prime position to benefit from the anticipated one million EV drivers expected to be in the UK by 2022. This gives BP an edge over and local vehicle owners, in the GCC, competition in terms of catering for this new customer group as people start to prefer to use contactless digital payments move away from ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) vehicles. at fuel stations. However, almost 60 percent of transactions today are still cash transactions driven mainly by blue Exhibit 2: Shell case study: Innovation across different verticals collar workers. Shell is one of many companies that has adapted successfully to the new environment of the fuel retail market, with the realization of the need to reinvent the way they serve customers. Therefore, they have Certain global fuel retailers have already developed several initiatives to cater to customers’ needs: started embracing digitization to enhance Shell tap-up operational efficiency and improve on A fuel delivery service that is helping Shell play into the trend of on-demand home delivery their customer experience. For example, service. ExxonMobil developed Speedpass+ to facilitate payment processes for their Amazon parcel network customers. In addition, Shell is heavily A joint venture with Amazon to create a network of convenient pick-up locations for its goods innovating in retail by a mix of at Shell’s fuel stations (experimented in Munich, Germany). partnerships and internal capability building, to address market Shell motorist developments and customer needs Customer app that keeps the user up to date with Shell loyalty offers, rewards and (Exhibit 2). promotions, and acts as a station locator. The app’s latest feature, “Fill up & Go” allows for mobile payments to be conducted at the fuel pump. Although similar digital payments already Alternative fuels exist in the GCC, only 7 percent of vehicle Shell is part of a consortium of 13 companies (including car manufacturers such as BMW owners have used them (Figure 3). The and Toyota) that has announced they will invest US$10.78billion in hydrogen fuel cells. In addition, Shell announced a partnership with Allego, a leading EV charging station provider primary reason for this contradicting in Europe, on deploying fast stations at select Shell service stations. result was that 61 percent of respondents were not aware of these Connected car apps. As such, GCC fuel retailers might A mobile payment mechanism installation onto Jaguar’s Connected Car platform, to show its want to reassess their marketing and OEM partners its digital leadership in the automotive sector. customer attraction initiatives. 16
Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail Figure 3: Percentage of car owners who have used digital services offered by fuel stations driver-driven vehicles is expected to Certain global fuel decline; in 2025, shared driver-driven (e.g. ENOC ViP, ENOCPay, ADNOC Wallet) and the percentage of car owners who are willing vehicles are expected to account for retailers have already to use digital/contactless payment in light of more than 10 percent of miles driven, started embracing the COVID-19 outbreak increasing through to 2040, when shared mobility will account for up to 80 percent digitization to enhance Car owners using digital services by fuel stations of miles driven3. Therefore, how will the operational efficiency future fuel station change once the mobility is largely autonomous/driverless and improve on their 7% and platform driven? Fewer cars on the customer experience. road and increased popularity of electric vehicles will ultimately have major implications on the fuel retail business, and will cause them to reexamine the products and services they offer to create 93% cross selling opportunities, and introduce services to accommodate for EVs. In addition, GCC fuel retailers may want Yes No to focus on offering an experience, as opposed to selling a commodity, in order Car owners’ willingness to use to explore new revenue streams. The digital/contactless payment survey indicates that, in the GCC, participants visit fuel stations for reasons 2% other than fueling their cars. Such 12% services include using the carwash, buying items from the grocery store, visiting the restaurants in the gas stations, or simply stopping to take a break (Figure 4). In fact, new customer 86% segments are emerging, forcing fuel retailers to rethink the type of services offered at fuel stations. An example of Yes No Maybe new customer segments are women drivers in Saudi Arabia. In addition, more than a third of respondents have reported that over 50 percent of their In addition to digital payments, fuel non-fuel spending is composed of retailers may want to focus on data impulse shopping, giving fuel retailers an analytics to capture consumer data in opportunity to capitalize on an additional real time. This will help retailers obtain revenue source. constructive insight on customers’ needs, behavior and trends, enabling them to Fuel retails might also focus on entering make data-driven decisions. new markets to diversify their market portfolio—a trend that has started Mobility and adjacent offerings already with ENOC Group announcing, in Mobility is transforming into a complex, 2018, major expansion plans to build 45 horizontally structured ecosystem. As per new service stations in Saudi Arabia over Deloitte’s global Future of Mobility Analysis; the next four years. by 2022, the use of personally-owned 17
Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail Figure 4: Reasons for car non-owners to visit fuel stations Buy food and drinks from the Take a break 30% convenience shop (e.g. groceries, snacks, water, 25% 24% soft drinks, etc.) 25% None, I don’t visit fuel stations Buy non-food items from the 20% convenience shop (e.g. camping gear and Fill up fuel for a car I don’t own 14% supplies, cosmetics, cigarettes, (e.g. a rental car, or a car for a 15% batteries, etc.) friend/family member) 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% Buy food and drinks from other food retailers Other 5% (fast-food chains, coffee chains, etc.) 1% 0% Use toilets What companies can do: Redesigning programs, which ranked second in our Fuel retailers need to be the value proposition survey as services that customers would aware that a digitized, The drivers of change discussed above like to be offered by fuel retailers (digital personalized, and have redefined the context in which payments ranked first). retailers operate. Fuel retailers need to seamless customer be aware that a digitized, personalized, As the customer experience is being experience is increasingly and seamless customer experience is defined, fuel retailers need to look increasingly becoming the norm rather inwards towards their existing business becoming the norm than the exception. Thus, they can model and the systems supporting it, to rather than the leverage technological disruption to assess whether or not they are capable exception. better serve their customers’ needs and design a new customer value proposition of creating and delivering value to customers in the new business context. that captures this end-to-end retail This would require fuel retailers to re- experience. examine the products and services that they are offering customers as well as the Our survey indicates that enhancing the channels used to deliver said products customer experience entails addressing and services. pain points and providing new services. Among the vehicle owners surveyed, Simultaneously, the company must ask nearly 70 percent identified long queues what capabilities would be needed to as the main pain point they experience create the new customer experience, and when visiting fuel stations. This provides how must it organize these capabilities the retail players with the opportunity to around its new objectives in order to deploy technology in order to improve operate profitably, effectively, and operations and cut throughput time, thus efficiently. The business model redesign increasing customer satisfaction. In fact, process is thus both technology-enabled the survey demonstrates that consumers and technology-induced (Exhibit 3). An in the UAE are willing to change their awareness of the interplay between habits by using the Cafu services (an emerging technology, a changing online fuel delivery service), in order to customer experience, and a new receive a seamless experience and avoid business model that encompasses them long queues. Other services can also be is key to future-proof the fuel retail developed, such as tailored loyalty industry. 18
Deloitte | A Middle East Point of View - Spring 2021 | Fuel retail The evolution Exhibit 3: Future-proofing fuel retailers requires understanding the interdependencies Players in the GCC fuel retail market need between the experience of the customer, the retailers’ business model, to fundamentally reimagine and update and emerging technologies ways of working to appeal to the customer base which, as our survey indicates, is experiencing a shift in their preferences and behaviors. The new customer value proposition must take Customer Diffusing technology in the To effectively tailor the value into account the needs of today’s Experience marketplace redefines customer proposition underpinning the consumers, as well as the potential expectations and new customer experience, needs of the consumers of the future. It simultaneously offers a redesign and revisit of a also needs to be mindful of the energy business tools company’s business to deliver the expected model would be transition that is being shaped by the customer experience required forces of change discussed hitherto. Fuel retail businesses might also need to redefine their business models to add new services and benefit from potential new sources of revenue while addressing current customer pain points. Such an Technological Business Innovation Model exercise should be complemented by an update to existing processes, systems, and people capabilities; eventually Setting the right systems and tools in yielding new and updated gas station place to realize the new business model archetypes (Exhibit 4). Thus, ensuring fuel requires incorporating digitalization into retail businesses are equipped with the the company’s ways of working relevant organizational tools and have a solid foundation to transform the new Exhibit 4: The three fuel station archetypes business model into reality. Defining the type of station is highly dependent on the location and consumer needs in that area. by Bart Cornelissen, Energy, Resources Three archetypes of future energy stations are outlined below together with their key features. & Industrials Leader, Deloitte Middle East, Managing Partner, Monitor Deloitte, Urban Energy Station Suburban Energy Station Highway Energy Station Carmen Hamze, Director, Monitor ‘Get the basics right’ ‘Key asset for local community’ ‘All travel needs covered’ Deloitte, Middle East, Abdellatif Smairi, Senior Consultant and Tatiana Ibrahim, Consultant, Consulting, Deloitte Middle East Endnotes 1. BP 2020 Energy Outlook report 2. “BP to Acquire the UK’s Largest Electric Vehicle • EV “Fast” charging Superior amenties All a travellers’ needs Charging Company: News and Insights: Home.” capabilities • All features of ‘Urban • All features of ‘Suburban BP Global • Autonomous drive energy station’ plus: energy station’ plus: 3. Deloitte Future of Mobility Analysis support - ‘Mini-mall’ products and - Logistics hub for online • Automated fueling and services retailers payment solutions - Enhanced ‘click and - Extensive vehicle • Digital engagement with collect’ maintenance facilities Saudi Aramco in advance - Collaboration space for - Broader range of fuel of arrival local start-ups products • Last mile delivery for - ‘Pop-up’ space to - Transport hub for retail deliveries support local autonomous vehicles • Bike rental restaurants, shops etc. - Load balancer providing - Basic vehicle safety storage for autonomous checks vehicles when demand is below peak 19
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