FOOD VALUE CHAIN, FROM seeds TO you - LONGPOINT ...
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“T he food industry has tremendous opportunity, as well as an obligation, to meet the needs of new, more sophisticated and more demanding consumers while satisfying shareholders’ demands for returns— and in doin g so creating a sustainable food supply for the new millennium.” – Deloitte
ta b l e o f c o n t e n ts INTRODUCTION 4 wh ere do es yo u r fo o d c o m e from? PA RT I : 7 Wh en fa rm to ta b l e was a s hort t r ip PA RT I I: 10 P ro c es s ed a n d Pac k aged by th e M i gh ty F ew PA RT I II: 13 C h a l l en ges o f Fres h a n d S p ec i a l PA RT I V: 17 S u m m a ry a n d I m pact o n Rea l Estate M a rk ets REFERENCE NOTES 22
where does your food come from? In a recent study, 71% of consumers noted that they make purchasing decisions based on their understanding of a product’s full ingredient list, and 54% said that they prioritize the source of their food. These two factors were rated as being more important than organic labeling, packaging, fat content, and brand. 1 For modern grocery shoppers, the source of food matters more than ever. To better understand the significance of these consumers procure food products, has dramatically findings, we must first define what we mean by impacted all participants of the “food value chain.” “source.” That is, are we referring to the original physical source of the food (i.e., mineral, plant, Deloitte defines the food value chain as “the network animal), the geographical location and farm where of stakeholders involved in growing, processing, it originated, the processing plant where it was and selling the food that consumers eat – from farm prepared, the company that packages it, the logistics to table.”2 The five key categories in this system are: firm that distributes it, or the grocery store that sells it. suppliers of farming inputs such as seeds, fertilizer, For consumers, the concept of “source” encompasses and equipment; food producers engaged in farming all these elements. A global “food awakening” is and ranching; processors that handle the harvesting driving a thirst for knowledge about the foods we eat and processing of raw foods; brands that package along with a desire to eat healthier foods, irrespective and transport the finished food product; and grocery of individual background, wealth level, or age. This retailers that deliver the product to the consumer. food awakening, in addition to a global population movement into larger cities and a shift in how F I G U R E 1 : K E Y P L AY E R S : T H E F O O D VA LU E C H A I N “BIG AG” GROCERY “LEFT OF “RIGHT OF “CONSUMER” THE FARMER” THE FARMER” INPUTS PRODUCERS PROCESSORS BRANDS RETAILERS “Seeds, fertilizer, “The farmer” “The ABCDs of “CPG and “Supermarket chem, equipment” commodities” distributors” chains” • Dow Chemical • Livestock production • ADM • Nestle • Wal-Mart • DuPont • Crop production • Bunge • PepsiCo • Costco • ChemChina • Horticultural science • Cargill • Coca-Cola • Kroger • Syngenta • Dreyfus • Unilever • Target • Bayer • Danone • Albertsons • Monsanto • General Mills • Publix • John Deere • Kellogg’s • HEB • Mars • Whole Foods • Associated British Foods • Southeastern Grocers • Mondelez F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 4
For the purposes of clarity, we have placed food retail Stagnating demand for traditional grocery products has products into four major categories: Repeat, Fresh, led to huge consolidation in the realm of Big Ag, and as Special and Frozen. Repeat refers to the packaged a result, packaged foods are increasingly controlled by center-aisle products that have historically been the a small number of global mega-companies. As demand mainstay of the grocery industry because they are for mass-produced packaged foods continues to stall typically bought on an ongoing basis. If the product or decline, these same companies will focus on the comes wrapped, in a box, or in a can, it probably falls into fresh and specialty foods categories. This process this category. Fresh refers to perishable products such has already begun and is expected to continue into as produce, meat, seafood, and prepared foods with the foreseeable future (Figure 5). Further, growth in limited shelf life. These products require specialized demand for fresh and special grocery products coupled transportation and storage. Special products are those with improved capabilities for customized delivery has not typically stocked in mainstream supermarkets. resulted in substantial changes in the strategies of Big These items include ethnic and locally sourced products Ag and big brand companies. from non-national suppliers. Lastly, frozen products can include any of the items listed above, in a frozen state. Historically, within each category, there have been different participants, regulations, supply chain and logistics models, and consumer requirements. Today, these categories and their members are all converging in order to meet the current and projected shopping patterns of the modern consumer. Today, the food value chain for most products is dominated by “Big Ag” companies: large global firms that dominate each phase of the chain (Figure 1). For instance, a wheat farmer (large or small) in Kansas may grow his crop using inputs from DuPont and sell it to Cargill, which then transports the grain to Kellogg, which in turn processes these raw ingredients into snack products that are sold to The Kroger Company, which finally sells it to the consumer. The consumer can buy the product in the store itself, click and collect at the store, or have it delivered to his or her home. It is important to note that each food category and individual item within each category requires its own distinct combination of the five components of the food value chain. Big Ag companies, dominant in three of the five categories, have historically operated predominantly in the supply chain for Repeat goods, The real estate infrastructure of the food value as this was where the most money was to be made. chain is in the process of a massive restructuring to Fresh and Special products, which necessitate accommodate modern supply chain models. The specialized handling, are costlier to grow and produce, impact of this evolution has been felt mostly in the require more complex supply chain management industrial sector, where we believe industrial properties models, and require more government oversight and will continue to move closer to population centers (see regulation, have historically seen less demand from Longpoint Review Spring 2018). Less obvious changes consumers. Consumer demand patterns, however, are are occurring in the grocery brick and mortar sector in rapidly changing. the form of new concept stores, smaller stores, more urban locations, new entrants (e.g., Lidl), increased F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 5
mergers and acquisitions among retailers (e.g., This paper examines the changing preferences of Amazon/Whole Foods) and distributors (e.g., Unified/ today’s consumers and the evolving roles of the key SuperValu), growing home delivery options, click and members in the food value chain, along with the collect strategies, and growth of ethnic grocers. Thus, it resulting impact on real estate markets. will come as no surprise that there are currently exciting investment opportunities in almost every aspect of the food value chain (Figure 2). F I G U R E 2 : T R E N D S I N F O O D LO G I S T I C S Consumer Demand- side Trends Lifestyle Trends Delivery Mechanisms Grocery Trends Urbanization Source Brick & Home Click & Demographic shifts Mortar Delivery Collect Full Disclosure Emerging consumer Instant gratification Local technology Easy returns Organic Low cost Ethnic Large selection Fresh Supply- side Trends Big AG Consolidation Brands & Retailers Go Vertical New Grocery Store Formats Consolidation of input Consolidation of large brands (Kraft-Heinz) Rise of small limited producers assortment chains (Aldi, Large brands acquiring smaller brands Trader Joe’s) Consolidation of AG processors Investments in fresh and specialty products Rise of specialty grocer chains (fresh & ethnic) Increasing competition Amazon-Whole Foods merger Rising store counts Declining margins Costco, Walmart, Kroger vertical integration Smaller store sizes United Natural Foods-Supervalu merger More urban Supply Chain Restructuring F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 6
When Farm to Table Was a Short Trip In 1798, when English clergyman Thomas Malthus famously argued that global population growth would ultimately outstrip the world’s food supply, he could not have predicted the rise of mechanized agriculture, advances in horticultural science, and the globalization of the world’s food supply chain. 3 Agriculture around the world has evolved from a system of family farms and local agrarian economies to a system of mass production and global distribution on a scale unimaginable to Malthus and his contemporaries. The U.S. offers an ideal case study for global changes in the food supply chain. In colonial times, the economy was almost entirely agricultural. At least 90% of working Americans made part or all of their living through farming.4 Most of the food people ate came from their own farms, or from those of their neighbors. The advent of the Industrial Revolution, however, along with population growth and related public policy initiatives, heralded an era of enormous change, and led to the transition to a mechanized and consolidated agricultural sector. Then, in 1862, the Homestead Act allocated 270 million acres of free land to approximately 1.6 million people. Participants were granted ownership of a parcel once they built a home and cultivated the land, a policy initiative that bolstered the fortunes of many impoverished farmers in the East and Midwest. As the agricultural economy progressed, these smaller farms increasingly merged into larger ones.5 At the same time, a range of technological advances led to greater crop yields and the logistical means to deliver them to distant locations. The McCormick reaper, steam and gasoline-powered tractors, hybridized corn, and coast-to-coast refrigerated shipping were all developments that linked the agricultural economies of previously disparate markets.6 In the mid-1900s, advances in mechanical engineering, of “combine” harvesters – used to cut, thresh, and clean horticultural science, and transportation technology grain simultaneously – bolstered crop yields.7 Meanwhile, accelerated the growth of the national agricultural the use of chemical fertilizers and pesticides grew economy. Between 1930 and 1960, the number of dramatically.8 Then, in the 1960s, genetic modifications tractors increased fivefold, while the number of farm and the cultivation of hybrid strains of corn, wheat, and horses and mules declined by 87%. The size and efficacy rice boosted crop yields even further.9 F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 8
These mid-twentieth-century technological and share of the overall US population of farm laborers scientific developments led American farm productivity declined from 41% in 1900 to 1.9% in 2000. 12 and size to double between 1948 and 1998. Grain yield per acre for corn, a mainstay in the U.S. agricultural Thus, the current food industry is almost unrecognizable economy, increased by more than five times in the 80- from its earlier incarnations. Food that used to travel year period between 1936 and 2016 (see Figure TBD),11 directly from the field to the kitchen table may now and the average farm size increased from under 200 cross multiple state and country borders before landing acres to over 400 acres. With larger farms producing on the consumer’s table, leaving people with very little more efficiently, the total number of farms declined knowledge of the origin of their food. from over five million to under three million, and the F I G U R E 3 : T H E C O R N Y I E L D “ H O C K E Y S T I C K ” 10 U.S. Corn Grain Yield Trends Since 1866 Data Source: USDA-NASS (as of Jan 2017) 200 180 2016 160 140 y = 1.8858x - 3635.8515 R 2 = 0.9166 2012 Grain yeild (bu/ac) 120 100 1988 80 60 y = 0.76x - 1452.40 R 2 = 0.72 1956–2016 40 1937–1955 1866–1936 20 2016 0 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 9
the mighty few F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 10
Processed and Packaged by the Mighty Few Much of our traditional center aisle food today comes from “row crops” – that is, crops that are planted in rows to accommodate mechanized agriculture. In the increasingly consolidated food industry, Big Ag dominates every phase of the food value chain for row crop agriculture. Up until 2016, six supplier firms – Dow Chemical, control more than 80% of the global grains market. 20 DuPont, ChemChina, Syngenta, Bayer, and Monsanto As a result of the large market share occupied by – controlled more than 60% of the market for these firms, row crop farmers are subject to pricing agricultural inputs (seeds, pesticides, and herbicides). pressures from the mega-companies from which Each of the six firms has since merged with another they source their farming inputs, as well as from the company.13 Chemical Company and DuPont Pioneer large firms to which they sell their farming outputs. merged in 2017, with a deal size of roughly $62 billion, Consequently, the total number of farms in the United and the combined company now carries out functions States has declined year over year since 2007 and ranging from materials science to agricultural farm net income has remained low, and there is little technologies.14 ChemChina acquired Swiss company sign of this trend abating. 21 Syngenta in July 2017 for $43 billion,15 and Bayer bought Monsanto in June 2018 for $66 billion, further Once the food has been grown and harvested, it consolidating this segment of the market.16 Individual is transferred to a distributor, which is typically a farmers and farming companies now source most of major global consumer package goods (CPG) brand their inputs from one of these providers. For example, (Figure 4). At this level of the value chain, there 90% of U.S. cotton seeds come from one of these are ten global companies that control nearly every three mega-companies.17 major food and beverage brand in the world: Nestlé, PepsiCo, Coca-Cola, Unilever, Danone, General Just as a few companies dominate row crop Mills, Kellogg’s, Mars, Associated British Foods, and agriculture, two types of crops dominate the US farm Mondelez.22 McKinsey & Company notes that since production economy: corn and soybeans. In 2017, the 2011, CPG companies have witnessed declining year- total value of production for corn was $48.5 billion, over-year growth rates, which are now in the low single while the total value of production for soybeans was digits, as well as shareholder returns that have lagged $41 billion. The next largest US crop is hay, at $16.2 the S&P 500. McKinsey attributes this trend to new billion.18 The outsized production share of corn and distribution channels and buying preferences, as well soybeans reflects the geographic farming landscape, as disruptive new brands and retailers. 23 As this arena with corn and soybeans accounting for 172.2 million has become more competitive, firms have focused harvested acres, while staple crops like cotton, on cutting operating costs and creating greater sorghum, and rice accounting for a combined total of efficiency through mergers and acquisitions. A study only 18.8 million acres harvested annually.19 Thus, a by PwC covering 115 CPG deals each valued at over small number of crops are generating massive profits $3 billion found that the average deal size had more for a small number of corporations at the input stage than tripled between 2014 and 2016. 24 A significant of the food value chain. proportion of this increase can be attributed to the trend of larger firms buying smaller brands in the The third stage of the food value chain is also marked natural and ethnic foods category, such as Nestle’s by a high degree of consolidation among companies acquisition of Terrafertil, Atrium Innovations, and engaged in purchasing and processing. The “ABCDs” Tribe Mediterranean Foods. of commodities – ADM, Burge, Cargill, and Dreyfus – F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 11
Beyond industry consolidation and new concept Today’s food products come from an increasingly brand acquisitions, some firms are vertically vast and complex web of inputs, farmers, processors, integrating across multiple levels of the food value distributors, and supply chain logistics. However, at chain. This is particularly true of Kraft Heinz tomato every stage of the value chain, a few industry giants products. The value chain process begins with dominate. Long gone are the days when people grew Heinz propriety seeds, which are supplied by the and ate their own food or bought it from their neighbor. HeinzSeed company. 25 These seeds are incubated Today’s food may have been grown in one state and in warehouses and subsequently planted on farms processed in another, with stops at multiple locations located primarily in California’s Central Valley, before reaching its final destination, making it more which supplies approximately 95% of the nation’s difficult for consumers to understand the source processed tomato stock and one third of the entire of their food. However, in response to increased world’s processed tomatoes. 26 After harvest, the pressure from consumers, the members of the food tomatoes are transferred to a partner food processing value chain have begun making a more concerted company such as Morning Star, the world’s largest effort to provide greater transparency when it comes tomato-processing organization, which has three to food source. facilities in the Central Valley. 27 After processing, the refined tomato-based product is packaged and transferred back to Kraft Heinz, which relies on a network of 88 distribution centers nationwide to route goods to the end buyer, which is typically a grocery store location. 28 F I G U R E 4 : T H E G I A N T S W H O P R O D U C E YO U R F O O D F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 12
F r es h a n d s p ec i a l F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 13
Challenges of fresh and special While consumer demand for Repeat items drove the Because of the immensity of the logistical challenges growth of Big Ag during the 20th century, demand for involved in the delivery of Fresh and Special products, these row crops and center aisle products has been key food industry firms have been consolidating stagnating in recent years. As consumer sentiment has vertically across the supply chain to ensure quality steadily shifted toward fresh, organic, locally sourced and quantity. In the grocery wholesale sector, for food, American farmers have also begun to focus on example, Supervalu bought Unified Grocers for fresh and specialty products. 29 Although Big Ag is $390 million in 2017, giving the national wholesale more economically efficient than smaller companies chain access to 345 independent grocery stores and accounts for the majority of agricultural sector on the West Coast. 31 In the poultry sector, Tyson revenue, brand companies selling Fresh and Special Foods integrated the entire supply chain – breeding products are on the rise. In addition, the growth and stock, egg hatcheries, farms, processing facilities, success of “healthy” grocery chains such as Whole and transportation infrastructure. In grocery retail, Foods and Sprouts is due to locally sourced or The Kroger Company now operates seventeen dairy natural foods branding. In the period spanning 2016 plants, ten deli and bakery plants, two beverage to 2018, Sprouts opened 67 new retail stores, making plants, two cheese plants, one meat plant, and a fleet it one of the fastest growing grocery retailers in the of vehicles that conduct 8,600 daily deliveries. 32 33 country. 30 Further, ethnic grocers such as Presidente, Similarly, Costco is developing a poultry processing Cardenas Markets, El Rancho, and H Mart have facility in Nebraska that will supply the 90 million emerged as ethnic grocery specialists, driving Publix chickens it sells per annum. In 2016, taking its cue and Winn Dixie to convert some existing stores into from competitors such as Kroger and Albertsons, Latin-themed banners, Publix Sabor and Fresco which operate 37 and 19 dairy manufacturing plants Y Mas. Even traditional grocers such as Kroger, respectively, Walmart decided to enter the dairy Walmart, and Publix have been changing the internal business with the establishment of a 250,000 square layouts of their stores to increase local and organic foot dairy plant in Indiana. 34 offerings and provide a more expansive selection of healthful produce. F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 14
As the trend towards consolidation and vertical that maintain a safe cold storage environment for integration continues, new, increasingly complex meat in transit. 37 The dairy supply chain is similarly logistical infrastructure designed to deliver fresh complex. The Cabot Creamery Co-operative in New products is emerging. Fresh products require a England transports milk in special stainless-steel complex network of climate-controlled transportation insulated trucks from over 1,000 family farms to four and storage infrastructure that reduces spoilage and refinement facilities (creameries). After processing, maintains quality. In addition, specialized warehousing finished milk, yogurt, cheese, and butter products facilities for perishables must be located near the each require their own temperature settings for the consumer or grocery retail destination in order to journey to their final destination. 38 minimize transportation time and distance. Each individual supplier must pass food safety checks and Produce requires similarly specialized logistical inspections that are both rigorous and expensive. infrastructure. For example, Stemlit Fruit harvests apples The necessity of third-party intermediaries (there are from company-owned orchards in four districts of over 33,000 different food manufacturing companies Washington state between August and October every in the United States) 35 for handling the sorting and year, and then packages and stores the fruit in controlled distribution of local produce adds an additional layer atmosphere facilities. These highly specialized facilities of complexity to procurement. 36 use nitrogen gas to reduce oxygen levels from 21% to 2%, and maintain a strict climate of 32-36°F with 95% In the meat supply chain, for example, cold storage humidity. While seafood products share some of the procedures begin in the slaughterhouse, where same basic requirements, they pose their own particular carcasses must be cooled to under 7°C (4°C for logistical challenges. Alvaro Carril of Chile-based LAN poultry) to avoid bacterial growth and extend shelf Cargo, which transports seafood and produce from life. A network of climate-controlled aircraft, vessels, South America to the US, notes, “Transporting salmon trucks, and warehouse facilities are aided by is different than moving flowers, and both commodities compressors and ventilation and insulation systems require special and differential treatment.” 39 F I G U R E 5 : B I G F O O D B R A N D S B U Y I N G O R G A N I C / N AT U R A L F O O D B R A N D S Atrium Terrafertil Innovations F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 15
Special products that exist outside the main grocery Although the specific logistics requirements of supply channels also depend on a specialized, often different Fresh and Special goods vary considerably, local, supply chain. For example, the supermarket common to all is an increasingly complex web of chain Sprouts uses a decentralized procurement management systems, transportation resources, system to source a variety of natural and organic and industrial warehousing infrastructure needed products. The Sprouts supply chain of 2,400 products to deliver products to consumers. If, as expected, from over 850 vendors is primarily locally sourced, demand for these products continues to grow, then meaning food comes from within a 500-mile radius the need for logistics systems that can safely and of the retail store. 40 The chain accomplishes this efficiently deliver them to consumers will also increase, feat by using dedicated regional procurement teams creating a considerable supply-demand imbalance in that have the flexibility to buy different products in the industrial and retail real estate sectors, and thus different locations based on availability. 41 considerable investment opportunities for Longpoint Realty Partners. Similarly, ethnic food suppliers are building out their global logistics infrastructure in response to growing demand. The shopping preferences of the two fastest growing demographic segments in the US, Asian-Americans and Hispanics, have spurred the rise of alternative grocery channels. 42 For example, Goya, the largest US-based manufacturer of Hispanic food, offers over 2,500 products from the Caribbean, Mexico, Spain, Central, and South America, and operates 26 distribution facilities throughout the US, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, and Spain. 43 Similarly, products sourced by Diaz Foods, another ethnic wholesale distributor, reach thousands of East Coast customers by travelling through one 40,000 square foot cold storage facility and one 60,000 square foot dry storage facility, both located in Virginia. 44 The company recently expanded its distribution network by leasing a trucking fleet through a partnership with Ryder, and will increase its warehouse footprint in the near future. The partnership enables Diaz Foods to incorporate the most technologically advanced vehicles into its supply chain without making the capital investment of owning them, thereby maximizing efficiency and minimizing costs while providing optimal delivery of their products. 45 F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 16
r e a l estat e i m p l i cat i on s
Summary and Impact on Real Estate Markets The rise of the Fresh and Special segment s The increasing complexity of the food retail necessitates the combination of infill logistics facilities landscape and consequent rise of specialty and and locally-relevant grocery retail concepts that can alternative format grocers has created a niche for effectively and efficiently deliver these products third-party logistical (“3PL”) solutions. Given that to today’s consumers. As urban brick and mortar investments in distribution real estate infrastructure grocery retail stores grow in number and diversify by require major capital outlays with significant fixed concept type and size, logistics industrial facilities will costs, it makes sense to aggregate the warehouse continue to be built nearer to population centers and operations for multiple smaller firms under a few to service more varied food value chain participants. external providers. 48 Larger supermarket chains such as Walmart have also sought to manage expenses In the past, the dominant grocery logistics model by moving to outside logistics companies, which employed by major supermarket chains was to can lower labor costs by 50%. 49 Thus, over the past own and operate their own distribution facilities, an twenty years, many grocery chains have shed their approach intended to ensure product quality and supply chain real estate to 3PLs, which have expanded quantity. 46 Then, in the late 20th century and early their warehousing and logistics infrastructure. 2000s, most major grocery store chains built large For example, the Kroger Company has outsourced distribution centers one or more hours outside of over 6.7 million square feet of warehouse space urban areas to serve stores within a broader region. (one-third of its total capacity) over a ten-year period. Many of these facilities are still directly owned and Other chains such as Ahold, Safeway, Trader Joe’s, managed by supermarket chains. For example, Publix A&P, Pathmark, BI-LO, and Wawa have followed suit. 50 warehouse facilities in Florida today are on average 42 years old with 383,400 square feet of space, 25- Grocery 3PLs are now expanding at a rapid rate foot clearance height, and 54 dock-high doors. 47 to meet growing demand, driving competition FIGURE 6: U. S. GROCERY INDUSTRY GROW TH N u m b e r o f N at u r a l a n d T o ta l U . S . S u p e r m a r k e t S a l e s s p e c i a lt y S u p e r m a r k e t s ($ in billions) 700 7,500 17% increase 35.6% increase from 2011-2017 from 2011-2017 650 7,047 7,000 6,778 $612 6,616 $600 600 $588 6,500 6,386 $574 6,179 550 $549 $539 6,000 $523 5,738 500 5,500 5,197 450 5,000 400 4,500 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Source: Nielsen F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 18
for urban industrial space. Large wholesale and USDA defines “specialty distributors” as providers distribution companies such as C&S Wholesale of “…frozen foods, dairy products, meat and meat Grocers, Supervalu, SpartanNash, and Sysco, which products, or fresh fruits and vegetables…[which] tend to cater to traditional branded CPG products, operate in niche markets…”). 53 These third-party firms have recently made significant investments in their today account for 45% of total grocery wholesale metropolitan warehouse infrastructure. C&S, the tenth revenues. 54 That said, many key retailers have largest private company, now has over twenty facilities chosen to invest in their own infrastructure in order to in the Northeast alone, with most of them situated on handle the logistics of fresh and unique products. For the outskirts of major cities such as Baltimore, New example, Amazon has invested in three million square York, Philadelphia, and Hartford. 51 Sysco has over 120 feet of warehouse space to power its AmazonFresh U.S. warehouses, with multiple dedicated facilities and Amazon Prime Pantry grocery delivery programs, of varying sizes and locations for each major metro which is still only one-tenth of the warehouse space area. For example, its South Florida footprint consists that Wal-Mart uses for specialty food distribution. 55 of smaller handling facilities located near the airport, a 657,000 square foot facility 15 miles Northwest of Today’s brick and mortar grocery landscape reflects Miami, and additional fresh-focused facilities in Fort these investments in logistics infrastructure. Supply Lauderdale and West Palm Beach. 52 chain optimization and expanded infill warehousing facilities have enabled a proliferation of small- Growing demand for Fresh and Special grocery format supermarkets. Chains such as Aldi, Lidl, and items and the related logistical complexities has Trader Joe’s – with average store sizes between also bolstered the role of “specialty distributors” (the 8,000 and 15,000 square feet – have flourished in F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 19
urban environments where retail space is limited. by 32% and total store sales have increased by 17%, Aldi led the nation in the number of two-year net driven by the growth of new store concepts, sizes, store openings between 2016 and 2018, with 171 and urban locations. This trend was made possible new locations. 56 Larger retail chains such as Walmart by the development of an urban food logistics have also pioneered smaller brick and mortar brands, network nationwide. such as Walmart Neighborhood Market, which are less than half the size of a standard Walmart Supercenter. Regardless of whether food is procured through brick These changes in grocery store formats have and mortar stores, curbside pickup, or home delivery, caused the median store size in the U.S. to decline real estate operators must work to understand the by 12.2% since 2006. 57 As these smaller stores have evolving supply-chain landscape and adapt according penetrated urban areas, over the past six years, the to the physical requirements of the food industry in total number of U.S. grocery stores has increased the 21st century. DWIGHT ANGELINI T O M S T I PA N O V m a n a g i n g pa r t n e r a s s o c i at e 617 861 9761 617 861 97 72 a n g e l i n i @ l o n g p o i n t. c o m s t i pa n o v @ l o n g p o i n t. c o m F O O D VA L U E C H A I N . F R O M s e e d s t o y o u 20
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