FIXED INCOME INVESTORS PRESENTATION - Here to help you prosper Q1 2019 - Banco Santander SA
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Q1 2019 FIXED INCOME INVESTORS PRESENTATION Here to help you prosper
Important information Non-IFRS and alternative performance measures In addition to the financial information prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”), this presentation contains certain financial measures that constitute alternative performance measures (“APMs”) as defined in the Guidelines on Alternative Performance Measures issued by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) on 5 October 2015 (ESMA/2015/1415en) and other non-IFRS measures (“Non-IFRS Measures”). The financial measures contained in this presentation that qualify as APMs and non-IFRS measures have been calculated using the financial information from Santander Group but are not defined or detailed in the applicable financial reporting framework and have neither been audited nor reviewed by our auditors. We use these APMs and non-IFRS measures when planning, monitoring and evaluating our performance. We consider these APMs and non-IFRS measures to be useful metrics for management and investors to facilitate operating performance comparisons from period to period. While we believe that these APMs and non-IFRS measures are useful in evaluating our business, this information should be considered as supplemental in nature and is not meant as a substitute of IFRS measures. In addition, other companies, including companies in our industry, may calculate or use such measures differently, which reduces their usefulness as comparative measures. For further details of the APMs and Non-IFRS Measures used, including its definition or a reconciliation between any applicable management indicators and the financial data presented in the consolidated financial statements prepared under IFRS, please see 2019 1Q Financial Report, published as Relevant Fact on 30 April 2019 and 2018 Annual Financial Report, published as Relevant Fact on 28 February 2019. These documents are available on Santander’s website (www.santander.com). The businesses included in each of our geographic segments and the accounting principles under which their results are presented here may differ from the included businesses and local applicable accounting principles of our public subsidiaries in such geographies. Accordingly, the results of operations and trends shown for our geographic segments may differ materially from those of such subsidiaries Forward-looking statements Santander cautions that this presentation contains statements that constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as “expect”, “project”, “anticipate”, “should”, “intend”, “probability”, “risk”, “VaR”, “RoRAC”, “RoRWA”, “TNAV”, “target”, “goal”, “objective”, “estimate”, “future” and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements are found in various places throughout this presentation and include, without limitation, statements concerning our future business development and economic performance and our shareholder remuneration policy. While these forward-looking statements represent our judgment and future expectations concerning the development of our business, a number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors could cause actual developments and results to differ materially from our expectations. The following important factors, in addition to those discussed elsewhere in this presentation, could affect our future results and could cause outcomes to differ materially from those anticipated in any forward-looking statement: (1) general economic or industry conditions in areas in which we have significant business activities or investments, including a worsening of the economic environment, increasing in the volatility of the capital markets, inflation or deflation, and changes in demographics, consumer spending, investment or saving habits; (2) exposure to various types of market risks, principally including interest rate risk, foreign exchange rate risk, equity price risk and risks associated with the replacement of benchmark indices; (3) potential losses associated with prepayment of our loan and investment portfolio, declines in the value of collateral securing our loan portfolio, and counterparty risk; (4) political stability in Spain, the UK, other European countries, Latin America and the US (5) changes in laws, regulations or taxes, including changes in regulatory capital and liquidity requirements, including as a result of the UK exiting the European Union and increased regulation in light of the global financial crisis; (6) our ability to integrate successfully our acquisitions and the challenges inherent in diverting management’s focus and resources from other strategic opportunities and from operational matters while we integrate these acquisitions; and (7) changes in our ability to access liquidity and funding on acceptable terms, including as a result of changes in our credit spreads or a downgrade in our credit ratings or those of our more significant subsidiaries. Numerous factors could affect the future results of Santander and could result in those results deviating materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements. Other unknown or unpredictable factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. 2
Important information Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation and are based on the knowledge, information available and views taken on such date; such knowledge, information and views may change at any time. Santander does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. No offer The information contained in this presentation is subject to, and must be read in conjunction with, all other publicly available information, including, where relevant any fuller disclosure document published by Santander. Any person at any time acquiring securities must do so only on the basis of such person’s own judgment as to the merits or the suitability of the securities for its purpose and only on such information as is contained in such public information having taken all such professional or other advice as it considers necessary or appropriate in the circumstances and not in reliance on the information contained in this presentation. No investment activity should be undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this presentation. In making this presentation available Santander gives no advice and makes no recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in shares in Santander or in any other securities or investments whatsoever. Neither this presentation nor any of the information contained therein constitutes an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. No offering of securities shall be made in the United States except pursuant to registration under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or an exemption therefrom. Nothing contained in this presentation is intended to constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity for the purposes of the prohibition on financial promotion in the U.K. Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. Historical performance is not indicative of future results Statements as to historical performance or financial accretion are not intended to mean that future performance, share price or future earnings (including earnings per share) for any period will necessarily match or exceed those of any prior period. Nothing in this presentation should be construed as a profit forecast. 3
CONTENT 1. Markets and Macroeconomic Environment 2. Santander Business Model & Strategy 3. Capital 4. Asset Quality 5. Liquidity and Funding 6. Concluding Remarks 7. Appendix 4
Markets and Macroeconomic Environment 01
Markets and Macroeconomic Environment Trade tensions, financial tightening and normalisation of monetary policies in advanced economies are driving weakened growth prospects in the near term Global economic growth slowed in 2018, leaving behind the IMF 2019 GDP Outlook1 peak of this expansion, though a relatively dynamic World Output 3.3% environment is expected to be maintained Euro Area 1.3% Forecast for global economic growth in 2019: 3.3% (3.6% in UK 1.2% 2018), though estimations continue to be revised down United States 2.3% Mature economies are estimated to grow 1.8%, down from LatAm and the Caribbean 1.4% 2.2% in 2018 as cyclical forces begin to wane Mexico 1.6% Developing economies will grow by around 4.4%, slightly Brazil 2.1% below the 4.5% growth in 2018 Santander is well-positioned for growth due to its balanced geographic diversification MATURE MARKETS DEVELOPING MARKETS Cyclical macro acceleration Structural growth remains strong (52% underlying attributable profit2) (48% underlying attributable profit2) 1. World Economic Outlook, April 2019 Update 2. Q1 2019 underlying attributable profit excluding Real Estate Activity Spain and Corporate Centre 6
Markets and Macroeconomic Environment The expansionary cycle in Spain is expected to continue, backed by employment creation, higher consumption and real estate & investment recovery Annual GDP Growth Contribution to GDP Growth Real, % % YoY 6 3.2 3.0 4 2.6 2.1 2.0 2 1.7 0 -2 -4 2016 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019(e) 2020(e) 2021(e) Net external demand Domestic demand Unemployment rate in Spain Housing sales and permits % k 19.6 600 110 New building permits 17.2 550 100 14.4 Sales 14.1 500 90 13.0 12.1 80 450 70 400 60 350 50 300 40 250 30 2016 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 1. Source: Santander Research Department, Bank of Spain 7
Markets and Macroeconomic Environment Loan stabilisation in Spain is accompanied by the closing of the funding gap and improved credit quality Funding Gap Non-performing loans EUR bn, Spanish system, latest available data Feb-19 EUR bn and %, Spanish system, latest available data Feb-19 250 16% 2,000 1,200 14% 1,750 1,000 200 12% 1,500 800 10% 150 8% 1,250 600 100 6% 1,000 400 4% 50 750 200 2% 0 0% 500 0 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17 Jun-18 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Feb-19 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-08 Dec-13 Dec-17 Dec-18 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-17 Jun-18 Jun-11 Jun-16 Feb-19 Total loans inc. reverse repos (LHS) Non-performing loans (LHS) Total deposits inc. repos (LHS) NPL ratio (RHS) Funding Gap (RHS) 1. Source: Bank of Spain and Santander calculations 8
Markets and Macroeconomic Environment UK economy relatively stable, however uncertainty remains Annual GDP Growth Bank of England base rate Real % Year end, % 1.8 1.6 1.8 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 1.4 1.2 0.50 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) Annual CPI inflation rate1 Average exchange rate Annual average, % EUR/GBP 0.90 2.7 2.5 0.88 2.1 1.9 1.8 0.87 0.87 0.87 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) 2017 and 2018 source: Office for National Statistics and Bank of England. 2019 (e), 2020 (e) and 2021 (e) source: Santander UK forecasts at March 2019 9 1. Consumer Price Index
Markets and Macroeconomic Environment Steady loan growth and slight acceleration in deposit growth expected to continue Total loans GBP bn1 2,031 Mortgage lending growth at c.3% in 2019, with weaker buyer 2,017 2,042 2,000 1,946 demand and subdued house prices seen to date likely to 4.0 continue 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.8 YoY (%) Consumer credit growth has slowed from double-digit rates to c.7%, and is expected to be c.5% in 2019 Corporate borrowing market is expected to grow by c.2-3%, Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 (e) as uncertainty continues to dampen investment intentions Total deposits GBP bn2 1,946 1,955 Retail deposit growth is expected to be c.4% in 2019 1,909 1,921 1,877 Household saving ratio has risen since the start of 2018, from 4.1% in Q1’18 to 4.8% in Q4’18, but remains low by YoY historical standards (%) 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.9 Corporate deposit growth expected to remain at c.5% Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 (e) Source:Bank of England Bankstats (Monetary and Financial Statistics) published at end-Mar 2019, internal estimates for latest month. Annual growth rates are calculated using Bank of England methodology. As a result, stated growth rates may differ from percentage change in assets 1. Total loans includes household (mortgages and consumer credit) plus corporate loans 10 2. Total deposits include household deposits (with banks and NS&I) and corporate deposits, excluding cash holdings
Markets and Macroeconomic Environment Expectations indicate a gradual recovery in economic activity Annual GDP Growth Interest rate – Selic Real, % Year end, % 7.50 8.00 7.00 6.50 6.50 2.5 2.5 1.7 1.0 1.1 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) Annual inflation rate End of period exchange rate IPCA, % BRL/USD 3.87 3.75 3.80 3.82 3.8 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.0 3.30 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) Sources: Brazilian Central Bank, IBGE and “Pesquisa Focus” estimates (April 18, 2019) 11
Markets and Macroeconomic Environment Privately owned banks continue to support loan growth, while customer funds maintained a positive trend Total loans Constant EUR bn1 765 761 Loans increased slightly following resumption of the Brazilian 724 735 744 economy with different dynamics in the segments 5.4 5.5 Loans to Individuals grew 9.0%, while Corporate & SME Loans YoY 3.9 (%) 1.7 rose 1.4% (YoY) 0.1 Privately owned banks grew 13.0% YoY, while state-owned banks dropped 0.7% YoY Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Feb-19 Total customer funds Constant EUR bn1,2 1,721 1,723 1,680 1,629 1,638 Total customer funds increased 7.3%, mostly influenced by YoY Time Deposits (+16.9%), Savings Deposits (+8.7%) and (%) 7.4 6.8 6.7 8.0 7.3 Funds (+9.9%) Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Feb-19 Source: Central Bank of Brazil (1) End period exchange rate as of Feb19 12 (2) Total Deposits+ mutual funds + other funding (debentures, real estate credit notes - LCI, agribusiness credit notes - LCA, treasury notes (letras financeiras) and Certificate of Structured Transactions - COEs)
Markets and Macroeconomic Environment US growth projected to slow as interest rates level off GDP Growth Interest Rate %, real %, period average1 3.17 3.14 2.93 2.9 2.31 2.2 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.26 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) CPI Inflation Rate USD/EUR Exchange Rate %, period average Period end 1.20 1.14 1.15 1.14 1.10 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 1.9 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) Source: FRB, Knoema.com (U.S. IMF Forecasts), LongForecast.com, and estimates by Santander Research La Semana 26/04/2019 13 1. 3-month LIBOR rate from ICE Benchmarking Administration
Markets and Macroeconomic Environment Industry Loan growth driven by Commercial balances Total Loans Total Deposits USD bn 1 USD bn 1 10,155 13,866 9,859 9,942 13,529 13,469 13,574 9,723 9,755 13,399 YoY 4.4% YoY 3.9% 3.4% 2.7% 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 4.2% 4.0% 2.8% (%) (%) Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Quarter over Quarter Mar-19 2 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Growth % (est.) Total Loans (3.6%) 4.8% 0.4% 11.2% (3.6%) C&I 4.0% 7.6% (0.4%) 24.0% 1.6% Home Equity loans continue to decline, driving Real Estate (2.4%) 1.2% (0.4%) (2.0%) 1.2% the reduction in Q1’19 loan growth Resi Mortgages 0.0% 0.8% 2.8% (2.0%) 0.8% CRE (0.4%) 6.8% (2.8%) 0.0% 3.6% Deposit growth slowing after gains in 2018 Home Equity (16.0%) (13.6%) (10.8%) (9.2%) (5.6%) Deposits 0.0% (2.8%) 4.0% 15.6% (3.6%) Loan to Deposit Ratio 70.5% 71.8% 71.2% 70.5% 70.5% Source: FDIC Statistics on Depository Institutions; data available one quarter in arrears. 1. Gross Loans 14 2. Annualised large banks ending QoQ growth rate based on Federal Reserve data
Markets and Macroeconomic Environment Expected deceleration of economy along with lower inflation and 8.00% benchmark rate Annual GDP Growth Central Bank rate Real, % Year end, % 8.25 8.00 7.25 7.50 7.00 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.0 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) Annual Inflation Rate Average Exchange Rate % MXN/USD 20.5 20.8 6.8 18.9 19.2 19.7 4.8 3.9 3.5 3.5 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (e) 2021 (e) Source: Deputy General Direction of Analysis, Strategy & Public Affairs 15
Santander Business Model & Strategy 02
Santander Business Model & Strategy Our business model has unique competitive advantages 1 1 Our scale provides potential for organic growth 2 Unique personal banking relationships strengthen customer loyalty Our geographic and business diversification and our model of 3 subsidiaries makes us more resilient under adverse circumstances 17
Santander Business Model & Strategy We have in-market scale in our core markets, with customers distributed across 1 geographies with high growth potential Market shares Customers distributed across geographies Mar-19 10% Loans 1 Billion 9% Deposits Total Population 12% 18% Loans 3% Loans 16% 12% Deposits 144 mn Loans 3% Deposits Top 3 Total Customers 13% 17% Loans Deposits Loans US; 4% Others; 1% 14% 18% Argentina; 3% Deposits Deposits Spain; 12% Chile; 2% 9% Loans Mexico; 12% 11% SCF; 13% 19% Deposits Loans Poland; 3% 18% 10% Portugal; 2% Deposits Loans 12% Brazil; 30% Deposits UK; 18% Source: Own calculation based on public information of the market (Central banks, regulators, etc.) Data: Mar-19 or latest available. UK: loans include household (mortgages and consumer credit) plus corporate loans. Deposits include household deposits (with banks and NS&I) and 18 corporate deposits, excluding cash holdings; Poland: including Santander Consumer Finance business in Poland; US: in all states where Santander operates; Brazil: deposits includes demand, savings and time deposits, LCA (agricultural credit notes) and LCI (real estate credit notes); Spain: other Resident Sectors in Spain
Santander Business Model & Strategy Focus on increasing customer loyalty via unique personal banking relationships, 2 together with increased digitalisation… Active Loyal Digital 68.5 mn (+8%) 20.2 mn (+10%) 33.9 mn (+24%) Active customers Loyal customers Digital customers +2.2 mn active customers 30% +1.8 mn QoQ loyal / active customers digital customers QoQ ~77% of PBT1 among Top 3 in customer satisfaction Note: Year-on-year changes 19 Source: Customer satisfaction study (clients and non-clients) audited by Stiga/Deloitte 1. % of operating areas (excluding Corporate Centre and Real Estate Activity Spain)
Santander Business Model & Strategy … improves operational excellence by helping to deliver sustained top line 2 growth and increase cost savings Increased customer revenue… …with better cost-to-income than peers2 Constant EUR mn, % change YoY Cost-to-income, Peers Dec-18, Santander Mar-19 48% EU 49% 18 pp Net interest income better than EU 53% 9,019 1 peer avg. 8,307 8,682 EU 54% +5% EU 55% US 57% US 58% Net fee income US 59% UK 63% 2,855 2,898 2,931 +3% UK 64% US 65% UK 67% EU 71% Q1'18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1'19 EU 72% UK 72% UK 77% EU 79% EU 93% 1. QoQ decrease as Q4’18 was favoured by Troubled Debt Restructuring reclassification in the US and Q1’19 was impacted by IFRS 16 20 2. Peers included are: Bank of America, Barclays, BBVA, BNP Paribas, Citibank, Deutsche, HSBC, ING, Intesa Sanpaolo, JP Morgan, Lloyds, RBS, Société Générale, Standard Chartered, UBS, Unicredit and Wells Fargo
Santander Business Model & Strategy Our geographic and business diversification, coupled with our subsidiaries 3 model… Loan portfolio by country Loan portfolio by business Breakdown of total gross loans excluding reverse repos, % of operating areas Mar-19 Breakdown of total gross loans excluding reverse repos, Mar-19 Argentina; Other individuals; Chile; 5% 1% Other LatAm; 1% 12% Mexico; 4% Spain; 23% Brazil; 8% CIB; 12% Home mortgages; 35% US; 10% SCF; 11% Corporates; 14% Portugal; 4% Poland; 3% UK; 28% Other Eur; 2% SMEs; 11% Consumer; 16% Total gross loans excluding reverse repos: EUR 896 bn 88% of loan portfolio is Retail, 12% Wholesale RWAs as of Mar-19: EUR 606 bn 21
Santander Business Model & Strategy … with strong balance sheet growth… 3 Loans and advances to customers Customer funds EUR bn and YoY change in constant EUR EUR bn and YoY change in constant EUR 247 +1% 325 +4% 210 -3% 213 +1% 98 +7% 114 +11% 88 +11% 68 +6% 76 +10% 42 +5% 41 +8% 40 +8% 36 -3% 37 0% 33 +10% 35 +28% 29 +29% 34 +4% 6 +50% 10 +55% 300 896 +4% 350 935 +5% Note: Loans excluding reverse repos. Customer funds: deposits excluding repos + marketed mutual funds 22
Santander Business Model & Strategy … and underlying attributable profit distributed across regions… 3 Underlying attributable profit distribution1 Q1’19 Underlying attributable profit in core markets % underlying profit, Q1’19 EUR mn and % change vs. Q1’18 in constant euros Americas Europe 724 +15% 52% 48% 403 -11% Other 325 +1% Latam; 2% Chile; 6% UK; 11% 271 -16% 206 +12% Spain; Brazil; 16% 182 +35% 29% 149 +1% 135 +7% SCF; 13% 62 +1% Mexico; 8% Portugal; 5% 11 -68% US; 7% Poland; 3% 1. Excluding Corporate Centre and Real Estate Activity Spain 23
Santander Business Model & Strategy … allow us to generate high and recurring pre-provision profit, leading to resilient 3 growth through the economic cycle… Resilient profit generation throughout the cycle PPP/Loans well above most European peers1 Group attributable profit, EUR bn %, 2018, Santander calculations EU 3.2 2.9 EU 2.1 EU 2.1 9.1 8.9 8.9 EU 2.0 8.2 7.6 7.8 UK 1.9 6.6 6.0 6.2 EU 1.6 5.8 5.3 EU 1.6 4.2 UK 1.6 2.3 UK 1.6 EU 1.4 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 UK 1.2 UK 1.2 EU 0.5 1. European peers include: Barclays, BBVA, BNP, Deutsche, HSBC, ING, Intesa Sanpaolo, Lloyds, RBS, Société Générale, Standard Chartered, UBS and Unicredit 24
Santander Business Model & Strategy … and to generate stable and predictable growth 3 Predictable results with the lowest volatility among peers coupled with growth in earnings Quarterly reported EPS volatility1, 1999-2018 699% 346% 124% 109% 88% 77% 58% 44% 42% 34% 9% US IT CH CH FR FR US US NL US 2x 2x 0x 0x 6x 4x 6x 4x 1x 10x 5x Net income increase 1999-2018 1. Source: Bloomberg, with GAAP Criteria. Note: Standard deviation of the quarterly EPS starting from the first available data since Jan-99 25
Santander Business Model & Strategy The Group’s medium-term strategy is based on three main pillars Improving operating performance Our three-pillar plan for Accelerating digitalisation: building an open financial increasing services platform profitability Continuing to improve capital allocation 26
Santander Business Model & Strategy Improving operational performance: Further leveraging our diversification and scale US Europe Accelerating Building the leading growth with European bank in sustainable customer experience profitability and profitability, leveraging our scale & digital LatAm A region with structural growth and high and increasing profitability 27
Santander Business Model & Strategy Improving operational performance: Key regional expected levers Latin America USA Europe High structural growth: Loans Attractive US market: better Low credit demand & rates: to GDP at 49% risk return dynamics limited revenue growth… Focus on customer experience & Benefitting from Group …and CoR at lows… digitalisation scale …requires a cross-border High & sustainable revenue approach in a fragmented growth (double digit expected Volume growth expected to market CAGR4) be above the market to drive higher revenues Further operational Organically deploying more integration and cost capital (>30% of RWAs in the Strong operational leverage efficiencies (c.€1Bn) medium-term) Focus on customer Stable credit quality Stable credit quality experience & digitisation 28
Santander Business Model & Strategy Improving operational performance: adding value through our global businesses and shared capabilities Existing Corporate and Investment Banking global businesses Wealth Management Consumer Finance Global Merchant Services Payment related Global Trade Services businesses One Pay FX Shared services Digital | IT&Ops | Procurement 29
Santander Business Model & Strategy Accelerating digitalisation: building an open financial services platform via a twin-track approach to transformation to improve customer experience and lower cost of delivery 1 1st Blockchain-based retail payments solution Global Trade Services1 Accelerate Transform through high growth One global platform offering fast and our Core banks efficient Trade Finance, Supply chain ventures and FX Payments products to SMEs “Supertankers” “Speedboats” One of Europe’s largest full service Fast experimentation to serve Be the best for our digital banks our banks with new solutions while customers and deliver competing in the profitable growth open market to attract Global Merchant new customers Services1 Global acquiring platform that Financial solutions targeting the over leverages Getnet’s world-class 30 million underbanked in Latin capabilities America Investment in IT and digital transformation in the coming years 1. Global Trade Services, Global Merchant Services and One Pay FX are all incorporated in the new Santander Global Payments Services unit 30
Santander Business Model & Strategy Continuing to improve capital allocation: executing the following levers to drive further improvement in profitability, aligned with our strategic plan Improved capital Capital Further alignment allocation: efficiency: Digitalisation: of senior more capital to our minimum profitability driving higher revenue management most profitable thresholds and faster growth & operational remuneration with geographies asset rotation efficiency capital goals Higher profitability leads to higher capital generation capacity and potential to increase growth & shareholder remuneration 31
Capital 03
Capital Santander’s capital levels, both phased-in and fully loaded exceeds minimum regulatory requirements SREP capital requirements (phased-in) and MDA Assumed capital requirements (fully loaded) Mar-19 Mar-19 14.84% 14.82% >15% 13.20% 1.81% 13.20% 2.00% T2 +162 bps 1.93% T2 +164 bps T2 2.00% 1.80% AT1 T2 2.00% 1.66% 1.50% AT1 AT1 1.50% AT1 1.50% +153 bps +153 bps G-SIB buffer 1.00% G-SIB buffer 1.00% CCyB; CCyB; 1 CCoB 2.50% 0.20% CCoB 2.50% 0.20% 11.23% CET1 11.23% 11-12% CET1 Pillar 2 R 1.50% Pillar 2 R 1.50% Pillar 1 4.50% Pillar 1 4.50% Regulatory Requirement Group ratios Mar-19 Assumed regulatory Group ratios Mar-19 Medium-term 2019 requirement Mar-19 target ratios The minimum CET1 to be maintained by the Group as for 2019 AT1 and T2 issuance to target 1.5% and 2% of RWAs following the results of the Supervisory Review and Evaluation respectively is close to zero assuming constant RWAs Process (SREP) is 9.70% Santander currently complies with the minimum required As of Mar-19, the distance to the MDA for 2019 is 153 bps eligible liabilities (MREL)2 following the MREL eligible issuances over the last two years Note: Data calculated using the IFRS 9 transitional arrangements. As indicated by the consolidating supervisor, a pay-out of 50%, the maximum within the target range (40%-50%), was applied for the calculation of the capital ratios in March 2019. Previously, the average cash pay-out for the last three years was considered 33 1. Estimated Countercyclical buffer 2. Parent bank, preliminary data
Capital We consistently generate capital organically CET1 ratio % 11.30 +0.02 11.23 11.00 11.01 +0.18 +0.02 -0.29 Mar-18 Dec-18 Regulatory Organic Perimeter2 Others Mar-19 impacts1 generation 1T'18 1T'19 Diff. CET1 ratio 11.00% 11.23% 23 bps FL Total capital ratio 14.43% 14.82% 39 bps Santander has a high RoTE with strong capital quality: FL Leverage ratio 5.09% 5.07% -2 bps • Higher density (40% vs 31% European peers3) RoRWA 1.59% 1.54% -5 bps • Equal FL leverage ratio (5.1% vs 5.0% European RoTE 12.42% 11.15% -127 bps peers3) Density 41.72% 40.25% -147 bps 1. IFRS 16: -19 bps; IFRS 9 phased-in: -3 bps; models in Spain (-2 bps) and TRIM (-5 bps) 2. Mainly Prisma (+2 bps) 3. Dec-18 data Note: Data calculated using the IFRS 9 transitional arrangements. . If the transitional arrangements hadn’t been applied, the CET1 ratio would have been 23 bps less 34 As indicated by the consolidating supervisor, a pay-out of 50%, the maximum within the target range (40%-50%), was applied for the calculation of the capital ratios in March 2019. Previously, the average cash pay-out for the last three years was considered
Capital 2018 EBA stress test - Fully loaded CET1: adverse scenario Fully loaded CET1: adverse scenario (%) FL CET1: 2017 vs 2020 adverse scenario (bps) -141 -141 bps System: -395 bps -193 Peer average: -403 bps -219 -265 -288 -334 10.61 9.20 -341 -363 -381 2017 2020 -437 -533 -576 Santander is the bank with lowest fully -625 loaded CET1 capital destroyed in the -657 adverse scenario compared to its peers -694 35
Capital 2018 EBA stress test - Fully loaded CET1: baseline scenario Fully loaded CET1: baseline scenario (%) FL CET1 2017 vs 2020 baseline scenario (bps) 326 +326 bps 233 199 196 175 13.87 113 10.61 108 102 102 2017 2020 82 62 System: 126 bps 59 Peer average: 114 bps Santander is the bank with the strongest 43 capital generation in the baseline -45 scenario compared to its peers -52 36
Capital Strong fundamentals for AT1 bond holders Distance to trigger1 Santander Group’s CET1 levels are well above the minimum loss absorption trigger of 5.125%: >EUR 37 bn The first line of defense is the Group’s strong pre-provision profitability providing a high capacity to absorb provisions during the crisis and should continue to underpin the Group’s earnings generation capacity MDA As of Mar-19, the distance to the MDA for 2019 is 1.53%2 Targeting a comfortable management buffer to MDA of >100 bps at all times, in line with Santander’s business model and predictable results ADIs Santander Parent Bank has EUR 56.2 bn in Available Distributable Items, “Best in Class” This amount of ADI represent more 110x times the 2019 full AT1 cost of the Parent Santander has never been prohibited from making a Tier 1 payment or dividend due to insufficient ADIs. Santander has never cancelled the payment of coupons of any of its Tier 1 securities 1. CET1 level below which AT1 capital instruments must either convert into ordinary shares or have their principal about written down 2. MDA trigger = min (A;B;C) = 1.53%; (A) Group CET1 (11.23%) + AT1 (1.80%) + T2 (1.81%) vs. Regulatory Total Capital (13.20%) = 1.64%; (B) Group CET1 (11.23%) + AT1 (1.80%) vs. Regulatory T1 Capital (11.20%) = 1.83%; (C) Group CET1 (11.23%) vs. Regulatory CET1 Capital (9.20%) = 1.53% 37 Note: Data calculated using the IFRS 9 transitional arrangements. As indicated by the consolidating supervisor, a pay-out of 50%, the maximum within the target range (40%- 50%), was applied for the calculation of the capital ratios in March 2019. Previously, the average cash pay-out for the last three years was considered
Capital AT1 issuances distributed by call date AT1 issuances outstanding at Mar-19 Reset EUR mn Currency Nominal Coupon Structure Call date Spread Santander S.A. EUR 1,500 5.48% PNC5 12-Jun-19 541 bps Santander S.A. USD 1,335 6.38% PNC5 19-May-19 1 478.8 bps Santander S.A. EUR 1,500 6.25% PBC7 11-Sep-21 564 bps Santander S.A. EUR 750 6.75% PNC5 25-Apr-22 680.3 bps Santander S.A. EUR 1,000 5.25% PNC6 29-Sep-23 499.9 bps Santander S.A. EUR 1,500 4.75% PNC7 19-Mar-25 409.7 bps Santander S.A. USD 1,048 7.50% PNC5 8-Feb-24 498.9 bps 2,835 Call date 1,500 1,500 1,000 1,048 750 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1. On 16 April 2019, Santander announced the full amortisation of the note on its call date 38
Capital FX hedging policy on capital ratio and P&L… Stable capital ratio hedge Our P&L Policy Hedged Exposure Group Strategic management of the exposure to exchange CET1 11.23%1 rates on equity and dynamic on the countervalue of the units’ results in euros for the next 12 months Mitigate impact of FX volatility Corporate Centre assumes all hedging costs Manages FX volatility in our CET1 ratio Based on Group regulatory capital and RWAs 1. Data calculated using the IFRS 9 transitional arrangements. As indicated by the consolidating supervisor, a pay-out of 50%, the maximum within the target range (40%- 39 50%), was applied for the calculation of the capital ratios in March 2019. Previously, the average cash pay-out for the last three years was considered.
Capital … and interest rate risk hedging Mostly positive interest rate sensitivity ALCO portfolios reflect our geographic diversification Net interest income sensitivity to a +100 bp parallel shift Distribution of ALCO portfolios by country EUR mn, Feb-19 %, Mar-19 Chile Mexico 4% 5% +1,0301 Spain 26% Brazil +21 22% +298 EUR 91 bn o/w HTC&S EUR 71 bn Portugal 4% +1272 USA 12% UK -52 18% Poland 9% 1. Parent bank 40 2. SBNA
Asset Quality 04
Asset Quality Continued credit quality improvement on a YoY and QoQ basis… % -7 bps 1.04 1.00 0.97 YoY cost of credit ratio improved, Cost of credit maintaining low levels in Q1’19 -40 bps 4.02 3.73 3.62 NPL ratio NPL ratio fell YoY in most units -2 pp 70 67 68 High level of allowances to total loans: Coverage strong first line of defense ratio Mar-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 42
Asset Quality …to levels well below previous years, supported by generalised improvements across geographies Credit quality ratios NPL ratios by country % % Q1 2018 Q1 2019 Spain 6.27 6.19 4.08% SCF 2.48 2.33 4.02% Poland 4.77 4.39 3.93% 3.92% 3.87% Portugal 8.29 5.77 NPL ratio 3.73% United Kingdom 1.17 1.14 3.62% Brazil 5.26 5.26 Mexico 2.68 2.12 Chile 5.00 4.67 1 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Argentina 2.54 3.50 USA 2.86 2.41 Cost of credit ratios by country 1.18% % Q1 2018 Q1 2019 1.07% Spain 0.29 0.34 1.04% 0.99% 0.98% 1.00% 0.97% SCF 0.36 0.38 Cost of credit Poland 0.69 0.61 Portugal 0.08 0.03 United Kingdom 0.10 0.07 Brazil 4.35 3.88 1 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Mexico 2.95 2.62 Chile 1.22 1.13 Argentina 2.06 4.02 1. Acquisition of Banco Popular in 2017 USA 3.29 3.11 43
Liquidity and Funding 05
Liquidity and Funding The Group’s business model combines local knowledge with global best practices through legally, financially and operationally autonomous subsidiaries… Legal autonomy structure Dec-18 Santander Group 100% 99% 67% 100% 100 89% 75% 67% 99% % Santander Consumer Finance Santander Holdings USA Banco Santander UK Group Santander Holdings Brasil Santander Grupo Bank Financiero Banco Polska Mexico Banco Santander Santander Totta. Chile Banco Santander Río Legal autonomy: There are no legal commitments that imply financial support Financial autonomy: Financial interconnections are limited and at market prices Operational autonomy: Shared services are limited and carried out through autonomous factories. Access to FMIs through other Group entities is very limited 45
Liquidity and Funding … divided into different resolution groups that can be resolved separately though multiple entry points MPE resolution strategy Dec-18, EUR bn Banking Union European Union 3rd Countries Spain Poland Brazil Mexico Resolution Group PE PE PE PE PE Point of Entry Portugal UK Chile Argentina PE PE PE PE USA PE Size of Resolution Groups (Total assets by geography) 163 118 709 Brazil USA 324 52 48 61 49 12 Spain (Parent) Portugal United Kingdom Poland Mexico Chile Argentina We have defined the Resolution Groups (RGs) mirroring the model of autonomous financial groups so that all entities have been assigned to one RG Each RG comprises the entity identified as the entry point in resolution and the entities that belong to it 46
Liquidity and Funding Santander’s MPE approach follows its autonomous capital and liquidity model, though there are still issues under discussion with regards to TLAC application Issues still under discussion USA Final TLAC transposition to EU and UK 18.14 relevant jurisdictions 16.65 20.21 16.46 15.36 TLAC level and perimeter of resolution 13.31 Portugal groups 18.14 Brazil 17.92 Internal TLAC requirement Poland 15.43 14.90 16.47 Mexico 14.33 14.63 Deductions and mitigants final treatment 16.90 13.23 13.50 Santander 14.63 S.A. 12.19 22.57 Argentina SCF Chile 20.43 14.76 Total 13.07 13.59 17.83 14.06 T1 10.47 10.79 12.44 CET1 9.82 10.79 Local figures as of Mar-19 in percent (phased-in) 47
Liquidity and Funding Santander’s liquidity management is based on the following principles: Decentralised liquidity model Needs derived from medium- and long-term activity must be financed by medium- and long-term instruments High contribution from customer deposits, due to the retail nature of the balance sheet Diversification of wholesale funding sources by instruments/investors, markets/currencies and maturities Limited recourse to wholesale short-term funding Availability of sufficient liquidity reserves, including the discount window / standing facility in central banks to be used in adverse situations Compliance with regulatory liquidity requirements both at Group and subsidiary level, as a new conditioning management factor 48
Liquidity and Funding Conservative and decentralised liquidity and funding model EUR 7 bn1 issued in public markets in 2019 YTD Very manageable maturity profile EUR bn, Mar-19 EUR bn, Mar-19 36.7 2.7 6.3 9.1 7.8 San S.A. 2.4 3.4 1.7 5.8 1.2 2.5 SCF 2.7 3.0 3.6 2.4 1.6 0.6 0.1 1.0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 17.0 2023+ 12.0 12.6 1.1 1.1 UK 4.2 3.1 4.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.04 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2023+ Spain UK SCF USA Other Brazil 1.5 4.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2023+ Other public market issuances in Brazil and Chile USA 0.8 1.3 0.9 1.7 0.9 2.0 2019 2019 2020 2020 2021 2021 2022 2022 2023 2023 2023+ 2023+ 49 1. Data include public issuances from all units with period-average exchange rates. Excludes securitisations
Liquidity and Funding Santander S.A. funding plan Santander S.A. meets current MREL 2018 2019 2019 requirement1 and Group capital EUR bn issued issued YtD issuance plan 2 buffers (AT1: 1.5%; T2: 2%) Covered bonds 1.6 0.0 3-5 Senior preferred 0.5 0.6 3-5 Senior non-preferred 6.1 0.0 -- Hybrids 2.8 1.1 3 1.5* During the last 2 years Santander S.A.’s Funding Plan was focused on TOTAL 10.9 1.7 7.5 - 11.5 TLAC-eligible instruments… o/w Subordinated 8.9 1.1 1.5 … and in 2019 the Funding Plan is expected to cover debt maturities, and manage our funding structure 1. Santander’s understanding of current policy under the existing recovery and resolution rules 2. Issuance plan subject to, amongst other considerations, market conditions and regulatory requirements 50 3. EUR 1.1 bn AT1 issued in February 2019 however EUR 1.3bn AT1 will be amortised on 19 May 2019 * Net issuance. Includes AT1 (EUR 500 mn) and T2 (EUR 1 bn)
Liquidity and Funding Issuances show diversification across instruments and entities Debt outstanding by type Debt outstanding by issuer entity EUR bn and %, Mar-19 EUR bn and %, Mar-19 Preference shares; Other; 11.1; 6% 7.1; 4% USA; 7.6; 4% Sub debt; Brazil; 6.9; 4% 12.9; 8% Chile; 10.6; 6% Senior; San S.A.; Senior non- 64.4; 38% SCF; 65.7; 39% preferred; 34.9; 20% 19.1; 11% Covered bonds; UK; 53.8; 47.5; 28% 32% 51
Liquidity and Funding Well-funded, prudent and highly liquid balance sheet with high contribution from customer deposits and diversified wholesale instruments Liquidity Balance Sheet EUR bn, Mar19 1,200 1,200 Liquidity Coverage Net Stable Funding Ratio (LCR) 1 Ratio (NSFR) Mar-19 Dec-18 Loans and Customer advances to 808 deposits customers 910 150% 114% Group 54 Securitisations and others M/LT debt issuances 146% 128% 171 Financial assets 191 32 ST Funding Fixed assets & other 98 135 Equity and other liabilities Assets Liabilities 120% 109% HQLAs3 EUR bn, Mar-19 HQLAs Level 1 184.5 2 2 147% 105% HQLAs Level 2 14.6 Level 2A 7.5 Level 2B 7.2 Note: Liquidity balance sheet for management purposes (net of trading derivatives and interbank balances) 1. Provisional data 52 2. Parent bank 3. 12 month average
Liquidity and Funding The main metrics show the strength and stability the Group’s liquidity position Evolution of key liquidity metrics1 LTD and MLT funding metrics by geography Mar-19 (Deposits + M/LT 2015 2016 2017 2018 Mar-19 LTD Ratio funding) / Loans 2 2 Loans / net assets 75% 75% 75% 76% 76% Spain 80% 158% 2 SCF 260% 66% Loan-to-deposit ratio (LTD) 116% 114% 109% 113% 113% Poland 88% 119% Customer deposits and medium- Portugal 93% 120% 2 114% 114% 115% 114% 113% and long-term funding / loans UK 123% 104% Short-term wholesale funding / Brazil 102% 120% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% net liabilities Mexico 93% 115% Structural liquidity surplus / net Chile 148% 94% 14% 14% 15% 13% 13% liabilities Argentina 69% 149% Encumbrance 26% 25% 28% 25% USA 141% 111% GROUP 113% 113% 1. Balance sheet for liquidity management purposes 53 2. Loans and advances to customers
Liquidity and Funding Banco Santander S.A. ratings Moody's S&P Fitch Date last Direction Date last Direction Date last Direction Rating Rating Rating change last change change last change change last change Covered Bonds Aa1 17/04/2018 ↑ - - - Aa "u" 25/09/2014 ↑ Senior Debt (P) A2 17/04/2018 ↑ A 05/04/2018 ↑ A 17/07/2018 ↑ Senior Non-preferred Baa1 27/09/2017 ↑ A- 05/04/2018 ↑ A- 09/02/2017 Initial Subordinated (P) Baa2 04/03/2014 ↑ BBB+ 05/04/2018 ↑ BBB+ 29/05/2014 ↑ AT1 Ba1 27/09/2017 ↑ - - - BB 29/05/2014 ↑ Short Term Debt P-1 17/04/2018 ↑ A-1 06/04/2018 ↑ F2 11/06/2012 ↓ 54
Liquidity and Funding Santander Parent & Subsidiaries’ Senior Debt Ratings Moody's S&P Fitch Date last Direction Date last Direction Date last Direction Rating Outlook Rating Outlook Rating Outlook change last change change last change change last change Group A2 17/04/2018 ↑ STABLE A 06/04/2018 ↑ STABLE A 17/07/2018 ↑ STABLE San UK PLC Aa3 21/12/2016 ↑ POSITIVE A 09/06/2015 ↓ STABLE A+*- 03/01/2019 ↑ - San UK Group Holding PLC Baa1 16/09/2015 ↑ POSITIVE BBB 10/04/2015 ↑ STABLE A*- 01/03/2019 Initial - Santander Consumer Finance SA A2 17/04/2018 ↑ STABLE A- 06/04/2018 ↑ STABLE A- 09/05/2014 ↑ STABLE Banco Santander Totta SA Baa3 16/10/2018 ↑ STABLE BBB 18/03/2019 ↑ STABLE BBB+ 21/12/2017 ↑ STABLE Santander Holding US Baa3 18/10/2016 ↓ STABLE BBB+ 06/04/2018 ↑ STABLE BBB+ 17/11/2017 → STABLE Banco Santander Mexico A3 14/06/2016 ↑ STABLE - - - - BBB+ 13/06/2012 ↓ STABLE Banco Santander Chile A1 27/07/2018 ↓ STABLE A 04/08/2017 ↓ STABLE A 17/08/2017 ↓ STABLE Santander Bank Polska Baa1 31/08/2018 Initial POSITIVE - - - BBB+ 18/09/2018 Initial STABLE Banco Santander Brasil Ba1 25/02/2016 ↓ STABLE BB- 12/01/2018 ↓ STABLE - - - Kingdom of Spain* Baa1 13/04/2018 ↑ STABLE A-u 23/03/2018 ↑ POSITIVE A- 19/01/2018 ↑ STABLE Note: Santander Mexico decided to withdraw the S&P ratings 55
Concluding Remarks 06
Concluding Remarks Concluding Remarks The Group’s stable capital generation is supported by strong pre-provision profits providing Santander with a high capacity to absorb provisions and underpins the Group's capacity to generate future earnings Strong capital levels in line with Santander’s business model based on geographic diversification, solid market positions in areas where it operates and independent subsidiary model in terms of capital and liquidity The Group is above the regulatory capital requirement with significant payment capacity from available distributable items, while maintaining comfortable margins to conversion and MDA triggers Santander S.A. already meets with its MREL requirements and Group capital buffers Comfortable liquidity position: Compliance with regulatory liquidity requirements established at Group and subsidiary levels ahead of schedule, with high availability of liquidity reserves 57
Appendix 07
Appendix: Q1’19 P&L Q1’19 P&L YoY performance change vs Q1’18 Constant EUR EUR million Q1’19 % EUR Amount % Higher customer revenue due to Net interest income 8,682 +3 +375 +5 increased business volumes and spread management Net fee income 2,931 -1 +76 +3 Lower market revenues and Gains on fin. trans. and other 472 -36 -264 -36 higher cost of FX hedging Total income 12,085 -1 +187 +2 Operating expenses -5,758 0 -101 +2 Cost control with an individualised and targeted cost management across the board Net operating income 6,327 -1 +85 +1 Loan-loss provisions -2,172 -5 +85 -4 Good credit quality evolution, Other results -471 +13 -71 +18 with better cost of credit and NPL ratio PBT 3,684 0 +99 +3 Tax -1,326 +4 -87 +7 Minority interests -410 +15 -57 +16 Underlying profit 1,948 -5 -45 -2 Prisma sale1 (EUR 150 mn), real estate disposal2 Net capital gains and provisions -108 — -108 — (EUR -180 mn) and restructuring costs in the UK Attributable profit 1,840 -10 -153 -8 and Poland (EUR -78 mn) 1. Capital gains due to the sale of part of our stake in Prisma in Argentina 59 2. Santander sold a Spanish portfolio of residential properties to Cerberus
Appendix: Costs Cost management reflects integration synergies, maintaining a best-in-class cost- to-income, whilst enhancing customer experience Cost evolution Q1’19 vs. Q1’18, % Nominal In real terms1 Targeted cost management by geographies: -5.7 -7.4 -1.1 -2.0 Synergies from integrations in Europe 0.0 -1.8 Better operational leverage in the US 15.42 13.82 1.2 -1.1 Costs under control in the units where we are investing to -2.7 -5.0 update distribution capacity, such as in Mexico 3.1 -0.9 9.9 5.3 Costs in real terms Cost-to-income 1.0 -1.6 -2% YoY 47.6% in Q1’19 81.3 40.9 -1.3 -3.1 Note: Constant euros 1. Excluding inflation 2. Impacted by DB Polska integration. Efficiency ratio improved 0.5 pp 60
Appendix: Profitability Creating shareholder value whilst maintaining high profitability TNAV per share Profitability ratios EUR Underlying RoTE1 Underlying RoRWA1 4.30 12.1% 4.19 11.3% 1.59% 1.56% 4.12 Mar-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 2018 Q1'19 2018 Q1'19 1. Statutory RoTE 2018 11.7% and Q1’19 11.2%. Statutory RoRWA 2018 1.55% and Q1’19 1.54% Notes: The averages for the Q1 RoTE and RoRWA denominators are calculated on the basis of 4 months from December to March. For periods of less than a year, and in the event of non-recurring results existing, the profit used to calculate the statutory RoTE is the annualised underlying attributable profit (excluding non-recurring results), to which are added non-recurring results without annualising them. 61 For periods of less than a year, and in the event of non-recurring results existing, the profit used to calculate the statutory RoRWA is the annualised underlying consolidated result (excluding non-recurring results), to which is added non-recurring results without annualising them.
Appendix: Balance sheet size and profits by geography Total assets and profit generation by geography Total assets by geography Profitability by geography Constant EUR bn, Mar-19 Underlying attributable profit in constant EUR mn, Underlying RoTE in %, Q1’19 YoY Change ex. FX YoY Change ex. FX Total abs. % Total abs. % RoTE Spain 442,498 -2,386 -0.5 Spain 403 -52 -11.4 10.5 SCF 109,275 6,710 6.5 SCF 325 4 1.1 14.9 Poland 44,208 11,779 36.3 Poland 1 62 1 1.0 7.8 Portugal 56,620 2,182 4.0 Portugal 135 8 6.7 13.1 UK 363,439 -1,796 -0.5 UK 271 -53 -16.3 7.0 Brazil 163,627 10,585 6.9 Brazil 724 93 14.8 21.1 Mexico 67,037 4,961 8.0 Mexico 206 22 12.0 20.2 Chile 149 2 1.3 16.4 Chile 53,517 3,785 7.6 Argentina 11 -23 -67.9 5.3 Argentina 12,244 5,318 76.8 2 USA 182 47 34.7 5.1 USA 143,321 23,154 19.3 1. Adjusted RoTE for 11.30% CET1, 14% 2. Adjusted RoTE for 11.3% CET1, 9% 62
Appendix: Risk profile Risk profile: RWAs mostly formed by credit risk… On average, credit risk represents 81% for Global Peers RWAs (vs.78% in 2017), with Santander at 86% as of Q2’18 Operational risk at the bank remains as the last year at 10% (vs. 14% average, 3 pp lower than last year) RWAs: Split by risk 100% 5% 90% 80% 17% 70% 60% 50% 40% 78% 30% 20% 10% 0% Ave. Credit Risk Operational Risk Market Risk Source: EBA transparency exercise 2018 for EU and UK banks. UBS and US banks latest data available from Pillar 3 disclosures. 63 Peers: BAML, Barclays, BBVA, BNP, Deutsche, HSBC, ING, Intesa SP, JP Morgan, Lloyds, RBS, Société Générale, UBS, UniCredit and Wells Fargo
Appendix: Risk profile … and highly biased to the standardised approach Santander, with c. 56% of credit risk under the standard method (55% in 2017 and 60% in 2016), is better positioned than its European peers (33% average vs. 30% in 2017 and 35% in 2016) for potential regulatory changes Credit risk: Standardized vs. IRB approach 100% 90% 80% 70% 67% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 33% 10% 0% Ave. Standarised Aproach IRB Standardised approach IRB Source: EBA transparency exercise 2018 for EU and UK banks. UBS and US banks latest data available from Pillar 3 disclosures. 64 Peers: BAML, Barclays, BBVA, BNP, Deutsche, HSBC, ING, Intesa SP, JP Morgan, Lloyds, RBS, Société Générale, UBS, UniCredit and Wells Fargo
Appendix: UK loan portfolio: Mortgage and Corporate RE Strong credit performance in retail and corporate businesses Retail Banking NPLs and NPL ratio Corporate NPLs and NPL ratio1 NPL ratio (%) NPL ratio (%) 1.51 3.07 1.39 2.28 2.51 1.25 1.23 1.46 NPLs (£mn) NPLs (£mn) 838 2,520 2,340 689 2,104 2,126 604 353 2 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 1. Corporate defined as the combined lending to business banking customers in Retail Banking and all customers in our Corporate & Commercial Banking and Corporate & 65 Investment Banking business segments 2. Increase in Corporate NPLs was predominantly due to the Carillion plc exposures that moved to non-performance in 2017
Appendix: UK loan portfolio: Mortgage and Corporate RE Consistently prudent mortgage lending criteria Average loan size Geographical distribution (new business) (stock %, Dec-18) Dec-17 Dec-18 31 25 London and South East £260k £270k 14 13 11 Rest of the UK £146k £150k 4 2 All UK £196k £203k South East London North Midlands South West, Scotland Northern and East Wales and Ireland Anglia Other Simple average loan-to-value (LTV)1 House price change by region (annual %, Nov-18, nsa2) 6 5 5 4 4 Dec-17 Dec-18 4 3 3 Total new lending 62% 63% 3 2 London new lending 56% 58% 1 Stock 42% 42% -1 Wales Northern West East South North North Scotland East Yorkshire South London 1. Unweighted average loan-to-value of all accounts Ireland Midlands Midlands West East West East 66 2. Not seasonally adjusted Source: HM Land Registry, United Kingdom
Appendix: UK loan portfolio: Mortgage and Corporate RE Prime residential mortgage book of £158.0bn Product profile Lending breakdown (stock %, Dec-18) (£bn, Dec-18) 28.8 27.7 Standard Variable Rate (SVR) 12 (25.5) Fixed rate 73 Net lending £3.3bn Variable rate1 15 154.7 157.2 158.0 Dec-17 New business Redemptions Internal Dec-18 & repayments transfer Borrower profile (stock %, Dec-18) Net mortgage growth of £3.3bn; strongest lending in Buy to Let (BTL) First-time buyers 19 over three years despite the highly competitive market 5 SVR attrition2 of £4.9bn (2017: £5.5bn) Remortgagers ~78% of maturing mortgages retained Home movers 44 32 55% (+6pp YoY) of refinancing mortgage loans retained online 1. Variable rate includes tracker and base rate linked 67 2. SVR attrition includes loan balances which have reverted on to SVR and balances moved to the Follow-on-Rate which was introduced in January 2018
Appendix: UK loan portfolio: Mortgage and Corporate RE Greater focus on risk-weighted returns in CRE portfolio Credit performance Sector analysis (stock %, Dec-18) Dec-17 Dec-18 Total committed exposure £8.1bn £6.4bn 24 Up to 70% LTV 88% 87% 16 14 14 14 70% to 100% LTV - 1% 10 > 100% LTV 1% - 5 2 1 Standardised portfolio1 8% 10% Office Retail Industrial Mixed use Residential Standardised Hotels and Student Other Total with collateral 97% 99% portfolio leisure accomodation Development loans 3% 1% No new business written above 70% LTV (Dec-17: 0%) 100% 100% All new business written at or below 60% LTV (Dec-17: 91%) Dec-17 Dec-18 Weighted average LTV on exposures of 47% NPL ratio 0.85% 0.45% (Dec-17: 48%)2 Average loan size of £3.2mn (Dec-17: £4.7mn) 1. Consists of smaller value transactions, mainly commercial mortgages 68 2. All non-standardised stock
Appendix: Glossary Glossary and Acronyms ADIs: Available distributable items MPE: Multiple Point of Entry bn: Billion MREL: Minimum Required Eligible Liabilities bps: Basis points NII: Net interest income BTL: Buy-to-Let NPL: Non-performing loans CCoB: Capital Conservation Buffer PBT: Profit before tax CCyB: Countercyclical buffer P&L: Profit and loss CET1: Common equity tier 1 PPP: Pre-Provision Profit CIB: Corporate & Investment Banking QoQ: Quarter-on-Quarter DGF: Deposit Guarantee Fund RoRWA: Return on risk-weighted assets DPS: Dividend per share RWA: Risk-weighted assets EPS: Earning per share RoTE: Return on tangible equity FL: Fully loaded SCF: Santander Consumer Finance G-SIBs: Global Systemically Important Banks SMEs: Small and Medium Enterprises HTC: Held to collect portfolio SRF: Single Resolution Fund HTC&S: Held to collect & sell portfolio ST: Short term k: thousands SVR: Standard variable rate LTV: Loan-to-Value TDR: Troubled Debt Restructuring LLPs: Loan-loss provisions TLAC: Total Loss-Absorbing Capacity MDA: Maximum distributable amount TNAV: Tangible net asset value M/LT: Medium- and long-term YoY: Year-on-Year mn: Million 69
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