First Quarter Real Estate Market - 2022 QUARTERLY REVIEW - AWS

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First Quarter Real Estate Market - 2022 QUARTERLY REVIEW - AWS
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 First Quarter
Real Estate Market
   2022 QUARTERLY REVIEW
First Quarter Real Estate Market - 2022 QUARTERLY REVIEW - AWS
VPI
  ValuStrat Price Index
                          Market Intelligence.
                          Simplified.

                                            REAL ESTATE PERFORMANCE

   VPI RESIDENTIAL                       VPI RESIDENTIAL                         VPI OFFICE                       VPI INDUSTRIAL
   CAPITAL VALUES                        RENTAL VALUES                         CAPITAL VALUES                     CAPITAL VALUES

         79.0                                    70.6                             74.5                              105.1
    Base: Jan 2014=100                      Base: Q1 2014=100                   Base Q1 2015=100                   Base: Q1 2021=100

         3.6%                                    4.9%                             6.9%                                1.5%
              Q-o-Q                               Q-o-Q                              Q-o-Q                              Q-o-Q

                                                       KEY INDICATORS
                                                       Source: REIDIN, DTCM, ValuStrat

  RESIDENTIAL                RESIDENTIAL                       RESIDENTIAL                    RESIDENTIAL                RESIDENTIAL
   OFF PLAN                   OFF PLAN                            READY                         READY                      RENTS
SALES TICKET SIZE           SALES VOLUME                     SALES TICKET SIZE               SALES VOLUME

  1.99m                       7,936                             2.66M                          9,586                     87,713
       AED                    Transactions                          AED                            Transactions             (AED p.a)

   -10.3%                       11.7%                             5.1%                             17.9%                   4.9%
      Q-o-Q                        Q-o-Q                           Q-o-Q                              Q-o-Q                  Q-o-Q

    HOTEL                         HOTEL                           OFFICE                         OFFICE                     OFFICE
  OCCUPANCY                       REVPAR                     SALES TICKET SIZE                SALES VOLUME               ASKING RENTS

   82%                           534                            1.37M                               529                     969
 YTD Mar 2022             (AED) YTD Mar 2022                        AED                            Transactions          (AED/ sq m p.a)

   18.0%                       112.7%                           25.6%                               -1.7%                   5.5%
      Y-o-Y                         Y-o-Y                           Q-o-Q                             Q-o-Q                   Q-o-Q

                                                  Increase            Stable             Decline

                                                                                                                                           01
First Quarter Real Estate Market - 2022 QUARTERLY REVIEW - AWS
MACRO-ECONOMIC SNAPSHOT
• Dubai saw an upsurge of foreign direct                                       Dubai Population
  investments (FDIs) amounting to AED
  15.9 billion across 378 projects, ranked as first
                                                                                    2,447,000
  in the region and third globally in attracting FDI                      2015
  capital and projects, as per latest data from
  Dubai Investment Development Agency                                               2,699,000
                                                                          2016

• FDI related jobs created grew 36% YoY to 16,430
                                                                                    2,976,000
  new roles                                                                2017

• The top three source countries for FDI capital                                    3,186,000
                                                                          2018
  inflows were from the United Kingdom at 29%,
  France with 19% and the United States at 14%                                      3,356,000
                                                                          2019

• Dubai Electric and Water Authority (DEWA)
  announced to list 6.5% of its shares or 3.25                                      3,411,000
                                                                          2020
  billion shares in Dubai Financial Market (DFM)
  and officially the first government entity in Dubai                               3,478,000
  to issue an initial public offering (IPO)                               2021

• The US Federal Reserve raised its Interest on                                     3,496,000
                                                                      2022-Q1
  Reserve Balances (IORB) by 25 basis points,
  resulting in a decision by the UAE Central
  Bank to increase the base rate for Overnight
                                                                      Source : Dubai Statistics Centre
  Deposit Facility (ODF) by the same amount

• Dubai crude oil (Fateh) stood
                                              Consumer Price Index VS. Housing Index
  at AED 305.33 (USD 83.11) per               January 2018 – YTD
  barrel, up 53.45% YoY as of
  January 2022                     120

• Dubai International Airport
  (DXB) handled 29.1 million        110

  passengers during 2021, up
  12.7% YoY                        100

• Dubai’s population stood at
  3,495,902 with a 5-year           90
  average growth rate of 5.3%
• As of December, annual            80
  inflation was up 1.07% and
                                           Jan
                                           Feb
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                                           May
                                           Jun
                                            Jul
                                           Aug
                                           Sep
                                           Oct
                                           Nov
                                           Dec
                                           Jan
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                                           Apr
                                           May
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                                            Jul
                                           Aug
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                                           Jan
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                                           Dec
                                           Jan
                                           Feb
                                           Mar
                                           Apr
                                           May
                                           Jun
                                            Jul
                                           Aug
                                           Sep
                                           Oct
                                           Nov

  was stable on a monthly basis
• Housing and Other Utilities                          2018                       2019                      2020               2021
  Expenses Index dropped
  5.56% YoY and saw less than
                                          Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels          General Index (2014=100)
  a percent change compared
                                    Source: Dubai Statistics Centre
  to the previous month

                                                                                                                                      02
First Quarter Real Estate Market - 2022 QUARTERLY REVIEW - AWS
VALUSTRAT PRICE INDEX -

CITYWIDE RESIDENTIAL CAPITAL VALUES
The valuation-based price index, VPI,                     VPI - Dubai Residential Capital Values
grew 18.8% annually to 79 points.                         21 Apartment and 13 Villas Locations
                                                          [Base:Jan 2014=100]
However, Dubai’s residential capital
values saw quarterly growth rates slow
from 5.1% in Q4 2021 to 3.6% in Q1 this     100
                                                  81.5     79.5    77.2    75.3                                                             79.0
year. On the sub-market level, villas        80                                    73.3    69.4    66.1    65.4    66.5 69.0
                                                                                                                                  72.5 76.3

and townhouses surged 34.1% annually         60                                                                                                         10
and 6.3% quarterly to 94.1 points.                                                                                                 5.1%   5.1%
                                             40                                                                                                         5
Apartments improved just 8.4% YoY,                                                                                 1.7%
                                                                                                                          3.8%                   3.6%
                                             20                                                                                                         0
1.4% QoQ reaching 69.5 points.                                                                             -1.0%
                                                                   -2.6%   -2.5%   -2.6%
                                              0 -3.3% -2.7%                                        -4.7%                                                -5
The highest annual villa price gains                                                       -5.4%

were registered in Arabian Ranches                                                                                                                      -10

                                                  MAR

                                                                                   MAR

                                                                                                                   MAR

                                                                                                                                                  MAR
                                                                           DEC

                                                                                                           DEC

                                                                                                                                          DEC
(40.3%), Jumeirah Islands (40.3%), The

                                                            JUN

                                                                                            JUN

                                                                                                                           JUN
                                                                   SEP

                                                                                                    SEP

                                                                                                                                   SEP
Lakes (37.1%), Jumeirah Village
Triangle (35.5%), and Palm Jumeirah                           2019                            2020                              2021             2022
(35%).
It’s worth nothing that villas in Palm        VauStrat Price Index (Capital Values)                   QoQ Growth (%)
                                            Source : ValuStrat
Jumeirah have exceeded their price
peaks of 2014 by 5.3%, achieving 126.6
VPI points. Highest performing
apartment areas in terms of annual
capital gains were Palm Jumeirah
apartments (21.9%), Jumeirah Beach
Residence (16%) and the Burj Khalifa
tower (15.3%).
VALUSTRAT PRICE INDEX -

PRIME RESIDENTIAL CAPITAL VALUES
Tracking prime residential properties                     VPI - Prime Dubai Residential Capital Values
around Dubai, the VPI registered 84.9                     5 Apartment and 4 Villa Locations in Dubai

points after a 19.2% annual leap. On a                    [Base:Jan 2014=100]

quarterly basis, performance was lower
than the second half of last year.          100
                                                  86.9     84.8                                                                                   84.9
                                                                   82.6    80.5                                                           81.7
Highly desired villas and apartments         80
                                                                                   78.4    74.1    70.7    70.2    71.2   73.7    77.5

within prime locations saw capital           60                                                                                                         10
values increase 31.5% and 10.5%                                                                                                   5.2%    5.5%
                                             40                                                                           3.5%                   3.9% 5
respectively.                                                                                                      1.4%
                                             20                                                                                                         0
Demand for high-end properties                    -2.8%    -2.4%   -2.5%   -2.6%   -2.6%
                                                                                                           -0.7%
                                              0                                                                                                         -5
located in established prime areas has                                                     -5.5%   -4.6%

more than doubled since pre-pandemic                                                                                                                    -10

times, as the share of sold homes
                                                  MAR

                                                                                   MAR

                                                                                                                   MAR

                                                                                                                                                  MAR
                                                                            DEC

                                                                                                           DEC

                                                                                                                                          DEC
                                                            JUN

                                                                                           JUN

                                                                                                                          JUN
                                                                     SEP

                                                                                                   SEP

                                                                                                                                   SEP

worth more than AED 7 million, jumped
to 5% in Q1 2022, up from 2% the same                         2019                           2020                            2021                2022

period in 2019. Demand for larger
homes also increased, the average             VauStrat Price Index (Capital Values)                   QoQ Growth (%)
transacted unit size grew from 1,524 sq     Source : ValuStrat

ft in 2019 to 2,014 sq ft this year, this
suggests that villas and large
apartments are equally in high demand
                                                                                                                                                         03
First Quarter Real Estate Market - 2022 QUARTERLY REVIEW - AWS
RESIDENTIAL SUPPLY
• The estimated number of new build units to                Residential Supply
  enter the market this year stands at 44,708               2019-2023

  apartments and 11,172                                     (’000 UNITS)

  villas/townhouses
                                                             650
                                                   2019
• Areas where most of the upcoming
  supply is projected to handover include
                                                             693
  Mohammed Bin Rashid City (MBR City) with         2020
  26.5%, Dubailand (Akoya Oxygen, Arjan,
  Majan, etc.) with 14.4%, Jumeirah Village
                                                             724
  Circle with 7.8% and Downtown Dubai with        2021E
  7.6% of the expected supply

• Total estimated completions as of the first                724                                                  45 11
                                                  2022E
  quarter stood at 5,745 apartments and 493
  villas, equivalent to 11% of preliminary
  estimates for the whole of this year                       780                                                          32 4
                                                  2023E

• Notable apartment completions were Lawnz
  Residence International City (1,032 units),         Existing Urban Villas/Apartments

  Sobha Creek Vistas MBR City (756 units),            New Apartments*
  Collective & Collective 2 Dubai Hills Estate        New Villas*
  (845 units) and Elite Downtown Residence
  Downtown Dubai (345 units). For villas, Akoya   * May be subject to significant downward adjustment
                                                  Source: Dubai Statistics Centre, REIDIN, MEED Projects,
  Oxygen Centaury Dubailand (413 units) and       ValuStrat
  Villa Amalfi Jumeirah Bay Island (68 units)

• Key off-plan projects launched during the
  quarter include Peninsula Five Business Bay               Locations with upcoming
  (381 units), LIV Marina Dubai Marina (243                 Residential Supply
  units), Samana Waves JVC (213 units),
  Gardenia Livings Arjan (156 units), Gardenia
  Townhomes 2 Jebel Ali (92 units) and Alaya
  Beach Tilal Al Ghaf (44 units)
                                                                                                            27%

                                                  43%

                                                                                                             14%

                                                                              8%           8%

                                                      MBR                                       Downtown
                                                     Dubai Land                                 Other
                                                      JVC

                                                  Source: REIDIN, ValuStrat

                                                                                                                             04
First Quarter Real Estate Market - 2022 QUARTERLY REVIEW - AWS
RESIDENTIAL SALES TRANSACTIONS
• A strong start of the year as the first quarter                                         than AED 15 billion and 9,586 ready sales rising
  ended with record-breaking sales transaction                                            56% YoY equivalent to a total value of no less
  volumes and recorded the highest residential                                            than AED 25 billion
  quarterly transactions in history with 7,936
  off-plan sales, up 117.7% YoY totalling more

          Off-Plan Transactions - Residential
          Toltal Volume and Average Price

AED\SQ FT                                                                                                                                Sales Volume
1,800                                                                                                                                           18,000
                                                                                                                                  1506   1547
1,600                                                                                                                                           16,000
                                                   1447                                                                    1459
         1350                               1381                            1317   1330                           1308
1,400            1274              1264                     1215    1270                                                                        14,000
                            1238                                                                    1230
                                                                                             1155          1182
1,200                                                                                                                                           12,000
1,000                                                                                                                                           10,000
  800                                                                                                                                    7936 8,000
                                                                    7091                                                          7107
                                                                                                                         6374
  600                                                       5329           5224                                   5698                          6,000
                 4332              4214     4418   4662
  400    3649                                                                                       3348   3646                                 4,000
                            2850                                                   2943      2791
  200                                                                                                                                           2,000
    0                                                                                                                                               0
         QTR1    QTR2       QTR3   QTR4     QTR1   QTR2     QTR3    QTR4    QTR1   QTR2      QTR3   QTR4   QTR1   QTR2   QTR3     QTR4   QTR1

                     2018                                2019                             2020                      2021                 2022

   Average Price [AED/SQ FT]              Volume

Source: REIDIN, ValuStrat

• Ticket sizes of off-plan homes rose 39.5% YoY                                     • The citywide average transacted price during
  to AED 1.9 million, ready-to-move-in properties                                     this period was at AED 12,261 per sq m
  grew 21.7% YoY to AED 2.7 million                                                   (AED 1,139 per sq ft)

          Ready Transactions - Residential
          Toltal Volume and Average Price

AED\SQ FT                                                                                                                                Sales Volume
1,200                                                                                                                             1105    1136 12,000
      1090       1089
                            1027                                                                                  1019     1063
                                   965      954    967      973    998                                     927
1,000                                                                      919     915                                                   9586 10,000
                                                                                            848     876
                                                                                                                                  8129
  800                                                                                                             7514                          8,000
                                                                                                           6146            6629
  600                                                                                               5237                                        6,000

  400                                                                                       3937                                                4,000
                                                           3439    3503    3481
                 2719              2700   2677     2687
         2468               2164
  200                                                                              1516                                                         2,000

     0                                                                                                                                              0
         QTR1    QTR2       QTR3   QTR4     QTR1   QTR2    QTR3    QTR4    QTR1    QTR2     QTR3    QTR4   QTR1   QTR2     QTR3   QTR4   QTR1

                     2018                                2019                             2020                      2021                 2022

   Average Price [AED/SQ FT]              Volume

Source: REIDIN, ValuStrat

                                                                                                                                                     05
First Quarter Real Estate Market - 2022 QUARTERLY REVIEW - AWS
VALUSTRAT PRICE INDEX -

CITYWIDE RESIDENTIAL RENTAL VALUES
• Overall citywide residential asking                      VPI - Dubai Residential Rental Values
                                                           21 Apartment and 13 Villas Locations
  rents climbed 23.7% YoY to 70.6 index
                                                           [Base: Q1 2014=100]
  points, 29.4% lower than Q1 2014

• On a quarterly basis, rents increased      100

  4.9% on average                            80 76.5        73.9      73.7   70.8                                                                   70.6
                                                                                        63.9                                          63.1   67.3
                                                                                               60.7    58.9             57.1   60.8
                                             60                                                                 56.6                                       10
• Compared to the same period last                                                                                             6.5%          6.7%
                                                                                                                                                    4.9% 5
                                             40                                                                                       3.9%
  year, asking rents for apartments                                                                                     0.9%
  grew 20.3% to an average of AED            20
                                                                     -0.2%
                                                                                                                                                           0
                                                   -1.9%
  87,713 per annum                             0            -3.4%            -3.9%
                                                                                               -5.0%
                                                                                                       -3.0%    -3.9%                                      -5
                                                                                      -9.7%
                                                                                                                                                           -10
• Villas headlined with the highest                MAR

                                                                                        MAR

                                                                                                                        MAR

                                                                                                                                                    MAR
                                                                                DEC

                                                                                                                 DEC

                                                                                                                                             DEC
                                                             JUN

                                                                                                JUN

                                                                                                                                JUN
                                                                      SEP

                                                                                                        SEP

                                                                                                                                      SEP
  annual asking rental increase since
  2014 of 29.1% to an average of AED                           2019                              2020                             2021              2022
  251,114 per annum
                                               VauStrat Price Index (Capital Values)                          QoQ Growth (%)
• Average annual rents for 2-bed villas      Source : ValuStrat
  stood at AED 113,000, 3-beds at AED
  170,000, and 4-bedroom villas at AED
  251,000

• Average rents per annum for studio
  apartments were AED 40,000, 1-bed
  at AED 59,000, 2-beds at AED 85,000,
  and 3-bedroom apartments were AED
  133,000                                    Apartment Asking Rents

• Residential occupancy in Dubai was
  estimated at 83.7% this quarter

• A total of 87,624 Ejari rental contracts                   20.3%                                                4.1%
  for residential homes were registered                             Last Year                                    Last Quarter
  in Dubai in Q1, 29% lower than the
  same period last year, 49.3% were of
  new contracts, and 50.7% renewed
                                             Villa Asking Rents
  contracts

                                                              29.1%                                               6.1%
                                                                    Last Year                                    Last Quarter

                                             Source: REIDIN, ValuStrat

                                                                                                                                                               06
First Quarter Real Estate Market - 2022 QUARTERLY REVIEW - AWS
VALUSTRAT PRICE INDEX -

CITYWIDE OFFICE CAPITAL VALUES
Dubai office units witnessed annual                 VPI - Dubai Office Capital Values
                                                    5 Office Locations
price increases of 25.2%, this is after a
                                                    [Base: Q1 2015=100]
sustained acceleration in quarterly
capital gains, as Q1 was 6.9% higher        100

than Q4 last year. The ValuStrat Price       80 74.0    69.3                                                                           69.7   74.5
                                                                 67.6    66.3    63.1    62.3                           63.1    65.5
                                                                                                 60.2    59.4 59.5
Index for Dubai office capital values        60                                                                                                      10
                                                                                                                                              6.9%
registered 74.5 points in Q1 2022, still     40                                                                         6.0%
                                                                                                                                3.8%
                                                                                                                                       6.4%
                                                                                                                                                     5

25.5% lower than the same period in          20
                                                                                                                 0.1%
                                                                                                                                                     0
                                                                                         -1.3%           -1.3%
2015. Highest performers were                 0 -4.7%
                                                                 -2.5%   -1.9%
                                                                                                 -3.4%                                               -5
                                                      -6.4%                      -4.8%
Jumeirah Lake Towers (24.3%),                                                                                                                        -10
Downtown Dubai (26.7%) and Barsha
                                                  MAR

                                                                                  MAR

                                                                                                                 MAR

                                                                                                                                               MAR
                                                                          DEC

                                                                                                          DEC

                                                                                                                                       DEC
                                                         JUN

                                                                                          JUN

                                                                                                                        JUN
                                                                  SEP

                                                                                                  SEP

                                                                                                                                SEP
Heights (21.3%). Fitted office space
out-performed shell and core options,                     2019                             2020                           2021                2022

as Grade A and Grade B offices saw
                                               VauStrat Price Index (Capital Values)               QoQ Growth (%)
prices jump 26.9% and 19.2%
                                            Source : ValuStrat
respectively.

OFFICE SUPPLY
• Dubai International Financial Centre              Office Supply
  (DIFC) announced that 64% of newly                2019-2023
                                                    (Million sq m GLA)
  leased office space was let to new
  occupiers during 2021 - equivalent to
  41,806 sq m (450,000 sq ft)
                                                        9.91
                                             2019
• Merex Investment Group, owned by
  Brookfield Asset Management and                       9.40
                                             2020
  Dubai Holdings, announced a 7-year
  leasing deal with Talabat for a 14,000                9.40                                                             0.05
  sq m (150,000 sq ft) GLA workspace to      2021

  serve as its regional headquarters in
  City Walk                                             9.45                                                                   0.07
                                            2022E

• The available data for upcoming                       9.52
  supply this year stands at                2023E

  approximately 70,000 sq m (753,473
  sq ft) coming from projects in Dubai
  Science Park, Dubai Logistics City and       Existing Stock              Expected Supply
  Al Barsha First                           Source : MEED Projects, ValuStrat

                                                                                                                                                     07
First Quarter Real Estate Market - 2022 QUARTERLY REVIEW - AWS
OFFICE SALES TRANSACTIONS
• Office sales transaction volumes during Q1 2022                       Office Sales Volume
  were 1.7% lower when compared to the previous
  quarter but jumped 34.9% compared to last year

• The median transacted price stood at AED 8,934
  per sq m (AED 830 per sq ft), rising 15.8%                                         34.9%                                  -1.7%
  quarterly and growing 27.4% from the same                                             Last Year                           Last Quarter
  period last year

• In terms of volume, Business Bay was the most                         Office Transacted Prices
  popular choice for office sales with a share of
  approximately 42%, followed by Jumeirah Lake
  Towers (JLT) with 26% of overall transactions
  this quarter. As per the total value, more than
  37% was in Business Bay while 20% came from                                        27.4%                                  15.8%
  JLT                                                                                   Last Year                           Last Quarter

• The average size of offices sold in Business Bay
  was 109 sq m (1,174 sq ft) and 119 sq m (1,282
                                                                        Source: REIDIN, ValuStrat
  sq ft) in Jumeirah Lake Towers

• 67,679 sq m (728,492 sq ft) of total Gross
  Leasable Area was sold during the quarter,
  amounting to an estimated investment value of
  more than AED 722 million

         Sales Transactions -
         Office Units Total Volume and Median Price

 AED\SQ FT                                                                                                                             Sales Volume
 1,200                                                                                                                                            1,200

 1,100                                                                                                                                            1,100

 1,000                                                                                                                                            1,000

  900    885                    878                                                                                                                900
                                                                                                                                           830
  800            769      791                                                                                          753                         800
                                                         748                                                                     717
                                         700                    719    716
  700                                           685                                             650   651.5                                        700
                                                                                                              646
                                                                              564       593
  600                                                                                                                                              600
                                                                                                              515                538       529
  500                                                                                                                                              500

  400                                           374                                                   392              373                         400
         279     298                     287
  300                    268                                           269                      278                                                300
                                236                             242                     225
  200                                                                                                                                              200
                                                         129
  100                                                                          74                                                                  100

    0                                                                                                                                                0
         QTR1   QTR2     QTR3   QTR4     QTR1   QTR2     QTR3   QTR4   QTR1   QTR2    QTR3     QTR4   QTR1    QTR2     QTR3     QTR4       QTR1

                  2018                            2019                           2020                                2021                  2022

   Average Price [AED/SQ FT]           Volume

                                                                                                                                                    08
OFFICE ASKING RENTS
• Median office asking rents saw continued                           Office Median Asking Rents
  increases both annually and quarterly jumping
  16% and 5.5%, respectively

• Asking office rents for this quarter rose 12.3%
  when compared to the same period two years                                       16.0%                                5.5%
  ago                                                                                Last Year                           Last Quarter

• The citywide median asking rent for a typical
  office size stood at AED 969 per sq m (AED 90
  per sq ft)
                                                                     Source: REIDIN, ValuStrat

• Median asking rents commanded by Dubai
  International Financial Centre (DIFC) were
  at AED 2,258 per sq m (AED 210 per sq ft) for
  typically sized units between 93 – 186 sq m
  (1,000 – 2,000 sq ft)

• In Business Bay, median asking rents stood at
  AED 1,058 per sq m (AED 98 per sq ft) for typical
  office areas of less than 93 sq m (1,000 sq ft)

• A total of 16,339 Ejari rental contracts for offices
  were registered in Dubai in Q1, 12% lower than
  the same period last year, 57.8% were of new
  contracts, and 42.2% renewed contracts

• Office occupancy in Dubai was estimated at 80%

       Office Annual Market Rents Trend
       (AED per square foot)

 120

 100   94.0    94.9
                          88.1   90.8   89.9                                                                                            90.0
                                               87.8   86.0   84.6                                                               85.3
                                                                    80.2    80.3                                        80.0
  80                                                                                  76.9       77.5   77.6   75.0

 60

  40

  20

   0
       QTR1    QTR2     QTR3     QTR4   QTR1   QTR2   QTR3   QTR4   QTR1    QTR2     QTR3        QTR4   QTR1   QTR2     QTR3    QTR4    QTR1

                   2018                           2019                          2020                             2021                   2022

  Source: REIDIN, ValuStrat

                                                                                                                                               09
RETAIL SUPPLY
• Dubai Hills Mall was opened with                   Malls and Shopping Centres
  approximately 185,806 sq m                         (‘000 sq m GLA)

  (2 million sq ft) gross leasable area
  (GLA) featuring 650 outlets, 18-screen                          35
                                              Convenience
  cineplex theatres and 7,000 parking           ( 90k sq m)
  (2.1 million sq ft) GLA

                                               Retail Completed           Retail Under Construction
                                            Source: REIDIN, ValuStrat

RETAIL PERFORMANCE
• As per Emaar Malls preliminary                     Number of Malls and Shopping Centres
  full-year 2021 results report, its mall
  portfolio achieved AED 4.9 billion
  in sales, up 42% YoY and recorded an                            17
                                              Convenience
  overall occupancy of 87%                      ( 90k sq m)
  country during 2021, as per Dubai
  Chamber
                                               Retail Completed           Retail Under Construction
                                            Source: REIDIN, ValuStrat

                                                                                                            10
HOTEL SUPPLY
• As of YTD March, the city had a total of             Hotel Room Supply
  114,536 hotel keys and 25,656 hotel                  2019 -2023
                                                       (’000 KEYS)
  apartments, as per Department of Tourism
  and Commerce Marketing (DTCM)
                                                             126
                                                 2019
• During the first three months of this year,
  an estimated 996 rooms from two hotel                      127
  projects finished construction. This is        2020

  equivalent to 14.2% of total expected
  completions this year at 7,024 keys                        140
                                                 2021

• During Q1, 1,630 keys entered the hotel                    140                                          7.0
  market from the opening of nine hotels to     2022E
  include Anantara World Islands (70 suites),
  Taj Exotica Resort Palm Jumeriah (325                      147                                                2.0
                                                2023E
  keys), Paramount Midtown Business Bay
  (281 rooms), Legoland Hotel Dubai Parks
  and Resorts (250 suites), Copthorne
                                                   Hotel and Serviced Apt Rooms            New Supply
  Lakeview Hotel DIP (165 keys) and Studio M
                                                Source: MEED Projects, ValuStrat
  Hotel Al Barsha (155 rooms)

HOTEL PERFORMANCE
• Total international guests stood at 7.28             SOURCE OF DUBAI VISITORS BY REGION
  million during full year 2021. The citywide          YTD March 2022

  average occupancy reached 67%, up 24%
  YoY when compared to a comparable 2020                                           3% 1%
                                                                                              14%
  and grew 40% YoY set against COVID-19
  adjusted performance
                                                             23%
• As of YTD March 2022, total international
  visitors reached 3.97 million, soaring 213%                                                                13%
  YoY. Hotel occupancy averaged 82% during
  the same period, up 18% YoY. ADR and
  RevPAR stood at AED 649 and AED 534,
  growing 64.7% YoY and 112.7% YoY                      6%
  respectively
• Dubai’s top three source markets were                       4%
  tourists from Western Europe (27%), GCC
  (16%), and Russia, CIS & Eastern Europe                            12%                         24%
  regions (15%)
• EXPO 2020 Dubai welcomed more than 22
                                                    South Asia                             Americas
  million visitors and achieved over 200
                                                    Russia, CIS & Eastern Europe           GCC
  million virtual audience during its
                                                    Western Europe                         North Asia & South East Asia
  six-month duration ending 31st March '22          MENA                                   Australasia
• Museum of the Future with its 30,000 sq m         Africa

  (322,917 sq ft) space dedicated to distinct   Source: DTCM
  experiences was inaugurated
                                                                                                                          11
VALUSTRAT PRICE INDEX -

INDUSTRIAL LOGISTICS CAPITAL VALUES
• The first and only valuation-based price                         VPI - Dubai Industrial Capital Values
  index covering industrial capital values has                     8 Industrial Locations
  launched. The ValuStrat Price Index for                          [Base:Q1 2021=100]

  industrial logistics which covers 8 areas in
  Dubai, grew 5.1% annually and 1.5%
                                                    120
  quarterly to 105.1 points. The VPI is based on           100.0                101.1                102.4         103.5            105.1

  re-valuing existing properties on quarterly       100

  basis taking into account various quality         80

  specifications for each area                      60                                                                                      10

• The highest annual performing locations           40                                                                                      5
  were JAFZA South (5.3%), Al Qouz (4.7%) and       20
                                                                                1.4%                  1.0%          1.1%            1.5%
                                                                                                                                            0
  Ras Al Khor (4.1%)
                                                     0                                                                                      -5
• The weighted average price for an industrial
                                                                                                                                            -10
  logistics warehouse as of Q1 2022 was AED

                                                            MAR

                                                                                                                                     MAR
                                                                                                                    DEC
                                                                                 JUN

                                                                                                      SEP
  2,228 per sq m (AED 207 per sq ft). Dubai
  Logistics City registered the highest price of
                                                                                            2021                                2022
  AED 3,132 per sq m (AED 291 per sq ft).
  JAFZA South saw the lowest price of AED
  1,862 per sq m (AED 173 per sq ft)                  VauStrat Price Index (Capital Values)                  QoQ Growth (%)
                                                    Source : ValuStrat
• Steady increases in rental performance
  witnessed across majority of key industrial
  areas, with central logistical hubs such as
  Jebel Ali Free Zone leading the way

INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENT/SUPPLY
• During Q1, the city saw the completion of a                      Industrial Rental Rates
  commodity warehouse measuring 39,432                             (AED/SQ M)

  sq m (424,442 sq ft) in Al Tayy, a food
  manufacturing facility covering an area of                   Al                                                             506
  5,780 sq m (62,000 sq ft) in Dubai Industrial              Qouz                              183
  City, an integrated logistics centre storeroom
  with an area of 10,000 sq m (107,639 sq ft)
                                                               Al                                               377
  and a 23,500 sq m (252,952 sq ft) EV battery             Qusais                              183
  warehouse in Jebel Ali Free Zone

• New industrial projects announced include a            Dubai
                                                    Investment
                                                                                                                      431
  6,503 sq m (70,000 sq ft) battery recycling             Park
                                                                                                    215
  plant expected and an EV battery
  manufacturing plant spanning across an area
                                                      Jebel Ali                                                       431
  of 92,903 sq m (1 million sq ft) both in Dubai     Free Zone                                      205
  Industrial City

                                                      Jebel Ali
• The estimated net project value of industrial      Industrial
                                                                                                                366
  projects for this year stood at AED 2.7 billion        Area
                                                                                             161
  coming from a total of 19 developments

                                                          Price High                    Price Low

                                                                                                                                            12
IN THE MEDIA

17 March 2022                                         7th March 2022
Seven Tides supports tenants with                     Learning to work with AVMs
rent-free periods, as Dubai property market
                                                      Declan King, MRICS Managing Director and Group
bounces back
                                                      Head of Real Estate at ValuStrat believes AVMs can
According to analysts at leading real estate          open up new markets for bulk valuations that at
consultancy ValuStrat, apartment rental rates in      present are too time-consuming and expensive to
Dubai, grew by over 14% in 2021 as Dubai emerged      carry out with any regularity – AVMs can offer a
from the lingering effects of the pandemic.           cost-effective way of assessing value on a more
                                                      regular basis.

23rd February 2022                                    19th February 2022
District 2020 to spur Dubai realty                    Emaar Properties reports record 2021
growth                                                property sales, but experts say market
                                                      has yet to peak
“On a strategic level, given its location and         “A fresh real estate market cycle began in early
advanced infrastructure, there’s no doubt that        2021 following a 5-year long price decline and a
District 2020 will be a successful hub for            pandemic-driven trough in 2020. Transactional
international business and act as a significant       volumes of off-plan homes jumped 60 percent
catalyst for the entire city,” ValuStrat’s Director   annually in 2021, with a total sales value climbing
and Head of Real Estate Research Haider Tuaima        109 percent from AED19.7bn in 2020 to AED41.2bn in
said.                                                 2021,” said Haider Tuaima, Director and Head of
                                                      Real Estate Research at ValuStrat.

19th January 2022                                     13th January 2022
Without taxes and lockdowns: why do                   UAE property prices set to rise by 6% in 2022
Russians buy property in Dubai
According to the Dubai Land Department (DLD),         Haider Tuaima, Director and Head of Real Estate
last year there were 84,772 real estate sales for a   Research at leading real estate consultancy
total of about $82 billion. The number of             ValuStrat told the media, “The UAE property market
transactions increased compared to 2020 by 60%,       will perform in a healthy way. We have developers
in monetary terms – by 71%. According to the          offering attractive payment plans and mortgage
leading real estate consultancy ValuStrat, real       interest rates are low. We will see more international
estate in Dubai has risen in price by 17% over the    investors coming in to buy the property next year.”
year.

                                                                                                               13
VPI
      ValuStrat Price Index
                              Market Intelligence.
                              Simplified.

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ABOUT VPI
The ValuStrat Price Index or the VPI, is a
valuation-based price index constructed to represent
periodic change in capital values and rental values              FOR REGULAR MARKET INTELLIGENCE
experienced by typical residential and commercial
properties. The VPI for Dubai’s residential capital
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values is updated on a monthly basis. The VPI for
Dubai’s residential rental values is updated on a
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                                                                            or email at
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of the market across the city and is built by our expert
RICS Registered Valuers.

                                                                                                    14
ABOUT

ValuStrat is a leading international consulting firm headquartered in Dubai providing Advisory,
Valuations, Research, Transaction Advisory, Industrial Consulting and Due Diligence services
across a diverse range of industry sectors since 1977. Offices in the UAE, UK, Saudi Arabia,
                                                                                                                Strategic
Pakistan and Qatar serve over 1,000 corporate clients in the Middle East. Client base includes                 Partners of
financial institutions, local corporates, multinationals, governments, SMEs, family businesses
and startups.

Some of the key sectors serviced by ValuStrat include real estate, hospitality, retail, education,              Financial
                                                                                                               Institutions
healthcare, FMCG, manufacturing, financial, entertainment, agriculture, energy and transport.
ValuStrat is a Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) Regulated Firm and the first firm
in all of MENA/Asia/Africa to be accepted into the prestigious RICS Tech Affiliate program now
known as ‘RICS Tech Partner’

                     DECLAN KING, MRICS                                                   HAIDER TUAIMA
                     Managing Director & Group Head
                                                                                          Director & Head of Real Estate Research
                     of Real Estate
                                                                                          haider.tuaima@valustrat.com
                     declan.king@valustrat.com

                     VISMER MULENGA, MRICS                                                CHERYL MCADAM, MRICS
                     Director - Commercial Valuation                                      Director - Residential Valuation
                     vismer.mulenga@valustrat.com                                         cheryl.mcadam@valustrat.com

                     DARSHAN SHAH, MRICS                                                 SEAN SWINBURNE, MRICS
                     Managing Director & Group Head,
                                                                                         Manager - Commercial Valuation
                     Industrial Consulting
                                                                                         sean.swinburne@valustrat.com
                     darshan.shah@valustrat.com

                     SOHAIL RAJA, MRICS
                     Manager - Valuation, Abu Dhabi Office
                     sohail.raja@valustrat.com

           DUBAI                        ABU DHABI                   LONDON                       RIYADH
           +971 4 326 2233              +971 2 207 6664             +44 796 338 2486             +966 11 293 5127
           Dubai@valustrat.com          Abudhabi@valustrat.com      London@valustrat.com         Riyadh@valustrat.com

            JEDDAH                      KARACHI                     DOHA
           +966 12 283 1455             +92 213 517 4201            +974 4 039 9001
           Jeddah@valustrat.com         Karachi@valustrat.com       Doha@valustrat.com

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