Fintech and the evolving landscape: landing points for the industry
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Executive Summary Venture capitalists, private equity firms, corporates and a number of other players have poured an unprecedented amount of money into global financial technology (fintech) start-ups. More than $50 billion has been invested in almost 2,500 companies since 2010 as these innovators redefine the way in which we store, save, borrow, invest, move, spend and protect money. While fintech is the poster child As banks face increased pressure that continues to grab headlines, to reduce costs and drive stickier, there are signals that the market is more profitable relationships with reaching the next level of maturity their customers, larger technology and moving into the mainstream. A and platform players may offer a cool down in investment growth in more attractive set of rails on which some geographies, expansion in others, to deliver services to customers. increasing deal sizes, successful IPOs and the elimination of weaker players As such, incumbent banks are are all helping to drive more realistic increasingly looking to fintech investor expectations of fintech. to enable them to continue operating a vertically integrated The ever-evolving start-up model, or find a specialist role scene is not the only source of as a platform service provider. opportunity for investors. Successful banks will rapidly make Technology giants such as Google, clear strategic decisions on the Apple, Facebook, Amazon and business model and use this vision Alibaba (GAFAA) are redefining to rally their talent around a more the customer experience and compelling journey, rather than the increasingly playing around the cost cutting downward spiral in periphery of financial services. which many players are now falling. 2
The Fintech landscape The value of global fintech investment in 2015 grew by 75% to $22.3 billion, driven by deal-flow across continental Europe and Asia-Pacific (APAC); the year-on-year growth affirmed the sector’s position as the hot ticket item in financial services (Exhibit 1). However, while this stellar growth continues to outpace venture investment as a whole, which in contrast grew by only 29% in 2015, there were signs the fintech industry had reached a new level of maturity, with some regions cooling-off and a continued increase in larger deal sizes. 2015 will also be remembered as However, 2015 also saw the demise a year of successful fintech IPOs, of some iconic industry players, most with companies such as PayPal, notably Powa, which built mobile payment Square, WorldPay and First Data products and was once considered one achieving multi-billion-dollar market of the UK’s brightest tech start-ups, capitalisations, larger than many valued at $2.7 billion in 20152. Less than established financial institutions. one year later, the business was put into In addition to these newly public administration after failing to satisfy the firms, there are now twenty fintech bold promises management had made unicorns – private companies with to investors, leaving some questioning a valuation of over $1 billion1. the value of the sector more broadly. Exhibit 1: Global Fintech Financing Activity (2010 – 2015) Investments Deal volume ($M) (#) 1,108 30,000 1,200 25,000 871 1,000 772 22,265 20,000 800 610 15,000 459 12,688 600 10,000 338 400 5,000 4,590 200 2,537 3,175 1,791 0 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Europe North America RoW APAC Global deal volume Source: Accenture analysis on CB Insights data 1 Accenture analysis on CB Insights data 2 “Powa: The start-up that fell to earth”, BBC News, March 21, 2016. Factiva, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 3
Early 2016, however, indicates a than quadrupled to $4.3 billion in 2015. resurgence from Q4 in investor Given APAC’s rich tech ecosystem, confidence with $5.3 billion poured rapid economic growth trajectory and The rise of APAC into the sector in the first quarter, growing middle class, the region is largely driven by two Chinese deals Fintech Investment in tipped for major digital growth (see each crossing the $1 billion threshold. Asia-Pacific more than quadrupled Sidebar 1). Furthermore, an increased In fact, fintech companies in APAC in 2015 to $4.3 billion. It is now interest in some of the newer fintech received more than 50% of all the second biggest region for segments, such as InsurTech, RiskTech investment in Q1. This 47% year- fintech investment after North and RegTech, has helped spur on America, accounting for 19% of over-year growth in the first quarter investment into the sector. is a sure sign that the sector could global financing activity and up be poised for another stellar year. Another sign of maturity is the from just 6% in 2010. China has increasing number of big-ticket the lion’s share of investment, accounting for 45% in 2015, but A change deals in the sector. In 2015, there India makes up 38% and is growing were 94 fintech deals larger than in composition $50 million (Exhibit 2), including a fast. Mumbai, Bangalore, Tokyo Reversals of fortune such as the Powa and Beijing are the major fintech number of megadeals like the $1 collapse led some critics to question hubs in the region by the number whether current fintech valuations billion financing round from SoFi, of deals. Looking at deal volumes, are justified, or merely frothy. While the online lending marketplace. 78% went to fintech companies it looks like Q4 may have reflected Over the course of the past five years, targeting the banking industry, 9% a dip in confidence, what we can fintech investment has been largely to wealth management and asset see clearly is that the composition management companies and 1% focused around retail payments. of the market is changing. to the insurance sector. Payments However, maturity has brought much greater diversification, with innovators is the most popular segment Despite some cooling down at the seeking to disrupt and enhance elements for fintech deals in Asia-Pacific, end of last year in some of the accounting for 38% of the total. more mature fintech hotspots, such along the financial services value chain as Silicon Valley, New York and (Exhibit 3). Insurance, for example, is London, hubs in other parts of the rapidly emerging as the next big thing in world, such as Austin, Stockholm fintech, with investment into firms with and Mumbai gathered pace. Indeed, InsurTech propositions more than tripling fintech investment in APAC more from 2014 to 2015 (see Sidebar 2). Exhibit 2: Number of >$50m Fintech deals, 2010-15 94 14 19 52 6 6 61 40 15 1 1 8 6 1 4 2 13 3 2 5 1 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 RoW Europe APAC North America Note: only deals with amount reported by CB Insights Source: Accenture analysis on CB Insights data 4
Exhibit 3: Global Fintech Financing Activity by Product Segment, 2010-15 Size Investment ($M) = 200 $M Cagr 10-15 % = 800 $M High growth segments 60 = 2000 $M Retail Lending Legend 50 Retail Investments Deposit accounts Wealth Mgmt & AM DCM Mature segments 40 Risk & Markets Payments Regulation Asset Mgmt Corporate Payments Operations Insurance Account Mgmt - Retail 30 Retail Payments Back Office Operations SME Lending & Asset Finance Other Non - life Lending Trading 20 Other Note: Account Mgmt - Commercial 1. Bubble size represents amount of Life Merchant Acquiring investments 2010 – 2015 10 Inv. Research 2. Other includes accounting solutions, Corporate Finance e-commerce solutions excluding payments 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 Source: Accenture analysis on CB Insights data # of deals 2010 - 2015 From competition potential partners. Last year, the level companies looking to compete only of investment into fintechs wishing to increased by 23% (Exhibit 5). So while to collaboration collaborate with the industry increased there is still more investment going Broadly speaking, there are two by 138%, now representing 44% of all into competitive fintech companies, different types of fintech companies: fintech investment, up from 29% last there is a clear and growing appetite, the competitive, which we define as year. Whereas investment into fintech from both sides, to collaborate. direct challengers to the incumbent financial services institutions, and the collaborative, which offer solutions to enhance the position of Exhibit 4: Fintech heat map – Threats and opportunities (# of deals 2010 – 2015) existing market players (Exhibit 4). Competitive FinTechs Collaborative FinTechs Competitive fintech companies have Loss of Loss of Loss of Reduce Op. Reduce New Digital enjoyed some success, targeting less Products Relationship Relevance Revenues Costs Risk Business profitable segments by delivering better Deposit accounts experiences directly to customers. For example, On Deck Capital provides Payments faster loans for SMEs, Square offers card services for micro merchants Lending and eToro offers professional trading strategies for retail investors, Wealth Mgmt & AM frequently at a discounted price. Markets Many financial services institutions recognise the role collaborative Insurance fintechs can play to help drive Back Office their own evolution. Meanwhile, Operations fintechs – from those who began as collaborative players, to those >50% of deals 30-50% of deals 10-30% of deals 50% of deals 10-50% of deals
This is one reason the FinTech Innovation competitive fintech companies, initiatives pales in comparison to the $50 billion these Lab, sponsored by Accenture and the such as the FCA’s Project Innovate3 have banks spent on new technology investment Partnership Fund for New York City, helped to lower the barriers to entry for during the same period (Exhibit 7). which brings leading financial services these firms. Interestingly, although not firms together to identify and mentor as pronounced, these trends are reflected It is not possible to analyse how much of the most promising fintech innovators, this $50bn is being spent on new forms regionally whereby the investment is such an important part of the growing of financial technology, or indeed invested dollars have moved towards more ecosystem (see Sidebar 3). Now in its in new home-grown bank intellectual competitive firms in Europe and more sixth year, The FinTech Innovation Lab has property, but we believe from anecdotal collaborative firms in North America, and produced many successful collaborations evidence that much of bank investment to a lesser extent in APAC (Exhibit 6). for banks, with more than 90 graduates remains tied up with adjusting legacy across the four Lab locations: London, Even though investment dollars still tend technology. Furthermore, banks continue New York, Hong Kong and Dublin. to employ a static method of annual to favour those looking to compete with investment allocation for activities the industry, many are quickly acquired The ratio of competitive versus designed to ‘Change the Bank’. As a collaborative investment throughout by or take significant investment from result, we observe that bank employees the world differs dramatically from incumbents once market traction has are encouraged to protect their existing market to market. For example, the shift been proven, and even sometimes before. multi-year programmes rather than to collaboration has been particularly For example, Atom bank – a UK mobile- adopting new technologies as quickly as strong over the last five years in New only bank – will launch in 2016 after those in specialist processing companies York, where the proportion of investment receiving a $68 million investment in and other competing business models. in collaborative fintech companies has exchange for a 29.5% stake from BBVA4. grown from 37% in 2010 to 83% in 2015. This relatively low participation in external However, in the UK, where the regulatory Nevertheless, while more fintechs wish investment, combined with constraints environment is more favourable for to cater to the needs of the banking on ‘Change the Bank’ internal investment those looking to compete directly with industry, they are not seeing reciprocal now poses a significant risk to incumbent the industry, this trend is reversed, with investment from banks in their banks. subsequently hindering their ability more than 90% of investment going to businesses. Last year, banks participated to win the battle for customer relevance would-be competitive fintech companies. in less than 10% of all reported fintech and radically improve the efficiency Whilst the UK does not explicitly favour deals, totalling less than $5 billion. This of banking transaction platforms. Exhibit 5: Collaborative Fintech Investments vs. Competitive Fintech Investments, 2014/15 ($M) % Ch. 15-14 18,150 44% +138% 11,642 Collaborative 29% 56% +23% Competitive 71% 2014 2015 Note: total excludes Other segment Source: Accenture analysis on CB Insights data 3 https://innovate.fca.org.uk/ 4 “UK Mobile-Only Atom Bank Picks Up $128M Led By BBVA, Owner Of Simple In The U.S.”, Techcrunch.com, November 24, 2015. Factiva, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6
Exhibit 6: Collaborative Fintech Investments vs. Competitive Fintech Investments, 2010/15 ($M) The rise of InsurTech Europe North Amerca APAC 92 2,897 1,118 11,387 43 3,781 While fintech is relatively 7% pervasive in banking and 14% 16% capital markets, it is still Collaborative 38% 40% nascent in insurance. In 2014, 60% tech companies targeting the insurance space received less than $800 million in funding, but 86% 93% 84% in 2015 insurance tech start-ups Competitive 62% 60% attracted more than three times that, receiving approximately 40% $2.6 billion. Most insurers are still tied to a business model 2010 2015 2010 2015 2010 2015 based on pooling risk, calculating average pricing and generating Note: total excludes Other segment gross premium income, which Source: Accenture analysis on CB Insights data is increasingly threatened by digital technologies, such as wearable devices, smart objects and connected cars. However, Exhibit 7: Global Banks’ IT Investment by Type, 2015 these technologies also offer insurers a new, rich data source, providing new possibilities Bank IT spending for new investments for underwriting, enhancing ~ $50Bn the customer experience and cutting costs. For example, Oscar Health Insurance partners with wearable-device company, Fintech Investments Misfit, reward fit customers ~ $22Bn by automatically linking their biometric information to their health insurance. Meanwhile, Censio has developed software Value of fintech deals with banks as investors that automatically monitors ~ $5Bn and measures drivers’ data for auto insurers, which has been adopted by Progressive, a US-based insurer. Source: 1. IT Spending in Banking, A Global Perspective, Celent, February 2015 2. Digital Disruption: How FinTech is forcing Banking to a tipping point, Citi, March 2016 3. Accenture analysis on CB Insights data InsurTech 7
A complex battlefield Banks are now recognising that fintech companies typically pose more of an opportunity than a threat. Yet, despite this, banks still find themselves confronted by a wide range of related challenges across several fronts. The impact of GAFAA – from Play Store to Mapping to Search – with no fuss and no cost, Customers are accustomed to higher customers may perceive this gap levels of digitally enabled customer from their bank as a service failure. service in other industries. This is particularly true with firms such as With their prevalence amongst Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon consumers, GAFAA are starting to and Alibaba (GAFAA). This group offer targeted financial services that is resetting the benchmark for satisfy specific needs. Amazon, for customer experience. Recognising the example, is making loans to small inherent value of financial data, they businesses trading in its Marketplace are increasingly offering banking- through a service called Amazon style services to customers. This in Lending. The service uses trading data turn, leaves traditional banks at a and vendor reviews to make highly disadvantage as their view of the reliable credit decisions. Google Wallet customer cannot match the ‘high allows customers to make online definition’ picture available to GAFAA. purchases via email, and Apple has The challenge for banks here is what integrated payments into its new Fjord refers to as “liquid expectation5”, touch authentication devices, such whereby customers measure the quality as the iPhone 6 and iPad Air 2. Also, of service they receive from players in Facebook has launched its free ‘Friend- one sector, against their experience to-Friend’ payments service. Given how from another. If, for example, Google fast the digital financial ecosystem can offer a fully integrated customer is evolving, learning from and experience, with a single log-in, collaborating with GAFAA will be high across multiple devices and products on the agenda for bank leadership. 8
The rise of the platforms from multiple banks and building open, secure and resilient services greater efficiency into non-value- that can also be integrated with The banking landscape is not adding, yet essential processes other customer solutions only changing in the front office; such as customer identity checks. • Banks lose their customer-facing core processing functions are This starts to question the current relevance and their industry foothold changing too. Traditionally, banks industry data model where each as more-nimble tech / processing have controlled most end-to- bank attempts to control and own companies create better platforms, end processing themselves, but data to support services they offer. but retain a core role as highly with the increasing divestment regulated entities that integrate of their processing operations Tech players may provide some complex supply chains of – either through choice or platform services more efficiently platform providers under regulatory pressure – this than banks. However, they will truly model is starting to change. begin to compete with the banks There is no reason why different areas once they achieve the scale and of banking will follow the same scenario In 2009, the European Commission capabilities required to serve the – the competitive dynamics for retail ordered RBS to sell its payments industry as a utility, rather than banking are different, for example, from processing company, RBS Worldpay, as fragmented players scattered those in corporate banking and more as part of a larger state aid ruling6. between individual banks. Banks that different still for prime brokerage. This year, the UK regulator has hang on to platforms, rather than opened up the UK payments system sourcing them from better providers, Banks must learn lessons from GAFAA to further competition by compelling will struggle to compete, while about how to reach, interact with and Lloyds, Barclays, HSBC and RBS to others will efficiently orchestrate delight their customers. By forming divest their joint stake in VocaLink, a set of best-of-breed services. partnerships with these firms, they can the company providing the UK’s access their deep pools of customer payments infrastructure7. By the time Likely Landing Points data and drive future products and Payments Services Directive (PSD2) We see one of the following services. If banks surrender parts of rolls out in 2018, the UK payments three scenarios as the most likely their supply chain that they possess market may look very different. to emerge: neither the appetite nor the capability to run efficiently, they could concentrate Previously, such back office functions • Banks remain relevant to their instead on driving higher returns were not a revenue generating part of customers and adopt fintech from other, more valuable the business model and seen instead much more aggressively, parts of their business. as pure processing functionality. enabling radical However, through divestment, a productivity improvements. new breed of free-standing, profit- This would happen quickly hungry businesses are being created, enough to pass efficiencies on which could pose a threat to the to customers through lower status quo for banks. Elsewhere, in transaction fees investment banking, companies like • Banks become less directly Markit are looking to significantly relevant to customers, but expand the services offered on retain end-to-end platform service an industry basis, by pooling data provision by creating value-added, 5 https://livingservices.fjordnet.com/media-files/2015/09/living-services.pdf 6 “RBS to sell WorldPay to Advent”, Domain-B, August 7, 2010. Factiva, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 7 “UK regulator urges banks to sell stakes in VocaLink to increase payments competition”, Banking Service Payments, February 26, 2016. Factiva, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 9
The emerging bank reactions In our report “The Future of Fintech and Banking”⁸, we identified three critical behaviours of banks that would successfully seize the opportunities presented by the digital revolution. These were: Act Open • Act Open • Collaborate • Invest Over the past year, we have seen year technology scanning, successful financial institutions investment and adoption continue to pursue these behaviours. programme. Banks should also place However, building out a set of themselves closer to the centre strategies to stay relevant and of their customers’ digital lives; endure the pace of change will help embedding customer-centric banks emerge as digital winners. thinking at the core of the corporate While no strategy can be dogmatic, strategy. New technologies require Collaborate as the landscape will move quickly, new skills, so banks must invest in banks need to take a position on their people to ensure they have what the future looks like and act the right skillsets for their new accordingly. Below we have outlined digital environment at every level of an emerging set of strategies for the organisation the near, medium and long-term. • For the longer-term: banks will • In the near-term: banks are starting need to consider how they will to look at tactical ways to improve expand their franchises to develop their business models by investing a service ecosystem around their in easily adoptable technologies customers. They need to challenge Invest within the industry. No regret their own business models, actions, such as RPA, and ensuring potentially cannibalising short- that the digital disruption message term revenue in order to be become is amplified across the agenda of more relevant to their customers banks’ leadership are imperative to and access longer-term, but larger, addressing these industry dynamics revenue pools. Banks will also need to make higher risk • In the medium-term: banks will investments in innovation and benefit from developing a multi- not wait until the return on these 8 https://www.accenture.com/gb-en/insight-future-fintech-banking.aspx 10
investments is as clear as historically where talented people who are best demanded for ordinary ‘Run’ able to adopt innovation, no longer see or ‘Change the Bank’ projects or the bank as an attractive place to work. The FinTech investments. Using historical The analysis of the outcome scenarios Innovation Lab investment assessment criteria may optimise the bank, but it will and the management of execution The FinTech Innovation Lab is an not truly challenge or change the risks can seem daunting, but we annual mentorship programme business model believe that for now, the incumbent for entrepreneurs and early-stage banks remain in a strong position to companies that are developing The approaches to execution and influence and determine their own cutting-edge technologies for the strategies for investment that are destiny. The current wave of disruptive financial services sector. The Lab currently being deployed amongst innovation will be seen in five years’ brings senior executives from the banking incumbents suggest that time as having delivered safer, more world’s leading financial services many, though not all, have yet to transparent, efficient and responsive firms together to identify the most develop a clear ’house view’ on the banking services to retail consumers, promising financial technology likely outcomes for themselves or for businesses and market participants alike. innovations, mentor a handful their respective markets. They are also of aspiring entrepreneurs, and unconvinced about their ability to drive Fintech start-ups themselves are not help them refine and test their emerging as the main competitive propositions over a three-month their own destiny. We believe this lack threat for most areas of banking. Banks period. The FinTech Innovation Lab of strategic clarity is the biggest threat that can assess, adapt and adopt these began in New York in 2010, founded to the future of incumbent players. new technologies most quickly will be by the Partnership Fund for New For some, this is leading to confused best positioned to achieve their desired York City and Accenture. In 2012, execution whereby top level statements position in the new industry structure. Accenture launched the programme of bold intent, investment and in London, and then Hong Kong innovation-driven change are not and Ireland in 2014. More than 50 matched by actions on the ground. This financial institutions participate risks leading to a knock-on constraint in the programme globally. 11
About Accenture Methodology Acknowledgements Accenture is a leading global This report used investment data This report and the research would professional services company, from CB Insights, a global venture not have been possible without the providing a broad range of services finance-data and analytics firm. The generous participation of many and solutions in strategy, consulting, analysis included global financing people from the financial services digital, technology and operations. activity from venture capital and industry and beyond. Combining unmatched experience private equity firms, corporations Authors and specialized skills across more and corporate venture-capital Julian Skan than 40 industries and all business divisions, hedge funds, accelerators Managing Director functions—underpinned by the and government-backed funds. The Accenture Financial Services world’s largest delivery network— investment figures exclude global Accenture works at the intersection exit activities of fintech companies James Dickerson of business and technology to help Accenture Financial Services – M&A and IPOs – and a number clients improve their performance of regional tracking dimensions Luca Gagliardi and create sustainable value for their however analysis has been conducted Accenture Research stakeholders. With approximately on these activities. Fintech Key Contacts: 373,000 people serving clients in companies are defined as those that Loren Naish more than 120 countries, Accenture offer technologies for banking and Marketing drives innovation to improve the way corporate finance, capital markets, Accenture Innovation the world works and lives. Visit us at financial data analytics, payments loren.naish@accenture.com www.accenture.com. and personal financial management. The list of deals included are Petra Shuttlewood dynamic and constantly changing, Media and Analyst Relations as new companies are added to the Accenture Financial Services database. All publicly known fund petra.shuttlewood@accenture.com raising for a company, which can www.fintechinnovationlab.com include earlier rounds, are back filled fintechlondon@accenture.com into the database. @FinTechLabLDN Copyright © 2016 Accenture All rights reserved. Accenture, its logo, and High Performance Delivered are trademarks of Accenture.
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