FINAL TNUOS TARIFFS FOR 2021/22 - NATIONAL GRID ELECTRICITY SYSTEM OPERATOR JANUARY 2021 - NATIONAL GRID ESO
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Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 National Grid Electricity System Operator January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 0
Contents Executive summary ................................................................................................ 3 Charging Methodology Changes ............................................................................ 5 Generation tariffs ................................................................................................... 8 1. Generation tariffs summary ......................................................................................................... 9 2. Generation wider tariffs................................................................................................................ 9 3. Changes to wider tariffs since the Draft tariffs tariff forecast ..................................................... 10 Onshore local tariffs for generation ...................................................................... 12 4. Onshore local substation tariffs ................................................................................................. 12 5. Onshore local circuit tariffs ........................................................................................................ 12 Offshore local tariffs for generation ...................................................................... 13 6. Offshore local generation tariffs ................................................................................................. 13 Demand tariffs ...................................................................................................... 15 7. Demand tariffs summary............................................................................................................ 16 8. Changes since Draft Tariffs ....................................................................................................... 17 9. Half-Hourly demand tariffs ......................................................................................................... 17 10. Embedded Export Tariffs (EET) ................................................................................................ 18 11. Non-Half-Hourly demand tariffs ................................................................................................. 19 Overview of data input ......................................................................................... 21 12. Changes affecting the locational element of tariffs .................................................................... 22 13. Adjustments for interconnectors ................................................................................................ 22 14. Expansion Constant................................................................................................................... 23 15. Onshore substation tariffs .......................................................................................................... 23 16. Offshore local tariffs ................................................................................................................... 23 17. Allowed transmission revenues ................................................................................................. 23 18. Generation / Demand (G/D) Split .............................................................................................. 25 19. Charging bases for 2020/21 ...................................................................................................... 26 20. Annual Load Factors.................................................................................................................. 27 21. Generation adjustment and demand residual............................................................................ 27 Tools and supporting information ......................................................................... 30 Further information ............................................................................................... 31 Appendix A: Background to TNUoS charging ...................................................... 32 Appendix B: Changes and proposed changes to the charging methodology ....... 38 Appendix C: Breakdown of locational HH and EE tariffs ...................................... 40 Appendix D: Locational demand profiles .............................................................. 42 Appendix E: Annual Load Factors ........................................................................ 44 Appendix F: Contracted generation changes since the Draft tariffs ..................... 46 January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 1
Appendix G Transmission company revenues ..................................................... 48 Appendix H: Generation zones map .................................................................... 55 Appendix I: Demand zones map .......................................................................... 57 Appendix J: Quarterly Changes to TNUoS parameters........................................ 59 List of Tables Table 1 Summary of generation tariffs .............................................................................................. 9 Table 2 Generation wider tariffs ...................................................................................................... 10 Table 3 Generation wider tariff changes since Draft tariffs ............................................................. 11 Table 4 Local substation tariffs ........................................................................................................ 12 Table 5 Onshore local circuit tariffs ................................................................................................. 13 Table 6 Circuits subject to one-off charges ..................................................................................... 13 Table 7 Offshore local tariffs 2021/22 ............................................................................................. 14 Table 8 Summary of demand tariffs ................................................................................................ 16 Table 9 Demand tariffs .................................................................................................................... 16 Table 10 Half-Hourly demand tariffs................................................................................................ 17 Table 11 Embedded Export Tariffs.................................................................................................. 18 Table 12 Changes to Non-Half-Hourly demand tariffs .................................................................... 19 Table 13 Contracted TEC ................................................................................................................ 22 Table 14 Interconnectors ................................................................................................................. 23 Table 15 Allowed revenues ............................................................................................................. 25 Table 16 Generation and demand revenue proportions ................................................................. 26 Table 17 Charging bases ................................................................................................................ 27 Table 18 Residual components calculation ..................................................................................... 29 Table 19 Summary of concluded CUSC modification proposals impacting 2021/22 tariffs ............ 39 Table 20 Demand HH locational tariffs............................................................................................ 41 Table 21 Breakdown of the EET ..................................................................................................... 41 Table 22 Demand profile ................................................................................................................. 43 Table 23 Generic ALFs for 2021/22 ................................................................................................ 45 Table 24 NGESO revenue breakdown ............................................................................................ 49 Table 25 NGET revenue breakdown ............................................................................................... 51 Table 26 SPT revenue breakdown .................................................................................................. 52 Table 27 SHETL revenue breakdown ............................................................................................. 53 Table 28 Offshore revenues ............................................................................................................ 54 List of Figures Figure 1 Variation in generation zonal tariffs ................................................................................... 11 Figure 2 Changes to gross Half-Hourly demand tariffs ................................................................... 18 Figure 3 Embedded export tariff changes ....................................................................................... 19 Figure 4 Changes to Non-Half-Hourly demand tariffs ..................................................................... 20 January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 2
Executive summary The Transmission Network Use of System (TNUoS) charge is designed to recover the cost of installing and maintaining the transmission system in England, Wales, Scotland and offshore. It is applicable to transmission connected generators and suppliers for use of the transmission networks. This document contains the Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22. Under the National Grid Electricity System • CMP357 – To improve accuracy of the Operator (NGESO) licence condition C4 and Locational Security Factor Connection and Use of System Code (CUSC) paragraph 14.29, we publish the COVID19 Impact Final TNUoS tariffs for year 2021/22 on our website1. We have been closely monitoring the impact of COVID19 on the transmission networks. In These tariffs will take effect from 1st April these Final Tariffs, we have applied our best 2021. view on the demand and generation forecast. Price Control Impact We currently forecast -2.75% (~£77m) under-recovery of TNUoS for the current The charging year 2021/22 is the first year in year 2020/21. This number will be revised at the new RIIO-2 price control period for the the next TNUoS tariff forecast. Any under- transmission owners (TOs) and NGESO. In recovery will be recovered in charging year this report, the various parameters have 2022/23. been re-set in line with the CUSC. Please see New Price Control RIIO2 section on Total TNUoS Revenue page 7 for details. Total revenue to be collected is £3,318m Regulatory Changes Implementation based on TOs’ and OFTOs’ final submissions. It is an increase from 2021/21 A number of regulatory changes have been but a decrease of £92m compared to the implemented in the Final Tariffs including, Draft tariffs - following Ofgem’s Final Transmission Generation Residual (TGR). Determination on TOs’ business plans. Ofgem’s decision on the Targeted Charging Review (TCR) affects TNUoS tariffs in two Generation tariffs aspects, TGR and the Transmission Demand The revenue to be recovered from Residual (TDR). The TGR changes are to be generators is £774m, an increase of £399m implemented from April 2021 and affect from 2020/21 and a decrease of £39m since generation residual tariffs, while the TDR the Draft tariffs. This increase from 2020/21 changes are expected to be implemented is mainly driven by the implementation of from April 2022. As such, we have TGR. Local tariffs have been removed from incorporated the decision of CMP317/327 for the EU generation cap calculation. The TGR in the Final Tariffs. generation residual has been removed from In addition, we have also incorporated TNUoS charge, but to ensure compliance Ofgem’s decisions on: with the EU generation cap, an adjustment element has been introduced instead. • CMP324/325 – Generation Rezoning The generation charging base has been • CMP353 - Stabilising the Expansion updated to 70.1GW based on our best view Constant and non-specific Onshore on generation projects for 2021/22. This is a Expansion Factors reduction of 1.6GW from the Draft tariffs. • CMP355/356 – Updating the Indexation With a decrease in revenue to be collected methodology for RIIO2 from generation, the average generation 1 https://www.nationalgrideso.com/charging/tra smission-network-use-system-tnuos-charges January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 3
tariff decreased by £0.32/kW to £11.04 /kW Feedback since the Draft tariffs and the adjustment tariff decreased by £0.40/kW to -£0.43/kW. We welcome feedback on any aspect of this document and the tariff setting processes. Small Generator Discount We are very aware that TNUoS charging is undergoing transition and there will be As defined in the NGESO’s licence, the substantial changes to charging mechanisms Small Generator Discount (SGD) reduces over the next few years, either as a result of the tariff for transmission connected Ofgem’s charging review or through CUSC generation connected at 132kV and with modifications raised from time to time. Transmission Export Capacity (TEC)
1 Charging Methodology Changes January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 5
TNUoS Charging Methodology The TNUoS tariff setting methodology defined in the CUSC is subject to open governance. We are obliged to comply with the latest approved CUSC changes applicable from 1st April 2021 in the Final Tariffs for 2021/22. This section summarises the key changes to the methodology. Ofgem’s Targeted Charging Review (TCR) On 21 November 2019, the Authority published their final decision 2 on the Targeted Charging Review (TCR) and issued Directions to NGESO to raise changes to the charging methodology to give effect to that final decision. Under the TCR, the two changes for TNUoS tariff setting and charges are: • The removal of the generation residual, which is currently used to keep total TNUoS recovery from generators within the range of €0-2.50/MWh. This change has been managed under CMP317/327, with the final decision being announced by Ofgem on 17 December 20203, which seeks to ensure ongoing compliance with European Regulation by establishing which charges are, and are not in scope of that range; • The creation of specific NHH and HH demand residual charges, levied only to final demand (which is consumption not used either to operate a generating station, or to store and export), and on a ‘site’ basis. CMP332 (Transmission Demand Residual bandings and allocation) was raised and approved to modify the CUSC methodology accordingly. This is due to take effect from April 2022. Our 2021/22 Final tariffs have implemented CMP317/327 which will take effect from April 2021. The TGR has been set to £0/kW but an adjustment has been introduced to ensure generation charges are still compliant with the cap. For the purposes of this report we have compared the adjustment to the generation residual published in the Draft tariffs. As per Ofgem’s decision on TGR, all Local Charges for Local Circuits and Local Substations paid by generators have been excluded for the purposes of assessing compliance with the €0- 2.50/MWh range. We have also not included any BSC charges nor any elements of BSUoS Charges, like Congestion Management costs, in the generation cap. Other Regulatory Changes In addition to the above TGR changes, a number of CUSC modification proposals have been approved by Ofgem through the year and the changes have all been included in this Final Tariffs. • CMP324/325 – Generation Rezoning. The generation zonal boundaries remain unchanged from RIIO-T1, as a result of CMP325. • CMP353 - Stabilising the Expansion Constant and non-specific Onshore Expansion Factors. Under this mod, the expansion constant and generic onshore expansion factors will remain similar to the values used under RIIO-1. • CMP355/356 – Updating the Indexation methodology for RIIO2. This mod has changed the inflation indexation, which underpins TNUoS charging parameters, from RPI to CPIH, in line with Ofgem’s final determination on RIIO-2. • CMP357 – To improve accuracy of the Locational Security Factor. The security factor for RIIO-2 was rounded to one decimal place at 1.8. Under this mod, 2d.p. is to be used, which changed the value of security factor to 1.76. This value will remain unchanged throughout RIIO-2 period. Charging Parameters Reset In accordance with the CUSC, at the start of the next price control in April 2021, various aspects of the TNUoS charging parameters are required to be re-set based on the data for the price-control and apply from 1 April 2021. The parameters and their changes are listed in the table below. 2 https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/electricity/transmission-networks/charging/targeted-charging-review-significant-code-review 3 https://www.nationalgrideso.com/document/183141/download January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 6
Charging Parameters Re-set for RIIO-2 Component Description Res-set for 2021/22 Generation zones Number of generation zones. It Following approval of CMP325, the was 27 in RIIO1. generation zonal boundaries have been fixed and remain as 27. Expansion Constant The expansion constant and In accordance with Ofgem’s and Factors expansion factors need to be decision on CMP353 and CMP recalculated based on TOs’ 355/356, the expansion constant business plans and costs of for RIIO-1 (inflated by RPI from investments. The expansion 2013/14 to 2020/21) continues with constant represents the cost of CPIH uplift from 1st April 2021 and moving 1MW, 1km using 400kV that the expansion factors are OHL line. The expansion factors unchanged. represent how many times more expensive moving 1MW, 1km is using different voltages and types of circuit. Locational Onshore The security factor was 1.8 in Following approval of CMP357 Security Factor RIIO1. (improving accuracy of the security factor), we have applied 2 decimal places on the security factor, which is 1.76. This value will be fixed during the RIIO period. Local Substation Local Substation tariffs will be The local substation tariffs have Tariffs recalculated in preparation for been updated based on TOs data the start of the price control submitted as part of the RIIO-2 based on TO asset costs. parameter refresh. The annuity and overhead factors that feed into these tariffs have been updated to reflect Ofgem’s Final Determination. Offshore Local tariffs The elements for the offshore The offshore tariffs have been tariffs have been recalculated for recalculated to adjust for the new price control, based on differences in actual OFTO updated forecasts of OFTO revenue to forecast revenue in revenue. It includes adjustments RIIO-T1. for differences in actual OFTO revenue to forecast revenue in We have recalculated the Offshore RIIO-T1, including approved substation discount and included it Income Adjusting Events and in the offshore local tariffs in this Exception Event Claims. report. Avoided GSP The AGIC is a component of the The RIIO-2 AGIC parameter has Infrastructure Credit Embedded Export Tariff, paid to been updated for Final Tariffs, (AGIC) ‘exporting demand’ at the time of based on the final determination. Triad. It will be recalculated From 1st April 2021, CPIH inflation based on up to 20 schemes will be applied. from the RIIO-2 price control period. January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 7
2 Generation tariffs Wider tariffs, onshore local circuit and substation tariffs, and offshore local tariffs January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 8
1. Generation tariffs summary This section summarises the generation tariffs for 2021/22 and how these tariffs were calculated. The tariffs include the implementation of Ofgem’s decision for the Transmission Generation Residual (TGR) which does increase the amount generators pay for TNUoS compared to 2020/21. As part of our tariff setting, we have excluded all local onshore and local offshore tariffs from the European €2.50/MWh cap for generator transmission charges and set the Generation Residual to £0/kW as agreed under CMP317/327. However, to ensure compliance with the EU cap there is a negative adjustment required. For the purpose of this report, we have compared the adjustment with the generation residual published in the Draft tariffs. Table 1 Summary of generation tariffs Generation Tariffs Change since 2021/22 Draft 2021/22 Final (£/kW) last forecast Adjustment - 0.027640 - 0.432600 - 0.404959 Average Generation Tariff* 11.351149 11.035859 - 0.315290 *N.B. These generation average tariffs include local tariffs The average generation tariff is calculated by dividing the total revenue payable by generation over the generation charging base in GW. Average generation tariffs have decreased by £0.32/kW. This is mainly driven by a decrease in the generation output from 220TWh to 200TWh, which has taken into consideration of the COVID impact. These average tariffs include revenues from local tariffs. Since the Draft tariffs the generation adjustment, previously known as the residual, has decreased to -0.40/kW due to the expected decrease in generation output in 2021/22. 2. Generation wider tariffs The following section summarises the wider generation tariffs for 2021/22. A brief description of generation wider tariff structure can be found in Appendix A. The wider tariffs are calculated depending on the generator type and made of four components, two of the components (Year Round Shared Element and Year Round Not Shared Element) are multiplied by the generator’s specific Annual Load Factor (ALF). The ALF is explained in Appendix E. The classifications of generator type are listed below: Conventional Carbon Conventional Low Carbon Intermittent Biomass Nuclear Offshore wind CCGT/CHP Hydro Onshore wind Coal Solar PV OCGT/Oil Tidal Pumped storage (including battery storage) The 80% and 40% ALFs, used in the tables in this section of the report, for the Conventional Carbon, Conventional Low Carbon and Intermittent example tariffs are for illustration only. Tariffs for individual generators are calculated using their own ALF. Please note that the Small Generator Discount is discontinued from 1st April 2021 and has not been included in the tariffs. January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 9
Table 2 Generation wider tariffs Tariffs (£/kW) Example tariffs for a generator of each technology type Conventional Conventional Intermittent 40% System Shared Not Shared Carbon 80% Low Carbon 80% Adjustment Peak Year Round Year Round Tariff Tariff Tariff Zone Zone Name (£/kW) (£/kW) (£/kW) 1 North Scotland 4.126082 19.849130 18.845468 - 0.432600 34.649160 38.418254 26.352520 2 East Aberdeenshire 3.151849 10.476562 18.845468 - 0.432600 26.176873 29.945967 22.603493 3 Western Highlands 3.841775 18.124856 18.137065 - 0.432600 32.418712 36.046125 24.954407 4 Skye and Lochalsh - 0.600287 18.124856 19.911917 - 0.432600 29.396531 33.378915 26.729259 5 Eastern Grampian and Tayside 4.627928 13.372520 15.294671 - 0.432600 27.129081 30.188015 20.211079 6 Central Grampian 4.271604 14.302078 16.361775 - 0.432600 28.370086 31.642441 21.650006 7 Argyll 2.644528 12.371769 24.994839 - 0.432600 32.105214 37.104182 29.510947 8 The Trossachs 3.758239 12.371769 14.104429 - 0.432600 24.506597 27.327483 18.620537 9 Stirlingshire and Fife 2.666380 10.932125 12.879423 - 0.432600 21.283018 23.858903 16.819673 10 South West Scotlands 2.952740 11.283085 13.150169 - 0.432600 22.066743 24.696777 17.230803 11 Lothian and Borders 2.920257 11.283085 6.510723 - 0.432600 16.722703 18.024848 10.591357 12 Solway and Cheviot 2.524162 7.605300 7.294685 - 0.432600 14.011550 15.470487 9.904205 13 North East England 3.345180 5.886920 4.405551 - 0.432600 11.146557 12.027667 6.327719 14 North Lancashire and The Lakes 2.484799 5.886920 1.250164 - 0.432600 7.761866 8.011899 3.172332 15 South Lancashire, Yorkshire and Humber 3.791173 2.396756 0.347999 - 0.432600 5.554377 5.623977 0.874101 16 North Midlands and North Wales 3.167807 0.864623 - - 0.432600 3.426905 3.426905 - 0.086751 17 South Lincolnshire and North Norfolk 1.311261 1.550670 - - 0.432600 2.119197 2.119197 0.187668 18 Mid Wales and The Midlands 1.624967 1.788458 - - 0.432600 2.623133 2.623133 0.282783 19 Anglesey and Snowdon 4.790020 1.007415 - - 0.432600 5.163352 5.163352 - 0.029634 20 Pembrokeshire 7.437664 - 6.301681 - - 0.432600 1.963719 1.963719 - 2.953272 21 South Wales & Gloucester 3.411188 - 6.636984 - - 0.432600 - 2.330999 - 2.330999 - 3.087394 22 Cotswold 2.274785 3.515931 - 8.455582 - 0.432600 - 2.109536 - 3.800652 - 7.481810 23 Central London - 3.681071 3.515931 - 5.511826 - 0.432600 - 5.710387 - 6.812752 - 4.538054 24 Essex and Kent - 3.332257 3.515931 - - 0.432600 - 0.952112 - 0.952112 0.973772 25 Oxfordshire, Surrey and Sussex - 0.985430 - 1.875819 - - 0.432600 - 2.918685 - 2.918685 - 1.182928 26 Somerset and Wessex - 2.246762 - 3.309922 - - 0.432600 - 5.327300 - 5.327300 - 1.756569 27 West Devon and Cornwall - 2.524900 - 8.311269 - - 0.432600 - 9.606515 - 9.606515 - 3.757108 3. Changes to wider tariffs since the Draft tariffs tariff forecast The following section provides details of the wider and local generation tariffs in the Final tariffs for 2021/22 and explains how these have changed since the Draft tariffs. The next table and chart show the changes in wider generation TNUoS tariffs since the Draft tariffs with the example Conventional Carbon, Conventional Low Carbon and Intermittent tariffs. The Conventional tariffs use a load factor of 80%, and the Intermittent tariffs use a 40% load factor. All the examples are for illustration purposes only. The Generation tariffs in the below table include the impact of the TCR, where the TGR has become £0/kW, and there is now a negative adjustment factor to ensure compliance with the European €2.50 cap. January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 10
Table 3 Generation wider tariff changes since Draft tariffs Wider Generation Tariffs (£/kW) Conventional Carbon 80% Conventional Low Carbon 80% Intermittent 40% Change in 2021/22 2021/22 2021/22 2021/22 2021/22 2021/22 Zone Zone Name Change Change Change Adjustment Draft Final Draft Final Draft Final 1 North Scotland 35.967563 34.649160 - 1.318403 39.834795 38.418254 - 1.416541 27.454899 26.352520 - 1.102379 - 0.404959 2 East Aberdeenshire 27.274678 26.176873 - 1.097805 31.141910 29.945967 - 1.195943 23.608256 22.603493 - 1.004764 - 0.404959 3 Western Highlands 33.679039 32.418712 - 1.260327 37.400901 36.046125 - 1.354776 26.020383 24.954407 - 1.065975 - 0.404959 4 Skye and Lochalsh 30.578168 29.396531 - 1.181636 34.664243 33.378915 - 1.285328 27.841447 26.729259 - 1.112187 - 0.404959 5 Eastern Grampian and Tayside 28.251680 27.129081 - 1.122599 31.390261 30.188015 - 1.202246 21.153550 20.211079 - 0.942471 - 0.404959 6 Central Grampian 29.524998 28.370086 - 1.154912 32.882557 31.642441 - 1.240116 22.629944 21.650006 - 0.979937 - 0.404959 7 Argyll 33.357379 32.105214 - 1.252164 38.486507 37.104182 - 1.382325 30.695563 29.510947 - 1.184616 - 0.404959 8 The Trossachs 25.560912 24.506597 - 1.054314 28.455246 27.327483 - 1.127763 19.521593 18.620537 - 0.901056 - 0.404959 9 Stirlingshire and Fife 22.253400 21.283018 - 0.970381 24.896354 23.858903 - 1.037451 17.673839 16.819673 - 0.854166 - 0.404959 10 South West Scotlands 23.057531 22.066743 - 0.990788 25.756044 24.696777 - 1.059267 18.095675 17.230803 - 0.864872 - 0.404959 11 Lothian and Borders 17.574346 16.722703 - 0.851643 18.910395 18.024848 - 0.885547 11.283354 10.591357 - 0.691997 - 0.404959 12 Solway and Cheviot 14.792599 14.011550 - 0.781049 16.289523 15.470487 - 0.819036 10.578309 9.904205 - 0.674104 - 0.404959 13 North East England 11.853010 11.146557 - 0.706453 12.757062 12.027667 - 0.729395 6.908701 6.327719 - 0.580982 - 0.404959 14 North Lancashire and The Lakes 8.380190 7.761866 - 0.618324 8.636733 8.011899 - 0.624834 3.671155 3.172332 - 0.498823 - 0.404959 15 South Lancashire, Yorkshire and Humber 6.115224 5.554377 - 0.560847 6.186636 5.623977 - 0.562659 1.313085 0.874101 - 0.438983 - 0.404959 16 North Midlands and North Wales 3.932358 3.426905 - 0.505452 3.932358 3.426905 - 0.505452 0.327214 - 0.086751 - 0.413965 - 0.404959 17 South Lincolnshire and North Norfolk 2.590600 2.119197 - 0.471403 2.590600 2.119197 - 0.471403 0.608778 0.187668 - 0.421110 - 0.404959 18 Mid Wales and The Midlands 3.107657 2.623133 - 0.484524 3.107657 2.623133 - 0.484524 0.706370 0.282783 - 0.423587 - 0.404959 19 Anglesey and Snowdon 5.714017 5.163352 - 0.550665 5.714017 5.163352 - 0.550665 0.385818 - 0.029634 - 0.415452 - 0.404959 20 Pembrokeshire 2.431074 1.963719 - 0.467355 2.431074 1.963719 - 0.467355 - 2.613944 - 2.953272 - 0.339328 - 0.404959 21 South Wales & Gloucester - 1.975469 - 2.330999 - 0.355530 - 1.975469 - 2.330999 - 0.355530 - 2.751558 - 3.087394 - 0.335836 - 0.404959 22 Cotswold - 1.748240 - 2.109536 - 0.361296 - 3.483388 - 3.800652 - 0.317264 - 7.260393 - 7.481810 - 0.221416 - 0.404959 23 Central London - 5.442847 - 5.710387 - 0.267540 - 6.573915 - 6.812752 - 0.238837 - 4.239989 - 4.538054 - 0.298064 - 0.404959 24 Essex and Kent - 0.560679 - 0.952112 - 0.391433 - 0.560679 - 0.952112 - 0.391433 1.415351 0.973772 - 0.441578 - 0.404959 25 Oxfordshire, Surrey and Sussex - 2.578457 - 2.918685 - 0.340228 - 2.578457 - 2.918685 - 0.340228 - 0.797504 - 1.182928 - 0.385423 - 0.404959 26 Somerset and Wessex - 5.049785 - 5.327300 - 0.277514 - 5.049785 - 5.327300 - 0.277514 - 1.386082 - 1.756569 - 0.370487 - 0.404959 27 West Devon and Cornwall - 9.440421 - 9.606515 - 0.166094 - 9.440421 - 9.606515 - 0.166094 - 3.438710 - 3.757108 - 0.318398 - 0.404959 Figure 1 Variation in generation zonal tariffs January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 11
Locational changes The locational tariffs have changed since the Draft tariffs due to the update in indexation of the Expansion Factor from RPI to CPIH as per Ofgem’s Final Determinations via CMP355/356 and the slight decrease in Security Factor, which has been changed to 2 decimal places (from 1.8 to 1.76). This resulted in the locational tariffs becoming less polarised, decreasing in the North and becoming less negative in the South. Adjustment changes The Adjustment has replaced the Generation Residual to ensure compliance with the European €2.50 cap as part of CMP317/327. In the Draft tariffs we still referred to the Adjustment as the Residual, so in this report we are comparing the Adjustment to the Residual published in the Draft tariffs. There has been a decrease in the Adjustment compared to Draft tariffs. This has mainly been driven by the decrease in generation output, from 220TWh to 200MWh, to take into consideration the impact of COVID in majority of the zones. The change in the locational tariffs combined with the decrease in the Adjustment has overall meant a decrease in tariffs across all zones. This has resulted in £39m less revenue being collected from generators. Onshore local tariffs for generation 4. Onshore local substation tariffs Onshore local substation tariffs reflect the cost of the first transmission substation that each transmission connected generator connects to. They are recalculated in preparation for the start of the price control based on TO asset costs and then inflated each year by the average May to October CPIH (changed from RPI through Ofgem’s decision in Final Determination and through CMP355/356) for the rest of the price control period. There have been two key factors in the reduction these tariffs. Since the publishing of the Draft Tariffs, there has been an update and recalculation of the TO’s input data that feeds into the resetting of the local substation tariffs, which has resulting in an overall reduction. In addition to this, the change from RPI to CPIH has also reduced tariffs. These reductions have been offset by a slight increase in the annuity factor that is used as part of the local substation tariffs calculation. This increase is due to the change in the TO’s WACC from the Draft Determination to the Final Determination. Table 4 Local substation tariffs 2021/22 Local Substation Tariff (£/kW) Substation Rating Connection Type 132kV 275kV 400kV =1320 MW Redundancy n/a 0.324421 0.233338 5. Onshore local circuit tariffs Where a transmission-connected generator is not directly connected to the Main Interconnected Transmission System (MITS) nodes, the onshore local circuit tariffs reflect the cost and flows on circuits between its connection and the MITS nodes. Local circuit tariffs can change as a result of system power flows and TNUoS parameters. Depending on the topology, onshore local circuits with circuit redundancy had tariff changes as a result of CMP357, which changed with the security factor from 1.8 to 1.76. Onshore local circuit tariffs are listed in the table below. January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 12
Table 5 Onshore local circuit tariffs Substation Name (£/kW) Substation Name (£/kW) Substation Name (£/kW) Aberarder 1.687707 Dunhill 1.428190 Marchwood 0.380561 Aberdeen Bay 2.599821 Dunlaw Extension 1.506420 Mark Hill 0.892884 Achruach 4.281723 Edinbane 6.979995 Middle Muir 2.343260 Aigas 0.666962 Ewe Hill 2.482000 Middleton 0.151561 An Suidhe -0.957481 Fallago 0.436827 Millennium South - 0.466475 Arecleoch 2.118020 Farr 3.555132 Millennium Wind 1.861916 Baglan Bay -0.144809 Fernoch 4.485470 Moffat 0.194223 Beinneun Wind Farm 1.531122 Ffestiniogg 0.252269 Mossford 2.870988 Bhlaraidh Wind Farm 0.658421 Finlarig 0.326533 Nant - 1.252189 Black Hill 1.548514 Foyers 0.292072 Necton 1.120435 Black Law 1.781935 Galawhistle 3.568307 New Deer 0.189751 BlackCraig Wind Farm 6.419564 Glen Kyllachy - 0.466475 Rhigos 0.105170 BlackLaw Extension 3.778824 Glendoe 1.875799 Rocksavage 0.018050 Clyde (North) 0.111836 Glenglass 4.797660 Saltend 0.017301 Clyde (South) 0.129333 Gordonbush 0.069371 Sandy Knowe 2.378871 Corriegarth 2.954342 Griffin Wind 9.683862 South Humber Bank - 0.184873 Corriemoillie 1.658940 Hadyard Hill 2.822639 Spalding 0.282588 Coryton 0.050448 Harestanes 2.577911 Strathbrora - 0.048161 Cruachan 1.819382 Hartlepool 0.088865 Strathy Wind 1.778564 Crystal Rig 0.140871 Invergarry 0.373180 Stronelairg 1.089736 Culligran 1.767466 Kilgallioch 1.073265 Wester Dod 0.487877 Deanie 2.903694 Kilmorack 0.201399 Whitelee 0.108228 Dersalloch 2.456454 Kype Muir 1.512589 Whitelee Extension 0.300875 Dinorwig 2.392364 Langage - 0.336194 Dorenell 2.092586 Lochay 0.373180 Dumnaglass 1.155822 Luichart 0.571838 As part of their connection offer, generators can agree to undertake one-off payments for certain infrastructure cable assets, which affect the way they are modelled in the Transport and Tariff model. This table shows the circuits which have been amended in the model to account for the one-off charges that have already been made to the generators. For more information please see CUSC sections 2.14.4, 14.4, and 14.15.15. Table 6 Circuits subject to one-off charges Amendment in Transport Node 1 Node 2 Actual Parameters Generator Model Dyce 132kV Aberdeen Bay 132kV 9.5km of Cable 9.5km of OHL Aberdeen Bay Crystal Rig 132kV Wester Dod 132kV 3.9km of Cable 3.9km of OHL Aikengall II Wishaw 132kV Blacklaw 132kV 11.46km of Cable 11.46km of OHL Blacklaw Farigaig 132kV Corriegarth 132kV 4km Cable 4km OHL Corriegarth Elvanfoot 275kV Clyde North 275kV 6.2km of Cable 6.2km of OHL Clyde North Elvanfoot 275kV Clyde South 275kV 7.17km of Cable 7.17km of OHL Clyde South Farigaig 132kV Dunmaglass 132kV 4km Cable 4km OHL Dunmaglass Coalburn 132kV Galawhistle 132kV 9.7km cable 9.7km OHL Galawhistle II Moffat 132kV Harestanes 132kV 15.33km cable 15.33km OHL Harestanes Coalburn 132kV Kype Muir 132kV 17km cable 17km OHL Kype Muir Coalburn 132kV Middle Muir 132kV 13km cable 13km OHL Middle Muir Melgarve 132kV Stronelairg 132kV 10km cable 10km OHL Stronelairg East Kilbride South 275kV Whitelee 275kV 6km of Cable 6km of OHL Whitelee East Kilbride South 275kV Whitelee Extension 275kV 16.68km of Cable 16.68km of OHL Whitelee Extension Sandy Knowe 132kV Glen Glass 132kV 7km of cable 7km of OHL Sandy Knowe Offshore local tariffs for generation 6. Offshore local generation tariffs The local offshore tariffs (substation, circuit and Embedded Transmission Use of System) reflect the cost of offshore networks connecting offshore generation. They are calculated at the beginning of price review or on transfer to the offshore transmission owner (OFTO). The tariffs are subsequently indexed each year, in line with the licence of the associated Offshore Transmission Owner. The offshore tariffs have been recalculated, in preparation for the RIIO-2 period, to adjust for any differences in the actual OFTO revenue when compared to the forecast revenue used in RIIO-T1 tariff setting, including any approved Exceptional Events. The Offshore substation discount has also been recalculated for the RIIO-2 period. January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 13
Offshore local generation tariffs associated with projects due to transfer in 2021/22 will be confirmed once asset transfer has taken place. Table 7 Offshore local tariffs 2021/22 Final 2021/22 Changes since Draft Tariffs Offshore Generator Tariff Component (£/kW) Tariff Component (£/kW) Substation Circuit ETUoS Substation Circuit ETUoS Barrow 8.836174 46.681052 1.159154 - 0.011169 0.005825 0.000145 Burbo Bank 11.045154 21.346898 - - 0.012174 0.000316 - Dudgeon 16.155283 25.347887 - - 0.058259 - 0.069474 - Galloper 16.537117 26.155151 - - 0.012373 - 0.000042 - Greater Gabbard 16.473633 38.093075 - 0.018327 0.047959 - Gunfleet 19.229393 17.732950 3.314390 - 0.009615 0.002443 0.000457 Gwynt Y Mor 20.741455 20.506705 - 2.897083 2.796115 - Humber Gateway 12.206462 28.005823 - 0.018135 0.066676 - Lincs 16.957830 66.640797 - - - - London Array 11.499568 39.427611 - 0.024165 0.119010 - Ormonde 27.167399 50.781758 0.404688 - 0.008049 0.007858 0.000063 Race Bank 9.783195 27.172426 - - 0.011638 0.001853 - Robin Rigg - 0.596290 33.846655 10.844253 - 0.012346 0.003951 0.001266 Robin Rigg West - 0.596290 33.846655 10.844253 - 0.012346 0.003951 0.001266 Sheringham Shoal 25.417212 29.935300 0.650705 - 0.012146 0.000230 0.000005 Thanet 19.409235 36.363246 0.875391 0.026651 0.070884 0.001706 Walney 1 23.46442 46.91135 - - 0.01163 0.00139 - Walney 2 21.83020 44.42664 - - 0.01231 0.00007 - Walney 3 10.04935 20.35939 - - 0.01235 - - Walney 4 10.04935 20.35939 - - 0.01235 - - West of Duddon Sands 8.98738 44.80090 - 0.09090 0.48263 - Westermost Rough 18.27433 31.10058 - - 0.01188 0.00076 - The final offshore tariffs have been updated with the latest OFTO revenue forecasts. This has caused the offshore local circuit and ETUoS tariffs to increase slightly. The onshore substation civils discount has been updated which has caused the offshore substation tariffs to decrease for most offshore generators. Due to the inclusion of approved Exceptional Event in the OFTO revenue, the offshore substation and circuit tariffs for the relevant offshore generators have increased accordingly. January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 14
3 Demand tariffs Half-Hourly (HH), Non-Half-Hourly (NHH) tariffs and the Embedded Export Tariff (EET) January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 15
7. Demand tariffs summary There are two types of demand Half-Hourly (HH) and Non-Half-Hourly (NHH). The section shows the tariffs for HH and NHH as well as the tariffs for Embedded Export (EET). The breakdown of the HH locational tariff into the peak and year-round components can be found in Appendix C. Table 8 Summary of demand tariffs HH Tariffs 2021/22 Draft 2021/22 Final Change Average Tariff (£/kW) 52.460812 51.360891 - 1.099921 Residual (£/kW) 54.342512 53.231669 - 1.110843 EET 2021/22 Draft 2021/22 Final Change Average Tariff (£/kW) 2.272481 2.144791 - 0.127690 Phased residual (£/kW) - - - AGIC (£/kW) 2.282952 2.282036 - 0.000916 Embedded Export Volume (GW) 6.658889 6.949440 0.290551 Total Credit (£m) 15.132202 14.905099 - 0.227103 NHH Tariffs 2021/22 Draft 2021/22 Final Change Average (p/kWh) 6.563620 6.500873 - 0.062747 Table 9 Demand tariffs Embedded HH Demand NHH Demand Zone Zone Name Export Tariff Tariff (£/kW) Tariff (p/kWh) (£/kW) 1 Northern Scotland 20.376396 2.723726 - 2 Southern Scotland 29.300172 3.712996 - 3 Northern 41.444048 5.139134 - 4 North West 48.036551 6.039881 - 5 Yorkshire 48.696198 5.963751 - 6 N Wales & Mersey 49.452722 6.060647 - 7 East Midlands 52.428151 6.641922 1.478519 8 Midlands 53.959972 6.937534 3.010340 9 Eastern 54.283935 7.355652 3.334302 10 South Wales 56.236808 6.514291 5.287175 11 South East 56.772103 7.738980 5.822471 12 London 59.186350 6.378699 8.236717 13 Southern 58.865203 7.574864 7.915570 14 South Western 61.676796 8.488355 10.727163 Residual charge for demand: 53.231669 January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 16
8. Changes since Draft Tariffs Overall the demand tariffs have reduced marginally since the Draft, mainly driven by the decrease in the total revenue from the TOs. The average HH tariff is set at £51.36/kW, a decrease of £1.10/kW. The average NHH tariff is set at 6.50p/kWh, a decrease of 0.06p/kWh. The average Embedded Export Tariff is £2.14/kW, a decrease of £0.13/kW, due to the updated locational demand tariffs. The total credit for embedded export has seen a smaller reduction to £14.91m since the Draft, due to an increase in the forecasted Embedded Export volumes. The Small Generator Discount (SGD) will end on the 31st March 2021. As such SGD is not included in the Final Tariffs. Below is a breakdown of the key changes that have impacted HH and NHH demand tariffs: • Reduction in TO revenue results in lower demand revenue and subsequently decreased demand residual and average tariff • Taking into account of COVID19 impact, HH demand charging base have been reduced whilst the NHH demand has increased. • The combination of reduced average HH tariffs and HH demand volumes have reduced revenue from HH demand • NHH revenue has not changed, as the overall reduction in demand revenue has been offset by the reduction in HH revenue. • Change in locational demand profile across zones due to the reduction in Expansion Constant and Security Factor. Details on the updates to the demand charging bases and the rationale behind them can be found in the demand charging base section on page Error! Bookmark not defined. 9. Half-Hourly demand tariffs This table and chart show the forecast HH demand Final tariffs for 2021/22 compared to the 2021/22 Draft Tariffs. Table 10 Half-Hourly demand tariffs 2021/22 Draft 2021/22 Final Change in Zone Zone Name Change (£/kW) (£/kW) (£/kW) Residual (£/kW) 1 Northern Scotland 20.631769 20.376396 - 0.255373 - 1.110843 2 Southern Scotland 29.787898 29.300172 - 0.487726 - 1.110843 3 Northern 42.247971 41.444048 - 0.803923 - 1.110843 4 North West 49.012126 48.036551 - 0.975575 - 1.110843 5 Yorkshire 49.688949 48.696198 - 0.992751 - 1.110843 6 N Wales & Mersey 50.465171 49.452722 - 1.012449 - 1.110843 7 East Midlands 53.518073 52.428151 - 1.089922 - 1.110843 8 Midlands 55.089779 53.959972 - 1.129807 - 1.110843 9 Eastern 55.422177 54.283935 - 1.138242 - 1.110843 10 South Wales 57.425898 56.236808 - 1.189090 - 1.110843 11 South East 57.975131 56.772103 - 1.203028 - 1.110843 12 London 60.452238 59.186350 - 1.265888 - 1.110843 13 Southern 60.122730 58.865203 - 1.257527 - 1.110843 14 South Western 63.007529 61.676796 - 1.330733 - 1.110843 January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 17
Figure 2 Changes to gross Half-Hourly demand tariffs Changes to HH demand tariffs 0.00 -0.20 -0.40 Tariff (£/kW) -0.60 -0.80 -1.00 -1.20 -1.40 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Demand Zone Change (£/kW) Change in Residual (£/kW) As shown in the figure above, the HH demand tariff has decreased across all zones due to the reduction in overall demand revenue. The variation across the zones is mainly driven by the reduction to the expansion constant (EC) value, switching the indexation from RPI to CPIH for 2021/22 and the adjustment of the security factor (SF). The impact is seen in the locational element of demand tariffs, which forms part of the HH tariff as lower the EC reduces the polarising impact of demand tariffs across the demand zones. Having considered the latest available metering data for this winter, the gross HH chargeable demand has decreased by 0.7GW in comparison with the Draft tariffs and is set at 18.3GW. 10. Embedded Export Tariffs (EET) The next table and figure shows the final 2021/22 EET compared to the draft tariffs. Table 11 Embedded Export Tariffs 2021/22 Draft 2021/22 Final Zone Zone Name Change (£/kW) (£/kW) (£/kW) 1 Northern Scotland - - - 2 Southern Scotland - - - 3 Northern - - - 4 North West - - - 5 Yorkshire - - - 6 N Wales & Mersey - - - 7 East Midlands 1.458513 1.478519 0.020006 8 Midlands 3.030219 3.010340 - 0.019879 9 Eastern 3.362617 3.334302 - 0.028315 10 South Wales 5.366338 5.287175 - 0.079163 11 South East 5.915571 5.822471 - 0.093100 12 London 8.392678 8.236717 - 0.155961 13 Southern 8.063170 7.915570 - 0.147600 14 South Western 10.947969 10.727163 - 0.220806 January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 18
Figure 3 Embedded export tariff changes Changes to Embedded Export tariffs 0.1 0.0 Tariff (£/kW) -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Demand Zone The average EET tariffs is £2.14/kW, a small reduction of £0.13/kW, compared to the Draft. As stated previously, the change in locational demand and the zonal variance is driven by the updates made to the EC and SF. Overall, with the reduction in average tariffs and the increase in Embedded export volumes, the forecasted EET revenue has reduced by £0.23m to £14.91m. There has been a minimal impact to the AGIC (Avoided Grid Supply Point Infrastructure Credit). The amount of metered embedded generation produced at Triads by suppliers and embedded generators (
Figure 4 Changes to Non-Half-Hourly demand tariffs Changes to NHH demand tariffs 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 Tariff (p/kWh) -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.08 -0.10 -0.12 -0.14 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Demand Zone The average NHH tariff for 2021/22 is set at 6.50p/kWh, which is a 0.06p/kWh decrease compared to Draft tariffs. For NHH, the reduction in overall demand revenue has been offset by the reduction in HH revenue, meaning that the total revenue for NHH has stayed roughly the same for Final Tariffs (£1,618m). The slight increase in NHH demand volumes is the main driver for the change in average NHH tariff. The change in locational demand and the variations in the forecasted HH and NHH demand volumes at a zonal level has meant that 13 of the 14 zones tariffs have reduced by varying amounts. However, NHH tariff for zone 12 (London) is showing a slight increase. The reduction of the HH revenue in zone 12 means that despite of increase in the NHH demand, the NHH tariff needs to increase to recover increased NHH revenue in zone 12. January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 20
4 Overview of data input January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 21
Since the Draft tariffs published in November 2020, we have updated: • Allowed revenue to be recovered through TNUoS • The local substation tariffs • The zonal demand and generation charging bases, and • Inflation to CPIH for some of the financial parameters, including expansion factor, local substation revenue, AGIC and onshore civils discount. • The overhead & annuity factors that feed into certain RIIO-2 parameter calculations For details changes to TNUoS parameters through the regular forecast cycle, please see Appendix J. 12. Changes affecting the locational element of tariffs The 2021/22 locational element of generation and demand tariffs is based upon: • Contracted generation and nodal demand as of 31 October 2020; • Local and MITS circuits as stated in the ETYS; and • Inflation Contracted TEC, modelled TEC and Chargeable TEC Contracted TEC is the volume of TEC with connection agreements for the 2021/22 period, which can be found on the TEC register.4 The contracted TEC volumes are based on the 31 October 2020 TEC register. Modelled TEC is the amount of TEC we have entered into the Transport model to calculate MW flows, which also includes interconnector TEC. We have forecast our best view of modelled TEC based on the 31 October 2020 TEC register, in accordance with CUSC 14.15.6. Chargeable TEC is our best view of the likely volume of generation that will be connected to the system during 2021/22 and are liable to pay generation TNUoS charges. We have reviewed our forecast of Chargeable TEC since the Draft tariffs. As a result, the Chargeable TEC is reduced by 1.6WG to 70.1GW. Table 13 Contracted TEC 2020/21 2021/22 Tariffs Generation (GW) Final March August Draft Final Contracted TEC 84.9 93.6 92.7 89.9 89.9 Modelled Best View TEC 84.9 85.8 86.7 89.9 89.9 Chargeable TEC 70.7 76.8 76.9 71.7 70.1 13. Adjustments for interconnectors When modelling flows on the transmission system, interconnector flows are not included in the Peak model but are included in the Year Round model. Since interconnectors are not liable for generation or demand TNUoS charges, they are not included in the calculations of chargeable TEC for either the generation or demand charging bases. The table below reflects the contracted position of interconnectors for 2021/22 in the interconnector register as of 31 October 2020, 4See the Registers, Reports and Updates section at https://data.nationalgrideso.com/data-groups/connection-registers January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 22
Table 14 Interconnectors Generation MW Transport Model Transport Model Charging Base Year Round Generation Zone Peak Interconnected Interconnector Site System IFA Interconnector Sellindge 400kV France 24 0 2000 0 ElecLink Sellindge 400kV France 24 0 1000 0 BritNed Grain 400kV Netherlands 24 0 1200 0 Belgium Interconnector (Nemo) Richborough 400kV Belgium 24 0 1020 0 East - West Connah's Quay 400kV Republic of Ireland 16 0 505 0 IFA2 Interconnector Chilling 400KV Substation France 26 0 1100 0 Moyle Auchencrosh 275kV Northern Ireland 10 0 490 0 NS Link Blyth Norway 13 0 1400 0 14. Expansion Constant The expansion constant is the annuitized value of the cost required to transport 1 MW over 1 km. The 2021/22 Expansion Constant is set to £ 15.050736/MWkm. This is based on the 2020/21 RIIO-1 value (as proposed in CMP353) uplifted by CPIH (as per CMP355/356). 15. Onshore substation tariffs Onshore Local Substation tariffs have been updated for 2021/22 as part of the RIIO-2 parameter refresh. They are set in 2020/21 prices and have been uplifted by CPIH for 2021/22 (as per CMP355/356). 16. Offshore local tariffs Local offshore circuit tariffs, local offshore substation tariffs and the ETUoS tariff are indexed in line with the revenue of the relevant Offshore Transmission Owner. These tariffs have been recalculated, in preparation for the RIIO-2 period, to adjust for any differences in the actual OFTO revenue when compared to the forecast revenue used in RIIO-T1 tariff setting. These recalculations use the latest forecast of the relevant inflation terms. 17. Allowed transmission revenues NGESO recovers revenue on behalf of all onshore and offshore Transmission Owners (TOs & OFTOs) in Great Britain. Some other revenue (for example, Network Innovation Competition for network companies including ESO, TOs and DNOs and interconnector revenue adjustment) are also collected from network users via TNUoS. Year 2021/22 is the start of RIIO-2 price control period. On 8th December, Ofgem published the RIIO-2 final determination (FD) for onshore TOs and the ESO5. Onshore TOs’ and the ESO have since updated their revenue forecast, under the calculation methodology as set out in their updated draft transmission licences, which is incorporated in the Final Tariffs. 5https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/publications-and-updates/riio-2-final-determinations-transmission-and- gas-distribution-network-companies-and-electricity-system-operator January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 23
CACM pilot project costs On 22nd January, Ofgem published their decision on costs recovery of some historical CACM (Capacity Allocation and Congestion Management) pilot projects from TNUoS charges6. The decision sets out the amount to be paid to IFA, BritNed, Nemo Link via the 2021/22 TNUoS. In the Final tariffs, we have included the amount of CACM costs in the TNUoS revenue. Bad debt In accordance with Ofgem’s Final Determination, the ESO is permitted to recover the TNUoS bad debt effectively occurred during RIIO1 and forecast bad debt for 2021/2022 via the TNUoS charge. As such, the bad debt value is included in the Final Tariffs. Other revenue items in the ESO’s RIIO-2 licence Following legal separation of the ESO from National Grid Electricity Transmission in 2019, a few revenue items which was set up in RIIO-T1, and was related to the system operator’s function, were carried over in NGET’s licence for two years, and will now be handed over back to the ESO under RIIO-2. These items include the legacy adjustments term, licence fee, business rate etc. The ESO revenue breakdown table has been updated to reflect the updated ESO licence. For more details on the breakdown of the TNUoS Revenue, please refer to Appendix G. 6https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/system/files/docs/2021/01/decision_on_assessment_of_ifa_britned_an d_nemo_links_pilot_project_and_interim_period_cost_recovery_submissions_under_the_capacity _allocation_and_congestion_management_cacm_regulation_0.pdf January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 24
Table 15 Allowed revenues Please note these figures are rounded to one decimal place. 18. Generation / Demand (G/D) Split The revenue to be collected from generators and demand suppliers has be updated and finalised in the Final Tariffs. The “EU gen cap” Section 14.14.5 (v) in the CUSC currently limits average annual generation use of system charges in Great Britain to €2.5/MWh. The revenue that can be recovered from generation dependent on the €2.5/MWh limit, exchange rate and forecast output of chargeable generation. An error margin of 20.8% is also applied to reflect revenue and output forecasting accuracy. This revenue figure is normally referred to as the “EU gen cap”. The EU generation cap calculation has been updated from the Draft Tariffs due to a reduction in generation output taking into account COVID19 impact. For details please see the “Generation Output” paragraph. TCR implementation - TNUoS generation residual (TGR) change On 21 November 2019, the Authority published their final decision on the Targeted Charging Review (TCR) and issued Directions to NGESO to raise changes to the charging methodology to give effect to that final decision. This includes, among other changes, the removal of generation residual, which will take effect from April 2021. This change has been managed under CUSC modification proposals CMP317/327, which seeks to establish which charges are, and are not in scope of the EU gen cap. The CUSC mods were approved by Ofgem on 17 December 2020. January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 25
Under the CMP317/327 option approved by Ofgem, charges that are collected via generator local tariffs (including onshore and offshore local substation charges, and onshore and offshore local circuit charges), will be excluded from the EU gen cap. Therefore, the EU gen cap is only applicable for charges that are collected via generation wider tariffs. Due to this TGR change, revenue collected from generators (via wider tariffs and local tariffs) is much higher compared to 2020/21. In the Final Tariffs, generation revenue is set at £774m, an increase of £399m from £375m for 2020/21. Exchange Rate According to the CUSC methodology, the exchange rate for 2021/22 was taken from the Economic and Fiscal Outlook, and remains unchanged from Draft tariffs, in line with the CUSC methodology. The value is €1.210793 /£. Generation Output We received comments during the Draft Tariffs webinar, asking us to re-assess the generation output figure of 222.8TWh. The original forecast was based on the 2020 Future Energy Scenarios which did not take into account of Covid-19 impacts. Since then, we have carefully considered the COVID19 impacts on generation and demand. In light of observed delays in new connections and continued demand suppression, we have revised generation output to 200.0TWh in the Final Tariffs. Error Margin The error margin remains unchanged from Draft tariffs at 20.8%. The parameters used to calculate the proportions of revenue collected from generation and demand are shown in the table below. Table 16 Generation and demand revenue proportions 2021/22 Tariffs Code Revenue March August Draft Final CAPEC Limit on generation tariff (€/MWh) 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 y Error Margin 16.0% 20.8% 20.8% 20.8% ER Exchange Rate (€/£) 1.12 1.21 1.21 1.21 MAR Total Revenue (£m) 3,053.1 3,048.6 3,410.2 3,318.5 GO Generation Output (TWh) 199.8 222.8 222.8 200.0 Wider locational generator Revenue (£m) 403.0 382.3 366.4 357.4 Charges on assets required for connection (£m) 445.6 462.0 449.3 446.9 G % of revenue from generation 26.9% 27.1% 23.9% 23.3% D % of revenue from demand 73.1% 72.9% 76.1% 76.7% Revenue recovered from generation including G.R 820.6 826.4 813.7 774.0 adjustment revenue(£m) D.R Revenue recovered from demand (£m) 2,232.6 2,222.2 2,596.5 2,544.5 19. Charging bases for 2020/21 Generation The forecast generation charging base is less than contracted TEC. It excludes interconnectors, which are not chargeable, and generation that we do not expect to be chargeable during the charging year due to closure, termination or delay in connection. It also includes any generators that we believe may increase their TEC. January 2021 | Final TNUoS Tariffs for 2021/22 26
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