Week in review Facebook launches rival to Zoom, Google combats virus profiteers, nostalgia and comedy rule on TV. PLUS an in-depth look at ...
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Week in review Facebook launches rival to Zoom, Google combats virus profiteers, nostalgia and comedy rule on TV. PLUS an in-depth look at COVID-19’s impact on the Beauty sector.
Contents 3 Facebook launches Messenger Rooms 5 Google tightens ad identity rules 6 Nostalgia and comedy rule on TV 7 Deep Dive: Beauty 8 Business 13 Consumer 18 Brand 2
Facebook targets Zoom with new group video chat feature Click to read Facebook launches video-chat to rival Zoom while WhatsApp’s encryption wins on the security front WhatsApp’s killer new update just arrived: but here’s your problem The coronavirus-induced lockdown Click to read across the world has seen usage of video chat platforms skyrocket. As Zoom’s daily meeting participants rise to 300m, up from only 10m in December, Facebook has rushed to develop rival services. The launch of Messenger Rooms across the Facebook and Messenger apps was announced last week. The feature allows public and private video calls for up to 50 people for free, with no time limit. Enabling consumers to jump between chats to visit different groups of friends, or use augmented reality filters, creates a product that Facebook say ‘feels more social, less corporate than what’s currently available’. 3
Facebook claim to have learned from the security issues that have surrounded Zoom in recent months, in particular Zoom- bombing, where uninvited guests intrude on a Zoom call. Facebook users who create a chat can also select participants, eject people if needed or lock the room. The company won’t watch or listen to calls, and there is no ability for users to record video chats, a spokesperson for the platform said. While it will come as a relief to consumers that their calls are more protected from unwanted participants, Messenger Room calls are not end-to-end encrypted, so people are still reliant only on Facebook’s assurance that their data will remain safe. For those seeking added security, WhatsApp calls offer end-to-end encryption and so present a viable alternative – albeit for fewer participants. Previously allowing calls for up to four people, Facebook announced last week that this will double to eight for WhatsApp. Should participant numbers continue increasing, WhatsApp stands to be a game-changer in a market where the security of our communications has never been more critical. 4
Google will introduce new measures to combat Google has removed 'millions of ads in the past week' relating to coronavirus misinformation and Click to read profiteering The early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic saw a number of companies attempting to profit from the crisis, resulting in a spike of online advertising for medical supplies – potentially redirecting critical supplies from health organizations into private hands. Google’s initial response focused on banning advertising for certain product categories, with mixed results. In an attempt to limit the spread of misinformation, curb spam and price gouging and prevent companies profiting All Google advertisers will soon have from the pandemic, Google has confirmed to verify their identities that all advertisers will soon have to verify Click to read their identities. This change is an extension of rules applied to political advertising in 2018. It means that all advertisers who want to be active on Google platforms, including search and YouTube, will have to first prove their identity by submitting personal identification, business incorporation documents and any other form of identification confirming the country in which they are located. Users will be able to access the name of the advertiser and country of origin when they click on ‘Why this ad?’ button. The programme will be initiated in the US before being rolled out globally. Users will be able to see the name and country of all advertisers Click to read 5
Nostalgia and comedy: the TV order of the day The effects of the pandemic have been varied and sometimes surprising, but none tell us more about human nature than the change in TV viewing habits. Thinkbox, the UK’s leading TV marketing body, released a report comparing year-on-year viewing figures from the Broadcasters Audience Research Board (BARB) and a series of video diaries from households across the UK. The headline figure is the 37% growth in TV consumption versus last year, confirming the hefty increase expected by most experts. Comedy, nostalgia and family viewing The findings reveal a lockdown-induced are up as lockdown changes TV habits increase in viewership of comedy shows Click to read by over 40%. Laugh-out-loud series like the Netflix hit Friday Night Dinner highlight a consumer need for levity during these dark and uncertain times. TV figures also show the extent to which COVID19 has strengthened family units with families and couples engaging in what is called ‘compromise viewing’. With live events on hold and production in limbo, it will come as a relief to TV networks that consumers want to relive their favourite shows of yesteryear or share the ‘good old days’ with younger viewers by tuning into re-runs of Only Fools and Horses (up 20%) and Last of the Summer Wine (up 30%). RTL rushes out programmatic Despite the boom in viewing, TV ad forecasts remain pessimistic, but this challenge has also TV-buying platform brought innovation. Rising viewership has Click to read seeped into on-demand platforms like All4 and ITVHub. European TV giant RTL has rushed to announce their new programmatic TV-buying platform, VMP Connect, which will allow advertisers to access premium on-demand inventory via most major DSPs. Source: GroupM data, April 2020 TV viewing has increased consistently across many markets during lockdown, but evidence from China suggests viewing will stablise as measures are lifted. 6
Category Deep Dive: Beauty This week, the latest data and intelligence on COVID-19 and its impact on Beauty. We’ve split the latest (and best) research into three sections on the business, consumer and brand impact of the virus. In this issue category winners and losers, #quarantinehair, DIY beauty in lockdown and beauty brands show they care. 7
1. Premium beauty businesses hit hardest as travel retail is grounded Premium beauty specialists with higher exposure to key channels affected by the lockdown – high end department stores, specialist beauty stores and travel retail outlets – are suffering more than those beauty businesses with a mass market presence. Premium brand Shiseido saw sales in China drop by 55% when the virus hit in January1, with Coty expecting a 20% decline in its latest quarter.2 Travel retail has been a growth engine for the sector, but with sales expected to be down by 70% or more in H13, businesses with a greater reliance on these premium channels are most exposed. For example, travel retail accounts for 11% of Estee Lauder’s global beauty sales; for L'Oreal it's 6% as over 50% of its sales are from mass-market consumer and dermatological cosmetics4. Global travel retail, localities most affected by the virus outbreak and destination markets favoured by tourists are expected to experience the greatest negative impact in the coming months followed by a gradual recovery later in the fiscal year.” Fabrizio Freda, CEO, Estee Lauder Earnings Call, Feb 6 20205 2. Varied cross-category impact with fragrances hit but skincare resilient Beauty businesses are reporting a mixed sales picture across categories as coronavirus reshapes consumer demand. Negative impact As Euromonitor reports6, there are some categories losing out immediately as the crisis bites: “Fragrances may become the worst casualty of the pandemic as consumers prioritise necessities and trade down from high-priced fragrances to body sprays and lower concentration formats.” Another category taking a hit is colour cosmetics: “As make-up use is less frequent during lockdown, colour cosmetics’ negative trajectory is likely to persist, and a quick recovery after the crisis is less likely”. 9
Positive impact The biggest category in beauty, skincare, is successfully navigating the crisis. As Euromonitor reports: “Skincare will remain largely resilient, with a strong boost in hand care and products perceived as ‘clean’, safe and therapeutic as the shift towards preventative skin health intensifies.” In addition, 'feel-good/pampering products like face masks are likely to benefit, so are dermocosmetics’. With hairdressers, salons and beauty parlours on lockdown, colourants are also benefiting as consumers attempt to maintain grooming habits. In addition, ‘mass-reliant categories, such as deodorants, body wash /shower gel and overall hair care, will remain relatively steady’. L’Oreal returned a 4.8% decrease in Q1 2020, with active cosmetics up by 13.2%, but with consumer products down 3.6% and luxe and professional products down by 13.2% and 19.5% respectively. These shifts in behaviour are already having an impact on company reporting.7 P&G’s beauty segment experienced a 1% increase, with skin, personal care and hair care increasing by low single digits.8 3. Expectations differ on the recovery trajectory of premium beauty sales With China emerging from the crisis and many other markets looking at loosening lockdowns, attention turns to which beauty categories will drive sales in a world where consumers will have lower levels of disposable income. Some analysts believe that there are parallels with the 2008 financial crisis which, as Figure 1 on Page 11 shows, led to a drop in demand for certain discretionary categories, especially at the premium end9. 10
Figure 1: Beauty & Personal Categories Sales & Growth recovery after 2008 financial crisis Source: Euromonitor, Impact of coronavirus on beauty and personal care, April 2020 Euromonitor states: “Premium beauty took the biggest brunt of the downturn by going into negative territory in 2009 and not recovering to pre-crisis levels of growth until 2011.” However, it remains to be seen to what extent a downturn is likely to bite in the beauty category over the next couple of years. Many see this as a blip with the fundamentals in beauty remaining strong: The current situation does not call into question consumers’ strong appetite for beauty products, which remains intact. The market should recover quickly as soon as measures to close sales outlets are lifted.” Jean-Paul Agon, L’Oreal Chairman and CEO 11
4. Ecommerce offers a lifeline but can’t fully cushion the blow As consumers adjust to an extended period of lockdown, online purchasing habits are evolving, presenting new opportunities for brands. Beauty businesses have struggled to convert consumers purchasing online. This is due to the lack of ability to test products, ineffective colour matching and a reduced shopper experience, among other barriers10. However, in the current climate consumers are having to rethink their usual purchase behaviour. People are starting to understand that this may be the new normal for a little while, and now they need to figure out what supplies they need in their home to make themselves happy… If mentally you’re feeling unbalanced, what can you control? You can control your beauty ritual.” Kendra Butler, Founder & CEO of Alpyn Beauty In the prestige beauty category, online sales – normally 20% of the US beauty business – increased by 47 % in the week of 28 March, capturing about 90% of total beauty spend, according to the NPD Group. Although driving spend during lockdown, ecommerce still has a lot of room to grow as it only accounts for around 11% of global beauty and personal care sales overall11. 12
02 Consumer 13
1. Consumers move away from glamour in favour of self-care and wellbeing According to McKinsey, over half of consumers expect to reduce spending on beauty during lockdown12. As people prioritise self-care and wellbeing over glamour, this reduction is likely to impact fragrance and colour cosmetics most significantly. In fact, early indicatory data released by Amazon in the US revealed a -1% decline in colour cosmetics sales in March vs Feb 2020, compared to a +7% uplift in the total beauty category, and +8% in skincare.13 Lockdown-driven changes to people’s routines mean there is less need for occasion-reliant products such as make-up, and more demand for mood-boosting and wellness-oriented products. One example comes from China where, at the height of the pandemic, face mask sales on Tmall were up 15-fold compared to 2018.14 In part this sales boost is likely down to lifestyle influencers on both Tiktok and Instagram focusing on skincare and wellness in place of their usual content. In the long term, analysts predict this shift could accelerate the trend towards natural beauty and ‘glowing skincare’, already strong prior to the crisis (see figure 2).15 For example, McKinsey predict that Covid-19 could spark a move towards ‘casualisation’16 in the fashion and beauty industries. E-Consultancy suggests skincare is well positioned to engage consumers during lockdown as virtual tutorials and consultations require less skill or practice than make-up.17 Figure 2 Glowing Skincare Google trends index 2015-19 110 90 70 50 30 10 -10 4/12 /2015 4/12 /2016 4/12 /2017 4/12 /2018 4/12 /2019 14
As consumers seek ways to destress while keeping within budget, Mintel predicts that value brands offering added emotional value to functional cleansing products (eg body wash or shampoo) will do well. Post Covid-19, I think we will see the income barriers to wellness minimise and brands will adapt a ‘wellness is a right not a privilege’ mantra" Clare Hennigan, Senior Beauty Analyst at Mintel 2. DIY beauty presents an opportunity for innovation With the shutdown of hair and beauty salons, consumers are looking for alternative ways to maintain their look, and some are using this as an opportunity to experiment. Globally, Google searches for DIY hair have surged since lockdown measures were put in place (see Figure 3)18, on TikTok, the #quarantinehair tag has more than 395,000 views19, and on Instagram #coronahair brings up 20,000 posts.20 Clearly this has had a positive impact on brands already offering DIY beauty solutions; demand for Olive & June’s at-home mani kits has increased eightfold since the outbreak21 and haircare brand Madison Reed has seen sales of its at-home hair colouring kits soar 750%.22 Figure 3: Search interest comparing ‘how to cut’ vs. ‘how to dye’ hair 15
Largely, analysts believe that the trend towards DIY beauty will be short-lived, but with a minority of new DIY-ers continuing at-home treatments to save money. However, the increased use of online tutorials and beauty hacks may have a lasting impact for brands who use them effectively. Wavemaker’s proprietary Livepanel purchase journey data shows that five of the top 10 most helpful touchpoints in the beauty category are found in store (eg sales assistants, in-store displays, free samples).23 With these out of action, brands have an opportunity to leverage virtual touchpoints such as online tutorials to keep up their presence during the pandemic. People want to learn techniques for applying different products and cleaning their makeup brushes — answers to which can be provided by both beauty brands and independent artists.” Doreen Bloch, CEO at Poshly 3. The clean beauty movement evolves as focus shifts from natural ingredients to product safety and quality The concept of ‘clean beauty’ is an ever-present yet ever-evolving trend in the beauty industry which, at its simplest, promises against ‘toxic’ and ‘non-natural’ products. According to NPD, clean beauty sales are continuing their upward trend, despite both the coronavirus pandemic and the resulting economic downturn. In fact, clean beauty is up 11% this year despite beauty’s 14% decline.24 Clean beauty is about safety. And today, there is nothing people are more concerned about than safety” Larissa Jensen, NPD’s vice president and beauty industry adviser While it appears to be weathering the storm successfully, many analysts are predicting that the Coronavirus pandemic will trigger a shift in what clean beauty means. For example, Mintel’s beauty team believes that consumers who previously avoided preservatives and natural ingredients are likely to be more willing to accept these ingredients as they prioritise efficacy and safety from a health and environmental perspective.24 16
McKinsey agrees, predicting an evolution in clean beauty with an increased emphasis on product safety and quality over organic or all-natural ingredients.15 As a result, brands will need to educate consumers on the benefits of non-natural ingredients. Covid-19 will have clear implications on the evolution of clean beauty. What started out as a natural ingredient trend has snowballed into a movement incorporating elements such as safety, transparency, sourcing and manufacturing practices.” Roshida Khanom, Associate Director, Mintel Beauty & Personal Care 4. Nailcare to become the ‘lipstick effect’ of the Covid-19 recession Amid the crisis, nail care appears to be achieving strong growth. Sales of online nail products were up 12% in the UK’s first weeks of lockdown,25 Nails Inc. reported a 571% uplift in online sales in the US,26 and Revlon saw 13.1% sales growth of its nail polishes year-over-year.27 Experts are comparing the dramatic uptick in the nail category’s sales to ‘the lipstick effect’, the idea that consumers spend money on small indulgences during recessions. Cosmetics Design predicts that this phenomenon will continue even once lockdowns are lifted as consumers look to treat themselves in affordable ways, as seen in past recessions.28 While nail care is already reaping the benefits, the publication suggests facial care is also well positioned as the type of smaller indulgence consumers will seek out.27 17
03 Brand 18
1. The Beauty industry joins forces to support workers during the crisis Caring for the key workers Beauty brands are looking for ways to thank essential workers during the pandemic. Many have been donating goods to healthcare workers and carers across the globe. L’Occitane offered thousands of creams to healthcare front liners, Dr PAWPAW has donated their bestselling balms, L’Oréal has gathered its brands to give away more than half a million hygiene products to frontline workers, Glossier has distributed thousands of their top skincare and moisturizers around the US, and Sanctuary Spa has partnered with Work Perks to donate 50,000 body products to healthcare workers, to name just a few. Brands including UpCircle, Urban Veda and PAI skincare are distributing care packages to key workers with thank you notes. The packages include essentials but also pampering products. Donating to those in need Several beauty brands are donating hygiene essentials to those who may not have easy access to them. Soap & Glory has partnered with The Hygiene Bank, a charity providing personal care to those who can’t afford it, with each purchase of Soap & Glory products a donation is made to the charity. The Body Shop is following a similar approach by donating 30,000 cleaning products to shelters across the US and Canada. Beauty Banks, a charity providing essential toiletries, has started a campaign called #HelpingHands and partnered with several brands including REN Clean Skincare, Molton Brown and Lucy Bee to deliver basic products to those in need. In the UK, some beauty brands are partnering with charities supporting the elderly. Fragrance house Miller Harris has partnered with charity Age UK and donated all their scented handwash, lotions and soaps to the vulnerable elderly. Skincare brand Oskia is using their labs to create hand sanitisers for care homes across the UK. Responding to shortages In response to growing demand and shortage of hand sanitiser, several brands including LVMH group, Estee Lauder and L’Oréal brands are using their production labs to manufacture hand sanitisers. 19
Estee Lauder has reopened a manufacturing facility to produce sanitisers for healthcare workers. L’Oréal’s Garnier is creating a new hand sanitiser range and donating 300,000 bottles to retail workers as well as making millions available to food retailers. L’Oréal’s La Roche Posay has partnered with French pharmacies to provide free hand sanitiser in pharmacies, hospitals and care homes. Supporting victims of domestic abuse Since the outbreak of the pandemic, a dramatic increase in domestic violence cases has been reported globally. Experts have highlighted that a lockdown situation could worsen existing violence resulting in victims feeling increasingly vulnerable and isolated. The Body Shop (among others) has made the decision to partner with NO MORE, an organisation working towards ending domestic violence and assaults globally. Together, they created the ‘Isolated Not Alone’ campaign to raise awareness and demand additional funding for abuse support services. Avon has been an avid campaigner for women’s safety for many years through a partnership with Women’s Aid. To combat growing domestic violence during the crisis, Avon is pledging $1m to front-line services supporting women and children at risk across the world. Pop star Rihanna, founder of top performing make-up brand Fenty Beauty, partnered with Twitter founder Jack Dorsey in LA to set up a $4.2 million grant to help victims of domestic violence affected by the lockdown in Los Angeles. Fenty Beauty is also donating 100% of proceeds from the purchase of a line of products to improve vulnerable children’s quality of life during the pandemic. 20
2. Beauty brands launch e-consultations The closure of beauty stores has led to several brands bringing one-on-one consultations and group events online. The initiative gives employment security to staff as well as creating a new way to stay connected to consumers. Kiehl’s has moved its popular Healthy Skin Hub consultations online, offering consumers a wide range of entertainment, from mask sessions and skincare 101s to Q&A sessions with experts. Deciem also recently launched virtual consultation services. The brand’s retail team is speaking directly to online consumers through a chat feature or a video call to offer advice on skin concerns and product usage. The brand has received positive feedback and experienced a growth in consumer engagement. Questions we get have gone from 900 to about 2600 in the past week, so our customers want information now more than ever” Nicola Kilner, Deciem Beauty retailer Credo Beauty is using its social channels to promote the ‘Credo Live’ feature of their website, an online consultation feature that has been accessible since November 2018 but is now more popular than ever. The brand highlights the importance of talking to consumers during their purchase journey and the boost to sales from online consultations. Online customers who shop using Credo Live are x15 more likely to make a purchase than those who don’t” Dawn Dobras, Credo Beauty 21
3. Beauty brands innovate through TikTok and highlight the importance of staying top of mind Despite the current climate, several brands are seeing the importance of keeping their product firmly in consumers’ minds by increasing media spend instead of halting it. P&G has made the decision to increase their media spend in order to maintain a bond with consumers so that when products are made available they will continue to buy them. P&G also noted that the current lockdown is resulting in a media consumption boost worldwide, and so a crucial time for brands to keep up their visibility. We need to work hard to ensure that we maintain mental and physical availability to the greatest extent possible, so that those consumers return to their beloved and trusted brands – which are ours – as they're more fully available.” Jon Moeller, P&G Along with decisions around continuing to invest, brands are also looking for new ways to innovate. TikTok is currently the second most downloaded app in the US (after Zoom), and its beauty content is ever-growing. From beauty hacks to short tutorials, its effortless and authentic content is keeping users entertained during the lockdown. The app has launched the #HappyAtHome campaign with a segment focusing on beauty. Users are sharing beauty videos and challenges globally. NYX, spotting the potential of TikTok, recently started the #ButterGlossPop challenge and through partnerships with several TikTok influencers and a custom song the account received 8.4 billion views despite having only 14,600 followers on the app. The current lockdown has led several brands including Nudestix and Fenty Beauty to accelerate their TikTok content plans. The platform’s unfiltered and freewheeling content format enables brands to easily continue working with influencers who can deliver content remotely without the need for studios or professional photographers. 22
Sources 1Global Cosmetics News, Shiseido’s china sales plummet as coronavirus halts consumption, Feb 10 2020 2 WWD, Coronavirus impact: coty expects 20% decline, 20 March 2020 3 Bloomberg Intelligence – Global beauty, home and personal care – covid outlook 4 Bloomberg Intelligence – Global beauty, home and personal care – covid outlook 5 Moodie Davitt Report, Coronavirus update: Shiseido shows its heart, 3rd February 2020 6 Euromonitor, The impact of coronavirus on beauty and personal care, April 2020 7 FT, LVMH and L’Oreal upbeat on recovery, 16 April 2020 8 GCI Magazine, P&G Q3 202 sales increase 5%, 17 April 2020 9 Euromonitor, The impact of coronavirus on beauty and personal care, April 2020 10 2CV.com, Impact on needs and behaviour within beauty sector, 11 Euromonitor, The impact of coronavirus on beauty and personal care, April 2020 12 McKinsey, 30 March – 5 April 2020, Q: Over the next 2 weeks, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less on beauty and skincare than normal? 13 McKinsey, Amazon change in yoy growth between 4 w/e 15 Feb and 14 March 2020, 4. Mintel, March 2019 14 Yimian, reporting on Tmall sales, Jan-Feb 2020 vs. Jan-Feb 2018 15 “Glowing skincare”, Google trends weekly index, 2015-2019 16 McKinsey, Perspectives for North America’s fashion industry in a time of crisis, March 2020 17 E-Consultancy, How the beauty industry is responding to coronavirus, 8 April 2020 18Google Trends, search indexes for “how to cut hair” and “how to dye hair”, YT 27 April 2020, Worldwide 19 Tiktok, 16 April 2020 20 Instagram, 16 April 2020 21 WWD reporting Olive & June internal sales data, 16 April 2020 22 Madison Reed internal data, April 2020 23Livepanel, 2019, top 10 based on % of consumers saying they find each touchpoint useful, Cosmetics and skincare categories 24 Coronavirus to impact beauty business trends, Mintel, April 2020 25 NPD group, w/e 16th March 2020 compared to same period last year 26 Nails Inc, internal data, April 2020 27 Nielsen, for the week ending on April 11, compared to same period last year 28 Cosmetics Design ‘Retail Expert: Covid-19 impact on beauty pretty big’, 14 April 2020 23
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