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Eventocracy: Media and Politics in Times of Aspirational Fascism Rohan Kalyan Theory & Event, Volume 23, Number 1, January 2020, pp. 4-28 (Article) Published by Johns Hopkins University Press For additional information about this article https://muse.jhu.edu/article/747093 [ This content has been declared free to read by the pubisher during the COVID-19 pandemic. ]
Eventocracy: Media and Politics in Times of Aspirational Fascism Rohan Kalyan Abstract Eventocracy, or rule by event, describes the strategic manipulation of media events to gain political advantage. This essay examines the eventocratic rise of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi from 2002 to 2014. It describes and analyzes four key events in this time period that served to establish Modi’s pop- ular base while cultivating an expanding political subjectivity around the ideologies of Hindu nationalism and economic global- ization. Modi’s story demonstrates how contemporary subjectiva- tion works through the mediation of such critical events. I con- clude with the question of what this link between media events and subjectivation portends in times of rising fascisms around the world. 1. Demonetization as Event At 8:00 pm on November 8, 2016, in an unannounced speech, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi appeared on national television. Modi declared that in precisely four hours (at the stroke of midnight) all existing Rs 500 and Rs 1000 notes would be “demonetized,” or stripped of their value and declared void. People in possession of these notes would have 50 days to exchange their old currency for new Rs 500 and Rs 2000 notes (with the Rs 1000 now discontinued).1 Given the huge quantity of cash to be demonetized, remonetized and distributed to thousands of banks and ATMs across the country, with the Rs 500 and Rs 1000 notes altogether representing 86% of the existing cash value in circulation, demonetization was sure to be a dis- ruptive event.2 Modi’s justifications for the surprise move, outlined in his initial speech, were two-fold: (1) to combat illegal hoarding of “black money” (or money gained through illicit or dubious means) and (2) to curb the use of counterfeit currency in financing terrorism. In order to catch corrupt money hoarders and counterfeiters the policy was kept secret from the Indian public, with little-to-no visible prepa- rations made before the event. Theory & Event Vol. 23, No. 1, 4–28 © 2020 Johns Hopkins University Press
But given also India’s large “informal economy,” and the fact that hundreds of millions were dependent on cash for day-to-day transac- tions and long-term savings, the political stakes seemed high indeed.3 Soon after the announcement of demonetization, stories of ill-prepara- tion and a disorganized rollout began to circulate in the news media, including on television, the internet and print.4 Already dumbfounded by the surprise announcement of demonetization, the Indian public now experienced shortages of the new currency around the country. Adding fuel to the building spectacle, various media reported long lines at banks and ATMs, as hapless workers were forced to miss valu- able time from their jobs to wait in line. Meanwhile, many employers had to delay paying their employees. This caused a sharp drop in con- sumer demand, threatening to slow India’s fast-growing economy.5 Before long it became clear that Modi had stumbled quite pub- licly on the very terrain he had previously mastered in his unexpected rise to political power.6 As I show in this essay, Modi employed savvy public relations (PR) strategies, timely social media communiques and enjoyed largely positive mainstream news coverage in dramatically winning the national election just two years before.7 For the usually cunning Modi, however, the surprise event of demonetization had seemingly backfired. How would he respond? And what about those most negatively impacted by demonetization? In the mainstream press and social media alike, two opposing camps soon emerged with quite different interpretations of the event. For one group, demonetization was Modi’s long-awaited strategic blunder. Modi, the charasmatic leader of the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), whose confidence and wisdom in front of his followers was seemingly unimpeachable, was finally stripped of his aura of invincibility. Much to the satisfaction of his critics, demonetization revealed Modi for what he always was: a mortal politician who had made a costly mistake. As such, the debacle of demonetization was sure to hurt Modi’s carefully cultivated image and impact the BJP at the next elections.8 But for a very different group, Modi’s move to implement demon- etization was seen as a brilliant, if unorthodox move. They saw it as a “surgical strike” against some of India’s most intractable problems: rampant corruption, black money and counterfeit currency, all of which had deleterious effects on India’s economy and some of which posed a threat to national security. For this group of supporters, Modi did what was necessary for the nation, making a difficult but bold decision that other, less visionary leaders would have hesitated to make.9 This was, after all, why they had elected Modi in the first place, for his assertive leadership qualities. It was now the responsibility of patriotic citizens to make a “maha yagna,” or “great sacrifice” for the nation, echoing Modi’s call in his November speech.
6 Theory & Event In the midst of this polarized debate an article in The Indian Express stood out for the way in which it illuminated the larger media spectacle taking place. Entitled “Welcome the Eventocracy, Tracked by Comedia,” the article was written by Ravish Kumar, a promi- nent journalist known for his critical appraisals of the Modi govern- ment.10 Coming some 50 days after Modi’s live-TV announcement on November 8, Kumar provocatively argued that demonetization exem- plified what he called “eventocracy,” or a new form of democracy where there is nothing greater than the event. Any policy announcement has so many events that people have begun to believe in the arrival of an avatar. They believe a divine voice is being heard from the skies. The politician as policy announcer appears on a stage, like a divine being. The stage itself resembles calendar art, with heavenly rays shining behind a great soul’s head. When the event becomes the norm of democracy, fact is replaced by fiction and implementation by intention—these become vital.11 Kumar’s insight arguably resonates with recent scholarship on the affective force and disruptive politics of media events.12 We might say that in an eventocracy the news media no longer “represents” political life (through its reporting) but actively comes to shape it (through its coverage and captivation).13 Television ratings and the number of fol- lowers or “likes” on social media become a more valuable metric than mass surveys and opinion polls, precisely because the former can now easily influence the latter.14 And because this is so, eventocratic rulers are compelled to conjure up new surprises everyday, so that the pub- lic’s attention continually moves from event to event, at a loss for what might come next. What matters is not so much the content of the event or the particular issue at hand, but rather the public’s attention itself. Mediated attention becomes the currency of political and economic power in an eventocracy. In what follows I retell Modi’s eventocratic rise to power in India, both building on Kumar’s keen insights but extending them in more speculative directions. In the next two sections I provide some histor- ical and theoretical background on the politics of media events, before contextualizing Modi and the BJP’s contemporary rise in postcolonial India. I then describe and analyze four key events in Modi’s career as an elected politician that served as transformational moments of subjectivation, that is, decisive turning points that expanded Modi’s popular base and cultivated a novel political subjectivity around the ideologies of Hindu nationalism and economic globalization. In the end, I return to the demonetization debacle in order to argue that Modi’s eventocratic rise must be situated within an expansive global
Kalyan | Media and Politics in Times of Aspirational Fascism 7 media ecology in which events and their subjectivation become the pre-conditions for the emergence of new fascisms and hyper-national- isms around the world.15 2. The Politics of Media Events In his classic 1852 study of the autocratic rise of Napoleon III in France, Karl Marx indirectly foreshadows Ravish Kumar’s notion of eventoc- racy by analyzing the coup d’etat of the previous year. The relevant passage comes near the end of Marx’s breathless and brilliant analysis: Driven by the contradictory demands of his situation, and being at the same time, like a juggler, under the necessity of keeping the public gaze on himself, as Napoleon’s successor, by springing constant surprises––that is to say, under the necessity of arrang- ing a coup d’état in miniature every day––Bonaparte throws the whole bourgeois economy into confusion, violates everything that seemed inviolable to the Revolution of 1848, makes some tolerant of revolution and makes others lust for it, and produces anarchy in the name of order, while at the same time stripping the entire state machinery of its halo, profaning it and making it at once loath- some and ridiculous.16 “Arranging a coup d’état in miniature everyday”—it is as if Marx pre- saged Twitter and social media and foretold their turbulent role in the eventocratic rise of leaders like Modi, Donald Trump and others, men obsessed with “keeping the public gaze on [themselves],” whatever the cost. Whether through dramatic policy pronouncements like demon- etization, or menacing “tweets” threatening trade wars with China or nuclear war with North Korea, the digital eventocracy of today, even more so than in Napoleon III’s print-centric era, distracts and divides the public, forcing subjects to take sides on issues they never thought about politically before.17 Everyone, even the so-called experts, are at a loss as to what will happen next. What new issue will arise? Which new event will unfold and (seemingly) change everything (again)? Certain eventocratic leaders “succeed” because they are able to “throw the whole bourgeois economy into confusion,” producing a sense of visceral crisis that demands the stabilizing intervention of an authori- tarian figure. Yet such authority was fragile. As Marx seemed to recog- nize in his own day, the currency of power was ultimately the public’s attention itself. In order to captivate and keep an audience new events would have to be manufactured daily, new coups d’etat in miniature would have to be arranged. It wasn’t so much that the public had to unanimously side with the leader’s desired interpretation of events. It was the fact that they were compelled to take sides in the first place. For no matter which side they took, they reproduced the power of the
8 Theory & Event eventocratic leader by keeping the public conversation fixated on this figure. Our times resonate oddly with Marx’s, but the resonance is unmistakable. How did we get here (again)? Media scholars have fervently debated the extent to which media events shape politics and vice versa in modern societies.18 Such debates are rendered more complex in an era of new media, digital communications technologies and decentralized network connectivity. In contrast, older media like radio and television were characteristic of a twentieth-century model in which media content was produced centrally and broadcast to dispersed audiences in their homes. To be sure, such broadcast media networks were radical in their own time, as scholars like Marshall McLuhan have famously argued.19 Broadcast television brought distant events into the intimate spaces of individ- uals and families at home. Moreover, it presented these events in more vivid, proximate and potentially manipulative ways than traditional print media did. By experiencing distant “mediated” events on screen, it was if the home audience’s eyes and ears were extended in space and time. Simultaneously, such spaces of virtual intimacy and distant prox- imity were now accessible to powerful bureaucratic institutions, like states and monopolistic corporations, to influence and mold in their image. As commercialized television proliferated during the second half of the twentieth century, more channels led to the creation of more content under conditions of generalized market competition (espe- cially in countries with relatively free press). In such a plural media ecology, profit-seeking companies were compelled to cultivate the vir- tual intimacy of television in manipulative ways: to create and keep captive viewers. This manipulation continues well into the present.20 Compared with older media forms like newspapers, radio and television, newer media technologies (i.e. those using computer tech- nology) produce an even more intimate and visceral experience of pol- itics—and no longer just at home but virtually anywhere one might wish to transport their mobile screens.21 This enables a more syn- chronic and interactive experience of media events, with likes, shares, re-tweets and viral distribution continually adding new feedback to media platforms and the richly imagined worlds they mediate.22 But exactly where the mediation begins and ends is no longer as clear as switching a television On or Off. Communication no longer merely flows from central broadcast towers to peripheral receptive devices. Through the internet and its interactive platforms and emergent net- works, communication now flows in multiple, non-linear directions. Cause and effect become as dissociated as space and time. Media is no longer either “hot” or “cold,” as McLuhan would have it, but de-ter- ritorializing and re-territorializing meaning, identity and ideology in ways that openly defy the reproduction of a singular common sensi- bility or apprehension of the present.23
Kalyan | Media and Politics in Times of Aspirational Fascism 9 In the context of media and politics in India, one witnesses the relatively belated arrival of a pluralistic media ecology, especially with respect to television.24 Only one TV channel existed prior to 1991 and this was the state-run Doordarshan network. Since the 1990s, how- ever, this has changed rapidly. Thanks to “liberal” economic reforms that privileged private sector competition over public monopolies and allowed private investment in mass communications, by 2005 there were over 200 digital channels available to Indian viewership.25 Consistent with economic liberalization in other domains of social life, TV media production has seen an increasing commodification of content so as to attract advertising revenue and grow audiences in a highly competitive market environment. Corporate domination of the TV news mediascape especially has led to what scholars call the “Murdochization of news” in India, with spectacle, hyperbole, and personalization of politics becoming increasingly common in “news” reportage.26 In his Indian Express article Ravish Kumar opined that this sensationalist style of news presentation, reminiscent of FoxNews in the US (founded by billionaire media mogul Rupert Murdoch), was a central feature of eventocracy in India: Governments can change. An eventocracy’s first-lead here can thus change. But the hero of the second lead stays fixed. That is the news anchor. Friend of the big messiah––the small messiah. There is an old Bollywood film Ram-Balram––the politician and the anchor are the eventocracy’s Ram-Balram.27 The reference is to a 1980 Bollywood film involving an unequal part- nership of criminals. But it also indirectly references Hindu mythology (in particular the god figure Ram of the Hindu epic The Ramayana). Kumar’s recourse to both Bollywood and Hindu mythology here is apt, as the Hindu right and Modi especially have thrived in an evento- cratic media environment. 3. Modi and the BJP Narendra Modi is in many ways the synergistic product of the BJP and its main ideological organ (and cultural precursor) the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS), whose “fundamentalist” idea of Hindu nationalism (Hindutva) originates in the colonial-era revivalist move- ments of the early nineteenth century. As the Indian political psychol- ogist Ashis Nandy has shown, fundamentalist Hindu nationalism was a very modern response to the colonial encounter in South Asia. It was also in many ways a direct result of British “divide and rule” strate- gies.28 Among other things, Hindutva imagined a pristine pre-colonial past when the entire Indian subcontinent was constituted as a great
10 Theory & Event Hindu civilization. This was a “golden era” before the present age of foreign domination, first by Muslim invaders from central and west Asia (in the thirteenth century) and subsequently by European colo- nizers from further west (in the eighteenth century).29 These various outsiders became a discursive means through which Hindu national- ists could imagine a homogenous Indian identity. Mohandas Gandhi’s assassination in 1948 at the hand of a right- wing Hindu extremist resulted in the political marginalization of many revivalist groups following independence, including the RSS, which was effectively banned in India until the mid-1950s. Instead, the secular Congress Party, behind Jawaharlal Nehru and his daughter Indira Gandhi (no relation to the Gandhi above), dominated Indian national politics through the first three-and-a-half decades of inde- pendence. Over this time political institutions came to embody the so-called “Nehruvian Consensus,” based on ideals of secularism, socialism and state-led development.30 Meanwhile, Hindu right- wing politics initially went underground before re-organizing in the shadows of the Congress Party’s decades-long rule in the ‘50s, ‘60s and ‘70s. Hindu fundamentalist groups slowly began emerging from their peripheral status through steady on-the-ground organizing by dedicated field-workers like Modi, expanding from their upper-caste origins to capture broader mass appeal in the 1970s and ‘80s. But the movement as a whole also benefited from the growing disenchant- ment with the Nehruvian Consensus, which predictably failed to live up to its lofty modernist ideals. Campaigning in aggressive opposition to the Congress Party’s “pseudo-secularism” (which it saw as minority appeasement and foreign to India’s “indigenous” secular culture) and inability to deliver high economic growth (especially in comparison with other economies in Asia), opposition Hindu nationalist parties began competing and doing well in both local and state elections, par- ticularly in north India. And following Indira Gandhi’s declaration of Emergency Rule from 1975–77, indicating the waning of Congress hegemony, the Hindu right became an assertive presence in national politics, with the BJP eventually leading coalition governments in the Center in 1996 and 1998.31 But long before their national emergence Hindu political and cultural organizations were already active in Modi’s home state of Gujarat when he was growing up as a child and young adult.32 Modi was born in 1950 into a lower-caste family, the son of a tea seller in the town of Vadnagar, Gujarat. The young Modi was drawn to Hindutva ideology when he joined the local youth-wing of the RSS.33 As a young man he became a full-time apparatchik (pracharak) for the RSS and later was promoted to party secretary for the BJP, first at the state and then at regional and national levels. By all accounts Modi stood out from his peers for his organizational and managerial talents, his ability to
Kalyan | Media and Politics in Times of Aspirational Fascism 11 carry out complicated tasks with unusual efficiency. Yet Modi was also known for his strong fascistic traits, with a tendency to hold onto grudges and seek out retribution against those he felt wronged him.34 Clearly fit for the cut-throat world of right-wing politics, Modi rose up the ranks to BJP regional secretary in 1996 before he was appointed chief minister of Gujarat in 2001 by higher-ups following the sudden resignation of his predecessor. From here Modi’s political star would continue its rapid ascent, only now in the limelight of state, national and international media. But we will return to this story shortly. Meanwhile, the 1970s and ‘80s were important decades for the BJP (and its predecessors the Janata Party and Bharatiya Jana Sangh), as the party moved from a peripheral position to one that was increas- ingly formidable in inter-party coalitions in the central government. Key to the BJP’s emergence during this time, in addition to its orga- nizing efforts and the gradual decline of the Congress Party described above, was its innovative production and mediation of public events that served to galvanize a political subjectivity around the BJP’s core ideology of Hindutva. Not all of these media events were of the BJP’s own making. For instance, the party and its Hindu revivalist move- ment benefited from the national broadcasting of Hindu mythol- ogies on ostensibly secular state-run TV (the serials Ramayana and Mahabarata) in the late 1980s.35 Yet other events were entirely of the BJP’s own design, most notably the frequent large-scale religious pro- cessions (called yathras) that crossed dozens of cities and states during election campaigns, drawing huge crowds while garnering sustained national media attention.36 The yathra politics of the BJP, along with other contingent political events, injected an aggressive brand of spec- tacle-fueled Hindutva into the public sphere, one that Modi and others would further weaponize in due time. Even before the BJP’s contemporary rise to power, staged media events had a certain salience in Indian political life. Under the early Congress governments in the 1950s and ‘60s, the Nehruvian state put on public spectacles of nationalism and political subjectivation that were intended to project the nation as an imagined community.37 These events included public parades and national holidays, documentary films and showcase development projects. All commonly evoked the ideals that underpinned the aforementioned Nehruvian Consensus: secularism, modern technological development and egalitarian social progress. But as scholars of postcolonial Indian politics like Nandy have argued, the Nehruvian Consensus was unable to overcome a fundamental ambivalence, or gap, in its political culture, a haunting legacy of colonialism.38 Perhaps this is why the Consensus slowly but surely splintered, thanks in no small part to the aggressive anti-Con- gress efforts of the BJP.39 Since the early 1980s especially, official secu- larism has been increasingly challenged by public assertions of reli-
12 Theory & Event gious and caste identity in popular politics.40 Meanwhile state-led development and centralized economic planning have given way to greater reliance on private capital, international trade and investment markets, exposing increasing numbers of Indians to the vicissitudes of global capitalism.41 By the late ‘90s the Congress Party’s (liberal, sec- ular, socialist) events failed to captivate as they once had, and other, more media-savvy actors like the BJP were able to step in with more seductive and affective media events that better articulated the new economics of de-territorialization (i.e. capitalist globalization) with a sense of cultural re-territorialization (i.e religious-nationalism).42 Perhaps no one was better suited to execute a militant re-imagining of postcolonial Indian identity (through Hindutva and globalization), and in the process begin to cultivate a new culture of national politics, than Narendra Modi. 4. The Eventocratic Rise of Narendra Modi 2002—The Gujarat Riots Any event-centric account of Modi’s political ascendance would have to begin with the infamous 2002 Gujarat Riots, perhaps the event that cemented Modi’s place in national and international media attention. Modi continues to do battle with the ghosts of 2002, although he is also an exemplar of the cynical maxim: might makes right. That February, just five months into his position as chief minister of Gujarat (his first appointment to elected office), a train car full of Hindu activists was attacked and set aflame in the town of Godhra, Gujarat, ostensibly by a gang of Muslim men. All 58 people trapped on board burned to death. What followed were some of the worst Hindu-Muslim “communal riots” seen in post-independence India (with more than a thousand fatalities, and tens of thousands displaced, mostly Muslims). For some the event recalled the worst excesses of violence during the Partition of India and Pakistan.43 Prior to this event, Modi was practically unknown outside of Gujarat. Afterwards his name would ring with infamy in India and beyond. For in the midst of the violence and carnage, when it was clear that most of it was directed against Muslim minorities in a few major cities, Modi reportedly told the state police to stand down, to let the riled up crowds “work out their feelings.” This potentially led to a far higher number of casualties (again, mostly Muslims) than might have otherwise occurred. Moreover, in full public view Modi controver- sially pushed the national government (then under control of the BJP) to hold the Gujarat state elections several months ahead of schedule.44 During the ensuing campaign Modi took advantage of the tense, com- munalized environment in order to rally an aggressive Hindu base
Kalyan | Media and Politics in Times of Aspirational Fascism 13 ahead of the vote. In political speeches Modi unabashedly utilized anti-Pakistan/anti-Muslim/anti-terrorist rhetoric, while maliciously characterizing his critics as anti-Gujarati or even anti-Hindu. From this darkly majoritarian imagination, Modi enchanted large Hindu crowds, including, no doubt, some of the same mobs that were directly responsible for the violence just months before, when police, govern- ment officials, and most infamously, Modi, looked the other way.45 His party won handily a short eight months after Godhra.46 Both nationally and internationally Modi’s image was severely tar- nished by the collective bloodletting that his government oversaw and did little to avert in February and March of 2002. But in Gujarat Modi emerged stronger than ever. As noted above, Modi took full advan- tage of the social polarization afterwards in advancing state elections and “maximizing the gains from the post-Godhra violence.”47 Modi had learned the cynical political lesson of Godhra. Namely, how to use anti-minority sentiments and violent events to serve crass electoral strategies. Modi’s speeches riled up Hindu crowds and performed a lethal ideological subjectivation strategy that he has only perfected over time, particularly in his subsequent re-election campaigns in Gujarat, as well as his national campaigns in 2014 and 2019.48 2003—Vibrant Gujarat The anthropologist of globalization Anna Tsing coined the term “economy of appearances” to describe the way transnational capital works to create a world in its own image, that is, a world suitable for extractive profiteering made possible by pliant postcolonial states. Tsing finds that today such states are just like start-up companies in that both “must dramatize their dreams in order to attract the capital they need to operate and expand.”49 In an economy of appearances it becomes increasingly important for postcolonial states and start-ups alike to project images of themselves that are appealing to foreign investors, images of a promising future contingent upon a certain appearance of the present. Investors must see a profitable business environment, including a relatively stable political system, coopera- tive leadership, secure and reliable infrastructure and so on. After the Gujarat riots of 2002, Modi set out to create an economy of appearances that would not only help rebuild a state badly dam- aged by the state-wide riots, but also shift popular attention away from communal violence to the more attractive theme of economic devel- opment. The Vibrant Gujarat Business Summit was an investor and business leader conference that Modi both created and hosted, begin- ning in 2003 and held every two years since then. These high-profile state-sponsored events gave Modi the chance to invite private capital (both foreign and domestic) to partner with the Gujarat government
14 Theory & Event and invest in development projects in the state. For his part, Modi pro- jected himself as a visionary leader with a pragmatic, business-friendly approach to development. This was a far cry from the Gujarat riots of the previous year, with images of smoldering buildings and burnt homes, despondent families grieving the loss of loved ones, tens of thousands languishing in refugee camps. Vibrant Gujarat promised to put all this behind him by projecting the optimistic appearance of investor-driven development. As the writer Vinod Jose wrote in 2012, following the fifth Vibrant Gujarat Summit, “Modi has turned the act of investing in what has long been one of India’s most business-friendly and industrialized states into a high-profile spectacle—and amplified the disclosure of annual investment inflows into singular triumphant announcements.”50 Modi was transforming economic development into a media event. In fact, Modi has proven himself to be a master conjurer of such events, employing expensive PR firms to publicize his government’s accomplishments while using social media to directly reach out to his followers both in India and abroad.51 As a result of his tech-savvy and pro-business approach, Modi has gained increasing support from India’s urban middle classes, the wealthy parts of the Indian diaspora, and eventually the corporate media. These relatively elite groups had previously seen Modi as toxic (for his alleged complicity in the Gujarat riots and ties to the RSS), but now galvanized around his attractive pro-development politics.52 Modi seemingly realized—in a way that his contemporaries had not—that appearances mattered in politics and that an optimistic and seductive depiction of social reality could become a self-fulfilling prophecy under the right cultural conditions. The circular logic of this mediated economy of appearances is a central feature of Modi’s eventocratic rise. Modi soon harnessed the popular nickname “Development Man” or “Vikas Purush” both in Gujarat and outside of the state in the national press.53 Under his well-publicized leadership, Gujarat’s economy wit- nessed robust growth and attracted both foreign and domestic capital investment.54 But as Modi’s biographer Nikhil Mukhopadhyay notes, there were significant gaps between the promotional image of devel- opment that Modi’s events were designed to project and real invest- ments and improvements made in Gujarat. Comparing promises of investment at Vibrant Gujarat summits from 2003–2011—through what are called Memoranda of Understanding (MOUs) made between the state and private investors—with actual investments of capital, Mukhopadhyay finds: In the first Vibrant Gujarat Business Summit, out of 76 MOUs that were signed, only 42 projects were actually started with an investment of 38,000 crores against the promised amount of 66,068
Kalyan | Media and Politics in Times of Aspirational Fascism 15 crores. The numbers declined further in the second, third, fourth and fifth summits: in percentage terms it stood at 36 percent, 23 percent, eight percent and just 1.4 percent in the last Summit in 2011.55 This growing gap between appearance and reality arguably applies to Gujarat’s economy as a whole. For despite being one of the fastest growing states in India, in terms of social indicators like health, educa- tion and inequality, Gujarat actually lagged significantly behind other, less prosperous Indian states, leading to what one scholar has called “growth without development” in Modi’s Gujarat.56 But in a broader sense, Modi’s “eventification” of development in Gujarat exemplifies a model of “spectacular accumulation” that is part of Tsing’s economy of appearances.57 Modi’s Gujarat combined minimal government regula- tion with generous corporate incentives, such as tax-breaks and cheap land for factories, along with the use of state muscle to discipline labor and other unruly political elements. Under such ad hoc arrangements between state and big business, combined with savvy PR and splashy investor-friendly events, Modi utilized this economy of appearances rebrand himself from a political pariah to a pragmatic leader. 2008—The Tata Nano Coup Operating comfortably within this economy of appearances, Modi further enhanced his image as Vikas Purush in the eyes of a growing base of supporters through the so-called Tata Nano coup of 2008. This event did for Modi nationally what hosting the Vibrant Gujarat events attempted to do for Modi internationally. Both allowed Modi to shift the public conversation about himself from communal riots and reli- gious violence to spectacular and successful economic development. Announced in 2006, the Tata Nano was to be the world’s cheapest production car, targeted especially at India’s rising middle classes.58 The state of West Bengal, run by an increasingly corporate-friendly Communist Party of India-Marxist (CPI-M), got the prized Tata fac- tory and the projected jobs and ancillary benefits to went along with it. By 2007 the state government began allocating and acquiring land for a large car-manufacturing plant in Singur, an agricultural district located 34 kilometers west of Kolkata. By late 2008, however, Tata Motors abruptly stated that it would be terminating its project in West Bengal.59 After months of disputes between farmers and the state institution in charge of acquiring land for the factory, and increasingly violent confrontations between protes- tors and the police, Ratan Tata, head of Tata Motors, announced that the company would be moving the project to the more business-friendly state of Gujarat. Narendra Modi, still in his role as Chief Minister and on his way to winning a third consecutive term in 2012, once more cap-
16 Theory & Event italized on the media attention with a highly publicized letter featured in newspapers across India. The letter was addressed directly to Chief Minister Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee, leader of the CPI-M, which had governed West Bengal since the 1970s. In characteristic fashion, Modi minced no words when speaking to a political enemy. In Gujarat, we have a consistent industrial policy. Marxists like you had once opposed industrialization. You had resisted entry of computers and now you are talking about industrializa- tion. Neither your party nor the administration is providing whole-hearted support. We have created a land bank and have an industrial map ready. We acquire land in advance through dis- cussions with farmers. This is a continuous process. I admit that your state has much more cultivable land than we have and acqui- sition is difficult. Therefore, it is important to keep the opposition in the loop and continue discussions throughout the year. We do just that.60 In writing the letter Modi contrasted the “harmonious” culture of politics in Gujarat with the obviously dysfunctional version in West Bengal, communicating in effect with a future national electorate.61 In 2012 Modi was reelected in Gujarat by (once again) wide mar- gins.62 Meanwhile, the CPI saw its three-decade long rule in West Bengal come to an abrupt end in 2011. Quite fittingly, the latter were voted out of office and replaced by the Trinamool Congress Party of Mamata Banerjee, the same person that led the vociferous farmers’ protests against the state’s land acquisition plans in Singur two years before.63 With both the one-off Tata Nano event and the biennial Vibrant Gujarat events Modi seemed to be sending a strong signal to capitalists around the world: Gujarat was open for business. The capitalist world returned the favor by publicly touting Modi’s visionary acumen, his stalwart leadership qualities, his self-discipline. They did this when many in the mainstream media (both in India and abroad) continued to see Modi as a problematic figure.64 For his part Modi was demon- strating a clear knack for turning unexpected events, such as violence in Godhra and messy land politics in West Bengal, into opportunities to publicize himself and extend his popular base. Such mobilizations were instrumental in Modi’s “rebranding” from a communal instigator in the aftermath of 2002 to someone capable of holding the highest political office in India just twelve years later.65 2014—“Acche Din Aane Wale Hain” (“Good Days Are Coming”) In May 2014, after the most expensive national election campaign in Indian history, the Modi-led BJP and its coalition partners in the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) won a rousing two-thirds
Kalyan | Media and Politics in Times of Aspirational Fascism 17 majority in the lower house of Parliament (or Lok Sabha), awarding its leader Narendra Modi the post of prime minister.66 By itself the BJP won an outright majority in government, something unseen in Indian politics since 1984, following the outpouring of national sym- pathy for the Congress Party in the wake of the assassination of Indira Gandhi.67 While many predicted a comfortable BJP win in 2014, what surprised prognosticators was the extent of anti-incumbency in the election, directed against ten years of Congress-led rule. From winning 206 seats (out of a total of 543 constituencies) and leading the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) to reelection in 2009, Congress’s tally fell to a mere 44 seats, while the BJP’s total climbed from 116 in 2009 to 282 in 2014. It was a dramatic turn of events. Scholars of Indian media and politics have noted that in the con- text of the 2014 elections, a few prominent themes stood out. First, there was the visibly Modi-centric campaign on the part of the BJP, with the inauguration of candidate-driven “horse race” politics, pre- viously under-played in India’s more party-centric parliamentary system.68 Modi’s was perhaps the most personality-driven candidacy since Indira Gandhi’s “Indira is India, India is Indira” campaign in the early 1970s. Second, one saw the innovative use of social media to further personalize Modi’s campaign as he connected with millions around the country and the world (including the Indian diaspora).69 Third, there was the near unanimous backing of big business and corporate television media, which garnered Modi disproportionate coverage throughout the race.70 Fourth and finally, Modi and the BJP won the overwhelming support of the urban middle class, who appar- ently took more to Modi’s credentials as a pro-development leader in Gujarat than to his reputation for anti-minority politics. Or else they were simply unbothered by Modi’s identity politics because they iden- tified with the majority.71 If we analyze these four events together—the riots of 2002, the Vibrant Gujarat summits beginning in 2003, the Nano coup of 2008, and the electoral victory of 2014—we can see how they form a kind of composite subjectivity that broadly describes the media politics of Narendra Modi: the appearance of economic pragmatism and a pro-business disposition mixed with the projection of religio-cultural assertiveness, masculinity and majoritarian nationalism. In so far as Modi has found (and continues to find) success as an elected politi- cian, his supporters ostensibly identify with some or all aspects of this composite subjectivity. This allows us to ask a timely question: what are the limits of Modi’s composite, mass-mediated subjectivity? To return to the demonetization episode with which I began this essay, demonetization was a debacle precisely because it backfired as a polit- ical event. Unlike the four events described and analyzed above, the
18 Theory & Event popular interpretation of demonetization quickly spun out of Modi’s normally tightfisted control.72 And yet, not only has Modi successfully weathered the calamity of this event, he won re-election in 2019 by even wider margins than in 2014.73 Thinking from this unexpected turn of events, in the last part of this essay I turn my focus to the specula- tive link between events, media and subjectivation in light of rising neo-fascist politics around the world. 5. Eventocracy and Aspirational Fascism What is it about events and their mediation that prove so decisive in our divisive politics of today? For we could easily extend the analysis of eventocracy to Trump in the United States, Erdogan in Turkey, Putin in Russia, and so on. It is against the spirit of this study to simply assert the specificity of eventocracy in a place like India and end the analysis there. For what links events and politics more globally is the process of subjectivation, that is, the transformation of concrete, heterogeneous individuals into political subjects through the mediation of events. As various philosophers of “the event” have noted in recent decades, events can introduce unexpected ruptures into “normal” everyday existence, forcing individuals or groups to think and act differently than they did before.74 This gives events a “virtual” potency in political life, in so far as their power exists in the realm of potentiality, without having to necessarily be “actual” or “true” in order for events to exert an absent presence in a given situation. In an era of social media, dig- ital technology and economic globalization, the virtual capacities of events multiply.75 And so too do the potential for manipulative and deceptive events. Here the specter of aspirational fascism in places like India and the US today becomes particularly urgent to consider. The concept of “aspirational fascism” is borrowed from William Connolly’s recent intervention of the same name.76 Connolly’s text is an exploratory meditation on political life in Trump’s America, with relevant historical comparisons with Nazi Germany and Fascist Italy. Connolly pays particularly close attention to modes of attunement that help suture an aspirational fascist figure like Trump, Hitler and Mussolini to devoted masses of followers. I find much of interest between the socio-political forces and resonance machines (including evangelical capitalism in the US and Hindu developmentalism in India) that produced Trump in the US and Modi in India (and osten- sibly other aspirational fascists in political and cultural contexts else- where). My hope is that this essay is the first of more to come in terms of studying comparative cases of eventocracy (in different places, at different scales), and bringing their disparate contexts, implications and resonances to the fore.
Kalyan | Media and Politics in Times of Aspirational Fascism 19 In this last section I’d like to get started by positing the following question: how might we distinguish manipulative events of the aspi- rational fascist variety from the revolutionary kind that open up possi- bilities in the direction of progressive politics? For the communist phi- losopher Alain Badiou, truly progressive, often revolutionary events always emerge as an exception to the dominant situation that pre- cedes them, presenting existence with something that was previously excluded from what he calls “the encyclopedia of the situation,” or the realm of known possibilities.77 In short, events make the impossible possible through the unexpected inclusion of parts that were previ- ously excluded from the situation as it was dominantly known. In this way truly significant events can be quite rare. They are also fleeting. But certain events are completely unexpected and leave a lasting mark or trace on certain individuals and groups. These groups become “subjec- tivated” by the experience of the event, bearing witness to the moment of radical rupture itself, the encounter with something revolutionary and new. This newness Badiou names a “truth.” Individuals turn into subjects by deciding to act in the name of this truth, to pursue the most radical consequences of this decision in the wake of a “truth-event.” Although he doesn’t use this word explicitly, for Badiou truth- events can be considered “sublime” in the Kantian sense that they bring the subject “into a state of disarray,”78 overwhelming the cog- nitive faculties of perception, imagination and reason with sensory overload at the sheer terror of the infinite and the ineffable. In contrast to an object of beauty, whose finite and well-proportioned forms give a sense of “pleasure” to the apprehending subject through the “free play” of the subject’s faculties, “the quality of the feeling of the Sublime is that it is a feeling of pain in reference to the faculty by which we judge aesthetically of an object.”79 But for Badiou, after the painful, shocking or merely disruptive (sublime) event, the individual or group reconstitutes themselves as a subject of the event, one whose fidelity is to its disruptive truth. Importantly, this truth is not something tran- scendent that precedes the event, just waiting to be discovered. Rather, truth is something that actively emerges with the event, opening up a possibility that, through the affirmative decision on the part of sub- jects to act in fidelity to it, would not otherwise exist. Truth here is emergent and “virtual” in the sense that it exists as a potentiality that must be actualized by concrete historical subjects who decide to act in its name.80 Political theorist Michael Shapiro approaches events somewhat differently. While he too sees sublime events as ruptures within pre-ex- isting communities of sense (or situations, in Badiou), rather than directing subjects toward fidelity to the universal truth of the event, for Shapiro events politicize the perceptual lines that divide communities of sense within a given polity. Shapiro characterizes as sublime those
20 Theory & Event “disruptive events that provoke the formation of oppositional com- munities of sense, which register the existence of multiple experiential thought worlds” (Shapiro, 2018: 4). Thus rather than assuming that events resonate within a singular and universal common sense (which both Kant and Badiou do), Shapiro argues that “sublime experiences activate diverse sense-making communities within the body politic” (3). Cross-hatching these perspectives, we can observe that certain eventocratic leaders like Modi or Trump are at their most powerful when they are able to manufacture events (or take advantage of unex- pected events) that effectively split public opinion into oppositional camps. For this divides the loyalists from the opposition, friends from enemies, Self versus Other. But just as importantly it keeps the public conversation fixated on the eventocratic figure themselves. This figure is less interested in convincing everyone to agree with them and more invested in securing a virtual plurality that suffices to keep the spec- tacle going. And here divisive events become the means to shore up a sufficiently loyal base that can perform its collective loyalty to the leader over and over again. Eventocratic figures like Modi and Trump are not the only ones seeking to shape the dominant interpretation of events today but these figures have proven to be the ones that, in their respective milieus, most dramatically force people to choose sides, to decide on this or that particular truth, to join this or that community of sense-making and performative interpretation.81 Eventocracy is about the active mediation and partitioning of subjectivities in the context of multiple, competing communities of sense, each invested in different ideas of “truth.” From Badiou’s perspective, these mass-mediated “truths” and the eventocratic means through which they are conjured are largely reactionary rather than progressive. They are forms of manipulation which become sources of distraction and division in the body politic rather than points of potential solidarity across difference. From this perspective, it is imperative that critical scholarship takes the time to rigorously analyze and expose these new mediated forms of manipu- lation. By critiquing this mode of media politics, we can reveal its bla- tant falsities, all while taking heed of the “powers of the false” that are central to how the new digital media work.82 That is, how the media captivates and captures new subjects by repeating certain “truths” and their underlying “common” sensibilities. This critical praxis is a neces- sary part of the politics of eventocracy. But how to conjure events differently? How to evoke a different power of the false, one that relates visceral media and the politics of affect, but in tune with different, more egalitarian sensibilities? From Shapiro’s perspective, the creative arts, and cultural production more generally, can become key sites for the formation of counter-events that not only challenge the false “truths” of eventocratic manipulators,
Kalyan | Media and Politics in Times of Aspirational Fascism 21 but forge new truths and egalitarian sensibilities out of the mediated realities we already inhabit and interpret every day. In this case, the spectacle of aspirational fascism (i.e. eventocracy) in places like Modi’s India and Trump’s US will have to be met with an anti-fascist political culture which uses events and media to forge radical communities of sense and sense-making in the hollowed out mediascapes of global capitalism. Notes 1. Modi delivered the speech first in Hindi and then in English. You can view both versions at the Bharatiya Janata Party’s YouTube channel: “PM Narendra Modi’s address to the nation on demonetization of Rs. 500 & Rs. 1000 currency notes.” Available online at: https://www.youtube.com/ watch?v=rn64Vf6GEoo 2. For an overview of conditions in the month following Modi’s speech, see Bhargav Rani, “Demonetization in India: the Political Economy of Waiting Time,” Advocate, December 17, 2016. Available online at: http://gcadvocate. com/2016/12/17/demonetization-india-political-economy-waiting-time/. 3. The concept of informality in contemporary India is contested but can be provisionally defined as including those domains of economic production and exchange that fall below “official count.” For a good overview of differ- ent intellectual positions with respect to the term, see Ananya Roy, “Urban Informality: Toward an Epistemology of Planning,” Journal of the American Planning Association, Vol. 71, No. 2, pp. 147–58. 4. Wade Shepard, “One month in, what’s the impact of India’s demonetization fiasco,” Forbes, December 12, 2016, available online at: https://www.forbes. com/sites/wadeshepard/2016/12/12/one-month-in-whats-the-impact-of-indias-de- monetization-fiasco/#2ab7505a7ab1 5. Since the Indian state’s gradual and uneven implementation of economic reform, its economy has now emerged as one of the world’s fastest growing today, at least as measured by GDP. For a political economy analysis of the most robust growth years, see R. Nagaraj “India’s dream run, 2003–08.” Economic and Political Weekly 48.20 (2013): 39–51. Notwithstanding this period of accelerated growth, however, India’s social indicators (includ- ing poverty and health metrics) put it in league with some of the poorest regions in the world. For more on uneven growth and structural economic inequality see Atul Kohli, Poverty Amid Plenty in the New India (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2012). 6. For an account of Modi’s political rise, see Nilanjan Mukhopadhyay, Narendra Modi: the Man, the Times (New Delhi: Westland 2013). Note: this edition was written prior to Modi’s election as Indian Prime Minister in 2014 but fully anticipates it and has been updated since. 7. Paula Chakravartty and Srirupa Roy, “Mr. Modi Goes to Delhi: Mediated Populism and the 2014 Indian Elections,” Television & Media, 16:4 (2015), 311–322. This is part of a special issue on Modi’s election (from a media studies and comparative politics) point of view edited by these two authors.
22 Theory & Event 8. Rohit Kumar, “Demonetization: The Poor and Elderly Are Worst Hit by Modi’s ‘Financial Surgical Strike’”, HuffPost India, November 10, 2016. Available online at: https://www.huffingtonpost.in/rohit-kumar/demonetiza- tion-the-poor-and-elderly-are-worst-hit-by-modis-fi_a_21603320/. Kadayam Subramanian, “India’s demonetization policy fails to address real prob- lems,” Asia Times, November 24, 1016. Available online at:http://www.atimes. com/indias-demonitization-policy-fails-address-real-problems/. 9. Sudhir Kumar, India Transforming: A Leader Changes the Destiny of a Nation (New Delhi: Adhyyan Publications, 2015):Yogesh Dwivedi, “Demonetization could spark a new digital economy in India,” Quartz India, November 22, 1016. Available online at: https://qz.com/843872/indias-rupee-de- monetization-could-spark-a-new-digital-economy-in-the-cash-reliant-country/, V. Sastry, “Demonetization is Both Revolutionary and Responsibility,” Live Law, December 9, 2016. Available online at: http://www.livelaw.in/demon- etization-revolutionary-responsibility/, Sanjiv Shankaran, “Why Narendra Modi’s demonetization move may make sense from a political cost-benefit standpoint,” Times of India, December 10, 2016. Available online at: https:// blogs.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/cash-flow/why-narendra-modis-demonetization -move-may-make-sense-from-a-political-cost-benefit-standpoint/, Rohit Gandhi, “Demonetization: This is a new Indian Sunrise,” DNA, November 14, 2016. Available online at: http://www.dnaindia.com/analysis/column-this-is-a-new- indian-sunrise-2273153. 10. See Ravish Kumar, The Free Voice: On Democracy, Culture and the Nation (New Delhi: Speaking Tiger, 2018), for a sense of Kumar’s views on cul- ture and politics in Modi’s India. 11. Ravish Kumar, “Welcome the eventocracy, tracked by comedia,” The Indian Express, December 31, 2016. Available online at: https://indianexpress. com/article/opinion/columns/events-eventocracy-policy-announcement-me- dia-demonetisation-jnu-row-fake-news-4452319/ 12. See Michael Shapiro, The Political Sublime (Durham, NC: Duke University Press, 2018); Sara Ahmed, “Affective Economies,” Social Text, 79 Vol 22, No 1 , (Summer 2004): 117–139; Robert McChesney, “Interview with Catalyst magazine,” Catalyst, Vol 2, Issue 1 (Spring 2018); and Jonathan Crary, “Spectacle, attention, counter-memory.” October 50 (1989): 97–107; and Johanna Maaria Sumiala, Katja Valaskivi, and Daniel Dayan, “From Media Events to Expressive Events,” Television & New Media, 19:2 (2018): 177–187. 13. This is hardly a novel observation about the relationship between rep- resentation and reality, mediated by images, simulations, programs and codes, data and information, etc. in a decidedly post-industrial era. I am edified by the likes of Guy Debord, Society of the Spectacle, (London: Bread & Circuses Publishing, 2012 [1968]); Gilles Deleuze, The Logic of Sense (New York: Columbia University Press, 1990 [1969]); Gilles Deleuze, “Postscript on the Societies of Control,” October 59 (1992): 3–7; Jean Baudrillard, Simulations (New York: Semiotext[e], 1983), and many others who influenced me. My contribution in the project is to simply underline the specific role of events as such in helping create the inter-subjective and material conditions for an increasingly virtual/simulated mass society.
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