Estimating the benefit of well-managed protected areas for threatened species conservation - Fuller Lab

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Estimating the benefit of well-managed protected
           areas for threatened species conservation
                                               STEPHEN G. KEARNEY, VANESSA M. ADAMS, RICHARD A. FULLER
                                                             H U G H P . P O S S I N G H A M and J A M E S E . M . W A T S O N

           Abstract Protected areas are central to global efforts to pre-                        The supplementary material for this article is available at
           vent species extinctions, with many countries investing                               https://doi.org/./S
           heavily in their establishment. Yet the designation of pro-
           tected areas alone can only abate certain threats to biodiver-
           sity. Targeted management within protected areas is often
           required to achieve fully effective conservation within                               Introduction
           their boundaries. It remains unclear what combination of
           protected area designation and management is needed to re-
           move the suite of processes that imperil species. Here, using
           Australia as a case study, we use a dataset on the pressures
                                                                                                 N      ationally designated protected area networks are now
                                                                                                        central to biodiversity conservation strategies globally
                                                                                                 (Coetzee et al., ; Watson et al., ) as they are consid-
           facing threatened species to determine the role of protected                          ered the most effective way to overcome the threats that are
           areas and management in conserving imperilled species. We                             causing the current biodiversity crisis (Rands et al., ).
           found that protected areas that are not resourced for threat                          Although recent research has found that protected areas
           management could remove one or more threats to ,                                  generally support greater species richness and abundance
           (%) species and all threats to very few (n = , %) species.                       than comparable areas that are not protected (Barnes
           In contrast, a protected area network that is adequately re-                          et al., ; Gray et al., ), and they are mostly effective
           sourced to manage threatening processes within their                                  at mitigating vegetation clearing by human activity
           boundary could remove one or more threats to almost all                               (Naughton-Treves et al., ; Joppa et al., ), there is
           species (n = ,; c. %) and all threats to almost half (n =                      also evidence that under current levels of funding many pro-
            , %). However,  (%) species face one or more                               tected areas are unable to abate the many other processes
           threats that require coordinated conservation actions that                            that cause species declines (Craigie et al., ; Joppa &
           protected areas alone could not remove. This research                                 Pfaff, ). Despite pronounced protected area expansion
           shows that investing in the continued expansion of                                    over recent decades and ambitious global targets for future
           Australia’s protected area network without providing ad-                              growth under the  Strategic Plan for Biodiversity (CBD,
           equate funding for threat management within and beyond                                ; UNEP-WCMC & IUCN, ), little is known about
           the existing protected area network will benefit few threa-                           the extent to which they can abate the full range of threaten-
           tened species. These findings highlight that as the inter-                            ing processes that imperil species (Watson et al., ).
           national community expands the global protected area                                      Given the central, and sometimes sole, focus on the es-
           network in accordance with the  Strategic Plan for                                tablishment of protected areas to fulfil international conser-
           Biodiversity, a greater emphasis on the effectiveness of                              vation targets (Joppa & Pfaff, ; Lopoukhine & de Souza
           threat management is needed.                                                          Dias, ; Dudley et al., ), it is important to understand
                                                                                                 the extent to which protected areas can mitigate threatening
           Keywords Aichi targets, Australia, Environment Protection
                                                                                                 processes. For example, Australia’s National Reserve System
           and Biodiversity Conservation Act, EPBC Act, protected                                is the country’s most important investment in biodiversity
           area effectiveness, protected area management, threats,                               conservation (Commonwealth of Australia, b) and in
           threat management                                                                      the Environment Minister announced to the World
                                                                                                 Parks Congress that Australia had achieved its international
                                                                                                 commitments because it reached the areal component of the
                                                                                                 goal of % of land within protected areas as outlined in
           STEPHEN G. KEARNEY (Corresponding author) and JAMES E. M. WATSON* School of           Aichi Target  of the Strategic Plan for Biodiversity
           Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Queensland, Steele Building,          (Secretariat of the CBD, ; Hunt, ). Many other na-
           Brisbane, Queensland 4072, Australia. E-mail stephen.kearney@uq.edu.au
                                                                                                 tions are making progress towards their own protected area
           VANESSA M. ADAMS, RICHARD A. FULLER and HUGH P. POSSINGHAM School of
           Biological Sciences, University of Queensland, Queensland, Australia
                                                                                                 coverage targets. For example, both South Africa and
                                                                                                 Canada are planning a significant increase to their protected
           *Also at: Global Conservation Program, Wildlife Conservation Society, Bronx,
           New York, USA                                                                         area networks to make their contribution to the global
           Received  July . Revision requested  September .                          % target by  (Government of South Africa, ;
           Accepted  November .                                                            Government of Canada, ).

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2         S. G. Kearney et al.

                 As national and global protected area networks are dra-                           Using this summary we quantify the role that protected
             matically expanded to halt biodiversity decline (Venter                               areas play in separating threatened species from the pro-
             et al., ; Watson et al., ; Barr et al., ), it is vital                    cesses that threaten their persistence.
             to understand their effectiveness at conserving biodiversity.
             Given Australia is one of the first nations to have claimed to
             have met the % terrestrial area target, it is a useful case                         Methods
             study in which to assess the extent that protected areas
             can abate those processes that threaten species. Despite hav-                         Australian threatened species data
             ing a large protected area network, the country has a history
                                                                                                   Species that have been classified as threatened by the
             of recent extinctions (Woinarski et al., ) and with
                                                                                                   Australian Department of the Environment and Energy’s
             . , species currently listed as threatened with extinc-
                                                                                                   Threatened Species Scientific Committee and Minister are
             tion nationally (Commonwealth of Australia, ), further
                                                                                                   listed under the Environment Protection and Biodiversity
             extinctions are likely (Woinarski et al., ). Furthermore,
                                                                                                   Conservation Act  (Commonwealth of Australia,
             most Australian species face multiple threats (Evans et al.,
                                                                                                   b). We undertook this study in early , at which
             ) that require a variety of actions to mitigate. These
                                                                                                   time there were , Australian species listed as threatened
             range from protected area designation and targeted threat
                                                                                                   under the Act. We followed previous studies (Carwardine
             management across protected and non-protected areas, to
                                                                                                   et al., ; Evans et al., ) and included all terrestrial
             stronger legislation and better land-management practices
                                                                                                   and freshwater vertebrate, invertebrate and plant species,
             (Lindenmayer, ; Woinarski et al., , ).
                                                                                                   as well as marine species that rely on land or freshwater
                 Quantifying the variety of actions needed to mitigate the
                                                                                                   for a part of their life-cycle. We only considered threats to
             impacts of threats on imperilled species is vital for under-
                                                                                                   marine species that originate and require management on
             standing the response required to conserve threatened spe-
                                                                                                   land. Excluded from the analysis were extinct species,
             cies. Where legal support for protected areas is strong, their
                                                                                                   species that face uncertain threats and exclusively marine
             designation alone will be effective at mitigating a number of
                                                                                                   species. In total, , Australian threatened species were
             threats, particularly those that cause habitat loss (e.g. agri-
                                                                                                   considered in this analysis.
             culture, urbanization). Nevertheless, many threats operate
             irrespective of land tenure and, as such, management is re-
             quired to mitigate their impacts. Where threats can be dealt                          Data on threatening processes
             with at a local or point-basis, targeted management within a
             protected area will effectively mitigate these (e.g. invasive                         Information on Australian threatened species and the
             species, fire), but some threats are pervasive across the land-                       threats reported as impacting them are available through
             scape and therefore require a systematic management ap-                               the Species Profiles and Threats database (Commonwealth
             proach both inside and outside protected areas (e.g.                                  of Australia, ). This database provides threat data on
             invasive diseases and pathogens). In Australia, for                                   species protected under the Environment Protection and
             example, threats such as inappropriate fire regimes and                               Biodiversity Conservation Act and has been used in a num-
             invasive species are contributing to the severe decline of                            ber of studies that assess threatening processes on Australian
             numerous mammal species in one of Australia’s premiere                                species (Evans et al., ; Walsh et al., ). For this study
             protected areas (and a UNESCO Natural World Heritage                                  we used information from the database that was current as
             site), Kakadu National Park (Woinarski et al., ). To ad-                          of late .
             equately conserve these threatened species, protected area                                The information on threats is compiled using a range of
             managers must be resourced to undertake intensive man-                                sources including listing advice, recovery and action plans,
             agement of these threats. In evaluating the role of protected                         published literature and expert knowledge (Commonwealth
             areas in threatened species conservation it is vital to recog-                        of Australia, ). It is likely that this information is not ex-
             nize that in many circumstances protected area designation                            haustive and the listed threats are likely to be those that are
             must be complemented with management to conserve                                      obvious and tangible to managers of threatened species,
             species effectively.                                                                  meaning subtle threats may be overlooked and not reported.
                 Here we provide the first holistic assessment of the extent                       The Species Profiles and Threats database follows the stan-
             to which a continental protected area network mitigates the                           dardized Threats Classification Scheme outlined by Salafsky
             range of threats to species at risk of extinction. In doing this                      et al. (). These threat classifications are the same as
             we aim to understand how effective protected areas are at                             those used by IUCN for the Red List process and allow com-
             removing the processes that threaten species with extinc-                             parison across regions and taxonomic groups (IUCN, ).
             tion. Using a recently compiled national database on the                              This threat classification scheme contains  direct threat
             threats to Australian species, we summarize the range of                              types and one type for new and emerging threats (‘Other op-
             management actions required to mitigate these threats.                                tions’; Salafsky et al., ). The classification scheme is

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Benefit of protected areas               3

           based on a three-level hierarchy, with each level increasing                          where there is adequate funding and resources provided to
           in detail and specificity. The first level (major threat) being                       undertake effective management of threats within its
           the broadest, the second level (sub-threat) being more de-                            boundary. Here, management is a broad term that refers
           fined and the third level (specific threat) being at a finer                          to activities that mitigate the processes that threaten species
           scale. Each major threat has between three and six sub-                               within the protected area boundary. Management actions
           threat classifications. Table  provides a full description                           range from invasive species control and fire management,
           and specific details for each major threat classification.                            to enforcement and habitat restoration (Table  provides
                                                                                                 full details).
                                                                                                     Additionally, a number of threats to Australian species
           Threat management                                                                     are unable to be adequately mitigated by protected areas,
                                                                                                 no matter how well resourced and managed (Gaston et al.,
           We used government threat abatement plans and peer-
                                                                                                 ). These threats require a coordinated response across
           reviewed literature to identify potential management
                                                                                                 protected and non-protected areas, which we label ‘landscape
           actions to mitigate each threat. Although there are potential-
                                                                                                 management’ (Table ). An example of threats that require a
           ly a number of ways to remove each threat and local context
                                                                                                 landscape management approach are the invasive diseases
           influences what is the most appropriate action, we identify
                                                                                                 and pathogens listed as key threatening processes under
           what would generally be the conservation action or
                                                                                                 the Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation
           combination of actions used to mitigate each threat. For
                                                                                                 Act (Commonwealth of Australia, a). These diseases
           clarity we followed the standardized lexicon provided by
                                                                                                 impact  Australian threatened species and are thought
           Salafsky et al. () for conservation actions. Table  con-
                                                                                                 to have caused or contributed to at least four extinctions of
           tains a summary of the threats and conservation actions re-
                                                                                                 Australian species (Commonwealth of Australia, ,
           quired and Supplementary Table  contains the reasoning
                                                                                                 , ). The threat abatement plans for these diseases
           for the choice of each action.
                                                                                                 emphasize a number of management actions to be coordi-
                                                                                                 nated nationally. These are minimizing the spread of the dis-
           Assessing the effectiveness of the protected area                                     ease by controlling dispersal through quarantine actions and
           network to manage threats                                                             controlling the movement of infected species, mitigating the
                                                                                                 impact on species at infected sites through identified means,
           There is no dataset available that provides information on                            and the establishment of a captive breeding programme
           how each individual protected area mitigates the threats oc-                          for species at high risk of extinction (Commonwealth of
           curring within it. We therefore classified each threat relative                       Australia, , , ). Although effectively managed
           to how effective the protected area network could be in over-                         protected areas play a vital role in mitigating the impact of
           coming it. We followed the standardized conservation ac-                              threats such as this, a coordinated threat management
           tions as defined by Salafsky et al. (). Conservation                              approach across the broader landscape is needed to ensure
           actions are interventions that need to be undertaken to re-                           effective conservation.
           duce the extinction risk of a species (Salafsky et al., ).                            There are local factors that require interpretation to de-
           Using these conservation actions, we defined three distinct                           termine the most appropriate management action. These
           threat management scenarios for protected areas.                                      factors influence both the impact of threats and the effect-
              The first, which we label ‘unmanaged’, considers pro-                              iveness of the management action required to deal with it.
           tected areas as a legally designated land use, which can over-                        For example, the impact of salinity can vary widely in its
           come threats causing vegetation clearance and habitat loss                            scale and severity. Where its impact is localized, a protected
           but where threat management such as invasive species con-                             area with restoration efforts can effectively mitigate this.
           trol and fire management does not occur (Table ). This                               Whereas when salinity impacts an entire landscape, as is oc-
           scenario captures a situation in which protected area man-                            curring in Australia’s Murray-Darling Basin, a landscape
           agers are inadequately resourced to undertake threat man-                             management approach is required (Murray-Darling Basin
           agement, as is likely to be the case in some protected areas                          Authority, ). Similarly, to mitigate adequately the
           across Australia (Taylor et al., a; Craigie et al., ). In                     impact of a number of invasive species, multiple levels of
           some countries, protected areas are ineffective at achieving                          management may be required. For example, to abate the im-
           their primary goal because of poor legislative support                                mediate impact of an invasive plant species, control (e.g.
           (Watson et al., ). Protected areas designated but never                           spraying, physical removal) is first needed (IPAC, )
           implemented (commonly referred to as paper parks) are                                 but then should be complemented with local (and potential-
           unlikely to be able to abate the threats we discuss here.                             ly national) policies aimed at minimizing its spread and es-
              The second scenario, which we label ‘well-managed’,                                tablishment in new areas (IPAC, ). Additionally, the
           considers a protected area as not only a legally designated                           size of a protected area has a significant impact on its effect-
           land use, and hence able to halt habitat loss, but one                                iveness at mitigating threats. For example, the conservation

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4         S. G. Kearney et al.

             TABLE 1 A description of the threat classifications, the typical conservation actions taken to mitigate these and our assessment of the cor-
             responding protected area management scenario. Threat classification, description and conservation actions taken from Salafsky et al.
             ().

             Major threat                                                                                                       Key conservation             Threat manage-
             classification                 Description                                  Sub-threats                            actions                      ment scenario
             Residential &                  Threats from human settlements or Commercial & industrial areas,                    Site/area protection         Unmanaged
               commercial                   other non-agricultural land          housing & urban areas, resi-
               development                  uses with a substantial footprint    dential & commercial devel-
                                                                                 opment, tourism & recreation
                                                                                 areas
             Agriculture &                  Threats from farming & ranching Agriculture, aquaculture, live-                     Site/area protection         Unmanaged
               aquaculture                  as a result of agricultural expan-   stock farming/grazing, timber
                                            sion & intensification, including    plantations
                                            silviculture, mariculture & aqua-
                                            culture (includes the impacts of any
                                            fencing around farmed areas)
             Energy production &            Threats from production of non- Oil & gas drilling, mining,                         Site/area protection         Unmanaged
               mining                       biological resources                 quarrying & renewable energy
             Transportation &               Threats from long, narrow trans- Roads & railroads, shipping                        Site/area protection         Unmanaged
               service corridors            port corridors & the vehicles that lanes, transportation & service
                                            use them including associated        corridors, utility & service lines
                                            wildlife mortality
             Biological resource            Threats from consumptive use of      Fishing/harvesting/collecting/                 Site/area protection & Well-managed
               use                          wild biological resources including gathering terrestrial, marine &                 management, com-
                                            both deliberate & unintentional      aquatic species                                pliance &
                                            harvesting effects; also persecution                                                enforcement
                                            or control of specific species       Commercial logging                             Site/area protection   Unmanaged
             Human intrusion &              Threats from human activities that Human intrusion & disturb-                       Site/area protection & Well-managed
              disturbance                   alter, destroy & disturb habitats & ance, recreational activities,                  management
                                            species associated with non-con-     work & other activities, mili-
                                            sumptive uses of biological          tary exercises
                                            resources
             Natural system                 Threats from actions that convert Dams & water management                           Policies & regulations Landscape
               modifications                or degrade habitat in service of                                                                           management
                                            managing natural or semi-            Fire & fire suppression, other                 Site/area protection & Well-managed
                                            natural systems, often to improve ecosystem modification                            management
                                            human welfare
             Invasive & other               Threats from non-native & native Invasive non-native species,                       Site/area protection & Well-managed
               problematic species,         plants, animals, pathogens/mi-       problematic native species                     invasive/problematic
               genes & diseases             crobes, or genetic materials that                                                   species control
                                            have or are predicted to have        Invasive diseases, pathogens &                 Invasive/problematic Landscape
                                            harmful effects on biodiversity fol- parasites                                      species control        management
                                            lowing their introduction, spread
                                            &/or increase in abundance
             Pollution                      Threats from introduction of exotic Garbage & solid waste                           Site/area manage-      Well-managed
                                            &/or excess materials or energy                                                     ment, compliance &
                                            from point & non-point sources                                                      enforcement
                                                                                 Agricultural & forestry pollu-                 Legislation & policies Landscape
                                                                                 tants, excess energy, urban                    & regulations          management
                                                                                 sewage & waste water; indus-
                                                                                 try/military pollution
             Geological events              Threats from catastrophic geo-       Landslides                                     Habitat & natural     Well-managed
                                            logical events                                                                      process restoration
             Climate change &               Threats from long-term climatic      Climate change, severe wea-                    Habitat & natural     Well-managed
               severe weather               changes that may be linked to glo- ther, droughts, storms &                         process restoration &
                                            bal warming & other severe cli-      flooding, temperature ex-                      species re-
                                            matic/weather events that are        tremes, habitat shifting/                      introduction
                                            outside of the natural range of      alteration
                                            variation, or potentially can wipe
                                            out a vulnerable species or habitat

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Benefit of protected areas               5

           of large, intact landscapes is the best response to the impacts
           of climate change (Watson et al., ; Gross et al., ). As
           such, small protected areas that comprise a high proportion
           of Australia’s protected area network (Commonwealth of
           Australia, a) are unlikely to be able to mitigate the im-
           pacts of such threats. Here, we determined the typical ac-
           tions used to mitigate each threat. Supplementary Table 
           provides a full reasoning for the choice of the conservation
           action required to mitigate each threat to Australian species.

           Level of threat abatement

           To estimate the role of protected areas in threatened species
           conservation in Australia, we quantify the level of threat
           abatement provided by each management scenario. We do
           this by calculating the proportion of threats removed by
           each scenario to Australian threatened species, and the
           number of species that have one or more and all threats aba-
           ted by each management scenario. Although these calcula-
           tions are theoretical, by comparing the effectiveness of the                          FIG. 1 The number of Australian threatened species facing each
           two protected area management scenarios we approximate                                of Salafsky et al.’s () major threat classifications (a) and the
           the role that well-managed and unmanaged protected areas                              relative impact of each major threat classification on Australian
           play in threatened species conservation in Australia.                                 threatened species (b). The relative impact is defined as the
                                                                                                 cumulative number of specific threats within a major threat that
                                                                                                 impacts a species. It takes into account that species may face
                                                                                                 more than one specific threat under each major threat. For
                                                                                                 example, a species may be threatened by an invasive plant
           Results                                                                               species and an invasive animal species and as such is impacted
                                                                                                 twice by the major threat classification ‘invasive and problematic
           The threats impacting Australian species                                              species’. Threat information is compiled using a range of sources
                                                                                                 including listing advice, recovery and action plans, published
           Australian threatened species face  major threat classes,                           literature and expert knowledge (Commonwealth of Australia,
           with invasive and other problematic species impacting the                             ). It is likely that this information is not exhaustive and the
           greatest proportion of species (n = ,, %; Fig. ). Two                          listed threats are likely to be those that are obvious and tangible
                                                                                                 to species’ managers, meaning subtle threats may be overlooked
           other major threats, natural system modifications and agri-
                                                                                                 and not reported.
           culture, impact over half of Australia’s threatened species
           (n = ,, % and n = , %, respectively; Fig. ). The
           sub-threats of invasive non-native species (within the                                The number of threats mitigated by each management
           major threat class ‘invasive and other problematic species’;                          scenario
           %) and fire and fire suppression (within the major threat
           class ‘natural system modifications’; %) threaten the                               Under our unmanaged protected area management scen-
           greatest number of Australian threatened species.                                     ario, in which protected areas are not resourced for threat
                                                                                                 management, the Australian protected area network can re-
                                                                                                 move % of all threats to Australian threatened species
                                                                                                 (Table ). We found that although the protected area net-
           The number of threats reported as impacting Australian                                work could mitigate one or more threats to , (%) spe-
           species                                                                               cies, it could only remove all threats to  (%) species
                                                                                                 (Table ). In contrast, under the well-managed scenario,
           Each Australian threatened species is impacted by –                                in which protected areas are adequately resourced for threat
           major threats (Fig. a) and – specific threats (Fig. b).                          management, Australia’s protected area network can re-
           On average, each species faces . ± SD . specific threats.                         move % of threats to all threatened species. Similar to
           Only  species (%) face a single specific threat and ,                          the unmanaged scenario, we found that although the well-
           species (%) face five or more specific threats (Fig. b).                           managed scenario can remove one or more threats to almost

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6         S. G. Kearney et al.

                                                                                                   of Australia’s threatened species, the other % require well-
                                                                                                   managed protected areas complemented with threat man-
                                                                                                   agement in non-protected lands. Threats from invasive
                                                                                                   diseases and pathogens, air and waterborne agricultural
                                                                                                   pollutants, and altered flow regimes from dams require
                                                                                                   combined management across the entire landscape. As
                                                                                                   such, for all threats to be removed to all species and
                                                                                                   ensure the effective conservation of species in Australia,
                                                                                                   well-resourced protected areas must be complemented
                                                                                                   with effective landscape-scale threat management.

                                                                                                   Discussion

                                                                                                   Using the actions required to mitigate threats to species, we
                                                                                                   evaluated the potential effectiveness of protected areas, the
                                                                                                   predominant action taken to protect biodiversity globally, at
                                                                                                   conserving threatened species. Using Australia as a case
                                                                                                   study, we found that even in the best-case scenario where
                                                                                                   protected areas are well-resourced and effectively managed,
                                                                                                   only % of threatened species will have all threats removed
                                                                                                   by the nation’s protected area network. These results are
             FIG. 2 The number of Australian threatened species that face one                      likely to be an overestimate of the effectiveness of the
             or more major threat classifications (a) and the number of
                                                                                                   current protected area network, as the few studies that
             threatened species facing one or more specific threats (b).
             Species facing more than  specific threats (n = , .%) were                     have discussed the adequacy of funding for management
             excluded from (b) to facilitate presentation. Threat information                      of protected areas in Australia have shown that there are sig-
             is compiled using a range of sources including listing advice,                        nificant shortfalls across much of continent (Taylor et al.,
             recovery and action plans, published literature and expert                            a; Craigie et al., ). Taylor et al. (a), for example
             knowledge (Commonwealth of Australia, ). It is likely that                        made the case for an estimated seven-fold increase in invest-
             this information is not exhaustive and the listed threats are likely                  ment needed to fill the current management and protection
             to be those that are obvious and tangible to species’ managers,
                                                                                                   gap in Australia’s protected area network. Where protected
             meaning subtle threats may be overlooked and not reported.
                                                                                                   areas are inadequately funded to undertake threat manage-
                                                                                                   ment, few species (n = , %) will have all threats removed.
             all threatened species (n = ,; c. %), it can only remove                           Similarly, this analysis overestimates the benefit to threa-
             all threats to  (%) threatened species (Table ). Of                             tened species conservation provided by Australia’s current
             great concern is that  species face threats that require co-                       protected area network. With the majority of Australian
             ordinated landscape-scale management for adequate miti-                               threatened species inadequately represented in protected
             gation (Table ). Protected areas alone, no matter how                                areas and % of species having no coverage (Watson
             well-managed, cannot remove all threats to these species.                             et al., ), protected areas provide little to no benefit to
                 The disparity between scenarios can be explained by the                           these species. This highlights the importance of a landscape
             variety of threats to Australian species and the number of                            scale approach to threat management as many threatened
             threats each species faces. Unmanaged protected areas can                             species occur outside protected areas, and half (n = ,
             only effectively mitigate threats causing habitat loss, particu-                      %) of Australia’s threatened species face threats requiring
             larly agriculture, urbanization and transport corridors                               concerted efforts across protected and non-protected areas.
             (Table ). As the majority of Australian species face multiple                        This emphasizes the need to fund not only establishment of
             threats, of which many require management to abate, un-                               new protected areas but also to adequately fund manage-
             managed protected areas cannot remove the majority of                                 ment within and outside the current protected area network.
             threats to Australian species. In contrast, well-managed pro-                             These findings have significant implications for biodiver-
             tected areas can abate the two greatest threats to Australian                         sity conservation globally. As the international community
             species: invasive and other problematic species, and natural                          undertakes concerted efforts to halt biodiversity decline
             system modifications as well as threats causing habitat loss                          (Juffe-Bignoli et al., ), too narrow of a focus on pro-
             (Table ). Hence, well-resourced protected areas can remove                           tected area network expansion will probably lead to an in-
             all threats to many more species than unmanaged protected                             sufficient response. The threat of invasive species, pollution
             areas. Although this accounts for the conservation of c. %                          and fire impact thousands of species globally (Rodrigues

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Benefit of protected areas               7

           TABLE 2 The total number (and percentage of total) of threats to all Australian species, the number of species with one or more threats, and
           all threats removed by the two protected area management scenarios. The unmanaged scenario represents a network of protected areas that
           receives no funding for threat management, whereas the well-managed scenario represents a protected area network that is well-funded
           and all necessary threat management occurs. Landscape-scale management is required to mitigate threats that either originate outside
           protected areas or require coordinated management across all land-tenures.

                                                         ‘Unmanaged’ protected           ‘Well-managed’ protected            Landscape                All management types
                                                         area scenario                   area scenario                       management               combined
           Total number of threats removed   3,056 (26%)                                 10,220 (86%)                        1,651 (14%)              11,871 (100%)
             to all threatened species
           Number of threatened species with 1,185 (76%)                                   1,551 (*100%)                       815 (52%)               1,555 (100%)
             one or more threats removed
           Number of threatened species with    51 (3%)                                      740 (48%)                            4 (,1%)              1,555 (100%)
             all threats removed

           et al., ; Maxwell et al., ) and in many countries, in-                        threatened species protection and recovery in Australia is in-
           vasive species impact a significant proportion of native spe-                         adequate (Taylor et al., a; Waldron et al., ).
           cies (e.g. the USA; Wilcove et al., ). Therefore, we expect                       Additionally, the allocation of the limited available resources
           our findings to be similar in many other nations. Although                            is currently biased (Walsh et al., ) and often ineffectively
           protected areas play a crucial role in solving the biodiversity                       spent (Bottrill et al., ; Taylor et al., b). Although it is
           crisis, we have shown here that this investment will only be                          unlikely the suggested seven-fold increase in funding
           of value if complemented by effective threatened species                              (Taylor et al., a) for Australia’s protected area network
           management.                                                                           will occur soon, efficiency can be addressed with a strategic
               The protected area management scenarios defined in this                           planning process for threatened species management
           analysis are the two extremes of a spectrum. In Australia,                            (Watson et al., ). Systematic and strategic investment of
           few protected areas are probably receiving no threat man-                             available funding through management action-specific plan-
           agement actions within their boundary, just as few are likely                         ning protocols has proven effective and efficient (Bottrill et al.,
           to be adequately and effectively managed for all threats                              ; Joseph et al., ). These protocols incorporate cost,
           within their boundaries. Where Australia’s current pro-                               benefit and likelihood of success to ensure effective and effi-
           tected area network is on this management spectrum is dif-                            cient outcomes for threatened species. Such protocols have
           ficult to determine; however, based on reported funding for                           been used in some states across Australia (Tasmanian
           protected area management, it is likely to be highly variable                         Government, ; N.S.W. Government, ) but a national
           (Taylor et al., a). Taylor et al. (a) report that in                          approach is required given that threatened species and the
           –, the average funding for protected area manage-                             threats they face are unaffected by state borders.
           ment across Australia was AUD ./ha. Although New                                       As the global protected area network continues to expand
           South Wales has reported that impacts to threatened species                           in an attempt to halt biodiversity decline, it is vital to under-
           in protected areas are stable or improving for the majority,                          stand its effectiveness in achieving this goal. We have provided
           in .% of protected areas, impacts are increasing (N.S.W.                            the first continental evaluation of how effective a network of
           Government, ). Considering the national average for                               protected areas is at removing the suite of threats that imperil
           protected area management funding is less than one third                              species. We discovered that a protected area network well-re-
           of New South Wales (Taylor et al., a), it is likely that                          sourced for threat management within its boundaries could
           many of Australia’s protected areas are inadequately                                  abate all known threats to half of Australia’s threatened species.
           resourced for effectively managing all threats within their                           Although protected areas will play a role in reducing threats to
           boundaries.                                                                           the other half of Australia’s threatened species, they are unable
               Our analysis emphasises the importance of all threats being                       to mitigate all of the processes that impact these species. A co-
           removed from threatened species. Although it is unlikely that                         ordinated approach across protected and non-protected areas
           every threat must be removed to prevent species’ extinction,                          is therefore required to conserve these species adequately.
           recent Australian extinctions suggest that a more holistic ap-
           proach to threat management is needed. Insufficient manage-
           ment of just a few threats resulted in these preventable                              Acknowledgements
           extinctions (Woinarski et al., ). Well-funded, strategically
                                                                                                 We are grateful to the Commonwealth Department of the
           planned and coordinated threat management across pro-                                 Environment and Energy for access to the Species Profile and
           tected and non-protected areas in Australia is needed to con-                         Threats Database, and to J. Woinarski and two anonymous reviewers
           serve its unique biodiversity. Currently, available funding for                       for helpful comments on the text. This research received support from

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8         S. G. Kearney et al.

             the Australian Government’s National Environmental Science                                         C O M M O N W E A LT H O F A U S T R A L I A () Species Profile and Threats
             Program through the Threatened Species Recovery Hub.                                                   Database. Department of the Environment, Australian
                                                                                                                    Government, Canberra, Australia. Http://www.environment.gov.
                                                                                                                    au/cgi-bin/sprat/public/sprat.pl [accessed  June ].
             Author contributions                                                                               C O M M O N W E A LT H O F A U S T R A L I A (a) EPBC Listed Key
                                                                                                                    Threatening Processes. Department of the Environment and Energy,
             Conception and design of study: SK, VA, RF, HP, JW; analysis and in-
                                                                                                                    Canberra, Australia. Http://www.environment.gov.au/cgi-bin/sprat/
             terpretation of data: SK, JW; drafting the text: SK, JW; revising the text:
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