ES - DESIGN STUDY REQUIREMENTS FOR A U.S. MACROGRID A PATH TO ACHIEVING THE NATION'S ENERGY SYSTEM TRANSFORMATION GOALS
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Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid A Path to Achieving the Nation’s Energy System Transformation Goals Energy Systems Integration Group February 202 2 ES ENERGY SYSTEMS INTEGRATION GROUP
ES ENERGY SYSTEMS INTEGRATION GROUP About ESIG The Energy Systems Integration Group is a nonprofit organization that marshals the expertise of the electricity industry’s technical community to support grid transfor- mation and energy systems integration and operation. More information is available at https://www.esig.energy. ESIG Publications Available Online This report is available at https://www.esig.energy/reports-briefs. Get in Touch To learn more about the topics discussed in this report or for more information about the Energy Systems Integration Group, please send an email to info@esig.energy. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group ii
Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid A Path to Achieving the Nation’s Energy System Transformation Goals ESIG Macrogrid Studies Scoping Team Jay Caspary, Grid Strategies LLC Rob Gramlich, Grid Strategies LLC Jim McCalley, Iowa State University Nick Miller, HickoryLedge LLC Dale Osborn, Independent Consultant Alison Silverstein, Independent Consultant Bob Zavadil, Enernex Suggested Citation Energy Systems Integration Group. 2022. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid: A Path to Achieving the Nation’s Energy System Transformation Goals. Reston, VA: Energy Systems Integration Group. https://www.esig. energy/reports-briefs. Production management/editing: Karin Matchett/tomorrowsfootprint.com Design: David Gerratt/NonprofitDesign.com © 2022 Energy Systems Integration Group Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group iii
Contents 1 Executive Summary 5 Introduction 11 Macrogrid Design and Attributes 17 Recommended Macrogrid Design Studies 25 Reliability Analysis 33 Resilience Analysis 37 Economics and Feasibility 40 Operations and Operability 45 Summary 47 References 49 Appendix: The “Rule of Three” for Transmission Expansion Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group iv
Executive Summary S everal recent, comprehensive studies of a clean The advanced hybrid grid may be part of the key for energy future for the United States point to the the massive transmission expansion required to support same conclusion: a clean electricity future for very high levels of clean electricity for the United States. the United States will require massive development Some major features of the macrogrid concept (Figure of the bulk transmission infrastructure. ES-1, p. 2) are the principle of looped circuits and the interspersed converter stations to either collect clean States, utilities, and consumers have significant com- electricity or deliver it to demand centers. mitments to rapidly decrease carbon emissions in the power sector and to use more electricity to reduce emis- The macrogrid concept proposed here is more than sions in other sectors. In the autumn of 2020, the Energy massive build-out of conventional high-voltage DC Systems Integration Group conducted a series of virtual (HVDC) lines and converter stations. The macrogrid workshops to consider the implications of and opportu- vision consists of a backbone of long-distance lines nities highlighted by the above referenced studies. These composed of networked, multi-terminal HVDC workshops confirmed that our current transmission based on voltage source converter (VSC) technology. development approaches and processes would almost certainly be inadequate for the challenge of growing to enable a clean energy future. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 1
F ig u re E S - 1 Macrogrid Concept with Overlaid Clean Energy Resource Areas and Locations of Major Electricity Demand Macro Grid Node Voltage (kV) Resource Area Stage 1 100–161 Demand 230–300 Stage 2 345 Macro Grid Line 500 Stage 1 735 and Above Stage 2 DC Line Source: Energy Systems Integration Group. Major Benefits of a Macrogrid The controls associated with HVDC equipment, and wide-area situational awareness enabled by new The benefits of a national macrogrid go well beyond connectivity and technology, will tie regions together simply serving as conduits for moving clean energy from in ways that facilitate better and more efficient over- source to load. The general attributes of a macrogrid all grid performance. Energy, capacity, and ancillary fall into the following broad categories: services would be deliverable from any region of the • Reliability. The macrogrid’s capabilities will be country to any other region, not just between neigh- extremely valuable for grid management and security bors. A macrogrid can provide operational tools and with very high levels of renewable resources to sup- capabilities that not only can reduce the bulk power port decarbonization goals. Increased interconnec- system’s susceptibility to failure, but can enhance tivity between regions of the United States can outage restoration capabilities and speed, which can contribute to significant improvements in reliability. be critical during extreme operating scenarios. The technologies comprising the macrogrid—extra- • Resilience. Extreme weather events, a growing con- high and ultra-high voltage DC (EHVDC and cern in a changing climate, can affect large regions UHVDC) transmission that can make the bulk of the country as experienced in California in August transmission network highly controllable—can 2020 and Texas in February 2021. The scope and scale be leveraged to address long-standing challenges of the macrogrid will provide interconnectivity that with bulk power system reliability. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 2
spans the entire country (and potentially the northern • Operability. The macrogrid would add an overarch- and southern borders as well) and goes well beyond ing layer on the existing grid management structure, the connections that we have now, between mostly enabling the coordination of national and regional adjacent regions. Such interconnectivity is needed to energy flows. The macrogrid’s capabilities will be ensure the resilience of the electricity infrastructure on extremely valuable for grid management and security which the country’s residents and economy depend. with very high levels of renewable resources to sup- port decarbonization goals. The controls associated • Economics. Some recent studies indicate that a with HVDC equipment, and wide-area situational macrogrid would substantially reduce the overall awareness enabled by new connectivity and technology, cost for a clean energy future, saving as much as one will provide capabilities that would not only reduce trillion dollars (see, for example, VCE (2020)). Con- the bulk power system’s susceptibility to failure, but ventional power system planning models under-value also enhance outage restoration capabilities and transmission, but newer approaches capture the ben- speed, which can be critical during extreme operat- efits of moving power to balance power systems with ing scenarios. dispersed variable resources based on the location and time of output. A macrogrid can facilitate the use of The U.S. Department of Energy, through the National the most economically attractive resources (bulk gen- Renewable Energy Laboratory and Pacific Northwest eration and storage, for energy and ancillary services), National Laboratory, has launched efforts to explore which can be dispatched to cover energy demand transmission development for supporting clean electricity across four time zones to serve all regions and customers. futures. We propose that the macrogrid be evaluated in And HVDC transmission has lower costs when the context of this DOE initiative as an alternate trans- transmitting electricity over hundreds of miles. mission approach for supporting very high levels of clean Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 3
electricity. Using the clean electricity scenarios developed exercise. The initial macrogrid design would then by the laboratories as the starting point, a quantitative be subjected to additional technical analysis to elicit process based on recent transmission expansion planning further details on the range of ancillary benefits principles, augmented to accommodate the scale and provided by the macrogrid infrastructure. technologies envisioned for the macrogrid, would be • Coordination and oversight of the physical applied. From this initial design, a series of studies would infrastructure. Physical operation of the macrogrid be conducted to elicit the full range of costs and benefits raises a number of technical challenges and questions. of the macrogrid, along with identification of outstand- Currently, there is no operating entity that has the ing questions and recommendations for future research. purview and national scope of the macrogrid infra- structure, or has the tightly coupled operating inter- Central Tasks in Working Toward actions with the number of entities that would be necessary here. a Viable Macrogrid Design • Cost comparisons. The costs to build the macro- This report explores the central tasks involved in working grid are obviously of major importance and would be toward a viable macrogrid design and presents specific compared to other alternatives for grid expansion to steps for addressing them: support the same clean electricity scenario. Against • Technical studies on reliability, resilience, these costs, the full range of benefits—including those economics, and operations. A series of technical related to improved power system reliability and resil- studies is proposed and described here to design and ience—would be captured and quantified to develop evaluate the macrogrid alternative for grid expansion. a full picture of the macrogrid economics. An initial design for the macrogrid would be based on • Use of rights-of-way. Acquisition of rights-of-way clean electricity scenarios already under development for new transmission is a barrier to any form of grid in DOE initiatives. It is recommended that the initial expansion. Because of the architecture, the HVDC macrogrid design be based on the end-point scenario, lines comprising the macrogrid would likely be much and not involve a multi-step incremental expansion longer than new lines that are part of a more conven- tional grid expansion. Further, utilization in terms of power transfer of the rights-of-way would be much It is recommended that the initial higher. As part of this evaluation, opportunities to use existing or more readily available line routes, such macrogrid design be based on the end-point as interstate highways or railroads, would be explored scenario, and not involve a multi-step in detail. incremental expansion exercise. The initial The convergence of the national push for very high macrogrid design would then be subjected levels of clean electricity and the advances in HVDC to further technical analysis to elicit further transmission technology of the last decade have created details on the range of ancillary benefits a unique opportunity for a detailed exploration of an alternative to the conventional transmission expansion provided by the macrogrid infrastructure. process to address identified challenges for the U.S. electric power system. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 4
Introduction S tates, utilities, and consumers have made signifi- This report draws from these rigorous studies as well cant commitments to rapidly decrease carbon as a series of workshops including technical experts from emissions in the power sector and to use more throughout the industry, hosted by the Energy Systems electricity to reduce emissions in other sectors. To achieve Integration Group (ESIG). It articulates a set of recom- decarbonization on the scale these commitments require, mendations for the next stage of proactive transmission very large amounts of clean electricity will need to be planning of a macrogrid covering reliability, resilience, moved across the country. Several recent, comprehensive economic, and operational aspects of the design. studies of a clean energy future for the United States point to critical importance of transmission: a clean Broad Benefits of a Macrogrid electricity future for the United States will require massive development of the bulk transmission infra- There are many benefits of a nation-wide transmission structure, spanning large regions of the country and overlay—a macrogrid—as a system of diverse resources allowing the sharing of clean renewable energy among significantly improves reliability and resilience on a neighboring grids (Bloom et al., 2021; Brown and continental scale. In some regards, the macrogrid will Botterud, 2020; MISO, 2017; VCE, 2020). provide a solid “anchor” against which existing and new Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 5
local and regional AC systems can lean. Macrogrid Conventional power system planning models under- terminals also offer large control opportunities for grid value transmission, but newer approaches capture the management and enhancing system security during benefits of moving power to balance power systems routine and high-consequence climate-induced and with dispersed variable resources based on the location other severe events. The general types of benefits and time of output. A macrogrid can facilitate the offered by a macrogrid include the following: use of the most economically attractive resources (bulk generation and storage, for energy and ancillary • Reliability. The macrogrid’s capabilities will be services), which can be dispatched to cover energy extremely valuable for grid management and security demand across four time zones to serve all regions and with very high levels of renewable resources to sup- customers. And HVDC transmission has lower costs port decarbonization goals. Increased interconnec- when transmitting electricity over hundreds of miles. tivity between regions of the United States can contribute to significant improvements in reliability. The technologies comprising the macrogrid—extra- A macrogrid can facilitate the use of the high and ultra-high voltage DC (EHVDC and UHVDC) transmission that can make the bulk most economically attractive resources transmission network highly controllable—can (bulk generation and storage, for energy be leveraged to address long-standing challenges and ancillary services), which can be with bulk power system reliability. dispatched to cover energy demand The controls associated with HVDC equipment, across four time zones to serve all and wide-area situational awareness enabled by new regions and customers. connectivity and technology, will tie regions together in ways that facilitate better and more efficient over- all grid performance. Energy, capacity, and ancillary • Operability. The macrogrid would add an overarch- services would be deliverable from any region of the ing layer on the existing grid management structure, country to any other region, not just between neigh- enabling the coordination of national and regional bors. A macrogrid can provide operational tools and energy flows. The macrogrid’s capabilities will be capabilities that not only can reduce the bulk power extremely valuable for grid management and security system’s susceptibility to failure, but can enhance with very high levels of renewable resources to sup- outage restoration capabilities and speed, which port decarbonization goals. The controls associated can be critical during extreme operating scenarios. with HVDC equipment, and wide-area situational • Resilience. Extreme weather events, a growing con- awareness enabled by new connectivity and technology, cern in a changing climate, can affect large regions will provide capabilities that would not only reduce of the country as experienced in California in August the bulk power system’s susceptibility to failure, but 2020 and Texas in February 2021. The scope and scale also enhance outage restoration capabilities and of the macrogrid will provide interconnectivity that speed, which can be critical during extreme spans the entire country (and potentially the northern operating scenarios. and southern borders as well) and goes well beyond A macrogrid is the only approach that has the scale the connections that we have now, between mostly necessary to meet societal decarbonization objectives, adjacent regions. Such interconnectivity is needed to and the deployment of one requires concerted, proactive ensure the resilience of the electricity infrastructure on efforts. Incremental approaches—local build-outs, pack- which the country’s residents and economy depend. ing more onto existing lines and right-of-way, use of • Economics. Some recent studies indicate that a advanced technology, distributed energy resources, macrogrid would substantially reduce the overall energy efficiency, etc.—are necessary, but they are in- cost for a clean energy future, saving as much as sufficient. And they are more costly in the long run than one trillion dollars (see, for example, VCE (2020)). proactively planning at a larger scale. An interregional Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 6
transmission macrogrid using HVDC technology “ Multi-regional transmission provides diverse and provides greater benefits than numerous, smaller AC important economic and reliability benefits at a rela- transmission expansions. tively low cost. It enables deliverability of resources to load; it provides resource and load diversity to facilitate Moving Forward with Proactive Planning system balancing, enables resource adequacy, and helps the grid weather extreme events; and it helps to strengthen In the autumn of 2020, ESIG conducted a series of virtual the grid, making it more resilient to operational failures. workshops to consider the implications of and opportu- For example, the ZeroByFifty study found that the nities highlighted by these comprehensive studies. The United States will need to add about twice as much workshops confirmed that our current transmission devel- transmission as we have today in order to fully decar- opment approaches and processes would almost certainly bonize by 2050 [VCE, 2020]. It also found that if be inadequate for the challenge of expanding to enable we do build a macrogrid, we will save $1 trillion in a clean energy future, because they have produced little reaching these decarbonization goals compared to new interregional transmission on the ground over the a future where we do not build a macrogrid. past decade. The ESIG workshops resulted in a vision of a transmission overlay—a macrogrid—that would connect “ The Interconnections Seam Study [Bloom et al., regions rich with clean energy resources to load centers 2021], MIT study [Brown and Botterud, 2020], and in a way that would take advantage of the diversity in ZeroByFifty show that an interregional transmission production, demand, and geography, as well as substan- macrogrid using HVDC technology provides greater tially bolster the operation of the existing AC grid. benefits than numerous, smaller AC transmission expansions. HVDC transmission has lower costs when Such transmission is crucial to achieving clean energy transmitting electricity over hundreds of miles, and goals. The white paper developed following the work- energy flows can be directed to minimize inadvertent shops described the critical role of transmission in impacts on the AC system, for example, to minimize supporting clean energy goals (ESIG, 2021): loop flows.” Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 7
Rethinking Grid Expansion could double that. It has taken two decades to install the The massive expansion of the bulk transmission system roughly 200 GW of wind and solar PV in today’s fleet. necessary for supporting very high levels of clean elec- Transmission availability has been a major obstacle to tricity in such a relatively short period of time (15 to that development most of the way. While distributed 25 years) requires a rethinking of and evolution in the energy resources will play a substantial role in the clean way we currently expand the grid. Over the last decade electricity future, very substantial development of bulk of transmission expansion, most projects have been built system renewable generation will still be necessary. to improve reliability locally and to replace assets having Connecting Areas Rich in Renewable reached their end of life. While some expansion was for Resources with the Nation’s Load Centers economic and policy reasons, the headwinds for these types of projects have become increasingly strong. Very A conceptual map of clean energy resources is shown little interregional transmission has been developed in Figure 1, illustrating the geographical reality that we over the past 20 years. face—many of the high-quality wind and solar resources that would need to be developed to reach ambitious The sheer scale of the clean electricity targets set in clean energy targets are located far from major load the past 10 to 20 years is hard to fathom. The aforemen- centers. Clean resources close to major population cen- tioned studies agree that a 100% clean electricity target ters would be used locally or regionally when available. implies about a five-fold increase in wind and solar However, achieving high levels of clean electricity will photovoltaics (PV) generation over 2021 levels. Clean require exploiting these vast clean energy resource areas energy targets—decarbonization not just of the electric- and transporting that electricity over long distances to ity system but of the whole economy by 2035 or 2050— locations of high demand. In order to move massive F ig u re 1 Clean Energy Resources in the Continental United States Distributed Energy Zone Hydropower Resources Wind Energy Zone Solar Energy Zone Wind and Solar Energy Zones Source: Energy Systems Integration Group. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 8
amounts of energy, capacity, and grid services over long were available, it would likely be economic to develop distances, we will need a new transmission infrastructure and export 5 to 10 times this level of low-cost, high- that will offer significant reliability and diversity benefits quality wind production, based on the resource avail- from linking regions across time zones and weather ability, and deliver it to customer load centers. systems. Major expansions of electric export capacity would The challenge that comes from the conventional view require additional interregional HVAC and/or HVDC of transmission expansion at this scale is illustrated by lines. While the example in Figure 2 is for a single an example from the interior west. In today’s bulk trans- region of the country, meeting the nation’s aggressive mission system, the total export capability from the clean electricity and energy goals requires similar con- wind-rich region centered on Wyoming and Montana siderations simultaneously for all regions of the country. is about 8 GW (Figure 2). This is a relatively small The questions therefore become, how to add these amount of power given the excellent wind resource in interregional lines, how many to add, when, and at the region, and it is limited by existing Western Elec- what cost? Our transmission expansion experience tricity Coordinating Council (WECC) path limits. to date offers little relevant guidance for such trans- However, if adequate transmission export capability formational development. F ig u re 2 Illustration of Transmission Constraints in Clean Energy Resource Regions Total Export Capability of Approx. 8 GW at Present Population Center Hydroelectric Power Fossil Resource Wind Resource Solar Resource Wind and Solar Resource Today, the total export capability from the wind-rich region centered on Wyoming and Montana is about 8 GW. However, if adequate transmission export capability were available, it would likely be economic to develop and export 5 to 10 times this level of low-cost, high-quality wind production and deliver it to customer load centers. Source: Energy Systems Integration Group. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 9
Adopting a National Perspective and Vision of a macrogrid have received only cursory or qualita- tive attention. To successfully address and resolve the challenges of massive clean energy development and delivery volumes, The ESIG transmission workshops proposed that a distances, and time frames, a national perspective and cadre of studies be launched to develop the next level vision are needed. A national transmission infrastructure of quantitative detail about how a properly designed would help to maximize the benefits of load and clean macrogrid could transform the operation of the electrical energy resource diversity across geographical regions and a infrastructure in the United States. The scale of the grid multi-decade time horizon. The rationale and conceptual transformation required for high levels of clean electric- plans for this massive infrastructure have been laid out ity necessitates a rethinking and revision of conventional in several recent studies and were a major outcome of transmission planning approaches, and we delve into the ESIG transmission workshops (Figure 3). However, those revised approaches in the sections that follow. the many facets of design, construction, and operation F ig u re 3 Conceptual Macrogrid Layout from Fall 2020 ESIG Transmission Workshops Macro Grid Node Voltage (kV) Stage 1 100–161 230–300 Stage 2 345 Macro Grid Line 500 Stage 1 735 and Above Stage 2 DC Line Source: Energy Systems Integration Group. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 10
Macrogrid Design and Attributes T he concept of transforming the bulk power decades of bottom-up, incremental development— system in the United States through the addition connecting generation to load centers, then electric of a transmission overlay spanning all regions company to electric company, followed by transmission of the country has been referred to, either explicitly or to enhance regional aggregations of companies, and, implicitly, in several recent studies of the United States’ in a few instances, improved connections between the clean electricity future. The term “macrogrid” has become aggregated regional footprints. This continual develop- part of the current lexicon in technical, regulatory, and ment over nearly a century has brought us to a place political discussions about the future of the grid in the where the electric grid in the contiguous 48 states United States, although its definition has thus far remains balkanized, with three mostly separate intercon- remained quite general and fluid. nections, and barriers to development of high-quality clean energy resources within each of them. To transform the U.S. bulk power system in just a couple of decades requires more than evolutionary thinking, A properly designed macrogrid has the potential to however. Our current grid is the product of many break through these barriers. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 11
F ig u re 4 Conventional Point-to-Point HVDC Based on Line-Commutated Converter (LCC) Technology HVDC transmission facilities of the conventional type provide point-to-point connections between separate AC grids or portions of a single grid separated by substantial distances. Source: Energy Systems Integration Group. HVDC Infrastructure Built “Over” the Existing AC Grid HVDC links using VSC terminals are The first general attribute of a macrogrid is that it is much more controllable and do not impose built “over” the existing AC grid. Its operation would reactive burdens on the connected AC obviously be integrated with the existing, underlying network. AC grid, but it would operate on its own level, akin to the relationship between an urban freeway and the surrounding (underlying) city streets. A macrogrid is national in scale, so with the required distances and Networked, Multi-Terminal HVDC volumes for energy transport, it would be composed Based on VSC Technology substantially of HVDC transmission. Over the past two decades, a new technology for HVDC HVDC transmission is relatively common around the conversion has emerged and ascended to power levels world, with more than 100 projects currently in service. appropriate for large-scale transmission projects. In the Most of these facilities are of the conventional type simplest form, the structure of an HVDC link using (Figure 4), providing point-to-point connections voltage source converter (VSC) terminals is identical between separate AC grids or portions of a single grid to that of the conventional arrangement except these separated by substantial distances. These systems allow are much more controllable and do not impose reactive controllable transfer of power from end to end. The burdens on the connected AC network (Figure 5, p.13). technology comprising the converter stations is based Because of the controllability, in fact, the terminal can on high-power thyristors, and the DC-to-AC conversion provide reactive support and voltage control to a weak process places some burdens on the connected AC systems. AC system. Most prominently, the AC systems must supply reactive power to the converters for their operation. This can be It has long been recognized that the ability to add a problematic in weak and remote portions of the grid, third terminal to a point-to-point HVDC line would which can be a significant barrier to the application of be a significant advantage for applications requiring the conventional HVDC links. The macrogrid design improved flexibility and faster control. A few such therefore utilizes an advanced technology for DC- systems are in commercial service globally and are to-AC conversion. technically feasible with either conventional or VSC terminals (Figure 6, p.13). Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 12
F ig u re 5 Point-to-Point HVDC Link Employing VSC Terminals Source: Energy Systems Integration Group. F ig u re 6 Multi-Terminal HVDC Links Employing Conventional and VSC Terminal Technology Left: multi-terminal HVDC links employing conventional technology. Right: multi-terminal HVDC links employing VSC terminal technology. Source: Energy Systems Integration Group. One disadvantage of the “tapped” arrangement is that A major challenge for a true HVDC network is the all converters must be shut down instantaneously or as protection of the DC links themselves. Interruption of quickly as possible in the event of a short circuit on the HVDC currents in the event of a short circuit is difficult, DC lines. For example, a short circuit on a short tap line since there are no natural instants where the fault current would require that all three converters be blocked (shut goes to zero as in AC systems. There are some relatively down) to allow the DC fault current to be extinguished. recent developments, however, that point to the avail- The protection complications as well as other technical ability of commercial HVDC circuit breakers in the control challenges have been an impediment to signifi- not-too-distant future. cant adoption of multi-terminal HVDC systems. An advanced hybrid grid concept such as described Technological advances for VSC-based HVDC are above is key for the massive transmission expansion spurring growing interest in what can be described as required to support very high levels of clean electricity truly a next generation of bulk power transmission. These for the United States. Some major features of the systems will consist of both HVAC and HVDC grids. macrogrid concept are the principle of looped circuits The hybrid system leverages HVDC for controllability and the interspersed converter stations to either collect and long-distance energy transportation and the flexibil- clean electricity or deliver it to demand centers ity of HVAC delivery of energy to regional load centers (Figure 7, p. 14). (Rodriguez and Rouzhehi, 2017). Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 13
F ig u re 7 Macrogrid Concept with Overlaid Clean Energy Resource Areas and Locations of Major Electricity Demand Macro Grid Node Voltage (kV) Resource Area Stage 1 100–161 Demand 230–300 Stage 2 345 Macro Grid Line 500 Stage 1 735 and above Stage 2 DC Line Source: Energy Systems Integration Group. The macrogrid concept proposed here is more than a massive build-out of conventional HVDC lines and The macrogrid vision consists of a converter stations. The macrogrid vision consists of a backbone of long-distance lines composed of networked, backbone of long-distance lines composed multi-terminal HVDC based on VSC technology. It of networked, multi-terminal HVDC based would incorporate important transmission planning on VSC technology. principles, including the “rule of three” for transmis- sion expansion, discussed in the appendix. The HVDC transmission paths form a true DC network circuits of six conductors total rather than two three- and are composed of triple bi-pole circuits operating at phase AC circuits of six conductors. +/- 800 kV DC. A transmission tower design by American Electric Power (AEP), known as the ”Bold” concept, VSC converter stations are now available with ratings up could be utilized for these high-capacity macrogrid to 3000 A. This equates to a 2400 MW rating at 800 kV transmission line segments. Currently in use as a for a single pole and double that—4800 MW—for a double-circuit high surge impedance loading (HSIL) bi-pole configuration. Other needed technologies, such line, the structure is more material-efficient, compact, as HVDC breakers, are entering commercialization and and aesthetic than alternatives (Figure 8, p. 15). With can be assumed to be available by the time any procure- some adaptation it could be used to carry three bi-pole ments would commence. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 14
F ig u re 8 Physical Comparison of Structures for AEP Bold Line Design with Other Common Transmission Towers Source: American Electric Power. On Ramps and Off Ramps Between the Higher circuit ratings for the lines HVDC Network and Existing AC System make maximum use of rights-of-way The “on-ramps” for clean electricity would be connected and provide flexibility for the evolution to the existing AC system, if stout enough to carry the of the macrogrid network over time. clean electricity generated in the proximity. In high clean electricity resource areas with weak AC transmission, the source VSC node could be fed by separate EHVAC (extra-high-voltage AC) collector transmission circuits Self-Redundancy of up to a couple of hundred miles in length. The fundamental design for self-redundancy requires that the macrogrid be composed of loops, where at least “Off ramps” near demand centers would be integrated three terminals are connected by three HVDC circuits. with the underlying AC system, and appear as large local In this way, the outage of a single HVDC line path generators. The flexibility of this design would allow the could be accommodated with built-in reserve capacity. macrogrid delivery point to be rated up to 2400 MW. Smaller ratings, potentially dictated by local or regional Further, the transmission paths themselves would be conditions, would also be possible. designed so that each bi-pole circuit would have contin- gent capacity. As an illustration, if a transmission path These concepts for the macrogrid architecture are is delivering 4800 MW on each of the three bi-pole illustrated in Figure 9 (p. 16). Because the DC lines circuits, the total transfer over this path would be 14,400 form a true network, it would be possible to insert addi- MW. The loss of one bi-pole circuit could be covered by tional converter stations where needed for either collecting rating the path at 21,600 MW (7,200 MW per bi-pole or delivering clean energy. This provides a level of modu- circuit times three) to provide additional redundancy. larity and flexibility not available with conventional point-to-point HVDC, but is obviously dependent Higher circuit ratings for the lines make maximum use on HVDC breakers for protection of the HVDC of rights-of-way and provide flexibility for the evolution network. of the macrogrid network over time. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 15
F ig u re 9 Illustration of Concepts for Macrogrid Architecture Sources: Energy Systems Integration Group (graphic ); American Electric Power (photograph). areas of the network. Grid-forming VSC designs could Rather than requiring reactive power also provide other services, such as black start, which would not be possible from LCC HVDC stations. for operation, VSC converter stations could provide voltage support in weak areas of Addition of an Overarching Layer the network. Grid-forming VSC designs on Existing Grid Management Scheme could also provide other services, such The existing interconnections in the United States are as black start. managed through a multi-party and multi-layer control structure that includes embedded competitive wholesale energy markets. The macrogrid would add an overarching In contrast with conventional line-commutated con- layer on this existing grid management scheme, neces- verter (LCC) HVDC converter stations, the VSC design sitating the coordination of national and regional energy would impose minimal requirements on the AC system flows, and requiring the creation of an entity to ensure to which it would be connected. Rather than requiring the macrogrid is operated in such a way as to meet reactive power for operation, as an example, VSC con- reliability and resilience needs and facilitate economic verter stations could provide voltage support in weak operation of the U.S. electricity infrastructure. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 16
Recommended Macrogrid Design Studies Synopsis studies would be conducted to elicit the full range of costs and benefits of the macrogrid along with identifi- • Previous studies that addressed possible transmission cation of outstanding questions and recommendations expansion to support high levels of clean electricity, for continued research. including macrogrid overlays, are excellent works, and form a solid basis for important next steps: To be clear, what we are proposing is not an alternative incremental capacity and transmission expansion exercise. – To incorporate important transmission planning The grid expansion, including the macrogrid overlay, principles necessary to ensure system reliability would be designed as if the end point is known, based – To add technical details of how an overlay should on the scenarios identified through the ongoing DOE be built and how it might be operated efforts. We believe that focusing on the end point would best illustrate the transformative nature of the macrogrid, – To address how an appropriately designed and and allow for quantitative assessment of related benefits constructed macrogrid could transform the opera- for the reliability and resilience of the bulk grid in the tion of the bulk power system in the United States United States. From this initial design, follow-on efforts • A macrogrid concept that incorporates available can explore sensitivities to other clean electricity expan- but still novel technologies should be evaluated sion scenarios, including how the macrogrid could be at a similar level of detail (and possibly beyond) developed over time. as other more conventional options for expanding The cadre of technical evaluations being recommended the bulk electric system to support a new future. consists of: Background and Recommended • A focus on architecture and design of a fully devel- Technical Evaluations oped macrogrid as it would exist in the future for supporting a target level of clean electricity/energy The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), through the (for example, >90% clean electricity). The evaluation National Renewable Energy Laboratory and Pacific would start at the end point, effectively being a Northwest National Laboratory, has launched efforts single-step expansion from present to that future. to explore transmission development for supporting clean electricity futures. We propose that the macrogrid • The following major study elements: be evaluated in the context of this DOE initiative as an – Development of an initial macrogrid design that alternate transmission approach for supporting very high adheres to principles for reliable transmission levels of clean electricity. Using the clean electricity sce- expansion narios developed by the laboratories as the starting point, a quantitative process would be applied based on recent – Reliability analysis (steady-state and dynamic) transmission expansion planning principles augmented – Resilience assessment to accommodate the scale and technologies envisioned for the macrogrid. From this initial design, a series of – Considerations for operability and operations Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 17
– Economics, routing, and permitting consultants, equipment manufacturers, transmission line designers, energy economists, and others), and • Iteration and sensitivities—what about decarboni- policymakers. zation goals, or what if we don’t get to >90% clean electricity? The next sections highlight and summarize the individual • A comparison of findings here with other transmis- components of the technical evaluation we believe is sion expansion options developed through parallel necessary to determine how the macrogrid option would efforts. compare to more conventional approaches to transmis- sion expansion for high levels of clean electricity. The intention is for the initial macrogrid design to be conducted first, and then serve as the object for Initial Macrogrid Design the subsequent technical evaluations. These follow-on Objective evaluations could probably be conducted in parallel if consideration of the important overlaps between the • Create macrogrid design(s) for a 100% clean study tracks is made. electricity scenario We recommend that the macrogrid study effort be con- • Determine the best mix of transmission and other ducted as an open process, with maximum involvement technologies (e.g., storage) that will facilitate trans- from the energy industry. This includes regional trans- portation of clean energy from source to sinks mission organizations (RTOs) and others in the transmis- • Maintain/enhance bulk system reliability— sion planning space; technologists (including expert initial view Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 18
• Increase the resilience of bulk electric supply— Step A: Technology Selections initial view Technology selections are made in Step A. This deci- Overview sion may include use of either DC or AC transmission, although most macrogrid design work conducted to A macrogrid is a high-capacity transcontinental trans- date has selected DC, for the following reasons: mission system distinct from, but interconnected with, existing underlying AC transmission. The objective of • There is no minimum capacity required for stable a macrogrid design is to identify the macrogrid tech- interconnection nologies, network topology, and circuit capacities to • A macrogrid using DC transmission offloads the maximize the derived macrogrid benefits. This section underlying AC system, allowing increased AC describes a process to achieve this objective, a nascent interconnection of renewables process that will further develop as experience grows. The design process described here is intended to be • It improves AC system performance in terms of one on which further design efforts will build. voltage, frequency, transient, and oscillatory stability through converter control Macrogrid design requires understanding and modeling the manner in which the macrogrid will operate. This • Its power density (MW per right-of-way area re- requires identification of a market construct, including quired) is greater than AC its participants, and how macrogrid operation interacts • Its cost per MW-mile for long-distance transmission with the operation of regional markets run by the RTOs. is lower than for AC The market aspects are addressed later in the report. • HVDC losses are less than HVAC losses for the Design Process same transfer capacity The design process is composed of four main steps, as Assuming the macrogrid is DC, then converter technol- illustrated in Figure 10. An underlying assumption of ogy must be chosen; options are multilevel voltage source the process is that the design targets very-high-percentage converters (VSC), line-compensated converters (LCC), clean electricity futures (e.g., 85% to 100%). The design or hybrid (use of both). Although LCCs provide higher process identifies the best mix of macrogrid technologies capacity than VSCs, VSCs provide better control, in- and AC system generation, transmission, and storage to cluding provision of voltage support and grid-forming facilitate the delivery of clean electricity from sources capability. In addition, VSCs enable the implementation to load centers while enhancing the reliability and of a multi-terminal network rather than a series of point- resilience of the bulk power system. to-point DC lines, offering the ability of the macrogrid F ig u re 1 0 Overview of Macrogrid Design Process Step A Step B Something Step C Step D Yes Design Or Other Select ❯ Develop ❯ Identify ❯ Assess ❯ OK ❯ DONE technologies macrogrid circuit performance ? topology capacities No Source: Energy Systems Integration Group. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 19
to control DC network to AC network injections rather innovative option of a VSC-based multi-terminal than only the flows on each point-to-point DC line. HVDC network with grid-forming converters. Finally, there is the potential to take advantage of the strengths of both LCCs and VSCs in a hybrid network, Step B: Macrogrid Topology for which there is an implemented case (McCalley and Macrogrid topology is developed in Step B. The objec- Zhang, 2020; Rao et al., 2021). tive of this step is to identify the number and location Technology decisions can affect the cost of interconnec- of macrogrid nodes together with the circuits that con- tion points, as voltage-weak LCC nodes must be com- nect those nodes. The macrogrid topology explored pensated; because interconnection point selection affects in previous studies is shown in Figure 11. topology, technology decisions also influence topology. Nodes should be located close to load centers or in areas In addition, whereas LCC nodes may be located only where hydro, solar, and/or wind resources are expected at the terminals of point-to-point DC lines, VSC nodes to reach significant levels. There is a trade-off between may be located anywhere along a line, increasing flexi- macrogrid accessibility and cost. A large number of bility in interconnecting with resources and adding nodes increases macrogrid accessibility and may also nodes, and thus potentially affecting topology. reduce transmission spur cost from nodes to load and Although future studies should carefully consider the resource centers, but each node incurs the significant various technology options, we recommend and assume cost of an additional converter station. In addition, it in what follows the adoption of a state-of-the-art, may be useful to locate nodes to ensure balance between F ig u re 1 1 Experience-Driven Macrogrid Topology Concepts Several top-down designs have been proposed in recent research. Sources, counter-clockwise from upper left: Figueroa-Acevedo et al. (2021); Clack (2021); Energy Systems Integration Group (2021); McCalley and Zhang (2020); Brown and Botterud (2020). Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 20
geographical regions, North American Electric Relia- contingent and economically attractive if it is built bility Corporation (NERC) regions, RTO regions, and using at least three parallel circuits. Self-contingent possibly states, as the decision to locate a node in an area means that remaining macrogrid circuits are able may also influence that area’s willingness to participate in to carry the additional loading for loss of one of the macrogrid development, implementation, and operation. parallel circuits. Economically attractive means that, Consideration should be given to including terminals of during normal operation, the circuit provides signifi- existing or planned interregional transmission projects. cant additional transmission capacity, with a low A final consideration in identifying nodes is that there derating to satisfy N-1 contingency conditions. may be benefit to converting or extending existing AC The rule of three is illustrated in the appendix. substations, particularly those for which connected lines • Circuit cost. Circuit cost should account for routing may use right-of-way that can be converted or adapted and related right-of-way cost, issues that are influ- to DC line right-of-way. enced by terrain, elevation, preserved land, lightning Each pair of nodes may be connected by a circuit. With frequency, and availability of existing rights-of-way N nodes, there are N*(N-1)/2 possible circuits (e.g., 50 that could be used. Some work has been done on nodes results in 1,225 possible circuits). Yet only a small assessing right-of-way cost (Li and McCalley, 2015). subset of the possible circuits are ultimately needed. Usage within macrogrid operation may be assessed Identifying those circuits should account for the impact through Step C, described next. The design process of macrogrid outages on underlying AC system reliabil- can be strengthened via iterations of Steps B and C, ity, circuit cost, and usage within macrogrid operation, as Step C results can provide insight into use of as described below. nodes or circuits that were not originally considered. • Rule of three. The rule of three is a guideline to Step C: Circuit Capacities ensure that circuit selection accounts for the impact of macrogrid outages on underlying AC system reli- Circuit capacities are identified in Step C. This is ability. According to the rule of three, high-capacity accomplished through the use of a co-optimized expan- interregional transmission can be built to be self- sion planning (CEP) application. CEP applications to Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 21
macrogrid design have been described in the literature (Bloom et al., 2021; Brown and Botterud, 2020; Figueroa- Acevedo et al., 2021; MacDonald et al., 2016). CEPs are computationally intensive; their application requires that industry-sized network and production cost datasets be reduced, a process described in the slide deck accompany- ing this report. These datasets should be selected so that they provide time-synchronized levels of demand, wind generation, and solar generation throughout the country. They should be based on projected loading and envi- ronmental conditions and not historical ones, since his- torical conditions may not well reflect future conditions due to increased electrification of other sectors and impacts of climate change. A CEP determines those generation and transmission investments needed in a power system to achieve least cost (including investment and operational costs) subject to constraints and assumptions. A CEP is capable of determining investment timing as well. However, as described previously, the focus of this work should be on the end-point scenario (i.e., very high levels of clean electricity) rather than the transition years, and as such, it is reasonable to apply the CEP with a limited number of investment periods, e.g., one or two. Constraints include standard power flow constraints and require- ments on ancillary services and annual planning reserves. Assumptions characterize the expected future conditions including, for example, demand growth, fuel prices, tech- assessment may be performed by repeating CEP analysis nology costs, environmental conditions, and policy direc- for each scenario. It is also possible to obtain “one-shot” tives. Costs associated with technologies not yet heavily optimizers that perform CEP under uncertainty (Hobbs used—e.g., HVDC breakers, demand control, and some et al., 2016; Maloney et al., 2021). In identifying scenarios, kinds of storage—may require interaction with various it is important to select a limited number that well rep- manufacturers to obtain. AC transmission costs are resents the scenario space. In macrogrid design, recom- typically available within RTO planning processes. For mended scenarios might include high and low growth example, the Midcontinent Independent System Opera- in distributed energy resources; high and low technology tor (MISO) has developed an excellent resource that maturation for VSCs, DC breakers, wind, and solar; and includes both AC and DC costs (MISO, 2021). Such limited and aggressive implementation in CO2 reduction cost information should be integrated with methods of policy. There are methods to select such scenarios based avoiding the use of new rights-of-way (e.g., using exist- on scenario probability and proximity to other scenarios. ing transmission, rail, or transportation right-of-way) A recent development also provides a simulation-based and maximizing AC transmission power density in terms approach to test a CEP design against a large number of MW of transmission capacity per unit of required right- of out-of-sample scenarios (Maloney, 2019). of-way area (e.g., employing lines with double-circuit Operating conditions modeled within the CEP should towers and high surge impedance loading designs). include those corresponding to different daily times for It is typical to develop several scenarios, where each each of three seasons of the year together with the con- realizes a different set of assumptions. Multi-scenario ditions corresponding to the annual peak for each U.S. Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 22
region. Transmission investments identified within Step D: Performance of the Macrogrid Design the CEP solution include those associated with the macrogrid circuits identified in Step B as well as those The performance of the macrogrid design is assessed in associated with the underlying AC transmission system. Step D, and the design is adjusted based on these results. When macrogrid circuits identified in Step B receive Several of the performance assessments require a full little or no investment following Step C CEP applica- unreduced model. This requires that the Step C macro- tion (and thus have little or no capacity in the resulting grid design, which includes generation and transmission macrogrid design), it is an indication that those circuits investments represented at equivalent buses and lines, are not needed for transferring energy, services, or respectively, be translated to buses and lines in the full capacity between macrogrid nodes, and their elimination model. The translation function is described in the from the macrogrid topology should be considered. appendix of the attached slide deck and in the literature. CEP implementation of Step C should be performed Following the development of the translated model, twice, once with the macrogrid topology overlaid on performance assessments are conducted, as described the existing AC system (as assumed in the previous below. These assessments overlap with the discussion paragraph) and once without it, i.e., with only the given in this report’s section on reliability and resilience. reduced model of the AC power system. This second • Production cost simulation (PS): PS is necessary CEP implementation will establish a reference case to check the benefits identified based on CEP results, that represents the targeted clean electricity level but since PS improves the quantification of operational without the macrogrid. Differences in the costs between costs. PS also enables characterization of how the the two cases (macrogrid and reference) can be used to markets and the system behave across daily, weekly, assess the economic benefits of macrogrid development. and seasonal periods in terms of flow variation in Design Study Requirements for a U.S. Macrogrid Energy Systems Integration Group 23
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